USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY ne 143.30 ke aas-paas support level se bounce back kiya, jo ek mazboot buniyad bana renewed upward push ke liye. Is rebound ka matlab hai ke agar bullish momentum qaim rehti hai aur broader market sentiment U.S. dollar ke haq mein rehti hai, toh yeh pair qareebi arsay mein aur upar ja sakta hai.
Lekin, is positive outlook ke bawajood, pair ab ek aham challenge ka samna kar raha hai 149.50 level par, jo ek significant resistance zone ke taur par samnay aayi hai. Guzishta chand trading sessions mein, yeh resistance level ek mazboot rukawat sabit hui hai, jo price ko apni gains extend karne se rok rahi hai. Har baar jab pair ne 149.50 ke qareeb pohchne ki koshish ki, sellers ne beech mein aakar upward momentum ko rok diya, jisse minor pullbacks dekhne ko mile. Is resistance level ko break na kar paane ka yeh matlab hai ke bullish trend abhi tak barqarar hai, lekin iss doran selling pressure kaafi zyada hai, jo pair ko naye highs tak pahunchne se rok raha hai.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh, 149.50 resistance sirf ek psychological barrier nahi, balki historical price action levels se bhi milta hai. Yeh area buyers aur sellers ke liye badi dilchaspi ka markaz hai. Agar price 149.50 ko break kar leti hai, woh bhi strong volume aur momentum ke sath, toh aage mazeed gains ki rah dekhayi ja sakti hai, jo 150.00 ke psychological level ko ya usse bhi ooper target kar sakti hai. Iske bar’aks, agar pair phir se 149.50 ko breach nahi kar pati aur neeche retreat kar jati hai, toh yeh bullish trend mein temporary exhaustion ka ishara de sakti hai, jisse 147.00 support level ki taraf pullback ho sakta hai.

Is surat mein, traders ko koi bhi additional confirmation, jese ke bearish candlestick patterns ya buying interest mein kami, ka intezar karna chahiye, taake trading decisions liye ja sakein. USD/JPY iss waqt ek critical juncture par hai, jahan 149.50 resistance ek key level ban chuka hai. Agar yeh hurdle paar ho jati hai, toh aage mazeed upward movement ka rasta ban sakta hai. Jab tak aisa nahi hota, traders ko ihtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur dekha chahiye ke pair is pivotal level par kaise behave karta hai

, jo ek mazboot buniyad bana renewed upward push ke liye. Is rebound ka matlab hai ke agar bullish momentum qaim rehti hai aur broader market sentiment U.S. dollar ke haq mein rehti hai, toh yeh pair qareebi arsay mein aur upar ja sakta hai. Lekin, is positive outlook ke bawajood, pair ab ek aham challenge ka samna kar raha hai 149.50 level par, jo ek significant resistance zone ke taur par samnay aayi hai. Guzishta chand trading sessions mein, yeh resistance level ek mazboot rukawat sabit hui hai, jo price ko apni gains extend karne se rok rahi hai. Har baar jab pair ne 149.50 ke qareeb pohchne ki koshish ki, sellers ne beech mein aakar upward momentum ko rok diya, jisse minor pullbacks dekhne ko mile. Is resistance level ko break na kar paane ka yeh matlab hai ke bullish trend abhi tak barqarar hai, lekin iss doran selling pressure kaafi zyada hai, jo pair ko naye highs tak pahunchne se rok raha hai.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh, 149.50 resistance sirf ek psychological barrier nahi, balki historical price action levels se bhi milta hai. Yeh area buyers aur sellers ke liye badi dilchaspi ka markaz hai. Agar price 149.50 ko break kar leti hai, woh bhi strong volume aur momentum ke sath, toh aage mazeed gains ki rah dekhayi ja sakti hai, jo 150.00 ke psychological level ko ya usse bhi ooper target kar sakti hai. Iske bar’aks, agar pair phir se 149.50 ko breach nahi kar pati aur neeche retreat kar jati hai, toh yeh bullish trend mein temporary exhaustion ka ishara de sakti hai, jisse 147.00 support level ki taraf pullback ho sakta hai.

