USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki current price behavior ka gehra jaiza le rahe hain. Aaj, yeh pair thodi si increase dikhane mein kamiyab hui, lekin apna target achieve nahi kar payi. Chart se maloom hota hai ke pair ne 144.19 ka support level test kiya hai aur ab 144.53 par trade kar rahi hai. RSI range ke darmiyan upwards trend dikha raha hai, jabke AO (Awesome Oscillator) buy signal de raha hai. Yeh indicators growth potential ko suggest karte hain. Ab price 146.04 ka resistance level test karegi. Is analysis ke madad se, current levels par cautiously buy karna munasib hai, jahan target 145.99 hai. Ek correction 146.44 tak ho sakti hai pehle ke downtrend continue ho, jo ke further strengthening ka sabab ban sakta hai jab tak ke drop dobara na shuru ho. Agar upward correction 145.31 tak pohnchti hai, to downtrend continue rahegi.

Yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke maine pehle anticipate kiya tha ke USD/JPY pair 151.99 tak barh sakti hai, jahan 50 Fibonacci level aur pehli wave ke decline ka intersection hota hai, is ke baad ek potential sell-off ke chances hain on an average day jahan targets 139.99 aur 136.99 set hain. Meri outlook ab tak badli nahi hai, aur pair 151.99 tak pohnch sakti hai. Is movement ko Fed ke actions ke sath align karna advantageous hoga. Doosri taraf, aapki theory ke mutabiq, agar sab log dollar sell kar rahe hain, to Fed bhi yeh follow kar sakti hai. Yeh move shayad Fed ke announcement ke baad ho jab selling pressure intensify ho jaye. Khaaskar, subah hourly chart par maine suggest kiya tha ke USD/JPY pair mein buy consider ki jaye using stop-hunting strategy. Initial stop-loss levels sellers ke liye 146.49 ke aas paas ho sakte hain, aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh jaldi trigger ho jayenge. Upward momentum already shuru ho chuka hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is ke baad decline continue hoga. 146.49 resistance maujood hai, aur downward movement wahan se persist kar sakti hai.

Hourly chart par, main abhi ek strong bearish trend dekh raha hoon. Main upper channel boundary 145.557 par wait karne ka plan kar raha hoon taake 143.086 tak sell kar ke maximum profit gain karoon. Agar target breach hota hai, to yeh further bearish activity ka signal de sakta hai. Is surat mein, main apni plan ko quickly adjust karne ke liye tayar hoon taake market changes ke sath adapt kar sakoon. Mera main goal ek acha market entry point find karna hai. Main linear regression channels ke edges par dihan deta hoon kyun ke yeh potential volatility constraints ke liye indicators hote hain jo ke specific player ke liye hoti hain. Yeh mujhe current analysis ke base par decisions lene mein madad karti hai. Main hamesha apni plan ko alter karne ke liye tayar rehta hoon agar market conditions shift karti hain. Misal ke taur par, agar 145.557 level bulls ke through breach hota hai, to yeh market mein bullish interest ka signal ho sakta hai, jo ke mujhe apni sells ko reassess aur cancel karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Main closely market changes ko monitor karoonga aur data analysis ke base par decisions loonga.

Agar price 144.04 se neeche girti hai, to yeh 143.89 ya phir 142.59 tak descend kar sakti hai. USD/JPY abhi monthly Pivot level 153.84 (pehle 158.88), weekly Pivot level 145.47 (pehle 147.64), aur daily Pivot level 145.87 ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke pair ke liye bearish sentiment ko indicate karte hain. Agar price 144.04 se upar jati hai, to northern correction ho sakti hai; lekin agar yeh 144.04 se neeche girti hai, to bearish movement expected hai. Yeh mumkin nahi lagta ke sell-off ho; market shayad resistance level ke qareeb choti fluctuations ko experience karte rahe, jo ke descending trend line ke peak 161.758 se shuru hoti hai, aur shayad kuch additional patterns bhi form ho sakte hain.
Ek nayi trading week ka aghaz bohat ahmiyat rakhta hai. Market ke reactions ko in critical levels par observe karna traders ko current conditions aur potential future trends ko samajhne mein madad karega. Jab tak in key points par koi definitive reaction nahi hota, market direction uncertain rahegi. Isliye, trading decisions lene se pehle in levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. In key levels ke ilawa, traders ko technical indicators aur doosre market factors ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye. Indicators jaise ke moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) market strength aur momentum assess karne mein madad kar sakte hain. In indicators ke sath, overall market sentiment aur news events bhi market movements ko influence karte hain. Agar market 147.200 aur 146.300 ke beech range-bound rahta hai, to traders ko in levels par breakouts aur rebounds par khas dihan dena chahiye. Yeh analysis entry aur exit points ko identify karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur potential market movements ko predict karne mein bhi.

