usd/jpy

/JPY ke prices ke behavior ko analyse karna interesting hai. Central Bank of Japan ka ek representative recently hint kiya ke wo market mein zyada yen release karne ka soch rahe hain. Yeh ajeeb lagta hai kyunke pehle unhone rates ko barhaya tha aur ab yen ki strength ko counteract karna discuss kar rahe hain. Yeh ek verbal intervention lagti hai taake exchange rate ko stabilize kiya ja sake. Bank ko ek stable yen pasand hai aur price range 149-141 tak ja sakti hai. Critical level jo dekhna hai wo 146.13 hai, agar is level se neeche gaya to further decline ka trigger ho sakta hai. Humne lagbhag 184 points ki girawat dekhi hai jo kaafi significant hai. Aage chalke 142-143 ke taraf slide dekhne ko mil sakti hai ya phir 146 tak bounce back ho sakta hai, jo ke upar push kar sakta hai. Mera strategy yeh hai ke jab price upar jati hai to selling opportunities aur attractive hoti hain.

4-hour chart par, maine initially yen-dollar pair ke further growth ki expectation ki thi jab trading range mein thi. Lekin, maine yeh nahi socha tha ke yeh range se bahar nikal kar stop-loss orders ko trigger karegi. Ab jab yeh stops clear kar chuki hai, mujhe lagta hai ke pair upar ki taraf continue karegi. Jo highest point reach ho sakta hai wo 143.102 ke neeche hai. Ek baar phir se, pair ne buyers aur sellers ko attract kiya hai, jisse mujhe lagta hai ke yeh aur bhi stop orders ko trigger karne ki koshish karegi. Potential maximum 142.266 ho sakta hai uske baad pair phir se upar chalegi. Main previous lows ko revisit nahi karne ki ummeed rakhta, balki further growth ki expectation hai. Mera target 160.548 ke aas-paas hai; mujhe lagta hai ke pair ne apne stops clear kar diye hain aur upar jaayegi. Japan ka bank intervene kar sakta hai, lekin main nahi khareedunga, kyunki long-term trend neeche shift hota hua lagta hai.

Hamari guftagu iss waqt USD/JPY currency pair ki live pricing ki jaari jaiza se mutabiq hai. 141.74 support zone tak ke tezi se neeche aane ne un logon ke liye khatar ko ujaagar kiya jo sahi risk management ko nazar andaz karte hue jaldi se munafa kamane ki koshish kar rahe thay, jo ke bohat baray nuqsan mein tabdeel ho sakti thi. Japan ki economy ke hawale se ahem reports ke jari hone ke baad, jahan markazi bank ne interest rate ko 2.4% tak barhaya, humne Japanese yen mein qabil-e-deed taqat dekhi, jis ne iske mukablay mein doosri currencies mein ahem girawat paida ki. Technical nazar se dekha jaye to is high-volatility instrument ki paish goi mushkil hai, lekin iski volatility aur iske mumkin asraat ko dekhna zaroori hai. Daily hourly chart par 148.01 level ke qareeb ek sideways trend ban gaya hai, aur price chhati martaba is mark ko torhne mein nakam rahi hai. Ek bara player mojud hai, aur isko dhyaan mein rakhna zaroori hai, kyun ke current resistance zone se breakout ek ahem price move ko janam de sakta haiIs liye, main tajweez karta hoon ke is currenc pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders lagayein taake mumkin nuqsan se bach sakein, kyun ke surat-e-haal jaldi se kharab ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, us din hourly chart par girawat hui, jiske baad ek izafa hua jo 147.103 resistance ko torh gaya. Is breakout ne ek buy signal generate kiya jo 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Magar, ye signal ghalat sabit hua, kyun ke price is level ke neeche Friday ko gir gaya. Ghalat breakout us waqt hua jab price is resistance se upar se neeche gir gaya. Monday ko ek naya buy signal paida hua, jo phir se 151.644 resistance ko target kar raha tha, aur price is target tak pohanch gaya. Phir, Tuesday ko price ne is level par wapsi ki, ek aur upward movement karne ki koshish ki, lekin phir se broken level tak wapas aa gaya. Breakout tasdeeq shuda tha, aur kal ka target 151.644 resistance par set hai

