usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Moment, mein lagbhag USD/JPY pair ke price action ka jaiza le raha hoon. Hal hi mein, kayi bearish leg bars 144.10 ke aas-paas ke original resistance level par banay hain, jo ke aik potential decline ka ishara de rahe hain. Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne apni interest rate ko 0.25 se kam par barqarar rakhne ka elan kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh dikhata hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko barqarar rakh raha hai, jo ke yen ki strength ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Is bunyadi surat-e-haal mein, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ke chances zyada dikhayi dete hain. Iske ilawa, hourly chart par aik bearish engulfing pattern bhi dekha gaya hai, jo ke mazeed downtrend ki tasdeeq karta hai. In signals ko dekhte huye, mujhe lagta hai ke aglay haftay USD/JPY ka trend neeche ki taraf rahega. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai, spread ko chhod kar, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke is mein aur bhi nuksaan ka imkaan hai Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 par touch kiya. Sellers ne control lene ki koshish ki, lekin wo price ko neeche dhakelne mein kaamyab nahi ho sake. Main ne ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo ke price ko ooncha rakhne mein significant raha hai. Magar, jab market close ke qareeb tha, toh asset ko resistance barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat hui, aur double tops aur bottoms 15-minute chart par nazar aaye. Agar price 143.49 se neeche break karti hai, toh yeh current correction ke khatam hone ka ishara hoga aur selling interest ko attract karega. Wapas, agar USD/JPY 144.50 se ooper close hota hai, toh mein apni selling position se nikal jaunga. Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) abhi 50.00 mark ke neeche 47 par hai, jo ke bullish momentum mein kamzori ka ishara de raha hai, aur asset ek descending channel ke upper boundary tak pohanch chuka hai. In factors ko dekhte huye, mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ho ga
Is waqt, mein 0.14 lots ki short trade kar raha hoon jo ke floating loss mein hai. Magar, mujhe umeed hai ke market mere haq mein mod jayega. Overall, bearish price action aur fundamental signals ka combination USD

USD/JPY currency pair ka real-time price analysis kar rahay hain, jahan filhal price 146.149 per trade ho rahi hai. Yeh behtareen waqt hai current market price par selling ko consider karne ka, kyun ke din ke opening price se duri dikhati hai ke buying momentum qareeb hai, jo sellers ke liye favorable conditions create karta hai.Agar hum 146.149 par market mein entry karte hain, toh stop loss 146.174 ke aas paas set karna chahiye. Is trade ka ideal profit target strong support level 145.192 ke near hona chahiye. Jab price is level tak pohanch jaye, toh short positions ko close karna aqalmandi hogi, kyun ke ek corrective rebound upar ki taraf ho sakta hai. Yeh rebound ascending channel ke lower boundary tak pahuch sakta hai, aur price correction ko continue karte hue pehli correction wave ke upper point 147.322 ke zone tak ja sakta hai. Is zone se downward rebound ki anticipation ki ja sakti hai, lekin is rebound ki strength abhi uncertain hai.USD/JPY pair ek descending channel ke andar trade kar rahi hai, aur downward trend ko maintain karte hue EMA 50 se bounce hui hai. Filhal pair critical support level 145.35 ko target kar rahi hai, jo pehle se test ho chuka hai, aur yeh aur zyada decline ka ishara karta hai, jahan targets 143.99 aur 142.14 ke aas paas hain. Recommendation yeh hai ke selling focus ke sath trade kiya jaye, aur stop-loss ko resistance level 146.59 ke upar set kiya jaye.USD/JPY ne correction phase mein entry ki hai jab price ne kal ke lows ko hit kiya. Market significant news ka intizar kar raha hai, khaaskar Fed ki taraf se minutes ka release aur labor market data ka revision. Agar yeh data significant tariqe se revise hota hai, toh is ka zyada impact ho sakta hai, aur speculation ka sabab ban sakta hai ke September mein Fed rate cut 50 points tak ho sakti hai, jo dollar ki weakness ka sabab banega. Jumay ko, USD/JPY ka daily chart bullish tha. Meri forecast jumay ke liye accurate thi. Maine uptrend ka tajziya kiya tha, kyun ke Thursday ko price rise ho rahi thi aur 141.874 ke level ke upar close hui thi. Jumay ke liye, uptrend ka priority tha aur price poora din rising karti rahi, 143.747 ke resistance ko break kiya aur is level ke upar close hui. Monday ke liye, meri priority uptrend rahegi 145.265 ke resistance tak. Kyun ke price in levels ke upar close hui hai,
USD/JPY ne kal ke lows ko hit karne ke baad correction phase mein entry ki hai. Market Fed ki significant news ka intezar kar raha hai, khaaskar minutes ka release aur labor market data ka revision. Yeh revision zyada impact rakh sakti hai, khaaskar agar data mein significant changes aaye. Yeh speculation ko janam de sakti hai ke September mein Fed 50-point rate cut kar sakta hai, jo dollar ko weaken karne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke key support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein hi rahenge. Ye careful approach yeh darshata hai ke economic growth ko stimulate karna aur currency stability ko maintain karna donon mein

