امریکی ڈالر/سوئس فرانک: شرح تبادلہ، خبریں اور تجزیے

Salam! Agar aap rozana ka chart dekh rahe hain, toh main aapko mashwara doonga ke Jumeraat ko humne session ko ek bearish pin bar ke saath band kiya tha, ye bohot ummedwar lag raha hai, stop size abhi ke point se 70 points hai, aap 75 bhi set kar sakte hain, har hal mein, raat ke Asian session khulne se technical correction ka mauqa hai, jo aap subah mein faida utha sakte hain, agar 30 - 40 points ka jump mila toh ye shorts ke liye ek mukammal dakhilai bas hai; correlation ke mutabiq, dollar index humein support kar raha hai. Is maamle mein minimum kaam karna 0.8727 ho sakta hai, ya'ni yeh 100 points se zyada hai, humein bohot umda nateeja mil sakta hai, aur kal economic calendar mein teen sitaron wale category ke liye koi khaas khabar nahi hai na hi US dollar ke liye aur na hi Switzerland ke franc ke liye. Aam tor par, trading plan taiyar hai - wazeh wajahon se, hum kal - parson dosri cheezen bilkul check karenge, kis tarah instrument aagey behave karta hai, shayad scalp karne wale ke liye, sab kuch ke alawa, main pivots par banae gaye range bhi dikhaunga, main samajhta hoon ke is maamle mein yeh wersion bhi be'zar nahi hai.
Mujhe bohot pasand hai jab mukhtalif Fibonacci grids ki tensionen ek hi level ko dikhate hain. Is maamle mein, maine do growth grids stretch kiye hain. Pehla grid ek impulse ke liye tha, jiske baad 50% ki correction di gayi, aur doosra grid pehle growth wave ke liye stretch kiya gaya tha (lekin pehle growth wave ke baad 50% ya zyada ki correction nahi hui). Do grids istemal karke, humne 261.8% aur 161.8% ke key levels ek hi level 0.89735 par paaye. Agar growth hoti hai, toh main samjhunga ke market seedha wahan ko nishana bana raha hai. Lekin agar giravat hoti hai, toh market, meri raay mein, level 100% + 161.8% ko nishana banaega, ya'ni lagbhag 0.87287 mark. Abhi tak hum market ke giravat ke lehaz se nahi bol sakte, kyunke growth structure mein koi break nahi tha, isliye humara sab se zyada relevant plan 0.89735 ke level tak growth ka rehta hai. Shayad ye growth kisi makhsoos shakal ke banne ke baad di jayegi, jaise ke "wedge". Is maamle mein, agar woh 0.87880 ke level pe laut aate hain, toh aap koshish kar sakte hain khareedne ki, jab tak behtar hai ke aap 0.87412 ke senior minimum ke peechay ek stop rakhain

USD/CHF M15

USD/CHF currency pair, jo "Swissie" ke naam se mashhoor hai, Jumeraat ke Asian trading mein 0.9025 ke qareeb mojood raha aur do dinon ki girawat ka khatma kiya Yeh izafa Amreeki dollar ke mutaliq mukhtalif signals se aya Ek taraf, Federal Reserve ke afsoosnak khitabat jo darasal daro ghata nahi dena chahte, USD ko mazid buland karne mein madad gar sabit hue Ziada maqami darajat aam tor par dollar ko investors ke liye zyada kashish wala banate hain jo wapas hasil karte hain Governor Christopher Waller ne hawalay se mojooda darajat ke asar ko rokne ki zarurat ko hawala dete hue kaha, jab ke Governor Lisa Cook ne tezi se rollback ke khilaf tanqeed ki. Yeh hawkish stand USD/CHF jori ko mukhtalif arse ke liye taqwiyat de sakta hai Magar agar USD/CHF zyada tar baad jaata hai, to Swiss National Bank (SNB) forex market mein intervan karna sakti hai taake Swiss franc (CHF) ko kamzor kar sake. SNB ka maqsad CHF ko artificial tor par kam rakhna hota hai takay Switzerland ke export ki muqabiliyat ko barqarar rakh sake Draft ke neeche, Middle East mein barhte hue tensions CHF ki taraf seyafein ki taraf le ja sakte hain, ek riwayati safe-haven currency Palestinian Red Crescent ne izafa shuda Israeli hamle ki riwayat darj ki, jis se CHF ki demand barh sakti hai Agay dekhte hue, ahem data points USD/CHF ke rukh par asar andaz honge US core PCE price index, Fed ka pasandida inflation gauge, Jumeraat ko saalana 2.8% par mazid ki ummeed hai Yeh market mein kuch istiqamat ko barqarar rakh sakta hai

