usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY ne haal hi mein aik bullish breakout dekha, jismein 149.29 ka ahm resistance level test kiya gaya, jo pehle mid-August mein price action ko reject kar chuka tha. Yeh surge strong U.S. Dollar fundamentals ki wajah se aaya, jo solid economic data aur Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance se support ho raha tha. Yeh contrast tha Bank of Japan ki dovish policy ke sath, jisne Japanese Yen ko kamzor rakha hai. Jab USD/JPY ne 149.29 tak pohoncha, toh buyers ne profits lene shuru kar diye, jis se ek halka retracement dekhne ko mila. Filhaal USD/JPY dheere dheere 147.29 ke support level ki taraf wapas aa raha hai, aur aage chal kar critical low 145.92 tak ja sakta hai. Yeh zone bulls ke liye ek ahm entry point sabit ho sakta hai, khas kar jab ke overall trend ab bhi bullish hai. Yeh pullback ek consolidation phase lagta hai, jo buyers ko wapas regroup karne ka mauqa de raha hai, taake woh phir se price ko upar dhakel sakein. Bank of Japan ki policy rate aur press conference ne bhi sellers ko support diya hai, lekin buyers ab bhi market par pressure dal rahe hain. Iske natayej mein, bullish momentum dobara se shuru ho sakta hai. Aik news-based strategy ka istemal karna aur saath hi market ka technical analysis karna bohot zaroori hai. Is approach se traders ko data ko gehrai mein samajhne ka mauqa milta hai aur market ke dynamics mein tabdiliyon ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai. Global perspective rakhne wale traders ko maloom hota hai ke U.S. monetary policy ke tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par hota hai. Yeh tabdeeliyan mukhtalif investment strategies ke liye mauqay paida karti hain. Mera andaza hai ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karayega. FOMC ke member Harker

Is chart ke mutabiq USD/JPY pair ka analysis kaafi interesting hai. Daily timeframe par yeh saaf dikhai de raha hai ke market ek bullish trend mein hai. Price ne recent dinon mein Moving Averages (MA) ke upar close kiya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ne control apne haath mein le liya hai. Jo red line chart par dikhai de rahi hai, woh 50-period Moving Average hai, jab ke neeli line 100-period Moving Average ko show karti hai. Dono Moving Averages ke upar price ka trade karna yeh batata hai ke market mein abhi tak bullish momentum kaafi strong hai.
Price ab resistance zone ke qareeb hai, jo lagbhag 152.50 ke aas paas hai. Yeh woh level hai jahan price pehle bhi ruk gayi thi, lekin agar is dafa buyers zyada strong rahe, tou yeh level break ho sakta hai. Agar 152.50 ka level break hota hai, tou price agay aur upar ja sakti hai, aur next major resistance level 153.50 ya 154.00 ke qareeb ho sakta hai.

Lekin agar price ko resistance peh reject kiya jata hai, tou ek correction expected hai. Neeche do strong support levels hain — pehla 148.70 par aur doosra 147.50 par. Agar price in levels tak wapas aati hai, tou wahan se bounce kaafi possible hai, kyun ke yeh levels strong buyer zones ke taur par kaam kar chuke hain.

Stochastic oscillator bhi is waqt overbought zone mein hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market temporarily thoda pause le sakta hai ya ek chhoti si downward correction dekh sakti hai. Lekin jab tak Moving Averages ke upar price ka movement rahega, market ki overall bullish trend intact rahegi.

Is analysis ke mutabiq, agar aap trade karna chahtay hain, tou price action ko closely dekhna zaroori hai. Agar price 152.50 ka resistance break kar deti hai, tou long trades kaafi faidemand ho sakti hain. Lekin agar yeh resistance hold karta hai, tou short-term downward correction ka intezar karna aur support levels ke qareeb buying ka sochna ek achi strategy ho sakti hai.

