امریکی ڈالر/سوئس فرانک: شرح تبادلہ، خبریں اور تجزیے

USD/CHF pair ka daily time frame dekhtay hue, abhi intraday bias upar ki taraf hai, aur agar pair 0.8550 se 0.8884 aur phir se 0.8728 se 0.9062 tak ka forecast 100% ke upar trade karta hai toh, key intermediate-term resistance jo 0.9243 hai woh target hai. Neeche, 0.8964 ke nichle minor support ke alawa, intraday bias neutral hoga aur shuru mein consolidation jari rahegi. Magar, optimistic forecast tab tak qaim rahega jab tak 0.8884 ka resistance support mein tabdeel nahi hota.

Baray paimanay par dekhtay hue, 0.8332 ke interim low se price action kaafi mutmaen hai ke yeh ek correction hai downtrend ki taraf se jo 1.0146 (2022 ki high) se shuru hua tha; jab tak 0.8728 ka support hai, mazeed upar ki movement mumkin hai. Magar, upar ki potential pehli koshish mein kam hoga 0.9243 ke resistance tak par.






Price ne linear regression channel ke red resistance line 2nd LevelResLine ko paar kiya, lekin 0.90633 tak pohanch kar ruk gaya, jahan se girne ka silsila shuru hua. Instrument ab 0.90199 ke qeemat par trade kar raha hai. Is sab ke aadhar par, mujhe yeh umeed hai ke market ki qeemat 2nd LevelResLine (0.86777) channel ki line ke neeche wapas aayegi aur wahan stable hogi, phir neeche ki taraf chal kar golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.86288 tak jaayegi, jo ke FIBO level of 23.6% ke saath milta hai. RSI (14) aur MACD jaise madadgar indicators jo ke sahi entry point ka tajwez dete hain, woh overbought area mein hain aur qeemat mein girawat ki bulandi ka imkaan dikhatedikhate

USD/CHF currency pair, jise "Swissie" kehte hain, Jumma ko Asian trading mein 0.9025 ke qareeb mukhtalif signals ke bais barh gaya, jo US dollar ke baray mein hain. Ek taraf, Federal Reserve ke afseerun ki aam daleelat ke mutabiq, jo daromdar darakht ko khatam karne ki jaldi nahi hai, USD ko madad milti hai. Uchch sood dar aam tor par investors ke liye USD ko zyada kashish angaiz banata hai jo intehai faida chahte hain. Governor Christopher Waller ne daromdar darakht ke asar ko darust karne ki zaroorat ko buland kya, jabke Governor Lisa Cook ne sakht wapas ki khilaf warzi se chhatar kya. Ye hawkish rukh short-term mein USD/CHF jodi ko quwati de sakta hai. Magar, Swiss National Bank (SNB) forex market mein hadaf ko kamzor karne ke liye wapas daakhil ho sakti hai agar USD/CHF bohat zyada barh jata hai. SNB ne CHF ko mojooda taur par kam rakha hai takay Switzerland ki export competition ko barqarar rakha ja sake. Mazeed paani ko ganda karne wala ye hai ke Middle East mein barhtay jhagron se CHF ki taraf se safety ka rukh dekha ja sakta hai, jo traditional safe-haven currency hai. Palestinian Red Crescent ne tez hote hue Israeli attacks ki riport ki hai, jo CHF ki demand ko barha sakta hai. Aglay dekhne par, ahem data points USD/CHF ki manzil ko mutasir karenge. US core PCE price index, jise Fed ki pasandida tanqeed ka pasandida shaar nahi rehne diya jata hai, Jumma ko salana tor par 2.8% par qaim rehne ki umeed hai. Ye market mein kuch barqarar rakhsakti hai.



Technically, USD/CHF ka uptrend December se khel mein hai, jiske sath 0.8765 ke qareeb support hai. Magar, January ki unchaai 0.8727 ke nichay girna aik ulta signal hosakta hai. Ye downside manzar technical indicators jaise ke RSI aur MACD jo negative zone mein ho sakta hai ke sath support karte hain. Stochastic bhi oversold zone mein hone ke bawajood ek moghaid girawat ki ishara deta hai. Agar USD/CHF 0.8727 ke nichay gir jata hai, to ye 0.8680 zone ki taraf gir sakta hai, jo aik ahem Fibonacci retracement level ko darust karta hai. Aur mazeed nichawar girawat agar jodi ko 0.8545 tak lay jaye, jo aik aur Fibonacci level hai. Aakhri mein, USD/CHF mukhtalif taqatoo ka samna hai. Fed ka hawkish rukh aur maqami tensions ki wajah se CHF ki safe-haven demand ka unka tawajjo ka aik imtehaan hai. Anay wale US inflation data aur technical analysis jodi ke agle qadam ko tay karne mein ahem hai.

