USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Maine USD/JPY currency pair ki dynamic pricing behavior ko real-time mein examine kiya. Japan ke Central Bank ne total interest rate ke baare mein ek surprising decision kiya, jo almost kisi ne expect nahi kiya tha, market mein significant reaction ka cause ban gaya. Iske result mein, Japanese yen surge kiya. Yeh decision yen ko revitalize kiya, ek sleeping giant ko awaken karne ke tarah. USDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi.
Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai.

Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.

Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai, positive outlook ke saath. Is information ko given, main anticipate kar

Profit Potential: USD/JPY

Hamari conversation real-time mein USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ki evaluation par kendra hai. Market ne haal mein notable fluctuations dikhai hain, jo ek compelling opportunity ko initiate karne ke liye present karta hai. Chart ko scrutinize karne ke baad, main 149.596 par sell position shuru karne ka inclined hoon. Ye level robust resistance ka role ada karta hai, aur high probability hai ki price decline kar sakta hai. Main 144.679 ke level par profits secure karna chahta hoon. Mere liye is level ka choice arbitrary nahi hai; ye critical support point ko signify karta hai, aur main anticipate karta hoon ki price is level par descend kar sakta hai. Lekin, market ki inherent unpredictability ko acknowledge karna zaroori hai, conditions unexpected tarah se shift ho sakti hain.

Agar price 149.596 ke level ko surpass karta hai aur ascending shuru karta hai, to ye indicate karta hai ki resistance support mein transition ho gaya hai. Aise circumstances mein, main is level se buy position open karne ka contemplate karta hoon.





USD/JPY currency pair ki situation relatively consistent hai. 4-hour chart indicate karta hai ki pair bearish trend mein hai, price Ichimoku cloud ke neeche hai, downward momentum ko signify karta hai. Ye scenario sell position mein enter karne ka potential suggest karta hai. Stochastic indicator bhi downward trending hai. Latest trading session mein, pair ne apne bearish trajectory ko continue kiya, bears ne second support level ke neeche apne position ko solidify kiya, aur abhi 146.50 par trading kar raha hai. Intraday benchmark decline ke liye classic Pivot reversal levels se hai. Main predict karta hoon ki pair current levels se decline mein persist kar sakta hai, aur third support level 145.57 ke neeche break kar sakta hai, jo pair ko 143.12 ke aaspaas support ke neeche push kar sakta hai. Agar market participants apne positions ko increase karne ke liye return karte hain, to resistance level 156.91 current section ke chart ke liye benchmark ka role ada karta hai.

Jaise ke maine pehle bhi bataya tha, mera main reference point senior time frame tha, jahan price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte hain

