USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide USD/JPY ke trading options mein, buy option ab bhi USD/JPY movement ko dominate karega. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke is currency pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders set karein taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunki situation rapidly adverse ho sakti hai.
USD/JPY mein ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai. Is liye, apne trading plan mein stop loss ko shaamil karna bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai, takay aap apne account ko kisi bhi naqabili tajweez nuksaan se bacha sakein. Market kabhi bhi ghair mutawaqqa tor par chal sakta hai, aur stop loss aapki downside risks ko limit karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai, takay agar market aapke position ke khilaaf chaley, to bhi aapka capital mehfooz rahe.
Is trade mein acha risk-reward ratio barqarar rakhne ke liye stop loss ko aik strategic level par set karna zaroori hoga. Agle chand dinon mein ye wazeh hoga ke kya buyers market mein wapas aa sakte hain aur price ko 141.55 resistance zone ki taraf push kar sakte hain. Agar market sentiment ya USD aur JPY se mutaliq economic indicators mein koi positive developments hoti hain, to ye bullish case ko mazeed mazboot kar sakti hain.

Aise mein pair resistance levels 145.91 aur shayad 146.24 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Lekin agar ye upward movement ko maintain nahi karti, to bearish trend aur bhi mazboot ho sakta hai, agar agar pair 145.05 ke neeche girti hai. Aise mein further declines dekhne ko mil sakti hain, price 144.88 tak ja sakti hai aur shayad 144.25 tak bhi extend ho sakti hai. Bigger context bhi bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Pair monthly Pivot level 146.24, weekly Pivot level 145.29, aur daily Pivot level 145.91 se neeche trade kar raha hai. Ye indicators USD/JPY par overall downward pressure ko reflect karte hain. Monthly Pivot level pehle 153.85 tha, jo market dynamics mein significant shift ko highlight karta hai. Isi tarah, weekly Pivot level pehle 147.65 tha, jo recent period mein downward trend ko darshata hai.
USD/JPY pair mein aik tezi se girawat dekhi gayi hai, jo ke 145.00 ke qareeb pohanch gayi hai. Is girawat ka sabab Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ki hawkish guidance thi. Ueda ne ye dohraya ke BOJ ko iss saal interest rates mazeed barhane ki zarurat hai, aur agar economic aur inflationary conditions expectations ke mutabiq hon, toh central bank kisi bhi qadam uthane mein hichkichahat nahi karega. Is bayaan se Japanese yen mein mazid izafa hua, jis ne USD/JPY pair par selling pressure daal diya. Is waqt yeh 144.80 support level ke aas paas hold kar rahi hai.
USD/JPY pair ke overnight decline ka sabab bani. Iske ilawa, US manufacturing sector se aayi negative data, jo ke dopahar mein release hui, ne mazeed decline ko fuel kiya. Filhal yen zyada tar ek haven ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, doosri major currencies ke muqable mein dollar ke khilaf. Aaj S&P 500 index kareeban 3% gira, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke yen ki haven ke tor par demand barh rahi hai. A slight pullback is pair ko "discount" par khareedne ka moqa faraham karta hai. Lekin yeh market hai, aur yehan hamesha unexpected movements ho sakti hain

Jumay ke din, USD ke muqablay mein spot price ne apni girawat ko barqarar rakha, jo is haftay ke nuqsan ko aur barha raha tha. Yeh girawat mazeed tawajjo ka markaz bani, khaaskar jab ke Middle East mein geopolitical tensions barh rahi hain, jo ho sakta hai yen ke liye kuch support faraham karein. Israeli intelligence reports ke mutabiq Iran shayad Israel par seedha hamla karne wala hai, Hamas ke leader Ismail Haniyeh ke Tehran mein qatal ka badla lene ke liye. Market ke band hone tak, USD/JPY ka currency pair lagbhag 140.81 par trade kar raha tha.
USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:

Dusri taraf, US Dollar apni challenges ka samna kar raha hai. Traders ab intezar kar rahe hain ke September mein US Federal Reserve (Fed) ek bara rate cut karega. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 50-basis point cut ka imkaan 72.0% tak barh gaya hai, jo ek haftay pehle sirf 11.8% tha. Is ke bawajood, USD ne apne kuch intraday losses ko recover kar liya. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki qeemat ko chhe badi currencies ke muqablay mein napta hai, 101.00 ke level par qaraar liya huwa hai.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki July 30-31 Monetary Policy Meeting se aaye Summary of Opinions ke mutabiq, kai members ka kehna hai ke economy aur prices umeed ke mutabiq barh rahe hain. BoJ ka maqsaad hai ke medium term mein neutral rate "kam az kam 1%" ke qareeb rahe. Magar BoJ ke hawkish stance ka asar filhaal zyada arsey tak nahi chalega. Global risk aversion se ho sakta hai ke policy-tightening ka silsila ruk jaye. Japan ki equity markets mein volatility bhi BoJ ki accommodative policies ke khatme ke baad barh gayi hai, jo rate hikes ke prospects par asar andaz hui hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

USD/JPY pair ko foran resistance nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas paas, 143.06 ke level par mil sakti hai. Agar yeh level toot jata hai, to bearish momentum kam ho sakta hai aur pair ko 50-day EMA par test karne ka moka mil sakta hai, jo 149.33 ke qareeb hai, aur us ke baad "throwback support turned resistance" 150.50 par. Downside par, pair ko support 140.00 ke aas paas mil sakta hai, aur agla support 139.25 par ho sakta hai.

Jumay tak, pair lagbhag 140.80 par trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ko dekhte hue, yeh maloom hota hai ke pair abhi tak nine-day EMA ke neeche hai, jo ke short-term mein bearish trend ka ishara karta hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 ke level se upar aaya hai, jo yeh batata hai ke ek potential correction shuru ho sakta hai.

Jumay ke din, USD ke muqablay mein spot price ne apni girawat ko barqarar rakha, jo is haftay ke nuqsan ko aur barha raha tha. Yeh girawat mazeed tawajjo ka markaz bani, khaaskar jab ke Middle East mein geopolitical tensions barh rahi hain, jo ho sakta hai yen ke liye kuch support faraham karein. Israeli intelligence reports ke mutabiq Iran shayad Israel par seedha hamla karne wala hai, Hamas ke leader Ismail Haniyeh ke Tehran mein qatal ka badla lene ke liye. Market ke band hone tak, USD/JPY ka currency pair lagbhag 140.81 par trade kar raha tha. USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:

Dusri taraf, US Dollar apni challenges ka samna kar raha hai. Traders ab intezar kar rahe hain ke September mein US Federal Reserve (Fed) ek bara rate cut karega. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 50-basis point cut ka imkaan 72.0% tak barh gaya hai, jo ek haftay pehle sirf 11.8% tha. Is ke bawajood, USD ne apne kuch intraday losses ko recover kar liya. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki qeemat ko chhe badi currencies ke muqablay mein napta hai, 101.00 ke level par qaraar liya huwa hai.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki July 30-31 Monetary Policy Meeting se aaye Summary of Opinions ke mutabiq, kai members ka kehna hai ke economy aur prices umeed ke mutabiq barh rahe hain. BoJ ka maqsaad hai ke medium term mein neutral rate "kam az kam 1%" ke qareeb rahe. Magar BoJ ke hawkish stance ka asar filhaal zyada arsey tak nahi chalega. Global risk aversion se ho sakta hai ke policy-tightening ka silsila ruk jaye. Japan ki equity markets mein volatility bhi BoJ ki accommodative policies ke khatme ke baad barh gayi hai, jo rate hikes ke prospects par asar andaz hui hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

USD/JPY pair ko foran resistance nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas paas, 143.06 ke level par mil sakti hai. Agar yeh level toot jata hai, to bearish momentum kam ho sakta hai aur pair ko 50-day EMA par test karne ka moka mil sakta hai, jo 149.33 ke qareeb hai, aur us ke baad "throwback support turned resistance" 150.50 par. Downside par, pair ko support 140.00 ke aas paas mil sakta hai, aur agla support 139.25 par ho sakta hai.

Jumay tak, pair lagbhag 140.80 par trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ko dekhte hue, yeh maloom hota hai ke pair abhi tak nine-day EMA ke neeche hai, jo ke short-term mein bearish trend ka ishara karta hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 ke level se upar aaya hai, jo yeh batata hai ke ek potential correction shuru ho sakta hai.