Jab main H4 timeframe par global nazar andaz karta hoon, to wazeh hota hai ke bull ab bhi apne maqsood ke dar tak pohanchne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo ke ishara karta hai ke ek girawat ka intezar jaldi ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, ek ahem reversal level ke paar jaane ka intezam hua hai, jo ek mumkin rasta shumaar hota hai ke uttar ki taraf kholne ke liye. Magar, H1 timeframe par jaane par, ek azeem pattern ka parda uthta hai taqreeban ghariki tajziya mein, jo aksar dekha jaata hai. Maujoodgi eham support aur supply zones ki, saath hi candlestick patterns aur Ichimoku indicator ke signals, is nazar ko mazboot karte hain. Lekin, demand areas ke maujoodgi temporary upar ki harkat ko la sakti hai, pair ki foran ki rukh ko complicated kar sakti hai. Alag-alag naam se ma'loom, trading school mein mera waqt guzarte waqt, hamare instructor ne ise "devil's ears" kaha, jo ek bearish nazar ka ishaara karta hai. Is liye, mohim ka ahem pehlu tedhi hui hai bears ke liye ek mazbooti ka markaz qaim karna ahem hota hai, 0.8741 ke ahem level ke neeche. Is kamyabi se ek taluq banane par taqdeer ka u-turn hota hai, pehle se umeed ki gayi bullish rukh ko khatam karke. Aksar yeh halat bane rehti hain jab abhi keh halat jaari rehte hain ya agar upar diye gaye level se bounce hota hai, to ye pehle se umeed ki gayi uttar ki taraf taraqqi ko mazboot karte hain, pehle ki projection ke mutabiq.Yeh juncture trading ki dynamic fitrat ko talash karta hai, jahan mukhtalif timeframes mukhtalif manazir faraham karte hain, faisla karne ke liye ek mukammal tareeqa ka mutalba hota hai. Jabke global nazar andaz bullish tendencies ki taraf ishara kar sakti hai, choti timeframes mein zahir hone wale intricate nuances neyati jaiz aur tanqeedi jaa'iza talab karte hain aur tadbeer par mabni ho jate hain. Bunyadi tor par, wasee market sentiment aur makhsoos tafseelat ke darmiyan ke ta'alluqat ka khel, fazlani tajziya ke zariye darust karda aamal ki raah par asar daalata hai. Yeh aik nafees tawazun hai wasee trends aur nuksanati patterns ke darmiyan, jahan kamiyabi ye bandobast ke sahih tareeqe se guzarna aur maali manzar ke complexities ko durusti aur pehchano se guzarna hai.

USD-CHF Jodi Ka Tafsili Jaiza

Thursday ko bohot gehre girne ke baad, agle din, yaani Friday ko, USDCHF currency pair ka movement side par ja raha tha. Mumkin hai ke yeh bankon ki chuttiyon ki wajah se ho raha hai. Thursday se mukhtalif hai kyunki duniya ke bank usually kholay rehte hain. Main khush hoon ke movement flat hai, lekin ahem baat yeh hai ke USDCHF ne upar chadhna seekhna shuru kiya hai aur mazeed ooncha na jaane laga hai.

Agar h1 timeframe se technical taur par dekha jaye, to girawat wahan shuru hui jab candle ne 0.9064 ke area ko choo liya. Yeh is liye hota hai kyunki supply area abhi tak par kya nahi gaya hai. Jab tak yeh tor nahi jata, to main ye peshgoyan karta hoon ke agle mein USDCHF girne jaari rahega. Kuch din pehle bohot gehri girawat ki wajah se, sabse qareebi support jo ke 0.9033 tha, woh tor diya gaya hai. Shayad kal, yani Monday ko pehle koi correction ho, kyunki aam tor par sabse qareebi support ko torne ke baad kam az kam thori taqat barhti hai. Mera mansooba ye hai ke USDCHF keemat 0.9051 tak chadh jayegi aur phir girne jaari rahegi. Is ke ilawa, maine bara time frame par aik bearish engulfing pattern bhi paya hai. Meri raay mein, yeh tasdeeq hai ke market palatne wala hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaye, to ab candle ka moqa tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke nichay hai, jo ke yeh indicator hamain batata hai ke trend bearish ho gaya hai. To kal, yaani Monday ko neeche jane ki maqami mumkinat abhi bhi kaafi zyada khuli hai. Magar, agar candle demand area mein qaim hai to USDCHF pehle chadh sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, kumo cloud ne bhi neeche ja sakta hai.

Touziki indicator ka candle ka moqa ab level 50 se oopar hai aur bas thori si doori hai level 80 tak pohanchne ki. Market abhi bhi side par hai, touziki indicators aam tor par kam aitemaad hai, is liye abhi main is indicator ka istemal market ka tafsir karne ke liye nahi kar raha hoon. Behtar hai ke market ko pehle maazrat mily ka intezaar karen.