Trading ke doran hamesha apni risk management ko priority deni chahiye aur market ke trend ke mutabiq apne positions adjust karni chahiye

Jumay ko, USD/JPY pair ne $150.29 ka high hit kiya, jo ek ahem resistance level tha aur kaafi traders ka dehaan is par tha. Magar, agar hum haali haalat ko dekhein to price thoda pullback kar chuki hai aur ab 149.84 ke ird gird hover kar rahi hai. Is recent high se retreat yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum kamzor ho sakta hai, aur market mein upward trend mein potential exhaustion ke signs nazar aane lagay hain. Meri rai mein, USD/JPY pair is time frame mein bearish lag raha hai. $150.29 high se retreat yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers ab control hasil kar rahe hain, ya kam az kam buyers ki pehle ki dominance ko challenge kar rahe hain. Haali sessions mein price ne mushkil se 150 ke upar push kiya aur wahan levels ko barqarar rakhne mein struggle kiya. Yeh extended bullish movement ke baad downward correction ke aghaz ko zahir kar sakta hai.Kayi factors is bearish outlook mein contribute karte hain. Pehla, 150.00 ka psychological barrier historically USD/JPY ke liye mushkil level raha hai jise lamba arsa barqarar rakhna challenging hota hai. Bohat se traders is level ko overbought territory samajhte hain, aur is wajah se market mein selling pressure ka silsila ho sakta hai, khaaskar un logon ki taraf se jo strong rally ke baad apne profits lena chahte hain.Is ke ilawa, fundamental factors ko bhi nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Haal mein market sentiment mein tabdili, jo economic news, interest rate updates, aur geopolitical developments ki wajah se hui hai, USD par boojh dal sakti hai. Agar risk aversion barhta hai ya agar Federal Reserve interest rate hikes ko pause karne ka ishara deta hai, to yeh USD ko kamzor bana sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish view ko mazeed reinforce karega.Haalan ke 149.84 tak ka current pullback thoda moderate lagta hai, lekin zaroori hai ke hum dekhein ke price is level par kaisa behave karti hai. Agar yeh 149.80 ke upar qaim rehne mein nakam hoti hai aur 149.50 se neeche girti hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke bearish movement mazeed taiz ho jaye. Traders mumkin hai ke key support zones par qareebi nazar rakhein taake yeh andaza lagaya ja sake ke kya pair apni downward trajectory ko jari rakhay gi.USD/JPY pair H4 chart par recent high $150.29 ko hit karne ke baad bearishness ke signs zahir kar raha hai. 149.84 tak retreat yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers influence hasil kar rahe hain, aur technical aur fundamental outlook dono hi possible correction ki taraf ishara karte hain. Traders ko is environment mein ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur further price movements aur market conditions par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye jo bearish trend ko confirm kar sakti hain.

USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis
Pichlay trading week mai Japanese Yen moderate se weak movement kay sath apnay peechlay local highs par wapas aya. 149.19 k uper consolidate karne kay baad, price ne uptrend ko resume kia aur local highs ko 150.76 k uper touch kia, aur ab consolidate karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Lekin abhi tak target area explore nahi hua, aur ye bas waqt ki baat lagti hai. Price chart abhi tak super-trend green zone mai hai, jo buyers ki control ko indicate kar raha hai.

Agar hum 240-minute chart ko dekhen, to humara outlook positive hai magar thora cautious hain. Simple moving average ka positive momentum aur psychological resistance 150.00 k uper stability trading ko support kar raha hai. 150.00 k uper intraday trading ki stability hume positive view dene ka encouragement deti hai, khas tor pe agar price 151.10 ki key resistance ko strong break karay. Aise scenario mai, price k barhne ki chances mazeed barhenge. Lekin agar price hourly close mai 150.00 k niche chala jata hai, to upside attempts ruk jayengi aur temporary downside pressure 148.50 ki support ka retest karne ka sabab banayga.



Is waqt prices weekly highs se moderately rise kar rahi hain. Key support areas abhi tak intact hain, jo current uptrend ki strength ko support karte hain. Agar price 149.19 se uper break kare, to sustainable upside ka raasta milega. Is level ka retest aur upward bounce nayi wave kay liye raasta khol dega, jiska target 153.35 aur 154.75 areas hain.

