USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ
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  • #11866 Collapse

    H1 time frame mein, USD/JPY pair ek clear downtrend dikhata hai, jahan recent candles consistently lower lows bana rahi hain. Yeh pattern is baat ka ishara deta hai ke sellers market par dominate kar rahe hain aur har nai session ke sath price ko neeche ki taraf push kar rahe hain. Ek aham development yeh hai ke 149.60 ke demand area ka recent breakthrough hua hai. Yeh key support level ke neeche break hone ka matlab hai ke price aur zyada girne ka imkaan hai, aur yeh confirm karta hai ke bearish momentum jari rehne ka zyada chance hai.
    149.60 ke neeche ka yeh breakdown significant hai, kyun ke demand zones aam tor par wo areas hote hain jahan buying interest itna strong hota hai ke price ko aur zyada girne se rokta hai. Lekin jab sellers is level ko break karte hain, to yeh is baat ka ishara deta hai ke buyers ka control, kam az kam short term mein, kho gaya hai. Is confirmation ke sath, mujhe USD/JPY sell karne mein zyada confidence hai, kyun ke yeh lagta hai ke pair aur zyada decline ke liye tayar hai. Market ka current structure, jo ke lower lows bana raha hai, is bearish outlook ko support karta hai.

    Technical analysis ke lehaaz se, jab ek demand area break hota hai, to yeh aksar yeh indicate karta hai ke ek naya support level neeche form ho sakta hai, jo price ko aur neeche girne ki gunjaish deta hai. Is case mein, price girta rahega jab tak sellers demand mein weakness ka faida utha rahe hain. Yeh ek favorable opportunity hai USD/JPY ko sell karne ka, khaaskar jab market mein koi immediate reversal ka sign nahi hai. Agar short positions iss waqt li jati hain, to downtrend ke aage barhne se achi gains milne ka chance hai.

    Dosri taraf, potential buy zones par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye jahan counter-trend move ho sakta hai. Is case mein, swap zone level 148.92 ek potential buy zone ban sakta hai. Swap zones aam tor par wo points hote hain jahan buying aur selling pressure temporarily balance ho jata hai. Agar price is level par support dhoondta hai, to traders yahan buying opportunities dekh sakte hain. Lekin yeh yaad rahe ke overall market sentiment abhi bhi bearish hai, to koi bhi long positions ehtiyaat se lena chahiye.

    Mukhtasir mein, H1 time frame USD/JPY ke liye ek strong downtrend show karta hai, jahan recent price action 149.60 demand area ke neeche ek deeper decline ko confirm karta hai. Yeh breakout yeh suggest karta hai ke selling opportunities zyada favorable hain, khaaskar jab market lower lows bana raha hai. Halan ke ek buy zone 148.92 swap zone level par ho sakta hai, lekin overall trend abhi bhi bearish hai, jo current market mein sell positions ko zyada attractive banata hai. Traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake downtrend ka aur confirmation mil sake.
       
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    • #11867 Collapse

      ### Market Behavior Ka Jaiza: 145.50 Resistance Ka Mawaqif

      Financial trading mein market dynamics ko samajhna bohat zaroori hai taake aap behtar faisle le saken. Ek aham concept jo samajhna chahiye wo hai ke price levels kaise psychological barriers ki tarah kaam karte hain, jo buyers aur sellers ki behavior ko asar انداز karte hain. Is tajziya mein, hum 145.50 ke resistance level par hone wali retracement ke asraat ka jaiza leinge, jo aise harakaton ke sath jura hota hai.

      Resistance levels wo price points hain jahan selling pressure ka buying pressure par bojh hota hai, jo price ko wapas neeche ki taraf le jata hai. 145.50 ka mark ab tak ke market activity mein ek ahem resistance level ban gaya hai. Iski ahmiyat kai baar is threshold ko todne ki bekarar koshishon se sabit hoti hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke traders is level ko bohot value dete hain.

