usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

hain, to wo policy mein tabdeeliyan karne ke liye tayaar hain, lekin abhi ke liye wo apne maujooda rukh par qayam hain. Japanese ma'ashiyat ne kuch behtari ke asar dikhaye hain, jese ke Tankan ka bada manufacturing index teesre ruba mein 13 par barqarar raha. Yeh is baat ka izhar karta hai ke bade manufacturers ke liye operational halaat waqai mein mustahkam hain, jo market ki umeedon ke mutabiq hai. Iske ilawa, Japan ka unemployment rate August mein 2.5% tak gir gaya, jo July mein 2.7% tha, aur yeh market ki peshgoiyan 2.6% se behtar raha. Yen ki kamzori ka aik aur sabab incoming Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke dovish bayanat bhi hain. Ishiba ne kaha ke ma'ashi nikaas ko support karne ke liye raahnuma monetary policy ki zarurat hai, aur unhone low borrowing costs ki bhi baat ki. Unke bayanat BoJ ke rukh ke sath milte hain aur yen par downward pressure ko barhate hain. Dainik chart par Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ka rate Tuesday ko 144.10 ke ird gird trade hua. Technical analysis se yeh pata chala ke yeh aik ascending channel pattern mein wapas aa gaya hai, jo dikhata hai ke uptrend ab bhi mazboot hai. 14-day relative strength index, jo 50 ke level ke thoda neeche hai, yeh bhi izhar karta hai ke bullish breakout ka potential hai, jo uptrend ke jaari rehne ki tasdeeq karta hai. Resistance levels ki baat karain to USD/JPY pair ko 146.50 par ascending channel ke upper boundary ke nazdeek resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai, jo 5-week high 147.21 tak bhi pahuncha sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, channel ki lower limit 142.80 hai. Is level ke neeche girne se mazeed girawat ho sakti hai, jahan 139.58 ka area support ka potential rakhta hai, jo June 2023 ke baad se sabse neecha level hai. Aakhir mein, Japanese yen ki kami ka asal sabab BoJ ki raahnuma monetary policy, mukhtalif ma'ashi data, aur incoming Prime Minister ke dovish bayanat hain. USD/JPY pair ka technical analysis yeh dikhata hai ke uptrend jaari rahega, jahan resistance aur support levels ko pehchana gaya hai. Jaise jaise Japanese ma'ashiyat apne recovery ke

۔
ko ahmiyat dete hain. BoJ ne yeh kaha hai ke agar ma'ashi halaat khaas tor par behtar hotay hain, to wo policy mein tabdeeliyan karne ke liye tayaar hain, lekin abhi ke liye wo apne maujooda rukh par qayam hain. Japanese ma'ashiyat ne kuch behtari ke asar dikhaye hain, jese ke Tankan ka bada manufacturing index teesre ruba mein 13 par barqarar raha. Yeh is baat ka izhar karta hai ke bade manufacturers ke liye operational halaat waqai mein mustahkam hain, jo market ki umeedon ke mutabiq hai. Iske ilawa, Japan ka unemployment rate August mein 2.5% tak gir gaya, jo July mein 2.7% tha, aur yeh market ki peshgoiyan 2.6% se behtar raha. Yen ki kamzori ka aik aur sabab incoming Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke dovish bayanat bhi hain. Ishiba ne kaha ke ma'ashi nikaas ko support karne ke liye raahnuma monetary policy ki zarurat hai, aur unhone low borrowing costs ki bhi baat ki. Unke bayanat BoJ ke rukh ke sath milte hain aur yen par downward pressure ko barhate hain. Dainik chart par Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ka rate Tuesday ko 144.10 ke ird gird trade hua. Technical analysis se yeh pata chala ke yeh aik ascending channel pattern mein wapas aa gaya hai, jo dikhata hai ke uptrend ab bhi mazboot hai. 14-day relative strength index, jo 50 ke level ke thoda neeche hai, yeh bhi izhar karta hai ke bullish breakout ka potential hai, jo uptrend ke jaari rehne ki tasdeeq karta hai. Resistance levels ki baat karain to USD/JPY pair ko 146.50 par ascending channel ke upper boundary ke nazdeek resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai, jo 5-week high 147.21 tak bhi pahuncha sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, channel ki lower limit 142.80 hai. Is level ke neeche girne se mazeed girawat ho sakti hai, jahan 139.58 ka area support ka potential rakhta hai, jo June 2023 ke baad se sabse neecha level hai. Aakhir mein, Japanese yen ki kami ka asal sabab BoJ ki raahnuma monetary policy, mukhtalif ma'ashi data, aur incoming Prime Minister ke dovish bayanat hain. USD/JPY pair ka technical analysis yeh dikhata hai ke uptrend jaari rahega, jahan resistance aur support levels ko pehchana gaya hai. Jaise jaise Japanese ma'ashiyat apne recovery ke

