USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY Price Move

Chaliye usd/jpy currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis karte hain. USD/JPY pair hourly chart par ek uptrend dikhata hai, jahan price 133-period moving average ke upar rehta hai, jo bullish movement ko confirm karta hai. Magar, chhoti time frame par price 133-period moving average ke neeche close ho raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke primary uptrend ke andar ek potential correction ho sakti hai. Price agar 148.01 level ke upar consolidate karta hai, tab long positions lene ka waqt samjha ja sakta hai. Ek alternative selling opportunity tab paida hoti hai jab price 145.16 ke neeche close karta hai. Lekin, hourly chart par established uptrend ke andar buying hi favored strategy rahegi. Aaj USD/JPY pair mein buying sentiment bohot strong hai, kyun ke order book zyada tar buyers ke haq mein hai.

Trend ab bhi bullish hai, aur upward momentum bulls ko favor kar raha hai. Bulls ne apni strength dikhayi hai, har support level par market ko consistently upar push kiya hai, jo bullish trend ko drive kar raha hai. Agar yeh behavior barqarar rehta hai, toh hum ek solid bullish wave ki tawaqo kar sakte hain jo USD/JPY ke liye 149.05 tak target karegi, jo ek critical resistance level hai. Halankeh dauran girawat ke saath lows upar uth rahe hain, primary support level 147.12 ko hold karna zaroori hai taake upward movement barqarar rahe. Correction ka hona USD/JPY ke liye mumkin tha, lekin main agay further growth ke liye optimistic hoon. Iss waqt pair EMA8 par 147.11 aur EMA20 par 147.41 ke darmiyan trade kar raha hai. Main expect karta hoon ke yeh range se breakout hoga aur price 149.81 tak pohonchega. Agar downward movement ko continue karna hai, toh pair ko support breach karna hoga, jisse EMA50 par 146 aur EMA200 par 145.21 ke darmiyan buy zone tak ka rasta khul jata hai.

pair nay apnay pehlay nuqsanat ko reverse kiya aur Monday ko 0.09% ka halkay se faida hasil kiya, jo ke US Dollar ki nayi taqat se mazid mazbooti mili. Filhal yeh pair 148.59 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jab ke din ke low 148.08 ko hit karne ke baad bounce back hua, jo ke bazaar mein ehtiyaat ka izhar karta hai. Lekin, yeh pair ab bhi week ke aakhir mein anay walay aham economic data ki wajah se exposed hai, jo ke mazeed market movement ko trigger kar sakta hai.USD ki taqat ka aik bara wajah US Durable Goods Orders ka strong performance tha, jo ke August mein 9.9% month-over-month barh gaye. Yeh bara izafa tha, khaaskar June ke 6.9% decline ke baad, aur market ki expectation se kafi zyada tha jo ke 4.0% ka izafa tha. Yeh May 2020 se sabse bara izafa tha, jis ne US economy ke slowdown ke hawalay se kuch tashveesh door ki aur US dollar ko temporary boost diya.Federal Reserve ke officials ne bhi overall market outlook mein dovish comments diye. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker ne zor diya ke interest rates ko dheere dheere kam karna chahiye, jo ke Fed ki ehtiyaat se approach ko zahir karta hai. Isi tarah, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee ne kaha ke mojooda monetary policy pehle hi kaafi restrictive hai aur Fed ka focus ab employment targets hasil karne par hai. In remarks ne US dollar ke faiday ko limited rakha, kyun ke market ne mazeed rate hikes ke hawalay se apni expectations adjust kar li.Japanese side par, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne market ko yeh yaqeen dilaya ke central bank ka koi immediate plan nahi hai ke long-term Japanese government bonds (JGBs) ko sell karain, as part of apni interest rate adjustment strategy. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar JGB purchases ko kam kiya gaya tou yeh BoJ ke overall balance sheet ka aik chhota hissa hoga. Sath hi, unho ne yeh bhi bataya ke thodi interest rate adjustments ho sakti hain agar economic conditions bank ki forecast ke mutabiq hui, lekin koi bara policy shift abhi expect nahi kiya ja raha. Aagey dekhte huay, yeh pair ab ek aham downtrend line ke qareeb hai jo ke 148.00 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai tou mazeed declines dekhnay ko mil sakte hain, aur agla target October 4th ka low 145.93 hoga. Agar yeh level break hota h