To aaj ke tafsili jaiza ka ikhtitam yeh hai ke jab tak supply area jo ke 0.9068 ke qeemat par nahi tori jati, main tasdeeq karta hoon ke currency pair neeche hi jayega. Magar, is se pehle shayad koi correction ho. Main mashwara deta hoon ke jo log sell position kholna chahte hain, woh sirf 0.9042 ke qeemat ke darmiyan ek sell limit set karen. Take profit target qareebi support par jo 0.8969 ke qeemat par rakhi ja sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, stop loss qareebi resistance par jo 0.9072 ke qeemat par rakhi ja sakti hai.

USD/CHF ke mutaliq, kal, neeche se ooper ki taraf dobara aik imtihaan ke baad, local resistance level par, jo ke meri tajziya mein 0.90522 par waqe hai, ke baad qeemat palat gayi aur ek southern correction movement jari rahi, jis se ek bearish candle ki shakal bani jo pichle din ke low ke neeche band hui. Aam tor par, mujhe shumali taraf dekhne ka irada hai, lekin locally, mein tasleem karta hoon ke southern pullback qareebi support level tak pohanch sakta hai. Aam tor par, jaise ke mein baar baar zikar karta hoon, mein support level par nazar rakhne ka irada rakhta hoon, jo ke meri tajziya ke mutabiq 0.89188 par waqe hai. Iss support level ke qareeb, do mansubay ho sakte hain. Pehla mansuba shamil hai aik mukhalfat candle ki shakal ka ban na aur price movement ka dobara shurua hona. Agar yeh mansuba kaamyaab hua, toh mein umeed karta hoon ke qeemat resistance level par wapas jaegi jo 0.90522 par waqe hai. Is resistance level ke ooper price band hone par, mein mazeed shumali movement ki umeed rakhoonga, takreeban 0.91126 par waqe resistance level tak. Iss resistance level ke qareeb, mein trading setup ki shakal ka intezar karunga jo mazeed trading ka rukh tay karega. Beshak, mein yeh bhi muntazir hoon ke price mazeed shumali taraf push kiya ja sakta hai jo ke 0.92448 par waqe resistance level tak, lekin yeh haalat par munhasar hoga aur price movement ke doraan khabar flow se asar andaz hoga. Qeemat ke nazdeek 0.89188 support level ke qareeb pohnchne par price movement ke liye aik dusra mansuba aik plan hoga jisme price iss level ke neeche band hokar mazeed southern movement karegi. Agar yeh mansuba kaamyaab hua, toh mein umeed rakhoonga ke qeemat support level tak chalegi jo 0.88396 par waqe hai. Iss support level ke qareeb, mein bullish signals dhoondne ka silsila jaari rakhoonga, mazeed shumali price movement ka dobara shurua hone ki umeed rakhte hue. Beshak, mazeed door ki southern maqasid ka nishana bhi ho sakta hai, lekin mein is waqt is par ghor nahi kar raha kyunke jaldi haqiqat mein koi tawaan nahi nazar arahi. Mukhtasaran, aaj ke muqable mein, mein locally tasleem karta hoon ke southern correction jari rah sakta hai aur qeemat qareebi support level ki taraf jaegi, aur phir, mojud global shumali trend ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, mein mazeed izaafi girah ki umeed

Analyzing the USDCHF pair from a technical perspective, particularly on the h1 timeframe, reveals several key insights. The decline initiated upon the candle touching the 0.9064 area, indicating the resilience of the supply zone. This suggests a continuation of the downtrend until the supply area is breached. With the closest support at 0.9033 already penetrated due to a recent deep decline, a potential correction might occur on Monday before further downward movement. A possible scenario could involve a rise to around 0.9051 followed by a resumption of the downtrend.

Additionally, a bearish engulfing pattern observed on a larger timeframe serves as confirmation of an impending market reversal, adding weight to the bearish outlook. Utilizing the Ichimoku indicator further supports this bearish sentiment, with the candle positioned below both the tenkan sen and kijun sen lines, indicating a shift in trend to bearish. Consequently, the opportunity for further downward movement remains significant, especially considering the downward penetration of the kumo cloud.

Despite the bearish signals, the presence of a demand area could potentially stall the decline and prompt a temporary upward movement in the USDCHF pair. Therefore, while the overall trend suggests a continuation of the downtrend, short-term price action might see fluctuations influenced by the interplay between supply and demand zones.