Summary mein, Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ke daily aur weekly charts par key levels 147.200 aur 146.300 market conditions ko samajhne ke liye critical hain. Market ke reactions ko accurately monitor aur analyze karne se traders ko current dynamics aur future trends ke bare mein valuable insights mil sakti hain.

Technical Analysis: Tuesday ko USD/JPY 144.90 par trade kar rahi thi, jo ke around 145.00 ke psychological threshold tak pohnchne ki koshish thi. Daily chart ke analysis ke mutabiq, pair downtrend line ko test kar rahi hai, jo ke waning negative bias ki taraf ishaara kar rahi hai. Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi 30 ke thoda upar hai, jo ke bearish trend ke confirmation ko dikhata hai.

Negative side par, agar USD/JPY pair neeche downtrend line ke neeche rehti hai, to yeh August 5 ka seven-month low 141.69 ke qareeb trade kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to pair flashback support 140.25 ko approach kar sakti hai. Resistance ke hawale se, nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 145.67 level par immediate barrier hai jo USD/JPY pair ko overcome karne ki koshish karna padega. Agar pair is level ke upar progress karti hai, to yeh us region ko investigate karne ki koshish kar sakti hai jo ke throwback se resistance me tabdeel ho chuki hai at 154.50.

ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, opsalar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge,jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provid ИнстаФор

Price test of 147.13 tab hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se kaafi niche gaya tha, jo ke pair ke downward potential ko limit kar raha tha. Is wajah se maine dollar ko sell nahi kiya. Kuch der baad, 147.13 ka dobara test hua jab MACD oversold area mein tha, jo ke dollar kharidne ka mauqa de raha tha scenario No. 2 ke mutabiq. Afsos, U.S. producer price index mein girawat ki khabar ne U.S. dollar ko support nahi kiya, is liye ye signal puri tarah se realize nahi ho saka. Aaj, pehle aadha din mein pair ke thoda recover hone ke chances hain, lekin risks abhi bhi dollar ke mazeed girne aur yen ke strong hone ke hain, kyun ke hum U.S. Consumer Price Index ke important data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Hum isko detail mein afternoon forecast mein discuss karenge, lekin abhi ke liye, behtar hoga ke mazeed favourable prices ka intezar kiya jaye dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada rely karunga scenarios No. 1 aur 2 ko implement karne par. **Buy Signals**
**Scenario No. 1**: Aaj mein USD/JPY kharidne ka plan kar raha hoon jab price entry point 147.45 ko pohanchay, jo ke chart par green line se dikhaya gaya hai, aur target hoga 148.13 tak uthane ka jo ke chart par thick green line se dikhaya gaya hai. 148.13 par pohanch kar mein long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, expecting 30-35 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. Aaj pair ke upar uthne ke chances hain correction ke hisay mein. Lekin jitna pair upar jayega, dollar ko sell karna utna hi attractive hoga. Important: Kharidne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur usse rise karna shuru ho.

Mein aaj USD/JPY kharidne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 146.76 ka do martaba test hota hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Ye pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ke reverse upturn ko lead karega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 147.45 aur 148.13 tak.



