USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

ne yeh ishara diya tha ke eurozone inflation kam ho sakta hai, lekin akhir mein bloc-wide figures expectations ke mutabiq hi nikle. Annual consumer price index (CPI) August mein 2.2% tak barh gaya, jo July ke 2.6% se neeche tha. Yeh July 2021 ke baad sab se kam inflation rate tha, jab ke is se pehle saal mein inflation ziyata dekhne ko mili thi. Market ne is inflation data par positive reaction diya, kyonke yeh ECB (European Central Bank) ke monetary policy stance ke liye acha signal tha. Halankeh headline inflation kam hui, lekin analysts ne yeh bhi kaha ke wage growth aur services inflation jaise underlying pressures ab bhi barh rahe hain. Nordea, ek bara financial institution, ka kehna hai ke yeh data ECB ko interest rate cuts mein koi bara tabadla karne par majboor nahi karega. ECB ab bhi dheemi aur ehtiyaat ke sath apni policy ko aagay barhaega, kyonke inflationary challenges abhi barqarar hain. Lambay arsay mein, eurozone mein higher interest rates extra foreign capital inflows ko attract karein gi, jo ke euro ko mazeed support Faraham karega aur EUR/JPY pair ko mazid buland kar sakta hai. Is dauran, German 10-year bonds ke yield bhi apne aik mahine ke high par hai. September ke aghaz mein, German government bond ka 10 saal ka yield 2.33% tak pohanch gaya, jo lagbhag ek mahine ka sab se zyada hai. Traders yeh bet kar rahe hain ke ECB September 12 ke meeting mein interest rate dusri dafa cut karega, kyonke preliminary data yeh dikhata hai ke eurozone inflation August mein 2.2% tak gir gayi, jo July 2021 ke baad sab se kam hai, aur core inflation bhi 2.9% se gir kar 2.8% ho gayi hai. Is dauran, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz ki hukoomat ko regional elections mein nuksan uthana para, jahan far-right Alternative for Germany party ne Thuringia mein jeet hasil ki aur

USD/JPY currency pair ab zyada bearish trend candlestick patterns bana raha hai H1 timeframe ke trading chart par, jo yeh dikhata hai ke yeh pair ab downtrend ya bearish trend mein hai. Yeh is wajah se hua kyun ke maine H1 timeframe par bearish reversal trend pattern dekha, jo ke ek double top pattern tha resistance area level 144.30 se 144.50 tak. USD/JPY pair par sell option is waqt ek behtareen trading strategy lagti hai, kyun ke market ke halat isko support karte hain. Is trade mein bearish reversal trend signal bana hai, aur bearish reversal trend pattern ke ilawa, USD/JPY ne dead cross pattern bhi banaya hai jab 7-period moving average aur 14-period moving average ke darmiyan cross hua hai. Yeh indicator exponential method ke zariye close hote hain. Ab lagta hai ke sellers USD/JPY ko neeche le kar jayenge taake naya support area ban sake. Ham apna profit-taking target 50-period moving average indicator ki band ke around set kar sakte hain jo ke 143.00 ya support area 142.90 ke level par ho sakta hai, jo peechla low trade level hai. Agar RSI 14 indicator ko dekha jaye, toh yeh lagta hai ke USD/JPY price, jo ke 144.44 par open hui thi, overbought hai, yaani ke ziada khareedi gayi hai, is liye yeh 143.60 tak girne ke chances hain.
Kyunkay price already SBR area mein thi jab yeh 144.00 par enter hui, is liye SNR aur Fibonacci methods bhi SELL USD/JPY signal ko support karte hain. Yeh izafi indication hai ke USD/JPY ke prices is dopahar ko 143.50 tak correct ho sakte hain. Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, main aaj USD/JPY ko SELL karne ka faisla kiya hai.