USD/JPY H4 chart ke lehaz se aaj ka technical analysis yeh hai ke hum trend lines, indicators, aur resistance aur support levels ka istamal kar ke market ke direction ka andaza lagayenge, aur yeh sab H4 timeline par kiya jayega. Market mein is waqt uptrend hai; resistance level 148.60 tor diya gaya hai aur market mazeed upar ja rahi hai. Agar hum is chart par trend line ko dekhein, to humein nazar aata hai ke market is trend line par react kar rahi hai instead of resistance ko break karne ke. Market ki history ke mutabiq, yeh trend line ke upar chali gayi thi. Yeh trend line market ke lehaz se ehmiyat rakhti hai, aur agay bhi market isko respect karte hue ooper jayegi. Market ne system level se breakout kiya, upar gayi aur phir neeche aayi, aur phir resistance ko support mein tabdeel kar ke phir se upar gayi. Is waqt 50-day simple moving average market ke 147.50 se neeche hai, jo ke humara almost support level hai. Jaise ke aap dekh sakte hain, humara 150-day simple moving average market se neeche hai, aur humara initial support 146.30 par hai. Humara Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40 aur 75 ke darmiyan hai, jo ke 80 par hai. Humein market ke decline ka pata hai aur humare paas sahi indicators hain jo humari tasdiq karte hain. Market dobara rise karegi jab yeh trend line ko touch karegi. Prices trend line resistance ke upar nahi jayengi; agar woh trend line resistance ko break karte hain, to woh support line ki taraf move karengi.
Daily chart ke lehaz se USD/JPY currency pair ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke current seller pressure ek important demand area 141.798 par atka hua lagta hai. Yeh area price movements ke lehaz se ek potential turning point dikhai de raha hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers shayad apni strength kho rahe hain ke wo mazeed neeche decline karein, kam az kam interim period ke liye. Is se yeh speculation utni hai ke ek upward correction ho sakti hai, considering ke prices is area se bounce kar rahi hain aur pichlay kuch sessions mein kaafi significant upward movements dikha rahi hain. Technically, 141.798 demand area se bounce ke saath, ek higher correction ka potential mazid strong hota ja raha hai. Yeh correction shayad ek higher area tak ja sakti hai, 152.819 level tak, jo ke ek potential supply area hai. Yeh area woh point ho sakta hai jahan sellers dobara market mein wapas aane ki koshish karenge taake prices ko dobara neeche dhakel sakein. Lekin, is area tak pahunchne se pehle, short-term trend likely upward hi rahega, given ke corrective impulse is waqt ho raha hai. Is moqay ka faida uthate hue, traders daily timeframe par buy momentum dhoondh sakte hain, ongoing correction ka faida uthate hue. Yeh bullish momentum ek long position lene ka moqa samjha ja sakta hai, price bounce ke retracement se faida uthate hue demand area mein. Agar buying pressure barhta hai, to price kayi minor resistance levels ko tor kar supply area 152.819 tak pahunch sakti hai. Lekin yeh yad rakhna zaroori hai ke jab tak yeh upside potential strong nazar aata hai, supply area ek strong resistance area ban sakta hai, aur price wahan se dobara neeche reverse ho sakti hai.

Hamari guftagu iss waqt USD/JPY currency pair ki live pricing ki jaari jaiza se mutabiq hai. 141.74 support zone tak ke tezi se neeche aane ne un logon ke liye khatar ko ujaagar kiya jo sahi risk management ko nazar andaz karte hue jaldi se munafa kamane ki koshish kar rahe thay, jo ke bohat baray nuqsan mein tabdeel ho sakti thi. Japan ki economy ke hawale se ahem reports ke jari hone ke baad, jahan markazi bank ne interest rate ko 2.4% tak barhaya, humne Japanese yen mein qabil-e-deed taqat dekhi, jis ne iske mukablay mein doosri currencies mein ahem girawat paida ki. Technical nazar se dekha jaye to is high-volatility instrument ki paish goi mushkil hai, lekin iski volatility aur iske mumkin asraat ko dekhna zaroori hai. Daily hourly chart par 148.01 level ke qareeb ek sideways trend ban gaya hai, aur price chhati martaba is mark ko torhne mein nakam rahi hai. Ek bara player mojud hai, aur isko dhyaan mein rakhna zaroori hai, kyun ke current resistance zone se breakout ek ahem price move ko janam de sakta haiIs liye, main tajweez karta hoon ke is currenc pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders lagayein taake mumkin nuqsan se bach sakein, kyun ke surat-e-haal jaldi se kharab ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, us din hourly chart par girawat hui, jiske baad ek izafa hua jo 147.103 resistance ko torh gaya. Is breakout ne ek buy signal generate kiya jo 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Magar, ye signal ghalat sabit hua, kyun ke price is level ke neeche Friday ko gir gaya. Ghalat breakout us waqt hua jab price is resistance se upar se neeche gir gaya. Monday ko ek naya buy signal paida hua, jo phir se 151.644 resistance ko target kar raha tha, aur price is target tak pohanch gaya. Phir, Tuesday ko price ne is level par wapsi ki, ek aur upward movement karne ki koshish ki, lekin phir se broken level tak wapas aa gaya. Breakout tasdeeq shuda tha, aur kal ka target 151.644 resistance par set hai

. USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide kar sakte h

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Japanese Yen Increase ho raha hai jese ke Traders ko umeed hai ke BoJ borrowing cost barha sakta hai

Japanese Yen appreciate kar raha hai BoJ Governor Ueda ke hawkish speech ke baad jo unhone Parliament me di. USD/JPY pair neeche ja raha hai due to different policy outlooks donon central banks ke darmiyan. US Dollar neeche gaya Federal Reserve Chair Powell ke dovish stance ke baad jo unhone Jackson Hole Symposium me diya.

