USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY pair aik well-defined bearish trend ko demonstrate kar raha hai, jo consistent lower highs aur lower lows ke pattern se saaf nazar aata hai. Chart yeh show karta hai ke pair initially consolidation phase mein trade kar raha tha, jahan price 150.5 aur 154.5 ke range mein fluctuate kar raha tha, jo market ke indecision ko zahir karta hai. Lekin jaise hi price is range ke lower boundary ko todta hai, ek bearish breakout ka signal mila. Is breakout ke baad price ne sharply decline karna shuru kar diya aur moving average ke neeche hi raha. Moving average ne dynamic resistance ka kirdar ada kiya, jo bearish momentum ki taqat ko confirm karta hai. Aise price action ka zyada tar sabab fundamental factors hote hain, jaise Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki diverging monetary policies, ya phir risk-off sentiment, jo safe-haven currency yen ke liye positive hota hai.Volume histogram, jo chart ke neeche dikhaya gaya hai, steady market participation ko zahir karta hai, jo trend ki validity ko mazboot banata hai. Abhi ka current price level 149.893 ek aham psychological support zone represent karta hai. Agar yeh level tod diya jata hai, to agli potential support 148.800 ke aas-paas hai, jo sellers ke liye next target ban sakta hai. Agar buyers is level ko defend karne mein kaamyaab ho jate hain, to short-term retracement ho sakta hai, aur price resistance levels ko test kar sakta hai, jaise 150.5 ya moving average. Traders ko zaroori economic data closely monitor karna chahiye, jaise U.S. non-farm payrolls, inflation figures, aur Bank of Japan ki policy announcements, kyunki yeh market sentiment ko significantly influence karte hain. Geopolitical developments, jaise trade tensions ya risk appetite mein shifts, bhi currency pair ke future trajectory ko shape karne mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. Technically, USD/JPY price currently quick resistance 161.89 par face kar raha hai. Agle kuch dinon mein price $164.87 level tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 2nd resistance level hai.176.87 ka resistance breakpoint third resistance serve karta hai. Doosri taraf, price ka quick support 140.32 ke aas-paas hai. Price agle kuch dinon mein 127.55 level tak ja sakta hai, jo 2nd level of support hai.112.54 ka support breakpoint third support serve karta hai. Mera post par visit karne ka shukriya.

USD/JPY H4 Chart Analysis
USD/JPY ka H4 timeframe ka chart indicate kar raha hai ke abhi price 150.057 par trade kar rahi hai. Chart par dekhne se lagta hai ke recent price movement mein bearish trend dominate kar raha hai, jiska saboot yeh hai ke price Moving Averages ke neeche hai. Moving Averages ka neeche rehna yeh signal deta hai ke abhi sellers ka pressure zyada hai aur price neeche ki taraf jhuki hui hai.
Agar Stochastic Oscillator ki baat karein, to yeh abhi oversold zone se nikal kar upar ki taraf move kar raha hai, jo ek short-term bullish correction ka signal hai. Lekin yeh move tabhi mazboot hoga agar price 150.500 aur 151.000 ke levels tod kar upar jaaye. MACD indicator bhi abhi negative zone mein hai, lekin selling momentum mein kami dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke market mein consolidation ya slight recovery ka chance ho sakta hai.
Abhi ke liye key support level 150.000 par hai. Agar price is support level ko todti hai, to yeh bearish trend ko mazid confirm karega aur price neeche ke levels, jaise 149.500, tak ja sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 150.500 ka level todti hai aur upar jaane lagti hai, to yeh ek short-term bullish trend ka signal hoga jahan 151.730 ka resistance face karna parega.
Trading karte waqt yeh zaruri hai ke traders support aur resistance levels ko dhyan mein rakhein. Abhi ka trend zyada bearish hai, lekin Stochastic aur MACD indicators ek temporary recovery ki taraf ishara karte hain. Yeh waqt cautiously trade karne ka hai, kyun ke market mein abhi clear trend reversal ka koi signal nahi hai.
Agar bullish momentum mazboot hota hai, to price Moving Average ke resistance level ke aas paas ruk sakti hai. Lekin agar bearish trend continue karta hai, to price neeche ki taraf nayi lows create kar sakti hai. Har trade se pehle confirmation ka intizar karein aur apna stop loss zarur lagayein.