Wednesday ko spot price ne USD Index ke khilaf kaafi behtar performance dikhayi, aur yeh bearish zone ke qareeb, 140.80 se neeche pohanch gaya. Is upward movement ne traders ka interest barhaya hai, jo ab Japan ki monetary policy ko ghor se dekh rahe hain. Jabkay central bank ke officials ne interest rate hikes ke barey mein ishara diya hai, unka approach ab market ke fluctuations aur uncertainties ke bawajood thoda cautious ho gaya hai. Yen ki Taqat Mein Izafa US Economic Concerns aur Bank of Japan ki Policy Shift Ke Doran:
Yen ab ek safe-haven asset ke taur par aur ziada maqbool ho raha hai, jo ke global economic slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Khaaskar, jab US ka labor market kamzori dikhata hai, to slowdown ka khatsha barh jata hai. US Unemployment Rate ab 4.3% tak barh gaya hai, jo ke November 2021 ke baad ka sab se bara level hai. Is barhti hui berozgaari ne Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taraf se aham rate cuts ki umeedon ko mazid barhawa diya hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, traders umeed karte hain ke September mein 50-basis points ka interest rate cut aa sakta hai.
Yen ka outlook aur mazid behtar hua hai, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki recent policy actions ki wajah se. Guzishta haftay BoJ ne market ko surprise karte hue 15 basis points ka bara rate hike kiya, aur key interest rates ko 0.15% - 0.25% ki range tak barhaya. Central bank ne ye bhi announce kiya ke woh Japanese government bonds (JGBs) ki monthly purchases ko 2026 ke pehle quarter se ¥3 trillion tak reduce karega. In actions ne Yen ki performance par positive asar dala hai.

Pichlay hafte USD-JPY bullish state mein tha aur bullish tareeqay se move kiya. Agar hum weekly timeframe ko dekhein, to yeh clear hota hai ke bullish movement mein significant taqat thi kyun ke aik weekly bullish candle bani, jo ke bohot strong thi aur usne bullish engulfing pattern bhi banaya. Weekly timeframe candle pattern ke basis par, is haftay bhi USD-JPY ka bullish movement jaari rehne ka imkaan hai.
H4 timeframe ke daur se mein ne aik tafseeli image banayi hai, jo dikhati hai ke kaise H4 timeframe mein bullish movement ne aik bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jis mein higher highs aur lower lows dekhnay ko milay. Yeh condition is baat ki potential rakhti hai ke ek aur zyada taqatwar bullish movement trigger ho sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai.
Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale par jo candle pattern bana hai, us ke madde nazar, yeh kafi zyada imkaan hai ke USD-JPY apni bullish trend is haftay bhi jaari rakhe. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to hum trading ke mouqe se faida utha sakte hain, is liye humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi additional price fluctuation ka intezar karna chahiye.
Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke humain hamesha doosray indicators aur important levels se tasdeeq leni chahiye jo humari decisions mein madad kar sakein. Is liye, chaliye hum USD-JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur moqay ke mutabiq action lenay ke liye tayar rahain.

USD/JPY Ka Jaiza

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ka jaiza le rahe hain. 4 ghante ke waqt ke dhanche mein, bulls ne neeche ki taraf jhulne ki koshish ki hai, lekin jaise ke pehle bhi kaha gaya, yeh abhi sirf ek correction hai, na ke reversal. Bears kisi bhi waqt control wapas le sakte hain. Qeemat 1/12 angle ke neeche hai aur 75% resistance level 143.43 ke neeche bhi, jise bulls pehle paar karne ki koshish karenge, lekin bears ke strong defense ke aane se momentum neeche shift ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY pair ne Asian session ke baad apne giraawat se recovery shuru ki, MA moving average channel ke neeche tak pahunchte hue. Bulls ne kaafi bearish movement ko absorb kiya hai aur ab wo 142.47 resistance level par nazar rakhte hain. Agar buyers is level ko todne mein kamiyab rahe, 30-minute ke liye iske upar band karne par, mujhe upar ki taraf momentum barqarar rehne ki umeed hai, jiska maqsad 143.74 se 144.21 ka range hoga.

142.47 level ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar price 140.42 ke bearish support level ki taraf girti hai, to yeh buying ka mauka de sakta hai. USD/JPY pair ab tak 139.59 tak nahi gaya, lekin main isay nazar andaaz nahi kar sakta, kyunki downtrend ab bhi dominate hai. Filhal koi foran targets nahi hain kyunki price 140.19 se neeche gir gaya hai aur 140.00 level ke neeche bhi gaya, lekin ye move sustain nahi kar paya, jo ke false breakout ka sanket hai.