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USD/JPY currency pair ne panchwan din musalsal decline dekha, aur Monday ko Asian trading session mein 140.30 level ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ka technical analysis yeh zahir karta hai ke USD/JPY pair aik descending channel ke andar downward move kar raha hai, jo ke bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. Is ke ilawa, 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neechay hai, jo bearish momentum ka ishara karta hai. Lekin, 14-day relative strength index (RSI) abhi 30 level se neechay trade kar raha hai, jo yeh batata hai ke USD/JPY pair oversold zone mein hai, aur jald hi upward correction ho sakti hai.

Support ke hawalay se, USD/JPY pair abhi 140.25 level ko test kar raha hai, jo ke July 2023 se ab tak ka sabse low level hai. Agar pair is level ke upar move karne mein kamyab hota hai, to yeh bearish bias ko barha sakta hai, aur pair ko 138.50 ke descending channel ke lower boundary tak push kar sakta hai.

Upside ke hawalay se, USD/JPY pair ko pehli resistance 9-day EMA ke qareeb 142.19 par mil sakti hai, aur us ke baad 21-day EMA par 144.04 par. Agar yeh moving averages break hoti hain, to downward pressure kam ho sakta hai, aur pair 145.50 levels ke upper boundary tak test karne ki koshish kar sakta hai. USD/JPY pair ne aaj ke din mein aik sharp decline dekha, aur 14 mahine ka low 139.56 par pohanch gaya, jo ke sell-off ka silsila jari rakhta hai. Mid-August se prices bearish trend mein hain, aur technical oscillators iss downward movement ko confirm karte hain. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) apni trigger aur zero lines ke neechay hai, jab ke RSI 30 level ke neeche hai.

Mazid downside pressure July 2023 ke low 137.25 tak bears ko push kar sakta hai, aur us ke baad April 2023 ke psychological level 133.00 tak. Agar thoda upward movement hota hai, to resistance short-term downtrend line ke qareeb 141.70 par mil sakti hai, jo upward momentum ko roknay ka sabab ban sakti hai.

USD/JPY Price outlook

Is haftay USD/JPY currency pair ka market kaafi interesting raha. Market ne pichlay haftay ke bearish trend ko maintain kiya hai, aur price ne Saturday raat daily level se rally down karte hue 140.83 ke level tak move kiya. Market ka overall trend abhi tak bearish phase mein hai, aur lagta hai ke sellers ab bhi market ko neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Chart se zahir hota hai ke candlestick Moving Average signal ke neeche smoothly move kar rahi hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke sellers abhi tak market ko control mein rakhe hue hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator pe Lime Line level 50 ke neeche aa chuki hai, jo bearish trend ka ishara deti hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq, price ke 141.00 mark ke upar break hone ke bawajood, bearish trend ke aage barhne ke mazeed chances hain. Main aaj aur kal ke din apna focus ek acha SELL trade ka moka dhoondhne par rakhunga, kyun ke lagta hai ke price mazid neeche gir sakti hai. USD/JPY pair Monday ko Asian session mein 140.82 par open hui, aur filhaal apne najdiqi support level 140.21 ko test kar rahi hai. Is waqt price EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ke neeche hai, jo long-term downtrend ko confirm karti hai. Yeh bhi dekha gaya hai ke price EMA 200 se kaafi neeche trade kar rahi hai. Friday ko thoda sa girawat dekhi gayi thi, aur Monday ke trading session mein price Friday ke low 130.20 se neeche girti hui nazar aa rahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh trend aage bhi bearish rahega, aur market mein sell opportunities kaafi mazid dikhai de rahi hain.

USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka tajziya karenge. Price reading indicators ke base par, meri trading approach yeh darshati hai ke is waqt is currency pair ko khareedna faida mand hoga. System ke muttawatar signals yeh ishara dete hain ke bulls ne control hasil kar liya hai, is liye kharidna abhi priority hai. Heiken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein zyada behtareen tareeqay se price quotes ko smooth aur average karti hain, reversals, corrective pullbacks, aur impulsive movements ko identify karne mein madad deti hain. 100 Moving Average channel indicator, jo ke Moving Average chart par current support aur resistance levels ko outline karta hai, kisi bhi waqt asset ke movement boundaries ko clear nazar deta hai. Momentum oscillator pair ke overbought aur oversold zones ko highlight karta hai. Yeh tools ka combination technical analysis process ko behtareen banata hai aur galat market entries ke chances ko kam karta hai. Diye gaye pair ka chart dikhata hai ke ranging candlesticks ne blue color le liya hai, jo ke bullish sentiment ko darshata hai aur bearish outlook ko piche chhod raha hai, isliye yeh ek achha waqt hai long position lene ka. Price quotes shuru mein channel ke lower boundary ke neeche gir gayi thi, lekin sabse niche pahunchnay ke baad, yeh channel ke central line ki taraf rebound kar gayi. RSI (20 indicator) bhi is buy signal ko support karta hai, kyunki iska upward-directed curve overbought level ke neeche hai, jo ke long position lene ke saath align karta hai. In observations ke madde nazar, successful buys ki probability zyada hai, jo long trade kholne ko justify karta hai. Main channel ke upper boundary ke aas-paas, price quote 141.643 ke qareeb profits lene ke umeed rakhta hoon. Jab order profitable zone mein chale jaye, to position ko breakeven par shift karna aqalmandi hogi, kyunki market dynamics aksar expectations ko galat movements se disrupt karte hain

indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, opsalar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke Baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apnea control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold nahi kar pata, toh yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke possible 168.00 ya us se niche ho sakta hai. Agar support hold karta hai, toh ek rebound ho sakta hai

Monday ko US ki public holiday ki wajah se dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, special Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala US non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term US Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. US GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein US non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to US economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact US dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga. USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyata economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai

DJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide USD/JPY ke trading options mein, buy option ab bhi USD/JPY movement ko dominate karega. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke is currency pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders set karein taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunki situation rapidly adverse ho sakti hai.
USD/JPY mein ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai. Is liye, apne trading plan mein stop loss ko shaamil karna bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai, takay aap apne account ko kisi bhi naqabili tajweez nuksaan se bacha sakein. Market kabhi bhi ghair mutawaqqa tor par chal sakta hai, aur stop loss aapki downside risks ko limit karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai, takay agar market aapke position ke khilaaf chaley, to bhi aapka capital mehfooz rahe.
Is trade mein acha risk-reward ratio barqarar rakhne ke liye stop loss ko aik strategic level par set karna zaroori hoga. Agle chand dinon mein ye wazeh hoga ke kya buyers market mein wapas aa sakte hain aur price ko 141.55 resistance zone ki taraf push kar sakte hain. Agar market sentiment ya USD aur JPY se mutaliq economic indicators mein koi positive developments h

USD/JPY pair ko impact kar rahi hai. Is ka natija ye hai ke buying strength kam ho gayi hai, aur market mein aik zyada cautious sentiment dekhne ko mil raha hai. Aaj ka market action ziada tar further economic data releases, khaaskar US inflation expectations aur consumer confidence reports par depend karega, jo USD/JPY ki direction ko tay karegi. Mein short-term target 142.47 ke saath buy order ko prefer karta hoon. Halan ke buyers is waqt struggle kar rahe hain, upcoming news data unhain dobara strength dene ka moqa de sakti hai, aur prices ko upar push karne mein madadgar ho sakti hai. Agar US inflation expectations ya consumer confidence mein koi positive shift aata hai, to US dollar ki demand dobara barh sakti hai, jo buyers ko recent losses se recover karne mein madad karegi. 142.47 level aik reasonable target hai, kyun ke ye aik near-term resistance area hai jahan traders expect kar sakte hain ke price temporarily stall karegi, is se pehle ke agle move ka faisla kiya jaye. Waisay, USD/JPY buyers ke liye pehle ke losses ko successfully cover karne ka potential mojood hai agar market favorable developments dekhti hai. Traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye, inflation expectations aur consumer confidence data ko qareebi tor par monitor karte hue ye assess karna chahiye ke bullish sentiment sustain ho sakti hai ya nahi. Dekhte hain agle kuch ghanton mein kya hota hai.
USD/JPY markets bohot ziada volatile ho sakti hain, aur sentiment aksar unforeseen events jaise ke central bank announcements, monetary policy mein tabdeeliyan, ya geopolitical developments ki wajah se jaldi shift karta hai. Aise fast-paced environments mein, jo traders apni strategies ko jaldi se adjust kar lete hain, wo ziada successful hote hain, jabke jo apne original plans par rigidly stick karte hain, wo struggle kar sakte hain apni positions maintain karne mein. Isliye flexibility ek zaroori component hai successful trading ka.
Halaanke current trends sellers ke haq mein hain, lekin financial markets ki unpredictability ki wajah se trading mein ihtiyaat karna bohot zaroori hai. Volatility kisi bhi waqt, unexpected conditions ke shift hone par, aapke sab se well-considered positions ko reverse kar sakti hai. Stop losses ka implement karna aur economic developments ke baare mein well-informed rehna, capital ko protect karne ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai. Aakhir mein, trading mein success aksar market opportunities ko capitalize karne aur effective risk managemen

Sab ko subh bakhair!