### USD/JPY Pair ka Halat

USD/JPY pair, jo filhal 145.730 ke aas paas trading kar raha hai, ek bearish trend ka shikar hai. Neeche ki taraf harkat ke bawajood, market kaafi dheemi hai aur ismein koi khaas volatility nahi hai. Lekin, kuch nishaniyan hain ke yeh tabdeel ho sakta hai, jo agle dinon mein badi harkat ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

### Possible Factors for Trend Shift

Is potential shift ke liye kuch wajahen hain. Pehli wajah yeh hai ke US dollar ki recent kamzori is bearish trend ka ahem sabab bani hai. US economic outlook, inflation, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions par concerns ne currency market ko asar daal diya hai. Agar further rate cuts ya economic growth mein slowdown ka koi mazboot nishan milta hai, toh yeh USD par bhaari ho sakta hai aur USD/JPY pair ko neeche le ja sakta hai.

### Yen ki Taiz Harkat

Dusri taraf, Japanese yen ne kuch taqat hasil ki hai, khaaskar apne safe-haven currency ke tor par. Economic uncertainty aur geopolitical tensions aam tor par investors ko mehfooz assets ki taraf le jaati hain, aur yen ismein se ek raha hai. Agar yeh factors barqarar rahte hain ya intesify hote hain, toh yeh USD/JPY ke bearish trend ko support de sakta hai.

### Upward Reversal ke Mauqe

Magar, upar ki taraf reversal ke bhi mauqe hain. Agar US economy mein koi positive developments hoti hain, jese ke stronger-than-expected employment data ya economic policies mein progress, toh yeh dollar ko support de sakta hai aur yen ke khilaf bounce back ka sabab ban sakta hai. Iske ilawa, agar Bank of Japan ki monetary policy stance mein koi tabdeeli aati hai, jaise ke further stimulus ya interest rates mein tabdeeli, toh iska currency pair par khaas asar ho sakta hai.

### Key Economic Data ki Nigrani

Agle dinon mein, traders ko US aur Japan se key economic data releases par nazar rakhni chahiye, jismein inflation rates, GDP figures, aur central bank ke statements shamil hain. Market sentiment in factors ke buniyad par jaldi tabdeel ho sakta hai, aur kisi bhi surprise announcements ya data se USD/JPY pair mein tezi se harkat ho sakti hai.

###

Khulasay ke tor par, jabke USD/JPY filhal bearish trend mein hai, lekin significant market movement ka potential ab bhi maujood hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur economic indicators par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunke yeh agle badi harkat ka rukh tay karne mein madadgar honge.

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka analysis karenge. Main 4-hour chart par USD/JPY currency pair ke liye buying ka ek mauqa dekhta hoon. Current price 142.168 hai, jo ek potential entry point hai. Profit-taking target 145.450 hai, jo buyer support kayam rehne par achievable lagta hai. Friday ko future growth ke duran clearing campaign ka comfort zone ban raha tha, aur 25 September ko Wednesday ke options ke expiration ka imkaan tha. Magar rise Monday aur Wednesday ke call options tak nahi pohoncha. Monday ke next option ka comfort zone current se teen strikes ooper hoga, jo future growth ka achha indicator hai, is se USD/JPY pair ke girne ka imkaan lagta hai. Lekin Wednesday se pehle growth ka target banana behtar nahi hoga, kyun ke yeh zero mark se expiration level trigger kar sakta hai, jo dollar buying ke liye sahi entry point ko confirm karta hai. Natija mein pair lagbhag 50 pips upar gaya, magar main 143.49 ka target level nahi pohonch saka. Retail sales ke achhe figures ne Japan ke kamzor reports ko offset kiya.
Japan ke Manufacturing PMI 50-point mark se neeche raha, jo activity ke contraction ko zahir karta hai, jiski wajah se yen gir gaya aur bullish dollar market ka silsila jari raha. Magar yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke hum ek bearish trend mein hain, aur jitna upar pair jayega, utni hi bari sellers ke market mein wapis anay ki chances barh jati hain. Intraday strategy ke liye, main Scenarios #1 aur #2 par zyada reliance rakhunga.

