USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY ka tajziyah
Assalam Alaikum! Pichle do dino me, dollar/yen ke jode ne hafte ke aaghaz me mere zariye gaur kiye gaye ooper ke scenario par amal kiya hai. Qimat 154.05 par pivot point par pahunch gayi, ise paar karne ke liye sirf chand pips baqi rah gaye hain. Yah jodi pahle hi hadaf ke qarib pahunch chuki hai, jahan maine mumkena islah se inkar nahin kiya. Hafte ke aaghaz me, yah jodi 151.50 ki support satah ko todne me nakam rahi aur mutawaqqe taur par 152.70 par ucchal gayi. Muzahmat ko todne ke bad, yah ab 154.05 ke qarib pahunch raha hai, jahan islah ka imkan zyada bana hua hai.



Aaj, mai 152.70 ki support satah par pullback ki tawaqqo karta hun. Mujhe shak hai keh yah toot jayega. Is tarah, is satah se, mai 154.05 se ooper breakout, is muzahmat ke ooper istehkam aur 156.10 ki taraf izafe ke sath mazid izafe ki tawaqqo karta rahunga. Jaisa keh maine hafte ke aakhir me zikar kiya tha, mujhe yaqin hai keh jodi tezi se 155.00 ki satah se aage badh sakti hai. Halankeh hal hi me ise todna mushkil ho gaya hai, mujhe ummid hai keh is bar market 155.00 ke bajaye 156.10 ke ird-gird islah aur harkat karegi. Yahi wajah hai keh mai 155.00 ke breakout ke sath izafe ki tawaqqo karta hun, iske bad 156.10 se 155.00 tak mumkena tashish aur fir 157.40 aur 158.90 tak mazid izafe ki tawaqqo karta hun.
Jodi is hafte bhi 157.40 tak pahunch chuki hai, lekin mujhe abhi tak 158.90 ke bare yaqin nahin hai. Agar pullback ke dauran, dollar/yen ka joda 152.70 se niche toot jata hai aur iske niche mazbut ho jata hai to, mai 150.30 par wapsi se inkar nahin karunga, jo pahle thoda sa miss ho gaya tha. Is bar, agar qimat 152.70 ko todti hai to, iske pas 150.30 tak pahunchne aur wahan se palatne ki koshish karne ka mauqa hoga ta keh taraqqo ko dobara shuru kiya ja sake. Halankeh, maujudah suratehal ko dekhte hue, is tarah ki kami ka imkan bahut kam hai.

USD/JPY Ka Tajziya
Taza Price Action Aur Technical Indicators


USD/JPY ne mazboot izafa dikhaaya aur 152.60 ke qareeb target hasil karne ke baad neeche aaya. Filhal price 152.06 ke aas paas hai, jo recent high se pullback ko zahir karta hai. Main volume patterns aur technical indicators ka ghoor-o-fikr karta hoon, jisme RSI aur AO shamil hain.

• RSI (Relative Strength Index): Yeh mid-range mein hai, lekin neeche ki taraf jhukaav hai, jo bullish momentum ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai.
• AO (Awesome Oscillator): Halka buy signal flash kar raha hai, jo ek mixed technical scenario ka ishara deta hai.

Price ab tak pichlay din ki trading range ke andar hai, jo ek flat short-term outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Magar, kuch bearish bias bhi hai, jisse yeh andaza hota hai ke price 151.25 ka support test kar sakta hai.


Short-Term Trading Strategy


Main cautious short-term sales ka mashwara deta hoon, jisme target 151.35 hai. Lekin, chonke market volatility ka shikar ho sakta hai, isliye ehtiyaat baratni zaroori hai.


Fundamental Analysis: Fed Aur BOJ Ka Asar


America ke Federal Reserve ki hawkish policies USD ko support de rahi hain. Lekin, Japan ke Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki unexpected monetary policy tightening ki wajah se JPY mazboot hua, aur USD/JPY neeche gira. Yeh situation dikhati hai ke Fed ka global liquidity par bohot bara asar hai, jo aksar doosri central banks ke actions ko overpower kar deta hai.


Aane Wale Dinon Mein Possible Scenario


Agle chand dinon mein USD ki demand wapas barhne ka imkaan hai, khas tor par Federal Reserve ke chairman Jerome Powell ki speech ke baad. Yeh umeed hai ke Powell rate hikes ke hawkish stance ko reinforce karenge, jo USD ko support de sakta hai.

• Short-Term Resistance Levels:
  • 152.29 ka breakout expected hai, jo price ko 152.90 tak le ja sakta hai.
  • Agla resistance 153.54 aur 154.22 par hai.
  • Agar 154.00 ka tod diya jaye, toh price 157.10 tak bhi ja sakta hai.