Technically, USD/CHF ka uptrend December se barqarar hai, jis ke saath qaribi support 0.8765 ke qareeb hai. Magar, agar 0.8727 ke neeche gir jaye, to yeh ek reversal signal ho sakta hai Yeh downside scenario technical indicators jaise ke RSI aur MACD ke support ke saath hai, jo shayad 50 ke neeche gir jaye aur MACD negative territory mein trade kare Stochastic bhi oversold territory mein hone ke bawajood ek potential decline ki taraf ishara karta hai Agar USD/CHF 0.8727 ke neeche gir jaye, to yeh 0.8680 zone ki taraf ghir sakta hai, jo ke ek ahem Fibonacci retracement level ko darust karta hai Ek mazeed tezi se girawat is jodi ko 0.8545 tak le ja sakti hai, doosra Fibonacci level Aakhri mein, USD/CHF mukhtalif forces ka samna hai Fed ka hawkish stand aur geopolitical tensions ki wajah se CHF ki potential safe-haven demand uncertainty paida karte hain. Anay wale US inflation data aur technical analysis is jodi ke agle qadam ko tay karne mein ahem honge

USD/CHF

Thursday ko bohot gehre girne ke baad, agle din, yaani ke Jumma ko, USDCHF currency pair ka movement side mein ja raha tha. Candle abhi tak 0.9015 area ke aas paas chal rahi hai, kuch zyada nahi. Shayad yeh is liye hua ke kai duniya ke banks chutti par thay. Yeh Thursday se mukhtalif hai kyunki duniya ke banks am tor par khule hote hain. Main khush hoon ke waise bhi ke movement flat hai, lekin ahem baat yeh hai ke USDCHF ne upar chadhte chadhte girne ka silsila shuru kiya hai aur mazeed barhne ka rasta nahi chuna.

Agar h1 timeframe se technical taur par tajziya kiya jaye, to girawat tab shuru hui jab candle ne 0.9064 area ko chhua. Yeh is wajah se hota hai ke supply area abhi tak par karne ke qabil nahi hai. Jab tak yeh tora nahi gaya hai, main tajziyat karta hoon ke agle dino mein USDCHF girne ka silsila jari rahega. Kuch dino pehle ki bohot gehri girawat ki wajah se, qareebi support 0.9033 ko guzar gaya hai. Shayad kal, yani ke peer ko, sab se pehle correction ho sakta hai kyunki aam tor par qareebi support ko torne ke baad kam az kam thori taqat aati hai. Mera mansooba yeh hai ke USDCHF 0.9051 ke qeemat tak barh sakta hai aur phir girne ka rasta ikhtiyar karega. Is ke ilawa, maine bara time frame par aik bearish engulfing pattern bhi paya hai. Mere khayal mein, yeh tasdeeq hai ke market palat jayega.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaye, to ab candle ka moqam tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai, jo ke yeh indicator hamein batata hai ke trend bearish ho gaya hai. To kal, yani ke peer ko, nichle janib girne ka mauqa ab bhi bohot khula hua hai. Lekin, candle ko demand area mein qaim rehna USDCHF ko pehle upar le ja sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, kumo cloud bhi neeche dakhil ho chuka hai.

Tou jab ke stochastic indicator ka candle position pehle hi level 50 ke upar hai aur bas thori si duri hai level 80 tak pohanchne se. Market abhi tak side mein hai, to stochastic indicators aam tor par kam aitmaad hai, is liye abhi main market ko tajziyat karne ke liye is ka istemal nahi kar raha hoon. Behtar hai ke pehle market ka shor sharaaba ho.

To aaj ki tajziyat ka ikhtitam yeh hai ke jab tak price 0.9068 ke supply area ko nahi tor jata, main tajziyat karta hoon ke currency pair abhi bhi nichle taraf jaega. Lekin, us se pehle shayad kuch correction ho. Main un logon ko jo sell position kholna chahte hain mashwara deta hoon ke woh sirf price range 0.9042 par sell limit rakhein. Take profit target qareebi support 0.8969 par rakha ja sakta hai. Jabke, stop loss qareebi resistance 0.9072 par rakha ja sakta hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaye, to ab candle ka moqam tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai, jo ke yeh indicator hamein batata hai ke trend bearish ho gaya hai. Isi taur par, yeh bhi dikhata hai ke peer ko nichle janib girne ka mauqa ab bhi bohot khula hua hai.Lekin, demand area mein candle ka qaim rehna USDCHF ko pehle upar le ja sakta hai. Yeh aik bullish signal hai, jo ke trend ka mukhtasir ulat ja sakta hai.Is ke ilawa, kumo cloud bhi neeche dakhil ho chuka hai. Yeh bhi bearish trend ko tasdiq karta hai. Lekin, agar candle demand area mein qaim hai, to yeh kumo cloud ka asar kam ho sakta hai aur USDCHF ko upar le ja sakta hai.