Aaj mein USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho

hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur




market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyata economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, opsalar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge,jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading

USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai




kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price

JPY currency pair mein anticipated bearish trend ek plausible scenario hai, lekin is trend ko fully materialize hone se pehle, hum ek notable upward movement dekh sakte hain. Yeh potential upswing brief strengthening of U.S. dollar se drive ho sakta hai, jo catalyst ke taur par kaam karta hai, pair ko short term mein higher push karta hai. Aisa movement traders ko yeh sochna ke liye lure kar sakta hai ki bullish momentum continue hogi, lekin market later reverse ho jayegi, anticipated decline ko lead karti hai. Yeh situation traders ke liye caution ka message deta hai, kyunki market is period mein significant volatility exhibit kar sakta hai. Upward push sharp aur sudden ho sakta hai, false signals ke conditions create karta hai, especially unke liye jo short positions mein prematurely enter karna chahte hain. Yeh essential hai ki yeh upward movement broader bearish outlook ko negate nahi karta, lekin temporary phase ho sakta hai jo short-term factors se drive hota hai, jaise U.S. se positive economic data ya brief shift in investor sentiment towards risk assets.

Is context mein, key levels to watch yeh hain ki USD/JPY pair apne upward move ke dauran kis resistance zone ko approach karta hai. Agar pair in levels ko break karne mein struggle karta hai aur exhaustion ke signs deta hai, toh yeh expected downward trend ka precursor ho sakta hai. Conversely, sustained break above in resistance levels bearish outlook ki reassessment ko require kar sakta hai, kyunki yeh stronger bullish momentum ko indicate kar sakta hai.

Unke liye jo is period mein trade karna chahte hain, trend reversal ki confirmation ke liye wait karne ka strategy prudent ho sakta hai. Yeh bearish signals ke liye look out karne ko involve kar sakta hai, jaise bearish engulfing pattern, key support levels ke below break, ya momentum indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) mein divergence. Aise signals anticipated bearish trend ki confirmation ko provide kar sakte hain.

Summary mein, while USD/JPY pair ke broader outlook bearish hai, traders ko potential upward move ke liye taiyar rehna chahiye pehle downtrend resumes. Yeh period increased volatility aur false signals ke risk ko bring kar sakta hai, making it crucial market ko caution aur patience se approach karne ke liye

USD/JPY ke price action ka tajziya humari guftagu ka ahem mawzu hoga. Maine USD/JPY ke weekly chart ka jaiza liya aur dekha ke pichle hafte ka candle, jo ke sellers se bhara tha, kaafi bara body tha, jo ke downward trend ko indicate karta hai. Halankeh is hafte retracement ho sakti hai, aap buying consider kar sakte hain aur stop ko daily chart par candle ke niche rakhein, target 147.0 level par rakh sakte hain. Monday ko, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar-yen pair mein pullback ho sakta hai aur agar 144.99 ke upar breakout hota hai, to shayad ye news se driven ho—halankeh maine economic calendar nahi dekha. Focus bearish signals par hai, halankeh is waqt lagta hai ke price 143.99 se niche nahi jaayegi. Trading range 149.35 aur 141.69 ke beech hai, jo ke average market conditions ke tehat ek kaafi wide channel provide karta hai.
Pair ka primary momentum abhi bhi upward hai H4 chart par, jo ke 141.68 ke low se shuru hota hai. Lekin Friday ke sharp drop ke baad, yen buyers ki position fragile hai. Agar dynamic support 143.59 ke aas-paas hai aur ascending trend line fail hoti hai, to pair ke liye recent lows par wapas jaana sirf waqt ki baat hai. Lekin agar support hold karta hai aur dollar-yen pair wapas bounce karta hai, to ye upward movement resume kar sakta hai resistance 147.25 ki taraf, aur is level se potential declines bhi ho sakte hain. Primary resistance 148.22 hai, aur agar USD/JPY is line ke upar move karta hai, to ye initial impulse zone targets 152.24 aur 154.72 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Dollar-yen ke liye outlook uncertain hai, aur hume dekhna hoga ke market 143.59 support par Monday ko kaise react karti hai. USD/JPY price 38.1% resistance se reverse hui four-hour Fibonacci retracement par, aur 14.5% support level tak gir gayi. Ye level do baar aayi, pehli baar hafte ke shuruat par aur phir Friday ko, dono baar is se niche close hui.