Long-Term Outlook: Possible Bearish Reversal


Agar USD/JPY 157.10 tak pohonch jata hai, toh yeh ek cyclical peak ho sakta hai, jisse baad mein long-term bearish reversal start ho sakta hai. Aane wale months mein price wapas 125.00 tak gir sakta hai, jab USD positions unwind hongi.


Risk Management Aur Conclusion


Traders ko central bank policies aur liquidity shifts par nazar rakhni chahiye. Risk management bohot zaroori hai, kyunki USD/JPY geopolitical events aur policy surprises ke liye sensitive hai.

Summary:

• Short-term bullish view: Agar price 152.29 se upar jaye, toh long positions lena behtar ho sakta hai.
• Stop-loss: Neeche 151.25 ke qareeb rakhna zaroori hai taake downside risk control ho.
• Long-term bearish possibility: Agar price 157.10 tak jata hai, toh reversal ka imkaan hai.

Market dynamic hai, isliye adaptive strategies zaroori hain.

USD/JPY: Trend Analysis

Aaj ke din ka USD/JPY ka chart dekhte huye humein clear nazar aata hai ke market mein selling pressure barh raha hai Price abhi downward trend mein hai aur RSI Relative Strength Index ab oversold zone mein enter kar chuka hai, jo ke 18 ke level par dikh raha hai. Oversold ka matlab hai ke price bohot zyada gir chuki hai aur buyers market mein wapas interest le sakte hain. OsMA (Oscillator of Moving Average) indicator bhi negative momentum show kar raha hai, jo yeh signal karta hai ke abhi tak selling zyada hai aur buyers ki taraf se koi significant support nazar nahi aa raha. Lekin agar RSI oversold se wapas upar ki taraf move karta hai, to yeh ek potential reversal ka signal ho sakta hai. Moving averages ki baat karein to, chart par nazar aa raha hai ke price ne apne important moving averages ko neeche tod diya hai, jo ek bearish signal hai Agar price 153.30 ke support level ke neeche break karta hai, to agla target 152.50 ya us se neeche ho sakta hai. Lekin agar yahan se pullback hota hai, to resistance 154.50 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Is waqt traders ke liye zaroori hai ke wo apni strategy ko carefully plan karein Agar aap short kar rahe hain to apne stop-loss ko tight rakhein, aur agar aap reversal ka wait kar rahe hain to confirmation ka intezar karein Indicators aur support/resistance levels ka dhyan rakhna bohot zaroori hai is market mein. Final advice: Market bohot volatile lag rahi hai, is liye risk management par focus karein aur over-leverage se bachein. Hamesha apne analysis ko news aur fundamental data ke sath match karein.

USD/JPY: Trend Analysis
Aaj ke din ka USD/JPY ka chart dekhte huye humein clear nazar aata hai ke market mein selling pressure barh raha hai Price abhi downward trend mein hai aur RSI Relative Strength Index ab oversold zone mein enter kar chuka hai, jo ke 18 ke level par dikh raha hai. Oversold ka matlab hai ke price bohot zyada gir chuki hai aur buyers market mein wapas interest le sakte hain. OsMA (Oscillator of Moving Average) indicator bhi negative momentum show kar raha hai, jo yeh signal karta hai ke abhi tak selling zyada hai aur buyers ki taraf se koi significant support nazar nahi aa raha. Lekin agar RSI oversold se wapas upar ki taraf move karta hai, to yeh ek potential reversal ka signal ho sakta hai. Moving averages ki baat karein to, chart par nazar aa raha hai ke price ne apne important moving averages ko neeche tod diya hai, jo ek bearish signal hai Agar price 153.30 ke support level ke neeche break karta hai, to agla target 152.50 ya us se neeche ho sakta hai. Lekin agar yahan se pullback hota hai, to resistance 154.50 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Is waqt traders ke liye zaroori hai ke wo apni strategy ko carefully plan karein Agar aap short kar rahe hain to apne stop-loss ko tight rakhein, aur agar aap reversal ka wait kar rahe hain to confirmation ka intezar karein Indicators aur support/resistance levels ka dhyan rakhna bohot zaroori hai is market mein. Final advice: Market bohot volatile lag rahi hai, is liye risk management par focus karein aur over-leverage se bachein. Hamesha apne analysis ko news aur fundamental data ke sath match karein.