Overall, Ichimoku indicator ke istemal se, aapne sahi tajziya kiya hai ke bearish trend shuru ho gaya hai. Lekin, demand area mein candle ka qaim rehna USDCHF ko pehle upar le ja sakta hai, jis se trend ka ulat ja sakta hai. Kumo cloud ka bhi asar ho sakta hai, lekin demand area ki qowat us se zyada ho sakti hai.Tou jab ke stochastic indicator ka candle position pehle hi level 50 ke upar hai aur bas thori si duri hai level 80 tak pohanchne se. Market abhi tak side mein hai, to stochastic indicators aam tor par kam aitmaad hai, is liye abhi main market ko tajziyat karne ke liye is ka istemal nahi kar raha hoon. Behtar hai ke pehle market ka shor sharaaba ho.

USD/CHF currency pair, jo ke "Swissie" ke naam se mashhoor hai, do dinon ki girawat ke baad Jumma ke Asian trading mein 0.9025 ke qareeb ghir gaya. Ye izafa US dollar ke muta'alliq mukhtalif signals se paida hua. Ek taraf, Federal Reserve ke afkaar ke mutabiq jo ke isharaat dete hain ke woh qeemat kam karne mein kisi jaldi mein nahi hain, USD ko mazbooti mili. Uchaai daroon ke barhane se aam tor par investors ke liye dollar zyada kashish rakhna shuru ho jata hai. Governor Christopher Waller ne mojudah daroon ko inflaishan par asar dene ki zarurat ko zikr kiya, jabke Governor Lisa Cook ne tayyar harkat se mana kiya. Ye hawkish stand short-term USD/CHF jodi ko taqat de sakti hai. Lekin, Swiss National Bank (SNB) agar USD/CHF jodi zyada barhe to forex market mein Swiss franc (CHF) ko kamzor karne ke liye tawajjo de sakti hai. SNB ka maazi CHF ko artificial tor par neeche rakhne ka hai takay Switzerland ki export competitiveness barqarar rahe. Surkhya phir bhi aur karkardagi ko ulajhane wale mamlaat, Middle East mein barhti hui tensions dekh sakte hain ke CHF ki taraf se safety ki taraf bhaagte hue, ek rivaayti safe-haven currency. Palestinian Red Crescent ke mutabiq, barhne wale Israeli hamley, CHF ki darkhwast mein izafa kar sakte hain. Agay dekhte hue, ahem data points USD/CHF ki rah ko mutasir karenge. US core PCE price index, jo ke Fed ka pasandida inflaishan gauge hai, Jumma ko saalana 2.8% par barqarar rahne ki umeed hai. Ye bazaar mein kuch istiqrar barqarar rakh sakta hai.

Pichle haftay kai dinon tak, EUSDCHF joda aam tor par ittehad mein tha. Keemat 0.8998 se 0.9070 tak ghomti rahi, matlab yeh currency pair sirf 72 pips ka fasla haftay mein rakhta tha. Halankeh pehle yeh bohot zyada buland phase mein tha. Magar yeh ittehad ki halat normal hai jab keemat takreeban 0.9107 rukawat ilaqa tak pohnchne wale waqt overbought thi. Haqeeqat mein keemat rukawat ko paar karne mein na kaamyaab thi is liye yeh ek neeche ki taraf correction ka samna karna pada aur RBR 0.8946 zone mein chali gayi. Agar aap keemat ki harkat dekhte hain, toh keemat ka izafa karne ka potential hai takreeban 0.9107 rukawat ko test karne ke liye.
Relative Strength Index period 5 indicator mein jo pehle level 30 ke neeche gir gaya tha lekin ab upar chala gaya hai, yeh ek signal hai ke market oopar ki taraf ja raha hai. Market ki tasveer ke liye, Simple Moving Average 100 indicator jo ke upar ki taraf mudne laga hai, yeh ek bullish trend ka signal hai jo ke abhi apni harkat shuru kar raha hai. Is tarah se yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke H4 timeframe ke zyadatar indicators ishara dete hain ke USDCHF joda oopar ki taraf ki phase ko barqarar rakhta hai, jaise ke Simple Moving Average 200 indicator jo ke upar ki taraf mudne laga hai.