Agar price support se break ho aur 147.45 reversal level k niche consolidate kare, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

USD/JPY ke daily chart mein do key indicators ko dekhte hue analysis kiya gaya hai: Ichimoku Cloud** aur **MACD**. Yeh dono indicators market ke trend aur momentum ka andaza lagane mein madad karte hain. Chart ko dekh kar lagta hai ke price ek bullish trend mein move kar rahi hai, lekin kuch resistance levels hain jo dekhnay walay hain. Sabse pehle hum **Ichimoku Cloud ko dekhte hain. Yeh indicator price ka trend aur potential support aur resistance areas ko dikhata hai. Chart ke mutabiq, price ne cloud ke upar breakout kiya hai, jo ek bullish signal hai. Jab price Ichimoku Cloud ke upar hoti hai, toh iska matlab hota hai ke market mein upward momentum hai aur price mazeed upar ja sakti hai. Is chart mein, price 150.11 ke aas-paas hai, jahan ek resistance level face kiya ja raha hai. Agar price is resistance ko break karta hai, toh agla potential target 152.00 tak ho sakta hai. Agar price wapas neeche aati hai, toh pehla support 148.50 ke aas-paas expect kiya ja sakta hai.
Ab MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator ko dekhte hain. Yeh indicator price ka momentum dikhata hai. MACD mein hum dekhte hain ke blue MACD line ne signal line ko cross kar liya hai, jo ek bullish crossover hai. Yeh crossover is baat ka indication hai ke market mein upward momentum mazid strong ho raha hai. Saath hi, MACD histogram ka size bhi barhta ja raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke price ka bullish momentum mazeed barh raha hai. Jab histogram bars badhtay hain, iska matlab hota hai ke buying pressure strong ho raha hai. Haalan ke Ichimoku aur MACD indicators dono bullish signs de rahe hain, hamesha zaroori hota hai ke market ke resistance aur support levels ko nazar mein rakha jaye. Agar price 150.11 ke resistance level ko break kar jata hai, toh strong upward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin agar price wapas neeche aati hai, toh 148.50 ke support level par nazar rakhni hogi.
Akhir mein, agar aap trading plan bana rahe hain, toh zaroori hai ke in technical indicators ko dhyan mein rakha jaye aur apne stop loss aur target levels ko samajhdari se set kiya jaye.

USD/JPY ke daily chart mein do key indicators ko dekhte hue analysis kiya gaya hai: Ichimoku Cloud** aur **MACD**. Yeh dono indicators market ke trend aur momentum ka andaza lagane mein madad karte hain. Chart ko dekh kar lagta hai ke price ek bullish trend mein move kar rahi hai, lekin kuch resistance levels hain jo dekhnay walay hain. Sabse pehle hum **Ichimoku Cloud ko dekhte hain. Yeh indicator price ka trend aur potential support aur resistance areas ko dikhata hai. Chart ke mutabiq, price ne cloud ke upar breakout kiya hai, jo ek bullish signal hai. Jab price Ichimoku Cloud ke upar hoti hai, toh iska matlab hota hai ke market mein upward momentum hai aur price mazeed upar ja sakti hai. Is chart mein, price 150.11 ke aas-paas hai, jahan ek resistance level face kiya ja raha hai. Agar price is resistance ko break karta hai, toh agla potential target 152.00 tak ho sakta hai. Agar price wapas neeche aati hai, toh pehla support 148.50 ke aas-paas expect kiya ja sakta hai. Ab MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator ko dekhte hain. Yeh indicator price ka momentum dikhata hai. MACD mein hum dekhte hain ke blue MACD line ne signal line ko cross kar liya hai, jo ek bullish crossover hai. Yeh crossover is baat ka indication hai ke market mein upward momentum mazid strong ho raha hai. Saath hi, MACD histogram ka size bhi barhta ja raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke price ka bullish momentum mazeed barh raha hai. Jab histogram bars badhtay hain, iska matlab hota hai ke buying pressure strong ho raha hai. Haalan ke Ichimoku aur MACD indicators dono bullish signs de rahe hain, hamesha zaroori hota hai ke market ke resistance aur support levels ko nazar mein rakha jaye. Agar price 150.11 ke resistance level ko break kar jata hai, toh strong upward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin agar price wapas neeche aati hai, toh 148.50 ke support level par nazar rakhni hogi.
Akhir mein, agar aap trading plan bana rahe hain, toh zaroori hai ke in technical indicators ko dhyan mein rakha jaye aur apne stop loss aur target levels ko samajhdari se set kiya jaye.