USD/JPY ka tajziyah
Assalam Alaikum! Dollar/yen ke jode ne kal acchi raftar hasil ki. Jaisa keh tawaqqo thi, is me izafa jari raha. Maine socha keh yah fauri taur par 154.05 ki satah ko paar karne me nakam raha to isme islah ki koshish ki jayegi. Halankeh, agar yah joda 154.05 se ooper toot gaya aur mazbut ho gaya to, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh beghair kisi muzahmat ke 155.00 se aage nikal jayega. Yah meri ghalti thi. Jodi ne 154.05 ko toda aur 155.00 ki taraf chadha gaya, lekin fauri taur par todne me nakam raha. Iske bajaye, yah 155.00 par ek aur koshish karne se pahle 154.05 ki support satah par wapas aa gaya. Mai 156.10 ki taraf mazid izafe ki tawaqqo karta hun.



Dollar/yen ka joda abhi-bhi 154.05 se ucchal gaya hai, aur mai 155.00 ki taraf badhne ki tawaqqo karta hun. Pichli bar, jodi ne is satah ke ird-gird kuch waqt guzara. Mujhe ummid hai keh aisa dobara nahin hoga aur breakout ki ummid hai. Agar aisa hota hai to, raftar aaj qimat ko 156.10 tak le ja sakti hai. Wahan se, ham 155.00 tak ek aur pullback dekh sakte hain, ya yah support ke taur par toot jata hai, to 154.05 tak, uske bad 157.40 ya 158.90 ki taraf izafa dekh sakte hain. Halankeh, mujhe shak hai keh is hafte dusra hadaf shayad hi hasil kiya ja sakega. Hafte ke aakhir tak 157.40 tak pahunchne ka mauqa hai, bhale hi tashish jodi ko 154.05 par wapas le jaye. Sirf do din baqi hain aur qimat ko ab bhi tawil safar tai karna hai. Halankeh, jab USD/JPY raftar hasil karta hai to, yah kafi hadd tak cover ho jata hai. Ummid hai keh is bar bhi aisa ho hoga.
Agar yah jodi dobara 155.00 ko todne me nakam rahti hai to, ham 154.05 par ek pullback dekhenge. Agar yah support ke taur par bana rahta hai to, qimat 156.10 tak badhni chahiye, mumkena taur par 157.40 ki taraf badh jayegi. Agar qimat 15405 ko todti hai to, yah 152.70 tak durust hogi, aur 157.40 ki satah is hafte pahunch se bahar hone ka imkan hai. Halankeh, mujhe ab bhi 152.70 se reversal aur mazid izafe ki ummid hai.

USD/JPY Currency Pair ka Jaiza

Tehqiqat aur Halat


February 13, 2025 ko USD/JPY currency pair ne kaafi notable movements dekhe hain, jo ke recent economic data ki wajah se hain. Jab U.S. ka consumer price index ka data higher-than-expected aaya, to is pair ne do mahine ki bulandiyon ko chhute hue 154.80 ke aas-paas ka level dekha. Yeh movement is baat ka saboot hai ke market mein U.S. dollar ki taqat barh rahi hai, khaaskar jab hum U.S. Treasury yields aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate policies ko dekhte hain.
U.S. Dollar ki Taqat


U.S. dollar ki taqat ka asal sabab rising U.S. Treasury yields hain. Jab Treasury yields barhte hain, to is se investors ki interest U.S. assets ki taraf barh jaati hai, jo dollar ki demand ko barhata hai. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne yeh bataya hai ke unhein interest rates ko cut karne ki koi jaldi nahi hai. Is soch ne dollar ki appeal ko mazid barha diya hai, jisse USD/JPY pair mein bullish momentum dekhne ko mila hai.
Trade Karke Faida Uthana

High Liquidity


USD/JPY currency pair duniya ke sab se zyada trade hone wale pairs mein se ek hai. Iska matlab hai ke is pair mein tight bid-ask spreads hote hain, jo ki efficient trade execution ko ensure karte hain. Yeh traders ke liye ek badi sahulat hai, kyunke is se unhein trades karne mein asani hoti hai aur unki costs kam hoti hain.
Carry Trade Opportunities


Historically, Japanese yen ko carry trades ke liye ek popular funding currency mana jata hai, kyunke Japan ke interest rates kaafi low hain. Traders yen ko low rates par borrow karke isay higher-yielding assets mein invest kar sakte hain. Yeh strategy unke returns ko enhance karne ka moka deti hai, jo ki USD/JPY ke liye ek aur faida hai.
Correlation with Risk Sentiment


USD/JPY pair aksar global risk sentiment ko reflect karta hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke yeh geopolitical events aur economic data releases ke liye kaafi responsive hai. Jab bhi koi aise events hote hain, toh USD/JPY pair mein trading opportunities create hoti hain, jisse traders faida uthane ke liye tayar rehte hain.
Risks ka Khayal Rakhna