fully materialize hone se pehle, hum ek notable upward movement dekh sakte hain. Yeh potential upswing brief strengthening of US dollar se drive ho sakta hai, jo catalyst ke taur par kaam karta hai, pair ko short term mein higher push karta hai. Aisa movement traders ko yeh sochna ke liye lure kar sakta hai ki bullish momentum continue hogi, lekin market later reverse ho jayegi, anticipated decline ko lead karti hai. Yeh situation traders ke liye caution ka message deta hai, kyunki market is period mein significant volatility exhibit kar sakta hai. Upward push sharp aur sudden ho sakta hai, false signals ke conditions create karta hai, especially unke liye jo short positions mein prematurely enter karna chahte hain. Yeh essential hai ki yeh upward movement broader bearish outlook ko negate nahi karta, lekin temporary phase ho sakta hai jo short-term factors se drive hota hai, jaise US se positive economic data ya brief shift in investor sentiment towards risk assets. Is context mein, key levels to watch yeh hain ki USD/JPY pair apne upward move ke dauran kis resistance zone ko approach karta hai. Agar pair in levels ko break karne mein struggle karta hai aur exhaustion ke signs deta hai, toh yeh expected downward trend ka precursor ho sakta hai. Conversely, sustained break above in resistance levels bearish outlook ki reassessment ko require kar sakta hai, kyunki yeh stronger bullish momentum ko indicate kar sakta hai.

Unke liye jo is period mein trade karna chahte hain, trend reversal ki confirmation ke liye wait karne ka strategy prudent ho sakta hai. Yeh bearish signals ke liye look out karne ko involve kar sakta hai, jaise bearish engulfing pattern, key support levels ke below break, ya momentum indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) mein divergence. Aise signals anticipated bearish trend ki confirmation ko provide kar sakte hain

Maine USD/JPY currency pair ki dynamic pricing behavior ko real-time mein examine kiya. Japan ke Central Bank ne total interest rate ke baare mein ek surprising decision kiya, jo almost kisi ne expect nahi kiya tha, market mein significant reaction ka cause ban gaya. Iske result mein, Japanese yen surge kiya. Yeh decision yen ko revitalize kiya, ek sleeping giant ko awaken karne ke tarah. USDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi.

Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai.

Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.

Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai, positive outlook ke saath. Is information ko given, main anticipate kart

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Short-Term Bullishness ko Long-Term Bearish Outlook mein Navigate Karna

Is analysis mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki technical aspects mein ghuste hain, iski current market behavior aur potential future movements ki insights offer karte hain. Latest data ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair mixed technical landscape mein navigate kar raha hai, short-term bullish trend ko long-term bearish outlook ke sath contrast karte hue.

*Current Price aur Moving Averages*

Analysis ke waqt, USD/JPY pair 50-day moving average (MA50) se upar trade kar raha hai lekin 200-day moving average (MA200) se neeche hai. Yeh setup short-term aur long-term trends mein divergence ko indicate karta hai. Khaskar, price MA50 se upar hone se immediate upward momentum ka suggestion hai, short-term mein bullish bias ko hint karte hue. Lekin, price MA200 se neeche hone se broader context mein bearish sentiment ko underscore karta h

USD/JPY: Price Movement Insights

Hamari discussion mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki price changes ka jaiza kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair ne is week mein sharp decline dekha, primarily Bank of Japan ki interest rates ko 0.16% tak increase karne ki wajah se, jo positive territory mein notable shift hai. Is action ne pair ko approximately 901 points tak giraya, critical level 149.99 se neeche aa gaya.

Weak U.S. labour market data ne Federal Reserve rate cut ki expectations ko increase kiya, jis se pair par downward pressure badh gaya. Result mein, yeh crucial sloping support 148.14 ko break kar gaya aur local support 146.51 par pause ho gaya. Yeh support level zyada der tak hold nahi karega, aur price likely descend karke round number aur support 145.01 par pahunch jayega, jahan substantial rebound upside ho sakta hai.

Hourly chart par, price descending channel mein rehta hai. Friday ko pair ne decline jari rakha lekin channel ke lower boundary tak nahi pahunch paya. Is liye downward movement Monday tak jari rahega, potentially lower boundary 144.27 par pahunch sakta hai. Is target ko hit karne par reversal ho sakta hai, price upward move karke channel ke upper boundary par pahunch sakta hai, possibly 147.40 tak.