In summary, the technical analysis of USDCHF suggests a bearish bias, with potential for a correction followed by a resumption of the downtrend. The presence of key support and supply zones, along with signals from both candlestick patterns and the Ichimoku indicator, reinforces this outlook. However, the existence of demand areas could lead to temporary upward movements, complicating the immediate trajectory of the pair. Traders should remain vigilant and monitor price action closely for confirmation of the predicted trends.

USD/CHF Technical Outlook:

Mufawadat Darajat: Central bank policies, khaaskar United States mein Federal Reserve (Fed) ki aur Switzerland mein Swiss National Bank (SNB) ki, ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Dono mumalik ke darmiyan darajat ke farq unke apne currency ke kashish par asar daal sakta hai. United States mein Switzerland ke muqablay mein zyada darajat aam tor par USD ko CHF ke khilaf mazbooti de sakte hain aur ulta bhi ho sakta hai. Maeeshati Pesh Guftagu: GDP ke izafay, rozgar ke report, mahangi shumaraat aur consumer spending jaise maeeshati data releases currency pair par asar daal sakti hain. United States se mazboot maeeshati data USD ki mazbooti ko support kar sakta hai, jabke Switzerland se musbat maeeshati indicators CHF ko mazbooti de sakte hain. Amanat Sehra: Swiss Franc aksar ek safe-haven currency ke tor par dekha jata hai, yaani yeh zamanati ajnabi ya market ke hungame ke doran mazboot hota hai. Kisi bhi taraqqi jo global risk se bachav barhata hai CHF ko USD ke muqablay mein mazboot kar sakta hai. Trade Balance aur Current Account: Switzerland aam tor par ek bada trade surplus chalata hai aur mazboot current account surplus rakhta hai, jo Swiss Franc ki mazbooti mein madad kar sakta hai. Ulta, United States mein trade deficit ya current account deficit USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Siyasi Waqiat aur Siyasi Sifarishat: Dono mumalik mein siyasi istehkamat ya ghair-istiqrar unke apne currency ko asar andaaz kar sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, duniyavi jhagron ya tanazaon ke asar investor sentiment par asar daal sakta hai aur USD/CHF exchange rate par asar daal sakta hai. Maeeshati Polisi Peshkashat: Central banks ki maeeshati policy ke bare mein peshkashat aur aamal, jaise ke darajat ke faislay, raqam ko kam karne ke tadbirat, ya forward guidance, currency ke qeemat par bohot asar daal sakte hain. Market Sentiment aur Technical Analysis: USD/CHF exchange rate ki short-term fluctuations ko bazaar ki jazbaat, technical analysis patterns aur speculative trading activities bhi asar daal sakti hain.

Jab fundamental analysis kiya jata hai, to ahem hai ke ek wide range ke factors ka tawajjo diya jaye aur haal ki waaqiyat aur maeeshati data releases par updated rahein jo USD/CHF exchange rate par asar daal sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, market dynamics ka zyada intizam ke liye fundamental aur technical analysis ka istemal mashwara hai.

USD/CHF TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:

Maujooda market scenario mein, jab qeemat moving average ke neeche trend kar rahi hai, toh pair ki qeemat mein mazeed kami zyada mumkin nazar aati hai. Is liye, aaj hamara tawajju is downward trend par fokus hai jisse bechne ke amal se faida uthaya ja sake, kharidne ke bajaye. Apni faisla kun haiyat ko barhane ke liye, hum oscillator se hasil hone wale ek mazeed signal ko bhi shamil kar rahe hain. Halankeh, filhaal indicator ka histogram zero mark ke upar mojood hai, jo signal tab tak tabdeel hone tak sajag rehne ki zaroorat ko darust karta hai. Tafseeli tajziya 0.8899 ke darja ko bechnay ke moqaat se mutaliq munfarid dakhilah nukta ghoshit karta hai jo ke munafa ka izafa karne ke liye behtareen daakhilah nukta hai. Apna nishana qeemat 0.8919 par set karke, hum aik mantaq dar takmeel ke qareebi dor ka choka dain gay, takreeban aik tihai humare manzoor munafa ke musbati faasle ka. Humara munafa haasil karne ka (TP) tareeqa khud ba khud laagu ho jata hai jab nishana qeemat 0.8839 ko pohanchti hai, jo humare trading capital ka takreeban 6% banaata hai. Jab tak market ya to stop loss ya take profit ke darjat tak na pohanchay, hum apni halaat mein istiqamat barqarar rakhte hain, mazeed munafa haasil karne ke liye wafir jagah de kar.

