USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY Daily Analysis
Aaj hum USD/JPY ka daily chart dekh rahay hain jo ek strong bullish trend ko reflect kar raha hai. Chart par candles aur technical indicators kaafi clear hain, jo hume market ki movement ka andaza lagane mein madad dete hain.
Pehle, hum moving averages ko dekhte hain. Yellow line jo 200-day moving average hai, wo clearly neeche hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market long-term bullish trend mein hai. Iss ka matlab yeh hai ke buyers market mein dominate kar rahe hain aur price aage aur barhne ki koshish kar rahi hai.
Parabolic SAR dots bhi price ke neeche hain, jo bullish momentum ko support karte hain. Jab Parabolic SAR dots neeche hote hain, iska matlab hota hai ke price upward direction mein hai aur abhi tak koi reversal ka signal nahi mila. RSI indicator ko dekhte hain, jo neeche ki taraf hai, lekin abhi overbought zone ke kareeb hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke price high levels par hai, aur yahan se thoda retracement aa sakta hai. Lekin overall trend abhi tak bullish hi hai.
Chart par hum dekh sakte hain ke price December ke dauran steadily barhti rahi hai. Lekin aaj ka candle aur recent candles hume signal dete hain ke resistance level par market ko struggle ka samna ho raha hai. Yeh level important hai, aur agar price is level ko todta hai, toh market aur upar jaa sakta hai.
Agar aap scalping ya intraday trading karte hain, toh RSI aur Parabolic SAR indicators ko closely monitor karein. Lekin agar aap swing trader hain, toh yeh chart long-term buy positions ke liye achi opportunities dikhata hai. Final baat yeh hai ke agar aap USD/JPY ka trade plan bana rahe hain, toh risk management ka khayal zaroor rakhein. Market unpredictable hoti hai, aur technical analysis sirf ek tool hai jo hume better decision lene mein madad deta hai.

"Yeh chart USD/JPY pair ka hai jo H1 (1-hour) time frame par bana hai. Is chart mein candlestick pattern ke zariye market ki price movement ko dikhaya gaya hai, jo forex traders ke liye ek basic aur bohot hi informative tool hota hai. Har candlestick ek hour ki price activity ko represent karta hai, aur yeh bull aur bear market ke trends ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. Is waqt price 157.987 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai. Chart mein do important moving averages dikhayi de rahi hain: ek white line aur doosri yellow line. White moving average short-term trend ko dikhati hai, jabke yellow line long-term trend ka pata deti hai. Jab short-term moving average long-term average ke upar hoti hai, to yeh bullish trend ko dikhata hai, aur jab neeche hoti hai, to bearish trend ka ishara hota hai. Is waqt price moving averages ke upar hai, jo bullish sentiment ko indicate karta hai. Neechay RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator lagaya gaya hai, jo momentum ko measure karta hai. Is waqt RSI ki value 54.52 hai, jo neutral zone mein hai. Agar yeh value 70 se upar hoti hai, to market overbought consider ki jati hai, aur agar yeh 30 se neeche hoti hai, to market oversold hoti hai. Yeh value hume batati hai ke abhi market ek balanced zone mein hai, lekin price action par nazar rakhna zaroori hai kyun ke yeh kabhi bhi change ho sakta hai. Chart ka overall trend abhi bullish lag raha hai, lekin price resistance level par consolidate kar rahi hai. Yeh consolidation ka period hota hai jab market apne agle move ke liye prepare kar rahi hoti hai. Agar price resistance level tod leti hai, to aur ziada bullish momentum aasakta hai, lekin agar neeche girti hai, to support levels test ho sakte hain. Forex traders ke liye yeh chart bohot informative hai aur entry/exit points ke liye zaroor kaam aa sakta hai. Price action aur indicators dono par barabar focus karna zaroori hai!"