Maujuda Market Conditions ka Analysis

Linear Regression Channel aur Seller Strength

Linear regression channel current downward sloping hai, jo sellers ki strength ko indicate karta hai. Profit ke liye target southward 148.746 ki taraf hai. Main 150.204 level par sales consider kar raha hoon, jo bulls ke liye buffer provide karega; warna, deeper correction ki possibility hai jo 150.912 level ki taraf increase kar sakti hai.

Timing Sales aur Market Conditions

Target reach hone par sales consider karne ke liye pause lena advisable hai. Yeh is liye hai ki M15 timeframe par movement ki volatility diminish ho jayegi, reverse upward movement generate karti hai. Is scenario mein, cautious rehna best hai, lekin upper border of channel par rollback ka wait karna bhi wise hai taaki market mein strategic entry ho aur false signals se associated costs minimize ho.

Higher Timeframes par Observations

Main H1 timeframe par closely monitoring kar raha hoon, jahan linear regression channel asset ki movement ko primarily determine karta hai. M15 situation H1 analysis ko clarify, correct, aur supplement karti hai. Market ki evaluation dono channels ke through hoti hai.

Current Market Position

Currently, market 149.502 par trading hai, H1 upper edge se niche aur M15 se bhi niche. Main is situation ko bearish interpret karta hoon. Dono channels se formed complex sales ki possibility ko indicate karta hai, jo losses ki taraf le sakte hain agar trade mein "stuck" ho jaye.

Possible Scenarios

Agar bulls 150.204 level par consolidate kar sakte hain, to sales contemplate ya supplement ki jaye upper part of H1 targeting 150.912 level. Meanwhile, current trading session ke liye alternative bearish target 147.226 hai.





Bearish Movement ki Continuation

USD/JPY pair mein sellers' movement continue hone ki indications hain, unless fundamental factors events ko change kar de. Price increases ki possibility bhi hai; lekin iske liye necessary correction ki zaroorat hai reversal ke liye.

Market Evolution

Yeh wave market ko continued movement ke liye prepare kar chuki hai, new version mein transition ke liye position kar chuki hai, numerous opportunities signal karti hai jo previous version mein overlook ho gayi thi

اگست 27 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

کل، امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑے نے 144.30 کی سپورٹ لیول کو توڑنے کی اپنی پہلی کوشش کی، لیکن سطح سے نیچے مضبوط ہونے کی ابتدائی کوشش کامیاب نہیں ہوئی۔ ایک بار جب یہ اس سطح سے نیچے مضبوط ہو جائے گا، 139.70-140.27 کی ہدف کی حد قابل رسائی ہو جائے گی۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر اس وقت نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے میں ہے، جو آنے والے دنوں میں سپورٹ لیول کے کامیاب پیش رفت کے امکانات کو ظاہر کرتا ہے۔