Kal market ne achhi recovery dekhi, jo 300 points tak upar gayi, lekin pehle ki giraawat ko dekhte hue, yeh ab bhi kaafi nahi hai. Aaj ka focus dollar aur Fed par hai, jahan dar ka pata nahi, lekin market expectations 0.5 ke reduction ki hai. Officials ke bayan bhi bohot ahem honge. Filhal, meri position neutral hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke 140 ki taraf wapas aana mumkin hai, aur main wahan buying par ghor kar sakta hoon, khas tor par choti potential stop ke madde nazar.

USD/JPY Qeematon Ka Ghair Mukammal Jaiza

USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ke bartao ka jaiza lena hai. Mere khayal mein, ab is currency pair ke aage ke harakat ke bare mein jo shak tha, woh door ho gaya hai, kyunki September mein US Federal Reserve ki meeting ke natayej ke mutabiq, interest rate ko achanak 50 basis points se kam kiya gaya, jis se Bank of Japan aur US Federal Reserve ke darmiyan ka farq aur bhi kam ho gaya. Ab main SMA-50 tak 143.40 par uthne ka intezar kar raha hoon. Aage ka amal is baat par depend karega ke hum is level tak kis intensity se pohanchte hain.

Is surat-e-haal ko samajhne ke liye, chaliye 4-ghante ke chart ki taraf chalte hain. Yahan, jab growth index sales zone mein hoga, to nayi candle ka aana aksar further giraawat ka sabab banega, jo subah ke support 142.12 tak le ja sakta hai. Agar yeh level toota, to is se giraawat ka silsila 141.12 tak ja sakta hai.




Bechne walon ki taraf se stochastic bhi upar se neeche ki taraf mod gaya hai. Lekin, kharid ke zone mein volumes shayad giraawat ko rok sakte hain. Halka MACD ab teesi sell sub-wave ke nishan de raha hai; in sab mein bullish divergence nazar aa raha hai. Support level 140.42 hai; market participants ne price ko is mark se neeche nahi jane diya; agar dobara breakout hota hai, to kisi ke isay rokne ki umeed nahi hai, isliye main is point ke tootne ke baad hi sales ko ghor karunga. Support ke upar kharidari ab bhi pehli tarjeeh hai, khaaskar jab local daily highs ka breakout hota hai.

Ab ka main resistance naya weekly high hai 143.93; pair ne pichle weekly candle ko cover kar liya hai, jo is instrument ke liye bullish sentiment ko mazid mazboot kar sakta hai.

Japanese Yen Trading Ka Jaiza Aur Tips

Price test 141.43 par hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ki taraf ja raha tha, jo dollar bechne ka sahi entry point confirm karta hai aur recent downtrend ko continue karta hai. Is natije mein, pair lagbhag 80 pips gira, lekin target level tak nahi pohanch paaya. Phir, pair ki udaan ke doran, 142.00 level ka test hua. Yeh MACD ke zero mark se upar jaane ke shuru hone ke saath coincide hua, jo dollar kharidne ka sahi entry point confirm karta hai, jisse 50 se zyada pips ka izafa hua. Kal ke Federal Reserve ke faislay ne volatility ko barhaya, lekin dollar kharidne walon ne aakhir mein control wapas le liya. Is context mein, dekhi gayi correction ke baad pair ka further growth mumkin lagta hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar scenario No. 1 aur 2 par amal karne ka plan bana raha hoon.

Buy Signal

Scenario No. 1: Aaj main USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon jab entry point 143.11 (chart par green line) par pohanchta hai, aur target 144.34 (chart par thicker green line) hai. 144.34 level par, main long positions ko exit karne aur ulte direction mein short positions kholne ka irada rakhta hoon (level se 30-35 pips ki movement ki umeed hai). Aaj ke pair ki growth sirf correction ka hissa samjhi ja sakti hai. Important! Kharidne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur upar ki taraf ja raha ho.

Scenario No. 2: Aaj main USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon agar 142.49 price level ka do baar test ho jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit karega aur upward reversal ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Opposite levels 143.11 aur 144.34 ki taraf growth ki umeed hai.




Sell Signal

Scenario No. 1: Aaj main USD/JPY ko sirf 142.49 level (chart par red line) ka test hone ke baad bechne ka plan bana raha hoon, jo pair mein tezi se giraawat ka sabab banega. Bechne walon ke liye key target 141.54 level hoga, jahan main short positions ko exit karne aur foran ulte direction mein longs kholne ka irada rakhta hoon (level se 20-25 pips ki movement ki umeed hai). Pair par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke liye bearish market abhi khatam nahi hua. Important! Bechne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur wahan se giraawat ki taraf ja raha ho.