Moment, mein lagbhag USD/JPY pair ke price action ka jaiza le raha hoon. Hal hi mein, kayi bearish leg bars 144.10 ke aas-paas ke original resistance level par banay hain, jo ke aik potential decline ka ishara de rahe hain. Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne apni interest rate ko 0.25 se kam par barqarar rakhne ka elan kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh dikhata hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko barqarar rakh raha hai, jo ke yen ki strength ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Is bunyadi surat-e-haal mein, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ke chances zyada dikhayi dete hain. Iske ilawa, hourly chart par aik bearish engulfing pattern bhi dekha gaya hai, jo ke mazeed downtrend ki tasdeeq karta hai. In signals ko dekhte huye, mujhe lagta hai ke aglay haftay USD/JPY ka trend neeche ki taraf rahega. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai, spread ko chhod kar, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke is mein aur bhi nuksaan ka imkaan hai Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 par touch kiya. Sellers ne control lene ki koshish ki, lekin wo price ko neeche dhakelne mein kaamyab nahi ho sake. Main ne ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo ke price ko ooncha rakhne mein significant raha hai. Magar, jab market close ke qareeb tha, toh asset ko resistance barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat hui, aur double tops aur bottoms 15-minute chart par nazar aaye. Agar price 143.49 se neeche break karti hai, toh yeh current correction ke khatam hone ka ishara hoga aur selling interest ko attract karega. Wapas, agar USD/JPY 144.50 se ooper close hota hai, toh mein apni selling position se nikal jaunga. Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) abhi 50.00 mark ke neeche 47 par hai, jo ke bullish momentum mein kamzori ka ishara de raha hai, aur asset ek descending channel ke upper boundary tak pohanch chuka hai. In factors ko dekhte huye, mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ho ga Is waqt, mein 0.14 lots ki short trade kar raha hoon jo ke floating loss mein hai. Magar, mujhe umeed hai ke market mere haq mein mod jayega. Overall, bearish price action aur fundamental signals ka combination USD