Decline linearly hua, significant pullbacks ya corrective waves ke bina. Target 146.81 achieve ho gaya, senior trend line par deviation dikha raha hai. Pullback mirror level par possible hai, around 151.84. Lekin clear feedback signals ke bina, buying trades se parhez karna advisable hai. Jaise observe kiya gaya, USD/JPY pair approximately 1551 points decline hua, notable pullbacks ya corrective waves ke bina

Here's the rewritten text in Roman Urdu:

USD/JPY Price Action Analysis

USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ka jaiza aur discussion kar rahe hain. Kal ki U.S. labor market ki harmful data ne Japanese yen par khaas asar kiya, jis se bears ko currency pair ko neeche ki taraf dhakelne ka mauqa mila. Lekin weekend ki news developments par kuch kuch depend karega.

Primary resistance levels USD/JPY ke liye 147.66 aur 149.60 par hain, aur agar yeh levels break ho jayein aur bulls inke upar consolidate kar lein to next week pair ko bullish retracement 155.78 aur 157.06 ki taraf ho sakta hai. Lekin agar dollar par pressure jari rahe aur bears 147.66 ke neeche solidify ho jayein to USD/JPY 142.61 par volume-weighted average price ki taraf decline kar sakta hai. Lekin sellers ke liye yeh scenario immediate achieve karna mushkil hai.




Minor upward correction 149.76 tak ho sakti hai, phir decline ho sakti hai. Agar upward movement 148.11 par pahunch jaye to downward trend jari rahega. Similarly, upward impulse 149.91 par ho sakta hai, phir decline ki continuation ho sakti hai. Sath hi, current levels se corrective rally ho sakta hai, jis se downtrend ho sakta hai. 146.51 se modest rise ho chuki hai, jis se deeper drop ho sakta hai. Main bullish retracement ki ummeed kar raha hoon, aur agar conditions favorable hain to main pullback ke baad short position mein enter karunga, lekin small volume ke saath. Market unpredictable ho sakta hai, aur Japanese participation ki absence ke bawajood, further declines possible hain. Bohot saal trading karne ke baad, surprises hamesha mumkin hain

USD/JPY Price Action Analysis

USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ka jaiza aur discussion kar rahe hain. Kal ki U.S. labor market ki harmful data ne Japanese yen par khaas asar kiya, jis se bears ko currency pair ko neeche ki taraf dhakelne ka mauqa mila. Lekin weekend ki news developments par kuch kuch depend karega.

Primary resistance levels USD/JPY ke liye 147.66 aur 149.60 par hain, aur agar yeh levels break ho jayein aur bulls inke upar consolidate kar lein to next week pair ko bullish retracement 155.78 aur 157.06 ki taraf ho sakta hai. Lekin agar dollar par pressure jari rahe aur bears 147.66 ke neeche solidify ho jayein to USD/JPY 142.61 par volume-weighted average price ki taraf decline kar sakta hai. Lekin sellers ke liye yeh scenario immediate achieve karna mushkil hai.




Minor upward correction 149.76 tak ho sakti hai, phir decline ho sakti hai. Agar upward movement 148.11 par pahunch jaye to downward trend jari rahega. Similarly, upward impulse 149.91 par ho sakta hai, phir decline ki continuation ho sakti hai. Sath hi, current levels se corrective rally ho sakta hai, jis se downtrend ho sakta hai. 146.51 se modest rise ho chuki hai, jis se deeper drop ho sakta hai. Main bullish retracement ki ummeed kar raha hoon, aur agar conditions favorable hain to main pullback ke baad short position mein enter karunga, lekin small volume ke saath. Market unpredictable ho sakta hai, aur Japanese participation ki absence ke bawajood, further declines possible hain. Bohot saal trading karne ke baad, surprises hamesha mumkin hain

[/QUOTE]

**USD/JPY Pair Technical Analysis**

Agar price 144.04 ke neeche girta hai, toh yeh 143.89 ya phir 142.59 tak descend kar sakta hai. USD/JPY abhi monthly Pivot level 153.84 (jo pehle 158.88 tha), weekly Pivot level 145.47 (jo pehle 147.64 tha), aur daily Pivot level 145.87 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke pair ke liye bearish sentiment ko show kar raha hai. Agar price 144.04 ke upar chala jata hai, toh ek northern correction aasakti hai; lekin agar yeh 144.04 ke neeche girta hai, toh bearish movement ka imkaan hai. Lagta nahi hai ke koi bara sell-off hoga. Yeh bhi shak hai ke market descending trend line ke resistance level ke qareeb chhoti fluctuations ko face karega, jo ke peak 161.758 se aa rahi hai, aur ho sakta hai ke additional patterns bhi form hon.

