امریکی ڈالر/سوئس فرانک: شرح تبادلہ، خبریں اور تجزیے

USD/CHF

Markazi bank policies, khaaskar United States mein Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Switzerland mein Swiss National Bank (SNB) ke policies, ka kirdar ahem hota hai. Dono mulkon ke darmiyan interest rate farq asar daal sakta hai unke apne currency ko attract karnay mein. United States mein Switzerland ke muqablay mein zyada interest rates USD ko CHF ke muqablay mein majboot bana sakta hai aur ulta bhi ho sakta hai.

Maeeshati Nishanat: Maeeshati data releases jaise ke GDP growth, rozgar reports, inflation figures, aur consumer spending currency pair ko asar daal sakta hai. United States se strong economic data USD ki taqat ko support kar sakti hai, jab ke Switzerland se positive economic indicators CHF ko mazbooti de sakti hain.

Safe-Haven Status: Swiss Franc aam tor par ek safe-haven currency consider kiya jata hai, matlab yeh tendency hai ke iski value geopolitical uncertainty ya market turbulence ke doran barh jati hai. Koi bhi tajurbaat jo global risk aversion ko barhate hain woh USD ke muqablay mein CHF ko mazboot kar sakte hain.

Trade Balance aur Current Account: Switzerland aam tor par ek bara trade surplus rakhta hai aur iski current account surplus bhi mazboot hoti hai, jo Swiss Franc ki mazbooti mein madadgar hoti hai. Mutasir tor par, United States mein trade deficit ya current account deficit USD ko kamzor kar sakti hai.

Political Events aur Geopolitical Risks: Kisi bhi mulk mein siyasi isthira ya gheyr isthira, dono mulkon ke apni currencies ko mutasir kar sakti hai. Iske ilawa, geopolitical tensions ya conflicts investor sentiment ko influence kar sakte hain aur USD/CHF exchange rate ko asar daal sakte hain.

Monetary Policy Statements: Central banks ke statements aur actions jaise ke monetary policy, interest rate decisions, quantitative easing measures, ya forward guidance, currency values ko ahem tor par influence kar sakte hain.

Market Sentiment aur Technical Analysis: USD/CHF exchange rate ki short-term fluctuations mein market sentiment, technical analysis patterns, aur speculative trading activities ka bhi asar hota hai.

Jab fundamental analysis kiya jata hai, toh zaroori hai ke ek wide range of factors ko consider kiya jaye aur current events aur economic data releases ko stay updated kiya jaye jo USD/CHF exchange rate ko asar daal sakte hain. Iske ilawa, market dynamics ka comprehensive understanding ke liye fundamental aur technical analysis ka combination istemal karna mushkil hai.

Aadaab dosto. Main rozana ka chart dekhta hoon aur pair kai dino se side mein chal raha hai, jiska boundary support level 09025 se resistance level 0.9095 tak hai. Aaj bhi trading abhi tak side mein hai. Dekhte hain kya side movement aaj bhi jaari rahega ya shayad humein is se nikalne ka intezar hai. Chalo aaj ke liye pair ki movement ka andaza lagane ki koshish karte hain. Is ke liye, aaj ke din pair ka technical analysis dekhte hain aur kya salahat hongi. Moving averages - khareed, technical indicators - active buy, nateeja - active buy. Lagta hai pair aaj uttar ki taraf jaana chahiye. Aaj important khabron ka release dekhte hain. USA se important khabar aayi hai, haqeeqat negative hai. Aur aham khabar ka intezar hai, tasweer is waqt neutral hai. Swiss consumer price index release ho chuka hai, haqeeqat negative hai, aur mazeed koi important khabar mutawaqqa nahi hai. Main samajhta hoon aaj pair ko uttar ki taraf harkat karte hue dekha jayega. Khareedari 0.9070 tak ke resistance level tak mumkin hai. Main umeed karta hoon 0.9025 tak support level tak, yaani side trend ke southern border tak, farokht hoti rahegi. Is liye main aaj ke liye uttar ki umeed rakhta hoon, lekin diye gaye side mein.
Aik shandar trading plan H1 timeframe par aik aala ke liye tayyar kiya ja sakta hai, kyunke is waqt market mein aik munafa dene wale transaction ko kamiyabi se anjam dene ki buland imkan hai. Hum apni mehnat mein teen indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color par mabni hain. Aik position mein dakhil hone ka behtareen intekhab karnay ka algorithm kayi marahil par mabni hai. Sab se pehle, hum aam trend ko higher timeframe H4 par mutasir hote hain. Hama ke period 21 ke sath aik moving average humein is mein madad dega. Ab quotes moving average ke neeche hain, jisse kehta hai ke global trend neechay ki taraf hai aur hum sirf farokht mein dakhil ho sakte hain.
Phir kaam karne wale chart par hum Hama aur RSI indicators ke red hone ka intezar karte hain. Jab ye do shara'it milte hain, hum short trade kholte hain. Hum position ko magnetic levels par nikalte hain. Aaj, taqreeban sab se mutawaqqa levels forecast ko pura karne ke liye 0.89495 hain. Agar quotes maqsad ke magnetic level ke qareeb aaye hain, to hum aala ka rawaiya dhan se dekhte hain - agar keemat maqsad ki taraf mukhtasir harkat karna jaari rakhti hai, to hum trawl ko jodte hain aur munafa barhne ka intezar karte hain. Agar yeh dheere ho jata hai aur aik jagah par khamosh ho jata hai, to hum magnetic level par be ghabra kar bahir nikal jate hain