USD/JPY currency pair ka real-time price analysis kar rahay hain, jahan filhal price 146.149 per trade ho rahi hai. Yeh behtareen waqt hai current market price par selling ko consider karne ka, kyun ke din ke opening price se duri dikhati hai ke buying momentum qareeb hai, jo sellers ke liye favorable conditions create karta hai.Agar hum 146.149 par market mein entry karte hain, toh stop loss 146.174 ke aas paas set karna chahiye. Is trade ka ideal profit target strong support level 145.192 ke near hona chahiye. Jab price is level tak pohanch jaye, toh short positions ko close karna aqalmandi hogi, kyun ke ek corrective rebound upar ki taraf ho sakta hai. Yeh rebound ascending channel ke lower boundary tak pahuch sakta hai, aur price correction ko continue karte hue pehli correction wave ke upper point 147.322 ke zone tak ja sakta hai. Is zone se downward rebound ki anticipation ki ja sakti hai, lekin is rebound ki strength abhi uncertain hai.USD/JPY pair ek descending channel ke andar trade kar rahi hai, aur downward trend ko maintain karte hue EMA 50 se bounce hui hai. Filhal pair critical support level 145.35 ko target kar rahi hai, jo pehle se test ho chuka hai, aur yeh aur zyada decline ka ishara karta hai, jahan targets 143.99 aur 142.14 ke aas paas hain. Recommendation yeh hai ke selling focus ke sath trade kiya jaye, aur stop-loss ko resistance level 146.59 ke upar set kiya jaye.USD/JPY ne correction phase mein entry ki hai jab price ne kal ke lows ko hit kiya. Market significant news ka intizar kar raha hai, khaaskar Fed ki taraf se minutes ka release aur labor market data ka revision. Agar yeh data significant tariqe se revise hota hai, toh is ka zyada impact ho sakta hai, aur speculation ka sabab ban sakta hai ke September mein Fed rate cut 50 points tak ho sakti hai, jo dollar ki weakness ka sabab banega. Jumay ko, USD/JPY ka daily chart bullish tha. Meri forecast jumay ke liye accurate thi. Maine uptrend ka tajziya kiya tha, kyun ke Thursday ko price rise ho rahi thi aur 141.874 ke level ke upar close hui thi. Jumay ke liye, uptrend ka priority tha aur price poora din rising karti rahi, 143.747 ke resistance ko break kiya aur is level ke upar close hui. Monday ke liye, meri priority uptrend rahegi 145.265 ke resistance tak. Kyun ke price in levels ke upar close hui hai, USD/JPY ne kal ke lows ko hit karne ke baad correction phase mein entry ki hai. Market Fed ki significant news ka intezar kar raha hai, khaaskar minutes ka release aur labor market data ka revision. Yeh revision zyada impact rakh sakti hai, khaaskar agar data mein significant changes aaye. Yeh speculation ko janam de sakti hai ke September mein Fed 50-point rate cut kar sakta hai, jo dollar ko weaken karne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

yeh zaroori hai ke hum strong bearish trend ko bhi dekhain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke Japanese yen ke fundamentals Bank of Japan ke recent interest rate hike ki wajah se abhi tak kaarfarma hain. Maujooda halaat ke madde nazar, main expect karta hoon ke maximum bullish correction moving average resistance zone 143.21 ke qareeb ho sakti hai. Main is level se sell karne ke mauqe talash karunga, kyunki mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai. Higher time frames par volatility mein kisi bhi slowdown ya sideways movement ka na hona yeh dikhata hai ke local ya global trend mein koi foran reversal nazar nahi aa raha. Maujooda market dynamics Japan ke central bank ke fundamentals ko reflect karti hain, aur yen ke taqatwar hone ka silsila abhi jaari rahega. Chalo, USD/JPY ka daily chart dekhte hain: wave structure abhi bhi downward hai, aur MACD indicator apni signal line ke neeche lower sales zone mein hai. Jumay ke din, USD/JPY mein selling ka rujhan tha, aur bulls 141.89 level ko paar karne mein kamyab nahi ho sake. Hourly technical analysis yeh signal deta hai ke sellers ka pressure jaari hai. Mera khayal hai ke price ki girawat abhi bhi barqarar rahegi, aur bears ka target 136.99 hai. Quotes 155.23 ke high se neeche ja rahe hain, aur chart par yeh dikh raha hai ke chhoti rebounds ke bawajood downtrend abhi tak jaari hai. Kaafi arsay se traders 140.27 aur 143.81 ke darmiyan phansay hue hain. Jumay ke session ke end par, USD/JPY is range ke lower boundary ke qareeb fluctuate kar raha tha. Agar Monday ke din koi significant tabdeeli nahi hoti, to pair ke 139.00 ke neeche break karne ka imkaan hai, aur naye lows 139 range mein dekhe ja sakte hain. USD/JPY ko sell karne ke liye, ek clear break ka intizaar karna chahiye, jo ke recent low ke neeche ho, break ko ek updated low se confirm karein, aur phir ek northern correction ka intezar karain. Jab correction khatam ho, to selling opportunities ideal hongi. Buyers ke liye

