usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Short-Term Bullishness ko Long-Term Bearish Outlook mein Navigate Karna Is analysis mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki technical aspects mein ghuste hain, iski current market behavior aur potential future movements ki insights offer karte hain. Latest data ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair mixed technical landscape mein navigate kar raha hai, short-term bullish trend ko long-term bearish outlook ke sath contrast karte hue.
*Current Price aur Moving Averages*

Analysis ke waqt, USD/JPY pair 50-day moving average (MA50) se upar trade kar raha hai lekin 200-day moving average (MA200) se neeche hai. Yeh setup short-term aur long-term trends mein divergence ko indicate karta hai. Khaskar, price MA50 se upar hone se immediate upward momentum ka suggestion hai, short-term mein bullish bias ko hint karte hue. Lekin, price MA200 se neeche hone se broader context mein bearish sentiment ko underscore karta hai, jo pair ke key resistance levels ko approach karne par phir se assert ho sakta hai.

*Trend Analysis*

USD/JPY pair ki current positioning MA50 se upar short-term strength ko reflect karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ki buyers currently control mein hain, price ko higher drive karte hue. Lekin, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye jab price MA200 ko approach karta hai. Historically, MA200 significant trend indicator hai; agar price is level se upar break nahi karta hai, to yeh broader downtrend ki resumption ko signal kar sakta hai, sellers ko dominance regain karne ke liye.

*Support aur Resistance Levels*

Key support aur resistance levels USD/JPY pair ki next move ko determine karne mein crucial hain:

- *Support*: Immediate support level MA50 ke qareeb hai. Agar price is level se neeche drop karta hai, to yeh short-term bullish scenario ko negate kar sakta hai aur further declines ki taraf pave kar sakta hai. Yeh support level bulls ke liye critical line of defense hai aur isko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

- *Resistance*: Upside par, resistance 148.50 to 149.00 range mein expected hai. Agar price is levels se upar break karta hai, to yeh further buying opportunities ko signal kar sakta hai, potentially higher resistance zones ki retest ko lead karte hue. Lekin, agar price is levels se upar nahi nikalta hai, to yeh reversal ko trigger kar sakta hai, longer-term bearish outlook ko reaffirm karte hue.

*Technical Indicators*

*Relative Strength Index (RSI)* bhi key indicator hai. Agar RSI 50 se upar hai, to yeh typically bullish momentum ko confirm karta hai, further gains ke liye case ko support karte hue. Lekin,

mera main reference point senior time frame tha, jahan price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price

US dollar abhi Japanese yen ke against ek tang range mein trade kar raha hai, aur 145 yen ke aas paas hai, jo ek aham psychological level hai. Yeh ilaqa maani rakhta hai aur mumkin hai ke yeh currency pair kuch arse tak is consolidation zone mein rahe. Agar dollar ¥145 level ke upar break karta hai, toh yeh raasta khol sakta hai ¥148.50 level tak ke liye.

Iske baraks, agar dollar ¥143 level ke neechay girta hai, toh market phir ¥140 level ko target kar sakta hai. Is pair ki bohot si movement mumkin hai ke aanay walay Core PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) data par munhasir ho, jo market par significant asar daal sakta hai. Jab tak yeh data Friday ko release nahi hota, humein limited activity ki umeed hai, shayad thodi si bounce ke saath, lekin koi ziyada bara move nahi hoga.

Market ne hal hi mein bohot volatility dekhi hai aur yeh trend jari reh sakta hai. Bank of Japan ho sakta hai ke thodi si interest rates badhaye, shayad 10 basis points tak, lekin Tokyo se monetary tightening ka sabse aham marhala lagta hai guzar chuka hai. Ab tawajjo wapis US central bank aur uski policy decisions ki taraf shift ho rahi hai.



Is tanazur mein, market shayad choppi aur indecisive trading dekhna jari rakhay ga jab tak ke koi naya economic data nayi maloomat nahi deta. Traders ko tayar rehna chahiye ke current noise aur volatility jari rahegi jab tak dollar-yen pair is uncertain environment se guzarta hai. Chahe market upar ki taraf break kare ya neechay, 145, 143, aur 140 yen ke key levels faisla kun honge aglay aham move ko tayin karne mein.