USD/JPY ki Price Action par Base: USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ka analysis hamaray liye aaj ka central topic hoga. USD/JPY ne trading week ko 146.69 ke area par correction ke sath khatam kiya, aur upward trend ko continue rakha. Halankeh moving averages bearish trend dikha rahe hain, lekin prices 145.01 ke mark se upar hold kar rahi hain, jo ke US dollar par intense buyer pressure ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh bhi ke current levels se growth ka potential maujood hai. Iss point par hum ek potential price correction ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke support level 145.01 ke qareeb test ho sakta hai. Agar is ke baad rebound hota hai, to yeh pair ko 150.01 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar pair girta hai aur 145.01 ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh decline ko continue karne ka signal hoga, aur possible target 142.01 area ke neeche ho sakta hai. Bull ne trend line break hone ke baad dobara control lene ki koshish ki, lekin unki efforts sirf trend line ko neeche se test karne tak mehdoood rahi, aur koi significant breakthrough nahi ho saka.

Dosri taraf, agar bulls dobara trend line ko break karne mein kamyab ho jate hain aur uske upar position secure kar lete hain, to yeh global trend ki restoration ka signal de sakta hai. General movement of average prices neeche ki taraf hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downward trend ko follow kar raha hai. Pehle dynamic filter ki control line correction ko support de rahi thi, lekin ab daily candle patterns yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke sellers gradually momentum gain kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows ke indicators, jisme dynamic RSI bhi shamil hai, neeche ki taraf turn ho rahe hain, halankeh dynamic RSI abhi channel ke upper limit ke neeche cross nahi hui. Junior RSI bhi dheere dheere neeche shift ho rahi hai, jab ke day aur week RSI neeche hain, aur downward trend ke sath aligned hain.

upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai

USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki

BoJ ne yeh kaha hai ke agar ma'ashi halaat khaas tor par behtar hotay hain, to wo policy mein tabdeeliyan karne ke liye tayaar hain, lekin abhi ke liye wo apne maujooda rukh par qayam hain. Japanese ma'ashiyat ne kuch behtari ke asar dikhaye hain, jese ke Tankan ka bada manufacturing index teesre ruba mein 13 par barqarar raha. Yeh is baat ka izhar karta hai ke bade manufacturers ke liye operational halaat waqai mein mustahkam hain, jo market ki umeedon ke mutabiq hai. Iske ilawa, Japan ka unemployment rate August mein 2.5% tak gir gaya, jo July mein 2.7% tha, aur yeh market ki peshgoiyan 2.6% se behtar raha. Yen ki kamzori ka aik aur sabab incoming Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke dovish bayanat bhi hain. Ishiba ne kaha ke ma'ashi nikaas ko support karne ke liye raahnuma monetary policy ki zarurat hai, aur unhone low borrowing costs ki bhi baat ki. Unke bayanat BoJ ke rukh ke sath milte hain aur yen par downward pressure ko barhate hain. Dainik chart par Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ka rate Tuesday ko 144.10 ke ird gird trade hua. Technical analysis se yeh pata chala ke yeh aik ascending channel pattern mein wapas aa gaya hai, jo dikhata hai ke uptrend ab bhi mazboot hai. 14-day relative strength index, jo 50 ke level ke thoda neeche hai, yeh bhi izhar karta hai ke bullish breakout ka potential hai, jo uptrend ke jaari rehne ki tasdeeq karta hai. Resistance levels ki baat karain to USD/JPY pair ko 146.50 par ascending channel ke upper boundary ke nazdeek resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai, jo 5-week high 147.21 tak bhi pahuncha sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, channel ki lower limit 142.80 hai. Is level ke neeche girne se mazeed girawat ho sakti hai, jahan 139.58 ka area support ka potential rakhta hai, jo June 2023 ke baad se sabse neecha level hai. Aakhir mein, Japanese yen ki kami ka asal sabab BoJ ki raahnuma monetary policy, mukhtalif ma'ashi data, aur incoming Prime Minister ke dovish bayanat hain. USD/JPY pair ka technical analysis yeh dikhata hai ke uptrend jaari rahega, jahan resistance aur support levels ko pehchana gaya hai

