USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY ke haal hi ke girawat ki wajah zyada tar bazar mein 25 basis point (bps) rate cut ki umeedain hain, jo ke Fed ke aane wale September 17-18 ke meeting mein discuss ki jayein gi. Halankeh recent tezi dekhi gayi hai, lekin yeh umeedain US Dollar (USD) ko apne faiday ko mazeed barhane se rok rahi hain. Dosri taraf, bazar mein ehtiyaat ka rujhan Japanese Yen ki safe-haven asset ke tor par demand ko barhawa de raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair par mazeed dabao daal raha hai. Saath hi, BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne tasdeeq ki hai ke bank FY2025 tak interest rates ko barhane ka plan bana raha hai, jo Fed ke umeed ke mutabiq rate cut ke bilkul baraks hai, aur yeh pair ke neeche ki taraf trend ko mazeed barhawa de raha hai. Traders filhal ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain aur koi faisla karnay se pehle US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke Fed ke agle policy qadam ke hawale se ahem maloomat faraham karega aur USD/JPY pair ke short-term outlook ko mutasir karega. Technical Tajziya: Technical lehaz se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair mein waazeh bearish signals dekhnay ko mil rahe hain. Is waqt, yeh pair apne roz ke opening level 143.20 se neeche trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 142.95 ke qareeb hai. Qeemat moving average trend line ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ek ahem level hota hai jahan volume distribution aam tor par hoti hai, aur yeh strong selling pressure ko zahir karta hai. Agar qeemat 143.20 level ke upar chali jati hai, to mazeed izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo resistance levels 143.69 aur 143.75 tak jasakta hai. Agar qeemat 142.95 level ke neeche girti hai, to umeed hai ke yeh aur neeche jaegi aur support levels 142.74 aur shayad 142.20 tak gir sakti hai. Yeh pair apne monthly Pivot level 146.24 aur weekly Pivot level 143.75 ke neeche bhi trade kar raha hai, jo ek corrective mood ko zahir karta hai. Hourly chart mein, yeh pair apni pehle ki range 143.69 se 142.14 ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers filhal bazar mein haawi hain. Lekin traders ko ek mumkin false breakout se ehtiyaat karni chahiye. Kul mila kar, technical indicators ek bearish outlook ko support karte hain, aur

USD/JPY currency pair is waqt ek ahem marhala par hai, jahan yeh 149.00 ki resistance aur 146.60 aur 148.87 ke support levels ke beech phansa hua hai. Yeh technical levels market ke agle movement ka faisla karne mein ahm role ada karenge. Traders in levels ko gahrai se dekh rahe hain, kyun ke pair ko upar jaane ke liye strong resistance aur neeche jaane ke liye equally important support ka samna hai, jis se agle dino mein market mein achi khaasi volatility aa sakti hai.
Pichlay haftay USD/JPY pair mein kaafi bara movement dekhne ko mila jab U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report release hui. NFP report ek ahem economic indicator hai jo aksar market mein bari halchal ka sabab banta hai. Yeh report U.S. economy mein kitni jobs add ya lose hui hain, is par roshni daalti hai. Is dafa report umeedon se behtar thi, jis ka asar yeh hua ke Forex market mein zabardast volatility dekhi gayi. Strong NFP numbers ne USD/JPY pair ko bullish momentum diya, aur U.S. dollar ki taqat barh gayi. Lekin is tez movement ke baad ab market consolidation phase mein hai, jahan traders is data ke longer-term impact ko samajhne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Agle haftay ke dauran, market mein NFP bulls ka recovery hone ka imkaan hai. Strong U.S. employment data ki wajah se jo bullish sentiment paida hua hai, wo USD/JPY pair ko aur upar push kar sakta hai, jisse 149.00 resistance level ek dafa phir test kiya ja sakta hai. Agar pair is level ko break karne mein kaamyab ho jata hai, to yeh aur zyada upward movement ka signal ho sakta hai, jo recent trading sessions mein dominate karne wale bullish trend ko barqarar