      Jab price 145.50 ke qareeb aata hai, traders aksar volatility ki tayyari karte hain. Sellers market mein ghusne lagte hain, jisse sharp selling activity mein izafa hota hai. Strong resistance ka hona profit-taking ko bhi janam deta hai un logon se jo pehle se long positions mein hain, jo downward pressure ko aur badhata hai.

      Ek unsuccessful attempt ke baad retracement ek aam market phenomenon hai. Retracement ka matlab hai ke price movement mein ek temporary reversal hota hai, jo broader trend ke andar hota hai. Is waqt 145.50 ke aas paas, yeh ek pullback ki surat mein nazar aa sakta hai jab ke price pehle ki tarah upar chhuti hai.

      Retracement ki mechanics kuch factors par mabni hoti hain. Pehla, wo traders jo pehle se uptrend mein khareed rahe hain, wo profits lock in karne ka faisla karte hain jab price resistance level par rukh deti hai. Is profit-taking se selling volume mein izafa hota hai, jo prices ko neeche le jata hai. Dusra, resistance level par pahunchnay ka psychological asar market sentiment ko shift kar sakta hai, jahan traders cautious ho jate hain aur bechne ka faisla karte hain.

      Market corrections, jo aksar retracements se mashhoor hoti hain, un investors ke liye mauqe ka kaam karti hain jo achhe price points par long positions lena chahte hain. Jo log pehle mauqe miss kar chuke hain, unke liye pullback ek faida mand entry point ho sakta hai agar sentiment wapas achha hota hai.

      145.50 ka resistance level profit-taking ko sirf nahi bulata, balke sellers ko bhi attract karta hai jo isay ek potential downturn samajhte hain. Jab selling pressure barhta hai, market mein significant downward momentum aa sakta hai, jo price ko resistance level se door le jata hai. Yeh dynamic market psychology ki duality ko darshata hai—jab kuch traders dip par kharidne ka sochte hain, dusre bechne ke mauqe ko dekhte hain.

      Is resistance level par buyers aur sellers ka interaction tug-of-war effect bana sakta hai. Agar selling pressure jeet jata hai, to price aur neeche ja sakta hai, jo lower levels par support dhoondta hai. Lekin agar buyers strong conviction ke sath aate hain, to wo selling pressure ko negate kar sakte hain, jo future mein 145.50 ko successfully breach karne ka rasta khol sakta hai.

      Nateejan, 145.50 ke aas paas resistance levels aur market behavior ka taluq ek classic misaal hai ke traders kaise psychological price points par react karte hain. Failed attempts ke baad anticipated retracement aam market behavior ke mutabiq hai, jo profit-taking aur correction ko darshata hai. Un logon ke liye jo future mein long positions lena chahte hain, in dynamics ko samajhna bohat zaroori hai.

      Market ki yeh tendency ke baad retracement hone par mauqe faraham karte hain. Traders is retracement ko apni strategies dobara tay karne ke liye istemal kar sakte hain, aur jab bhi price niche aaye, mauqe par tawajjoh dene ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Jaise jaise market ka mahol badalta hai, buyers aur sellers ke interactions par nazar rakhna bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai taake market ki complexities ko behtar samjha ja sake.
         