Support levels bazaar ki behavior samajhne ke liye bohot zaroori hote hain, kyun ke ye wo price points hain jahan kharidari ka shauq zahir hota hai. Khaaskar 148.87 ka level, bechne ke dabao ke muqablay mein kaafi mazboot raha hai. Agar USD/JPY pair is level ki taraf girta hai, to yeh buyers ko attract kar sakta hai jo isay ek acha entry point samajhte hain, aur iska natija rebound ban sakta hai. Isi tarah, 146.60 ka level aur bhi mazboot psychological barrier hai, iski tareekhi ahmiyat ki wajah se. Agar yeh support levels ko barqarar nahi rakhta, to ek zyada bara sell-off shuru ho sakta hai, jahan traders bearish trend ko faida uthane ke liye dekh sakte hain. Resistance taraf, 149.00 ka level USD/JPY pair ke liye ek bada challenge hai. Yeh threshold upar ki taraf ke momentum ko roke rakhti hai. Agar pair is level ko todne mein nakam hoti hai, to yeh bullish momentum ke kam hone ka ishara de sakta hai, jis se profit-taking aur back to support areas ka retracement ho sakta hai. In critical levels ki nazdeeki wajah se, agar resistance ko todne mein nakamiyat milti hai, to yeh retracement ko shuru kar sakta hai, jo traders ko ek naya risk-reward scenario pesh karega.

Bara ma'ashi context bhi is outlook ko pahelta hai. Market kuch ahem fundamental data releases, khaaskar Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report ka intezaar kar raha hai. Yeh report U.S. ma'ashi health ka aik ahem ishara hai aur iska historical roshni USD/JPY pair ke movement par asar daalti hai. Agar NFP ka natija mazboot hota hai to yeh U.S. dollar ko mazid taqat de sakta hai, jo bullish sentiment ko barhawa dega aur shayad 149.00 resistance ko tod de. Iske muqabil, agar report kamzor hoti hai to yeh bearish pressures ko barhawa de sakta hai, aur pair ko pehle ka zikar kiya gaya support levels ki taraf le ja sakta ha

USD/JPY ki Price Action par Base: USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ka analysis hamaray liye aaj ka central topic hoga. USD/JPY ne trading week ko 146.69 ke area par correction ke sath khatam kiya, aur upward trend ko continue rakha. Halankeh moving averages bearish trend dikha rahe hain, lekin prices 145.01 ke mark se upar hold kar rahi hain, jo ke US dollar par intense buyer pressure ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh bhi ke current levels se growth ka potential maujood hai. Iss point par hum ek potential price correction ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke support level 145.01 ke qareeb test ho sakta hai. Agar is ke baad rebound hota hai, to yeh pair ko 150.01 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar pair girta hai aur 145.01 ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh decline ko continue karne ka signal hoga, aur possible target 142.01 area ke neeche ho sakta hai. Bull ne trend line break hone ke baad dobara control lene ki koshish ki, lekin unki efforts sirf trend line ko neeche se test karne tak mehdoood rahi, aur koi significant breakthrough nahi ho saka.