Yeh dhang se sochi gayi approach na sirf moving average se numaya downward momentum ka faida uthati hai balkay oscillator se hasil hone wale tasdeeqi signal ko bhi shamil karti hai, jisse hamari bechnay mein itminan barh jata hai. Is sakht tareeqe ko mananay se hum khatraat ko kam karte hain jabke wapsi ko behtar banaate hain, is tarah ke zaiqa e muashiyat ke dooniyawi manazir mein dharak rahen. Magar, tameerati ilaqon ki mojoodgi mazayedaar tareeqon ke liye waqtan fawaqtan barhne ke amal mein rukawat paida kar sakti hai, jo pair ki foran ki mansoobiyat ko pesh karte hain. Jo ke alag alag namon se mashhoor hai, jab main trading school mein tha, hamare ustad ne isay "devil's ears" kehte thay, jo bearish tasawwur ko ishaara karta hai.

USD/CHF


Jab main H4 timeframe par global manzar ka tajziya karta hoon, toh yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls apne maqsood level tak pohanchne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo ke dhaarna ghataane ke liye pehle se hai, jisse ke ghataawat ki umeed ki jaa sakti hai. Iske ilawa, ek ahem ultee seedhi satah se guzarnay ka aghaz ho gaya hai, jo ke north ki taraf jaane ka ek khuli rah dikhata hai. Magar, H1 timeframe par tabdeeli ka pata chalta hai ek ajeeb sa pattern hai, jo ke aam tor par nazar nahi aata. Ahem support aur supply zones ke mojoodgi, sath hi candlestick patterns aur Ichimoku indicator ke signals, is manzar ko mazbooti dete hain. Magar, mojooda tawaqo ke mutabiq demand areas ki mojoodgi temporary urooj ko le ja sakti hai, jo pair ka foran raasta pehchaan ko mushkil bana sakti hai. Jab mein trading school mein tha, hamare ustad ne isey "devil's ears" ke naam se yaad kiya, jo ke ek bearish manzar ko nishaan dete hain. Is liye, muhim ka aham nukaat yeh hai ke bears ka 0.8741 ke ahem level ke neeche mojoodgi ko mazbooti se qaim kar paana. Is kamyabi se, pehle ke mutawaqqa bullish raah ko manna karne ki umeed ko negaitve kya ja sakta hai. Bar aks, agar mojooda momentum jaari rahe ya agar upar zikr ki gayi satah se palat jaye, toh yeh northward momentum ko mazbooti deta hai, pehle ke tajziyon ke sath milta hai.
Yeh maqam trading ki dynamic fitrat ko zor se talash hai, jahan mukhtalif timeframes alag alag nazariyat faraham karte hain, jisse faisla kunai ke liye ek mukammal approach ki zaroorat hoti hai. Halankeh global manzar bullish tendencies ki ishaarat de sakti hai, magar chhote timeframes mein zahir hote hue pichli zaroorat hai. Asal mein, bazaar ki mizaj aur tafseelat ki tafteesh ke zariye pesh kardi gayi chhoti chhoti cheezein faisle par zor deti hai. Ye ek nafees misaal hai baari bazaar ke trends aur nuksan ke patterns ke darmiyaan, jahan kamiyabi trading ke complexify ke zariye muktazil aur pehchane gaye financial manzar ko samajhne ki qabiliyat par hoti hai.

USD/CHF currency pair, jo "Swissie" ke naam se mashhoor hai, Asia ke trading mein 0.9025 ke aas paas do dinon ki giravat ka khatma hua. Ye chadhao US dollar ke baray mein mukhtalif signals se peda hui. Ek taraf, Federal Reserve ke afkaar se jo keh rahe hain ke woh darayein khatam karne mein jaldi nahi hai, USD ko mazid taqwiyat mili. Aam tor par buland darayein investors ke liye dollar ko zyada kashish afroz bana deti hain jo ke intehai faida mand hoti hain. Governor Christopher Waller ne inflation par maujooda rate hikes ka asar dale jaane ki zaroorat ko dafa karte hue kaha, jabke Governor Lisa Cook ne sakht reduction ka tanqeed kiya. Ye hawkish stance USD/CHF pair ko mukhtalif muddaton mein taqwiyat de sakta hai. Magar, Agar USD/CHF zyada barh gaya to Swiss National Bank (SNB) forex market mein interevene kar sakti hai taake Swiss franc (CHF) ko kamzor kar sake. SNB ne maamolat ko saaf rakhne ke liye CHF ko artificial tor par kamzor rakhne ka tareeqa apnaya hai taake Switzerland ke export competitiveness ko barqarar rakha ja sake. Mazeed paani phirne par, Middle East mein barhtay hue tanaza CHF ki taraf se ek ravaani ho sakta hai, jo ke aik riwayati safe-haven currency hai. Palestinian Red Crescent ne shadid Israeli hamlay ka ailaan kiya, jis se CHF ki demand barh sakti hai. Aglay aage dekhte hue, ahem data points USD/CHF ke raaste ko mutasir karenge. US core PCE price index, jo ke Fed ka pasandida inflation gauge hai, jumme ko saalana tor par 2.8% par barqarar rehne ka imkan hai. Ye market mein kuch barqararai barqarar rakh sakta hai.