      • #11868 Collapse

        hi mein USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024
        level ko breach karne mein nakam hota hai, tou yeh bullish pressure ke kamzor honay ki nishani ho sakti hai. Yeh resistance level market ke liye ek psychological aur technical barrier ka kaam karta hai. Agar yeh breach na ho paya, tou traders apni long positions ko reduce kar sakte hain, jo ke pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar yeh level barqarar na raha, tou market mein volatility barh sakti hai, kyun ke direction ka aur tasdeeq ka intezaar hoga. Agar pair upar jata hai lekin phir 143.733 se neeche girta hai, tou outlook kaafi bearish ho sakta hai. Yeh price level ek pivot point ka kaam karta hai jahan upward momentum aur reversal ke darmiyan farq hota hai. 143.733 se neeche girnay ka matlab yeh hoga ke buyers market par apna qabza kho chuke hain aur sellers ke liye raah khuli hai. Is surat mein agla aham level 144.361 ka support hoga. Agar selling pressure yahan barh gaya, tou market mein ek correction phase shuru ho sakta hai, aur traders neeche ke price points par apni positions establish karna chahein ge. Agar 144.361 ka level barqarar na raha, tou bearish sentiment tasdeeq ho jaye gi aur downside risk aur barh sakta hai. Aik ziada bearish scenario mein, USD/JPY pair apni decline ko aglay support level 144.73 tak barh sakta hai, jahan buyers market mein phir se daakhil honay ki umeed hai. Yeh level bullish traders ke liye ek mazboot support ka kaam kar sakta hai jahan woh apni positions consolidate kar sakein aur potential rebound ke liye tayar ho sakein. Agar buying interest is support level par mazid barh gaya, tou market mein downtrend temporarily ruk sakta hai, aur pair ko stabilize honay ka moqa milay ga. Lekin agar yeh level bhi defend na ho saka, tou downside momentum mazeed barh sakta hai, aur traders is se bhi neeche ke support levels ko target karna shuru kar denge. US dollar par pressure ke bawajood, USD/JPY currency pair ne H4 chart par apni northern trend ko barqarar rakha, kyun ke iske quotes MA100 indicator ki middle line ke neeche break nahi hue. Isi wajah se mein yeh umeed karta hoon ke iske quotations jald hi dobara growth shuru karenge, kyun ke yeh ek possible bullish zigzag wave "C" ko develop kar raha hai. Iski waves "A" (jo ke ek initial diagonal hai) aur "B" (jo ke ek plane hai) pehle se hi form ho chuki hain. Histogram aur MACD indicator ki signal line bhi




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        • #11869 Collapse


          USD/JPY currency pair ne haal hi mein 143.40 ke key support level ko test kiya, lekin isay break karne ki koshish mein price wapis upar aagaya aur is critical support level ke ooper trade karne laga, jo positive stability ko maintain karta hai. Yeh recovery yeh dikhati hai ke intraday bullish trend abhi bhi intact hai, kyun ke pair ne is key support level ke ooper apni position banaye rakhi hai. Price action yeh suggest karta hai ke bulls abhi bhi market ka control sambhalay hue hain, aur deeper bearish move ko rok rahe hain, jis se upward momentum zinda hai.Pehle, USD/JPY price apna pehla anticipated target 141.75 tak successfully pohanch gaya tha, jaisa ke kai analysts aur traders ne predict kiya tha. Yeh target short-term trading plan ka aik significant level tha, aur is tak pohanchne par price ne aik tez upward bounce ke saath respond kiya. Yeh strong rebound market mein bullish sentiment ki taqat ko zahir karta hai. 141.75 ko touch karne ke baad, pair ne jaldi se momentum hasil kiya, bearish outlook se nikal kar intraday bearish trend line ko break kar diya jo chart par visible thi.
          Yeh bearish trend line ka break hona khaas tor par important hai, kyun ke yeh short-term mein market sentiment mein bearish se bullish shift ka ishara hai. Ab jab ke USD/JPY is trend line ke ooper trade kar raha hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish pressure continue kar sakta hai aur aane wale sessions mein price ko aur bhi upar le ja sakta hai. Is trend line ka breach aik technical shift bhi zahir karta hai, jahan market buying pressure ko selling par tarjeeh de raha hai, jo pair ki value mein aur gains la sakta hai.Is ke ilawa, 143.40 ke key support ke ooper settle hona USD/JPY ki strength ka mazeed confirmation deta hai. Jab tak price is level ke ooper rehti hai, bullish scenario valid rahega, aur traders dips par buying opportunities dhoondh sakte hain. Agar price apna current level barqarar rakhti hai aur apni upward trajectory continue karti hai, to pair higher levels ka aim kar sakta hai.Magar traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur kisi bhi potential reversal par nazar rakhni chahiye, khaaskar agar future sessions mein price 143.40 ke support level ke neeche gir jata hai. Agar price is key level ke neeche break karti hai, to yeh bearish momentum mein wapas shift ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo lower price targets ka retest la sakta hai. Filhal ke liye, USD/JPY ka intraday outlook bullish lagta hai, jab ke price key levels ke ooper stabilize ho raha hai aur mazeed upward movement ke signs dikhata hai.Market ke evolve hone par, traders ko price action ko ghaur se dekhte rehna hoga, khaaskar significant support aur resistance zones ke ird-gird, taake informed trading decisions liye ja sake.