Dosri taraf, agar bulls dobara trend line ko break karne mein kamyab ho jate hain aur uske upar position secure kar lete hain, to yeh global trend ki restoration ka signal de sakta hai. General movement of average prices neeche ki taraf hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downward trend ko follow kar raha hai. Pehle dynamic filter ki control line correction ko support de rahi thi, lekin ab daily candle patterns yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke sellers gradually momentum gain kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows ke indicators, jisme dynamic RSI bhi shamil hai, neeche ki taraf turn ho rahe hain, halankeh dynamic RSI abhi channel ke upper limit ke neeche cross nahi hui. Junior RSI bhi dheere dheere neeche shift ho rahi hai, jab ke day aur week RSI neeche hain, aur downward trend ke sath aligned

Lekin aglay haftay ke shuruati trading period ke baad, price ne neeche ka safar kiya aur dheere dheere 142.10 ke qareeb pohanch gayi. Pichlay haftay ka lagataar price decline wapas recover nahi kar saka, aur kal raat se price bullish ho kar is haftay ke open price se bhi upar chali gayi hai. Is waqt market mein mazeed upar jaane ke imkaanat hain. Agar hum yen currency ke saath correlated pairs ke comparison mein dekhein to market movement volatility ke lehaz se ziada interesting lagti hai. Fundamental asraat market ko bullish rakhtay huay last month ke highest price tak le ja sakte hain.Short-term bearish trend, jo ke lowest price tak girnay ki wajah se tha, ab wapas bullish ho gaya hai aur 144.85 ke resistance area ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar price 143.50 ke support ke neeche rahti hai, to aglay trade mein buyers price ko 145.93 tak le ja sakte hain, ya phir resistance area-2 ko break kar sakte hain. Magar dekhne ki zarurat yeh hai ke agar price dobara downward correction karti hai aur kal ka lowest position cross kar jati hai, to yeh indication ho sakta hai ke market ek normal bullish phase ke baad thori der ke liye ruk kar correction kare, aur phir new momentum talash karke upward trend ko continue kare.Jo market rally abhi tak chal rahi hai, jo ke bearish trend se price ko upar lekar gayi hai, yeh sellers ke liye aik warning ho sakti hai ke wo apna agla trading position lenay mein sabr se kaam lein. Bina planning ke jaldbazi mein buy position lena floating loss ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is waqt lagta hai ke market mazeed ooper ja sakta hai. Mere mashware ke mutabiq, aglay dino mein Wednesday se market pattern par ghor karein, kyun ke us waqt volatility barhnay ke imkaanat hain jo ke aik weekly trend ko banayega. Pichlay teen hafton ka market situation agar dekhein to lagta hai ke sellers ka bearish price ko continue karne ka aik effort tha, lekin strong buyer defense ne support defense 142.10 ko break karna mushkil bana diya, aur yeh reversal upward rally mein tabdeel ho gaya.Is market condition ke base par, USD/JPY pair ke aglay trading plan mein bullish trend ke continuation

Support levels bazaar ki behavior samajhne ke liye bohot zaroori hote hain, kyun ke ye wo price points hain jahan kharidari ka shauq zahir hota hai. Khaaskar 148.87 ka level, bechne ke dabao ke muqablay mein kaafi mazboot raha hai. Agar USD/JPY pair is level ki taraf girta hai, to yeh buyers ko attract kar sakta hai jo isay ek acha entry point samajhte hain, aur iska natija rebound ban sakta hai. Isi tarah, 146.60 ka level aur bhi mazboot psychological barrier hai, iski tareekhi ahmiyat ki wajah se. Agar yeh support levels ko barqarar nahi rakhta, to ek zyada bara sell-off shuru ho sakta hai, jahan traders bearish trend ko faida uthane ke liye dekh sakte hain. Resistance taraf, 149.00 ka level USD/JPY pair ke liye ek bada challenge hai. Yeh threshold upar ki taraf ke momentum ko roke rakhti hai. Agar pair is level ko todne mein nakam hoti hai, to yeh bullish momentum ke kam hone ka ishara de sakta hai, jis se profit-taking aur back to support areas ka retracement ho sakta hai. In critical levels ki nazdeeki wajah se, agar resistance ko todne mein nakamiyat milti hai, to yeh retracement ko shuru kar sakta hai, jo traders ko ek naya risk-reward scenario pesh karega.