USD/JPY ki price is waqt H1 time frame chart par mukhtalif range zones ke darmiyan ghoom rahi hai jo trend traders ke liye munafa kamaane ka koi wazeh moka dhoondhna mushkil bana rahi hai.Yeh range trading activity jo daily time frame chart par bhi dekhi gayi hai asal mein price ki adjustment ke liye hai.Halanki pichlay 2-3 mahine ka primary trend bullish raha hai.Yeh phase price ke correction ka lagta hai jo jald hi mukammal hoga aur uske baad USD/JPY dobara mazboot buyer momentum ke sath upar jaane lagega. Filhal price resistance level par hai magar buyers ka pressure itna nahi hai ke yeh resistance tod saken jo ke is range trading ki wajah hai.Jab maine weekly time frame chart ko dekha to wahan long-term trend bilkul bullish nazar aya.Iska matlab hai ke price ka agla rukh upar ki taraf hoga, lekin abhi tak USD/JPY apne upar ke mukammal price level tak nahi pohanch saka. RSI indicator bhi is waqt 61 par hai aur abhi overbought zone ko test karna baqi hai. Yeh buyers ke liye ek behtareen moka hai ke USD/JPY mein invest karein aur price ke barhne ka faida uthayen.
H1 chart ke mutabiq agle 2-3 hafton mein USD/JPY ka sabse bara resistance level test karna mumkin hai, jo ke abhi 161.86 par hai.Yeh bat clear hai ke multiple time frames jaise ke monthly chart par bhi buyers ka control hai aur bullish sentiment barqarar hai. Yeh traders par hai ke woh is mauqe ka faida uthate hain ya nahi, magar technical aur fundamental analysis dono hi price ke mazeed barhne ka ishara karte hain.Agar price apni range se bahar nikli aur strong momentum develop hua to buyers ke liye yeh profitable trading ka ek acha chance hoga.Is time ka scenario buyers ke haq mein lagta hai aur jo log is waqt long positions leinge unke liye agle kuch hafton mein achi opportunities hain.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

US yields Rebound ki Waja Yen Pressure Mein Hai

Japanese Yen musalsal 2 se 3 weeks se loss me ja raha hai aur ye ab market k 160 value ko cross karne ki position me a chuka hai. Asian trade mein yen ka girawat tisray din bhi jari raha, US dollar ke muqable mein 6 maheenon ke lows ke kareeb hai. Yeh girawat zyadatar US 10-year treasury yields ke izafay ke sabab se hai. Jab yen dobara 160 ki barrier ke kareeb hai, Japanese hukamran uski zyada kamzori par khule aam khatshat ka izhar kar rahe hain.

The Price

• USD/JPY aaj 0.15% barh kar 158.26 yen per dollar par hai, jabke session-low 157.90 raha.
• Kal yen 0.3% gira tha, tisray din ki girawat ke baad, aur 6 maheenon ke lows 158.42 par chala gaya tha jab US yields barhe.

US Yields

• US 10-year treasury yields 0.1% girne ke bawajood chaar din ke barhate huye silsile ko barqarar rakhe hue hain, aur 4.688% par 9 maheenon ke highs ke kareeb trade kar rahe hain.
• Mazboot US services aur labor data ne is haftay US economy ki flexibility ko darust dikhaya.
• Is data ne January mein Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke chances ko kam kar diya hai.

Fed Rate Expectations

• December 2024 ke meeting mein Federal Reserve ne sirf 2 rate cuts ka andaza lagaya tha, jo September ke 4 cuts ke andazay se kam tha.
• Ab market expect kar rahi hai ke pehla Fed rate cut July mein hoga.
• Fedwatch tool ke mutabiq January mein 0.25% Fed interest rate cut ke chances sirf 5% hain.

Japanese Warnings

• Japan ke finance minister Katsunobu Kato ne speculative yen selling ke khilaf naye warnings diye hain jab currency dobara 160 yen per dollar ki taraf ja rahi hai.
• Kato ne hukumat ka stance dobara dohraya aur excessive movements ke khilaf intervention ke liye tayyari ka izhar kiya.
• Japanese hukumat ne forex market mein aakhri dafa July 2024 mein intervention ki thi jab currency 38 saal ke lows 161 par pohonchi thi.

Japanese Rates

• January mein Bank of Japan ke taraf se 0.25% interest rate hike ke chances 55% hain.
• Ab investors inflation aur labor data ka intezar kar rahe hain taake mazeed clues hasil ho sakein.

USD/JPY aur BoJ

• Wednesday, January 8 ko Japan ke Consumer Confidence numbers USD/JPY pair aur Bank of Japan ke liye spotlight honge.
• Economists ka andaza hai ke Consumer Confidence Index November ke 36.4 se barh kar December mein 36.6 ho jayega.
• Consumer confidence ka izafa consumer spending barhata hai, jo demand-driven inflation ko mazboot karta hai.