traders ka dehaan is par tha. Magar, agar hum haali haalat ko dekhein to price thoda pullback kar chuki hai aur ab 149.84 ke ird gird hover kar rahi hai. Is recent high se retreat yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum kamzor ho sakta hai, aur market mein upward trend mein potential exhaustion ke signs nazar aane lagay hain. Meri rai mein, USD/JPY pair is time frame mein bearish lag raha hai. $150.29 high se retreat yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers ab control hasil kar rahe hain, ya kam az kam buyers ki pehle ki dominance ko challenge kar rahe hain. Haali sessions mein price ne mushkil se 150 ke upar push kiya aur wahan levels ko barqarar rakhne mein struggle kiya. Yeh extended bullish movement ke baad downward correction ke aghaz ko zahir kar sakta hai.Kayi factors is bearish outlook mein contribute karte hain. Pehla, 150.00 ka psychological barrier historically USD/JPY ke liye mushkil level raha hai jise lamba arsa barqarar rakhna challenging hota hai. Bohat se traders is level ko overbought territory samajhte hain, aur is wajah se market mein selling pressure ka silsila ho sakta hai, khaaskar un logon ki taraf se jo strong rally ke baad apne profits lena chahte hain.Is ke ilawa, fundamental factors ko bhi nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Haal mein market sentiment mein tabdili, jo economic news, interest rate updates, aur geopolitical developments ki wajah se hui hai, USD par boojh dal sakti hai. Agar risk aversion barhta hai ya agar Federal Reserve interest rate hikes ko pause karne ka ishara deta hai, to yeh USD ko kamzor bana sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish view ko mazeed reinforce karega.Haalan ke 149.84 tak ka current pullback thoda moderate lagta hai, lekin zaroori hai ke hum dekhein ke price is level par kaisa behave karti hai. Agar yeh 149.80 ke upar qaim rehne mein nakam hoti hai aur 149.50 se neeche girti hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke bearish movement mazeed taiz ho jaye. Traders mumkin hai ke key support zones par qareebi nazar rakhein taake yeh andaza lagaya ja sake ke kya pair apni downward trajectory ko jari rakhay gi.USD/JPY pair H4 chart par recent high $150.29 ko hit karne ke baad bearishness ke signs zahir kar raha hai. 149.84 tak retreat yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers influence hasil kar rahe hain, aur technical aur fundamental outlook dono hi possible correction ki taraf ishara karte hain. Traders ko is environment mein ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur further price movements aur market conditions par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye jo bearish trend ko confirm kar sakti hain. it

ko, USD/JPY pair ne $150.29 ka high hit kiya, jo ek ahem resistance level tha aur kaafi traders ka dehaan is par tha. Magar, agar hum haali haalat ko dekhein to price thoda pullback kar chuki hai aur ab 149.84 ke ird gird hover kar rahi hai. Is recent high se retreat yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum kamzor ho sakta hai, aur market mein upward trend mein potential exhaustion ke signs nazar aane lagay hain. Meri rai mein, USD/JPY pair is time frame mein bearish lag raha hai. $150.29 high se retreat yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers ab control hasil kar rahe hain, ya kam az kam buyers ki pehle ki dominance ko challenge kar rahe hain. Haali sessions mein price ne mushkil se 150 ke upar push kiya aur wahan levels ko barqarar rakhne mein struggle kiya. Yeh extended bullish movement ke baad downward correction ke aghaz ko zahir kar sakta hai.Kayi factors is bearish outlook mein contribute karte hain. Pehla, 150.00 ka psychological barrier historically USD/JPY ke liye mushkil level raha hai jise lamba arsa barqarar rakhna challenging hota hai. Bohat se traders is level ko overbought territory samajhte hain, aur is wajah se market mein selling pressure ka silsila ho sakta hai, khaaskar un logon ki taraf se jo strong rally ke baad apne profits lena chahte hain.Is ke ilawa, fundamental factors ko bhi nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Haal mein market sentiment mein tabdili, jo economic news, interest rate updates, aur geopolitical developments ki wajah se hui hai, USD par boojh dal sakti hai. Agar risk aversion barhta hai ya agar Federal Reserve interest rate hikes ko pause karne ka ishara deta hai, to yeh USD ko kamzor bana sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish view ko mazeed reinforce karega.Haalan ke 149.84 tak ka current pullback thoda moderate lagta hai, lekin zaroori hai ke hum dekhein ke price is level par kaisa behave karti hai. Agar yeh 149.80 ke upar qaim rehne mein nakam hoti hai aur 149.50 se neeche girti hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke bearish movement mazeed taiz ho jaye. Traders mumkin hai ke key support zones par qareebi nazar rakhein taake yeh andaza lagaya ja sake ke kya pair apni downward trajectory ko jari rakhay gi.USD/JPY pair H4 chart par recent high $150.29 ko hit karne ke baad bearishness ke signs zahir kar raha hai. 149.84 tak retreat yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers influence hasil kar rahe hain, aur technical aur fundamental outlook dono hi possible correction ki taraf ishara karte hain. Traders ko is environment mein ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur further price movements aur market conditions par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye jo bearish trend ko confirm kar sakti hain.