H1 time frame mein, aap ek bearish flag pattern banate dekh sakte hain, jo ke market ki harkaton ka tasawwur karne ke liye hai, jahan yeh mumkin hai ke keemat RBR/Supply ilaqa tak kamzor ho jaaye 0.8946 ke qeemat par, jab ke muqadma level ka ilaqa ek keemat ittehad ka ilaqa hai, jahan yeh ilaqa tay karta hai ke keemat oopar ki taraf jaegi agar candle is ilaqa ke oopar band hoti hai aur niche jaegi agar candle is keemat ki lakeer ke neeche band hoti hai. To is time frame mein aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat 0.9036 ke neeche band hoti hai, is liye yeh ek mumkinat hai ke keemat 0.9036 ilaqa tak pehle apni taraf wapas chali jae gi, is ke baad keemat phir se kamzor ho sakti hai, is liye hum baad mein yeh muqadma level area ko bechnay ke dakhil hone ke liye istemal kar sakte hain.

Thursday ko gehri giraavat ke baad, agle din, yaani ke Jumma, USDCHF currency pair ka movement aahista ho gaya. Candle ab bhi 0.9015 ilaqa mein ghoom rahi hai, kuch ziada nahi. Ye shayad is wajah se hua kyunki bohot se duniya ke banks chhutti par thay. Ye Thursday se mukhtalif hai kyunki duniya ke banks usually khule rehte hain. Main khush hoon keh chahe movement flat hai, ahem baat ye hai ke USDCHF girne ki taraf sikh rahi hai aur mazeed buland nahi uth rahi.

Agar hum isay technical tor par h1 timeframe se dekhen, to giravat shuru hui jab candle ne 0.9064 ilaqa chhua. Ye is wajah se hota hai kyunki supply area abhi tak paar nahi ki ja sakti. Jab tak ye paar nahi ki jaati, to mujhe yeh anumaan hai ke future mein USDCHF girne ka silsila jaari rahega. Kuch din pehle ki bohot gehri giravat ki wajah se, qareebi support 0.9033 ko guzar gaya hai. Shayad kal, yani ke Peer ko, pehle thoda correction ho sakta hai kyun ke aam tor par qareebi support ko guzarne ke baad kam az kam thori taqwiyat hoti hai. Mera mansooba ye hai ke USDCHF 0.9051 ke qeemat tak chadhegi aur phir girne ka silsila jaari rahega. Is ke ilawa, maine bara time frame par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi paya hai. Mere khyal mein, ye tasdeeq hai ke market palat jayega.

Agar hum Ichimoku indicator ka istemal karte hain, to ab candle ka maqam tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai, jis ka matlab hai ke ye indicator humein batata hai ke trend bearish ho gaya hai. To kal, yani ke Peer ko, neeche jaane ki mumkinat bohot zyada hai. Magar, candle ko demand area mein qaim rehna USDCHF ko pehle chadhne ka moqa de sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, kumo cloud ne bhi neeche jaane ki soorat mein daakhil ho gaya hai.

Intehai aham stochastik indicator ka candle ka maqam pehle se level 50 ke oopar hai aur sirf thoda sa fasla hai level 80 tak pohanchne mein. Market abhi bhi side mein hai, isliye stochastik indicators aksar kam aitemaad hotay hain, is liye ab main market ka tajziya karne ke liye is ka istemal nahi kar raha. Behtar hai ke hum pehle market ko garam hone ka intezaar karein.

To aaj ke tajziya ka ikhtitam yeh hai ke jab tak 0.9068 ke qeemat wali supply area paar nahi ki jaati, main ye anumaan lagata hoon ke currency pair abhi bhi neeche ki taraf move karega. Magar, is se pehle shayad thoda sa correction ho. Main un logon ko jo ek sell position kholna chahte hain mashwara doon ga ke sirf ek sell limit set karein 0.9042 ke qeemat par. Take profit maqsood ko 0.8969 ke qareebi support par rakha ja sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, stop loss ko qareebi resistance par 0.9072 ke qeemat par rakha ja sakta hai.

USD/CHF

Pichle hafte kai dinon tak USDCHF pair ka movement aham tor par mazid hona band tha. Keemat 0.8998 se lekar 0.9070 tak range mein thi, jo sirf 72 pips per week ka ek tang range darust karta hai is currency pair ke liye. Pehle bohot bullish phase mein hone ke baad, mojooda consolidation phase mamooli hai, khaaskar jab ke keemat ne 0.9107 resistance area ko qareeb se chhua tha. Magar keemat ne is resistance level ko paar karne mein nakam raha aur baad mein ek neeche ki taraf correction ka samna kiya 0.8946 zone tak. Keemat ke movement ko dekhte hue, yeh mumkin hai ke yeh oopar uthkar 0.9107 tak resistance ko test kare.