             
          • #11870 Collapse

            USD/JPY Currency Pair Ki Haliya Soorat-e-Haal Ka Tajziya
            USD/JPY currency pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair ne 99 points ki girawat dekhi. Iske baad, kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamiyab hue. Is mauqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 ke range tak ho sakta hai.
            Agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance ka aim 146.38 ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai.
            USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai.
            Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ehtiyat ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke price kuch dinon tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta.
            Currency pair ne neeche se 143.99 level ko test kiya hai aur ab 144.49 tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ek positive sign hai. Bulls Asian trading session ke dauran price ko mazeed 49 points tak le ja sakte hain. Maujooda price 143.43 hai, jo 141.70 ke aham support level se thoda upar hai. Yeh level unn traders ka key target ho sakta hai jo girawat par bet kar rahe hain. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed girne ka rujhaan rakh sakta hai.
            Bank of Japan ke hone ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki exchange rate mein zyada girawat ki umeed nahi ki ja sakti. Woh pehle hi ishara de chuke hain ke woh yen ki qeemat mein tezi se utar chadhav par mudakhlat kar sakte hain, jo ke yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar yeh ziyada mazboot ho jaye. Is liye, 129 ka target haqeeqat par mabni nahi lagta, kyun ke Bank of Japan 139 ke aas-paas mudakhlat kar sakta hai aur apni currency ko kamzor karne ke liye bazaar mein yen ki badi miktar inject kar sakta hai.
            Natija ye hai ke buying strength kam ho gayi hai, aur market mein ek ehtiyaati soch dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Aaj ka market action zyada tar mazeed economic data par mabni hoga, jo ke is pair ke liye zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai.
            4o miniUSD/JPY Currency Pair Ki Haliya Soorat-e-Haal Ka Tajziya USD/JPY currency pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair ne 99 points ki girawat dekhi. Iske baad, kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamiyab hue. Is mauqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 ke range tak ho sakta hai.
            Agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance ka aim 146.38 ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai.
            USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai.
            Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ehtiyat ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke price kuch dinon tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta.
            Currency pair ne neeche se 143.99 level ko test kiya hai aur ab 144.49 tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ek positive sign hai. Bulls Asian trading session ke dauran price ko mazeed 49 points tak le ja sakte hain. Maujooda price 143.43 hai, jo 141.70 ke aham support level se thoda upar hai. Yeh level unn traders ka key target ho sakta hai jo girawat par bet kar rahe hain. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed girne ka rujhaan rakh sakta


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            • #11871 Collapse

              condition is baat ki potential rakhti hai ke ek aur zyada taqatwar bullish movement trigger ho sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale par jo candle pattern bana hai, us ke madde nazar, yeh kafi zyada imkaan hai ke USD-JPY apni bullish trend is haftay bhi jaari rakhe. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to hum trading ke mouqe se faida utha sakte hain, is liye humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi additional price fluctuation ka intezar karna chahiye. Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke humain hamesha doosray indicators aur important levels se tasdeeq leni chahiye jo humari decisions mein madad kar sakein. Is liye, chaliye hum USD-JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur moqay ke mutabiq action lenay ke liye tayar rahain USD/JPY pair ko dekhna zaroori hai, jo ke lagta hai bullish continuation ka ishara de raha hai, khaaskar jab kal raat ke buying volume ne 144.85 ke resistance area tak pohanchne ki koshish ki thi.
              Iss surat-e-haal mein, ab tak mujhe lagta hai ke market mein mazeed izafa karne ki koshish ho rahi hai kyun ke abhi tak upward phase mein movement ho rahi hai. Mere agle trading plan mein, main 145.16 ke area ke ird gird buy entry lene ka soch raha hoon. Market ke movement pattern ko dekhte hue, khaaskar jab market ne chand ghanton mein upar ki taraf harakat ki, lekin izafa utna zyada nahi hua.
              Iss waqt, yeh nazar aa raha hai ke bullish options ka mauqa abhi bhi mojood hai kyun ke jab se September ke shuru mein trading phase ka aghaz h Click image for larger version