Interest Rate Fluctuations


Lekin, traders ko is pair ke trading mein kuch risks ka khayal rakhna chahiye. Sabse pehla risk hai interest rate fluctuations. U.S. aur Japan ke darmiyan interest rate differentials mein badlav is pair ke movements par khaas asar daal sakta hai. Agar U.S. interest rates barhte hain ya Japan ke rates girte hain, toh is se USD/JPY ka exchange rate significantly impact ho sakta hai.
Economic Indicators


Dusra risk economic indicators hain. Dono mulkon se aye hue economic data releases volatility ko barha sakte hain. Agar koi achi report aati hai, toh yeh pair ko upar ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jabke kharab reports isay neeche ki taraf le ja sakti hain. Isliye, traders ko economic calendars par nazar rakhni chahiye taake wo timely decisions le saken.
Geopolitical Events


Teesra risk geopolitical events hain. Political developments jaise elections, trade agreements, ya tensions ke asar se market sentiment mein achanak tabdeeli aati hai. Yeh sab factors USD/JPY exchange rate par asar dalte hain, jo ki traders ke liye unexpected shocks la sakte hain.
Khatam Khatam


Aakhir mein, USD/JPY currency pair ne haal hi mein U.S. economic data aur rising Treasury yields ki wajah se bullish momentum dikhaya hai. Yeh pair high liquidity aur carry trade potential jaise faide provide karta hai, lekin traders ko associated risks ka khayal rakhna chahiye aur trading decisions lene se pehle thorough analysis karna chahiye. Trading karne ke liye sirf faide nahi, balke risks ko samajhna bhi zaroori hai taake traders apne capital ko surakshit rakh saken.

USDJPY Ka Jaiza: Bunyadi Aur Fanni Tahlil

Bunyadi Tahlil


USDJPY ka currency pair recent dino mein bullish momentum dekh raha hai jo ke US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke darmiyan monetary policy ki tafreeq ki wajah se hai. US Dollar ki taqat is liye barh rahi hai ke US ki ma'ashi halat mazboot hai, jabke Fed ka hawkish stance bhi isay support kar raha hai. Iske muqabil, Japanese Yen BoJ ki ultra-loose monetary policy ki wajah se dabao mein hai. Yeh tafreeq Yen ko neeche ki taraf dabaa rahi hai, jiski wajah se USDJPY ka pair buland reh raha hai.
US Ma'ashi Data


US ka ma'ashi data ab tak kaafi mazboot hai, jisme consumer spending, job growth, aur inflation ke acha nishan dekhne ko mil rahe hain. Yeh sab kuch is taraf ishara kar raha hai ke Federal Reserve apni tightening policy ko jaari rakhega, jo ke bhi USD ko support karega. Agar Fed aage aur rate hike karta hai, to yeh Dollar ke liye bullish outlook ko mazid barha dega.
Bank of Japan ki Policy


Dusri taraf, Bank of Japan apni ultra-loose monetary policy ko jaari rakhe hue hai, jisme interest rates ko qareeb zero rakha gaya hai taake economic growth ko stimulate kiya ja sake aur low inflation se lada ja sake. Jab tak BoJ apni policy mein koi tabdeeli nahi lata, tab tak Yen ke upar dabao bana rahe ga, jo ke USDJPY pair ke liye faida mand hai.
Fanni Tahlil

Current Price Action


USDJPY pair is waqt 154.00 ke maqam par trade kar raha hai aur iska overall trend bullish hai. Yeh pair 154.00 ke resistance zone ko tod chuka hai aur ab 155.00 ke maqam ko dekh raha hai, jo ke traders ke liye ek psychological level hai. Recent price action ke chalte, higher highs aur higher lows ka consistent silsila dekha gaya hai.
Support aur Resistance Levels

• 153.00: Agar yeh level break hota hai to yeh ek potential pullback ka signal de sakta hai. Agla support zone 152.50 hai jo ke purane consolidation levels ke sath align karta hai.
• 152.00: Agar deeper retracement hoti hai to USDJPY pair is level tak aa sakta hai, jahan par significant buying interest dekha ja sakta hai.
• 154.73: Yeh USDJPY ke liye immediate resistance level hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai to 155.00 ko target karne ka mauqa mil sakta hai, jo ke ek major psychological level hai.
• 155.00: Agar USDJPY is level ko todta hai to bulls ke liye agla target 157.00 ke aas paas hoga.
• 156.00: Agar USDJPY 155.00 ko break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to 156.00 bhi ek key level hoga jo ke further gains ke liye stage set karega.