Japanese Yen (JPY) mazid barh raha hai dusre din bhi, jese Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke hawkish remarks contrast kar rahe hain Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke dovish stance ke saath.

BoJ Governor Ueda ne Parliament me kaha ke agar unke economic projections theek hain, to central bank interest rates mazid barha sakta hai. Iske ilawa, July ka National Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data apne sabse oonche level pe hai February ke baad se, jo BoJ ke hawkish stance ko reinforce karta hai.

US Dollar (USD) neeche ja raha hai jab ke September me rate cut ke chances barh rahe hain. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne Jackson Hole Symposium me kaha, "Ab policy adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai." Lekin, Powell ne ye nahi bataya ke rate cuts kab shuru honge ya unka size kitna hoga.

Traders umeed kar rahe hain ke US central bank September me kam az kam 25 basis points ka rate cut kar sakta hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, markets ab puri tarah se 25 basis point (bps) rate cut anticipate kar rahe hain Federal Reserve ke September meeting me.

Japanese Yen barh raha hai BoJ Governor Ueda ke hawkish statement ke baad.

• Bloomberg ne report kiya ke Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker ne emphasis kiya ke US central bank ko interest rates ko dheere dheere kam karna chahiye. Dosi taraf, Reuters ne report kiya ke Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee ne kaha ke monetary policy ab apne sabse restrictive level pe hai, aur ab Fed apne employment mandate ko achieve karne pe focus kar raha hai.
• Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne Japanese Parliament ko Friday ko address kiya aur kaha ke wo long-term Japanese government bonds (JGBs) ko interest rates adjust karne ke tool ke tor pe bechne ka nahi soch rahe hain. Unhone ye bhi kaha ke JGB purchases me kisi bhi qisam ki kami balance sheet ka sirf 7-8% tak hogi, jo ke ek choti si kami hogi. Ueda ne kaha ke agar economy unke projections ke mutabiq chali, to wo interest rates ko thoda aur adjust kar sakte hain.
• Japan ka National Consumer Price Index July me 2.8% year-on-year barh gaya, aur is rate pe teesre consecutive mahine tak barhawa raha, jo ke February ke baad se sabse ooncha level hai. Iske ilawa, National CPI excluding Fresh Food 2.7% tak barh gaya, jo ke February ke baad ka sabse ooncha reading hai, aur expectations ke mutabiq hai.
• US Composite PMI August me 54.1 tak neeche chala gaya, jo ke char mahino ka lowest level hai, July ke 54.3 se neeche, lekin ab bhi market expectations ke 53.5 se ooper hai. Yeh continued expansion ko indicate karta hai US business activity me, aur 19 consecutive mahine ke growth ko mark karta hai.
• FOMC Minutes July ke policy meeting ke liye indicate karte hain ke ziada tar Fed officials pichle mahine ye agree karte hain ke wo apni benchmark interest rate ko September ke upcoming meeting me cut kar sakte hain agar inflation cooling rahi to.

Technical Analysis: USD/JPY near 144.00

USD/JPY Friday ko 143.90 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Daily chart ka analysis dikhata hai ke pair ek downtrend line ke neeche position mein hai, jo ke bearish bias ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi 30 ke thoda ooper hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke bearish trend mazid chal sakta hai.



Downside me, USD/JPY pair 141.69 ke aas-paas navigate kar sakta hai, jo ke August 5 ko record hui thi, aur yeh saat mahine ka low hai. Is level ke neeche break hone pe pair 140.25 ke throwback support level ki taraf ja sakta hai.