Is surat mein, traders ko koi bhi additional confirmation, jese ke bearish candlestick patterns ya buying interest mein kami, ka intezar karna chahiye, taake trading decisions liye ja sakein. USD/JPY iss waqt ek critical juncture par hai, jahan 149.50 resistance ek key level ban chuka hai. Agar ye

USD/JPY pair nay apnay pehlay nuqsanat ko reverse kiya aur Monday ko 0.09% ka halkay se faida hasil kiya, jo ke US Dollar ki nayi taqat se mazid mazbooti mili. Filhal yeh pair 148.59 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jab ke din ke low 148.08 ko hit karne ke baad bounce back hua, jo ke bazaar mein ehtiyaat ka izhar karta hai. Lekin, yeh pair ab bhi week ke aakhir mein anay walay aham economic data ki wajah se exposed hai, jo ke mazeed market movement ko trigger kar sakta hai.USD ki taqat ka aik bara wajah US Durable Goods Orders ka strong performance tha, jo ke August mein 9.9% month-over-month barh gaye. Yeh bara izafa tha, khaaskar June ke 6.9% decline ke baad, aur market ki expectation se kafi zyada tha jo ke 4.0% ka izafa tha. Yeh May 2020 se sabse bara izafa tha, jis ne US economy ke slowdown ke hawalay se kuch tashveesh door ki aur US dollar ko temporary boost diya.Federal Reserve ke officials ne bhi overall market outlook mein dovish comments diye. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker ne zor diya ke interest rates ko dheere dheere kam karna chahiye, jo ke Fed ki ehtiyaat se approach ko zahir karta hai. Isi tarah, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee ne kaha ke mojooda monetary policy pehle hi kaafi restrictive hai aur Fed ka focus ab employment targets hasil karne par hai. In remarks ne US dollar ke faiday ko limited rakha, kyun ke market ne mazeed rate hikes ke hawalay se apni expectations adjust kar li.Japanese side par, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne market ko yeh yaqeen dilaya ke central bank ka koi immediate plan nahi hai ke long-term Japanese government bonds (JGBs) ko sell karain, as part of apni interest rate adjustment strategy. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar JGB purchases ko kam kiya gaya tou yeh BoJ ke overall balance sheet ka aik chhota hissa hoga. Sath hi, unho ne yeh bhi bataya ke thodi interest rate adjustments ho sakti hain agar economic conditions bank ki forecast ke mutabiq hui, lekin koi bara policy shift abhi expect nahi kiya ja raha.
Aagey dekhte huay, yeh pair ab ek aham downtrend line ke qareeb hai jo ke 148.00 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai tou mazeed declines dekhnay ko mil sakte hain, aur agla target October 4th ka low 145.93 hoga. Agar yeh level break hota hai, tou 145.00 ka mark mazeed selling pressure ko trigger kar sakta hai.
Haal hi mein retracement ke bawajood, broader uptrend USD/JPY ke liye ab bhi intact hai. Buyers ne is pair ko 149.00 se ooper push kiya, lekin unko 150.00 ke psychological resistance ko torhna mushkil lag raha hai. Technical indicators, jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), yeh suggest karte hain ke jabke buyers ka control ab bhi hai, unki momentum thodi kamzor hui hai, jo ke pair ko future mein further pullbacks ka shikar bana sakti hai.

USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke key support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka USD/JPY ko bara taur par dekha jaye, toh downtrend ko extend karein aur samjhein ke pair ne uptrend ko tod diya hai, aur agar trend badla nahi, toh pair ek achi correction ki taraf ja raha hai. 147.18 se neeche, kam az kam yeh technically hona chahiye, ya toh pair mojooda level par kuch dair tak stable rahe aur phir barh jaye, lekin correct ho. Yahan, khud US dollar market-wide correction ke liye tayar hai. Yeh girawat ruk gaya hai aur ab waqt hai 3-4% correction ka, toh growth zyada zahir hai, aur girawat ka silsila jari rahega. Agar pair 140.50 ke qareeb break karta hai, toh yeh lagbhag ek naya low aur ek mazbootlagbhag ek naya low aur ek mazboot level hoga. Kal hum University of Michigan inflation forecast ka intezar karenge aur market ke ispar reaction ko dekhenge. Sach kahun toh aaj ke US data par market ka reaction ajeeb tha. level hoga. Kal hum University of Michigan inflation forecast ka intezar karenge aur market ke ispar reaction ko dekhenge. Sach kahun


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USD-JPY ka bullish movement jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. H4 timeframe ke daur se mein ne aik tafseeli image banayi hai, jo dikhati hai ke kaise H4 timeframe mein bullish movement ne aik bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jis mein higher highs aur lower lows dekhnay ko milay. Yeh condition is baat ki potential rakhti hai ke ek aur zyada taqatwar bullish movement trigger ho sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale par jo candle pattern bana hai, us ke madde nazar, yeh kafi zyada imkaan hai ke USD-JPY apni bullish trend is haftay bhi jaari rakhe. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to hum trading ke mouqe se faida utha sakte hain, is liye humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi additional price fluctuation ka intezar karna chahiye. Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke humain hamesha doosray indicators aur important levels se tasdeeq leni chahiye jo humari decisions mein madad kar sakein. Is liye, chaliye hum USD-JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur moqay ke mutabiq action lenay ke liye tayar rahain USD/JPY pair ko dekhna zaroori hai, jo ke lagta hai bullish continuation ka ishara de raha hai, khaaskar jab kal raat ke buying volume ne 144.85 ke resistance area tak pohanchne ki koshish ki thi. Iss surat-e-haal mein, ab tak mujhe lagta hai ke market mein mazeed izafa karne ki koshish ho rahi hai kyun ke abhi tak upward phase mein movement ho rahi hai. Mere agle trading plan mein, main 145.16 ke area ke ird gird buy entry lene ka soch raha hoon. Market ke movement pattern ko dekhte hue, khaaskar jab market ne chand ghanton mein upar ki taraf harakat ki, lekin izafa utna zyada nahi hua.

**USD/JPY Price Outlook:**

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke ongoing live evaluation ke sath mutabiq hai. Pichle hafte, USD/JPY ka hourly chart yeh dikhata hai ke Monday ko shuru mein growth hui, lekin baad mein ek decline ne support level 142.386 ko tod diya. Ek sell signal support level 140.687 ke qareeb tha, lekin yeh effective sabit nahi hua. Uske baad price 142.386 ke upar chali gayi, jisse ek successful buy signal trigger hua jo Tuesday ke resistance level 144.249 tak pohanch gaya. Wednesday ko price ne ek narrow range mein fluctuation ki, lekin aakhir kar resistance 144.249 ko break kiya, jisse buy signal mila jo resistance 142.103 tak target karta tha, aur yeh bhi effective raha. Thursday ko price ek trading range mein rahi, ek brief decline ka attempt hua, lekin aakhir mein price surge hui aur resistance 148.385 ko paar kar gayi, ab buy signal 151.739 tak relevant ban gaya hai. Candlestick patterns is waqt buyers ke liye favorable hain, jo aage ke bullish trend ki potential ko dikhate hain.

Ab sawal yeh hai ke USD/JPY currency pair ki price quotes agay kahan ja sakti hain? Jab tak 100 grams nahi honge, aap ko yeh samajh nahi aayega. Ek taraf, naye Japanese Prime Minister yen ko support de rahe hain, aur doosri taraf, Powell ne American dollar ko ek moka diya hai. Abhi ke liye, direction ka koi forecast nahi hai, aur naturally koi trading plan bhi nahi hai. Trading week shuru ho chuka hai, yaani ke pichle hafte se ab tak ek pura hafta guzar chuka hai jab maine USD/JPY ka theoretical analysis kiya tha, aur is waqt ke dauran kuch interesting cheezen hui hain jo hamari tawajjo ke qabil hain.