USD/JPY ki Price Action ke Peechay ka Science

Main abhi USD/JPY currency pair ki live analysis kar raha hoon. USD/JPY pair daily chart par abhi bhi sideways movement dikha raha hai. Aaj ki price action is range ke andar hi hai, jis se humein yeh sawal hota hai ke kya yeh pair isi direction mein aage barh kar jaari rahega ya break out karega. Iska taayiun karne ke liye, aayiye technical analysis mein gohar karte hain. Moving averages "sell" ka mashwara dete hain, jabke technical indicators mazbooti se "buy" ka mashwara dete hain, jis se overall outlook neutral nazar aata hai. Filhal themes sideways pattern mein hi rehenge. America se ek aham update aaya hai jo ke negative impact ki taraf ishara karta hai. Khaas tor par, 5 saal ke U.S. Treasury notes ki placement ke liye aik auction hai. Iske baraks, Japan se koi baray news nahi aaye hain. Iss buniyad par lagta hai ke pair aaj bhi sideways move karta rahega.

Selling ke mauqe support level 144.34 ke kareeb mil sakte hain, jabke buying resistance level 145.26 tak sochi jaa sakti hai. Iss liye, mujhe ummeed hai ke sideways movement abhi jaari rahegi. H4 chart par triangle abhi bhi solve nahi hua hai. Price ek ahem point ke kareeb hai, aur is ka hal kal tak ya shayad aaj raat tak ho sakta hai. Agar bulls 145 level ko todte hain, toh USD/JPY 148 tak bhi jaa sakta hai.




Iske baraks, agar support round 144 par toot jata hai, toh yeh pair 141.69 tak gir sakta hai. Filhal, market mein dakhil hone se parhez karna behtar hoga, khaas tor par Asian session ke qareeb aane ke saath, kyunke USD/JPY aasani se 100 points move kar sakta hai aur raat bhar triangle se bahar nikal sakta hai. Aaj, dollar ne pichlay haftay ke nuqsanat ko recover kiya hai, aur yeh strengthening trend kal tak bhi jaari reh sakta hai, aane walay U.S. news par munhasir hai. Second quarter ke GDP data aur unemployment benefit figures release hongi, jo ke pair ko dono simton mein 200 points tak le ja sakti hain.

USD/JPY Price Move

Hamara mauzo USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ke real-time jaaizay par hai. Abhi, USD/JPY chart ek bullish pattern bana raha hai jo is currency pair ki price ko khaas tor par upar le jaa sakta hai. Haali hi ke ek downward move ne protected zone ke upper boundary 143.75 ko test kiya, lekin price ne mazbooti se rebound kiya aur north ki taraf barh gayi. Aaj ke U.S. session ke dauran, pair ki bullish momentum wazeh ho gayi jab price 144.39 ke accumulation area tak dip hui aur phir apni upward journey jari rakhi. Agar price abhi wapas nahi girti aur 144.39 ke accumulation level ke neeche consolidate karne se bachi rehti hai, toh USD/JPY ke bullish scenario mein mazeed taqat aa sakti hai. Yeh pair ko 146.05 ke northern region ki taraf le jaa sakta hai, jahaan significant volumes accumulate hui hain. Yahan par ek bearish price action setup bhi maujood hai.




USD/JPY kayi dinon se 145.00 ke round level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, lekin price abhi tak is mark se door nahi hui hai. Iska matlab hai ke market mumkin hai ke kisi catalyst ka intezar kar raha hai, jese ke koi news, jo chart par ek significant move ko trigger kar sake. Kal U.S. GDP data release ho raha hai, jo ke mumkin hai ke current levels se shift hone ke liye zaroori impetus provide kare. Agar price neeche jati hai, toh mujhe umeed hai ke yeh pichlay low 141.59 ko retest karegi. Dusri taraf, agar pair upar ki taraf move karta hai, toh mujhe umeed hai ke yeh bullish direction mein breakout karega, aur 145.00 level ke upar consolidation karte hue, akhirkaar local maximum 149.38 ki taraf mazeed gains ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Warna, filhal market se door rehna aur current market mein dakhil hone se parhez karna zyada behtar ho sakta hai taake potential nuqsan se bacha ja sake.