USD/JPY Market Analysis
USD/JPY ka current trend downward lag raha hai, lekin kuch indicators bullish reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Price ne $149.50 ke qareeb ek strong support level form kiya hai, jahan se market ne stability dikhayi aur upward move karna shuru kiya. Yeh level abhi buyers ke liye kaafi important hai aur is par khas nazar rakhni chahiye. Moving averages ke analysis se pata chalta hai ke price dono averages ke neeche hai, jo ek bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. $150 ka psychological level pehla resistance hai, aur agar price is level ko todti hai, to agla target $150.80 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Agar price is resistance ko todne mein fail hoti hai, to selling pressure wapas aa sakta hai aur market support level ke qareeb aa sakti hai. Parabolic SAR aur stochastic oscillator ke signals mixed hain. Parabolic SAR abhi downward pressure ko show kar raha hai, lekin stochastic oscillator oversold zone se upward move karte hue reversal ka signal de raha hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke market mein buying interest barh sakta hai agar $150 ka level break ho jaye.

Agar price $150 ke upar close kare, to bullish momentum shuru ho sakta hai aur price $150.80 aur phir $151.50 tak ja sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar $149.50 ka support tod diya jaye, to price $148.90 ke aas-paas support dhundhne lagegi. Yeh dono scenarios short-term movement ke liye important hain. Market filhaal ek critical phase mein hai jahan buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan tug-of-war chal rahi hai. Is liye risk management bohot zaroori hai. Apne stop-loss aur targets ko clearly define karein aur impulsive trades se parheiz karein. Key levels hain $149.50 par support aur $150.80 par resistance. Yeh levels todne par price ki future direction clear hogi. Aapka kya khayal hai? Trading ideas share karein!

دسمبر 3 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کے لیے پیشن گوئی

جوڑی 150.83 سے نیچے آ گئی ہے۔ گزشتہ روز اس سطح سے اوپر جانے کی کوشش کی گئی تھی لیکن دن کے اختتام تک یہ ایک سایہ بن چکا تھا۔ بہر حال، آج صبح، ترقی کی ایک اور کوشش جاری ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر اوپر کی طرف مڑ رہا ہے۔



اگر قیمت میں اضافے کی طاقت کا فقدان ہے، تو یہ اب بھی 150.83 کی سطح سے نیچے مستحکم ہونے کا انتظام کر سکتا ہے۔ یہ کنسولیڈیشن جتنی دیر تک رہے گا، ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے ساتھ ساتھ بالآخر 148.18 کو توڑنا اتنا ہی آسان ہوگا، جو اس وقت تک حد سے اوپر چلی جائے گی۔ 150.83 مزاحمت سے اوپر کا استحکام مارکیٹ کو آزادانہ بہاؤ میں چھوڑ دے گا، کیونکہ اگلی مزاحمتی سطح 153.60 پر نمایاں طور پر زیادہ ہے۔ اس سطح تک پہنچنے کے لیے ڈالر کی مضبوطی اور اسٹاک مارکیٹ کی ترقی کے لیے ایک مضبوط رجحان کی ضرورت ہوگی، جو کہ ابھی تک واضح تشریح میں واضح نہیں ہے۔

قیمت اور مارلن نے چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر دوہرا ڈائیورژن بنایا ہے۔ ہر چیز تصحیح کے لیے تیار نظر آتی ہے، حالانکہ دونوں ٹائم فریموں پر اشارے کی لکیروں کا دباؤ مضبوط رہتا ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

USD/JPY H4 Chart Analysis
USD/JPY ka H4 timeframe ka chart dekhte huay, price iss waqt 149.837 par trade kar raha hai. Overall trend bearish hai, jo neeche ki taraf momentum aur selling pressure ko highlight karta hai. October ke akhir se lekar November ke middle tak price consistently higher highs aur higher lows banata raha, lekin phir downward reversal aaya aur price neeche girne laga.
Indicators ka Analysis:

1. MACD:
   Chart par MACD indicator negative territory mein hai, jo clear selling pressure ko dikhata hai. Signal line aur MACD line dono neeche hain, jo selling momentum ke barqarar rehne ka indication hai.
2. ATR (Average True Range):
   ATR ka value 0.657 hai, jo yeh batata hai ke market ki volatility kam hai. Yeh signify karta hai ke price action relatively stable hai, aur sudden spikes ki umeed kam hai.