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              • #11872 Collapse

                aik tafseeli image banayi hai, jo dikhati hai ke kaise H4 timeframe mein bullish movement ne aik bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jis mein higher highs aur lower lows dekhnay ko milay. Yeh condition is baat ki potential rakhti hai ke ek aur zyada taqatwar bullish movement trigger ho sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale par jo candle pattern bana hai, us ke madde nazar, yeh kafi zyada imkaan hai ke USD-JPY apni bullish trend is haftay bhi jaari rakhe. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to hum trading ke mouqe se faida utha sakte hain, is liye humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi additional price fluctuation ka intezar karna chahiye. Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke humain hamesha doosray indicators aur important levels se tasdeeq leni chahiye jo humari decisions mein madad kar sakein. Is liye, chaliye hum USD-JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur moqay ke mutabiq action lenay ke liye tayar rahain USD/JPY pair ko dekhna zaroori hai, jo ke lagta hai bullish continuation ka ishara de raha hai, khaaskar jab kal raat ke buying volume ne 144.85 ke resistance area tak pohanchne ki koshish ki thi.
                Iss surat-e-haal mein, ab tak mujhe lagta hai ke market mein mazeed izafa karne ki koshish ho rahi hai kyun ke abhi tak upward phase mein movement ho rahi hai. Mere agle trading plan mein, main 145.16 ke area ke ird gird buy entry lene ka soch raha hoon. Market ke movement pattern ko dekhte hue, khaaskar jab market ne chand ghanton mein upar ki taraf harakat ki, lekin izafa utna zyada nahi hua.
                Iss waqt, yeh nazar aa raha hai ke bullish options ka mauqa abhi bhi mojood hai kyun ke jab se September ke shuru mein trading Click image for larger version

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                • #11873 Collapse

                  /JPY Price Outlook Iss waqt hum USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing movements ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Kal ke 142.39 ke high se price neeche ki taraf move karna shuru hui. Mera sell zone likely nahi tha, halan ke 14:29 local time par aham khabrein aani thi. Din ke doran aur bhi news items add kiye jayenge, jo previous highs ko retest karne ka momentum barhayein gi. Upar ke level par kai seller positions ikatthi ho chuki hain, aur daily chart ab possible reversal ya growth ki taraf shift hone ke asaar dekhane laga hai. Din ke doran price kaafi barh gayi, jo meri forecast ke mutabiq thi. Mera Tuesday ke liye bhi focus growth tha, kyunke Monday ko price ne 140.178 ke support ko test kiya aur wapas bounce karte hue is level ke upar close hui. Din bhar price barhti rahi, 141.873 resistance ko tor kar iske upar close hui. Aaj ka focus bhi growth par hai, aur 141.873 ke support ko retest karne ke baad, price ab bhi barh rahi hai. Agar aaj ka session is level ke ooper close karta hai, toh agla target 143.746 resistance hoga.