Bara ma'ashi context bhi is outlook ko pahelta hai. Market kuch ahem fundamental data releases, khaaskar Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report ka intezaar kar raha hai. Yeh report U.S. ma'ashi health ka aik ahem ishara hai aur iska historical roshni USD/JPY pair ke movement par asar daalti hai. Agar NFP ka natija mazboot hota hai to yeh U.S. dollar ko mazid taqat de sakta hai, jo bullish sentiment ko barhawa dega aur shayad 149.00 resistance ko tod de. Iske muqabil, agar report kamzor hoti hai to yeh bearish pressures ko barhawa de sakta hai, aur

Market Movements USD/JPY ki Price Action par Base: USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ka analysis hamaray liye aaj ka central topic hoga. USD/JPY ne trading week ko 146.69 ke area par correction ke sath khatam kiya, aur upward trend ko continue rakha. Halankeh moving averages bearish trend dikha rahe hain, lekin prices 145.01 ke mark se upar hold kar rahi hain, jo ke US dollar par intense buyer pressure ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh bhi ke current levels se growth ka potential maujood hai. Iss point par hum ek potential price correction ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke support level 145.01 ke qareeb test ho sakta hai. Agar is ke baad rebound hota hai, to yeh pair ko 150.01 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar pair girta hai aur 145.01 ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh decline ko continue karne ka signal hoga, aur possible target 142.01 area ke neeche ho sakta hai. Bull ne trend line break hone ke baad dobara control lene ki koshish ki, lekin unki efforts sirf trend line ko neeche se test karne tak mehdoood rahi, aur koi significant breakthrough nahi ho saka.

Dosri taraf, agar bulls dobara trend line ko break karne mein kamyab ho jate hain aur uske upar position secure kar lete hain, to yeh global trend ki restoration ka signal de sakta hai. General movement of average prices neeche ki taraf hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downward trend ko follow kar raha hai. Pehle dynamic filter ki control line correction ko support de rahi thi, lekin ab daily candle patterns yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke sellers gradually momentum gain kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows ke indicators, jisme dynamic RSI bhi shamil hai, neeche ki taraf turn ho rahe hain, halankeh dynamic RSI abhi channel ke upper limit ke neeche cross nahi hui. Junior RSI bhi dheere dheere neeche shift ho rahi hai, jab ke day aur week RSI neeche hai

Resistance levels wo price points hain jahan selling pressure ka buying pressure par bojh hota hai, jo price ko wapas neeche ki taraf le jata hai. 145.50 ka mark ab tak ke market activity mein ek ahem resistance level ban gaya hai. Iski ahmiyat kai baar is threshold ko todne ki bekarar koshishon se sabit hoti hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke traders is level ko bohot value dete hain.
Jab price 145.50 ke qareeb aata hai, traders aksar volatility ki tayyari karte hain. Sellers market mein ghusne lagte hain, jisse sharp selling activity mein izafa hota hai. Strong resistance ka hona profit-taking ko bhi janam deta hai un logon se jo pehle se long positions mein hain, jo downward pressure ko aur badhata hai.

Ek unsuccessful attempt ke baad retracement ek aam market phenomenon hai. Retracement ka matlab hai ke price movement mein ek temporary reversal hota hai, jo broader trend ke andar hota hai. Is waqt 145.50 ke aas paas, yeh ek pullback ki surat mein nazar aa sakta hai jab ke price pehle ki tarah upar chhuti hai.

Retracement ki mechanics kuch factors par mabni hoti hain. Pehla, wo traders jo pehle se uptrend mein khareed rahe hain, wo profits lock in karne ka faisla karte hain jab price resistance level par rukh deti hai. Is profit-taking se selling volume mein izafa hota hai, jo prices ko neeche le jata hai. Dusra, resistance level par pahunchnay ka psychological asar market sentiment ko shift kar sakta hai, jahan traders cautious ho jate hain aur bechne ka

maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye

Subah bakhair meri fellow forum members! Umeed karta hoon ke ye paighaam aap sab ko achi sehat mein mile, aur aap sab aaj ke analysis ke liye tayar hain. Jaise ke hamesha, aap sab ke saath mil kar currency pairs ke movements ka tajziya karna aik khushi ki baat hai. Aaj ka focus USD/JPY pair par hai, khaaskar is ke short-term H1 (one-hour) time frame ke price action ka tajziya.

USD/JPY pair abhi aik interesting phase se guzar raha hai apni price dynamics ke hawalay se. Is waqt, ye pair 147.50 ke level par significant resistance ka saamna kar raha hai, aur chah kar bhi is resistance ko ab tak break nahi kar paya. Ye price level traders ke liye aik psychological barrier ka kaam kar raha hai, jo aam tor par is baat ki nishani hoti hai ke bullish momentum abhi itna taqatwar nahi ke price ko upar le jaa sake.