Aaj dollar franc ka ghanta chart dekhtay huye din growth ke saath shuru hua. Keemat ne resistance 0.90659 tak barhna shuru kiya, yeh resistance tooti gayi. Yeh sabit hua ke yeh jhooti tor par tora gaya tha. Phir keemat ne level ke neeche laut aana shuru kiya, yani yeh level ka jhoota torr confirm ho gaya. 0.90095 ke support ke pehle ek bechnay ka signal tha, lekin yeh bechnay ka signal kaam nahi kiya, kyun ke keemat turant level ke upar chali gayi, yeh level ke upar jam gayi, aur yeh pehle se hi bechnay ka mukammal ikhtiyaar tha aur phir, yeh level phir tora gaya. Keemat level ke neeche gayi, lekin wapas nahi aayi aur torr nahi confirm kiya. Yani, koi bechnay ka signal nahi tha, aur bechnay ka signal ke baghair, yeh 0.90095 ke support tak gaya. Phir yeh support tor gaya, ab keemat is level ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, agar agla level ab is level ke neeche band hota hai aur is level se bounce hota hai, to yeh ek bechnay ka signal hoga, aur bechnay ka maqsad 0.89665 ka support hoga. Is post ko likhne ke waqt, USDCHF currency pair, H1 chart par southern correction dikha raha hai aur 0.90161 ke range mein hai. Instaforex company ke indicator ne jo is forum par hai, pehle hissay mein, bechnay walon ka halka faida dikhata hai, 54.5% ke range mein.
Doosre hissay mein, indicator ek short-term southern trend dikhata hai.
Aaj sab kahan ja raha hai? Aaj Switzerland se koi ahem aur dilchasp khabar ka intezar nahi hai, lekin USA se hai: Average hourly wages, non-agricultural sector mein mukammal karne walon ki tadad mein tabdeeli, be-rozgar ki sharah.
Yeh fundamental analysis conduct karne ke liye kafi hai. Technical cheezon ko mat bhooliye.
Mukhtasar mein, kya umeed hai? Main samajhta hoon ke pair pehle 0.8970 ke level tak southern correction karega, phir 0.9090 par south ki taraf palat jayega

H4 time frame chart par USDCHF ke price movement ko analyze karte hue, ek clear price correction ka pattern nazar aata hai. Ye pattern ek area ko indicate karta hai jahan se price phir se upar ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke pehle 0.9031 par breakout hua tha. Is correction ko samajhne ke liye, hume pehle us breakout level ko dekhna hoga. 0.9031 par hone wala breakout significant hai, kyun ki ye ek important support ya resistance level ke roop mein kaam karta hai. Jab price is level se bahar nikalta hai, toh ye ek strong signal deta hai future price movement ke liye. Ab jab price phir se is level ke nazdeek aata hai, toh ek correction ka pattern shuru hota hai. Ye correction price ke initial move ko counter karta hai, jisse ek temporary reversal dekha ja sakta hai. Ye reversal hone ke baad, price phir se original trend ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Is scenario mein, jab price 0.9031 ke nazdeek aata hai, toh ye ek potential entry point ban sakta hai. Agar humein ye correction pattern samajh aata hai, toh hum is area par buy position le sakte hain, expecting ki price phir se upar ki taraf move karegi. Is strategy ko execute karte samay, humein kuch important factors ko dhyan mein rakhna hoga. Pehla factor hai stop loss level ka set karna, jisse hum apne positions ko protect kar sakein agar price phir se expected direction ke against move karta hai. Dusra factor hai risk management, jismein hum apni investment ka ek chhota hissa risk karte hain, taki agar trade loss mein bhi chala jaye toh humare overall portfolio par asar kam ho. Is pattern ko identify karne ke liye, technical analysis ka istemal kiya jata hai, jismein hum price action, indicators, aur chart patterns ka istemal karte hain. Iske alawa, market sentiment aur fundamental factors bhi consider kiye ja sakte hain, jo ki price movement ko influence karte hain. Overall, H4 time frame chart par USDCHF ke price movement mein ek clear price correction pattern dikh raha hai, jise samajh kar hum ek potential entry point identify kar sakte hain jahan se price phir se upar ki taraf move kar sakta hai.