Shuru mein lagta tha ke Japan ke naye Prime Minister ke appointment ke baad yen ko support mila, lekin sab kuch galat sabit hua, aur is waja se Japanese yen har taraf se kamzor hone laga. Phir American dollar ko USA ke important fundamental data se support milna shuru ho gaya, jisme sabse aham nonkilometers report thi. Natijatan, ek reverse rebound upward direction mein huwa, jo support level 142.00 se lekar resistance level 149.00 tak gaya, aur yeh lagbhag 700 points ka growth tha upward. Haan, yeh trading instrument, USD/JPY, kaafi zyada back and forth move karta hai.

**USD/JPY Price Outlook**

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ki current pricing par ongoing live evaluation ke sath mutabiqat rakhti hai. Guzishta haftay, USD/JPY pair ke hourly chart ne pehle Monday ko izafi growth dikhayi, jiske baad ek decline aaya jo support level 142.386 ko tor gaya. Ek sell signal 140.687 ke support level ke kareeb tha, magar yeh bekaar sabit hua. Phir price 142.386 ke upar chali gayi, jis ne Tuesday ke resistance level 144.249 tak ek successful buy signal trigger kiya. Wednesday ko, price narrow range mein fluctuate karti rahi magar aakhir mein resistance 144.249 ko tor gayi, jiske baad ek buy signal 142.103 ke resistance ko target karte hue, jo effective raha.

Thursday ko, price trading range mein rahi, kuch dair ke liye decline karne ki koshish ki, magar aakhir kar resistance 148.385 ko cross kar gayi, jis ne buy signal ko 151.739 ke target tak le gaye jo ab relevant hai. Candlestick patterns ab buyers ke haq mein hain, jo ek potential bullish trend ko zahir kar rahe hain.

Ab USD/JPY pair ke price quotes kahan ja sakte hain? Jab tak aap "hundred grams" nahi lete, aap samajh nahi paenge! Ek taraf, naya Japanese Prime Minister yen ko support kar raha hai, aur doosri taraf, Powell ne American dollar ko ek mauka diya hai. Filhal koi forecast nahi ki ja sakti movement direction ke baare mein, aur issi ke saath koi trading plan bhi nahi hai. Trading week shuru ho chuka hai, yani guzishta haftay ka aik hafta guzar gaya hai jab maine USD/JPY pair ka theoretical analysis kiya tha aur ab tak kayi interesting cheezen hui hain jo tawajju ki haqdaar hain.

Pehle aisa laga ke Japan ke naye Prime Minister ki taqreeb ke baad yen ko support mil rahi thi, magar sab kuch ulat nikla, aur is wajah se Japanese yen har taraf se girti gayi. Phir American dollar ko important fundamental data ke zariye support milna shuru hua, aur sabse ahem non-kilometers sabit hue. Iska natija yeh nikla ke ek reverse rebound northern direction mein 142.00 ke support level se 149.00 ke resistance level tak dekhne ko mila, aur yeh lagbhag 700 points ka upward growth tha. Haan, yeh trading instrument, USD/JPY, kaafi tezi se idhar udhar daurti hai!

**USD/JPY Price Outlook: Roman Urdu Mein**

Hamara guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ki ongoing live evaluation ke sath mutabiqat rakhti hai. Pichlay haftay, USD/JPY ke hourly chart ne Monday ko pehle kuch izafa dikhaya, lekin phir girawat hui jo support level 142.386 ko tor diya. Ek sell signal support level 140.687 ke qareeb tha lekin yeh effective sabit nahi hua. Is ke baad, price 142.386 ke upar chali gayi, jisse Tuesday ka resistance level 144.249 ka successful buy signal trigger hua. Wednesday ko price ek narrow range mein fluctuate karti rahi, magar aakhir mein 144.249 ka resistance tor diya, jisse ek aur buy signal mila jo 142.103 ka target kar raha tha, aur yeh bhi effective sabit hua.