Nateeja


USDJPY ka pair abhi bullish hai jo ke strong US Dollar aur weak Japanese Yen ki wajah se hai. Aam tor par focus 154.73 ke resistance level ko todne par hai, jiska agla target 155.00 hai. Lekin, 153.00 ya 152.50 par pullback bhi ho sakta hai jo ke bullish trend ko support kar sakta hai. Isliye, traders ko chuni hui levels par nazar rakhni chahiye taake wo market ke halat ko samajh sakein aur apne trading decisions ko behtar bana sakein.

Yeh sab kuch dekhte hue, USDJPY ke future prospects kaafi bright lag rahe hain, lekin market ki volatility aur global economic conditions ko bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

USD/JPY Ki Price Outlook


USD/JPY ka analysis karna ek dilchasp aur samajhne ke liye zaroori kaam hai, khas taur par jab hum dekhtay hain ke iski price movement kis tarah se chal rahi hai. Is maqalay mein hum H4 chart ka jaiza lein ge, jahan humein kuch aham patterns aur trends nazar aate hain jo traders ko madad de sakte hain.
Downtrend Ka Intikhab


Late January se lekar early February tak, USD/JPY ne ek wazeh downtrend dekha, jahan price ne kafi neeche ki taraf move kiya. Is downtrend ke doran, market ne 151.31 ke aas paas strong support paaya, jo ke iske liye ek aham psychological barrier bhi tha. Ye level na sirf price ko neeche jaane se roka, balki yahaan se recovery ki taraf bhi rukh kiya gaya.
Recovery Aur Consolidation


151.31 ke support level se recovery ke baad, USD/JPY ne dheere dheere upar ki taraf qadam uthaya. Abhi haal hi mein, isne 154.50 ke aas paas ek critical resistance zone ko test kiya. Ye level 200-period moving average ke saath bhi coincide karta hai, jo ke ek potential barrier ki tarah kaam kar sakta hai. Moving averages ka istemal karte hue, agar 50-period moving average 200-period moving average ko cross karta hai, to ye bullish crossover ka signal samjha jata hai, jo ke traders ke liye upward momentum ka indication hota hai.
Indecision Aur Tight Range


Lekin, market abhi bhi ek tight range mein hai, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan indecision ko darshata hai. OsMA (Moving Average of Oscillator) indicator bhi is baat ki taraf ishaara kar raha hai ke bullish momentum decline kar raha hai. OsMA ka histogram jab peak par pahunchta hai aur phir shrink hota hai, to ye is baat ka indication hota hai ke rally shayad apni taqat kho rahi hai.
RSI Ka Analysis


RSI (Relative Strength Index) ka value 58.80 hai, jo ke neutral territory mein hai. Iska matlab ye hai ke USD/JPY na to overbought hai aur na hi oversold, isliye dono taraf movement ki sambhavana hai. Ye technical setup ye darshata hai ke market consolidation ya phir pullback ki taraf ja sakti hai.
Bullish Aur Bearish Scenarios


Bullish traders ke liye, agar 154.50 ka resistance level break hota hai, to ye further gains ki taraf rukh karne ka mauka de sakta hai, jahan next target 155.50 ho sakta hai. Wahi, bearish traders ko agar iska rejection dekhne ko milta hai, to wo short positions lene ka mauka dekh sakte hain, jiska target phir 153.00 ya usse neeche ki taraf ho sakta hai.
Confirmation Signals Ki Zarurat


Is waqt USD/JPY ek pivotal juncture par hai, aur traders ko confirmation signals par focus karna chahiye. Moving average crossover aur breakout/rejection candles par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, kyunki ye signals trading decision lene mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain. Mixed signals aur key technical levels ki nazdeek hone ki wajah se cautious approach lena bohot zaroori hai.
Conclusion


Aakhir mein, USD/JPY ka analysis humein ye samjhaata hai ke market abhi ek critical phase mein hai. 151.31 se recovery karte hue, ab wo 154.50 ke resistance zone ko test kar raha hai. Traders ko chaahiye ke wo apne trading strategies ko in technical indicators aur price action ke hawale se tayyar karein, taake wo behtar decisions le sakein. Is waqt, clear direction ka intezar karna hi behtar hai, kyunki market ke mixed signals humein caution ki taraf