/CHF currency pair ke current trading situation par charcha karte hue, yeh wazeh hai ke yeh pair abhi tor par mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Agar hum iske technical aur fundamental aspects ko dekhein, toh pata chalta hai ke kuch factors is pair ke upar dabaav daal rahe hain. Pehle toh, geopolitical tensions aur global economic uncertainty ki wajah se safe-haven currencies, jaise ke Swiss Franc, mein demand badh gayi hai. Isse USD/CHF pair ko neeche press kiya ja raha hai. Doosri taraf, Federal Reserve ke monetary policy decisions aur US economy ke indicators ki expectations bhi is pair par asar daal rahe hain. Agar US Federal Reserve ne interest rates ko badhane ya kam karne ki koi hint di hai, toh yeh USD/CHF pair par asar daal sakta hai. Iske alawa, Swiss National Bank (SNB) ki monetary policy bhi is pair ke movement par prabhav daal sakti hai. SNB ki intervention ki khabrein ya unki monetary policy mein koi tabdeeli bhi is pair par asar daal sakti hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, agar USD/CHF pair 0.9019 ke aas paas trade ho raha hai, toh yeh level ek crucial support ya resistance ke roop mein kaam kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level toot gaya, toh iska matlab hai ke pair aur neeche ja sakta hai, jabki agar yeh level hold karta hai, toh iska matlab hai ke pair mein kuch stability aa sakti hai. Traders ko current situation ke samay mein vigilant rehna chahiye aur market ki movements ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Market sentiment, economic indicators, aur geopolitical developments par dhyan dena bhi zaroori hai. In sab factors ko madhyaan mein rakhte hue, traders ko apne risk management strategies ko adjust karna chahiye aur apne trades ko monitor karna chahiye taaki woh market ke latest developments ke saath pace rakh sakein. Overall, USD/CHF currency pair abhi tor par challenging times ka samna kar raha hai, aur traders ko cautious approach apnana chahiye jab tak market mein koi clarity na aaye.

USD/CHF
Main rozana time frame par USD/CHF currency pair par takhleeqati analysis kartaa hoon. Meri tajziyaati analysis ke natayej se yeh zahir hota hai ke bull pressure bohot taqatwar hai, jo ke is currency pair ke liye ahem hai, aur iski kamiyabi is currency pair ke liye kisi ahem resistance level 0.88755 ko torne mein nazar aati hai. Is breakthrough se yeh maloom hota hai ke chalta rehne wala bull trend mazid mazbooti hasil kar chuka hai. Iske ilawa, 50 EMA aur 100 EMA ke darmiyan aik crossover bhi hai, jo ke is bullish trend ki istiqbal ki mumkinat mein mera ikhtiyaar barha deta hai. Lekin, halankeh abhi main peechle uchayi level 0.908785 se aik neechay ki correction bhi dekh raha hoon. Jabkeh yeh correction peechli ahem qeemat mein izafay ke liye aik fitri jawab ho sakta hai, main dekhta rehta hoon ke ek waqtanha trend ke mojoodgi ke imkaan par khaas tor par nazar hai. Lekin, main yeh bhi samajhta hoon ke ek neechay ki correction hamesha ek bullish trend ka khatam hona nahi hota. Ek trader ke taur par, main samajhta hoon ke aisi corrections aksar ek waqtanha ittihad ke hissay hote hain pehle ke urooj ke baad ke qeemat apne asal trend ko dobara shuru karne se pehle.

Agli chalaki ka qadam, chhote time frames jaise H1 chart ki jaanch hai. Chhote time frames ki tajziyaat ke zyada tafseel se madad mil sakti hai qeemat ke patterns ko pehchanne mein aur mujhe mumkinah achi dakhil ya nikalne ke points ke pehchan mein madad karti hai.

USD/CHF ANALYSIS H1

USD/CHF currency pair ki movement mein kal aik ahem girawat mili sab se uchayi level 0.90904 se. Yeh girawat market mein taqatwar farokht dabaav ko darust karti hai. Lekin, agar hum overall trend dekhte hain, to yeh nazar aata hai ke yeh currency pair ab bhi bullish trend mein hai. Yeh khas taur par ishara 0.90049 se 0.90257 qeemat mein mojoodah demand area se milta hai. Yeh sharea aik point ban chuki hai jahan farokht dabaav ko tangi mehsoos hoti hai, yeh yeh darust karta hai ke mazeed qeemat mein izafa hone ke liye kafi mazboot kharidari ke interest hai. Halankeh qeemat ne 50 EMA aur 100 EMA ko gherna kar liya hai, jo ke aam tor par bullish signal samjha jata hai, lekin abhi tak dono moving averages ke darmiyan koi crossover nahi hua hai. 50 EMA aur 100 EMA ke darmiyan ek crossover ko aksar trend ka tabadla ka aik taqatwar ishara samjha jata hai, aur jabkeh abhi tak koi crossover nahi hua hai, to mumkin hai ke bullish trend abhi bhi jari rahe.