                  H1 chart par, USD/JPY kal ki impulse candle range mein trade kar raha hai. Mujhe price 142.28 ke resistance ki taraf momentum build karta hua nazar aa raha hai, jo ek critical level hai jo market direction ko zahir karega. Agar price 142.98 range ke ooper break kar ke consolidate karta hai, toh ye long positions kholne ka signal hoga, aur bullish rally jari rahegi. Is scenario mein profit targets 143.47 aur 144.55 ke upper extremes honge. Doosri taraf, agar momentum wapas aata hai, toh downside move 141.18 ke low ko test kar sakta hai. Is bearish direction ki tasdeeq tab hogi jab price broken range ke neeche consolidate karegi, jo instrument ke bearish channel mein wapsi ka signal hoga. Market mein growth aur correction ka imkaan hai, aur key levels 141.873 aur 142.98 next move ko determine karenge. Agar price 141.873 ke neeche close karti hai, toh kal ke liye priority decline par hogi, jo 140.178 ke support ko target karegi.



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                  • #11874 Collapse

                    points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart Click image for larger version

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                    • #11875 Collapse


                      hi mein USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne m Click image for larger version

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ID:	13163684 ein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur


                         
                      • #11876 Collapse

                        ne aik bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jis mein higher highs aur lower lows dekhnay ko milay. Yeh condition is baat ki potential rakhti hai ke ek aur zyada taqatwar bullish movement trigger ho sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale par jo candle pattern bana hai, us ke madde nazar, yeh kafi zyada imkaan hai ke USD-JPY apni bullish trend is haftay bhi jaari rakhe. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to hum trading ke mouqe se faida utha sakte hain, is liye humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi additional price fluctuation ka intezar karna chahiye. Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke humain hamesha doosray indicators aur important levels se tasdeeq leni chahiye jo humari decisions mein madad kar sakein. Is liye, chaliye hum USD-JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur moqay ke mutabiq action lenay ke liye tayar rahain USD/JPY pair ko dekhna zaroori hai, jo ke lagta hai bullish continuation ka ishara de raha hai, khaaskar jab kal raat ke buying volume ne 144.85 ke resistance area tak pohanchne ki koshish ki thi. Iss surat-e-haal mein, ab tak mujhe lagta hai ke market mein mazeed izafa karne ki koshish ho rahi hai kyun ke abhi tak upward phase mein movement ho rahi hai. Mere agle trading plan mein, main 145.16 ke area ke ird gird buy entry lene ka soch raha hoon. Market ke movement pattern ko dekhte hue, khaaskar jab market ne chand ghanton mein upar ki taraf harakat ki, lekin izafa utna zyada nahi hua.
                        Iss waqt, yeh nazar aa raha hai ke bullish options ka mauqa abhi bhi mojood

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                        • #11877 Collapse

                          monetary policies se mutasir hai. USD/JPY ke haal hi ke girawat ki wajah zyada tar bazar mein 25 basis point (bps) rate cut ki umeedain hain, jo ke Fed ke aane wale September 17-18 ke meeting mein discuss ki jayein gi. Halankeh recent tezi dekhi gayi hai, lekin yeh umeedain US Dollar (USD) ko apne faiday ko mazeed barhane se rok rahi hain. Dosri taraf, bazar mein ehtiyaat ka rujhan Japanese Yen ki safe-haven asset ke tor par demand ko barhawa de raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair par mazeed dabao daal raha hai. Saath hi, BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne tasdeeq ki hai ke bank FY2025 tak interest rates ko barhane ka plan bana raha hai, jo Fed ke umeed ke mutabiq rate cut ke bilkul baraks hai, aur yeh pair ke neeche ki taraf trend ko mazeed barhawa de raha hai. Traders filhal ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain aur koi faisla karnay se pehle US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke Fed ke agle policy qadam ke hawale se ahem maloomat faraham karega aur USD/JPY pair ke short-term outlook ko mutasir karega. Technical Tajziya: Technical lehaz se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair mein waazeh bearish signals dekhnay ko mil rahe hain. Is waqt, yeh pair apne roz ke opening level 143.20 se neeche trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 142.95 ke qareeb hai. Qeemat moving average trend line ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ek ahem level hota hai jahan volume distribution aam tor par hoti hai, aur yeh strong selling pressure ko zahir karta hai. Agar qeemat 143.20 level ke upar chali jati hai, to mazeed izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo resistance levels 143.69 aur 143.75 tak jasakta hai. Agar qeemat 142.95 level ke neeche girti hai, to umeed hai ke yeh aur neeche jaegi aur support levels 142.74 aur shayad 142.20 tak gir sakti hai. Yeh pair apne monthly Pivot level 146.24 aur weekly Pivot level 143.75 ke neeche bhi trade kar raha hai, jo ek corrective mood ko zahir karta hai. Hourly chart mein, yeh pair apni pehle ki range 143.69 se 142.14 ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers filhal bazar mein haawi hain. Lekin traders ko ek mumkin false breakout se ehtiyaat karni chahiye. Kul mila kar, technical indicators ek bearish outlook ko support karte hain, aur agar pair key support levels ke neeche trade karta raha, to mazeed girawat dekhne k USD/JPY ne do mukhtalif directions mein move kiya. Pehle bullish direction mein gaya, magar baad mein wapas bearish ho gaya. Iss Click image for larger version