USD/JPY pair ne pichle hafte aik strong support level 153.79 ko break kar diya tha jiske baad market ne bearish move dikhaya aur price neeche girti rahi ab tak ka last low 150.96 bana hai jo ab aik strong support area ke taur par kaam kar raha hai is time market thora upar ja rahi hai aur resistance level 153.79 ko test karne ki koshish kar rahi hai agar price is resistance ko break hai to bullish momentum barh sakta hai lekin agar yahaan se rejection leti hai to dobara bearish move shuru ho sakta hai RSI indicator abhi 50 level se thoda neeche hai jo neutral to bearish momentum ko dikhata hai 50 ki EMA bhi price ke upar hai jo abhi tak bearish trend ka indication de rahi hai agar price EMA ke neeche rehti hai to selling pressure barh sakta hai aur market wapas neeche gir sakti hai lekin agar price EMA ke upar nikalti hai to bullish trend develop ho sakta hai aur agla resistance level 155.00 ho sakta hai volume indicator bhi iss time low trading activity show kar raha hai jo batata hai ke market consolidation mode main hai agar price 153.79 ka resistance todti hai to pehla bullish target 154.50 ho sakta hai lekin agar yahaan se rejection leti hai to market wapas 152.50 ya phir 151.50 tak gir sakti hai stochastic indicator bhi neutral zone main hai jo kisi bhi side move ka imkaan dikhata hai overall trend bearish hai magar confirmation ke liye price action aur key levels ka observation zaroori hai traders ko chahiye ke confirmation ka intezar karein aur impulsive moves ka dehan rakhein agar price 153.79 ke resistance se rejection leti hai to selling opportunity ho sakti hai magar agar price is level ko todti hai to bullish momentum barh sakta hai aur market resistance levels ko test kar sakti hai.

USD/JPY Price Setup

USD/JPY ka H4 chart dekhne se pata chal raha hai ke market abhi ek uncertain phase mein hai Pehle price clearly bearish trend mein thi, lekin ab kuch bullish recovery dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Short-term mein buyers ne thoda momentum gain kiya hai, lekin abhi tak overall market structure bearish lag raha hai. Agar price 154.00 ka resistance tod leti hai, to yeh signal hoga ke market aur upar ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price wapas neeche aati hai aur 152.50 ka support todti hai, to phir bearish trend continue ho sakta hai.

Indicators bhi isi mix situation ki taraf ishara karte hain. OsMA ka momentum dheere dheere weak ho raha hai, jo batata hai ke buyers ka pressure kam ho raha hai. Saath hi, RSI abhi 50 ke aas paas hai, jo na overbought na oversold hai. Yeh clearly dikhata hai ke market neutral zone mein hai aur agle kuch candles mein ek strong move ki umeed hai. Yahan se trading karne ke liye patience aur planning zaroori hai. Agar price 154.00 se upar nikalti hai, to buyers ke liye ek accha setup ban sakta hai. Wahi agar 152.50 ka level break hota hai, to sellers dominate kar sakte hain. Lekin, impulsive decisions se bacha jaye aur proper risk management ka khayal rakha jaye. Har trader ke liye zaroori hai ke wo apni research kare aur blindly kisi analysis ko follow na kare. Market unpredictable hai, lekin agar support aur resistance levels ke saath indicators ko theek se samjha jaye, to trading ke chances improve ho sakte hain. Sabse important baat ye hai ke discipline ke saath trading ki jaye aur unnecessary risk na liya jaye.

USD/JPY: Trend Analysis
Aaj ke din ka USD/JPY ka chart dekhte huye humein clear nazar aata hai ke market mein selling pressure barh raha hai Price abhi downward trend mein hai aur RSI Relative Strength Index ab oversold zone mein enter kar chuka hai, jo ke 18 ke level par dikh raha hai. Oversold ka matlab hai ke price bohot zyada gir chuki hai aur buyers market mein wapas interest le sakte hain. OsMA (Oscillator of Moving Average) indicator bhi negative momentum show kar raha hai, jo yeh signal karta hai ke abhi tak selling zyada hai aur buyers ki taraf se koi significant support nazar nahi aa raha. Lekin agar RSI oversold se wapas upar ki taraf move karta hai, to yeh ek potential reversal ka signal ho sakta hai. Moving averages ki baat karein to, chart par nazar aa raha hai ke price ne apne important moving averages ko neeche tod diya hai, jo ek bearish signal hai Agar price 153.30 ke support level ke neeche break karta hai, to agla target 152.50 ya us se neeche ho sakta hai. Lekin agar yahan se pullback hota hai, to resistance 154.50 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Is waqt traders ke liye zaroori hai ke wo apni strategy ko carefully plan karein Agar aap short kar rahe hain to apne stop-loss ko tight rakhein, aur agar aap reversal ka wait kar rahe hain to confirmation ka intezar karein Indicators aur support/resistance levels ka dhyan rakhna bohot zaroori hai is market mein. Final advice: Market bohot volatile lag rahi hai, is liye risk management par focus karein aur over-leverage se bachein. Hamesha apne analysis ko news aur fundamental data ke sath match karein.