Support levels bazaar ki behavior samajhne ke liye bohot zaroori hote hain, kyun ke ye wo price points hain jahan kharidari ka shauq zahir hota hai. Khaaskar 148.87 ka level, bechne ke dabao ke muqablay mein kaafi mazboot raha hai. Agar USD/JPY pair is level ki taraf girta hai, to yeh buyers ko attract kar sakta hai jo isay ek acha entry point samajhte hain, aur iska natija rebound ban sakta hai. Isi tarah, 146.60 ka level aur bhi mazboot psychological barrier hai, iski tareekhi ahmiyat ki wajah se. Agar yeh support levels ko barqarar nahi rakhta, to ek zyada bara sell-off shuru ho sakta hai, jahan traders bearish trend ko faida uthane ke liye dekh sakte hain.
Resistance taraf, 149.00 ka level USD/JPY pair ke liye ek bada challenge hai. Yeh threshold upar ki taraf ke momentum ko roke rakhti hai. Agar pair is level ko todne mein nakam hoti hai, to yeh bullish momentum ke kam hone ka ishara de sakta hai, jis se profit-taking aur back to support areas ka retracement ho sakta hai. In critical levels ki nazdeeki wajah se, agar resistance ko todne mein nakamiyat milti hai, to yeh retracement ko shuru kar sakta hai, jo traders ko ek naya risk-reward scenario pesh karega.

Bara ma'ashi context bhi is outlook ko pahelta hai. Market kuch ahem fundamental data releases, khaaskar Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report ka intezaar kar raha hai. Yeh report U.S. ma'ashi health ka aik ahem ishara hai aur iska historical roshni USD/JPY pair ke movement par asar daalti hai. Agar NFP ka natija mazboot hota hai to yeh U.S. dollar ko mazid taqat de sakta hai, jo bullish sentiment ko barhawa dega aur shayad 149.00 resistance ko tod de. Iske muqabil, agar report kamzor hoti hai to yeh bearish pressures ko barhawa de sakta hai, aur pair ko pehle ka zikar kiya gaya support levels ki taraf le ja sakta ha

phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai

Market Movements USD/JPY ki Price Action par Base: USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ka analysis hamaray liye aaj ka central topic hoga. USD/JPY ne trading week ko 146.69 ke area par correction ke sath khatam kiya, aur upward trend ko continue rakha. Halankeh moving averages bearish trend dikha rahe hain, lekin prices 145.01 ke mark se upar hold kar rahi hain, jo ke US dollar par intense buyer pressure ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh bhi ke current levels se growth ka potential maujood hai. Iss point par hum ek potential price correction ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke support level 145.01 ke qareeb test ho sakta hai. Agar is ke baad rebound hota hai, to yeh pair ko 150.01 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar pair girta hai aur 145.01 ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh decline ko continue karne ka signal hoga, aur possible target 142.01 area ke neeche ho sakta hai.
Bull ne trend line break hone ke baad dobara control lene ki koshish ki, lekin unki efforts sirf trend line ko neeche se test karne tak mehdoood rahi, aur koi significant breakthrough nahi ho saka.

Dosri taraf, agar bulls dobara trend line ko break karne mein kamyab ho jate hain aur uske upar position secure kar lete hain, to yeh global trend ki restoration ka signal de sakta hai. General movement of average prices neeche ki taraf hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downward trend ko follow kar raha hai. Pehle dynamic filter ki control line correction ko support de rahi thi, lekin ab daily candle patterns yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke sellers gradually momentum gain kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows ke indicators, jisme dynamic RSI bhi shamil hai, neeche ki taraf turn ho rahe hain, halankeh dynamic RSI abhi channel ke upper limit ke neeche cross nahi hui. Junior RSI bhi dheere dheere neeche shift ho rahi hai, jab ke day aur week RSI neeche hain, aur downward trend ke sath aligned hain.

Predict karna mushkil hai ke agli downward move mein price kitni neeche ja

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY: Pichlay haftay yen mein thodi si kamzori dekhi gayi, jab aik lambi muddat tak taqatwar rehne ke baad correction ka aghaz hua. 140.80 ke support level par price ne bounce kiya aur upar ki taraf move karna shuru kiya, jisse 143.53 ka level break hua aur price signal zone mein mazeed chali gayi. Magar expected cut ka scenario poora nahi ho saka aur price apne target area tak nahi pohonch saki. Is dauran, price chart super trendy green zone mein hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers philhaal restrained hain.