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                          • #11878 Collapse

                            USD/JPY pair ek clear downtrend dikhata hai, jahan recent candles consistently lower lows bana rahi hain. Yeh pattern is baat ka ishara deta hai ke sellers market par dominate kar rahe hain aur har nai session ke sath price ko neeche ki taraf push kar rahe hain. Ek aham development yeh hai ke 149.60 ke demand area ka recent breakthrough hua hai. Yeh key support level ke neeche break hone ka matlab hai ke price aur zyada girne ka imkaan hai, aur yeh confirm karta hai ke bearish momentum jari rehne ka zyada chance hai.
                            149.60 ke neeche ka yeh breakdown significant hai, kyun ke demand zones aam tor par wo areas hote hain jahan buying interest itna strong hota hai ke price ko aur zyada girne se rokta hai. Lekin jab sellers is level ko break karte hain, to yeh is baat ka ishara deta hai ke buyers ka control, kam az kam short term mein, kho gaya hai. Is confirmation ke sath, mujhe USD/JPY sell karne mein zyada confidence hai, kyun ke yeh lagta hai ke pair aur zyada decline ke liye tayar hai. Market ka current structure, jo ke lower lows bana raha hai, is bearish outlook ko support karta hai.
                            Technical analysis ke lehaaz se, jab ek demand area break hota hai, to yeh aksar yeh indicate karta hai ke ek naya support level neeche form ho sakta hai, jo price ko aur neeche girne ki gunjaish deta hai. Is case mein, price girta rahega jab tak sellers demand mein weakness ka faida utha rahe hain. Yeh ek favorable opportunity hai USD/JPY ko sell karne ka, khaaskar jab market mein koi immediate reversal ka sign nahi hai. Agar short positions iss waqt li jati hain, to downtrend ke aage barhne se achi gains milne ka chance hai.
                            Dosri taraf, potential buy zones par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye jahan counter-trend move ho sakta hai. Is case mein, swap zone level 148.92 ek potential buy zone ban sakta hai. Swap zones aam tor par wo points hote hain jahan buying aur selling pressure temporarily balance ho jata hai. Agar price is level par support dhoondta hai, to traders yahan buying opportunities dekh sakte hain. Lekin yeh yaad rahe ke overall market sentiment abhi bhi bearish hai, to koi bhi long positions ehtiyaat se lena chahiye.

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                            Mukhtasir mein, H1 time frame USD/JPY ke liye ek strong downtrend show karta hai, jahan recent price action 149.60 demand area ke neeche ek deeper decline ko confirm karta hai. Yeh breakout yeh suggest karta hai ke selling opportunities zyada favorable hain, khaaskar jab market lower lows bana raha hai. Halan ke ek buy zone 148.92 swap zone level par ho sakta hai, lekin overall trend abhi bhi bearish hai, jo current market mein sell positions ko zyada attractive banata hai.
                               