Technical Analysis

• USD/JPY ka izafa rising Treasury yields se support le raha hai.
• 2-year Treasuries ke yields 4.30% ke upar barh gaye hain, jabke 10-year Treasuries ke yields 4.70% ke kareeb settled hain.
• Technical point of view se: USD/JPY ko resistance 158.50 – 159.00 ke upar break karne ki zarurat hai taake near-term mein mazeed upside momentum hasil kar sake.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum!
US dollar/Japanese yen ka joda ab bhi musalsal rujhan ke liye taiyar nahin ho payi hai. Kal, jodi ne qadar hasil ki aur 158.39 ki muzahmati satah se ooper toot gayi. Lekin kuch ghalat ho gaya, aur bears ne pahal ki. Unhone qimat ko niche khinch liya. Aaj, dollar/yen ke jode ne niche ki taraf harkat jari rakhi. Filhal, bears ne qimat ko 157.79 ki satah tak niche khinch liya hai. Yaumiyah chart zahir karta hai keh bearish candle ban rahi hai, lehaza bears aage badh rahe hain, dollar/yen ki jodi mazid nuqsanat ke liye taiyar hai.

USD/JPY ka H4 chart analyze karte hue, yeh nazar aata hai ke price filhal 158.00 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai aur overall trend bullish lag raha hai. Is ka sabse bara sabab yeh hai ke price moving averages ke upar hai, jo stability aur upward momentum ko zahir karta hai. Chart par Parabolic SAR ke green dots price ke neeche hain, jo bhi bullish trend ko confirm karte hain. Yeh signal deta hai ke buyers market mein active hain aur price upar jane ke chances zyada hain. Saath hi, Stochastic oscillator bhi ek aham signal provide kar raha hai. Yeh oscillator oversold zone se upward move kar raha hai, jo potential buy signal ho sakta hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke price mein momentum wapis aaraha hai aur market bullish territory mein shift ho raha hai.

Agar hum support aur resistance levels dekhein, to price ke liye sabse kareebi resistance 158.50 hai. Agar price is level ke upar breakout karta hai, to agla target 159.00 ho sakta hai, jo ek strong resistance point lag raha hai. Dusri taraf, agar price girta hai, to sabse kareebi support 157.50 ke aas paas maujood hai. Yeh level critical hoga, kyunke agar price is support ko tod deta hai, to market bearish ho sakta hai aur price neeche ki taraf jata hua 157.00 ya usse bhi neeche ke levels tak pohanch sakta hai. Lekin, kisi bhi trade decision se pehle risk management par focus karna zaroori hai. Forex trading bohot zyada volatile aur risky hoti hai, aur bina strategy ke trade karna nukhsan ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh analysis sirf technical indicators par mabni hai aur ismein market ke kisi unexpected factor ka lehaaz nahi hai. Is liye hamesha apne risk tolerance aur market news ka khayal rakhein. Proper planning ke saath hi forex trading mein sustainable profit hasil kiya ja sakta hai. Har trade ke liye stop-loss aur take-profit levels zaroor set karein, takay kisi bhi unexpected move ke dauran apne losses ko minimize kiya ja sake.

USD/JPY Daily Chart Analysis
USD/JPY ka daily timeframe ka chart ek strong bullish trend ko dikhata hai, jahan price consistently higher highs aur higher lows bana raha hai. Is waqt market 154.00 ke qareeb resistance zone ko test kar raha hai. Agar price is zone ko todhne mein kamyab hota hai, to agla target aur upar ho sakta hai, jo market ki bullish momentum ko confirm karega.
Chart par 50 aur 200 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) bhi nazar aa rahi hain. Yeh moving averages price ko strong support provide kar rahi hain aur yeh signal deti hain ke market ka trend upward hai. 50 EMA short-term trend ko support karta hai, jabke 200 EMA long-term trend ki stability ko dikhata hai.
Agar resistance todta hai, to bullish traders ke liye yeh ek moka ho sakta hai profit maximize karne ka. Lekin agar price resistance ko todhne mein naakam hota hai, to yeh wapas neeche gir sakta hai, jahan 151.00 ka support level kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh support area short-term buying opportunities de sakta hai agar wahan se bounce hota hai.
Chart ka analysis yeh bhi suggest karta hai ke risk management zaruri hai. Agar koi trader is zone ke aas-paas buy ya sell karna chahta hai, to unhein tight stop-loss lagana chahiye, kyunki resistance todhne ki koshish ke doran price mein fluctuations aa sakti hain.
Overall, USD/JPY ka yeh chart ek bullish market ko dikhata hai, lekin yeh bhi zaruri hai ke traders resistance aur support zones ke aas-paas price action ko closely monitor karein. Breakout ki surat mein agla target 156.00 ho sakta hai, jabke rejection ki surat mein price wapas neeche aasakta hai. Trading ke liye patience aur planning zaruri hai.
Disclaimer: Yeh analysis educational purpose ke liye hai. Apni trading strategy banane se pehle hamesha apna analysis karein aur risk manage karein.