Naye trading week ka aaghaz bohot aham hota hai. Market ke reactions ko in critical levels par dekhna traders ko current conditions aur future trends ke mutaliq zyada wazeh tasveer dega. Jab tak in key points par koi waazeh reaction nahi aata, market direction uncertain rahegi. Isliye in levels ko closely monitor karna trading decisions lene se pehle bohot zaroori hai. In key levels ke ilawa, traders ko technical indicators aur doosri market factors ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye. Indicators jaise ke moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) market ki strength aur momentum ko assess karne mein madadgar hote hain. In indicators ke saath, overall market sentiment aur news events bhi market movements par bara asar dalte hain. Agar market 147.200 aur 146.300 ke darmiyan range-bound rahti hai, toh traders ko breakouts aur rebounds par khayal rakhna chahiye. Yeh analysis entry aur exit points ko identify karne mein madad kar sakta hai aur potential market movements ka behtareen andaza lagane mein bhi.

In summary, 147.200 aur 146.300 ke key levels ko daily aur weekly charts par dekhna bohot zaroori hai, jab yen (USDJPY) ke market conditions ka samajh lena ho. In levels par market reactions ko dekh kar traders ko market ki current dynamics aur future trends ke bare mein valuable insights mil sakti hain.

USD/JPY Analysis

Salam! Aap bilkul sahi keh rahe hain ke USD/JPY ne moving averages aur guides ko todna shuru kar diya hai. Kal almost do sau points ka attack hua, aur aaj din ke shuru hone ke baad se ek sau pips se zyada decline dekha gaya hai. Yeh trend laqab se hi unstoppable lag raha hai. Daily chart par wave technique ke zariye indicators ke mutabiq:

• MA100: Yeh moving average bullish mood se dheere dheere decline ki taraf tilt ho rahi hai. Pehle yeh growth ke favor mein almost tees degree ka trend angle rakhti thi, lekin ab yeh practically horizontal ho gayi hai, jo decline ka indication hai.
• MA18: Yeh moving average almost vertical direction mein decline kar rahi hai, jo dead cross banane ki taraf ishaara hai - yeh sell signal ko indicate karta hai.
• Ichimoku Cloud: Is waqt cloud bullish colors mein hai, lekin future mein bearish side pe switch ho raha hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke aage decline ka rukh ban sakta hai.

Support Level:

Pehli calculated support level 151.70 hai. Kal ka morning repeat ho raha hai aur abhi bhi support hai, isliye thoda buying karna shuru kar sakte hain with the expectation ke USD/JPY aur decline karegi aur har decline par add kar sakte hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke southward trend se exit karte waqt upward direction dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Japanese yen ke strength ka potential hai, jo ke market mein bulls ka control indicate karta hai. Agar agle session mein market bullish potential ko confirm karta hai, toh short positions close karna samajhdari hogi. Yen ka upward trend setup ho sakta hai aur 155.75 ek mark ban sakta hai jahan par new sale ke possibility ko consider kiya ja sakta hai. Strong reversal ke liye impulse milna zaroori hai aur resistance level par rukna nahi chahiye, taake profitable sell trade ki potential ko grab kiya ja sake.

USD/JPY: Price discussion

USD/JPY ki price behavior ko analyze karna ek interesting topic hai. USD/JPY ki price movement abhi bhi bearish trend ke saath niche gir rahi hai. Price ka jo pattern chal raha hai, woh bhi lower low - lower high condition mein hai. Jab price thoda upar correct hoti hai, toh do Moving Averages ka death cross signal aata hai, lekin yeh hamesha pehle ke high prices tak nahi pahunch pata. Iske bar'aks, low prices, jaise 145.20, ko pass kar liya gaya hai aur naye low prices bane hain, jaise 144.47, jo phir pass hoke 143.46 tak pahunch gaye hain. Agar price EMA 50 ko pass karke upar correct hoti hai, toh yeh upper trendline tak ya phir minor SBR area 145.46 tak ja sakti hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator se dekha jaye toh yeh uptrend momentum dikhata hai kyunki histogram level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai. Lekin histogram volume jo beech mein nahi hai, yeh bearish trend ke doran wapas downtrend momentum mein jaane ke chances hain. Stochastic indicator ke parameters, jo overbought zone level 90 - 80 ko cross kar chuke hain, ab level 50 pass karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke USD/JPY ki price decline rally continue hogi, lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price upar move kare jab parameters level 50 ke aas-paas cross karein.