چیلنج یہ ہے کہ مارلن آسیلیٹر قیمت میں کمی کے باوجود کمی کو فروغ دینے کی کوشش نہیں کر رہا ہے۔ اس صورت میں، تحریک کی پیچیدگی ایک جھوٹے بریک آؤٹ کی طرح لگتی ہے (ممکنہ طور پر استحکام کے ساتھ) قریب ترین مزاحمتی سطح سے اوپر، جو کہ 146.50 ہے۔ اگر ایسا ہوتا ہے تو، مارلن آسیلیٹر گروتھ ٹیریٹری کی باؤنڈری سے نیچے مڑ جائے گا—یعنی صفر لائن سے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، آسکیلیٹر کے مثبت علاقے میں داخل ہونے کے ساتھ نیچے کی طرف قیمت کا ویکٹر کمزور ہو گیا ہے۔ ابتدائی طور پر، قیمت 144.30 کی سطح سے اوپر چلی گئی، اس کے بعد آسیلیٹر۔ تاہم، کمی کو جاری رکھنے کے لیے قیمت کو سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے مضبوط ہونا چاہیے، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر کو زیرو لائن سے نیچے رہنا چاہیے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ قیمت کا ابھرتا ہوا ڈبل کنورژن فی الحال نیچے کی طرف تیزی سے بننے والے رجحان کی حمایت نہیں کرتا ہے۔ 139.70-140.27 رینج کی طرف اس طرح کے اہم اقدام کے لیے مزید توسیع شدہ تیاری کی ضرورت ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab ko! USD/JPY currency pair ne haal hi mein apni price action mein dilchasp tabdeeli dekhaayi hai. Kal shaam ko, yeh pair 146.10 ke level ke upar trade kar raha tha, jo ke pichle haftay ka low mark karta hai. Aisa lag raha tha ke uptrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, lekin us ke baad se yeh pair wapas is key level ke neeche aa gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke bearish scenario ab momentum hasil kar raha hai. Is reversal se lagta hai ke sellers ab control apne haath mein le rahe hain, aur uptrend apni taqat kho raha hai. Technically dekha jaye to, price ne apne pehle bearish impulse ke sath ascending channel ko breakout kar diya hai. Yeh breakout kafi ahem hai, kyun ke yeh market ke trend mein mumkinah tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Ab jo current downward movement hai, usay larger bearish pattern ke doosri wave ka hissa samjha ja sakta hai. Round level 146.00, jise pair ne haal hi mein breach kiya hai, ab ek strong resistance level ka kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh area un traders ke liye ideal entry point ho sakta hai jo short positions initiate karna chahte hain, kyun ke yeh overall bearish outlook ke sath align karta hai.

Is impulse ko dekhte hue, hum ek Fibonacci retracement grid apply kar sakte hain taake ongoing downtrend ke liye potential support levels aur targets ka andaza lagaya ja sake. 161.8% Fibonacci extension level aik critical target ke tor par samne aata hai, jo ke 142.80 ke aas paas situated hai. Halankeh yeh level foran qareeb nahi hai, yeh ek significant support area ko represent karta hai jo agle chand dino mein attention attract kar sakta hai. Yeh level current minimum ke qareeb bhi hai, jo ke bears ke liye downward momentum ka faida uthane ke liye aik zyada compelling target banata hai.

Yeh potential upswing brief strengthening of US dollar se drive ho sakta hai, jo catalyst ke taur par kaam karta hai, pair ko short term mein higher push karta hai. Aisa movement traders ko yeh sochna ke liye lure kar sakta hai ki bullish momentum continue hogi, lekin market later reverse ho jayegi, anticipated decline ko lead karti hai. Yeh situation traders ke liye caution ka message deta hai, kyunki market is period mein significant volatility exhibit kar sakta hai. Upward push sharp aur sudden ho sakta hai, false signals ke conditions create karta hai, especially unke liye jo short positions mein prematurely enter karna chahte hain. Yeh essential hai ki yeh upward movement broader bearish outlook ko negate nahi karta, lekin temporary phase ho sakta hai jo short-term factors se drive hota hai, jaise US se positive economic data ya brief shift in investor sentiment towards risk assets. Is context mein, key levels to watch yeh hain ki USD/JPY pair apne upward move ke dauran kis resistance zone ko approach karta hai. Agar pair in levels ko break karne mein struggle karta hai aur exhaustion ke signs deta hai, toh yeh expected downward trend ka precursor ho sakta hai. Conversely, sustained break above in resistance levels bearish outlook ki reassessment ko require kar sakta hai, kyunki yeh stronger bullish momentum ko indicate kar sakta hai.
Unke liye jo is period mein trade karna chahte hain, trend reversal ki confirmation ke liye wait karne ka strategy prudent ho sakta hai. Yeh bearish signals ke liye look out karne ko involve kar sakta hai, jaise bearish engulfing pattern, key support levels ke below break, ya momentum indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) mein divergence. Aise signals anticipated bearish trend ki confirmation ko provide kar sakte hain