Buy Signal:

Scenario #1: Aaj main USD/JPY ko khareedne ka plan banata hoon jab price 144.52 ke aas paas pohonche (chart par green line), aur target level 145.38 hoga (thicker green line). 145.38 ke level par main buy positions se exit karunga aur sell positions opposite direction mein kholunga (30-35 pips ki movement opposite direction mein expect karta hoon). Pair ka growth correction ke framework mein ho sakta hai. Important! Buy karne se pehle ensure karen ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur rise karna shuru kare

USD/JPY ki Price Action par Base: USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ka analysis hamaray liye aaj ka central topic hoga. USD/JPY ne trading week ko 146.69 ke area par correction ke sath khatam kiya, aur upward trend ko continue rakha. Halankeh moving averages bearish trend dikha rahe hain, lekin prices 145.01 ke mark se upar hold kar rahi hain, jo ke US dollar par intense buyer pressure ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh bhi ke current levels se growth ka potential maujood hai. Iss point par hum ek potential price correction ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke support level 145.01 ke qareeb test ho sakta hai. Agar is ke baad rebound hota hai, to yeh pair ko 150.01 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar pair girta hai aur 145.01 ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh decline ko continue karne ka signal hoga, aur possible target 142.01 area ke neeche ho sakta hai.
Bull ne trend line break hone ke baad dobara control lene ki koshish ki, lekin unki efforts sirf trend line ko neeche se test karne tak mehdoood rahi, aur koi significant breakthrough nahi ho saka.
Dosri taraf, agar bulls dobara trend line ko break karne mein kamyab ho jate hain aur uske upar position secure kar lete hain, to yeh global trend ki restoration ka signal de sakta hai. General movement of average prices neeche ki taraf hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downward trend ko follow kar raha hai. Pehle dynamic filter ki control line correction ko support de rahi thi, lekin ab daily candle patterns yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke sellers gradually momentum gain kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows ke indicators, jisme dynamic RSI bhi shamil hai, neeche ki taraf turn ho rahe hain, halankeh dynamic RSI abhi channel ke upper limit ke neeche cross nahi hui. Junior RSI bhi dheere dheere neeche shift ho rahi hai, jab ke day aur week RSI neeche hain, aur downward trend ke sath aligned hain.
Predict karna mushkil hai ke agli downward move mein price kitni neeche ja sakti hai, lekin sabse qareebi target 145.51 hai. Iske baad ka direction abhi uncertain hai
USD/JPY currency ki wave structure ko dekhen, toh direction ab kaafi clear hai ke yeh bearish trend mein hai. Jo waves ban rahi hain, wo impulsive waves hain, jo wave one ke shuru honay se start hoti hain. Wave one ke andar paanch waves hain aur wave three bhi waisi hi hai, jo sabse lambi wave hai. Lekin, jo structure sahi tarah se nazar nahi aa raha wo correction wave ka movement hai, yani wave two. Wave two ka movement flat hai aur zyadah monowave lagti hai. Jab ke wave four mein aik tezi se wave ka formation hota hai jo flat aur lamba lagta hai.