USD CHF ka manzar nama technical H1 time frame mein; Mukhtasir Strength Index (RSI) period 5 indicator mein jo pehle level 30 ke neeche gir gaya tha lekin ab us se oopar chala gaya hai, yeh ishara hai ke market oopar ki taraf ja raha hai. Iske alawa, Simple Moving Average 100 indicator, jo ke oopar ki taraf jhuka hua hai, ek bullish trend ka ishara deta hai jo abhi apne shuru ke marhale mein hai. Isliye, yeh samjha ja sakta hai ke H1 timeframe ke zyadatar indicators ishara dete hain ke USDCHF pair apne oopar ki taraf rukh jari rakhta hai, jo ke Simple Moving Average 200 indicator ke saath bhi milta hai, jo ke bhi oopar ki taraf trend kar raha hai.

H1 timeframe par, ek bearish flag pattern ban raha hai, jo market ke movement ko peshgoyi karne ke liye tasveer faraham karta hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke keemat RBR/Supply area ki taraf kamzor ho jaaye 0.8946 ke daam tak. Yeh mukhya level area ek keemat ki consolidation zone ko darust karta hai, jo ke tay karta hai ke keemat oopar ki taraf jaayegi. Agar candle is area ke upar band hoti hai, to yeh oopar ki taraf trend ko darust karti hai, jabke agar candle is daam ki line ke neeche band hoti hai to yeh ek neeche ki taraf trend ko darust karti hai. Mojudah timeframe mein, keemat ko 0.9036 ke daam ke neeche band kiya gaya hai, jo ek mumkin pullback ko 0.9036 area tak pehle se darust karta hai phir mazid kamzor hona. Isliye, yeh mukhya level area future bech dakhilay ke liye istemal kiya ja sakta hai.

Walaykum Assalam! Kal ke technical forecasts ka tajziya karte hue, USD/CHF pair ka jo 0.9015 par trade ho raha tha, uss mein bullish momentum dekha gaya. Is timeframe mein, maine dekha ke USD/CHF pair mahine ke ubharne ke doran bullish trend mein hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator ko dekhte hue, pata chala ke rate mein izafa ho raha hai, kyunki RSI ki line ubhar rahi thi. Saath hi, MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ka signal line bhi upar ki taraf mud gaya tha. Ab is tajziye ko mazeed samajhne ke liye, hum RSI aur MACD ke signals ko detail mein dekhte hain. RSI, jo ke price momentum ko measure karta hai, 70 ki upar chali gayi thi, jo ke ek bullish signal hai aur ye darusti se bullish trend ki tasdeeq karta hai. Saath hi, MACD signal line ka rukh bhi upar ki taraf mud gaya tha, jo ke ek aur bullish signal hai.



Is ke ilawa, hum ne moving averages ko bhi dekha. Magenta line jo 20-EMA (Exponential Moving Average) ko represent karti hai, aur narangi line jo 50-EMA ko represent karti hai, dono upar ki taraf mud rahi thi. Yeh bhi ek aur bullish signal hai, jo ke price trend ko confirm karta hai. Overall, USD/CHF pair ke technical indicators ne ek strong bullish trend ko darust kiya hai. RSI, MACD aur moving averages ki taraf se diye gaye signals, price ke bullish movement ko support karte hain. Is tajziye ke natije mein, traders ko USD/CHF pair mein aur bhi upar ki taraf jaane ki umeed hai. Lekin, hamesha yaad rahe ke market ki harkat volatile hoti hai aur risk management ko hamesha madde nazar rakha jana chahiye. Yeh tajziyaat traders ke liye ek maqsadmand rasta sabit ho sakti hain, lekin humesha apni tajziyat ko apne risk tolerance ke mutabiq customize karna zaroori hai.

Jab aap daily chart par USD/CHF pair ki nazar dalte hain, toh aapko price action ka kafi kuch samajh aata hai. Jab support level 0.85559 par toota, jo pehle ke low ke qareeb tha, yeh indicate karta hai ke market mein selling pressure hai aur pair ki keemat mein mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai. Is darust interpretation ke baad, pair 0.83790 tak gir gaya, jo ke ek strong downward move tha. Is level par jab pair wapas aaya, yeh ek critical juncture tha jahan se traders ko mazid price action ka tajziya karna chahiye tha. Is market situation ko analyze karte hue, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke kya yeh girawat temporary hai ya phir long-term trend ka hissa hai. Agar pair ne support level ko break kiya aur phir se wapas aaya, toh yeh ek bearish sign hai aur mazeed downward movement ki sambhavna hai. Is waqt, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur market ka mazid tajziya karna chahiye.