USD/JPY Daily Chart Analysis
USD/JPY ka rate pichlay chand mahino se upward trend mein hai. Bollinger Bands ka analysis dikhata hai ke price abhi upper band ke qareeb hai, jo bullish momentum ko highlight karta hai. Yeh iska matlab hai ke buyers market mein dominate kar rahe hain aur price upar jaane ki koshish kar raha hai. Lekin, jab price upper Bollinger Band ke kareeb hota hai, to aksar market overbought zone mein hota hai, aur correction ka risk barh jata hai. Aaj ka closing price 157.943 hai, jo strong momentum ko suggest karta hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) ki value 63.97 hai, jo neutral aur overbought zone ke darmiyan hai. Agar yeh 70 ke level tak pohanch jaye, to samjha jata hai ke market overbought zone mein hai, aur wahan se price mein girawat aasakti hai. Lekin abhi ke liye, RSI ka indicator dikhata hai ke bullish momentum mazid barqarar reh sakta hai.

Support aur resistance levels bhi important hain. Jo major resistance hai wo 158.40 par hai. Agar price is level ko todta hai, to market mein mazeed bullish rally dekhne ko mil sakti hai, aur price 160 ke level ko target kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price neeche aata hai, to pehla major support 151.40 par hoga. Agar yeh support tod diya jaye, to market bearish ho sakti hai aur price neeche ki taraf aur zyada gir sakta hai. Is trend ke doran traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke wo apne risk management tools ka use karen. Stop-loss aur take-profit levels set karna critical hai, kyun ke market kabhi bhi unexpected reversal kar sakta hai. Bollinger Bands aur RSI indicators ka combination ek strong tool hai trend aur momentum samajhne ke liye. Aam tor par, yeh chart bullish signal de raha hai, magar high resistance zone ke qareeb hone ki wajah se caution bhi zaroori hai. Is liye, market ki dynamics par nazar rakhna aur indicators ka use karke informed decisions lena behad zaroori hai.

جنوری 10 2025 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کے لیے پیشن گوئی

امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑے کا اتار چڑھاؤ کم سے کم ہو گیا ہے کیونکہ سرمایہ کار بینک آف جاپان کی آئندہ میٹنگ کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔ تاہم، آج امریکی ملازمت کے اعداد و شمار کا اجراء جاپانی کرنسی کو تقویت دے سکتا ہے۔



یومیہ چارٹ پر، قیمت اور مارلن آسیلیٹر کے درمیان کمزور انحراف ظاہر ہوا ہے۔ یہ 156.04 پر ہدف کی سطح کے ساتھ ایک ممکنہ معمولی نیچے کی طرف اشارہ کرتا ہے، جو کہ 31 دسمبر سے کم ہے۔ متبادل طور پر، قیمت 158.32 کی مزاحمتی سطح سے بڑھ سکتی ہے۔ تاہم، مارکیٹ کے غیر جانبدارانہ موقف اور ڈالر کی مجموعی طاقت کو دیکھتے ہوئے، اس طرح کے اضافے کو غلط بریک آؤٹ کے طور پر دیکھا جا سکتا ہے۔