USD/JPY Price Action Forecast

Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Main yeh umeed karta hoon ke USD/JPY upar ki taraf jaane wala hai, kyunke yeh 141.51 ke support level se wapas aaya hai. Yeh saaf hai ke yeh pair kuch waqt se barh raha hai, lekin 148.04 ek key resistance hai jo aage barhne mein rukawat daal raha hai. Agar qeemat is level ko todti hai, to hum USD/JPY ko 148.72 ki taraf barhte dekh sakte hain, jahan 147.40 stop-loss level hoga. Is soorat mein, 149.33 ka target rakhna theek lagta hai, uske baad yeh pair ulta ho sakta hai aur 146.2 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh correction ek achha mauka de sakti hai long positions enter karne ka, aur technical indicators is move ko support karte hain.

**Manufacturing PMI Analysis and USD/JPY Strategy**

Manufacturing PMI ab bhi 50-point mark se neeche hai, jo activity mein contraction ka darust karta hai, aur is wajah se yen ki qeemat gir gayi hai, jis se dollar ka bullish market jari raha. Lekin yaad rahe ke hum bearish trend mein hain, aur jaise jaise pair barhta hai, waisa waisa bada bechne walon ka market mein wapas aane ka mauqa barhta hai.

**Intraday Strategy: Scenarios #1 and #2**

**Buy Signal:**

**Scenario #1:** Aaj main USD/JPY ko 144.52 ke entry point par kharidne ka irada rakhta hoon (chart par green line) jiska target level 145.38 hai (chart par thik green line). 145.38 par main buy positions se exit karne ka plan bana raha hoon aur ulte direction mein sell positions kholne ka irada rakhta hoon (is level se 30-35 pips ki movement ki umeed hai). Aap aaj pair ki growth ko sirf correction ke daira mein hi dekh sakte hain. **Important!** Kharidne se pehle ye sunishchit karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur upar ki taraf badh raha ho.

**Scenario #2:** Main aaj USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bhi bana raha hoon agar 144.16 price level par do musalsal tests hoon jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ki neeche ki potential ko limit karega aur market ko upar ki taraf palatne mein madad karega. 144.52 aur 145.38 ki taraf growth ki umeed ki ja sakti hai.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S
U S D / J P Y

Hi, pyaaray forum ke doston, umeed hai aap khair maqdam hain aur apne trading activities ka lutf utha rahe hain. USD/JPY is waqt 149.13 par trade kar raha hai. Yeh chart aage barhne ke asar dikhata hai jab yeh jorh mukhya resistance level ko test karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Is waqt USD/JPY market ka rukh bulls ki taraf hai, bearish jazbat kam hain, aur mustaqbil ab bulls ke haath mein hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bechne wale ilaqe se door ja raha hai. Saath hi, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator se milne wale bullish signals ki badhti taqat positive bias ko mazid majboot karti hai. Is liye, bullish price ki umeed hai ke yeh barhna jari rakhegi. Chart se yeh pata chalta hai ke price 50-day aur 20-day moving averages se upar barh gayi hai. Chart par moving averages yeh darust karti hain ke hum jald 139.81 par agle support level tak wapas jaane wale hain.


Yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke 161.72 ka threshold foran upar ki taraf resistance ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar USD/JPY is resistance line ko todta hai, to yeh 171.88 ke resistance level ko test karne ke liye upar ja sakta hai. Agar USD/JPY 161.72 se upar 171.88 ki resistance ko todta hai, to mazeed barhota dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, 139.81 ka threshold foran neeche ki taraf support ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar USD/JPY is support line ke neeche girta hai, to yeh 127.38 ke support level ko test karne ke liye neeche ja sakta hai. Agar USD/JPY 139.81 ke neeche 127.38 ki support ko todta hai, to mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai.

Kul mila kar, USD/JPY ki price barhne ki umeed hai, lekin abhi tak bulls puri tarah se control mein nahi hain.