USD/JPY Price Setup

USD/JPY ka H4 chart dekhne se pata chal raha hai ke market abhi ek uncertain phase mein hai Pehle price clearly bearish trend mein thi, lekin ab kuch bullish recovery dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Short-term mein buyers ne thoda momentum gain kiya hai, lekin abhi tak overall market structure bearish lag raha hai. Agar price 154.00 ka resistance tod leti hai, to yeh signal hoga ke market aur upar ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price wapas neeche aati hai aur 152.50 ka support todti hai, to phir bearish trend continue ho sakta hai.

Indicators bhi isi mix situation ki taraf ishara karte hain. OsMA ka momentum dheere dheere weak ho raha hai, jo batata hai ke buyers ka pressure kam ho raha hai. Saath hi, RSI abhi 50 ke aas paas hai, jo na overbought na oversold hai. Yeh clearly dikhata hai ke market neutral zone mein hai aur agle kuch candles mein ek strong move ki umeed hai. Yahan se trading karne ke liye patience aur planning zaroori hai. Agar price 154.00 se upar nikalti hai, to buyers ke liye ek accha setup ban sakta hai. Wahi agar 152.50 ka level break hota hai, to sellers dominate kar sakte hain. Lekin, impulsive decisions se bacha jaye aur proper risk management ka khayal rakha jaye. Har trader ke liye zaroori hai ke wo apni research kare aur blindly kisi analysis ko follow na kare. Market unpredictable hai, lekin agar support aur resistance levels ke saath indicators ko theek se samjha jaye, to trading ke chances improve ho sakte hain. Sabse important baat ye hai ke discipline ke saath trading ki jaye aur unnecessary risk na liya jaye.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Yen Japanese BOJ ki Inflation ki Waja se Dobara Strong Hone Laga

Japanese yen Thursday ko Asian trade mein apne mukhtalif mukablayi currencies ke samnay barh gaya, jabke yeh dollar ke mukablay do hafton ki neeche level se ubhar raha hai. Yeh chaar dinon mein pehli dafa faida dekh raha hai, kyunki Japan mein inflationary pressures barh rahe hain.

US Treasury Yields Aur Yen Ki Mazbooti
Yen ko US 10-year treasury yields ke rukne se support mili, jabke aaj US producer prices aur unemployment claims data ka intezar ho raha hai.

USD/JPY: Japan Ki Ma’eeshat Aur BoJ Ke Iqdamat
Jumeraat, 14 February ko traders USD/JPY mein ziada volatility ki umeed kar sakte hain, jabke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki future guidance yen ki demand ko mutasir kar sakti hai. Japan ke naye economic data ne H1 2025 mein doosri dafa BoJ rate hike ki umeedon ko barhawa diya hai.

Japan ke producer prices jo 13 February ko aye, January mein 4.2% year-on-year barh gaye, jo December ke 3.9% se ziada hain. Economists ke mutabiq producer prices ko inflation ka pehla asar mana jata hai, kyunki yeh consumers tak barhti hui cost ya bachay hue paisay pohancha dete hain. Yeh data demand-driven inflationary pressures ko barhawa dene ka ishara karta hai.

Price Movement
USD/JPY aaj 0.2% gir kar 154.12 yen per dollar tak aa gaya, jabke session-high 154.67 raha.

Yen Wednesday ko 1.3% gir gaya, jo 2025 ka sabse bara girawat tha, aur 154.870 yen tak neeche chala gaya. Yeh girawat US treasury yields ke surge hone ki wajah se ayi, jab US inflation data ziada strong nikla.

Inflationary Pressures Aur Japanese Rates
Tokyo ke data nay dikhaya ke January mein producer prices 4.2% y/y barh gaye, jo May 2023 ke baad sabse ziada hai, aur pehle wale 4% ke estimate se ziada hai.

Iska asar consumer prices par bhi par sakta hai, jo policymakers ke liye naye challenges paida karega.

Is data ke baad, March mein Bank of Japan interest rate hike ke chances 70% se barh kar 75% ho gaye hain.

US Treasury Yields Aur Fed Policy
US 10-year treasury yields Thursday ko 0.5% gir gaye, jo pehle 4.66% ke three-week high se neeche aaye. Yeh girawat greenback (US dollar) ki position ko kamzor kar rahi hai.

US mein unemployment claims aur producer prices ka data foran anay wala hai, jo Fed rate cut ki umeedon ko naye signal de sakta hai.

Fedwatch tool ke mutabiq, March mein 0.25% Fed interest rate cut ke chances sirf 2.5% hain.