USD/JPY ke market price iss waqt resistance zone 153.26 ke aas paas float kar rahi hai. Iss hafta market mein ek downturn nazar aaya hai. Magar, buyers abhi stable hain. Aur, yeh foreseeable hai ke market aaj aur kal dono sessions mein buyers ke favor mein bias exhibit karega. Isliye, 20 se 30 pips ke range mein ek modest take-profit target set karna prudent ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, agar aap returns ko optimize karna chahte hain, toh strategic participation in news-driven trades recommended hai, jo ke ek well-defined trading plan ko require karta hai. USD/JPY ke current daily chart ke hisaab se, ab buyers ke liye market mein engage karne ka ek opportune moment hai, aur ek bullish pattern ka anticipation hai jo jaldi unfold ho sakta hai. Trading strategies mein adjustments karni chahiye iss sentiment shift ke response mein, especially buyers ke resistance levels ko breach karne ki expectation ke sath. Buying positions ko maintain karna aur effective risk management practices, jaise ke stop-loss orders ka istemal karna, advised hai—especially news-heavy months mein jo volatility introduce kar sakte hain. Aaj, main ek buy order prefer karunga aur mera short target 153.45 hoga.

Broader view mein, USD/JPY ka market US trading session ke dauran properly move karega. Isliye, apne accounts ko accordingly manage karna zaroori hai. Ek robust trading plan formulate karna bhi imperative hai jo ke market dynamics aur upcoming news events ko incorporate kare. News data ko closely monitor karna aur adaptable rehna, traders ko evolving market sentiments ke beech advantageously position karne mein madad karega. Yeh proactive approach forecasted market favorability towards buyers ke sath align karta hai, jo ke optimal profit ratios achieve karne ke opportunities offer karta hai. Mere liye, humein aaj US trading session ka opening wait karna chahiye. Yeh humein market sentiment ko effectively recognize karne mein madad karega. Warna, hum market direction ko samajhne mein galti kar sakte hain.

Aapka Friday successful ho!

### USD/JPY Ka Jaiza

Yeh pair 144.80 ke ilaqe ki taraf barh gaya jab record trade deficit report ke baad yeh kamzor hua. Traders Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ki parliament mein aane wali appearance par nazar rakh rahe hain, jahan unse umeed hai ke woh central bank ke aakhri interest rate hike ke faisle par baat karenge. Is waqt, USD/JPY 144.70 ke aas paas trading kar raha hai, jo economic data aur policy expectations par ongoing market reactions ko darshata hai.

Jahan kamzor US economic data aur Fed rate cut ki umeeden USD par dabav daal rahi hain, wahan JPY bhi pressure mein hai. Magar, speculation ke mutabiq BoJ 2024 mein phir se interest rates badha sakta hai, jo Yen ke losses ko limit karne mein madadgar hai. Yeh US aur Japan ke beech contrasting monetary policy trends USD/JPY pair ke liye mixed outlook tayar karte hain. Jab ke US Dollar ke paas nazdeek ke waqt mein majboot hone ki jagah hai, lambi muddat ka trajectory dono Fed aur BoJ ke actions se constrained ho sakta hai.

### USD/JPY ke Fundamentals

Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ne September mein Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) ke leader ke tor par dobarah election na ladne ka elan kiya. Ek press conference mein, Kishida ne Japan ki deflation-prone economy se nipatne par apna dhyan dene ki baat ki, jahan wage aur investment growth ki importance par zor diya. Unhone sarkar ka goal bhi dohraaya ke Japan ka GDP ¥600 trillion tak barhana hai. Prime Minister ka is position se nikalna Japan ki economic policies par uncertainty ka ek pehlu darshata hai, jo Yen ki mustaqbil ki performance ko asar daal sakta hai.

Aane wale economic data releases market expectations ko shape karne wale hain, khaas taur par agle hafte Jackson Hole event ke liye. Market participants ki nazar Federal Reserve (Fed) ke agle move par hai, jahan bohot se log September mein 25-basis point rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain. Aur cuts ki bhi umeed hai saal ke end tak, recent economic indicators ke madde nazar, jin mein Producer Price Index (PPI) bhi shamil hai, jo ummeed se kam barha. Yeh inflation data ki kamzor performance ne US Treasury yields ko kam kiya aur US Dollar (USD) ko ek hafte ke low tak kheench diya.

### Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook

USD/JPY pair key technical levels ka samna kar raha hai jo iski nazdeek ke waqt ki direction par asar daal sakte hain. Neeche ki taraf, support 142.98 level par hai, aur agar downward momentum jari raha toh yeh seven-month low 141.68 ki taraf waapas ja sakta hai, jo 5 August ko record hua tha. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh pair agle support 140.21 ki taraf ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar 145.00 level ke upar break hota hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein shift ko darshata hai, jo yeh kehta hai ke downward pressure kam ho gaya hai.

Main is waqt real-time USD/JPY currency pair ki pricing analysis kar raha hoon. Aaj ke charts ko dekhte hue, 161.728 ka resistance level bahut ahmiyat rakh sakta hai. Agar wahan ek reversal candle banti hai, to yeh ek correction ke shuru hone ka ishara ho sakta hai. Is scenario mein, price wapas support levels 160.887 ya 160.287 tak ja sakti hai. Main in levels par reversal signs dhoondunga market mein growth ki umeed se enter karne ke liye. Mujhe upward movement ke barqarar rehne ka chance dikhai de raha hai, isliye main market ko ghore se dekhta rahunga aur agar bullish trend confirm hota hai to buying ke liye tayar rahunga. Bears ne aage bearish movement ke liye stage set kar di hai. Instrument ki movement ke liye ek bearish forecast, bullish forecast ke muqablay mein zyada productive lag rahi hai.

Aane wale dinon mein, saal ki trend ke base par, USD/JPY pair se expected hai ke apni bullish trajectory ko maintain kare. Recent highs ke upar breakout, sustained upward momentum ko signal kar sakta hai, jo zyada buyers ko attract karega. Resistance levels aur breakout signals ka monitoring traders ke liye crucial hoga jo current market dynamics ke darmiyan trend ke positive continuation ki umeed karte hain.

Akhar mein, USD/JPY pair 157.74 ke resistance level par ek critical juncture se guzar raha hai. Is zone ko penetrate karne ke repeated bounces aur failed attempts is barrier ki significance ko highlight karte hain. Jese hi market ek clear signal ka intezar kar raha hai, traders ko technical indicators aur fundamental factors par nazar rakhni chahiye jo pair ki direction ko influence kar sakte hain. USD/JPY ki journey market forces ke intricate interplay aur forex trading mein strategic analysis ki ahmiyat ka ek saboot hai.

USD/JPY/H4/160.35

Aaj humare paas bohot zyada high-impact news hain, jo kai currencies ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Iske alawa kuch low aur medium-impact news bhi hain. Is ilakay mein bohot zyada volatility honay ka imkaan hai, aur har wo currency pair jo niche di gayi currencies se related hai, usko closely dekhna zaroori hoga. Traders ko ye baat note karni chahiye aur aaj trading karte waqt apne money management skills ka ache tareeqay se istemal karna chahiye. Forex market mein ehtiyat se kaam lena bohot zaroori hota hai. Niche diye gaye image mein aaj ki available news ka zikar hai jo zyada maloomat de sakti hai.

USD/JPY/H4/160.35

Technical analysis aur chart patterns ko dekhte hue, is waqt ek buy entry lena samajhdari ka faisla lagta hai. Is trade ka immediate target 161.82 level hoga. Ye target recent price action aur resistance levels ko dekhte hue select kiya gaya hai. Risk ko ache se manage karne ke liye, stop loss ko 162.25 level par set karna behtareen rahega. Ye stop-loss level thoda upar hai current resistance se, takay agar trade anticipated nahi hota, to potential losses minimize ho sakein.

Kal, USD/JPY pair higher areas mein trade karta raha aur din ko 161.25 ke aas paas close kiya. Aaj, ye upar ki taraf move karta hua 161.65 price level tak chala gaya. Agar hourly chart ko dekha jaye, to ye notice kiya ja sakta hai ke USD/JPY moving average line MA (200) H4 ke upar 160.35 par trade kar raha hai. Chaar ghantay ke chart par bhi aisa hi lagta hai, jahan USD/JPY abhi MA (200) H4 ke upar trade kar raha hai. Is baat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko mashwara diya jata hai ke correction ke baad ek acha buy entry point dekhen. Niche diye gaye image aur chart se zyada maloomat mil sakti hai.