USD/JPY 143.21 par aa gaya hai jab ke pichlay din ka close 143.58 tha. Yeh pair 143.11 ke low se upar utha aur 144.68 ke high tak pohoncha. Tuesday ke dauran session ke end mein USD/JPY pair China ke stimulus package ke elan ki wajah se neeche gira. Saath hi, US dollar bhi is haftay ke aghaz se neeche ja raha hai, jab se agle saal mazeed interest rate cuts ki umeedon mein izafa hua hai. Doosri taraf, USD/JPY pair ka taaluq directly benchmark US Treasury yield se hai, jo in securities ke yield ke girne ki wajah se pair mein girawat ka sabab banta hai.

Chart:

Is waqt, prices weekly highs ke aas paas sharp tareeqe se barh rahi hain. Halankeh main resistance area significant pressure mein hai, lekin ab tak poori tarah break nahi hua, is liye downward movement ka vector ab bhi relevant hai. Iska dobara aghaz tab hoga jab price 143.53 ke level ke neeche consolidate kare, jo abhi main resistance zone ke saath border karta hai. Agar yeh level dobara test hota hai aur uske baad downward reversal hota hai, toh nayi wave ka rukh 138.98 aur 137.72 ke area ki taraf hoga.

Agar resistance break hota hai aur price 144.97 ke reversal level ke upar break karta hai, toh yeh signal ho ga ke current scenario cancel ho gaya hai

USD ke muqablay mein spot price ne apni girawat ko barqarar rakha, jo is haftay ke nuqsan ko aur barha raha tha. Yeh girawat mazeed tawajjo ka markaz bani, khaaskar jab ke Middle East mein geopolitical tensions barh rahi hain, jo ho sakta hai yen ke liye kuch support faraham karein. Israeli intelligence reports ke mutabiq Iran shayad Israel par seedha hamla karne wala hai, Hamas ke leader Ismail Haniyeh ke Tehran mein qatal ka badla lene ke liye. Market ke band hone tak, USD/JPY ka currency pair lagbhag 140.81 par trade kar raha tha. USD/JPY ke Fundamentals: Dusri taraf, US Dollar apni challenges ka samna kar raha hai. Traders ab intezar kar rahe hain ke September mein US Federal Reserve (Fed) ek bara rate cut karega. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 50-basis point cut ka imkaan 72.0% tak barh gaya hai, jo ek haftay pehle sirf 11.8% tha. Is ke bawajood, USD ne apne kuch intraday losses ko recover kar liya. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki qeemat ko chhe badi currencies ke muqablay mein napta hai, 101.00 ke level par qaraar liya huwa hai.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki July 30-31 Monetary Policy Meeting se aaye Summary of Opinions ke mutabiq, kai members ka kehna hai ke economy aur prices umeed ke mutabiq barh rahe hain. BoJ ka maqsaad hai ke medium term mein neutral rate "kam az kam 1%" ke qareeb rahe. Magar BoJ ke hawkish stance ka asar filhaal zyada arsey tak nahi chalega. Global risk aversion se ho sakta hai ke policy-tightening ka silsila ruk jaye. Japan ki equity markets mein volatility bhi BoJ ki accommodative policies ke khatme ke baad barh gayi hai, jo rate hikes ke prospects par asar andaz hui hai

Financial trading mein market dynamics ko samajhna bohat zaroori hai taake aap behtar faisle le saken. Ek aham concept jo samajhna chahiye wo hai ke price levels kaise psychological barriers ki tarah kaam karte hain, jo buyers aur sellers ki behavior ko asar انداز karte hain. Is tajziya mein, hum 145.50 ke resistance level par hone wali retracement ke asraat ka jaiza leinge, jo aise harakaton ke sath jura hota hai.
Resistance levels wo price points hain jahan selling pressure ka buying pressure par bojh hota hai, jo price ko wapas neeche ki taraf le jata hai. 145.50 ka mark ab tak ke market activity mein ek ahem resistance level ban gaya hai. Iski ahmiyat kai baar is threshold ko todne ki bekarar koshishon se sabit hoti hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke traders is level ko bohot value dete hain.

Jab price 145.50 ke qareeb aata hai, traders aksar volatility ki tayyari karte hain. Sellers market mein ghusne lagte hain, jisse sharp selling activity mein izafa hota hai. Strong resistance ka hona profit-taking ko bhi janam deta hai un logon se jo pehle se long positions mein hain, jo downward pressure ko aur badhata hai.