Technical Analysis
Agar US retail sales data kamzor ata hai, toh inflation ka outlook bhi soft ho sakta hai, jo H1 2025 mein Fed rate cut bets ko dobara zinda kar sakta hai. Is surat mein, USD/JPY 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) tak gir sakta hai. Agar yeh level toot gaya, toh 149.358 support level aa sakta hai.

Agar retail sales data strong aya, toh Fed ziada hawkish stance le sakta hai, jo US dollar ki demand barhaye ga. Is scenario mein, USD/JPY 50-day EMA ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar price is EMA se upar chali gayi, toh 156.884 resistance level tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai.

USD/JPY: Trend Analysis Aaj ke din ka USD/JPY ka chart dekhte huye humein clear nazar aata hai ke market mein selling pressure barh raha hai Price abhi downward trend mein hai aur RSI Relative Strength Index ab oversold zone mein enter kar chuka hai, jo ke 18 ke level par dikh raha hai. Oversold ka matlab hai ke price bohot zyada gir chuki hai aur buyers market mein wapas interest le sakte hain. OsMA (Oscillator of Moving Average) indicator bhi negative momentum show kar raha hai, jo yeh signal karta hai ke abhi tak selling zyada hai aur buyers ki taraf se koi significant support nazar nahi aa raha. Lekin agar RSI oversold se wapas upar ki taraf move karta hai, to yeh ek potential reversal ka signal ho sakta hai. Moving averages ki baat karein to, chart par nazar aa raha hai ke price ne apne important moving averages ko neeche tod diya hai, jo ek bearish signal hai Agar price 153.30 ke support level ke neeche break karta hai, to agla target 152.50 ya us se neeche ho sakta hai. Lekin agar yahan se pullback hota hai, to resistance 154.50 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Is waqt traders ke liye zaroori hai ke wo apni strategy ko carefully plan karein Agar aap short kar rahe hain to apne stop-loss ko tight rakhein, aur agar aap reversal ka wait kar rahe hain to confirmation ka intezar karein Indicators aur support/resistance levels ka dhyan rakhna bohot zaroori hai is market mein. Final advice: Market bohot volatile lag rahi hai, is liye risk management par focus karein aur over-leverage se bachein. Hamesha apne analysis ko news aur fundamental data ke sath match karein.

USD/JPY ka tajziyah
Assalam Alaikum! Pichle do dino me, dollar/yen ke jode ne hafte ke aaghaz me mere zariye gaur kiye gaye ooper ke scenario par amal kiya hai. Qimat 154.05 par pivot point par pahunch gayi, ise paar karne ke liye sirf chand pips baqi rah gaye hain. Yah jodi pahle hi hadaf ke qarib pahunch chuki hai, jahan maine mumkena islah se inkar nahin kiya. Hafte ke aaghaz me, yah jodi 151.50 ki support satah ko todne me nakam rahi aur mutawaqqe taur par 152.70 par ucchal gayi. Muzahmat ko todne ke bad, yah ab 154.05 ke qarib pahunch raha hai, jahan islah ka imkan zyada bana hua hai.









Dollar/yen ka joda abhi-bhi 154.05 se ucchal gaya hai, aur mai 155.00 ki taraf badhne ki tawaqqo karta hun. Pichli bar, jodi ne is satah ke ird-gird kuch waqt guzara. Mujhe ummid hai keh aisa dobara nahin hoga aur breakout ki ummid hai. Agar aisa hota hai to, raftar aaj qimat ko 156.10 tak le ja sakti hai. Wahan se, ham 155.00 tak ek aur pullback dekh sakte hain, ya yah support ke taur par toot jata hai, to 154.05 tak, uske bad 157.40 ya 158.90 ki taraf izafa dekh sakte hain. Halankeh, mujhe shak hai keh is hafte dusra hadaf shayad hi hasil kiya ja sakega. Hafte ke aakhir tak 157.40 tak pahunchne ka mauqa hai, bhale hi tashish jodi ko 154.05 par wapas le jaye. Sirf do din baqi hain aur qimat ko ab bhi tawil safar tai karna hai. Halankeh, jab USD/JPY raftar hasil karta hai to, yah kafi hadd tak cover ho jata hai. Ummid hai keh is bar bhi aisa ho hoga.
Agar yah jodi dobara 155.00 ko todne me nakam rahti hai to, ham 154.05 par ek pullback dekhenge. Agar yah support ke taur par bana rahta hai to, qimat 156.10 tak badhni chahiye, mumkena taur par 157.40 ki taraf badh jayegi. Agar qimat 15405 ko todti hai to, yah 152.70 tak durust hogi, aur 157.40 ki satah is hafte pahunch se bahar hone ka imkan hai. Halankeh, mujhe ab bhi 152.70 se reversal aur mazid izafe ki ummid hai.