Pichle trading haftay ke dauran Japanese yen mazid mazboot hota gaya aur ek dafa phir se local range ko chhoo liya. Jab price 143.53 ke barrier tak pahunchi, toh wahan se recovery hui aur phir se decline karte hue 140.80 tak pohanchi, jahan se phir se ek rebound karne ki koshish hui lekin wapis downside ki taraf laut aayi aur naye levels tak girti rahi. Halaanki yeh target area tak poori tarah se nahi pohanch saka, kyun ke kuch points badhne ke baad prices ruk gayi thi. Is tarah se expected scenario ka kuch hissa realize hua. Filhal, price chart super-trend red zone mein hai, jo sellers ke control ko zahir karta hai.
Yen ne Tuesday ko kam close kiya jab US Census Bureau ke data ne better-than-expected US consumer spending ko dikhaya, jo retail sales data ke zariye samajh aaya. Is data ne US dollar ko support diya, jo zyada tar major currencies ke muqable mein strong tha, kyun ke investors ne yeh samjha ke yeh inflation mein ek possible rebound ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke plans ko derail kar sakta hai. USD/JPY ne pichle Monday ke all-time high 143.4 se retreat kiya aur Tuesday ke session mein 139.40 par close hui, jo ke pichle din ke close 139.30 se mukabla kar raha tha. Current session mein yeh pair 143.9 ka high touch kar chuka hai, jabke low 142.80 tha. Simple moving average indicator ke mutabiq sellers abhi bhi bohot dominant hain, aur jo increase ho rahi hai, woh sirf market ke resistance ka nateeja hai, isliye main kehta hoon ke yeh increase significant nahi hai. Iske ilawa agar hum dollar index ke data se muqabla karein, toh dollar abhi bearish trend mein hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke global economic market se dollar par dabao barqarar rahega. Isliye, mera agle do dino ke liye USD/JPY currency ke liye trading ka tajweez yeh hai ke Sell kiya jaye.

USD/JPY currency pair forex traders ke liye kafi zyada dhyan ka markaz bana hua hai, khaaskar jab yeh 143.80 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Rozana chart par nazar daalne se yeh pata chalta hai ke yeh pair filhal ek ascending channel mein consolidate ho raha hai, jo ke ek technical pattern hai jo aage ke upward movement ki sambhavna dikhata hai. Ascending channel, jo ke higher highs aur higher lows se mashhoor hai, yeh darshata hai ke broader trend bullish hai, halankeh kuch short-term fluctuations hain. Magar price ke consolidate hone se market participants key technical indicators ko dhyan se dekh rahe hain taake yeh assess kar sakein ke kya yeh pair is range se upar ya neeche breakout karega.

Aik aisa indicator, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), thoda neeche 50 level ke ghoom raha hai, jo ke momentum ko relatively neutral dikhata hai lekin bulls ke haq mein shift hone ki sambhavna bhi rakhta hai. RSI ka reading agar 50 se neeche ho, to yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke sellers short term mein market par control rakhte hain, lekin iska 50 ke aas-paas hona ye bhi dikhata hai ke buyers phir se taqat haasil kar sakte hain, jo ke upar ki taraf breakout ka signal banata hai. Agar RSI 50 se upar move kare, to yeh ek sustained bullish run shuru hone ka signal ho sakta hai, jo zyada traders ko long positions lene ki taraf kheechega.

Resistance ki baat karein, to USD/JPY pair ko kuch significant levels ka samna karna hai jo upward momentum ko rok sakte hain. Pehla resistance ascending channel ka upper boundary hai, jo ke 146.80 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh level bulls ke liye ek key hurdle hai, kyunki yeh current trading range ka top hai aur traders se selling pressure attract kar sakta hai jo profits lock karna chahte hain. Agar pair is level ko break karne mein kaamyaab hota hai, to agla target September 3 ko haasil kiya gaya five-week high 147.21 hoga. Is high se upar move hona bullish trend ki confirmation samjha jayega aur yeh price ko 150.00 ke psychological level ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Neeche ki taraf, USD/JPY pair ke paas kuch support levels hain jo kisi bhi potential declines ko cushion kar sakte hain. Pehla support 143.50 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke current price se thoda neeche hai. Yeh level recent sessions mein support diya hai aur yeh pair ke liye ek floor ki tarah kaam kar sakta hai. Aur neeche, ascending channel ka lower boundary 143.00 hai, aur is level se neeche girna bullish trend ke kamzor hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Aise mein, pair agla key support 139.58 ko test kar sakta hai, jo ke June 2023 ke baad ka sabse neecha level hai. Is level se neeche girna bearish signal samjha jayega aur pair mein further selling ko janam de sakta hai.