Scenario No. 2: Aaj main USD/JPY ko bechne ka plan bana raha hoon agar 143.11 price level ka do baar test ho jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ki upward potential ko limit karega aur downward reversal ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Opposite levels 142.49 aur 141.54 ki taraf giraawat ki umeed hai.

USD/JPY Ka Bunyadi Jaiza

Jibun Banking Services PMI figures ke elan ke sath, USD/JPY exchange rate ne USD ke muqablay mein momentum hasil kiya hai. Yeh index August mein pehle ke andazay se 54.0 se 53.7 par revise kiya gaya. Halankeh carrier business pichhle saat mahinon se barh raha hai, lekin July ke aakhri statistics mein koi tabdeeli nahi hui. Traders ne US employment data, khaaskar August ke non-farm payrolls (NFP), par pehle se hi warning di, jo dollar ko asar andaz kiya. Yeh baat Fed ke rate reduction ke waqt aur scale par bhi maloomat de sakti hai.

Wednesday ko USD/JPY ka rate lagbhag 145.40 tha. Daily chart ka jaiza lene par market mein bearish trend nazar aa raha hai, kyunki 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai.

Friday ko USD/JPY ne selling ki taraf rukh kiya, jahan bulls 141.89 level ko paar nahi kar sake. Hourly technical analysis bechne walon ki taraf se continued push ki nishani de raha hai. Mere khayal mein, price ki giraawat jaari rahegi, aur bears ka target 136.99 hai. Quotes 155.23 ke high se gira rahe hain, aur chart par dekha jaye to downtrend chalta rahega, chhoti rebounds ke bawajood.




Kafi arse se traders 140.27 se 143.81 ke beech atke hue hain. Friday ki session ke end par, USD/JPY is range ke lower boundary ke kareeb fluctuate kar raha tha. Agar Monday ko koi khaas tabdeeli nahi hoti, to pair shayad 139.00 ke neeche gir jayega, nayi lows ke liye. USD/JPY bechne ke liye, clear break ka intezar karna chahiye recent low se, break ko naye low se confirm karna hoga, phir northern correction ka intezar karna chahiye. Jab correction khatam ho, to bechne ka mauqa ideal hoga. Kharidne walon ke liye, 143.82 resistance level ke upar positions favorable hain.

US Dollar Aur Yen Ka Hal

US dollar ne aik ahem uptrend line se mazboot rebound dekha hai, khaaskar 140 yen ke aas-paas, jo ke pehle bhi kai dafa ahmiyat rakh chuka hai. Pichle hafte, jab Federal Reserve ne 50 basis point ka rate cut announce kiya, to Bank of Japan ne apni maujooda rates ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya, jo bazar ke liye ahm sawalat uthata hai.

Khaas tor par yeh fikar thi ke Japan achanak hawkish stance apna le ga. Magar Japan is mein ab tak kaamiyab nahi hua, kyunke iski maashi buniyad kamzor hai. Mulki maashi dhanchay mein unchi interest rates ko bardasht karne ki taqat nahi hai, kyunke is se qarz mein izafa hoga jo ke maashi nizaam ko tabah kar sakta hai. Japanese hakoomat ko rates ko bohat low rakhne par majboor hona para hai, aur unke paas inhe 25 basis points se zyada barhane ka koi haqeeqi option nahi hai. Agar aisa kiya gaya to yeh na sirf Japan, balke global markets mein bhi financial collapse ka sabab ban sakta hai.




Is surat-e-haal ke mad-e-nazar, aisa lagta hai ke USD/JPY pair mein bullish reversal ka aghaz ho raha hai, aur is waqt is market ko short karne ka koi faida nahi. Jab tak dollar 140 yen ke critical level ke upar hai, bazar ka jazba iski bullish momentum ko support karne ki sambhavna rakhta hai. Yeh baat bhi mazid mazbooti se yeh sabit karti hai ke humne is ahm support level ke neeche hafte ke akhir tak band nahi kiya, jo ke US dollar ki taqat ko yen ke muqablay mein jari rakhne ki sambhavna ko darust karta hai.