USD/JPY ka market Friday ko tezi se gir gaya, jo ek strong bearish movement ko reflect karta hai aur kaafi traders ko hairaan kar diya. Is girawat ke bawajood, reversal ka potential hai kyunki buyers wapas aa sakte hain aur bullish journey ko 141.55 zone ki taraf dobara shuru kar sakte hain. Recent drop ne un logon ke liye buying opportunities faraham ki hain jo possible rebound ka faida uthana chahte hain. Current market setup ko dekhte hue, main USD/JPY par buy order ko pasand karta hoon, short-term target 141.55 ke saath, ummed hai ke buyers agle sessions mein momentum wapas le aayenge.

Aaj ke liye hum sell trading plan bhi tayyar kar sakte hain, aur volatile market jaise ke USD/JPY mein ehtiyaat barqarar rakhna zaroori hai. Is liye, trading plan mein stop loss ko shamil karna bohot zaroori hai taake aapke account ko uncertain losses se bacha sakein. Market unpredictable ho sakti hai aur stop loss potential downside risks ko limit karne mein madad kar sakta hai, is se aap apni capital ko preserve kar sakte hain agar market aapke position ke khilaf move kare. Stop loss ko ek strategic level par set karna risk-reward ratio ko maintain karne ke liye ahem hoga.

Overall, agle dinon mein yeh clear ho jayega ke buyers successfully market mein wapas aa kar price ko 141.55 resistance zone ki taraf push kar sakte hain ya nahi. USD aur JPY se related positive market sentiment ya economic indicators bullish case ko aur bhi mazboot kar sakte hain. Umeed hai ke yeh factors buyers ke haq mein kaam karenge, taake woh successfully market mein survive kar saken aur apni upward movement ko effectively continue kar saken.

Aapka trading din kamiyab ho!

USD/JPY Profit Potential

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ki live examination par markooz hai. Maine pichle Thursday ko 141.79 ke support level se local trend line (green, sloping line) tak bullish rebound ki ummeed ki thi, jo "Hammer" reversal pattern ke formation par mabni tha. Yeh model bullish correction ka ishara de raha tha, isliye extended position consider karna logical tha. Halankeh price shuru mein upar chali gayi, lekin baad mein sell-off ne 141.79 ke support ko break kar diya, aur price ko further neeche push karte hue 140.17 ke lower support level ko test karna pada. Yeh bullish divergence ke bawajood Stochastic indicator par hua. Maine "Hammer" pattern ke basis par counter-trend buying ka mauka liya. Agla potential target psychological level 139.01 hai, jo current volatility ke madde nazar quickly achieve ho sakta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke moving average ke aas paas ek maximum correction ho sakti hai, uske baad shayad downward trend continue kare.

Hourly chart par, price abhi bhi ek descending channel ke andar hai. Kal, pair ne decline kiya lekin channel ke lower boundary tak nahi pahunch paaya. Agle din, price girti rahegi, aur target lower boundary ke aas-paas 139.74 hai. Is level tak pohnchne par, ek potential reversal price ko channel ke upper boundary, jo ke 142.18 ke aas-paas hai, tak le ja sakti hai. Daily chart par dekha gaya global support level 140.35, lagta hai ke sustain nahi karega. Humne ek double bottom pattern banaya hai, jo ke current level se ek choti si bullish correction ka ishara hai. USD/JPY pair ka aggressive downtrend, US dollar ki devaluation aur Japanese yen ke strengthening ke bawajood, volatility abhi bhi high hai.

Hamari guftagu live USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing ko decode karne ke hawale se hai. Jumme ko, Japanese yen ne ek naya low record kiya, jo 140.31 tak gir gaya. Lekin ab H4 chart par kuch reversal ke potential signs nazar aa rahe hain. Sab se pehle, MACD histogram aur RSI signal line ke darmiyan bullish divergence hai. Dusra, haal hi mein jo descending wave bani hai, usme 5-wave structure ban raha hai, jo ek mumkin final diagonal ko suggest karta hai. Is base par, mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY pair mein corrective rally aa sakti hai, jo shayad descending channel ke bahar bhi push kar sakti hai. USD/JPY ka trend ab bhi downward hai, aur Monday ke liye short-term bearish outlook hai. Pullbacks par selling opportunities ke liye dekhein, girti hui prices ko pakadne ki koshish na karein. Filhal, main cautious hoon aur koi moves nahi kar raha. Agar price barhti hai, to selling opportunities ki talash karunga.