Technically, USD/CHF ka uptrend December se abhi tak kaam par hai, jis ka support qareeb 0.8765 hai. Magar, January ki unchi 0.8727 ke neeche girne se aik palat jhatka ho sakta hai. Ye downside scenario technical indicators jaise ke RSI ke saath support ho sakta hai, jo ke 50 ke neeche gir sakta hai, aur MACD jo ke negative territory mein trading kar raha hai. Stochastic bhi oversold territory mein hone ke bawajood ek potential decline ka ishaara de raha hai. Agar USD/CHF 0.8727 ke neeche gir gaya to ye 0.8680 zone ki taraf gir sakta hai, jo ke aik ahem Fibonacci retracement level ko darust karta hai. Ek aur gehri giravat 0.8545 tak la sakti hai, jo ke doosra Fibonacci level hai. Aakhri mein, USD/CHF mukhtalif forces ka samna hai. Fed ka hawkish stance aur geopolitical tensions ki wajah se CHF ki potential safe-haven demand uncertainty peda karte hain. Aglay US inflation data aur technical analysis pair ke agle qadam ka tay karne mein ahem honge.

USD/CHF
Maujooda market scenario mein, jahan keemaati maandar ke neeche trend hai, pair ki keemat mein mazeed kami zyada mumkin nazar aati hai. Isliye, aaj humara tawajju zyada tar bechnay ke amalat par hai, khareednay ke bajaye. Apne faislay banane ke tareeqay ko mazboot karne ke liye, hum ek aur signal shamil kar rahe hain jo oscillator se hasil hota hai. Abhi, is indicator ka histogram zero mark ke oopar hai, jis se pata chalta hai ke signal tabdil hone tak muhafiz rehna chahiye. Tafseeli tajziya yeh sabit karta hai ke bechnay ke mauqay 0.8899 ke darjay ko, jo ke nafay ko zyada banane ke liye behtareen dakhil noktahar ke tor par pehchaan gaya hai. Apni nigaah ko 0.8919 ke hadaf keemat par muntakhib karte hue, hum aik strateji ke mutabiq bandi stop loss rakhte hain, takreeban hamare tajziya kamyabi ka tisra hissa faasla. Hamari take profit (TP) strateji khud ba khud amal mein aati hai jab hadaf keemat 0.8839 tak pohanchti hai, jo ke humare trading maal ki takreeban 6% ko banati hai. Jab tak market ya to stop loss ya take profit darjaat tak na pohanch jaye, hum apne muqam mein mustaqim rehte hain, potential munafa haasil karne ke liye kafi jaga ko chhodte hue.



Ye dafaqi tareeqa na sirf maandar maandar se indicated kami ka faida uthata hai, balkay oscillator se tasdeeqi signal ko bhi shaamil karta hai, humare faiday se sahi amal mein humari iqdamiat mein itminan barhata hai. Is musarrat tareeqay ke mutabiq raqam mazid azadi se hasool karne ke liye, hum financial markets ke dynamic manzar ko hasb-e-zaroorat or hoshyari ke saath samjhte hue rishton ke daldal mein ghoom rahe hain. Magar, darkhwast ilaqay ki mojudgi waqtan-fa-waqtan unchaiein uthe sakti hai, pair ke foran rukh ko uljha sakti hai. Meri trading school ke waqt, hamare ustaad ne ise "shaitani kaanon" ke kai naamon se jaana, jo ek bearish nazar ki alamat hai.

USD/CHF

USDCHF currency pair ka movement sideway ki taraf ja raha tha. Mombati abhi bhi 0.9015 ilaqey ke aas paas pace kar rahi hai, kuch zyada nahi. Shayad yeh is wajah se hua kyunki bohot se duniya ke banks chhutti par thay. Yeh Alhamis se mukhtalif hai kyunki duniya ke banks aam tor par khule rehte hain. Main khush hoon keh wala zyada tar flat hai, ahem baat yeh hai ke USDCHF ne ooper aur zyada nahi chalne ki adat shuru kar di hai.