Chart mein istemal hone wale indicators:

• MACD indicator
• RSI indicator (period 14)
• 50-day exponential moving average (range: Orange)
• 20-day exponential moving average (range: Magenta)

USD/JPY
Foreign exchange market aksar volatility ka shikar hota hai, jo mukhtalif factors jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment ke tabadlon se mutasir hota hai. Jab currency pairs ka analysis kiya jata hai, kuch specific technical levels ahem indicators ke taur par kaam karte hain jo potential price movements ko samajhne mein madad dete hain. Iss context mein hum 144.00 aur 145.60 levels ke implications ko examine karenge is currency pair ke liye.
Jab ek currency pair 144.00 level ke qareeb aata hai, yeh traders ke liye aksar ek psychological barrier ban jata hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein ek tabadli ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo ek short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakta hai. Short-covering tab hoti hai jab wo traders jo currency pair ke against bet karte hain (yaani short positions lete hain), apni positions close karna shuru karte hain jab prices upar jati hain. Yeh buying pressure momentum create kar sakta hai jo price ko upar le jaye, aur shayad agle resistance area tak pohcha de jo 144.55 hai.

144.55 level is liye crucial hai kyun ke yeh ek short-term resistance point ko represent karta hai jise traders ghoor se dekh rahe honge. Agar price is level tak pohchti hai aur rejection ka samna karti hai, toh yeh profit-taking ya renewed selling pressure ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo rally ke dauran hasil ki gayi gains ko reverse kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair is level ko convincingly break kar leta hai, toh yeh further buying interest ko attract kar sakta hai, jo ek ziada strong bullish trend ko suggest karta hai.

Lekin, traders ko longer-term upward trend mein confidence tab hoga jab currency pair key resistance level 145.60 ko overcome karega. Yeh level is liye significant hai ke pehle bhi price reversals is level par dekhne ko mile hain. 145.60 mark par shayad sellers ka intezar hoga jo market ke overextended hone ko dekhte hue profit kamaana chahte honge. Is liye yeh level aksar ziada trading volume aur heightened volatility ko dekhta hai.

Trading mein psychological aspect ko underestimate nahi karna chahiye. Resistance levels jaise 145.60 aksar traders ko apni positions par doobara sochne par majboor karte hain, jo market activity ko barha dete hain jab wo price movements par react karte hain. Agar pair 145.60 ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh ek significant momentum shift ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo further upward movement ka sabab ban sakta hai. Wo traders jo pehli rally miss kar chuke hain, shayad positions lein, anticipating ek bullish continuation.

Doosri taraf, agar pair 145.60 resistance ko breach karne mein nakam hota hai aur retrace karna shuru karta hai, toh yeh ziada pronounced bearish sentiment ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is level par rejection stop-loss orders ko trigger kar sakti hai un traders se jo breakout ke liye position le chuke hain, jo price par downward pressure barha dega. Aisi surat mein, focus neeche support levels par shift hoga, jo currency pair ke agle direction ko determine karne mein pivotal role ada karenge.

Conclusion:
Price action jo 144.00 aur 145.60 levels ke aas paas hoti hai, yeh currency pair ke potential movements ko samajhne mein bohot ahem hai. 144.00 ke upar ka breakout ek short-covering rally ko ignite kar sakta hai jo prices ko 144.55 tak le jaaye, jab ke 145.60 par key resistance ko dekhna zaroori hai for sustained upward momentum. Traders ko technical levels ke saath broader market context ka bhi dhyaan rakhna chahiye, jaise ke economic indicators aur geopolitical developments, jo price behavior ko impact kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

Forex community ko salam! Mujhe umeed hai ke aap meri latest post analysis se lutf uthaenge. Dollar index 149.40 se shuru hota hai aur ab US dollar 149.12 cents per dollar par trade ho raha hai. Dollar index mein kami aa rahi hai. Agar ye upar ki taraf barhta hai, to dollar ko 149.50 aur 148.50 par resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai. Dollar ki qeemat mein kami se pehle aur doosre supports 149.67 aur 149.90 khatam ho sakte hain. Momentum oscillator 147.70 par neeche ja raha hai. Jab momentum girta hai, to market prices bhi girein gi. USD/JPY pair ab 147.95 par trade ho raha hai.