Lekin 143.01 ka level lagta hai ke kaafi nahi hai. Price tezhi se 145.01 ya even 147.01 tak barh sakti hai. Halankeh US dollar ki broad weakness ke bawajood, Japanese yen mazbooti gain kar raha hai, magar shayad is mein thodi dheemapan bhi aayegi. Agar price barhti hai, to ye ek potential upward move generate kar sakti hai, jo sahi shoulder pattern ko draw kar sakti hai. Main in continuation aur reversal patterns par skeptical hoon. Hal hi mein, USD/JPY pair ne December pichle saal mein ek significant support zone ko reach kiya tha lekin previous highs ko surpass nahi kar paya. Hum is zone ko phir se test kar rahe hain August mein thodi recovery ke baad. Yeh dekhna hoga ke yeh zone hold karega ya break hoga, jo hamare agle steps ko determine karega. Agar yeh break hota hai, to shayad hum 138.51 ke niche further decline dekh sakte hain. USD/JPY ka current steep downtrend baqi major pairs ke muqablay mein notable hai. Support zone se indirect signals potential upward shift ko suggest karte hain, aur yeh resistance zone mere buying strategy ke sath align karta hai.

Hamara guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ki live price action ke mutaliq hai. Price Action method aur "bearish engulfing" pattern ke mutabiq jo umeed thi, wo poori tarah se mumkin nahi ho saki. Is model mein proportionality ki bohat ahmiyat hoti hai. Iske ilawa, humein ek signal mila — ek bearish Doji, jo maine chart mein highlight kiya tha. Mujhe yaqeen hai ke dono apne targets agle haftay tak poora karenge. Pehle case mein, maine 101 points ki girawat ka andaza lagaya tha, spread ko madde nazar rakhtay baghair, lekin ab bhi mujhe lagta hai ke yeh trading instrument mazeed niche jaayega. Fibonacci retracement levels ke mutabiq, main umeed karta hoon ke price 142.04 ke 100th level se neeche jaayegi, aur phir 141.39 pe 138.1 aur phir 140.82 pe 161.7 ke levels tak yeh silsila dheere dheere chalega. Agar price channel ki upper boundary tak barhti hai toh yeh faida mand hoga, magar main intezaar karunga ek tezi se hone wali upward move ka pehle apni position adjust karne se pehle.

143.56 pe price ka test us waqt hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ki taraf chalna shuru hua, jo ke dollar bechne ke liye ek sahi entry point ko confirm karta hai, woh bhi us downward trend ke hawalay se jo kayee maheenon se dekhne mein aa raha hai. Iss ke natijay mein pair mein 60 pips se zyada ki girawat dekhne ko mili. 142.90 pe rebound par ki gayi purchases se wo nateeja nahi mila jo umeed thi. Kal Japan ki GDP ke kamzor growth aur bank lending volume mein kami ki khabaron ne yen ki position ko asar andaz kiya, jis se pair mein halki recovery hui. Magar din ke dosray hisse mein dobara pressure aaya, jo is baat ka saboot tha ke dollar ko zyada behtareen aur munasib prices pe bechne walay maujood hain. Aaj ke Japan ke money supply aggregate report ne pair ko horizontal channel mein rakha, jisse medium-term downward trend ke andar mazeed girawat ka imkaan barqarar hai.

Aaj ke intraday strategy ke liye, mein scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par zyada rely karunga.

Buy Signal Scenario No. 1: Aaj USD/JPY ko tab khareedne ka irada hai jab price 143.45 ke aas paas (green line chart pe) pohanchegi, aur mera target 144.01 (jo ke chart pe mazid moti green line se highlight hai) par hoga. 144.01 par main long positions se exit karke short positions opposite direction mein kholne ka plan karunga, jisme 30-35 pips ka move opposite direction mein umeed hai. Aaj pair mein izafa correction ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Important! Khareedne se pehle ye ensure karna zaroori hai ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur abhi apni ascent shuru kar raha ho.