Ek unsuccessful attempt ke baad retracement ek aam market phenomenon hai. Retracement ka matlab hai ke price movement mein ek temporary reversal hota hai, jo broader trend ke andar hota hai. Is waqt 145.50 ke aas paas, yeh ek pullback ki surat mein nazar aa sakta hai jab ke price pehle ki tarah upar chhuti hai.

Retracement ki mechanics kuch factors par mabni hoti hain. Pehla, wo traders jo pehle se uptrend mein khareed rahe hain, wo profits lock in karne ka faisla karte hain jab price resistance level par rukh deti hai. Is profit-taking se selling volume mein izafa hota hai, jo prices ko neeche le jata hai. Dusra, resistance level par pahunchnay ka psychological asar market sentiment ko shift kar sakta hai, jahan traders cautious ho jate hain aur bechne ka faisla karte hain.

Market corrections, jo aksar retracements se mashhoor hoti hain, un investors ke liye mauqe ka kaam karti hain jo achhe price points par long positions lena chahte hain. Jo log pehle mauqe miss kar chuke hain, unke liye pullback ek faida mand entry point ho sakta hai agar sentiment wapas achha hota hai

USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 level ko breach karne mein nakam hota hai, tou yeh bullish pressure ke kamzor honay ki nishani ho sakti hai. Yeh resistance level market ke liye ek psychological aur technical barrier ka kaam karta hai. Agar yeh breach na ho paya, tou traders apni long positions ko reduce kar sakte hain, jo ke pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai

Yeh recovery yeh dikhati hai ke intraday bullish trend abhi bhi intact hai, kyun ke pair ne is key support level ke ooper apni position banaye rakhi hai. Price action yeh suggest karta hai ke bulls abhi bhi market ka control sambhalay hue hain, aur deeper bearish move ko rok rahe hain, jis se upward momentum zinda hai.Pehle, USD/JPY price apna pehla anticipated target 141.75 tak successfully pohanch gaya tha, jaisa ke kai analysts aur traders ne predict kiya tha. Yeh target short-term trading plan ka aik significant level tha, aur is tak pohanchne par price ne aik tez upward bounce ke saath respond kiya. Yeh strong rebound market mein bullish sentiment ki taqat ko zahir karta hai. 141.75 ko touch karne ke baad, pair ne jaldi se momentum hasil kiya, bearish outlook se nikal kar intraday bearish trend line ko break kar diya jo chart par visible thi. Yeh bearish trend line ka break hona khaas tor par important hai, kyun ke yeh short-term mein market sentiment mein bearish se bullish shift ka ishara hai. Ab jab ke USD/JPY is trend line ke ooper trade kar raha hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish pressure continue kar sakta hai aur aane wale sessions mein price ko aur bhi upar le ja sakta hai. Is trend line ka breach aik technical shift bhi zahir karta hai, jahan market buying pressure ko selling par tarjeeh de raha hai, jo pair ki value mein aur gains la sakta hai.Is ke ilawa, 143.40 ke key support ke ooper settle hona USD/JPY ki strength ka mazeed confirmation deta hai. Jab tak price is level ke ooper rehti hai, bullish scenario valid rahega, aur traders dips par buying opportunities dhoondh sakte hain. Agar price apna current level barqarar rakhti hai aur apni upward trajectory continue karti hai, to pair higher levels ka aim kar sakta hai.Magar traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur kisi bhi potential reversal par nazar rakhni chahiye, khaaskar agar future sessions mein price 143.40 ke support level ke neeche gir jata hai. Agar price is key level ke neeche break karti hai, to yeh bearish momentum mein wapas shift ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo lower price targets ka retest la sakta hai. Filhal ke liye, USD/JPY ka intraday outlook bullish lagta hai, jab ke price key levels ke ooper stabilize ho raha hai aur mazeed upward movement ke signs dikhata hai.Market ke evolve hone par

tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta. Currency pair ne neeche se 143.99 level ko test kiya hai aur ab 144.49 tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ek positive sign hai. Bulls Asian trading session ke dauran price ko mazeed 49 points tak le ja sakte hain. Maujooda price 143.43 hai, jo 141.70 ke aham support level se thoda upar hai. Yeh level unn traders ka key target ho sakta hai jo girawat par bet kar rahe hain. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed girne ka rujhaan rakh sakta hai.
Bank of Japan ke hone ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki exchange rate mein zyada girawat ki umeed nahi ki ja sakti. Woh pehle hi ishara de chuke hain ke woh yen ki qeemat mein tezi se utar chadhav par mudakhlat kar sakte hain, jo ke yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar yeh ziyada mazboot ho jaye. Is liye, 129 ka target haqeeqat par mabni nahi lagta, kyun ke Bank of Japan 139 ke aas-paas mudakhlat kar sakta hai aur apni currency ko kamzor karne ke liye bazaar mein yen ki badi miktar inject kar sakta hai.
Natija ye hai ke buying strength kam ho gayi hai, aur market mein ek ehtiyaati soch dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Aaj ka market action zyada tar mazeed economic data par mabni hoga, jo ke is pair ke liye zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai.
4o miniUSD/JPY Currency Pair Ki Haliya Soorat-e-Haal Ka Tajziya USD/JPY currency pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair ne 99 points ki girawat dekhi. Iske baad, kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamiyab hue. Is mauqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 ke range tak ho sakta hai.
Agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance ka aim 146.38 ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai

USD/JPY currency pair filhal 148.51 par trade kar raha hai, aur haal ki trends bearish rukh ko darshate hain. Yeh kami kai factors ki wajah se ho rahi hai, jin mein geopolitical tensions, interest rate ke farq, aur U.S. aur Japan se aane wale economic data releases shamil hain.
U.S. dollar ne Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke baare mein chinta ki wajah se pressure mehsoos kiya hai, khaas tor par jabke inflation data barabar badal raha hai. Agar Fed apni interest rate hikes ko rokne ya badalne ka ishara deta hai, toh yeh dollar ko yen ke muqablay mein kamzor kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni ultra-loose monetary policy ko barqarar rakhta hai, jo economic recovery par zyada dhyaan de raha hai, jo yen ki tulna mein taqat ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Halankeh filhal ka bearish trend hai, lekin kayi analysts ka yeh maanna hai ke USD/JPY pair mein significant movement aane wala hai. Kai technical indicators yeh darshate hain ke currency pair correction ke liye tayyar hai, jo aaney wale dinon mein volatility mein izafa kar sakta hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunke inka todna naya trend shuru hone ka ishara de sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, aane wale economic data releases, jaise U.S. employment figures aur Japanese GDP growth, market ki direction tay karne mein bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain. Agar U.S. economic data ka performance mazboot raha, toh dollar ko taqat mil sakti hai aur bearish trend ulat sakta hai, jabke behtar nahi hone par yeh aur badh sakta hai.

Aakhir mein, jabke USD/JPY pair filhal bearish trend mein hai 148.51 par, market aaney wale waqt mein potential volatility aur significant movements ke liye tayyar hai. Traders ko economic indicators aur geopolitical developments par nazar rakhni chahiye jo currency pair ki trajectory ko asar daal sakti hain.

Sab forum ke dosto ko subh bakhair! Umeed hai yeh paighaam aap sab ko khair maqdam milega, aur aap aaj ki analysis mein shaamil hone ke liye tayyar hain. Jaise hamesha, aap sab se guftagu karna aur mukhtalif currency pairs ki harkat par insights share karna khushi ki baat hai. Aaj hum USD/JPY pair par dhyan dene ja rahe hain, khaas taur par iska price action short-term H1 (ek ghante) time frame mein dekhte hain.
USD/JPY pair apni price dynamics mein ek dilchasp marahil se guzar raha hai. Filhal, pair 147.50 ke level par ahm resistance ka saamna kar raha hai, aur isne is resistance ko todne ki koshish ki hai lekin ab tak ismein kamiyabi nahi mili. Yeh price level traders ke liye ek psychological barrier ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, jo aam tor par yeh darshata hai ke is waqt bullish momentum itna mazboot nahi hai ke agay ki taraf mawaafiq le ja sake.

Resistance levels technical analysis mein bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain. Jab ek currency pair baar baar kisi khaas resistance level ko test karta hai lekin usay todne mein nakam rehta hai, yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke sellers us price point par mojud hain, jo price ko aur upar jane se rok raha hai. Yeh behavior aksar buyers ke darmiyan ghalti ya kam demand ki kami ko darshata hai jo price ko upar le jane mein madadgar nahi hai.

USD/JPY ke case mein, pair ka 147.10 ko paar nahi karna shayad market exhaustion ka ishara hai, jahan bulls lambi upar ki trend ke baad apni taqat kho rahe hain.