**Technical Analysis Update**

Daily time frame mein bullish price movement dekha ja raha hai. Agar market price girta hai, to primary support 146.40 aur secondary support 146.35 tod diya jayega. Agar market upar ki taraf move kare, to resistance level 146.90 se 147.35 ke beech break ho sakta hai. Jab 110–50 periods ki moving averages market price se upar hain, to price 149.30 aur 149.45 par resistance lines ko cross kar sakta hai. Halankeh negative volume bar ke neeche hai, MACD indicator abhi bhi -149.10 par hai. RSI-14 indicator par oversold aur overbought areas ke beech mein sirf thoda gap hai, jo 147.50 par hai. Candle ka 200SMA line 149.25 par hai. CCl (14) indicator yeh dikhata hai ke market 149.30 par overbought hai. Stochastic indicator se yeh pata chalta hai ke market overbought ya oversold hai. Stochastic 85.70 ke aas paas hai, jo yeh batata hai ke market ne overbought conditions ko achieve kar liya hai.

### USD/JPY Technical Analysis

**H4 Timeframe Technical Analysis:**

H4 timeframe par, USD/JPY ne aik ascending channel banaya hai jis ka upward extension hai. Price ne haal hi mein channel ke upper boundary ko test kiya, rebound kiya, aur pull back hua, lekin yeh ab bhi upper edge ke kareeb hai, key levels 149.01 aur 149.60 ke darmiyan consolidate kar raha hai. Ichimoku Cloud indicator bullish outlook ko support karta hai, kyunki cloud price ke neeche hai, jo buying ko barqarar rakhne ka ishara hai. Aakhri H4 candle ne bullish engulfing pattern bana kar 149.01 ke upar close kiya, jo 149.60 ki taraf potential rise ka sujhaav deta hai.

Agar price 149.60 par rejection ka samna karta hai, to 147.02 ki taraf girawat ka imkaan hai, jahan pair ya to rebound karega aur uptrend ko resume karega ya phir neeche ki taraf break kar ke extended channel ki lower boundary ko test karega. Wahan se agar further breakdown hota hai, to target 144.20 level hoga, jo deeper corrective movement ka ishara hai.


Agar price 149.60 par rejection ka samna karta hai, to 147.02 ki taraf girawat ka imkaan hai, jahan pair ya to rebound karega aur uptrend ko resume karega ya phir neeche ki taraf break kar ke extended channel ki lower boundary ko test karega. Wahan se agar further breakdown hota hai, to target 144.20 level hoga, jo deeper corrective movement ka ishara hai.

### Conclusion

Main yeh umeed karta hoon ke USD/JPY market bullish rehne ki ummeed hai, jo 200 EMA par mabni hai, jo aage ki upward momentum ko support karta hai. Jab se pair 148.70 level ke upar close hua hai, buyers ka control mazboot hai.