USD/JPY Market Outlook



Kal USD/JPY ka market takreeban 149.88 ke zone tak pohanch gaya. Aur buyers optimistic nazar aa rahe hain ke wo agle kuch dinon tak is level par rehne ki koshish karenge. Magar agar Fed ka yeh sanket mila ke wo apne rate hikes ko dheema karne ya ulta karne ka soch raha hai, to dollar ko neeche ki taraf pressure ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Isliye, in tamam economic events ke samne aate hi, ek tailored trading strategy banana bohot zaroori hai jo high volatility ke doran achi tarah kaam kare. News-driven market movements aksar tez price fluctuations ka sabab banti hain, isliye ek achi plan ke saath tayar rehna bohot ahem hai.

Ek effective approach yeh hai ke longer time frames, jaise daily ya weekly charts par focus karein, jo short-term market noise ko filter karne mein madad kar sakte hain. Jab broader trends aur key support aur resistance levels ka tajziya karte hain, to traders ko market ki direction ko samajhne mein madad milti hai aur wo temporary price spikes ya dips se behakne se bach sakte hain. Umeed hai ke USD/JPY market buyers ke haq mein rahega. Lekin, humein US dollar se related aane wale news data par nazar rakhni chahiye.

Saath hi, ek news-based trading strategy develop karna traders ko market ke economic data releases par hone wale reactions ka faida uthane mein madad kar sakta hai. Ismein key news events ko pehle se pehchaan kar trades set up karna shamil hai, jisse traders unke expected outcomes ke hisaab se market mein entry kar sakte hain. Ek technique yeh hai ke significant support aur resistance levels ke paas pending orders rakhein, taake traders market mein entry kar saken jab prices news ka response dete hain, bina movement ka peecha kiye. Is approach se sudden market reversals mein phasne ka khatra kam hota hai aur volatile periods mein consistent profits hasil karna asan hota hai.

Chaliye dekhte hain ke kuch ghanton baad USD/JPY market mein kya hota hai.
Stay blessed aur pur sukoon rahain

USD/JPY ne nayi khareedari ki dilchaspi dekhi, jisme Friday ke nuqsanat ka zyada hissa reverse ho gaya aur qeemat 150.30 ke qareeb trading kar rahi thi. Yeh woh level hai jo do mahinon se zyada arsay mein nahi dekha gaya. Guzishta Friday ko early European session mein spot prices lagbhag 149.53 par the, jo ke kaafi mazboot the kuch support denay walay asbaab ki wajah se, jin mein market ka jazba aur economic data releases shamil hain. Haal hi ke price action se lagta hai ke USD/JPY ab ek chhoti muddat ke downtrend mein dakhil ho raha hai. Market ke bohot se logon ka kehna hai, "The trend is your friend," aur filhal ke indicators bearish outlook ko support karte hain. Yeh jo currency pair apne ahem resistance levels ko break nahi kar saka aur apni recent highs se peeche hat gaya, yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke mazeed neechey jaane ka imkaan zyada hai.