USD/JPY Price Move

Hamara mauzo USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ke real-time jaaizay par hai. Abhi, USD/JPY chart ek bullish pattern bana raha hai jo is currency pair ki price ko khaas tor par upar le jaa sakta hai. Haali hi ke ek downward move ne protected zone ke upper boundary 143.75 ko test kiya, lekin price ne mazbooti se rebound kiya aur north ki taraf barh gayi. Aaj ke U.S. session ke dauran, pair ki bullish momentum wazeh ho gayi jab price 144.39 ke accumulation area tak dip hui aur phir apni upward journey jari rakhi. Agar price abhi wapas nahi girti aur 144.39 ke accumulation level ke neeche consolidate karne se bachi rehti hai, toh USD/JPY ke bullish scenario mein mazeed taqat aa sakti hai. Yeh pair ko 146.05 ke northern region ki taraf le jaa sakta hai, jahaan significant volumes accumulate hui hain. Yahan par ek bearish price action setup bhi maujood hai.




USD/JPY kayi dinon se 145.00 ke round level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, lekin price abhi tak is mark se door nahi hui hai. Iska matlab hai ke market mumkin hai ke kisi catalyst ka intezar kar raha hai, jese ke koi news, jo chart par ek significant move ko trigger kar sake. Kal U.S. GDP data release ho raha hai, jo ke mumkin hai ke current levels se shift hone ke liye zaroori impetus provide kare. Agar price neeche jati hai, toh mujhe umeed hai ke yeh pichlay low 141.59 ko retest karegi. Dusri taraf, agar pair upar ki taraf move karta hai, toh mujhe umeed hai ke yeh bullish direction mein breakout karega, aur 145.00 level ke upar consolidation karte hue, akhirkaar local maximum 149.38 ki taraf mazeed gains ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Warna, filhal market se door rehna aur current market mein dakhil hone se parhez karna zyada behtar ho sakta hai taake potential nuqsan se bacha ja sake.

USD/JPY Forum Analysis, Forecast
28 August 2024

USD/JPY currency pair is waqt neeche jaane mein mushkilat ka saamna kar raha hai. Is maheene ke shuru mein jab se market khuli hai, price Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators se neeche gir chuki hai, jo yeh idea deta hai ke market abhi bhi mazboot bearish condition mein hai. Yeh girawat ki soorat-e-haal asal mein pichlay maheene ke market trend ke mutabiq hai, jahan candlestick abhi bhi girawat ke phase mein hai.

Weekly timeframe mein bearish candlestick ki formation yeh dikhati hai ke lagataar lagbhag saat hafton se bearish trend chal raha hai. Yeh soorat-e-haal seller forces ka confidence barhata hai ke woh aaj raat apni market par mazeed dabao daal sakein. Agar aaj ke din ko gaur se dekha jaye toh market abhi bhi sideways movement experience kar raha hai, 144.46 price level ke range mein. Lekin meri raaye mein yeh izafa sirf arzi hai aur mumkin hai ke price phir se bearish trend ki taraf wapas move kare.

MACD indicator par histogram bar ki position abhi bhi zero level se neeche hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke market ek bearish trend mein move kar raha hai. Aanay wale dinon mein bhi market mein mazeed bearish potential nazar aa raha hai. Market mein jo meine dekha hai, uske mutabiq seller forces ki tawaqqa hai ke woh price ko dobara neeche le jayenge. Pichlay do hafton ke trend ko dekhte hue, hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/JPY currency pair ki soorat-e-haal abhi bhi seller forces ke qabze mein hai.




Filhal, behtar hoga ke un movements par tawajjo di jaye jo ke abhi bhi bearish trend ko continue karne ki salahiyat rakhti hain. Bhale hi market abhi Asian session mein hai, lekin aglay price ke liye yeh tawaqqa hai ke yeh abhi bhi bearish trend ki taraf move karega aur 144.00 ke price level range ko test karega. Mera khayal hai ke aaj raat se kal raat tak trading option ab bhi "SELL" trading ko hi chuna jaye. Seller forces se tawaqqa hai ke woh ab bhi market ko dominate karenge.

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY

Japanese yen ne guzishta trading hafta mein apni taqat barqaraar rakhi aur thori se kami ke bawajood apne kuch nuqsanat se ubharne mein kamyab rahi. Qeemat 147.45 ke level se rebound hui aur 143.53 ke level tak pohanch gayi, jahan usay ek aur support mila jis ne mazeed girawat ko rok diya. Is tarah, expected downward scenario abhi tak puri tarah se ulta nahi hua aur jari hai. Is beech, price chart supertrend red zone mein hai, jo ke bikney walon ke barhtey hue dabao ki taraf ishara karta hai.