Thursday ko, price trading range mein rahi, kuch girawat ka imtihan liya, magar phir 148.385 ka resistance tor diya, aur ab buy signal 151.739 ka relevant ho gaya hai. Candlestick patterns iss waqt buyers ke liye favorable hain, jo ke ek potential bullish trend ka ishara de rahe hain.

Jahan tak USD/JPY currency pair ke price quotes ka taluq hai, agla step kahan jaa sakta hai? Yeh aap zaroor samajh nahi sakte jab tak "hundred grams" nahi lete. Ek taraf, naye Japanese Prime Minister yen ko support kar rahe hain, aur doosri taraf Powell ne American dollar ko ek mauqa diya hai. To iss waqt koi direction ki forecast nahi hai, aur na hi koi trading plan. Trading week shuru ho gaya hai, aur poora ek hafta guzar gaya hai jab se maine USD/JPY currency pair ka theoretical analysis kiya tha, aur ab tak kya interesting cheezain hui hain jo humari tawajjo deserve karti hain.

Pehle lagta tha ke jab naye Prime Minister Japan mein appointed hue, yen ne support li, magar yeh sab ghalat sabit hua, aur is wajah se Japanese yen poori market mein kamzor hona shuru ho gayi. Phir American dollar ko US ke important fundamental data se support milna shuru hua, aur sabse ahem data "nonkilometers" ka tha. Natijatan, ek reverse rebound upar ki taraf hamesha ki tarah north ki direction mein support level 142.00 se lekar resistance level 149.00 tak hua, aur yeh poore 700 points ka growth tha. Haan, yeh trading instrument USD/JPY wapas aage peeche chalti rehti hai kaafi zyada.

USD/JPY
Foreign exchange market aksar volatility ka shikar hota hai, jo mukhtalif factors jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment ke tabadlon se mutasir hota hai. Jab currency pairs ka analysis kiya jata hai, kuch specific technical levels ahem indicators ke taur par kaam karte hain jo potential price movements ko samajhne mein madad dete hain. Iss context mein hum 144.00 aur 145.60 levels ke implications ko examine karenge is currency pair ke liye.
Jab ek currency pair 144.00 level ke qareeb aata hai, yeh traders ke liye aksar ek psychological barrier ban jata hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein ek tabadli ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo ek short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakta hai. Short-covering tab hoti hai jab wo traders jo currency pair ke against bet karte hain (yaani short positions lete hain), apni positions close karna shuru karte hain jab prices upar jati hain. Yeh buying pressure momentum create kar sakta hai jo price ko upar le jaye, aur shayad agle resistance area tak pohcha de jo 144.55 hai.

144.55 level is liye crucial hai kyun ke yeh ek short-term resistance point ko represent karta hai jise traders ghoor se dekh rahe honge. Agar price is level tak pohchti hai aur rejection ka samna karti hai, toh yeh profit-taking ya renewed selling pressure ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo rally ke dauran hasil ki gayi gains ko reverse kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair is level ko convincingly break kar leta hai, toh yeh further buying interest ko attract kar sakta hai, jo ek ziada strong bullish trend ko suggest karta hai.

Lekin, traders ko longer-term upward trend mein confidence tab hoga jab currency pair key resistance level 145.60 ko overcome karega. Yeh level is liye significant hai ke pehle bhi price reversals is level par dekhne ko mile hain. 145.60 mark par shayad sellers ka intezar hoga jo market ke overextended hone ko dekhte hue profit kamaana chahte honge. Is liye yeh level aksar ziada trading volume aur heightened volatility ko dekhta hai.