Aik bara market driver tha US Bureau of Economic Analysis ka aakhri data, jo ye dikhata hai ke Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index 2.5% year-over-year barha, jo ke peechlay mahine jaisa tha, magar 2.6% ke mutawaqae se neeche raha. Yeh data, jo volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, 2.6% barha, jo ke umeedat ke barabar tha lekin 2.7% ke projection se kam tha. Yeh figures US inflation trends ke hawalay se market ke jazbat par asar-andaz hue, aur usi ke natijay mein USD/JPY pair ki movement par bhi farq pada.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Board Member Hajime Takata ne Japan ki economy aur policy direction par apni insights share ki. Takata ne kaha ke jabke Japan ki economy dheere dheere sehtmandi ki taraf barh rahi hai, kuch kamzor signs bhi dekhne ko milte hain. Lekin, unhone yeh yaqeen dilaaya ke BoJ apne inflation target ko haasil karne ke raaste par hai. Stock aur forex markets mein volatility ke bawajood, Takata ke comments ne Japan ke hawalay se market expectations ko mazboot kiya, jis se USD/JPY ki upar ki movement ko support mila.




Hafte ke ikhtitami din par, price ne apni gains ko teesray din tak barhaya, aur 11 hafton ki high 150.37 tak pohch gayi. Traders ne pair ko aur zyada push kiya, jisme Friday ke ikhtitam tak 0.21% ka izafa dekha gaya. Is waqt, pair 149.50 ke qareeb settle hua, jo ke pehle ke sessions se lagbhag bila-tabdeel tha. Magar, 149.45 ke swing lows ke neeche break hone se trend mein bearish shift ka signal mila. Yeh development yeh dikhati hai ke sellers ab 139.57 ke ahem low ko target kar rahe hain, aur mazeed downside momentum ka imkaan bhi zyada hai aane

Technically, Tuesday’s breakthrough above the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 150.65 confluence level signaled optimism for traders. However, the slightly overbought Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart suggests that any subsequent upswing may stall near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the July-September decline. The resistance above is situated around the 153.20 region, which is now a crucial turning point. If this level is decisively surpassed, it could pave the way for an upward trend lasting over a month.
Following this, the USD/JPY pair might attempt to reclaim the 154.00 level and approach the supply zone around 154.30. As it moves toward the psychological 155.00 level and the swing high of July 30 (approximately 155.20), momentum could push it into the 154.75 horizontal zone.

On the flip side, any significant corrective decline appears to find solid support near the 152.00 round number. While this drop might be perceived as a buying opportunity, a decisive break below could bring the USD/JPY pair closer to the 151.45–151.40 intermediate support, heading toward the 151.00 level. Near the previously mentioned confluence resistance that has now shifted to support around 150.65, this could help limit downside movement and provide a robust foundation for spot prices. However, sustained weakness below this level would indicate that the upward momentum has faded, shifting the short-term bias in favor of pessimistic traders.