In halaat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mera tajirana plan bullish signals talash karne ka hai. Main kisi bhi taqatwar bullish candles ke liye dekhta rahunga jo yeh darust karte hain ke kharidari ke interest wapas aa gaya hai. Yeh khaas tor par relevant hai kyunkay abhi qeemat woh demand area mein hai jo dobara izaafa hone ki alaamat de raha hai.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S: U S D / C H F

Tajziya:


Assalam-o-Alaikum, pyare forum ke dosto, umeed hai aap sab theek hain aur apni trading ke faa'lon ka lutf utha rahe hain. Waqt likhte waqt USD/CHF 0.9016 par karobar ho raha hai. Ye chart mazeed izafa ki alamat dekhata hai jab jodi ne nichle resistance level ko test karne ki koshish ki. Halat ke mutabiq, USD/CHF market ka haal baelon ke sath milta julta hai, bearish ehsas kam hai, aur mustaqbil ab baelon ke hath mein hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) farokht shanaft ki taraf ja raha hai. Isi doran, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator se barhtay hue bullish signals ki barhne wali shiddat manfi bias ko mazboot karta hai. Is liye bullish keemat ka itwaar hai ke ye mazeed barhne ka intezar hai. Chart se pata chalta hai ke keemat 50 dinon aur 20 dinon ke moving averages ke upar hai.

Chart Par Istemaal Kiye Gaye Indicator:

• MACD indicator:
• RSI indicator period 14:
• 50-day exponential moving average color Orange:
• 20-day exponential moving average color Magenta:

Tasurat:


Chart par mojood moving averages ke mutabiq, jald hein hum dobara aglay support level par pohanchenge jo ke 0.8792 hai. Ye ahem hai ke 0.9222 dar band ka foran upar resistance ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai. Agar USD/CHF resistance line ko torr deti hai to ye upar ja kar $0.9669 ke resistance level ko test karegi. Agar USD/CHF 0.9669 resistance ko paar kar leti hai to mazeed izafa mumkin hai upar 1.0134 ke neeche se. Doosri taraf, ye note karna ahem hai ke 0.8792 dar band foran neeche support ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar USD/CHF support line ko torr deti hai to ye neeche ja kar $0.8331 ke support level ko test karegi. Agar USD/CHF 0.8321 support ko paar kar leti hai to mazeed girawat mumkin hai neeche 0.8792 ke neeche. Kul milake, USD/CHF keemat mazeed barhti reh sakti hai, lekin bael ab bhi poori tarah se control mein nahi hain.

USD/CHF
Main rozana time frame H1 par USD/CHF currency pair par takniki tajziya karta hoon. Mere tajziyat ke natayej se, nazar aata hai ke bullish dabao bohot mazboot hai, jo ke is currency pair ki kamiyabi ko darust karta hai ke ye mukhya resistance level 0.88755 ko tor gaya hai. Ye breakout ongoing bullish trend ki mazboot tasdeeq deta hai. Mazeed, 50 EMA aur 100 EMA ke darmiyan ek crossover bhi hai, jo ke is bullish trend ke jari rahne ki meri itminan ko mazeed barhata hai. Magar, halankeh mujhe peechle uncha tareen level 0.908785 se neeche aane ki correction bhi nazar aati hai. Halankeh ye correction peechle significant price barhao ka ek natural jawab hosakta hai, main temporary trend mein tabdili ke imkan par bhi muttafiq rehta hoon. Magar, main ye bhi samajhta hoon ke ek neeche ki correction hamesha bullish trend ka khatam hone ka nishan nahi hota. Ek trader ke tor par, main samajhta hoon ke aise corrections aksar mukhya trend ke dobara shuru hone se pehle temporary consolidation ka hissa hote hain.

Agli chal ka intezar karte hue, mera irada hai ke chhoti time frames, jaise ke H1 chart, par tajziya karon. Chhoti time frames par ki gayi tajziya price patterns mein mazeed tafseelat faraham kar sakti hai aur mujhe potential acha dakhil ya nikalne ke points ka pata lagane mein madad karti hai.

USD/CHF ANALYSIS H1

USD/CHF currency pair ka kal ka movement uncha tareen level 0.90904 se ahem girao dekha gaya. Ye girao market mein mazboot farokht dabao ko dikhata hai. Magar, agar hum mukhya trend par nazar dalen, to ye dekha ja sakta hai ke ye currency pair ab bhi bullish trend mein hai. Ye khaas tor par darust hai 0.90049 se 0.90257 tak ke price range mein ek ahem demand area ka mojood hona. Ye area aik point ban gaya hai jahan farokht karne wale tangdasti mehsoos kar rahe hain, iska matlab hai ke mazeed price girao ko bardasht karne ke liye kaafi mazboot kharidari dilchaspi hai. Halankeh price ne 50 EMA aur 100 EMA ko nakaar diya hai, jo ke aam tor par bullish signal kaha jata hai, lekin abhi tak dono moving averages ke darmiyan ek crossover nahi hua hai. 50 EMA aur 100 EMA ke darmiyan ek crossover amooman trend mein tabdili ka aik mazboot ishara samjha jata hai, aur kyunkeh abhi tak koi crossover nahi hua hai, iska matlab hai ke bullish trend shayad jari rahega.