USD/JPY Profit Potential
Hamari discussion USD/JPY currency pair ki real-time price action par hai. USD/JPY pair ka recent strength badhne ki wajah ruling party ki leadership mein tabdeeli aur early parliamentary elections ka elan hai. Magar yeh political shifts aise significant economic changes ka sabab nahi lagte, isliye 143.79 support level ka breakdown zyada der tak nahi raha, aur pair jaldi se is threshold ke upar wapas aa gaya. Sabse qareebi resistance jo dollar-yen pair ke liye mazboot ho sakti hai, wo 147.28 ke aas paas hai. Mujhe shak hai ke yeh level short term mein asani se cross ho payega, isliye mein buying opportunities ko consider nahi kar raha. Iske bajaye, mujhe lagta hai sellers phir se koshish karenge ke 143.79 support ko torain, jo USD/JPY ko 142.89-142.49 zone tak push kar sakta hai. Agar yeh scenario unfold hota hai, toh mein un levels par closely dekhunga ke buying opportunities milti hain ya nahi, magar sirf unhi levels se. 4-hour chart (H4) par Ribbon indicator ek trend signal karta hai aur green color dikhata hai. 30-minute chart (M30) bhi upward trend show kar raha hai, aur ribbon indicator green hai, jo ongoing bullish movement ko support karta hai. Is basis par, 143.84 level se buying positions consider karna worth ho sakta hai, jisme initial targets us range mein honge. Magar agar Ribbon indicator koi opposing signal deta hai, toh yeh behtar hoga ke existing trades ko close kar diya jaye. USD/JPY pair abhi tak is range mein hai. Har dip se price likely hai ke wapas bounce kare, halaanke 144.59 ke qareeb resistance bhi ban raha hai. Pair koshish kar raha hai ke is resistance ko break karke iske upar stabilize kare. Magar is koshish ki success abhi uncertain hai. Jitna price extreme imbalance zone ke qareeb jata hai, downward rebound ka likelihood utna hi barhta hai. Overall, USD/JPY pair gradually appreciate kar raha hai US dollar ki broad strengthening ki wajah se, jo ke US employment report ke pehle ho rahi hai, jo Friday ko release hogi.

Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ki current price assessment ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY upar move karega, kyun ke ye 141.51 ke support level se rebound kar chuka hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke pair kuch arsay se barh raha hai, lekin 148.04 ek key resistance bana hua hai jo mazeed progress ko rok raha hai. Agar price is level ko break kar leta hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/JPY 148.72 ki taraf barhega, jahan 147.40 ko stop-loss level rakha jayega. Is scenario mein 149.33 ko target karna reasonable lagta hai, jiske baad pair reverse ho sakta hai aur 146.2 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh correction ek acha moka de sakta hai long positions enter karne ka, aur technical indicators is move ko support karte hain. Manufacturing PMI 50-point mark se neeche raha, jo activity mein contraction ko indicate karta hai, jis ki wajah se yen girta raha, aur bullish dollar market kal se barqarar hai. Lekin, yaad rakhnay wali baat yeh hai ke hum bearish trend mein hain, aur jitna upar pair jata hai, utni hi zyada chances hain ke big sellers wapas market mein aayen. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada reliance Scenario #1 aur #2 implement karne par karoon ga.
Buy Signal Scenario number 1: Aaj main plan kar raha hoon ke USD/JPY ko us entry point par buy karoon jo 144.52 ke qareeb ho (chart par green line ke sath). Target level 145.38 hoga (chart par mote green line ke sath). Jab price 145.38 level tak pohnchay ga, main buy positions ko exit kar ke opposite direction mein sell positions open karoon ga (is level se 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein expect kiya jata hai). Aap pair ki growth ka andaza sirf correction ke framework ke andar laga sakte hain. Important! Buy karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur barhna shuru kar raha ho.
Scenario number 2: Main aaj USD/JPY ko do consecutive tests ke baad buy karne ka bhi plan kar raha hoon agar 144.16 price level test hota hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market mein reversal upwards ki taraf le aayega. Growth ke umeed opposite levels 144.52 aur 145.38 tak ki ja sakti hai.