USD/JPY pair ne US Treasury bonds ki yield ke sath apne seedhay talluq ko tora, jab dollar Federal Reserve ki meeting ke nateejon aur Jerome Powell ki Jackson Hole Forum mein takreer ke baad gir gaya. Yeh pair 143.93 par pohanch gaya jo pehle ke close 144.51 se kam tha. Yeh Tuesday ko aik high 145.17 se aik low 143.91 par gaya. Tuesday ko dollar Wall Street par neeche band hua, aur yeh girawat guzishta hafta ke aakhri din Federal Reserve ki meeting aur Jerome Powell ki takreer ke baad shuru hui.

Is waqt qeematain thodi se neeche hain, jo ke haal hi mein haasil ki gayi weekly lows se zyada door nahi hain. Bunyadi resistance zone ko test kiya gaya aur woh downward price reversal ko bardasht kar gaya, jo ke downside vector ko abhi bhi tarjeeh deta hai. 145.81 ke level ke neechay ek consolidation zaroori hai, jahan central resistance zone ki had hai, ta ke girawat jari reh sake. Is level ka retest aur mazeed downward reversal se ek nai wave ka rasta khul jayega, jo 140.80 aur 137.72 ke darmiyan ke area ko target karegi.




Agar resistance tor diya jaye aur qeemat 149.19 ke reversal level ko tor jaye, to yeh mojooda scenario ko cancel karne ka signal hoga.

Currency Pair Behavior: USD/JPY

Hamari behas ka markaz abhi ke USD/JPY currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya hai. USD/JPY currency pair ne Monday ko apni neeche ki taraf harkat jari rakhi, aur guzishta trading hafta ke muqablay mein ek nai low tak pohanch gaya. Halanki, qeemat ne ab apne shuruati level tak wapas retrace kiya hai, lekin kul mila ke outlook abhi bhi wohi hai. Mujhe ab bhi USD/JPY pair mein girawat ki tawakku hai. Agar qeemat 145.19 ke resistance level tak barhti hai, jo ke mere Fibonacci grid ke 99th level aur guzishta Monday ke low ke sath mutabiq hai, to yeh sell positions kholne ka ek zabardast moqa hoga. Is soorat mein, target Fibonacci grid ke 160th level ke qareeb hoga, jo ke 142.59 ke aas paas hai. Bearish scenario sirf uss soorat mein mansookh hoga agar qeemat 145.19 ke resistance ko toray aur uss ke upar barqarar rahe. Aisi soorat mein khareedari zyada dilchasp aur mumkin hai ke zyada munafa bakhsh ho. Is liye, main is waqt ke levels par koi bhi transactions par ghor nahi kar raha.



Main USD/JPY ke liye koi khaas mansoobay nahi bana raha, lekin mera outlook bullish trend ki taraf hai. Aapne kaha tha ke market ek hi simt mein nahi chal sakti, lekin main aam rujhan ki baat kar raha hoon. Aksar, 92-94 fee-sad retail traders aik simt mein position lete hain, jab ke barey maali khelari us ke bar-aks move karte hain aur un ke stops ya margins se faida uthate hain. US dollar ki taqat mein izafa hua hai, aur USD/JPY pair 143 range ke darmiyan tak barh gaya hai. Main yeh dekhna chahoon ga ke yeh 145th figure tak pohanche, jahan se yeh guzishta Friday ko gira tha. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke yen pair ke liye neeche ki taraf trend ab bhi qaim hai, aur aaj ki harkat is girawat ko jari rakhti hai. Dollar ki taqat hasil karne ki koshish ke bawajood, pair ki jari girawat yen ki mazbooti ko numayan karti hai. Mazeed girawat ki ab bhi kafi gunjaish hai, kyun ke chhoti si recovery poori tarah se khel mein nahi aayi, aur lambay arsay ke targets ab bhi apni jagah maujood hain.