Trading mein psychological aspect ko underestimate nahi karna chahiye. Resistance levels jaise 145.60 aksar traders ko apni positions par doobara sochne par majboor karte hain, jo market activity ko barha dete hain jab wo price movements par react karte hain. Agar pair 145.60 ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh ek significant momentum shift ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo further upward movement ka sabab ban sakta hai. Wo traders jo pehli rally miss kar chuke hain, shayad positions lein, anticipating ek bullish continuation.

Doosri taraf, agar pair 145.60 resistance ko breach karne mein nakam hota hai aur retrace karna shuru karta hai, toh yeh ziada pronounced bearish sentiment ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is level par rejection stop-loss orders ko trigger kar sakti hai un traders se jo breakout ke liye position le chuke hain, jo price par downward pressure barha dega. Aisi surat mein, focus neeche support levels par shift hoga, jo currency pair ke agle direction ko determine karne mein pivotal role ada karenge.

Conclusion:
Price action jo 144.00 aur 145.60 levels ke aas paas hoti hai, yeh currency pair ke potential movements ko samajhne mein bohot ahem hai. 144.00 ke upar ka breakout ek short-covering rally ko ignite kar sakta hai jo prices ko 144.55 tak le jaaye, jab ke 145.60 par key resistance ko dekhna zaroori hai for sustained upward momentum. Traders ko technical levels ke saath broader market context ka bhi dhyaan rakhna chahiye, jaise ke economic indicators aur geopolitical developments, jo price behavior ko impact kar sakte hain.

اکتوبر 10 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

پچھلے ین کے تجزیے میں، ہم نے فرض کیا تھا کہ قیمت 149.38 کے ہدف کی سطح تک نہیں پہنچے گی کیونکہ فبونیکی سطحوں پر پہلے ہی کام ہو چکا تھا۔ تاہم، کل، ہدف کی سطح کا تجربہ کیا گیا تھا. اس حرکت کے نتیجے میں روزانہ چارٹ پر مارلن آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ کمزور انحراف ہوا ہے۔



الٹ جانے کا امکان پہنچی ہوئی سطح سے شروع ہو رہا ہے۔ اس کی تصدیق 147.22 کی سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے کی طرف سے ہوگی، جو قیمت نے 8 تاریخ کو حاصل نہیں کی۔ اگر 147.22 پر سپورٹ ٹوٹ جائے تو ہدف 144.67 کے ارد گرد ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے ساتھ کھل جائے گا، اس کے بعد 143.60۔



قیمت اور آسیلیٹر چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر زیادہ اہم فرق پیدا کرتے ہیں۔ مختلف ٹائم فریموں میں ایک جیسے پیٹرن ایک دوسرے کو تقویت دیتے ہیں۔ قیمت کو فی الحال اس طرح کی حمایت کی ضرورت ہے کیونکہ اسے 147.22 کے راستے میں ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کا سامنا ہے، 147.90 کے نشان کے ارد گرد ممکنہ جدوجہد کے ساتھ۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

USD-JPY ka bullish movement jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. H4 timeframe ke daur se mein ne aik tafseeli image banayi hai, jo dikhati hai ke kaise H4 timeframe mein bullish movement ne aik bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jis mein higher highs aur lower lows dekhnay ko milay. Yeh condition is baat ki potential rakhti hai ke ek aur zyada taqatwar bullish movement trigger ho sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale par jo candle pattern bana hai, us ke madde nazar, yeh kafi zyada imkaan hai ke USD-JPY apni bullish trend is haftay bhi jaari rakhe. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to hum trading ke mouqe se faida utha sakte hain, is liye humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi additional price fluctuation ka intezar karna chahiye. Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke humain hamesha doosray indicators aur important levels se tasdeeq leni chahiye jo humari decisions mein madad kar sakein. Is liye, chaliye hum USD-JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur moqay ke mutabiq action lenay ke liye tayar rahain USD/JPY pair ko dekhna zaroori hai, jo ke lagta hai bullish continuation ka ishara de raha hai, khaaskar jab kal raat ke buying volume ne 144.85 ke resistance area tak pohanchne ki koshish ki thi. Iss surat-e-haal mein, ab tak mujhe lagta hai ke market mein mazeed izafa karne ki koshish ho rahi hai kyun ke abhi tak upward phase mein movement ho rahi hai. Mere agle trading plan mein, main 145.16 ke area ke ird gird buy entry lene ka soch raha hoon. Market ke movement pattern ko dekhte hue, khaaskar jab market ne chand ghanton mein upar ki taraf harakat ki, lekin izafa utna zyada nahi hua. Click image for larger version

USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke key support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka USD/JPY ko bara taur par dekha jaye, toh downtrend ko extend karein aur samjhein ke pair ne uptrend ko tod diya hai, aur agar trend badla nahi, toh pair ek achi correction ki taraf ja raha hai. 147.18 se neeche, kam az kam yeh technically hona chahiye, ya toh pair mojooda level par kuch dair tak stable rahe aur phir barh jaye, lekin correct ho. Yahan, khud US dollar market-wide correction ke liye tayar hai. Yeh girawat ruk gaya hai aur ab waqt hai 3-4% correction ka, toh growth zyada zahir hai, aur girawat ka silsila jari rahega. Agar pair 140.50 ke qareeb break karta hai, toh yeh lagbhag ek naya low aur ek mazbootlagbhag ek naya low aur ek mazboot level hoga. Kal hum University of Michigan inflation forecast ka intezar karenge aur market ke ispar reaction ko dekhenge. Sach kahun toh aaj ke US data par market ka reaction ajeeb tha. level hoga. Kal hum University of Michigan inflation

USD/JPY

Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ki current price behaviour ka analysis kar rahe hain. USD/JPY ka rate abhi 148.943 par hai, jo ke moving average 148.820 se upar hai. Yeh buyers ki dominance ko zahir karta hai aur yeh signal milta hai ke price mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai. Bollinger Bands indicator ke mutabiq, 149.250 ka upper limit reach karne ka imkaan zyada hai. Magar agar fundamental data ka asset par zyada asar hota hai, to price Bollinger Bands ke threshold ko bhi cross kar sakta hai. Aise mein, yeh sochnay ki zarurat hai ke favourable selling prices par short positions open ki jayein. Is strategy mein short positions close karne ka pehla benchmark Bollinger Bands ka lower price hai, jo ke abhi 148.393 par hai. Is liye, jab price ka growth ruk jaye, to higher prices par selling kaafi profitable ho sakti hai. Agar price 148.850 se neeche girti hai, to pehle wale sell positions aur mazboot ho jayenge.
Hamare mutabiq, 149.63 par resistance ka test hona mumkin hai, chahe is ke baad price decline bhi ho. USD/JPY pair ka abhi jo rate hai 148.90, woh trading range ke beech mein hai jo ke 148.18 aur 149.63 ke darmiyan hai. Envelopes indicator ke mutabiq, price growth cycle abhi bhi jaari hai aur dips ko buy karne ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai jab tak 149.63 ka resistance test hota hai. Agar yeh level ek ghante tak hold karta hai aur phir chaar ghante ke liye bhi hold rahta hai, to price mein decline ho sakta hai. Is currency pair ne advantageous sales levels ko chhu liya hai, jo ke orders ki market absorption se zahir hai. Asset ki overheated state ko dekhte hue, agar buyers apni koshish chhod dete hain, to yeh is baat ka ishara hoga ke price growth ka peak shayad aagaya hai. Naye buys open karna mere portfolio ke liye risky ho sakta hai, magar 148.912 level se price mein kami par trade karna logical lagta hai. Agar lot size sahi ho, to averaging ka use trading strategy mein acceptable hai.