چار- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن بنیادی طور پر مندی والے زون کی باؤنڈری سے اوپر کی طرف اچھال گئی ہے۔ فی الحال، قیمت 158.32 پر مزاحمتی سطح کے قریب پہنچ رہی ہے۔ اوپر کی رفتار کو 158.88 پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن کے قریب مزاحمت کا سامنا کرنا پڑ سکتا ہے۔ اگر قیمت کل کی کم سے کم 157.59 سے نیچے مستحکم ہو جاتی ہے، تو یہ 156.04 پر ہدف کی حمایت کی سطح کے ساتھ، توسیعی استحکام کی حد کے اندر کمی کو جاری رکھنے کے ارادے کا اشارہ دے گی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

USD/JPY Daily Chart Analysis - Market Trends aur Predictions
Is chart mein hum USD/JPY ka daily analysis dekh rahay hain. October 2024 se lekar December 2024 tak ka price movement dikhaya gaya hai. Chart ke mutabiq, price ne steadily upward trend follow kiya hai, jo bullish market sentiment ka indication deta hai.
Ichimoku Cloud system ka istemal kiya gaya hai, jo clear support aur resistance zones highlight karta hai. December ke mid tak price ne Cloud ke upar sustain karna shuru kiya, jo ek bullish signal tha. Iska matlab hai ke buyers dominate kar rahay hain aur market mein strong momentum hai.
Moving Averages (lines) bhi consistent upward trend ko confirm kar rahay hain. Red aur blue moving averages ki positioning yeh suggest karti hai ke price steadily grow kar raha hai. Lekin, price ab resistance level 158.901 ke qareeb hai, jahan se ek potential reversal ya consolidation zone ho sakta hai.
Support levels ka analysis:

• 157.580 ka level pehla support zone hai, jahan buyers dobara enter kar saktay hain.
• Agla support 155.380 pe hai, jo ek strong level lagta hai.

Resistance zones ka analysis:

• 158.901 pe price halt kar sakta hai. Agar yeh break kar gaya to agla resistance level 160 ke qareeb hosakta hai.

Traders ke liye suggestion yeh hai ke agar price resistance break kare, to buy positions consider karein, magar price rejection ki surat mein short-term selling ka plan kar saktay hain. Indicators jaise RSI aur MACD bhi analysis mein shamil karna zaroori hai, taake overbought ya oversold levels ka pata chal sake.
Short-term aur mid-term trading ke liye market ka yeh bullish trend kaafi promising lagta hai, magar risk management zaroor implement karein, kyun ke market mein sudden reversals bhi possible hain.
Yeh analysis educational purpose ke liye hai. Apni strategy aur risk tolerance ko samajh kar trade karein.

USD/JPY ke liye Outlook
Assalam Alaikum!
Kal bears ne bahut acchi shuruaat ki, kiyunkeh Jonub ki taraf badhna bahut ummid afza nazar aaya. Halankeh, 157.57 ke nishan tak pahunche par, kuch ghalat ho gaya, aur bulls ne dollar/yen ke jode ko shumal ki taraf modte hue sambhal liya. Aaj, jodi pahle hi 158.39 ki muzahmati satah par pahunch chuki hai. Agar yah is satah se ooper rahne me kamyab ho jati hai to, ham 159.48 ki agli muzahmati satah ya us se bhi ooper ki taraf badhne ki ummid kar sakte hain.
Dusri taraf, yah breakout ghalat sabit ho sakta hai, jis ka maqsad zyada kharidaron ko raghib karna hai. Us surat me, Jonub ki taraf tez reversal ho sakta hai, aur 158.9 se niche ek entry point ban sakta hai.
Mukhtasran, maine do scenario bayan kiye hain. Ab, hamein sirf intezar karna hoga aur dekhna hoga keh kon sa scenario samne aata hai.

Jabke global markets naye saal ke baad reopen kar rahe hain, Japanese markets chhutti ke sabab se band hain. Aaj ka economic calendar kaafi halka hai, Japanese data releases nahi hain aur sirf ek US tier event – unemployment claims – hai. European session me USD/JPY abhi 157.12 par trade kar raha hai, jo din ka 0.12% neeche hai. Aaj yen ke liye kaafi quiet din hone ki umeed hai.
December yen ke liye muskil raha
December me yen ne US dollar ke khilaf 11% ka bara nuqsan dekha. Tuesday ko yen 158.07 per dollar tak gir gaya, jo July ke shuruati dinon ke baad ka sabse lowest level hai. Investors is baat par nervous hain ke Tokyo currency markets me intervene kar sakta hai yen ke tezi se girte daam ko roknay ke liye. Kya 160 level Japanese authorities ke liye ek red line hai?