**USD/JPY Currency Pair Analysis (Roman Urdu Translation)**

USD/JPY currency pair ne aik lambay arsay se wazeh bearish trend dikhaya hai. Haali mein, is pair mein thora si upar ki taraf harkat hui thi, jo 143.33 ke high tak pohanchi thi. Lekin, yeh upward movement zyada dair barqarar nahi reh saka, aur pair ab wapas apne haali level ke aas paas, yani 140.58 par aagaya hai. Is price action se yeh maloom hota hai ke ek arzi recovery ke bawajood, wider bearish trend ab bhi dominant hai.

**Resistance aur Support Levels:** Haali high 143.33 ek ahem resistance level raha hai. Iske baad ki girawat se lagta hai ke yeh level mazeed upar ki taraf harkat ke liye ek mazboot rukawat ka kaam kar raha tha. Abhi yeh pair is resistance ke neeche aur mahana support level 140.58 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Ek ahem support level jo nazar mein rakhna chahiye woh hai 143.54; agar qeemat is level ke neeche toot jati hai, to yeh ek mazboot bearish trend ka ishara de sakta hai aur mazeed mahana support levels ko test kar sakta hai.

**Bearish Dominance:** USD/JPY mein lambay arsay se bearish trend is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke pair par sustained downward pressure hai. Upward momentum ko qaim rakhne mein na kamyabi aur haali girawat se bearish sentiment ki taqat ka pata chalta hai. Yeh mukhtalif waja se ho sakta hai, jese ke Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan paise ki muftlif policies, maeeshat ke data, ya market ke jazbaat.

**Mumkin Price Action:** Agar USD/JPY 143.54 level ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh mazeed neeche ke mahana support levels ko test karne ki koshish kar sakta hai. Support 140.58 ke aas paas ek ahem level ho sakta hai, kyunke iske neeche break aur mazeed girawat ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Traders ko qeemat ki harkat ko closely monitor karna chahiye mazeed support ya bearish developments ke isharaat ke liye.

**Unsur Jo Harqat Par Asar Daalte Hain:**

- **Monetary Policy Divergence:** Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan monetary policy ka farq USD/JPY par khasa asar daal sakta hai. Agar Fed zyada hawkish ho ya mazeed rate hikes ki umeed ho, to USD mazboot ho sakta hai, lekin agar Fed aik dovish rukh apnaye, to yeh USD ko JPY ke muqablay mein kamzor kar sakta hai.

- **Economic Data:** Ahem maeeshati indicators jese ke mehengai, rozgaar ke adad o shumar, aur GDP growth, dono mulkon ke liye, pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Kamzor US data ya mazboot Japanese data USD/JPY mein bearish trend ko barha sakta hai.

- **Market Sentiment:** Geopolitical events, global risk appetite, aur sarmaiya karon ke jazbaat bhi kirdar ada karte hain. Koi bhi risk aversion ya safe-haven demand JPY ko support kar sakti hai aur USD/JPY par bearish pressure mein izafa kar sakti hai.




USD/JPY currency pair ne wazeh bearish dominance dikhayi hai, aur haali price action yeh zahir karta hai ke upar ki taraf momentum qaim rakhne mein mushkil ho rahi hai. Pair ka 143.33 tak upar jaana arzi sabit hua, aur haali level 140.58 ke aas paas is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke bearish trend ab bhi mazboot hai. Agar 143.54 resistance level ke neeche break hota hai, to yeh mazeed downside potential ko tasdeek kar sakta hai, jo ke neeche support levels ko test karega. Traders ko zaroori hai ke woh ahem technical levels aur maeeshati indicators par nazar rakhein taake market ke tabdeel hotay halaat mein behtar tor par samajh sakein.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Short-Term Bullishness ko Long-Term Bearish Outlook mein Navigate Karna
Is analysis mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki technical aspects mein ghuste hain, iski current market behavior aur potential future movements ki insights offer karte hain. Latest data ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair mixed technical landscape mein navigate kar raha hai, short-term bullish trend ko long-term bearish outlook ke sath contrast karte hue.

*Current Price aur Moving Averages*

Analysis ke waqt, USD/JPY pair 50-day moving average (MA50) se upar trade kar raha hai lekin 200-day moving average (MA200) se neeche hai. Yeh setup short-term aur long-term trends mein divergence ko indicate karta hai. Khaskar, price MA50 se upar hone se immediate upward momentum ka suggestion hai, short-term mein bullish bias ko hint karte hue. Lekin, price MA200 se neeche hone se broader context mein bearish sentiment ko underscore karta hai, jo pair ke key resistance levels ko approach karne par phir se assert ho sakta hai.