Mukhtasir yeh ke, Bank of Japan maashi haqeeqat se majboor hai aur US dollar critical support ke upar mazboot hai, is liye is currency pair ka rukh upar ki taraf dekhai deta hai. Jab tak 140 yen ka level todne ki koi wazeh nishani nahi milti, is market ko short karna bekaar lagta hai.

USD/JPY Price Insights

Hum ab USD/JPY currency pair ke real-time price assessment par baat karte hain. Is waqt USD/JPY 146.149 par trade kar raha hai. Yeh bechne ka acha mauqa hai, kyunke din ki shuruat se faasla yeh darust karta hai ke kharidari ka jazba nazdeek hai, jo bechon ke liye favorable conditions create karta hai. Agar hum market mein 146.149 par enter karein, to stop loss 146.174 ke aas-paas rakhna chahiye. Is trade ka ideal profit target strong support level 145.192 ke aas-paas hai. Is level tak pohanchne ke baad, short positions band karna behtar hoga, kyunke upar ki taraf ek corrective rebound ho sakta hai. Yeh rebound ascending channel ki lower boundary tak ja sakta hai, jo price ko correction tak le jaayega jab tak yeh pehli correction wave ke upper point 147.322 ke aas-paas nahi pohanchta. Yahan se neeche ki taraf ek rebound ki umeed hai, lekin is rebound ki taqat abhi tak wazeh nahi hai.



Hamari guftagu live USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing par hai. USD/JPY pair ek descending channel mein trade kar raha hai aur downward trend ko barqarar rakha hai. Yeh EMA 50 se bounce hua hai aur ab critical support level 145.35 ki taraf ja raha hai. Yeh level pehle hi successfully test ho chuka hai, jo 143.99 aur 142.14 ki taraf further decline ka ishara de raha hai. Salah yeh hai ke is pair ko bechne par tawajjo dein, aur stop-loss 146.59 ke resistance ke upar rakhna chahiye. USD/JPY kal ke low tak pohanchne ke baad correction phase mein chala gaya hai. Market aaj Fed se significant khabron ka intezar kar rahi hai, khaaskar minutes ki release aur labor market data ka revision. Agar yeh data khaas tor par badla gaya, to yeh zyada impact daal sakta hai. Yeh September mein 50-point Fed rate cut ki speculation ko janam de sakta hai, jo dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY 1-Hour Chart Ka Jaiza

USD/JPY ka 1-hour chart recent recovery ko darust karta hai jo 140.00 ke aas-paas ke lows se hui hai, aur ab price 143.920 ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hai. Yeh pair late August aur early September mein sustained downtrend mein tha, jismein lower highs aur lower lows dekhe gaye. Chart par kai distribution liquidity (DLiq) zones nazar aate hain jo sellers ke control mein aane par break hue, jis ne price ko 146.00 se neeche le jaya.

Lekin mid-September ke aas-paas ek significant shift dekha gaya jab price action 140.50 ke level par reverse hui, jo ek double liquidity bottom aur fair value gap (FVG) ke sath coincide karti hai, jo sentiment mein potential change ka ishara hai. 140.50 level se bounce hone par USD/JPY ne upar ki taraf jari rakha, jahan isne 143.00 ke level par resistance ka samna kiya, jo distribution liquidity se mark hua tha. Yeh resistance successfuly break hua, bullish momentum ko confirm karte hue. Ab yeh level support ka kaam kar raha hai, jo break ke baad kai retests se darust hota hai. Kai fair value gaps (FVGs) maujood hain, jo aage ke consolidation ya retracement ke liye potential liquidity areas faraham karte hain, jab tak price apni upward movement ko jari rakhti hai.

Current structure ek higher break karne ki koshish dikhata hai, recent liquidity sweep 143.50 ke upar ke sath, jo darust karta hai ke buyers control mein hain.




Resistance ke hawale se, 144.00 ka region dekhna zaroori hoga, kyunke yeh pehle ke liquidity zone se align karta hai jo early September mein tha. Agar price is level ke upar break hoti hai, to agla target 145.00 ke aas-paas liquidity top hoga, jo ek psychological aur technical resistance hai. Neeche ki taraf, agar 143.00 support ke upar nahi rukti, to yeh 141.50–142.00 region ki taraf pullback ka darwaza khol sakta hai, jahan ek aur untested liquidity zone maujood hai.