Maine USD/JPY currency pair ki dynamic pricing behavior ko real-time mein examine kiya. Japan ke Central Bank ne total interest rate ke baare mein ek surprising decision kiya, jo almost kisi ne expect nahi kiya tha, market mein significant reaction ka cause ban gaya. Iske result mein, Japanese yen surge kiya. Yeh decision yen ko revitalize kiya, ek sleeping giant ko awaken karne ke tarah. USDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai.
Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.
Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ko analyze karenge. Chart ke mutabiq, pair ka price trend upward hai, jo indicate karta hai ke bulls abhi bears par haavi hain. Zigzag line bhi upward direction mein hai, is liye long positions lena sab se behtar strategy hai. Auxiliary oscillators, jaise MACD aur TNT, bhi buyers ke liye favorable position mein hain. Main is position ko tab tak hold karunga jab tak yeh 61.8% Fibonacci level 152,299 tak nahi pahuncha. USD/JPY pair ke liye, main continued sales par ghour kar raha hoon. Lekin, seedha girna current levels se mushkil lagta hai. Agar pair upar ki taraf correct karta hai, to main selling opportunity dekhoonga. Mera pehla sales target 143.84 hai, aur secondary target 143.49 hai. Filhal, main buying ka soch nahi raha. Pair ke girne ki jaga abhi baqi hai, aur shayad 140.19 tak target kar sake, lekin yeh level thoda waqt le sakta hai. Main behtareen entry point ka intezaar kar raha hoon taake bechne ka mauka mile. Specifically, main 146.49 ki taraf dekh raha hoon, jahan main sales ladder setup karunga.
Pichle hafte yeh pair becha gaya, aur weekly chart par yeh sideways move kar raha hai. Main technical analysis par bharosa karunga taake agle hafte ke movement ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Moving averages sell ka signal dete hain aur technical indicators bhi strongly selling ko suggest karte hain, jo agle hafte ke liye bearish trend ko reinforce karta hai. Aane wale key news releases ko bhi consider karte hain jo pair ko impact kar sakti hain. US se important news expected hai, jo negative forecast ki taraf lean kar rahi hai. Yeh series of significant news US se Thursday ko aayegi aur outlook negative hai.

Japan bhi Friday ko crucial industrial production data release karega, jo optimistic forecast ke sath hai. Is base par, main agle hafte bearish movement ki ummeed karta hoon. Sales ka target shayad 141.79 support level par hoga, jabke potential buys resistance level 146.39 tak ho sakti hain. Overall, main ek predominantly bearish trend ki ummeed kar raha hoon, jo mere rough trading plan ka basis banega agle hafte

Agar price 144.04 ke neeche girta hai, toh yeh 143.89 ya phir 142.59 tak descend kar sakta hai. USD/JPY abhi monthly Pivot level 153.84 (jo pehle 158.88 tha), weekly Pivot level 145.47 (jo pehle 147.64 tha), aur daily Pivot level 145.87 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke pair ke liye bearish sentiment ko show kar raha hai. Agar price 144.04 ke upar chala jata hai, toh ek northern correction aasakti hai; lekin agar yeh 144.04 ke neeche girta hai, toh bearish movement ka imkaan hai. Lagta nahi hai ke koi bara sell-off hoga. Yeh bhi shak hai ke market descending trend line ke resistance level ke qareeb chhoti fluctuations ko face karega, jo ke peak 161.758 se aa rahi hai, aur ho sakta hai ke additional patterns bhi form hon.
Naye trading week ka aaghaz bohot aham hota hai. Market ke reactions ko in critical levels par dekhna traders ko current conditions aur future trends ke mutaliq zyada wazeh tasveer dega. Jab tak in key points par koi waazeh reaction nahi aata, market direction uncertain rahegi. Isliye in levels ko closely monitor karna trading decisions lene se pehle bohot zaroori hai. In key levels ke ilawa, traders ko technical indicators aur doosri market factors ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye. Indicators jaise ke moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) market ki strength aur momentum ko assess karne mein madadgar hote hain. In indicators ke saath, overall market sentiment aur news events bhi market movements par bara asar dalte hain. Agar market 147.200 aur 146.300 ke darmiyan range-bound rahti hai, toh traders ko breakouts aur rebounds par khayal rakhna chahiye. Yeh analysis entry aur exit points ko identify karne mein madad kar sakta hai aur potential market movements ka behtareen andaza lagane mein bhi.