*Trend Analysis*

USD/JPY pair ki current positioning MA50 se upar short-term strength ko reflect karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ki buyers currently control mein hain, price ko higher drive karte hue. Lekin, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye jab price MA200 ko approach karta hai. Historically, MA200 significant trend indicator hai; agar price is level se upar break nahi karta hai, to yeh broader downtrend ki resumption ko signal kar sakta hai, sellers ko dominance regain karne ke liye.

*Support aur Resistance Levels*

Key support aur resistance levels USD/JPY pair ki next move ko determine karne mein crucial hain:

- *Support*: Immediate support level MA50 ke qareeb hai. Agar price is level se neeche drop karta hai, to yeh short-term bullish scenario ko negate kar sakta hai aur further declines ki taraf pave kar sakta hai. Yeh support level bulls ke liye critical line of defense hai aur isko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

- *Resistance*: Upside par, resistance 148.50 to 149.00 range mein expected hai. Agar price is levels se upar break karta hai, to yeh further buying opportunities ko signal kar sakta hai, potentially higher resistance zones ki retest ko lead karte hue. Lekin, agar price is levels se upar nahi nikalta hai, to yeh reversal ko trigger kar sakta hai, longer-term bearish outlook ko reaffirm karte hue.

*Technical Indicators*

*Relative Strength Index (RSI)* bhi key indicator hai. Agar RSI 50 se upar hai, to yeh typically bullish momentum ko confirm karta hai, further gains ke liye case ko support karte hue. Lekin, agar RSI overbought territory mein enter karta hai (70 se upar), to yeh suggest kar sakta hai ki

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Short-Term Bullishness ko Long-Term Bearish Outlook mein Navigate Karna Is analysis mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki technical aspects mein ghuste hain, iski current market behavior aur potential future movements ki insights offer karte hain. Latest data ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair mixed technical landscape mein navigate kar raha hai, short-term bullish trend ko long-term bearish outlook ke sath contrast karte hue.

*Current Price aur Moving Averages*

Analysis ke waqt, USD/JPY pair 50-day moving average (MA50) se upar trade kar raha hai lekin 200-day moving average (MA200) se neeche hai. Yeh setup short-term aur long-term trends mein divergence ko indicate karta hai. Khaskar, price MA50 se upar hone se immediate upward momentum ka suggestion hai, short-term mein bullish bias ko hint karte hue. Lekin, price MA200 se neeche hone se broader context mein bearish sentiment ko underscore karta hai, jo pair ke key resistance levels ko approach karne par phir se assert ho sakta hai.

*Trend Analysis*

USD/JPY pair ki current positioning MA50 se upar short-term strength ko reflect karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ki buyers currently control mein hain, price ko higher drive karte hue. Lekin, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye jab price MA200 ko approach karta hai. Historically, MA200 significant trend indicator hai; agar price is level se upar break nahi karta hai, to yeh broader downtrend ki resumption ko signal kar sakta hai, sellers ko dominance regain karne ke liye.

*Support aur Resistance Levels*

Key support aur resistance levels USD/JPY pair ki next move ko determine karne mein crucial hain:

- *Support*: Immediate support level MA50 ke qareeb hai. Agar price is level se neeche drop karta hai, to yeh short-term bullish scenario ko negate kar sakta hai aur further declines ki taraf pave kar sakta hai. Yeh support level bulls ke liye critical line of defense hai aur isko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

- *Resistance*: Upside par, resistance 148.50 to 149.00 range mein expected hai. Agar price is levels se upar break karta hai, to yeh further buying opportunities ko signal kar sakta hai, potentially higher resistance zones ki retest ko lead karte hue. Lekin, agar price is levels se upar nahi nikalta hai, to yeh reversal ko trigger kar sakta hai, longer-term bearish outlook ko reaffirm karte hue.