Technical analysis ke zariye, traders ko candlestick patterns aur indicators jaise ki moving averages ka istemal karke market ka direction samajhna chahiye. Iske alawa, economic calendar ki madad se fundamental analysis bhi zaroori hai taake pata chale ke kya kisi bhi significant event ya economic data release ne market par kya asar dala hai. Trading mein safalta ke liye, ek sahi aur comprehensive trading plan banana zaroori hai, jo ke risk management ke saath mila kar ho. Is plan mein entry aur exit points ko define karna, stop-loss aur take-profit levels ko set karna, aur trading ke liye kitna paisa risk kar sakte hain yeh sab shamil hona chahiye. Iske alawa, emotions ko control karna bhi bahut zaroori hai, taake trading decisions rational aur objective rahein.

Overall, USD/CHF pair ke daily chart ka tajziya karte hue, traders ko market ke current situation ko samajhna aur future price movements ko predict karne ke liye technical aur fundamental analysis ka sahara lena chahiye. Iske saath hi, ek acchi trading strategy aur risk management plan ke saath trading karna zaroori hai.

Pair ke shuruaat mein choti si farq ke saath kholi gayi hai trading week mein. Candlesticks ke mutabiq, agar ek kami hoti hai, to trading din ke ikhtitam par 0.8790 ke neeche mazbooti se muqarrar nahi hogi. Zyada tar, trading din ke ikhtitam par ya to thori si izafa ya thori si kami hogi. Yani, ek numaya mazboot impulse harkat nahi hogi, jo haftay ke shuru mein aam hoti hai. Zyadatar izafa hoga, aur pair aise hi band hoga. Tehrir ka rujhan oopar ki taraf hai, qeemat moving line ke upar hoti hai. Indicator 1 ke mutabiq, 5-20 candleon ke doran, pair ko nichay karnay ka signal nazar aata hai. Agar yeh option waqai mein shuru hoti hai, to do ahem support levels ko mutasir karna chahiye: qeemat ke rujhaan ka range aur moving average line.

Pichle Jumma ko, USD/CHF pair ke liye khariddaar trading din ke pehle hisse mein bohot sakht amal tha aur pehle unho ne qeemat ko aik ahem resistance level 0.8858 tak kheecha, phir isay tor diya, lekin is ke baad is level ke upar jamne mein masail paida hue aur mazeed izafa ke tajwez mein, halan ke volumes bohot zyada the, jo ke kharidariyon ke tamaam pehle koshishon ko virtually puri tarah se gul karne ke muqable mein aik bohot bara bearoon ka dobara dakhil hone ka ek koshish lagta hai. Aaj humein in positions ka mazeed aghaz dekhne ki bohot buland imkaanat hain, jaise ke Switzerland ki franc ko mazeed mazbooti mil rahi hai.

Main aapke tareeqay ko madadgar samajhta hoon ke agar woh shamal ko taqwiyat mein rakhna chahte hain, to abhi 0.8820 ke neeche nahi jana chahiye. Yani, yahan se, mojooda darajat 0.8827 se main ek aur izaafa ka samna karta hoon rukh 0.8895 ke taraf. Lekin is dauran, mujhe lagta hai ke USD/CHF pair 0.8895 ke darajat ke upar nahi ja sakta, balkay zyadatar hum 0.8895 ke darajat ko chhoo bhi nahi sakenge. Aam tor par, main USD/CHF pair ke mojooda darajat 0.8827 ke upar se thori izafa ki umeed karta hoon rukh 0.8895 ki taraf aur wahan se ek mukhalif aur giravat aur giravat ki umeed, 0.8806 - 0.8824 ki support zone ke neeche move karna.

Keemat ka sahara 0.9046 tak pohanch kar tezi se barhne lagi. Ye mansuba ke maqasid tak pohanch jaana bazaar ki upri momentum ki taqat ka saboot hai. Magar, ehtiyaat barqarar rakhna zaroori hai, kyunki is darje se is daraje se dori ka jhatka ka imkaan buland hai. Aise wapas chale aane aksar bullish trends mein aam hoti hain jab market ke hissad daaro ko apni positions ko dobara tarteeb denay ki koshish hoti hai. Agar dakhil hone ka dar band hojaye aur ye bearish jazba ki taraf rukh karay, to isay dobara jaaiz karna aur kharidari ki strategies ko zaroorat ke mutabiq dobara jaari karna lazmi hojata hai. Naram aur hamahangi taur par financial markets ka har tabdeel hone wale manzar ko samajhna zaroori hai. Keemat 0.8996 tak pohanch kar, sarmayadaar ne tezi se uparward momentum mein izafa dekha. Ye kamyabi bazaar ki bullish jazbat ki mazbooti ko aham darja deta hai, jo tijaratkaroon ke darmiyan unchi keemat par shauqeen hone ki nishani hai. Magar, is manzil tak pohanchne ke jashn mein, ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Is daraje se wapas chale aane ka imkaan bara hai, jaise ke peechle market scenarios mein dekha gaya hai