Resistance ke terms me, USD/JPY pair immediate barrier test kar sakta hai downtrend line ke aas-paas jo ke psychological level hai 145.00, followed by nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 145.74 level pe hai. Nine-day EMA ke ooper break hone se pair ko throwback-turned-resistance ke region 154.50 level tak explore karne mein madad mil sakti hai.

Weekly US dollar Fundamental Forecast

Market us information pe respond kar raha hai jo uske expectations ke mutabiq hai. Jerome Powell ke remarks Jackson Hole symposium me, jisme unhone Fed ka confidence express kiya cooling labor market me aur monetary policy adjust karne ke liye tayari indicate ki, investors ke liye achi thi. Yeh wo type ka transparent indication tha jo investors anticipate kar rahe the regarding monetary expansion cycle ke shuru hone ke September me. Natija yeh raha ke stock indices barh gaye, Treasury yields ghat gaye, aur US dollar ne November se sabse bara daily loss post kiya.

Derivatives market ne monetary expansion ke implied scope ko 2024 me 93 bp se 103 bp tak barha diya hai. Iske sath, personal consumption price indexes ka data July ke liye release hone se finally analysts ko yeh convince karna chahiye ke federal funds rate 5.5% pe apna waqt poora kar chuka hai. Bloomberg experts ke forecasts ke mutabiq, three-month PCE 2% target ke kareeb pohonch jayegi.

Masla yeh hai ke events ke exact sequence pe abhi bhi clarity ki kami hai. Fed bhi is ka jawab nahi de sakta. Lagta hai ke central bank aur markets dono bhool gaye hain ke monetary policy data-dependent hai. Aur yeh ke Fed ka cooling labor market me confidence galat ho sakta hai jaise ke 2021 me inflation ke temporary nature ke bare mein tha.

Investors ne Jackson Hole me Jerome Powell ke speech ko clear signal ke tor pe dekha ke monetary easing cycle September me shuru hogi, aur ye ke yeh other central banks ke comparison me differentiating factor hai. Bank of England ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne kaha ke abhi inflation ke khilaf jeet declare karna jaldi hai. ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane ne stress kiya ke elevated prices ke khilaf battle abhi ongoing hai aur 2% target tak wapas pohonchna certainty nahi hai.

Expectations ke mutabiq, derivatives market project kar raha hai ke Bank of England aur European Central Bank 2024 me rates ko max 50 basis points tak reduce karenge, jo ke Fed ke anticipate ki gayi rate se aadha hai. Yeh pound aur euro ke performance ke liye straightforward explanation provide karta hai, lekin yeh sawal uthata hai ke kya Europe aur North America monetary policy me waqai itna different approach layenge. Yeh mumkin hai ke Old World cautious stance adopt kar raha ho kyunki unhone monetary policy me loosening already start kar di hai. Contrarily, Fed apne plans implement karne ke liye eager hai.

Pehle yeh anticipate nahi kiya gaya tha ke Fed Funds rate me pehli cut ke baad har FOMC meeting me dosri aur teesri cut hogi. Iske ilawa, ek meeting me 50 bps ki cuts ek sath expect ki ja rahi thi. Yeh tab mumkin hai jab US economy me significant cooling ho, jo ke honay ke chances kam hain. Is backdrop ke against, US me recession ke bare mein fikr karne ki koi zarurat nahi hai.