*Technical Indicators*

*Relative Strength Index (RSI)* bhi key indicator hai. Agar RSI 50 se upar hai, to yeh typically bullish momentum ko confirm karta hai, further gains ke liye case ko support karte hue. Lekin

USD/JPY pair Thursday ko Asian trading hours mein 144.50 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai aur USD defensive mode mein hai. Short-term pressure USD par Federal Reserve (Fed) officials ki dovish comments ki wajah se aa raha hai. Investors US GDP growth estimate ka intezar kar rahe hain jo ke dusre quarter ke liye 2.8% increase hone ki prediction hai. Wednesday ko, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke deputy governor Ryozo Himino ne kaha ke agar inflation plan ke mutabiq jari raha toh bank mazeed interest rates raise karta rahega jab ke financial markets ki health ko ghor se monitor kiya jayega. Unki remarks BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke pichle hafte ki gayi baaton ke mutabiq hain, jin mein unhone kaha tha ke bank ke long-term rate-hike plans ko current market turmoil support karega. Reuters ke survey ke mutabiq, aksar analyst anticipate karte hain ke BoJ is saal ek dafa phir rates ko raise karega, lekin is dafa December se shuru karte hue, October ke muqable mein. Wazeh taur par, US currency ne Japanese yen ke muqable mein ground lose kiya hai, US Central Bank ki dovish remarks ki wajah se. Fed Chair Jerome Powell kehte hain ke "ab waqt aa gaya hai policy ko adjust karne ka." CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, markets ne September mein 25 basis point (bps) rate decrease ko perfect taur par price in kar liya hai, jab ke ek zyada significant rate cut 36.5% probability se aasakta hai. Technical taur par, kal ki USD trading bearish tilt rakhti thi. Lekin USD girne ke bajae gain hua, 144.57 par close kiya jab ke 143.67 se 145.04 tak utha. Hum anticipate karte hain ke aaj USD 143.80 se 145.20 ke range mein move karega. Aakhri kuch dinon mein, USD zyada neeche nahi gaya. Traders, halaan ke apne current nazariye par barqarar rahenge jab tak "strong resistance" level 145.70 par remain karta hai. Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, USD/JPY price ka general trend abhi bhi bearish hai aur investors technical indicators ke strong oversold levels ki taraf move hone se zyada global central bank officials ki baaton par tawajjo de rahe hain ke woh future mein interest rates raise karenge ya nahi... Iss waqt, USD/JPY ko trade karne ke liye sab se qareeb zaruri support levels 142.60 aur 141.00 hain. Aaj ke US economic data mein GDP growth aur weekly unemployment claims shamil hain

Kal shaam ko, yeh pair 146.10 ke level ke upar trade kar raha tha, jo ke pichle haftay ka low mark karta hai. Aisa lag raha tha ke uptrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, lekin us ke baad se yeh pair wapas is key level ke neeche aa gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke bearish scenario ab momentum hasil kar raha hai. Is reversal se lagta hai ke sellers ab control apne haath mein le rahe hain, aur uptrend apni taqat kho raha hai. Technically dekha jaye to, price ne apne pehle bearish impulse ke sath ascending channel ko breakout kar diya hai. Yeh breakout kafi ahem hai, kyun ke yeh market ke trend mein mumkinah tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Ab jo current downward movement hai, usay larger bearish pattern ke doosri wave ka hissa samjha ja sakta hai. Round level 146.00, jise pair ne haal hi mein breach kiya hai, ab ek strong resistance level ka kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh area un traders ke liye ideal entry point ho sakta hai jo short positions initiate karna chahte hain, kyun ke yeh overall bearish outlook ke sath align karta hai.
Is impulse ko dekhte hue, hum ek Fibonacci retracement grid apply kar sakte hain taake ongoing downtrend ke liye potential support levels aur targets ka andaza lagaya ja sake. 161.8% Fibonacci extension level aik critical target ke tor par samne aata hai, jo ke 142.80 ke aas paas situated hai. Halankeh yeh level foran qareeb nahi hai, yeh ek significant support area ko represent karta hai jo agle chand dino mein attention attract kar sakta hai. Yeh level current minimum ke qareeb bhi hai, jo ke bears ke liye downward momentum ka faida uthane ke liye aik zyada compelling target banata hai.
USD/JPY ko aaj tab bechne ki sochta hoon jab 143.74 ka test ho, jo ke red line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tez girawat hogi. Sellers ke liye key target 142.87 hoga, jahan mai short positions exit karunga aur turant opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, ummeed hai ke 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction se milega. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hua hai. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur decline kar raha

USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide kar sakte h