Corrective retracements bullish trends mein aik fitri phenomena hain, jo market ke hissad daaron ke liye unki positions ko dobara tarteeb denay aur faida uthanay ka zariya bantay hain. Isliye, traders ke liye keemat ke amooman hasil ki gayi target jaise ahem darajat ke ird gird price action par hosla rakna zaroori hai. Is daraje par kisi bhi kamzori ya dagmagahat ke kisi bhi alamaat ke darjat ko market sentiment mein tabdeeli ka ishara samjha jata hai, jo ke upri rukh mein palat jane ki nishani ho sakti hai. Aise halaat mein, traders ko apni strategies ke mutabiq tayar hona chahiye. Ye risk management techniques ko dobara jaaiz karna, munafa ka nishanayh ko dobara dekhna, ya agar market dynamics kehte hain to chhotay arsay ke bearish positions ko bhi madde nazar rakna shamil ho sakta hai. Market ke sharaait ke jawab mein narm aur chaalak rehne ki salahiyat lambay arsay tak trading mein kamiyabi ke liye aham hai. Iske ilawa, narmi ka ahmiyat sirf foran market movements ka jawab dena tak mehdood nahi hai. Ye bazaar dynamics par aam taur par sakhtay badalte hue strategies ko tarteeb denay ki bhi shamil hai aur macroeconomic factors aur tabdeel hone wale trends par raay rakhna shamil hai. Maharatmand aur mutaghayyar rehne se, traders apni aap ko financial markets ke farogh aur risk ko kam karne ke liye behtar tor par muqarrar kar sakte hain

USDCHF technical H1 waqt frame par:

USDCHF pair ko ek technical nazarie se janchne par khaaskar h1 waqt frame par kai ahem maloomat saamne aati hain. Candle ka 0.9064 area ko chu jane se shuru hua girawat, jo supply zone ki mazbooti ko darust karta hai. Ye ishara deta hai ke girawat jaari rahegi jab tak supply area ko tora na jaye. Qareebi support 0.9033 pehle hi haal mein ek taza girawat ke natije mein guzar chuka hai, jis se Mumkin hai ke Monday ko aik potential correction ho pehle se neeche girne se pehle. Aik mumkin manzar mein 0.9051 ke aas paas ek izafa ho sakta hai phir girawat ka dobara shuru hona.

Is ke ilawa, ek bara time frame par dekhi gayi bearish engulfing pattern aane wale market ke ulte hone ki tasdeeq karta hai, jo bearish outlook ko aur bhi mazboot banata hai. Ichimoku indicator ka istemal is bearish jazbat ko mazeed taayin karta hai, jahan candle tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines dono ke nichay hain, jisse trend ka shift bearish ki taraf hota hai. Is natije mein, mazeed neeche girne ka mauqa eham hai, khaaskar kumo cloud ke neeche girne ki wajah se.

Mukhtalif bearish signals ke bawajood, aik demand area ke mojoodgi ne girawat ko rokne ki sambhavna hai aur USDCHF pair mein aik temporary upward movement ko jhatka de sakti hai. Is liye, jabke overall trend girawat ka jaari rehne ka ishara deta hai, short-term price action supply aur demand zones ke darmiyan ke larai se mutasir hone wale fluctuations ko dekh sakti hai.

Mukhtasir mein, USDCHF ka technical analysis bearish bias ki taraf ishara karta hai, jisme aik correction hone ki sambhavna hai aur phir se girawat ka aghaz hone ki. Ahem support aur supply zones ke mojoodgi, sath hi candlestick patterns aur Ichimoku indicator ke signals is outlook ko mazboot karte hain. Magar, demand areas ke mojoodgi temporary upward movements ki taraf le ja sakti hain, jisse pair ke fori manzar ko mushkil banaya ja sakta hai. Traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur tasdeeq ke liye qareebi price action ko nazdeek se dekhte rehna chahiye.