Setup Entry Position:

Trading options abhi bhi bearish trend ki direction aur lower low - lower high price pattern ke structure par focus karti hain. Isliye, jab price minor SBR area 145.46 ke aas-paas correct hoke upar jaye ya phir upper trendline ke against rejection aaye, toh re-entry SELL position place karein. Confirmation ke liye dekhain ke Stochastic indicator ke parameters dobara overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein enter hone ke baad cross karen. AO indicator ka histogram level 0 ya negative area ke neeche wapas aana chahiye, taake yeh downtrend momentum ko indicate kare, jo ke bearish trend ki direction ke mutabiq hai. Take profit ka target low prices 143.46 aur stop loss ke liye high prices 146.49 rakhein.

Price test of 147.13 tab hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se kaafi niche gaya tha, jo ke pair ke downward potential ko limit kar raha tha. Is wajah se maine dollar ko sell nahi kiya. Kuch der baad, 147.13 ka dobara test hua jab MACD oversold area mein tha, jo ke dollar kharidne ka mauqa de raha tha scenario No. 2 ke mutabiq. Afsos, U.S. producer price index mein girawat ki khabar ne U.S. dollar ko support nahi kiya, is liye ye signal puri tarah se realize nahi ho saka. Aaj, pehle aadha din mein pair ke thoda recover hone ke chances hain, lekin risks abhi bhi dollar ke mazeed girne aur yen ke strong hone ke hain, kyun ke hum U.S. Consumer Price Index ke important data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Hum isko detail mein afternoon forecast mein discuss karenge, lekin abhi ke liye, behtar hoga ke mazeed favourable prices ka intezar kiya jaye dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada rely karunga scenarios No. 1 aur 2 ko implement karne par. **Buy Signals**

**Scenario No. 1**: Aaj mein USD/JPY kharidne ka plan kar raha hoon jab price entry point 147.45 ko pohanchay, jo ke chart par green line se dikhaya gaya hai, aur target hoga 148.13 tak uthane ka jo ke chart par thick green line se dikhaya gaya hai. 148.13 par pohanch kar mein long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, expecting 30-35 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. Aaj pair ke upar uthne ke chances hain correction ke hisay mein. Lekin jitna pair upar jayega, dollar ko sell karna utna hi attractive hoga. Important: Kharidne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur usse rise karna shuru ho.

Mein aaj USD/JPY kharidne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 146.76 ka do martaba test hota hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Ye pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ke reverse upturn ko lead karega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 147.45 aur 148.13 tak.



Aaj mein USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho

Guzaarish ke do dinon mein, USD/JPY currency pair ne economic aur geopolitical factors ki wajah se significant fluctuations experience ki hain. 5 August ko, yen ne 7 mahine ki high par strengthen kiya jab Japanese authorities ne currency market mein intervene kiya, approximately 5.53 trillion yen spend kiya currency ko support karne ke liye. Yeh intervention partially 10-year Japanese government bond ki yield mein drop se drive kiya gaya, jo 0.8% se below gir gaya Federal Reserve ki expectations ke baad ki aggressive interest rate cuts karne ke liye weak US jobs data ke baad.
Usi din, Bank of Japan ne unexpected rate hike announce kiya, apne benchmark interest rate ko 0.25% par raise kiya aur economic conditions supportive rehne par rates ko continue raise karne ki willingness show ki. Yeh move Japan ki economic challenges ke baad aaya, raise private consumption mein decline aur economy mein contraction.

US ne disappointing economic data ka saamna kiya, jaise weak manufacturing PMI aur economic slowdown ki concerns. Yeh factors, US stock futures mein decline aur USD/JPY pair par pressure add karne ke liye lower-than-expected US earnings reports ke saath, Federal Reserve ki commentary ne US labor market ko protect karne ki bat ki, jo aggressive rate cuts ko delay kar sakti hai.