In shara'ton ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, mera trading plan bullish signals ki talash karne ka hai. Main kisi bhi mazboot bullish candles ka intezar karunga jo yeh dikhata hai ke kharidari ke dilchaspi wapas aa gayi hai. Ye khaas tor par ahem hai kyunkeh halankeh price demand area mein hai jo dobara barhne ke signs dikhata hai.

USD/CHF

Main rozana time frame H1 par USD/CHF currency pair par takniki tajziya karta hoon. Mere tajziyat ke natayej se, nazar aata hai ke bullish dabao bohot mazboot hai, jo ke is currency pair ki kamiyabi ko darust karta hai ke ye mukhya resistance level 0.88755 ko tor gaya hai. Ye breakout ongoing bullish trend ki mazboot tasdeeq deta hai. Mazeed, 50 EMA aur 100 EMA ke darmiyan ek crossover bhi hai, jo ke is bullish trend ke jari rahne ki meri itminan ko mazeed barhata hai. Magar, halankeh mujhe peechle uncha tareen level 0.908785 se neeche aane ki correction bhi nazar aati hai. Halankeh ye correction peechle significant price barhao ka ek natural jawab hosakta hai, main temporary trend mein tabdili ke imkan par bhi muttafiq rehta hoon. Magar, main ye bhi samajhta hoon ke ek neeche ki correction hamesha bullish trend ka khatam hone ka nishan nahi hota. Ek trader ke tor par, main samajhta hoon ke aise corrections aksar mukhya trend ke dobara shuru hone se pehle temporary consolidation ka hissa hote hain.

Agli chal ka intezar karte hue, mera irada hai ke chhoti time frames, jaise ke H1 chart, par tajziya karon. Chhoti time frames par ki gayi tajziya price patterns mein mazeed tafseelat faraham kar sakti hai aur mujhe potential acha dakhil ya nikalne ke points ka pata lagane mein madad karti hai.

USD/CHF ANALYSIS H1

USD/CHF currency pair ka kal ka movement uncha tareen level 0.90904 se ahem girao dekha gaya. Ye girao market mein mazboot farokht dabao ko dikhata hai. Magar, agar hum mukhya trend par nazar dalen, to ye dekha ja sakta hai ke ye currency pair ab bhi bullish trend mein hai. Ye khaas tor par darust hai 0.90049 se 0.90257 tak ke price range mein ek ahem demand area ka mojood hona. Ye area aik point ban gaya hai jahan farokht karne wale tangdasti mehsoos kar rahe hain, iska matlab hai ke mazeed price girao ko bardasht karne ke liye kaafi mazboot kharidari dilchaspi hai. Halankeh price ne 50 EMA aur 100 EMA ko nakaar diya hai, jo ke aam tor par bullish signal kaha jata hai, lekin abhi tak dono moving averages ke darmiyan ek crossover nahi hua hai. 50 EMA aur 100 EMA ke darmiyan ek crossover amooman trend mein tabdili ka aik mazboot ishara samjha jata hai, aur kyunkeh abhi tak koi crossover nahi hua hai, iska matlab hai ke bullish trend shayad jari rahega.

In shara'ton ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, mera trading plan bullish signals ki talash karne ka hai. Main kisi bhi mazboot bullish candles ka intezar karunga jo yeh dikhata hai ke kharidari ke dilchaspi wapas aa gayi hai. Ye khaas tor par ahem hai kyunkeh halankeh price demand area mein hai jo dobara barhne ke signs dikhata hai.

USD/CHF Technical Analysis.

Dollar francs daily chart par dollar francs ki taaza tasveer dikhata hai. Jab yeh jodi pehli dafa 0.85812 ke saath support se bounce hui, toh mein aur zyada girne ki umeed mein tha. Kyunki tab maheenay ke support levels toot chuke thay. Mujhe nahi lagta tha ke jodi itna buland uthay gi, lekin phir bhi yeh 0.92282 ke darjay tak pohanchi aur yahan pe mujhe pehle hi yeh samajh tha ke woh maheenay ke chart par ultay uroojon ki taraf barhti rahegi, lekin phir yeh taveel girawat shuru ki aur phir bhi peechli kamzorion ko taaza kiya gaya. Jaise mein pehle hi samjha tha, jodi ne 0.80452 ke darjay tak pohanch liya. Keemat tab gir gayi jab yeh tootay hue level tak pohanchi aur bechnay wale ne hawa barha di. Mujhe lag raha tha ke jodi aur neeche giray gi. Lekin yahan jodi ab bhi barhti ja rahi hai, ab yeh peechli uroojon ke qareeb trade ho rahi hai. Mujhe lag raha hai ke yeh is liye hai ke Federal Reserve ne bas monitory easing ko dair kar diya hai. Aur mein samajhta hoon ke jodi phir bhi girna shuru kar degi, kyun ke inflation barhna ruk gaya hai.



Aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh jaldi girna shuru kar degi. Yeh yeh matlab hoga ke Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko kam karna shuru kar dega, amooman mein mujhe 0.85812 tak support mein kami ki umeed hai. Mein girawat ka silsila jaari rehne ki umeed rakhta hoon, sirf mushkil mumkin hai ke 0.8880 ke ilaake mein ho, kyun ke wahan mazboot support hai, mojooda darjat ke bina 140 points le sakte hain; Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq, yahan bilkul kuch bhi add nahi karna, kyun ke hum door ke darjat ke saath kafi serious range mein hain.

Jumma ko, safe-haven Swiss Franc behtar ho gaya jismani pareshaniyon ki wajah se jo Middle East mein barhti hui siyasi tanav ki wajah se thi. Ye tanav Iran ki wada ki taraf se juda hai ke wo Israel ki hamla par jawab dena chahta hai jo Syria mein Iran ki safeera ki hamlaat ki wajah se hosakte hain, jo irani askari afraad ka nuqsaan hua. March ke Swiss Consumer Price Index ne mahina war 0.0% ka aik maqam dikhaya, jo ke 0.3% ki umeedon se kam tha aur peechle mahine ka figure 0.6% tha. Saalana bunyadi buniyadi, Consumer Price Index mein 1.0% ka izafa hua, jo ke 1.3% ki umeedon se kam tha aur peechle maqam 1.2% tha. March ke Consumer Price Index par naram-tareen umerdon ne Swiss National Bank ke doosre interest dar ki umeedon ko mazboot kiya.
Rozana ka chart, 0.90702 par pehle high ka jhoota breakout karne ke baad, 03.04 ko aik bearish engulfing candle bana, jo ke 20-day moving average ka 0.8940 par shuruati target ki taraf bechnay ki taraf ishaara karta hai. Magar, bear ko 0.09 ke round level ke neeche qaim karna hoga. Abhi kharidari mumkin nahi lagti jab tak hum ko bullish engulfing pattern na dekhein.

USD/CHF jora early European hours mein 0.9069 tak pohanch gaya, jo ke Amreeki dollar ki dobarey ka baais ban sakta hai. 10 saal ke amreeki bondon ki lambi muddat ke yields ki dobarey se dollar mazboot hua, jo USD/CHF jor ko support diya. Magar, Amreeki session ke ikhtitam tak, jora waapis aaya aur din ko 0.9015 par band kia, 0.9 ke round level ko test karte hue. Aglay, main 1/2 zone ki taraf bechnay ka tawaja deta hoon 0.89733-0.89621 aur ye European ya American session is zone ke neeche band karta hai, mazeed downside ki taraf ishara karte hue haftawar control zone ki taraf 0.88557-0.883

USD/CHF D1



USD ne haal hi mein Swiss franc ke khilaf izafa kia hai, jis se USD/CHF jodi aik bullish consolidation marhala mein dakhil ho gayi hai. Ye iska matlab hai ke keemat aik khaas range ke qareeb girftaar hai, November . se sab se buland darje tak. Ye uthne wale trend ka ek sabab hai. Ek taraf, Swiss National Bank (SNB) ne March mein munafa dar razein kam karne ka faisla kiya hai, jo ke CHF ko kamzor kar deta hai. Ye isliye ke kam interest rates se investors ko franc ko qaim rakhna kam acha lagta hai. Mutasir, US Federal Reserve ka ab muntazir hai ke wo interest rate khatam karne mein rok dalegi, jo ke USD ko mazbooti deta hai. USD ko support karne wala ek aur factor US Treasury yields mein haal hi mein izafa hai. Ye yields aam tor par US sarkari bondon par diye jane wale interest rates hote hain. Jab yields barhne lagte hain, dollar ko zyada attractive banane ke liye investors jo zyada wapas chahate hain.





Magar, kuch forces bhi hain jo USD ke izafa ke khilaf kaam kar rahe hain. Kabhi kabhi investors ma'ashiyati laihaaz se muhtaj pehron ke jese assets CHF ki taraf mor kar deite hain. Ye dollar ke izafe ko mehdood kar sakta hai. Traders ane wale US ma'ashiyati deta aur Federal Reserve ke afkar ki taraf dekh rahe hain taake USD/CHF jodi ke future rukh ka pata chale. Technical tor par, USD/CHF ke liye short-term nazar andaz mawadah hai. Magar, tharaq momentum jald hi kam ho sakta hai jab ke aham indicator darasl market thori had tak overbought ho sakti hai. Agar bullish trend jari rahe, to jodi aham resistance levels ko toor kar 0.9100 nishan tak pohanch sakti hai, currency exchange rates ke liye ek nafsiyati level. Muhavira, waqt se pehle mojooda support levels ke upar rahe ka naqab girane ki soorat mein, wapas January ke buland daron ki taraf kam ho sakti hai. Todne wale 200-dinon ke SMA additional levels ko 0.9234 ke aas paas qaim karne ke liye faraham karega.