Support aur Resistance Levels:
Current price ke mutabiq support level 149.50 par hai, jo ek strong buyer area ban sakta hai. Agar price is level ko todta hai, toh agla support 148.80 ho sakta hai. Wahi, resistance level 151.50 ke kareeb hai. Agar price iss level ke upar breakout karta hai, toh bullish momentum shuru ho sakta hai aur price 152.30 tak jaa sakta hai.
Trading Strategy:
Downward trend aur bearish MACD ko dekhte huay, sell entries zyada behtar lag rahi hain. Agar price 149.50 ke neeche close karta hai, toh short sell karna ek acha option ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price 151.50 ke upar close kare, toh upward momentum shuru ho sakta hai, aur buy entries ko consider karna chahiye. Risk management ke liye stop loss aur take profit levels ko clearly define karna zaroori hai.
Conclusion:
USD/JPY ka current scenario zyada bearish hai, lekin support aur resistance levels ke mutabiq dono sides par breakout hone ki umeed rakhein. Trading mein patience aur proper analysis bohot zaroori hai. Trend-following strategy ko adopt karte huay risk ko minimize karna behtareen rahega.

USD/JPY H4 Chart Analysis
USD/JPY ka yeh 4-hour chart kaafi interesting price action ko highlight kar raha hai. Pehle hum dekhte hain ke price overall ek bearish trend mein thi, jahan moving averages (yellow lines) ne as resistance ka kaam kiya aur price unke neeche trade kar rahi thi. Lekin ab price ne neeche ke levels, jo kareeban 149.00-149.50 ke aas-paas the, se recovery shuru ki hai. Yeh short-term bullish momentum ko represent karta hai. Price ke upward movement ko confirm karte hue stochastic oscillator ab oversold zone se upar ki taraf move kar raha hai. Yeh signal deta hai ke market mein buying pressure barh raha hai. Lekin humein yeh baat nahi bhoolni chahiye ke abhi bhi price moving averages ke neeche hai, jo overall downtrend ko sustain karte hain. Iska matlab hai ke yeh recovery sirf short-term ho sakti hai, jab tak koi strong breakout na ho.

Agle resistance levels kareeban 151.00 ke aas-paas hain, jo ek psychological aur technical barrier hai. Agar price is level ko tod kar upar close kar leti hai, to humein aur zyada bullish momentum dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo price ko 152.50 tak le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar price 151.00 ko tod nahi pati aur wahan se reject hoti hai, to yeh wapas neeche ke support zones ko test kar sakti hai, jo abhi 149.50 aur uske neeche ke levels hain. Risk management kaafi zaroori hai, kyun ke market abhi ek uncertain phase mein hai. Agar aap buy karna chahte hain, to confirmation ka intezar karna behtareen strategy hogi. Saath hi, agar resistance levels par price reject hoti hai, to sell karne ka option bhi consider kiya ja sakta hai. Aapko trading karte waqt dono taraf ke scenarios ka dhyan rakhna hoga. Yeh samajhna zaruri hai ke short-term indicators aur long-term trend ka combination hi behtareen trading decisions lene mein madadgar hoga.
Summary:
Support: 149.50
Resistance: 151.00
Confirmation ke bina impulsive trades avoid karen.
Stochastic bullish signal de raha hai, lekin trend abhi bearish hai.

USD/JPY pair ne Tez Taraqqi Ki
USD/JPY currency pair ne Tez Taraqqi ki, Wednesday ko, pehle din ke neechey 148.65 se apni kami ko badhaate huey, jo ke 11 October se iska sab se neecha point tha. Is tezi ne pair ko naye intraday highs tak dhakka diya, European session ke doran 150.55 ke aas pass settle hua. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy stance ke bare mein market sentiment mein tabdeeli is upward movement ka ek key driver raha hai. Investors ab interest rate cuts ke liye zyada ehtiyati approach ki umeed rakhte hain, is umeed se fuel kiya gaya hai ke aane wali administration ki policies inflation ko badha sakti hain. Natijatan, US Treasury yields badh gaye hain, funds ko low-yielding yen se dur khich rahe hain. Iske alawa, kam dovish Fed ke prospect ne dollar ko mazboot kiya hai, USD/JPY pair ko additional support provide kiya hai.
Halanki, market participants ehtiyati rahe hain, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ki speech se pehle bade bets lagane mein hesitant hain, jo ke interest rates ke future path mein aur insights provide kar sakti hai. Iske alawa, November ke Tokyo CPI data ki release ne inflationary momentum ko building hote hue dikhaaya, Bank of Japan ke December mein interest rates badhane ke speculation ko uthaaya. Ye mumkin hai ke USD/JPY mein further gains ko limit kar sake