Jab USD/JPY pair ka tajziya karte hain, to yeh maloom hota hai ke yeh aik ahem currency pair hai jo forex market mein sab se zyada trade hota hai. Yeh United States dollar (USD) aur Japanese yen (JPY) ke darmiyan exchange rate ko darust karta hai. Traders aur investors is pair ke price movements ko tawajjo se dekhte hain kyun ke yeh do azeem economies, United States aur Japan, ke darmiyan ma'ashiyati dynamics ko reflect karta hai. USD/JPY Pair ke liye Support Levels:
Technical analysis mein support levels wo price levels hote hain jahan aik currency pair ko buying interest milti hai aur further declines se rokne ke liye resistance hoti hai. USD/JPY pair ke liye, do asal support levels 156.30 aur 156.00 ke qareeb dekhe jate hain. Yeh levels aik strong support zone banate hain jahan pehle se buyers ko dekha gaya hai jo exchange rate ke further declines ko rokne ke liye aagaye hain. Support level 156.30 pe aik ahem level hai jahan traders aik reversal ki umeed rakhte hain downward trend mein. Yeh level pehle ke psychological levels ya previous swing lows ke saath mil sakta hai, jo isay aik mazboot support zone banata hai. Isi tarah, 156.00 ke support level bhi aik critical level hai jahan buyers apni positions ko defend karke price ko buland karte hain.

USD/JPY Pair ke liye Resistance Levels:
Dusri taraf, resistance levels price levels hote hain jahan aik currency pair ko selling pressure ka samna hota hai aur wo ooncha nahi ja sakta. USD/JPY pair ke liye, resistance levels 157.10 aur 156.80 ke qareeb dekhe jate hain. Yeh levels pehle se sellers ko attract karte hain jo pehle se mojood rahe hain, jo upward price movements ko rokne ya rukne mein madad karte hain. Resistance level 157.10 pe aik significant amount of selling interest hoti hai jahan traders aik temporary halt ya reversal ki umeed rakhte hain upward trend mein. Yeh level pehle ke swing highs ya key Fibonacci retracement levels ke saath mil sakta hai, jo isay aik mazboot resistance zone banata hai. Isi tarah, 156.80 ka resistance level bhi aik critical level hai jahan sellers apni positions ko defend karte hain aur price ko neeche le jaane ki koshish karte hain.

USD/JPY

Hamari guftagu ka mawzu abhi USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing behavior ka tajziya hai. Maine foran market se apni sale ke sath exit kiya aur dobara Head and Shoulder reversal pattern ke right shoulder banane ka tasawar dekha, jiska base lagbhag 140.149 ke ird-gird hai. Daily range ka resistance limit 151.829 par hai, jo ke right shoulder ke peak ke liye meri trading idea se zara neeche hai. Selling ke liye primary condition yeh hai ke price weekly trend line ke neeche position mein rahe. Agar yeh pricing structure barqarar rehta hai, tou pair ko sell karna aik clear action plan hoga. Is liye, mein long term mein kisi bhi bullish rebounds ko nazarandaz karunga aur selling ke liye behtareen entry point ko dhoondne ki koshish karunga. Agar price trend line ke left side (orange, sloping line) par chala jata hai tou yeh buying ka signal hoga.
Yeh wazeh hai ke instrument ahista ahista monthly ascending dynamic channel ki middle line se ooper chala gaya hai aur ab weekly descending dynamic channel ke area mein position bana chuka hai. Yeh surat-e-haal do perspectives pesh karti hai: aik taraf tou long-term bullish outlook hai, jabke doosri taraf short-term par bearish sentiment ka ghalba hai. Price ne monthly APR ka 50% level 147.172 par cross kar liya hai aur instrument ke complete average move ke qareeb aa raha hai, jo ke 150.69 par hai, jahan potential rebound ho sakta hai. Magar, 149.44 ke qareeb aik supply zone bhi hai jo aik rukawat ka kaam karega. Current price movements ke mad-e-nazar, aik correction ban rahi hai jo ke upward trend ke continuation ka sabab ban sakti hai aur yeh specified level ko surpass karne ka imkaan barh sakta hai.