Haal hi mein US dollar (USD) ka Swiss franc (CHF) ke khilaf qeemat mein izafa nihayat nazar aya hai, jo USD/CHF jodi mein ek ahem izafa ki taraf ishara deta hai aur ek bullish consolidation daur ko zahir karta hai. Ye daur is bemaar mein mukhtalif prices ke andar stabilizing ki nishandahi karta hai, jo November 2023 se ab tak ke unchi darje tak qarib hai. Kai factors is izafe mein hissa daal chuke hain. Pehli baat toh yeh hai ke Swiss National Bank (SNB) ka March mein interest rates ko kam karne ka faisla CHF ko kamzor karne mein ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Jab markazi bank interest rates kam karta hai, toh yeh us currency ko rakhne ka jazba kam kar deta hai jo investors ko zyada wapas hasil karne ki talash mein hota hai. Is natije mein franc ki kashish mein kami ne investors ko USD ki taraf raghbat dilane mein madad ki, jis se us ki qeemat mein izafa hua.
Mukhtalif taur par, US Federal Reserve ka interest rates ke hawale se munh se munh milna bhi USD ko mazeed madad deta hai. Tawaqo ki ja rahi hai ke Federal Reserve interest rates ko kam karne se guraiz karega, is wajah se US interest rates ki relative istiqrar ne dollar par bharosa barhaya hai. SNB aur Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ke darmiyan yeh farq USD/CHF jodi ko us ke mojooda bullish daur mein mazid agay barhata hai.

Is ke ilawa, hal hi mein US Treasury yields mein izafa bhi USD ki kashish mein hissa hai. US Treasury yields, jo sarkari bonds par interest rates ko darust karte hain, mein izafa dekha gaya hai. Ye yields ke izafe ne investors ko un ke nivesh par zyada wapas hasil karne ki talash mein dollar ko zyada kashish mand banaya hai. Is natije mein, USD ke liye demand mazid mazboot hui hai, jo ke CHF ke khilaf us ke izafe ki taraf le gaya hai.
Is ke alawa, global ma'ashi factors bhi USD/CHF jodi ke bullish consolidation ko mutasir kar sakte hain. GDP ka izafe, rozgar ki figures, aur tanqeedi daro ke rates, investor ke jazbat aur currency ke qeemat par asar daal sakte hain. Agar US ki ma'ashi halat mein kisi bhi mukhtalif tabdiliyan Switzerland ke mukablay mein musbat ho, toh is se USD par bharosa barh sakta hai aur CHF ke khilaf izafe mein madad mil sakti hai.
Is ke ilawa, dusre ilaqon mein siyasi tensions ya ghair-yakeeniyaat bhi investors ko US dollar ki relative aman ki taraf raghbat dilane mein kirdar ada kar sakti hain. Siyasi be-aman halat mein, investors aksar stable currencies jaise ke USD ki taraf tawajjo dete hain, jo CHF jaise currencies ke khilaf us ki taqat ko mazeed barha sakti hai.
Mukhtasir tor par, haal hi mein USD/CHF jodi ke bullish consolidation daur ko mukhtalif factors ki milaap se shumar kiya ja sakta hai, jin mein SNB ka interest rates kaatna, Federal Reserve ka monetary policy stance, US Treasury yields mein izafe, global ma'ashi surat-e-haal, aur siyasi imkanat shamil hain. Yeh dynamics mil kar haal hi mein hafton mein USD ke qeemat ke izafe mein CHF ke khilaf madadgar sabit hue hain.

USDCHF

US dollar (USD) ki halqi mein aamad par Swiss franc (CHF) ke muqable mein tazaa izafa numaya raha hai, jo USD/CHF jori mein aik ahem uptrend ko darust karta hai aur ek bullish consolidation phase ko ishara deta hai. Ye phase is nateejay mein hai ke keemat ek makhsoos range ke andar stabil hoti hai, jo November 2023 se uski buland tareen satah ke qareeb pher rahi hai. Is buland tareen raftar ke liye kai factors ne hissa dala hai. Pehle toh, Swiss National Bank (SNB) ka faisla ke March mein interest rates ko kam karna ne CHF ko kamzor karne mein ahem kirdaar ada kiya hai. Jab central banks interest rates kam karte hain, toh ye us currency ko rakhne ka jazbaat ko kam karta hai jo investors ko zyada wapas hasil karne ki talash hai. Is nateeje mein, franc ki kam attractiveness ne investors ko USD ko pasand karne par majboor kiya hai, is tarah uski qeemat ko barhawa mila hai.

Mukhalif tor par, US Federal Reserve ke interest rates par kaiyadgi ne USD ko mazeed support faraham kiya hai. Umeed hai ke Fed interest rate cuts ko karna se mehroom rahega, jiski wajah se US interest rates ki relative istiqamat ne dollar mein itmenan barha diya hai. SNB aur Fed ke monetary policy ke darmiyan is tafawut ne USD/CHF jori ko is halqi mein dakhil kar diya hai.