Japan ka Manufacturing PMI aur optimism
Is haftay ke shuru me, Japan ka Manufacturing PMI revise hoke 49.6 par aaya, jo pehle ke 49.5 se zyada hai aur November ke 49.0 ke upar hai. Yeh manufacturing activity me chhate straight deceleration ko dikhata hai lekin September ke baad ka sabse uncha level hai. Manufacturers ka sentiment mazboot tha, semiconductor aur auto markets ke behtari ki umeed ke sath, jo pichle chand mahinon se bohot mushkilein dekh chuke hain.

Kya BoJ January me rate hike karega?
Bank of Japan aksar apne intentions market ke samne nahi rakhta. Ek wajah yeh hai ke central bank speculators ko apne haath dikhana nahi chahta, jo yen ke tezi se hote swings ka faida uthana chahte hain. BoJ ke December meeting ke summary of opinions ne kuch insights diye hain, jisme kuch policymakers ne rate hike ke haq me argument diya.

Summary me dikhaya gaya ke nine-member board me rate policy par ek division hai. Hawkish members ka kehna hai ke inflation steady hai aur yen gir raha hai, jo rate hike ke liye conditions ko support karta hai. Doves ka kehna hai ke wage growth abhi inflation ke piche hai. Governor Ueda faisla karnay wali vote ho sakte hain, aur January 24 meeting tak unke har lafz ka investors ko intezar rahega.

Japanese Yen ka pressure aur US Dollar ka dominance
USD/JPY naye saal ki chhuttiyon ke doran $156 aur $158 ke darmiyan range-bound hai. Federal Reserve ke December policy meeting ke hawkish comments ne US dollar ko mazboot rakha, jo December me USD/JPY ko upar le gaya. US aur Japan ke darmiyan interest rate differential pair ko support kar raha hai. Jabke Japanese markets band hain, focus global factors par hai.

Is haftay ka US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI release economic trends ke bare me insights dega, jo USD/JPY pair ko impact kar sakta hai. Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke 2% inflation target achieve karne ke comments ne policy changes ke speculation ko barhawa diya hai.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis – Consolidations
4-hour chart dikhata hai ke USD/JPY ne December ke shuru me inverted head-and-shoulders pattern form kiya aur rally karta raha. Abhi pair $156 aur $158 ke darmiyan consolidate kar raha hai, aglay direction ka intezar karte huye. Yeh price consolidation ek upside breakout ki sambhavana ko mazboot karta hai. Agar $158 ke upar breakout hota hai, to pair $161.70 level ki taraf barh sakta hai.

Aaj ka focus USD/JPY currency pair ki price performance ka analysis karna hai. Mujhe samajh nahi aata ke aap kyun samajhte hain ke yeh quote downward trend start kar raha hai, kyun ke kal bhi yeh isi range mein trade kar rahe the, lekin zyadatar northern direction ki taraf pressure tha. Chart ka analysis karke, aap USD/JPY currency pair ke movement se kamaane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Filhal, mujhe sirf yeh baat hairaan kar rahi hai ke din ke aaghaz se currency pair mein itne zyada jumps aaye hain. Ab tak hum 80 points se zyada ka safar kar chuke hain. Chart se nazar aata hai ke ek acha support level 156.20 par bana hai. Purchases ka target pichle maximum 157.90 ko update karna ho sakta hai. Agar structure toot gaya, toh phir 155.90 ke liye losses ko fix karna padega.

Agar din ke dauran selling ki baat karein, toh Fibonacci grid ke 138.20% level, yaani 158.70, in maqsadon ke liye acha lagta hai. Is case mein, aap mirror level 156.20 se sales kama sakte hain. Lekin overall, agar yeh maan lein ke ek aur daily growth wave tayar ho rahi hai, toh yeh historical maximum 161.80 se thodi upar ho sakti hai. Phir bhi, filhal humein weekly resistance 158.08 ka breakthrough aur daily candle ke consolidation ka intezaar karna hoga, tabhi kuch plan karna chahiye. Aur yeh movement local maximum ke renewal ke sath aayi hai, jo dikhata hai ke currency pair ne northern zigzag build karne ki niyat confirm ki hai, lekin yahan bhi kuch shakk hain.