Short term mein, traders ko upcoming fundamental data par focus karna hoga, khaaskar Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report jo ke United States se aayegi. Yeh report U.S. labor market ki health par roshni daalti hai aur forex traders ke liye iski bohot ahmiyat hoti hai kyunki yeh Federal Reserve ki monetary policy par asar daal sakti hai. Agar NFP report strong hoti hai, to yeh Fed ke liye additional interest rate hikes ka case majboot kar sakta hai, jo ke U.S. dollar ko support dega aur USD/JPY pair ko upar le ja sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar report weak hoti hai, to dollar par bhari asar ho sakta hai aur pair mein bearish breakdown dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

USD/JPY pair ab ek critical juncture par hai, jahan bullish aur bearish dono scenarios sambhav hain, jo ke aane wale price action aur economic data par depend karte hain. Traders ko key technical levels, jaise ascending channel ke boundaries aur RSI, par nazar rakhni chahiye, saath hi fundamental drivers, jaise NFP report, ko bhi dekhna hoga taake wo market mein informed decisions le saken.

Yen aaj budhwaar ko khaas tor par neeche hai. European session mein, USD/JPY likhne ke waqt 144.82 par trade ho raha tha, jo ke 0.89% ka izafa hai. Japan mein naye finance minister ki appointment ne bazar ko bechain kar diya hai, jabke siyasi drama ab shant hota nazar aa raha hai.

Naye Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ne Katsunobu Kato ko finance minister ke tor par appoint kiya hai. Kato "Abenomics" ka hami hai, jo ke monetary easing ka hukm deta hai. Yeh Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke policy ko tight karne ke iradey ko mushkil bana sakta hai, aur aaj is ka asar dekhne ko mila jab yen ne tezi se girawat dekhi. Ishiba tight policy ko support karte hain, lekin unhone Kato ko is liye chuna hai taake logon ko yeh ehsaas na ho ke Ishiba monetary policy mein badi tabdeeli karne wale hain jo ke 27 October ko hone wale snap election ke mad-e-nazar hai.

Yeh election BoJ ki agle meeting se pehle hoga, jo 31 October ko hai, aur expect kiya ja raha hai ke BoJ apni policy stance ko barqarar rakhega. Japan aur US dono ke manufacturing PMIs mein kami dekhne ko mil rahi hai.

Japan ka manufacturing PMI September mein 49.7 par aa gaya hai, jo August ke 49.8 se kam hai, lekin market ke andazay 49.6 se zyada hai. Yeh teesa maheen hai jab factory activity gir rahi hai, jahan export orders mein bohot zyada kami dekhi gayi hai.

Business confidence December 2022 ke baad se sabse neechi level par aa gaya hai, jab manufacturers ko apne troubled manufacturing sector ke liye koi achi soorat nazar nahi aati. US mein ISM manufacturing PMI September mein 47.2 par unchanged raha, jo market ke andazay 47.5 se neeche hai. Manufacturing ka contraction chhe mahine se chalu hai.

Naye orders September mein gire hain, jabke demand kamzor hai aur manufacturers ko Federal Reserve ki monetary policy aur aanewale US election ke bare mein uncertainty ka samna hai.

**USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis:**

USD/JPY ne 143.69 aur 144.41 par resistance ke upar chala gaya hai. Upar ki taraf 145.25 par resistance hai. Support 142.85 aur 142.13 par hai. Yeh technical levels bazar ki direction ko samajhne mein madadgar hain aur investors ke liye important signals faraham karte hain. Is haal mein, trading ke liye samajhna zaroori hai ke kis taraf market ka rukh hai, aur kis tarah se naye developments se asar hoga.