USD/JPY pair ne $150.29 ka high hit kiya, jo ek ahem resistance level tha aur kaafi traders ka dehaan is par tha. Magar, agar hum haali haalat ko dekhein to price thoda pullback kar chuki hai aur ab 149.84 ke ird gird hover kar rahi hai. Is recent high se retreat yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum kamzor ho sakta hai, aur market mein upward trend mein potential exhaustion ke signs nazar aane lagay hain. Meri rai mein, USD/JPY pair is time frame mein bearish lag raha hai. $150.29 high se retreat yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers ab control hasil kar rahe hain, ya kam az kam buyers ki pehle ki dominance ko challenge kar rahe hain. Haali sessions mein price ne mushkil se 150 ke upar push kiya aur wahan levels ko barqarar rakhne mein struggle kiya. Yeh extended bullish movement ke baad downward correction ke aghaz ko zahir kar sakta hai.Kayi factors is bearish outlook mein contribute karte hain. Pehla, 150.00 ka psychological barrier historically USD/JPY ke liye mushkil level raha hai jise lamba arsa barqarar rakhna challenging hota hai. Bohat se traders is level ko overbought territory samajhte hain, aur is wajah se market mein selling pressure ka silsila ho sakta hai, khaaskar un logon ki taraf se jo strong rally ke baad apne profits lena chahte hain.Is ke ilawa, fundamental factors ko bhi nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Haal mein market sentiment mein tabdili, jo economic news, interest rate updates, aur geopolitical developments ki wajah se hui hai, USD par boojh dal sakti hai. Agar risk aversion barhta hai ya agar Federal Reserve interest rate hikes ko pause karne ka ishara deta hai, to yeh USD ko kamzor bana sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish view ko mazeed reinforce karega.Haalan ke 149.84 tak ka current pullback thoda moderate lagta hai, lekin zaroori hai ke hum dekhein ke price is level par kaisa behave karti hai. Agar yeh 149.80 ke upar qaim rehne mein nakam hoti hai aur 149.50 se neeche girti hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke bearish movement mazeed taiz ho jaye. Traders mumkin hai ke key support zones par qareebi nazar rakhein taake yeh andaza lagaya ja sake ke kya pair apni downward trajectory ko jari rakhay gi.USD/JPY pair H4 chart par recent high $150.29 ko hit karne ke baad bearishness ke signs zahir kar raha hai. 149.84 tak retreat yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers influence hasil kar rahe hain, aur technical aur fundamental outlook dono hi possible correction ki taraf ishara karte hain. Traders ko is environment mein ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur further price movements aur market conditions par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye jo bearish trend ko confirm kar sakti hain

USD/JPY ne nayi khareedari ki dilchaspi dekhi, jisme Friday ke nuqsanat ka zyada hissa reverse ho gaya aur qeemat 150.30 ke qareeb trading kar rahi thi. Yeh woh level hai jo do mahinon se zyada arsay mein nahi dekha gaya. Guzishta Friday ko early European session mein spot prices lagbhag 149.53 par the, jo ke kaafi mazboot the kuch support denay walay asbaab ki wajah se, jin mein market ka jazba aur economic data releases shamil hain. Haal hi ke price action se lagta hai ke USD/JPY ab ek chhoti muddat ke downtrend mein dakhil ho raha hai. Market ke bohot se logon ka kehna hai, "The trend is your friend," aur filhal ke indicators bearish outlook ko support karte hain. Yeh jo currency pair apne ahem resistance levels ko break nahi kar saka aur apni recent highs se peeche hat gaya, yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke mazeed neechey jaane ka imkaan zyada hai.



Aik bara market driver tha US Bureau of Economic Analysis ka aakhri data, jo ye dikhata hai ke Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index 2.5% year-over-year barha, jo ke peechlay mahine jaisa tha, magar 2.6% ke mutawaqae se neeche raha. Yeh data, jo volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, 2.6% barha, jo ke umeedat ke barabar tha lekin 2.7% ke projection se kam tha. Yeh figures US inflation trends ke hawalay se market ke jazbat par asar-andaz hue, aur usi ke natijay mein USD/JPY pair ki movement par bhi farq pada.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Board Member Hajime Takata ne Japan ki economy aur policy direction par apni insights share ki. Takata ne kaha ke jabke Japan ki economy dheere dheere sehtmandi ki taraf barh rahi hai, kuch kamzor signs bhi dekhne ko milte hain. Lekin, unhone yeh yaqeen dilaaya ke BoJ apne inflation target ko haasil karne ke raaste par hai. Stock aur forex markets mein volatility ke bawajood, Takata ke comments ne Japan ke hawalay se market expectations ko mazboot kiya, jis se USD/JPY ki upar ki movement ko support mila.