USD/JPY H1 Chart Analysis

Price Movement
December 18 se USD/JPY pair ek strong bullish trend mein hai, jahan prices consistently upar ja rahi hain. Lekin December 20 ko ek retracement dekhne ko mila, jiske baad price consolidate kar rahi hai. Ye retracement ek natural correction lagta hai, jo strong buying pressure ke baad hota hai. Yeh situation market ke liye ek breather ki tarah kaam kar rahi hai, jo trading mein aam baat hai.

Moving Averages
Chart par moving averages (white lines se represent ki gayi) bullish trend ke dauraan support ka kaam kar rahi thi. Recent retracement ke baad price ab moving averages ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai, jo market ke indecision ya consolidation phase ko dikhata hai.

• Agar price moving averages ke neeche close karti hai, to yeh ek bearish trend ka signal ho sakta hai.
• Agar price inke upar hold kare, to bullish trend continue ho sakta hai.

RSI Indicator

• RSI (14) is waqt lagbhag 47 par hai, jo neutral zone ko dikhata hai, iska matlab abhi kisi direction mein strong momentum nahi hai.
• Pehle, RSI overbought zone (>70) ke kareeb tha, jo market ke overextended hone ka signal deta hai.
• Ab RSI ka neeche ana retracement ke saath align karta hai, jo market ki natural correction ko reinforce karta hai.

Key Observations

1. Market pehle bullish tha, lekin ab ek sideways ya consolidation phase mein hai.
2. Agar price moving averages ke neeche close kare, to bearish trend ka signal mil sakta hai.
3. RSI ka neutral zone mein rehna dikhata hai ke filhaal koi strong trend confirm nahi hai.

Conclusion
USD/JPY market ek crucial point par hai:

• Bearish signal tab milega jab price moving averages ke neeche close kare aur RSI oversold zone (<30) mein chali jaye.
• Bullish continuation tab confirm hoga jab price resistance levels ke upar breakout kare aur RSI 50 ke upar chali jaye.

Trading Tip:

• Entry lene se pehle confirmation candles ka wait karein, taake false signals se bacha ja sake.
• Hamesha risk management ko follow karein, kyunke market conditions tezi se badal sakti hain.
• USD/JPY ke direction par asar daalne wali news ya economic data ko zaroor monitor karein.
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USD/JPY pair Monday ko mazeed girawat ka samna kar sakta hai jabke ziada tar hourly time frame indicators downward movement ka ishara kar rahe hain.1-hour chart ke mutabiq trend ascending se descending me tabdeel ho gaya hai aur pair is waqt 157.70 ke resistance level ke qareeb hai. Umeed hai ke yeh resistance tod diya jayega, jiske baad price 156.864 ke agle resistance ki taraf gir sakti hai. Agar pair 156.864 ke resistance ko tod kar is ke upar consolidate kare toh mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai.Lekin agar yeh level todne mein nakam raha aur neeche consolidate kare toh price 157.961 ke support level ki taraf reversal kar sakta hai.Meri trading strategy jo Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), Moving Average (MA) aur RSI indicators ka istemal karti hai yeh waqt USD/JPY pair khareedne ke liye behtareen hai.Heiken Ashi candlesticks jo price movements ko smooth aur average karti hain, mujhe reversal moments corrective rollbacks aur impulse movements ko identify karne mein madad deti hain jo traditional candlesticks se zyada behtar hai.MA linear channel indicator mujhe support aur resistance lines draw karne ka moka deta hai jo price ke boundaries ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. RSI oscillator ke zariye overbought aur oversold zones identify karte huye trading decisions lene mein asani hoti hai.indicator ka istemal karte huye, breakout trades ke liye bhi strategies banai ja sakti hain khaaskar jab volatility kam ho aur price momentum build kar raha ho. Mean-reversion strategies bhi useful hain jab market consolidate kar raha ho aur price apni range ke andar wapas aane ke imkaanaat barhta ho. USD/JPY pair ki analysis yeh dikhati hai ke key price levels aur market trends monitor karna kitna zaroori hai. Price behavior aur indicators ka analysis traders ko informed decisions lene mein madad karta hai jo trading risks ko manage karte hue profitable opportunities create kar sakti hain.Discipline aur technical understanding se traders forex market ke dynamic environment mein adjust kar sakte hain aur mazeed profit kama sakte hain.