Traders ab aane wali US ADP private sector employment report par focus kar rahe hain, jo ke crucial US ISM services PMI release se pehle kuch momentum provide kar sakti hai. Halanki, primary focus Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report par hai, jo ke Friday ko release hogi aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke agle moves ko influence karne ki umeed hai. Ye, badlein mein, US dollar ki demand ko impact karega aur USD/JPY ki near-term trajectory ko shape karega, khass kar jab ke FOMC aur BOJ policy meetings do hafte mein approach kar rahe hain.
Technical standpoint se, current situation kuch had tak unclear hai. RSI neutral 50 level ke upar sideways trend kar raha hai, jabke Stochastic oscillator halki si positive crossover ke bawajood bearish raha hai. Phir bhi, recent correction traders ko deter karne ka kam nahe karega aur potential buying opportunity ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Halanki, 153.00-153.55 region ke neeche break hona, 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke neeche, aur short-term ascending channel ke neeche intensified selling pressure trigger kar sakta hai. Aise scenario mein, 50-day EMA aur 50% Fibonacci level 150.75 ki taraf decline mumkin hai. Iske alawa, 200-day EMA ke neeche break hona, jo ke 150.25 level ke near hai, sharp drop ko 148.11 tak le ja sakta hai

USD/JPY Neeche Ja Raha Hai
USD/JPY currency pair ne neeche ki taraf raftaar pakdi hai, 148.797 ke aas pass new low bana raha hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Ueda ki hawkish rhetoric is ishara kar rahi hai ke rate hike jaldi ho sakti hai. Technical analysis se pata chal raha hai ke overall downtrend ke bawajood, 150.00 ki taraf short-term decline ho sakti hai.
BoJ Rate Hike Ki Umeed Badh Rahi Hai
BoJ par policy ko normalize karne ka pressure bahut time se hai aur current Governor Ueda iske liye tayyar hain. Lekin, office lete hi, governor ne tab tak wait karne ka faisla kiya hai jab tak wo Japan ke wage growth figures se satisfied na ho jayein.
Governor ne is baat par zor diya ke wage growth inflation se zyada hone chahiye, tabhi rates mein significant izafa hoga. Latest data, CPI aur PPI, track par hain. Governor Ueda ke liye wage growth top of mind hai, jo ke Prime Minister Ishiba aur unions ke 5-6% wage increase ki push ke saath badh raha hai.
Iske beech mein, Governor Ueda ne weekend par apni hawkish rhetoric jaari rakhi, ke BoJ jaldi se rate hike kar sakta hai. USD/JPY par immediate




risks is hafte ke US jobs data se hain. Data December rate hike ki imkanat ko affect karega, isliye is par nazar rakhna chahiye. Technically, USD/JPY abhi 100-day MA ke neeche trade kar raha hai, lekin daily candle ka MA ke near close hone se key role hoga. Is baat ki chinta hai ke short-term decline 150.00 ki taraf ho sakti hai.
Pichhle do din bullish interest dekha gaya, dono din higher pressure ke saath, lekin phir selling pressure hakim hua. Kya ye is baat ki warning hai ke short term recall ho sakta hai? RSI bhi oversold region ke upar hai, sellers ko aur confidence de raha hai. Halanki, daily candle ka 100-day MA ke upar close hone se sellers ko thoda pause mil sakta hai aur shayad pullback ka wait kar sakte hain involve hone se pehle. USD/JPY ke fayde mein seasonality bhi khel sakti hai

USD/JPY Chart
Charit Zubaan Deta Hai
Di gayi hui USD/JPY chart ek lambi chalae jaane wali uptrend ki mazboot tasveer pesh करती hai. Is chart mein analyze kiye gaye waqt mein yeh saaf pata chalta hai ke price ne growth, retracement aur recovery ke different phases dekhe hain. Price movements February 2022 se shuru hone wali ek mazboot bullish trend ki taraf ishara karte hain, jab pair ne supportive macroeconomic aur monetary policy factors ki wajah se lagaataar rally ki thi. Yeh trend price ki moving average ke upar hone se mazboot hota hai, jo ke dynamic support aur prevailing trend ki direction identify karne ka ek tool hai. Moving average, jisay aksar price fluctuations ko kam karne ke liye इस्तेमाल kiya jata hai, woh periodic corrections ke bawajood general bullish momentum ko dikhata hai.
Resistance aur Support Levels
Abhi price 150 ke aas pass ek critical level par aa chuka hai, jo ke forex trading mein aik psychological resistance zone hai. Ye level aksar aik barrier ki tarah kaam karta hai kyun ke yahan par bari institutional aur retail orders concentrate hoti hain. Is level se upar breakout shayad aur buying interest ko jazb karega, pair ko agle resistance zones ki taraf lekar jaega jo ke 152 aur shayad 155 hain. Lekin, agar pair is level ko todne mein fail ho jata hai, to woh consolidate ho sakta hai ya phir retrace kar ke 148 ke aas pass support zones ko retest kar sakta hai, jo ke