Overall, USD/JPY potential trend reversal ke signs dikhata hai, jahan buyers key liquidity points par aakar price ko upar le ja rahe hain. Lekin ihtiyaat zaroori hai jab yeh pair resistance levels ke nazdeek pohanch raha hai, jo ya to is bullish trend ki continuation ko confirm kar sakta hai ya phir ek aur consolidation ya retracement ka dor.

USD/JPY Prices Ke Sath Trading Strategy

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka jaiza lete hain. Yeh quote ab tak local maximum zone ko cross nahi kar paya, lekin isay chhod bhi nahi gaya. Mujhe lagta hai ke agle hafte ke shuruat mein is par hamla jari rahega. Maine pehle hi is zone ko paar karne ke natije outline kiye hain. Lekin agar rollback hota hai, to yeh general scenario ko nahi badlega. Toh, agar rollback pehle ke minimum ki taraf hota hai, to naye purchases par ghour kiya ja sakta hai.

Is waqt USD/JPY pair serious fundamental pressure mein hai. Ek taraf, investors ne ab tak dollar ke liye apna rukh tay nahi kiya hai, pehli baar Fed rate cut ke baad, aur isay samajhne mein thoda waqt lagega. Dusri taraf, Bank of Japan ke sath intezaar ka silsila hai, jiska position thoda vague hai.

Pichle August ke minimum ke update hone ke baad, MACD indicator par bullish divergence bana. Agle hafte main upward trend par daav lagaunga kyunki aisa trend zyada mumkin hai, aur hum upar ja chuke hain, isliye sirf prospects hain. Bulls ka sab se mumkin level is surat mein 144.76 hai, lekin yeh sirf ek remote probability hai. Agar 143.84 tak pohanchte hain, to hum agle mark 144.27 ki taraf badhenge.




Agar mujhe growth ke maamle mein sab kuch wazeh lagta hai, to girawat ke hawale se sab kuch unclear hai. Hum decline ki taraf ek correction move ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke zyada tar 142.95 tak pohanch sakta hai. Yeh USD/JPY kharidne ka acha mauqa hoga, shayad 143.44 se ek northern deal shuru karne ka bhi, yeh samajhte hue ke hum aur neeche ja sakte hain.

USD/JPY pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Breakout ke baad 99 points ki girawat hui, jis ke baad pair ne upward correction ki koshish ki, aur kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamyab hue. Iss muqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 range tak ho sakta hai. Dosri surat mein, agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance 146.38 tak ponchne ka aim ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai USD/JPY pair ne abhi hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai. Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke price kuch dinon tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta. Currency pair ne neeche se 143.99 level ko test kiya hai aur ab 144.49 tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ek positive sign hai, aur bulls Asian trading session ke dauran price ko mazeed 49 points tak le jaa sakte hain. Maujooda price 143.43 hai, jo 141.70 ke aham support level se thoda upar hai. Yeh level unn traders ka key target ho sakta hai jo girawat par bet kar rahe hain. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed girne ka rujhaan rakh sakta hai. Lekin Bank of Japan ke hone ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki exchange rate mein zyada girawat ki umeed nahi ki ja sakti. Woh pehle hi ishara de chuke hain ke woh yen ki qeemat mein tezi se utar chadhav par mudakhlat kar sakte hain, jo ke yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar yeh ziyada mazboot ho jaye. Is liye, 129 ka target haqeeqat par mabni nahi lagta, kyun ke Bank of Japan 139 ke aas-paas mudakhlat kar sakta hai aur apni currency ko kamzor karne ke liye bazaar mein yen ki badi sikta inject kar sakta hai USD/JPY pair par asar fall Natija ye hai ke buying strength kam ho gayi hai

USD/JPY Ka Andaza: Japanese Yen 13-Mahine Ke Aala Mulk Ke Nazdeek

Do din se USD/JPY apne tezi se gire hue darjaton se recover kar raha hai, jo 139.60 ke 13-mahine ke support level tak pahuncha. Rebound gains 142.46 ke resistance level par ruk gaye hain aur ab 141.80 ke aas-paas stabilizing hain, jab ke sab se ahem event ka intezar hai: aaj US Federal Reserve ke policy decisions ka elan.

Is doran, Japanese Yen ki taqat is liye hai kyunki investors Japan aur United States se naye monetary policy decisions ka intezar kar rahe hain. Bank of Japan se umeed hai ke wo Friday ko interest rates ko unchanged rakhega, lekin yeh mumkin hai ke aur rate hikes ka ishara de. Financial markets ko umeed hai ke Bank of Japan December mein dobara interest rates barha sakta hai, jabke October mein koi bhi move abhi unclear hai.