Agar h1 timeframe se takniki tor par tajziya kiya jaye, to girawat us waqt shuru hui jab mombati ne 0.9064 ilaqey ko chhua. Yeh is wajah se hota hai ke supply area abhi tak par karne ke qabil nahi hai. Jab tak isay paar nahi kiya gaya hai, main yeh peshgoi karta hoon ke mustaqbil mein USDCHF girne ki taraf jaari rahega. Chand dino pehle bohot gehri girawat hone ki wajah se, qareebi support 0.9033 paar kar li gayi hai. Shayad kal somwar ko pehle taqreeban correction ho, kyunki aam tor par qareebi support ko paar karne ke baad kam az kam thori taqwiyat hoti hai. Mera manna hai ke USDCHF 0.9051 ki qeemat tak uth jayega aur phir girne jaari rahega. Is ke ilawa, maine ek bearish engulfing pattern ek bara time frame par paya hai. Mere khyal mein, yeh tasdeeq hai ke market palat jayega.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaye, to ab mombati ka maqam tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai, jo ke yeh indicator humein batata hai ke trend bearish ho gaya hai. To kal somwar ko neeche jaane ki mumkinat abhi bhi kafi zyada khuli hai. Magar, mombati ko demand area mein rakhna USDDHCF ko pehle utha sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Kumo cloud bhi neeche chala gaya hai.

Wahi, stochastic indicator ka mombati ka maqam pehle level 50 ke oopar hai aur sirf thori dair ke baad level 80 tak pohanchne wala hai. Jab market abhi tak sideway hai, to stochastic indicators aam tor par kam reliable hote hain, is liye abhi main is indicator ka istemal nahi kar raha hoon market ka tajziya karne ke liye. Behtar hai ke sab se pehle market ka shor karne ka intezar kiya jaye.

To aaj ka tajziya yeh anjaam par pahunchata hai ke jab tak 0.9068 ki qeemat par supply area ko paar nahi kiya jata, main yeh peshgoi karta hoon ke currency pair abhi bhi neeche jaega. Magar, is se pehle, shayad pehle correction ho. Main un logon ko jo ek sell position kholna chahte hain, mashwara deta hoon ke sirf 0.9042 ki qeemat ke darje par ek sell limit rakhein. Take-profit target qareebi support par rakha ja sakta hai jo ke 0.8969 ki qeemat par hai. Wahi, stop loss qareebi resistance par rakha ja sakta hai jo ke 0.9072 ki qeemat par hai.

Thursday ko gehri giraft mein girne ke baad, agle din, yaani Jumma, USDCHF currency pair ka movement sideways hone laga. Mumkin hai yeh is wajah se hua kyunki bohot se duniya ke bank chhuttiyon par thay. Yeh Alag hai Thursday se kyunki duniya ke bank usually khule rehte hain. Mujhe khushi hai keh chunancha movement flat hai, lekin ahem baat yeh hai ke USDCHF ne upar nahi balkay neeche jaane ka seekhna shuru kar diya hai aur mazeed unchaaiyon par na jaaye.
Agar h1 timeframe se takniki tor par dekha jaye, to giravat tab shuru hui jab candle ne 0.9064 area ko chhua. Yeh is wajah se hua kyunki supply area abhi tak paar nahi ki ja sakti. Jab tak yeh paar nahi hui, main yeh peshgoyi karta hoon ke mustaqbil mein USDCHF girte rahega. Kuch din pehle bohot gehri giravat ki wajah se, qareebi support 0.9033 ko guzar gaya hai. Shayad kal peer ko pehle ek correction ho, kyunki aam tor par qareebi support ko paar karne ke baad kam az kam thori taqat barh jaati hai. Mera mansooba yeh hai ke USDCHF 0.9051 ke qeemat par chadhega aur phir girne lagega. Is ke ilawa, maine ek bearish engulfing pattern ek baray time frame par bhi paaya hai. Mere khyal mein, yeh tasdeeq hai ke market ulta hoga.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaye, to ab candle ka moqa tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai, jo ke yeh indicator humein batata hai ke trend bearish ho gaya hai. Isliye kal peer ko neeche jaane ki moqa abhi bhi kafi khuli hai. Magar, candle ko demand area mein rokna USDCHF ko pehle chadha sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, kumo cloud ne bhi neeche ja sakta hai

Ek taraf, stochastic indicator ka candle ka moqa pehle se level 50 ke ooper hai aur sirf thori doori par level 80 tak pohanch raha hai. Market abhi tak sideways hai, isliye stochastic indicators aam tor par kam reliable hote hain, isliye main abhi is indicator ka istemal market ka tajziya karne ke liye nahi kar raha hoon. Behtar hai ke hum market ko pehle masroof hone ka intezar karein



To aaj ke tajziye ka ikhtitam yeh hai ke jab tak 0.9068 ke qeemat par supply area paar nahi hoga, main peshgoyi karta hoon ke currency pair neeche hi rahega. Magar, is se pehle shayad pehle correction ho. Main un logon ko jo ek sell position kholna chahte hain, mashwara deta hoon ke woh sirf ek sell limit set karein 0.9042 ke qeemat par. Take profit target 0.8969 ke qareebi support par rakha ja sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, stop loss ko qareebi resistance par 0.9072 ke qeemat par rakha ja sakta hai