moving average ke saath align hoga. Poori trend bullish continuation ki taraf ishara karti hai, lekin moving average ke kuch sections mein kam hote hue upward slope waning momentum ki taraf ishara karta hai, jo ke slow down ka signal deta hai.
Fundamental Factors
Fundamental perspective se, pair ki behavior U.S. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke beech mein policy divergence se bohat zor se mutaassir hoti hai. Inflation se larne ke liye Fed ki aggressive interest rate hikes ne dollar ko mazboot kiya hai, jab ke BoJ ki ultra-loose monetary policy ne yen ko kamzor kiya hai. Lekin, BoJ policy mein mumkina tajdeelon ke हालिया (haaliya) indications, jaise ke yield curve control mein phेरफेर (pher-fer) karna ya aakhir mein interest rates barhana, dynamics ko shift kar sakta hai, bullish outlook mein uncertainty ko shamil kar sakta hai. Is ke alawa, Japan ke Ministry of Finance ki taraf se yen ko stabilize karne ke liye kiye gaye interventions, jaise ke hum (maazi) mein dekhe hain, woh traders ke liye aik ahem khatra hain jo dollar ki aur mazbooti par rahe hain.
Faisla Kun Waqt Hoga
Akhir mein, USD/JPY pair aik faisla kun waqt hone wali juncture par hai. Jahan technicals aik bullish trend ki taraf ishara karte hain, wahan 150 par resistance aur BoJ ki taraf se mumkina policy shifts significant khatre pesh karte hain. 150 se upar ek successful breakout aur gains ka raasta khol sakta hai, jab ke momentum maintain karne mein fail hone se correction ya sideways movement ho sakta hai. Traders ko technical signals aur macroeconomic developments dono ki taraf chonchey rahenge chahiye, jaise ke inflation data, central bank meetings, aur geopolitical factors, taakey woh is pair ki aage ki direction ko asar daari se navigate kar

USD/JPY pair abhi ek critical juncture par hai, technical dynamics aur broader market factors ke beech tense balance ko reflect karta hai. Hourly chart bullish aur bearish forces ke beech neutral tug-of-war ko reveal karta hai, pair abhi 150.06 ke near trade kar raha hai, lower Bollinger Band se rebound karne ke baad. Middle band ke thoda upar positioned, technical setup upper Bollinger Band ki taraf potential rise ko suggest karta hai, jo ke 150.60 par located hai, jo buyers ke liye near-term target ki tarah kaam kar sakta hai. Halanki, middle band dynamic support ka pivotal level ki tarah kaam karta hai. Iske neeche sustained breach momentum ko neeche ki taraf shift karega, pair ko 149.22 level ke near further losses ke liye expose karega. Yeh neutral technical posture market participants ke cautious sentiment ko reflect karta hai, jo ke immediate price action ko looming macroeconomic events ke backdrop ke khilaf weigh kar rahe hain. Traders in Bollinger Band dynamics ko




closely monitor karne ke liye likely hain, kyun ke yeh pair ki trajectory ke liye critical immediate support aur resistance zones ko outline karte hain.
Broader perspective se, USD/JPY ka outlook competing monetary policy narratives aur evolving risk sentiment se influenced hota hai. Yen ke side par, Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike ki umeeden traction gain kar rahi hain, Tokyo mein better-than-expected core inflation figures se supported. Market ab December mein 25-basis-point hike ki 56% probability ko price karta hai, BoJ ke traditionally accommodative stance mein shift ke bare mein badhti hui speculation ko underscore karta hai. Is beech mein, dollar ka momentum declining U.S. bond yields se dampened hai, jo ke market ke more dovish Federal Reserve ki umeedon ke response mein soften hue hain. Yeh dynamics us waqt aate hain jab pair ki movements bhi geopolitical uncertainties se shape ho rahi hain, including persistent global tensions aur trade policy risks. Aage dekhte hue, aane wali U.S. non-farm payrolls report Friday ko ek critical event hone wali hai, USD/JPY ki direction ko decisively influence karne ki potential ke saath. Strong labor market data dollar ki demand ko renew kar sakta hai, pair ko 150.60 ya usse upar higher resistance levels ki taraf drive kar sakta hai, jab ke weaker-than-expected data key support levels ke neeche bearish break ko fuel kar sakta hai, downward momentum ko intensify kar sakta hai. Ab ke liye, pair dono direction mein breakout ke cusp par baitha hai, technical aur fundamental forces ke saath converge ho raha hai jo USD/JPY traders ke liye ek pivotal week hone ka waada karta hai