Is ke ilawa, US Treasury yields mein tazaa izafa bhi USD ki attraction mein izafa kiya hai. US Treasury yields, jo sarkari bondon par interest rates ko darust karte hain, ek izafa ka samna kar rahe hain. Ye izafa yields ko investors ke liye zyada wapas hasil karne ki talash karne walon ke liye dollar ko zyada attractive banata hai. Is nateeje mein, USD ki demand mazboot hoti ja rahi hai, jo iski CHF ke muqable mein qeemat ko barhata hai.

Is ke ilawa, global economic factors bhi USD/CHF jori ke bullish consolidation par asar daal sakte hain. Economic indicators, jaise ke GDP growth, rozgar ke figures, aur inflation rates, investor sentiment aur currency valuations par asar daal sakte hain. Agar US economy mein koi bhi musbat taraqqi Switzerland ke muqable mein hogi, toh ye USD mein itmenan barhaye ga aur iski CHF ke muqable mein izafa ko barhaega.

Is ke ilawa, doosri regions mein geopolicical tensions ya uncertainties bhi investors ko relative safety of the US dollar ki taraf raghib kar sakte hain. Geopolicical instability ke doran, investors aksar stable currencies jaise ke USD mein panah talash karte hain, jo CHF jaise currencies ke muqable mein iski taqat ko mazeed izafa dene mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

Ikhtisar mein, USD/CHF jori ke halqi bullish consolidation phase ko kai factors, jaise ke SNB ka interest rate cut, Fed ke monetary policy stance, US Treasury yields mein izafa, global economic conditions, aur geopolicical considerations, ka majmooa kaha ja sakta hai. Ye dynamics mil kar USD ko CHF ke muqable mein izafa dilate hain pichle hafton mein.

USDCHAF

Haal hi mein US dollar (USD) ka Swiss franc (CHF) ke muqablay mein izafa qadri tor par nazar aya hai, jo USD/CHF jodi mein ek ahem uptrend ko darust kar raha hai aur ek bullish consolidation daur ko ishara kar raha hai. Ye daur us samay ke aas paas stable range mein qeemat ko qaim karne ke sath jari hai, jo November 2023 se ab tak ki bulandiyon ke qareeb manzil hai. Is uthte hue trend mein kai ahem factors shamil hain. Sab se pehle, Swiss National Bank (SNB) ka faisle ne interest rates ko March mein kam karne ka ahem kirdar ada kia hai, jo CHF ko kamzor karne mein ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Jab central banks interest rates kam karte hain, toh yeh us currency ko hold karne ka jazbaat khatam kar deta hai jise investors ziada munafa hasil karne ki talaash mein hote hain. Is natije mein franc ki kam attractiveness ne investors ko USD ko pasand karne par majboor kia hai, jis se iski qeemat ko izafa hua hai. Mutazaad taur par, US Federal Reserve ke interest rates par qayam ne USD ko mazeed support di hai. Fed ke interest rate cuts na hone ki umeed ke saath, US interest rates mein relative stability ne dollar par bharosa barhaya hai. SNB aur Fed ke monetary policy ke is mukhalifat ne USD/CHF jodi ko mazeed bullish phase mein le gaya hai.

Is ke ilawa, haal hi mein US Treasury yields mein izafa bhi USD ko pasandeeda banane mein madad ki hai. US Treasury yields, jo sarkari bondon par interest rates ko darust karte hain, mein izafa hua hai. Yields ke is izafe ne investors ko unke investements par ziada munafa hasil karne ke liye dollar ko zyada attractive bana dia hai. Is nateje mein, USD ki demand mazboot hui hai, jis se CHF ke muqablay mein iski qeemat mein izafa hua hai. Is ke ilawa, global economic factors bhi USD/CHF jodi ke bullish consolidation mein kirdar ada kar sakte hain. GDP growth, rozgar ke figures, aur inflation rates jaise maqami hawalat investor sentiment aur currency ki qeemat par asar daal sakte hain. Agar US ki economy mein Switzerland ke muqable mein koi bhi behtar khabrein hain, toh USD par bharosa barhaya ja sakta hai aur iske CHF ke muqablay mein izafe mein madad milegi. Is ke ilawa, doosri regions mein geopolitical tensions ya uncertainties bhi investors ko US dollar ki relative safety ki taraf khench sakte hain. Geopolitical instability ke doran, investors aksar stable currencies jaise ke USD ki taraf raftar karte hain, jo iski taqat ko CHF ke muqablay mein mazeed barha sakta hai. Ikhtisar mein, USD/CHF jodi ke haal hi mein bullish consolidation phase ko SNB ke interest rate cut, Fed ke monetary policy stance, US Treasury yields mein izafa, global economic conditions, aur geopolitical considerations jaise kai factors ka sath mil kar explain kiya ja sakta hai. Ye dynamics ne haal hi mein hafton ke doran CHF ke muqablay mein USD ki qeemat mein izafe ko mawaqif diya hai.