H4 chart par, hum is maloomat ka istemal karke USD/JPY currency pair par buy order lagane ka soch sakte hain. Bullish market ki formation H1 aur H4 timeframes par USD/JPY currency pair par continue hai. Thursday ko, Asian trading session ke doran, USD/JPY currency pair ne 147.30 ke price par ek naya resistance area test kiya aur 147.40 ke price par nayi resistance area ki taraf barh gaya. Lekin iske baad, European trading din ke doran, USD/JPY currency pair ne apne downward trajectory ko dobaara shuru kiya.

American trading session ke market ki shuruaat se lekar aaj raat tak ke band hone tak, yeh ummeed ki ja rahi hai ke USD/JPY currency pair dobaara upar ki taraf rukh karega. Seller sirf currency pair ko 146.40 ke price par naye support area level ko test karne ke liye le ja sakta tha, jabke naya support area 147.50 ke price par tha. Hamari pichhli transaction mein istemal ki gayi trading strategy ke mutabiq yeh sab kuch hai.

Is Tuesday, USD/JPY market ko 143.00 ke level ke upar rehne ka challenge face karna hoga. Agar yeh support level 143.00 barqarar rehta hai, toh yeh bulls ko agla zyada mumkin rukh dene ki taraf le jayega. Agar 143.00 ka support level mazboot rahe, toh bulls ko upar ki taraf push karne ka mauqa milega, jis ka maqsad 144.00 ka gol mark hai. Agar is level ke upar rise hota hai, toh yeh 144.70 aur 145.00 ke levels ko expose karega. Lekin, agar price 143.00 ke level ke neeche girta hai, toh bears ke paas acchi wajah hogi ke woh price ko neeche le ja sakte hain. Agar yeh scenario hota hai, toh mera pehla target 142.60 hoga, uske baad 142.00. Is level ke neeche break hone se 141.50 aur 141.30 ke levels expose honge. Daily trading diagram upar ki taraf signals de raha hai aur mein expect karta hoon ke price is mutabiq move karegi.
Aaj, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya karne ka plan bana rahe hain. Mujhe four-hour chart par USD/JPY currency pair ko kharidne ka mauqa nazar aata hai. Filhal price 142.168 hai, aur yeh level ek potential entry point faraham karta hai. Profit-taking ka target 145.450 hai, jo aagey ke buyer support ke saath haasil hota nazar aata hai. Jumeraat ko, clearing campaign ka comfort zone mustaqbil ke growth ke doran mumkin tha, aur Wednesday ke options ka expire hona bhi mumkin tha. Lekin, rise ne call options ko Monday aur Wednesday dono dinon par hit karne mein kami rahi.

Monday ke agle option ke liye comfort zone teen strikes upar hoga jo current level se hoga, yeh mazeed mustaqbil ke growth ke liye accha indicator hai, jo USD/JPY pair ke girne ki taraf ishara karta hai. Lekin, behtar yeh hoga ke in calls se pehle Wednesday se upar ki taraf growth ka aim na rakhein, kyunke yeh zero mark se expiration level ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo dollar kharidne ka sahi entry point confirm karta hai. Natijatan, pair ne kareeb 50 pips upar ki taraf move kiya, lekin maine 143.49 ka target level nahi haasil kiya.

Retail sales ke acche figures ne kal ke Japan ke kamzor reports ka offset kiya. Manufacturing PMI 50-point mark se neeche raha, jo activity mein contraction ka ishara hai, jiski wajah se yen gira, aur kal se bullish dollar market ko continue rakha. Lekin, yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke hum ek bearish trend mein hain, aur jitna zyada pair upar jaata hai, utni hi zyada badi sellers market mein wapas aane ke chances barh jaate hain.

Intraday strategy ke liye, mein Scenario #1 aur #2 par zyada rely karunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario #1:** Aaj, mein USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon jab price entry point 144.52 (chart par green line) tak pohanchti hai, aur target level 145.38 (chart par thicker green line) hoga. 145.38 ke level par, mein buy positions se exit karne ka plan bana raha hoon aur sell positions opposite direction mein kholne ka plan bana raha hoon (is level se 30-35 pips ke movement ka aim rakhte hue). Aaj ke din ke liye pair ki growth sirf correction ke framework mein hi count ki ja sakti hai.