Resistance levels technical analysis mein bohot ahem hotay hain. Jab aik currency pair baar baar kisi specific resistance level ko test karta hai lekin usay break nahi kar pata, toh is ka matlab hota hai ke sellers us price point par intervene karte hain aur price ko further barhnay se rok lete hain. Ye behavior aksar ye dikhata hai ke buyers mein hesitation hai, ya phir demand mein kami hai jo price ko upar le jaane ke liye zaroori hoti hai. USD/JPY ke case mein, pair ka 147.10 se upar na jaa paana market ke exhaustion ka signal ho sakta hai, jahan bulls lambi upward trend ke baad apni taqat kho rahe hain.



**Technical Perspective:**
Is surat-e-haal mein traders ke liye aik potential opportunity bhi nazar aa sakti hai. Agar pair successfully resistance ko break kar le, toh ye bullish trend ki taqat ka saboot hoga, jo further gains ke liye raasta khol sakta hai. Magar jab tak aisa nahi hota, ehtiyaat se kaam lena behtareen hai, kyun ke market aasani se reverse bhi ho sakta hai. Agar pair is key level ko break karne mein naakam rehta hai, toh ye support areas ko dobara visit kar sakta hai, jahan buyers waqti tor par decline ko rok sakte hain.

Fundamental factors bhi USD/JPY ke aglay move ko influence karne mein aham kirdar ada kar sakte hain. U.S. aur Japan se aanay wali economic data releases aur interest rate decisions ka bhi pair ki direction par bara asar ho sakta hai. Traders ko ane wali khabron par nazar rakhni chahiye jo market sentiment ko shift kar sakti hain aur breakout ya pullback ke liye zaroori momentum provide kar sakti hain.

Is waqt, H1 time frame par USD/JPY pair 146.85 ke level par resistance ka saamna kar raha hai, lekin outcome abhi tak unclear hai. Pair ne kayi dafa is level ko break karne ki koshish ki hai lekin abhi tak kaamyab nahi hua, jo ye dikhata hai ke mazid growth ke liye market conditions abhi ideal nahi hain. Hamesha ki tarah, sabar se kaam lena zaroori hai aur clear signals ka intezar karna chahiye trading decisions lene se pehle. Traders ko technical indicators aur fundamental developments par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye taake agla potential move gauge kar sakein.

USD/JPY pair is level ki taraf girta hai, to yeh buyers ko attract kar sakta hai jo isay ek acha entry point samajhte hain, aur iska natija rebound ban sakta hai. Isi tarah, 146.60 ka level aur bhi mazboot psychological barrier hai, iski tareekhi ahmiyat ki wajah se. Agar yeh support levels ko barqarar nahi rakhta, to ek zyada bara sell-off shuru ho sakta hai, jahan traders bearish trend ko faida uthane ke liye dekh sakte hain. Resistance taraf, 149.00 ka level USD/JPY pair ke liye ek bada challenge hai. Yeh threshold upar ki taraf ke momentum ko roke rakhti hai. Agar pair is level ko todne mein nakam hoti hai, to yeh bullish momentum ke kam hone ka ishara de sakta hai, jis se profit-taking aur back to support areas ka retracement ho sakta hai. In critical levels ki nazdeeki wajah se, agar resistance ko todne mein nakamiyat milti hai, to yeh retracement ko shuru kar sakta hai, jo traders ko ek naya risk-reward scenario pesh karega.

Bara ma'ashi context bhi is outlook ko pahelta hai. Market kuch ahem fundamental data releases, khaaskar Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report ka intezaar kar raha hai. Yeh report U.S. ma'ashi health ka aik ahem ishara hai aur iska historical roshni USD/JPY pair ke movement par asar daalti hai. Agar NFP ka natija mazboot hota hai to yeh U.S. dollar ko mazid taqat de sakta hai, jo bullish sentiment ko barhawa dega aur shayad 149.00 resistance ko tod de. Iske muqabil, agar report kamzor hoti hai to yeh bearish pressures ko barhawa de sakta hai, aur pair ko pehle ka zikar kiya gaya support levels ki taraf le ja sakta