                            • #11879 Collapse

                              USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke key support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka
                              USD/JPY ko bara taur par dekha jaye, toh downtrend ko extend karein aur samjhein ke pair ne uptrend ko tod diya hai, aur agar trend badla nahi, toh pair ek achi correction ki taraf ja raha hai. 147.18 se neeche, kam az kam yeh technically hona chahiye, ya toh pair mojooda level par kuch dair tak stable rahe aur phir barh jaye, lekin correct ho. Yahan, khud US dollar market-wide correction ke liye tayar hai. Yeh girawat ruk gaya hai aur ab waqt hai 3-4% correction ka, toh growth zyada zahir hai, aur girawat ka silsila jari rahega. Agar pair 140.50 ke qareeb break karta hai, toh yeh lagbhag ek naya low aur ek mazbootlagbhag ek naya low aur ek mazboot level hoga. Kal hum University of Michigan inflation forecast ka intezar karenge aur market ke ispar reaction ko dekhenge. Sach kahun toh aaj ke US data par market ka reaction ajeeb tha. level hoga. Kal hum University of Michigan inflation forecast ka intezar karenge aur market ke ispar reaction ko dekhenge. Sach kahun toh aaj ke US data par market ka reaction ajeeb tha. Buyers ko market se bahar nikala ja raha hai.

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                              • <a href="https://www.instaforex.org/ru/?x=ruforum">InstaForex</a>
                              • #11880 Collapse

                                /JPY currency pair is ab ek ahm mor par hai, jahan kuch ahm technical levels hain jo iska short-aur medium-term raahnuma tay kar sakte hain. Abhi ke liye, is pair ka mazboot support 148.87 aur 146.60 par hai, jab ke resistance 149.00 ke aspas hai. Ye sare levels traders ke liye dilchasp manzar pesh karte hain, jo in levels ko dekh rahe hain taake agle price movements ke liye kisi signal ko samajh sakein.
                                Support levels bazaar ki behavior samajhne ke liye bohot zaroori hote hain, kyun ke ye wo price points hain jahan kharidari ka shauq zahir hota hai. Khaaskar 148.87 ka level, bechne ke dabao ke muqablay mein kaafi mazboot raha hai. Agar USD/JPY pair is level ki taraf girta hai, to yeh buyers ko attract kar sakta hai jo isay ek acha entry point samajhte hain, aur iska natija rebound ban sakta hai. Isi tarah, 146.60 ka level aur bhi mazboot psychological barrier hai, iski tareekhi ahmiyat ki wajah se. Agar yeh support levels ko barqarar nahi rakhta, to ek zyada bara sell-off shuru ho sakta hai, jahan traders bearish trend ko faida uthane ke liye dekh sakte hain.

                                Resistance taraf, 149.00 ka level USD/JPY pair ke liye ek bada challenge hai. Yeh threshold upar ki taraf ke momentum ko roke rakhti hai. Agar pair is level ko todne mein nakam hoti hai, to yeh bullish momentum ke kam hone ka ishara de sakta hai, jis se profit-taking aur back to support areas ka retracement ho sakta hai. In critical levels ki nazdeeki wajah se, agar resistance ko todne mein nakamiyat milti hai, to yeh retracement ko shuru kar sakta hai, jo traders ko ek naya risk-reward scenario pesh karega.

                                Bara ma'ashi context bhi is outlook ko pahelta hai. Market kuch ahem fundamental data releases, khaaskar Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report ka intezaar kar raha hai. Yeh report U.S. ma'ashi health ka aik ahem ishara hai aur iska historical roshni USD/JPY pair ke movement par asar daalti hai. Agar NFP ka natija mazboot hota hai to yeh U.S. dollar ko mazid taqat de sakta hai, jo bullish sentiment ko barhawa dega aur shayad 149.00 resistance ko tod de. Iske muqabil, agar report kamzor hoti hai to yeh bearish pressures ko barhawa de sakta hai, aur pair ko pehle ka zikar kiya gaya support levels ki taraf le ja sakt


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