Overall, hawkish stance aur Fed ki cautious approach ne economic uncertainties ke beech volatile environment create kiya hai USD/JPY pair ke liye. Investors central bank policies aur economic data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain future movements ko gauge karne ke liye, US jobs report aur both central banks se further monetary policy adjustments par significant attention de rahe hain

Here's the rewritten text in Roman Urdu:

USD/JPY: Price Movement Insights

Hamari discussion mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki price changes ka jaiza kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair ne is week mein sharp decline dekha, primarily Bank of Japan ki interest rates ko 0.16% tak increase karne ki wajah se, jo positive territory mein notable shift hai. Is action ne pair ko approximately 901 points tak giraya, critical level 149.99 se neeche aa gaya.

Weak U.S. labour market data ne Federal Reserve rate cut ki expectations ko increase kiya, jis se pair par downward pressure badh gaya. Result mein, yeh crucial sloping support 148.14 ko break kar gaya aur local support 146.51 par pause ho gaya. Yeh support level zyada der tak hold nahi karega, aur price likely descend karke round number aur support 145.01 par pahunch jayega, jahan substantial rebound upside ho sakta hai.




Hourly chart par, price descending channel mein rehta hai. Friday ko pair ne decline jari rakha lekin channel ke lower boundary tak nahi pahunch paya. Is liye downward movement Monday tak jari rahega, potentially lower boundary 144.27 par pahunch sakta hai. Is target ko hit karne par reversal ho sakta hai, price upward move karke channel ke upper boundary par pahunch sakta hai, possibly 147.40 tak.

Decline linearly hua, significant pullbacks ya corrective waves ke bina. Target 146.81 achieve ho gaya, senior trend line par deviation dikha raha hai. Pullback mirror level par possible hai, around 151.84. Lekin clear feedback signals ke bina, buying trades se parhez karna advisable hai. Jaise observe kiya gaya, USD/JPY pair approximately 1551 points decline hua, notable pullbacks ya corrective waves ke bina

Here's the rewritten text in Roman Urdu:

USD/JPY Pair ka Jaiza: Bearish Momentum Jari Hai

Sabhi forum enthusiasts ko greetings! USD/JPY pair mein neeche ki taraf ka trend jari hai. Aise significant drop ke baad, healthy pullback zaroori hai. Lekin abhi bhi neeche jaane ki gunjaishein hain. Bank of Japan ka recent rate hike yen ko mazboot kar raha hai. U.S. labor market data bhi crucial hai. Main personally is level par trade nahi kar raha, lekin agar 155.50 se upar jaaye to shorting opportunities par focus karunga.

Current Market Conditions

Bank of Japan Rate Hike: Bank of Japan ka recent interest rate increase yen ko support kar raha hai. Ye policy shift USD/JPY pair ki bearish momentum ka key factor hai.

U.S. Labor Market Data: U.S. labor market data market sentiment aur USD/JPY pair ki direction ko influence kar sakta hai.

Technical Indicators

Envelopes Indicator: Downward trend ka continuation dikha raha hai.

Momentum Indicator: Strong sell signal de raha hai.

MACD: Negative zone mein rehta hai, aur price decline ki signal de raha hai.

Standard Deviation (StdDev) Indicator: Sellers ko support kar raha hai.

Recent Trading Activity

Kal, USD/JPY pair ko early trading mein 149.77 par resistance mila. Is level ko cross nahi kar saka, aur price decline hoker 146.41 par pahunch gaya. Closing price 146.51 par hai. Ye movement bearish outlook ko mazboot kar raha hai.

Strategic Considerations

Short Positions: Main 155.50 se upar jaane par shorting opportunities par focus karunga.

Pullback Potential: Downward trend ke bawajood, pullback mumkin hai. Market conditions badalte rehne par vigilant rehna zaroori hai.

Risk Management aur Outlook

Stop-Loss Orders: Key resistance aur support levels par stop-loss orders lagan zaroori hai.

Breakeven Strategy: Position profit mein aaye to stop-loss ko breakeven par le jaane se gains protect ho sakte hain.

Position Sizing: Market volatility ko withstand karne ke liye appropriate position sizing zaroori hai.

Mid-Term Projection

Current technical setup aur market conditions ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY pair neeche ki taraf jaane ka probability hai. Bank of Japan ki interest rate policy aur U.S. labor market data pair ki direction ko shape karne mein pivotal honge.





Conclusion

USD/JPY pair multiple technical indicators aur chart patterns par strong bearish signals dikha raha hai. Pullback ke liye room hai, lekin overall sentiment bearish hai. Traders ko key resistance levels par shorting opportunities dhoondni chahiye aur support levels breach hone par neeche jaane ke liye taiyaar rehna chahiye