Wahin, US Federal Reserve se umeed hai ke wo Wednesday ko apna pehla interest rate cut dega, aur financial markets mein 50 basis point ka bada cut hone ka do-tihai mauqa hai. Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne kaha hai ke forex volatility ke economy par dono asraat hain, lekin tez harkatein nafrat ki jati hain.

Is ke ilawa, Japan ka 10-saal ka bond yield ek mahine ka low touch kar gaya hai. 10-saal ke Japanese government bond ka yield lagbhag 0.83% tak gira hai, jo US bond yields ke ghatne ka bhi asar hai, kyunki Federal Reserve se umeed hai ke wo is hafte US interest rates ko zyada tezi se cut karega.

Dusri taraf, Bank of Japan is hafte apni policy ko steady rakhega lekin yeh mazeed rate hikes ka ishara de sakta hai. Markets ko umeed hai ke BoJ December mein interest rates barha sakta hai, jabke October ka move abhi unclear hai. Fitch ne abhi haal mein Japan ke interest rate forecasts ko revise kiya hai, ab yeh 2024 ke end tak 0.5%, 2025 mein 0.75%, aur 2026 ke end tak 1% hone ki umeed hai.




USD/JPY Technical Analysis aur Umeedain Aaj:

Haal hi mein hui rebound koshishon ke bawajood, USD/JPY exchange rate ka overall trend bearish hai, aur psychological support level 140.00 bears ki strong control ko darust karta hai. Is waqt, technical indicators oversold levels ki taraf ja rahe hain. Duniya ke central banks ke announcements ka reaction is hafte dollar/yen ka qism tay karega.

Agar yeh further decline karta hai aur ahem support levels ko break karta hai, to sab se nazdeek support 138.00 par hoga, jo bears ki control ko aur mazboot karega. Daily chart ke mutabiq, psychological resistance 150.00 asal reversal ke liye sab se ahm hai.

USD/JPY Market Forecast:

Sab traders ko Good Morning!

Kal BOJ ka Policy Rate aur Monetary Policy bohot acha raha, jis se sellers thoda stable hue. Lekin USD/JPY ka market ab bhi uptrend ki taraf ja raha hai. Is hafte, US dollar ke lehaz se market sentiment bearish raha. Investors aur market participants ko currency ke liye wazeh support ki kami ka dar tha, kyunki key economic indicators aur policy decisions zaroori boost nahi de sakein.

Market sentiment currency movements ko drive karne mein ahmiyat rakhta hai, aur jab kisi currency par confidence kam hota hai, to woh kamzor ho jata hai. Yeh US dollar ke sath bhi hua, jo economic uncertainty ke bawajood traction hasil karne mein struggle karta raha. USD/JPY par trading ke liye, main buy order ko tarjeeh deta hoon, jiska chhota target 144.00 hai agle hafte ke liye.

US dollar ki mushkilat ne doosri major currencies ko taqat di. Euro, British pound, aur Japanese yen sab ne US dollar ki kamzori ka faida uthaya, investors in currencies par tawajjoh dene lage jo zyada mehfooz ya dilchasp alternatives hain. Misal ke tor par, euro ne Eurozone se aayi mazboot economic data ki wajah se support hasil kiya, jabke British pound UK labor market ki positive developments ki wajah se taqat pakar gaya. Japanese yen, jo ek safe-haven currency hai, ne bhi US dollar ki volatility se bachne ki koshish mein qeemat hasil ki.

Umeed hai ke USD/JPY ke buyers jald ya baad mein 144.00 ki resistance zone ko cross karenge. USD/JPY ke market mein aur un logon ke liye jo pichle hafte US dollar ki volatility ki wajah se nuqsan utha chuke hain, yeh hafte recovery ka mauqa hai. US dollar ki kamzori ne doosri currencies mein kharidari ke liye behtar shiraat paida ki, jis se forex markets mein activity barh gayi.




Market participants jo mazboot currencies mein positions rakhte hain, unhone dollar ki kamzori ka faida uthaya, jo ke unke pehle ke nuqsan ko kuch had tak kam karne mein madadgar raha.

Keep Calm!