USD/JPY Price ka Jaiza

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ke live analysis ko dekh rahe hain. USD/JPY ka pair H1 time frame par 144.51 par resistance ka samna kar raha hai. Ye pair is level ko test kar raha hai lekin isay tod nahi pa raha, jo ke yeh darust karta hai ke aage barhne ke liye koi halaat nahi hain. Is wajah se, daily balance level 143.51 tak giraawat ka imkaan hai. Agar price is balance se neeche girti hai, to downward movement H4 support 140.61 ki taraf barh sakti hai, jo ke kal dekha gaya.

Is support se ek potential growth reversal ho sakta hai, jab tak ke H4 support mazboot hai. Agar 140.61 toot jata hai, to bearish shift ka nishana 139.16 aur 137.51 ho sakta hai.

Iske muqablay, agar H1 resistance 144.51 toot jata hai, to correction ka silsila D1 resistance 150.16 ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ke naya growth target ban sakta hai. Iske ilawa, main 142.86 ke neeche closure par selling ka ghoor karunga. Lekin, filhal hourly uptrend ke andar buying meri primary strategy hai.

General Situation ka Jaiza

Overall halat kal se zyada tabdeel nahi hui. Pair ek ascending channel mein trade kar raha hai, jo do trend lines se ghira hua hai, aur filhal is range ke darmiyan hai. Aise halat mein, aam tor par center se borders ki taraf trade karne ki salahiyat hoti hai, lekin is approach se ye sawaal uthta hai ke kis boundary ko nishana banaya jaye. Borders se center ki taraf trade karna asan hota hai, kyunke ye direction select karna asan banata hai aur errors ka khatara kam karta hai. Bazar jald hi ek wazeh direction pesh karne ki umeed hai.

Hourly chart par, USD/JPY pair ek uptrend ko follow kar raha hai, jahan price 133-period moving average ke upar hai, jo upward momentum ko confirm karta hai. Choti time frames par bhi, price 133-period average ke upar hai, jo ke aage barhne ki movement ko support karta hai. Main 143.76 level tak ek pullback ki umeed karta hoon, jiske baad buying opportunities ban sakti hain.

overall consensus yeh hai ke actively sell karna chahiye. Iske madde nazar, pair ka trend bearish rahega. Monday ke significant news releases mein, US se koi bara event expected nahi hai, kyun ke yeh holiday hai. However, Swiss business activity index ka neutral forecast hai. In factors ke dekhte hue, main anticipate karta hoon ke pair downward move karega, aur sales ka support level 0.8469 tak poch sakta hai, jabke resistance level 0.8519 tak buying ka chance ho sakta hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko zahir karta hai. Thodi dair pehle Swiss inflation data report (CPI m/m) release hui thi, jisme result 0.0% aaya hai, jo ke pehle -0.2% tha. Is neutral inflation result ke sath, mumkin hai ke USD/CHF pair ke price mein izafa ka rally continue rahe. Mazeed, trend direction ab bullish condition mein hai, kyun ke EMA 50 ka SMA 200 ke sath cross hona ek golden cross signal deta hai. Agar rally do Moving Average lines ke upar consistent rahti hai, toh structure break hone ka chance hai. Invalidation level high prices 0.8540 par hai jo ke current price range se zyada door nahi, aur price psychological level 0.8500 ke upar hai. Magar, uptrend momentum jo Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator se zahir hota hai, usmein bearish divergence ka signal ban raha hai. Yeh is liye hai kyun ke histogram volume level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai, jo USD/CHF pair ke price increase ke rally ke sath mutabiqat nahi rakhta. Saath hi, Stochastic indicator parameters jo overbought zone ke ird gird baar baar cross kar rahe hain, yeh bhi yeh indicate karte hain ke price increase buying ke saturation point tak pohanch gaya hai. Trading plan ke hawale se, aapko ab bhi BUY moment ka intezar karna chahiye, kyun ke golden cross signal abhi fresh samjha jata hai. Entry position tab leni chahiye jab price EMA 50 ya qareebi RBS area 0.8507 par down ho. Tasdeeq tab hoti hai jab Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 se level 20 tak cross karte hain, jabke AO indicator ka histogram consistently level 0 ya positive area ke upar rahta hai. High prices 0.8540