Jumeraat ko bohot gehrayi se girne ke baad, agle din, yani Jumma, USDCHF currency pair ka movement side mein hone laga. Mumkin hai ki yeh is wajah se hua kyunki bohot se duniyawi bank chuttiyon par thay. Ye Jumeraat se mukhtalif hai kyunki duniyawi bank usually khule hote hain. Main khush hoon keh chalna to seedha hai, lekin ahem baat yeh hai ke USDCHF ne upar na jaane ki bajaye neeche jaane ka seekhna shuru kar diya hai.
Agar h1 timeframe se technical taur par dekha jaye, to giravat tab shuru hui jab candle ne 0.9064 area ko chhua. Ye is wajah se hota hai ke supply area abhi tak par karne ke qabil nahi hai. Jab tak ye tora nahi gaya hai, main tajwez deta hoon ke future mein USDCHF girne ka silsila jari rahega. Kuch din pehle bohot gehri giravat hone ki wajah se, qareebi support 0.9033 ko guzar gaya hai. Shayad kal Somwar ko pehle correction ho kyunki aam tor par qareebi support ko torne ke baad kam az kam thora taqwiyat zaroor hoti hai. Mera manna hai ke USDCHF 0.9051 ke qeemat tak chadega aur phir girne ka silsila jari rahega. Is ke ilawa, maine bara time frame par bearish engulfing pattern bhi dekha hai. Meri raaye mein, yeh tasdeeq hai ke market palat jayega.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaye, to ab candle ka maqam tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai, jis ka matlab hai ke yeh indicator humein batata hai ke trend bearish ho gaya hai. Is liye kal Somwar ko neeche jaane ka moqa abhi bhi kafi khula hai. Magar candle ko demand area mein rakhna USDCHF ko pehle chadha sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, kumo cloud ne bhi neeche jaane ka silsila shuru kar diya hai

hi, stochastic indicator ka candle ka maqam pehle se level 50 ke oopar hai aur sirf thoda sa faasla level 80 tak reh gaya hai. Market abhi bhi side mein hai, is liye stochastic indicators aam tor par kam reliable hote hain, is liye main is indicator ka istemal karke market ka tajziya abhi nahi kar raha hoon. Behtar hai ke market ko pehle shor sharaba hone dein

USDCHF ke mutaliq, halaankay hum quotes mein girawat par muttafiq hain, lekin yeh bhi har shakhs ke nazariye par munhasir hai ke har shakhs ko qeemat girne ki shuruaat kahan se nazar aati hai. Asal baat yeh hai ke rozana ka chart dekhte hue, maine bar bar likha hai ke takhmeenatan itna barhna (0.8942) dekhna fanni tor par wajib hai. Wazeh hai ke yeh sirf meri qayass hai, lekin main sirf aise hi zigzag ka intezar kar raha tha, aur Jumeraat ke natijay mein, mombatti ka dum 0.8884 ke resistance ke upar phenki gayi, bina bar iss satah ke upar mustaqil hone ke. Asal mein, hum ek ghalat breakout ke saath muqabla kar rahe hain, jiska matlab hai ke hum asal mein neeche ki taraf ja rahe hain, kyun ke liquidity pehle se "hat chuki" hai. Muqami umeedon ke mutalliq, mujhe kam az kam qeemat ko upar ki taraf kam se kam kuch khenchna dekhna pasand hai, 0.8850 ke ilaqe tak. Yahan par muqami resistance mojood hai, jahan se aap bech sakte hain. Haqeeqatan, maqsad kafi qareeb hai aur sirf 0.8795 hai. Main abhi tak nichle paimane ko nahi dekh raha hoon, lekin 0.8795 ek short-term rebound ke liye ek jagah ho sakti hai. Hafton mein aam se zyada ghante hain. Yeh nikalta hai ke joda pair ka mazeed gehra jaiza kiya ja sakta hai. Mujhe yaad dilane ki zarurat hai ke mazeed barhne ya trend ka tabadla karne ke liye kai nishanat ka ittefaq ahmiyat rakhta hai. Main musammi trends aur interbank qeemat delivery algorithm par zyada waqt dena pasand karunga. Yeh do qisam ke tajziya pehle se kaafi kuch dikhate hain. Musammi trends aam tor par maheenay March mein darj kiye gaye interest rates ke doran toot jaate hain. Zahir hai ke yeh saal koi istisna nahi hoga. Aglay haftay tak janubi maqsadon ki taraf ikhtiyar ki gayi wapasishi ka intezar hai, zyada se zyada. Mujhe yaad dilana hai ke darmiyanatmak u-turns zaroori tor par balance tak wapasishi ke saath khatam hote hain. Is dauran, khabar ka mahol sirf qeemat ka rukh madad karega. Yeh nikalta hai ke franc jald hi dominance jari rakhega. Yeh humare jori ke liye janubi mizaj ko mutasir karega