USD/JPY pair jo is waqt 145.730 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, bearish trend ka shikar hai. Downward movement ke bawajood market thodi slow hai aur significant volatility kaafi kam hai. Magar kuch indications hain ke yeh situation badal sakti hai aur agle kuch dino mein koi bari movement ho sakti hai.Is shift ke peeche kai factors ho sakte hain. Pehle to, recent mein US dollar ki kamzori ne bearish trend ko drive kiya hai. US economic outlook ke hawalay se concerns, inflation, aur Federal Reserve ki interest rate decisions ne currency market ko mutasir kiya hai. Agar further rate cuts ya economic growth slowdown ke bare mein strong indications milti hain, to yeh USD par bohot zyada asar dal sakta hai aur USD/JPY pair ko aur neeche push kar sakta hai.Doosri taraf, Japanese yen kuch strength gain kar raha hai, jo ke mainly safe-haven currency hone ki wajah se hai. Economic uncertainty aur geopolitical tensions investors ko safer assets ki taraf le jati hain, aur yen historically unmein se ek hai. Agar yeh factors barqarar rehte hain ya aur zyada intense hote hain, to yeh USD/JPY ke bearish trend ko support de sakte hain. Lekin ek upward reversal ke chances bhi hain. Agar US economy mein koi positive developments hoti hain, jaise stronger-than-expected employment data ya economic policies mein progress, to yeh dollar ko support de sakti hain aur yen ke against bounce back ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, agar Bank of Japan apni monetary policy stance mein koi tabdeeli karti hai, jaise further stimulus ya interest rates mein changes, to iska currency pair par significant impact ho sakta hai.Agle kuch dino mein traders ko dono taraf se key economic data releases ko dekhna chahiye, chahe woh US se ho ya Japan se, jisme inflation rates, GDP figures, aur central bank statements shaamil hain. Market sentiment in factors ke hawalay se jaldi badal sakta hai aur koi bhi surprise announcement ya data USD/JPY pair mein sharp movements la sakta hai.Summary mein, jabke USD/JPY abhi bearish trend mein hai, significant movement ka potential hamesha mojood hai.

koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein . Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm

jo ke US Dollar ki nayi taqat se mazid mazbooti mili. Filhal yeh pair 148.59 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jab ke din ke low 148.08 ko hit karne ke baad bounce back hua, jo ke bazaar mein ehtiyaat ka izhar karta hai. Lekin, yeh pair ab bhi week ke aakhir mein anay walay aham economic data ki wajah se exposed hai, jo ke mazeed market movement ko trigger kar sakta hai.USD ki taqat ka aik bara wajah US Durable Goods Orders ka strong performance tha, jo ke August mein 9.9% month-over-month barh gaye. Yeh bara izafa tha, khaaskar June ke 6.9% decline ke baad, aur market ki expectation se kafi zyada tha jo ke 4.0% ka izafa tha. Yeh May 2020 se sabse bara izafa tha, jis ne US economy ke slowdown ke hawalay se kuch tashveesh door ki aur US dollar ko temporary boost diya.Federal Reserve ke officials ne bhi overall market outlook mein dovish comments diye. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker ne zor diya ke interest rates ko dheere dheere kam karna chahiye, jo ke Fed ki ehtiyaat se approach ko zahir karta hai. Isi tarah, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee ne kaha ke mojooda monetary policy pehle hi kaafi restrictive hai aur Fed ka focus ab employment targets hasil karne par hai. In remarks ne US dollar ke faiday ko limited rakha, kyun ke market ne mazeed rate hikes ke hawalay se apni expectations adjust kar li.Japanese side par, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne market ko yeh yaqeen dilaya ke central bank ka koi immediate plan nahi hai ke long-term Japanese government bonds (JGBs) ko sell karain, as part of apni interest rate adjustment strategy. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar JGB purchases ko kam kiya gaya tou yeh BoJ ke overall balance sheet ka aik chhota hissa hoga. Sath hi, unho ne yeh bhi bataya ke thodi interest rate adjustments ho sakti hain agar economic conditions bank ki forecast ke mutabiq hui, lekin koi bara policy shift abhi expect nahi kiya ja raha. Aagey dekhte huay, yeh pair ab ek aham downtrend line ke qareeb hai jo ke 148.00 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai tou mazeed declines dekhnay ko mil sakte hain, aur agla target October 4th ka low 145.93 hoga. Agar yeh level break hota ha