Hafte ke ikhtitami din par, price ne apni gains ko teesray din tak barhaya, aur 11 hafton ki high 150.37 tak pohch gayi. Traders ne pair ko aur zyada push kiya, jisme Friday ke ikhtitam tak 0.21% ka izafa dekha gaya. Is waqt, pair 149.50 ke qareeb settle hua, jo ke pehle ke sessions se lagbhag bila-tabdeel tha. Magar, 149.45 ke swing lows ke neeche break hone se trend mein bearish shift ka signal mila. Yeh development yeh dikhati hai ke sellers ab 139.57 ke ahem low ko target kar rahe hain, aur mazeed downside momentum ka imkaan bhi zyada hai aane

(H4) chart ke mutabiq, humein dekhne ko mil raha hai ke market abhi ek strong bullish trend mein hai. Price ne recently apne resistance zone ko break kiya hai, jo ke 151.33 aur 152.31 ke darmiyan tha. Abhi price 152.87 pe trade ho rahi hai, aur yeh movement suggest karti hai ke market mein buyers ka control mazid barh raha hai. Chart pe multiple moving averages nazar aa rahe hain, jo sab upwards direction mein hain. Yeh moving averages humein yeh bata rahe hain ke short-term aur long-term dono trends bullish hain. Iska matlab hai ke USD/JPY ka price abhi mazid barhne ke chances zyada hain. Yellow aur white lines ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke yeh short aur long-term moving averages hain, aur jab yeh dono upward ja rahe hote hain, to market mein buying pressure hota hai. Price ke neeche kuch important support levels bhi nazar aa rahe hain. Sabse qareebi support level 149.97 ke qareeb hai, aur uske baad 147.27 aur 145.24 pe major support zones hain. Agar price mein koi pullback ya correction aata hai, to yeh levels important honge buyers ke liye. Stochastic oscillator jo chart ke neeche hai, wo overbought zone mein hai, jahan iska value 92.32 ke qareeb hai. Yeh indicator humein yeh bata raha hai ke market mein buying saturation ho sakti hai, yaani price abhi temporarily high point pe hai aur thoda pullback aasakta hai. Magar abhi tak koi strong sell signal nahi hai, isliye trend ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke price mazid barhne ka potential rakhti hai.

Agar aap trade kar rahe hain, to overbought condition ko dekhte hue cautious rahna chahiye. Price ne resistance zone ko break kiya hai, isliye agar market correction hoti hai, to yeh buyers ke liye ek acha entry point ho sakta hai. Magar agar price neeche ke support levels ko break karti hai, to trend change ke signals bhi aa sakte hain. Akhir mein, yeh chart humein ek bullish scenario dikhata hai, lekin overbought conditions aur stochastic indicator

USD/JPY Market Outlook



Kal USD/JPY ka market takreeban 149.88 ke zone tak pohanch gaya. Aur buyers optimistic nazar aa rahe hain ke wo agle kuch dinon tak is level par rehne ki koshish karenge. Magar agar Fed ka yeh sanket mila ke wo apne rate hikes ko dheema karne ya ulta karne ka soch raha hai, to dollar ko neeche ki taraf pressure ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Isliye, in tamam economic events ke samne aate hi, ek tailored trading strategy banana bohot zaroori hai jo high volatility ke doran achi tarah kaam kare. News-driven market movements aksar tez price fluctuations ka sabab banti hain, isliye ek achi plan ke saath tayar rehna bohot ahem hai.

Ek effective approach yeh hai ke longer time frames, jaise daily ya weekly charts par focus karein, jo short-term market noise ko filter karne mein madad kar sakte hain. Jab broader trends aur key support aur resistance levels ka tajziya karte hain, to traders ko market ki direction ko samajhne mein madad milti hai aur wo temporary price spikes ya dips se behakne se bach sakte hain. Umeed hai ke USD/JPY market buyers ke haq mein rahega. Lekin, humein US dollar se related aane wale news data par nazar rakhni chahiye.

Saath hi, ek news-based trading strategy develop karna traders ko market ke economic data releases par hone wale reactions ka faida uthane mein madad kar sakta hai. Ismein key news events ko pehle se pehchaan kar trades set up karna shamil hai, jisse traders unke expected outcomes ke hisaab se market mein entry kar sakte hain. Ek technique yeh hai ke significant support aur resistance levels ke paas pending orders rakhein, taake traders market mein entry kar saken jab prices news ka response dete hain, bina movement ka peecha kiye. Is approach se sudden market reversals mein phasne ka khatra kam hota hai aur volatile periods mein consistent profits hasil karna asan hota hai.

Chaliye dekhte hain ke kuch ghanton baad USD/JPY market mein kya hota hai.