**Important!** Kharidne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar hai aur upar ki taraf badh raha hai.

**Scenario #2:** Mein aaj bhi USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon agar price level 144.16 do consecutive tests kare jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke neeche ki taraf potential ko limit karega aur market ko upar ki taraf reversal ki taraf le jayega. Upar ki taraf 144.52 aur 145.38 ke opposite levels ki taraf growth ki umeed ki ja sakti hai.

USD/JPY currency pair traders ke liye ek markazi point raha hai, khaas taur par Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki recent actions aur statements ko dekhte hue. Filhal, yeh pair 148.00 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, aur iski harkat foreign exchange market mein fluctuations ka fayda uthane walon ke liye bohot ahem hai. Potential price range aur support levels ko samajhna ek effective trading strategy tayyar karne ke liye zaroori hai.
Abhi, USD/JPY 147.70 se 148.90 ke darmiyan ek potential trading range mein hai. Yeh range bullish aur bearish traders dono ke liye mauqe faraham karta hai. BoJ ki monetary policy, khaas taur par interest rates aur inflation par uski stance, is currency pair par bohot asar daalti hai. Recent faisle jo ultra-low interest rates ko barqarar rakhte hain, yeh bank ki economic growth ko stimulate karne ki commitment ko darshate hain, jo is ke natije mein yen ki dollar ke muqablay mein value ko asar karta hai.

Traders ko yeh bhi mad nazar rakhna chahiye ke is pair mein 500 points se zyada ki harkat ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, jo market volatility aur economic data releases ke reactions ki wajah se hai. Yeh barhi hui volatility risks aur rewards dono faraham kar sakti hai, jo risk management strategies implement karne ki ahmiyat ko darshata hai.

Technical analysis mein, mazboot support aur resistance levels ko pehchanana informed trading decisions ke liye critical hai. Filhal, key support level kareeb 147.10 par hai. Agar price is threshold se neeche girti hai, toh yeh bearish trend ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo further declines ke liye raasta khol sakta hai. Is level par breakdown hone se USD/JPY ko 147.30 ke aas-paas ek aur significant support area ki taraf push kiya ja sakta hai.

Iske muqabil, agar pair apni position 147.10 ke upar barqarar rakhta hai, toh traders upar ki taraf momentum dekhne ki koshish kar sakte hain, jo resistance level 148.90 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Yeh resistance area baar baar test kiya gaya hai, aur agar isay successfully tod diya gaya, toh yeh zyada sustained rally ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo higher targets tak pohanch sakta hai.

USD/JPY ki harkat mukhtalif economic indicators se heavily influenced hoti hai. Key factors mein U.S. economic data, jaise ke non-farm payrolls, GDP growth, aur inflation figures shamil hain. U.S. se mazboot data aam tor par dollar ko barhata hai, jo yen ke muqablay mein zyada attractive hota hai.

Japan ke taraf, BoJ ka inflation aur employment figures par outlook bhi bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar Japan mein inflation kaafi zyada barhta hai, toh yeh BoJ ko apni current policies par dobaara ghor karne par majboor kar sakta hai, jo dollar ke muqablay mein yen ko mazboot kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY pair ke saath engage hone ke liye traders ke liye ek balanced approach behtar hai. Bullish traders ke liye entry points current range ke lower end, khaas taur par 147.70 ke aas-paas consider kiye ja sakte hain, aur stop-loss orders crucial 147.10 support level ke neeche set kiye ja sakte hain. Iske muqabil, bearish traders un mauqon ki talash kar sakte hain jab pair 148.90 ke upar nahi jaata, khaas taur par agar U.S. se kamzor economic data ka koi ishara ho.

Kisi bhi surat mein, ek comprehensive trading strategy ka istemal karna jo technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko shamil kare, zaroori hai. Geopolitical events aur economic announcements se updated rehna price movements ko samajhne ke liye additional context faraham karega aur traders ko informed decisions lene mein madad karega.

USD/JPY currency pair ek dynamic trading opportunity faraham karta hai jo significant volatility aur critical support aur resistance levels se bhara hua hai. BoJ ke ongoing asar aur substantial price movements ki potential ke saath, traders ko vigilant aur market changes ke liye responsive rehna chahiye. Economic indicators ka careful monitoring aur sound trading strategies ka istemal is complex forex landscape ko navigate karne ke liye crucial hoga.