USD/CHF TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:


Daily timeframe analysis ke daur mein, traders behtareen tor par bearish flag pattern ka ubhar nazar aa raha hai, jo market ke hareef aghazat ka paish-e-nazar hai. Ye pattern, tez qeemat girawat ke baad ek makhsoos niche ki taraf jhukte hue channel se mushahidah hota hai, jise ek mustaqil trend lines ke darmiyan mad e nazar ke tor par dharust kiya gaya hai. Ye mukhtalif trend lines ke darmiyan markazi trend ki taraf ishara karti hai, jisay market ke shirakat daar asraar ke zone ke tor par jazbati tor par dekha jata hai aur jo mazeed daanishwar darust kar sakta hai ke mustaqbil ke qeemat ki chalao. Is moqa par jo kefiat mojood hai, woh yeh hai ke qeemat mukhtalif level 0.9046 par mazeed kami ka samna kar sakti hai. Ye ahem level karobarion ke liye ek markazi nukta hai, jo mustaqbil ke qeemat ki rah ka asar daal sakta hai. In tajziyat ke mutabiq, daanishmand traders is ahem level ke ilawa aane wale karobarion par mutasarif ho sakte hain, khas tor par behtareen moments ko paish karte hue bechnay ke positions ko shuru karne ke liye. Mojudah market dynamics ke saath apni strategies ko hum warah banane aur ahem levels ke ird gird qeemat ka rawayya dekhte hue, traders maahir taur par maali markets ke complexities se guzar sakte hain aur naye moujooda fursat ko faiyda utha sakte hain.


Is ahem level ki ahmiyat ko samajhne mein, traders candlestick patterns ke rawayyaat ko ghor se jhootte hain, jismein market ke jazbat ka ahem waqt pata chalta hai. Agar ek mumkin candle is markazi hadood ke oopar band ho jaye, to yeh ek mumkin upward trend ko ishara karta hai, jo bullish sentiment ko faida dene ki taraf qadam uthata hai. Mukhalif taur par, agar ek candle is darust ki gayi qeemat ki hadood ke nichle band ho jaye, to ye prevailing downward trend ka mustaqil jari rahne ka ishara deta hai, jo traders ke darmiyan bearish jazbat ko mazid mazboot kar deta hai. Hal-hazir mein, qeemat ke dynamics ka dehan se tajziya ek ahem nateja darust karta hai: keemaat 0.9036 hadood ke neeche trading sessions ko khatm kar rahi hai. Ye tajziya ek mumkin rokawat ko ishara karta hai jahan se phir se wapas umeedwar keemaat ke taraf retracement ki taraf ja sakti hai qabal az resumption of downward momentum.

USD/CHF price Action Overview:


H4 time frame ke global manzar ko tajziya karte hue, wazir abhi bhi apni maqsood level tak pohanche ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo darust level ko pohanche se pehle kisi kami ka ishaara nahi deta, yeh ishara karta hai ke giraawat ka intizaar jald nahi kiya ja sakta. Is ke ilawa, ek ahem u-turn level ko paar karne ka aghaaz hua hai, jo uttar ki taraf ek khuli rah dikhata hai. Magar, H1 time frame par tabdeeli, ek nadir tareen shakhsiyat ko numaya karti hai grafana tajziya mein, jo aam tor par nazar nahi aati. Ahem sath aur supply zones, saath hi candlestick patterns aur Ichimoku indicator ke signals ka mojood hona is nazar ko mazbooti deta hai. Magar, darkhwast ilaqaat hone ke wajah se waqtan fawaqtan upar ki taraf movement ka imkaan hai, jo jodi jaane wale raasta ko uljha sakta hai. Jo ke mukhtalif naam se ma'roof hai, jab main trading school mein tha, to hamara instructor isay "devil's ears" kehta tha, bearish nazar ka ishaara. Is tarah, muqaddar ka mihwar binda 0.8741 ka ahem level se neechay dairja karne ki shuhrat ka sabab banay ga. Is kamyabi ka maan-e-iqtidar ghair zikar guftgu ke tawallud ko nahi samjha jaa sakta.



Maslan, global manzar bullish rujhaan ki ishaaraat deta hai, chhote timeframes mein zaahir hote hue mukhtalif peshkashat ki zaroorat hoti hai. Fiqrmandi aur mujooda mukhtalif intezamaat ke darmiyan, tajziya aur taghaiur par mushtamil tajziya ki zaroorat hoti hai. Mufassil tareen trends aur dhaariyon ke darmiyan nazuk patterns ki khel ko samajhne ki salahiyat par kamyabi ka imkaan hota hai, jahan kamiyabi masooliyat aur pehchaan ke saath paish aati hai. Mukhtasir mein, USDCHF ka technical analysis bearish bias ki taraf ishara karta hai, jisme aik correction hone ki sambhavna hai aur phir se girawat ka aghaz hone ki. Ahem support aur supply zones ke mojoodgi, sath hi candlestick patterns aur Ichimoku indicator ke signals is outlook ko mazboot karte hain. Magar, demand areas ke mojoodgi temporary upward movements ki taraf le ja sakti hain, jisse pair ke fori manzar ko mushkil banaya ja sakta hai. Traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur tasdeeq ke liye qareebi price action ko nazdeek se dekhte rehna chahiye.