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke mojooda pricing behavior ke gird ghoom rahi hai, jo hum analyze kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair support line ke neeche chali gayi hai, jise Marlin oscillator ka support hai jo neeche ki taraf trend kar raha hai aur negative territory mein enter ho chuka hai. Trend line, jo 146.59 level ke qareeb hai, is baat ki nishandahi kar rahi hai ke pair ki value mein mazeed kami ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, pair ne Ichimoku cloud ko upar se breach kar liya hai aur iske neeche consolidate ho gayi hai, jo ke bearish trend ka tasdeeq karti hai. Agar price apne aap ko 146.07 ke upar barqarar nahi rakh sakti, to is level ke neeche ek sell entry point banega, jo bears ko mazeed neeche le jane ka mauqa dega, aur agla target 144.02 ka support level hoga. Aaj ka candle daily chart par bearish hai magar ismein kafi lambi lower wick hai, jo downward pressure ko zahir kar rahi hai.
USD/JPY pair apni decline ko continue karne wali hai, jo Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki divergent monetary policies se mutasir ho rahi hai. US Central Bank ke interest rates kam karne ki umeed hai, jabke Japanese Central Bank ke rates barhane ki. US aur Japanese bonds ke darmiyan narrowing yield spread yen ko dollar ke muqablay mein mazboot kar raha hai. Aaj ke 299 points ke decline ke bawajood, jo ke sparse economic calendar ke bawajood hua, main abhi bhi kisi bhi buying ko intraday correction ka hissa samajhta hoon. H4 time frame par, pair apne descending channel se bahar aayi hai, jo is baat ka imkaan hai ke 140 level par wapas ja sake. Local reversal sirf tab ho sakta hai jab price dobara channel mein aaye aur 147.59 level ko breach kare, target karte hue round figure 149 ko. Aaj, bearish pressure ke neeche, USD/JPY pair 145.17 tak gir gayi, aur 146.07 ke support level ko tod diya. Price is waqt is level ke upar consolidate karne ki koshish kar rahi hai

USD/JPY H4 (US Dollar - Japanese Yen). Sab ko as-salam-o-alaikum aur aap sab ko bahut saari duaein! Meri trading strategy jo Hicken Ashi, TMA aur RSI indicators ko combine kar ke bani hai, mujhe batati hai ke ab currency pair/instrument bechnay ka waqt aa gaya hai, kyun ke system ke consensus indicators ke mutabiq bears dominate kar rahe hain. Hicken Ashi candles, jo traditional Japanese candles ke mukhtalif hote hain aur smooth aur average price movements dikhatay hain, in se reversal moments, corrective rollbacks aur impulse shootouts asani se pata chalte hain. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi chart par moving average ke basis par current support aur resistance lines draw karta hai, jo asset ke movement range ko dikhata hai. Signal ko final filter aur deal band karne ke liye RSI oscillator ka istemal hota hai, jo traded pair ke overbought aur oversold zones ko batata hai. Aise trading instruments ka intikhab technical analysis ke process ko behtar banata hai aur galat market entries se bachata hai.

Is tarah ke indicators ke combination se chart par ek situation utpann hoti hai jab candles red ho jate hain, iska matlab bullish mode ke bajaye ab bearish mode ko pasand kiya jata hai, aur isliye short trade ke liye market mein dakhil hone ka waqt hota hai. Prices ne linear channel ke upper limit (neeli dotted line) ko cross kiya hai, lekin lowest level tak pohanchne ke baad unho ne ise jump karke channel ke center line (peeli dotted line) ki taraf rukh badla. Direction badal gaya hai. Aap dekh sakte hain ke basement RSI indicator (14) bhi sell signal ko accept kar raha hai, kyun ke short position select karne se yeh contradictory nahi hai - is ki curve downward hai aur oversold level ke upar hai, magar kaafi door tak. Main nateeja nikalta hoon ke ab bechna sab se zyada kaam karne wala hai, aur is liye short deal open karna bilkul justified hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke channel ke lower border (neeli dotted line) par jo price quote 154.520 hai, wahan profit milay ga. Jab order profitable zone mein shift ho jaye, toh us position ko breakeven par laana munasib hai, kyun ke market hamari expectations ko false moves se disrupt karne mein bohat dilchaspi rakhta hai.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Short-Term Bullishness ko Long-Term Bearish Outlook mein Navigate Karna

Is analysis mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki technical aspects mein ghuste hain, iski current market behavior aur potential future movements ki insights offer karte hain. Latest data ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair mixed technical landscape mein navigate kar raha hai, short-term bullish trend ko long-term bearish outlook ke sath contrast karte hue.

*Current Price aur Moving Averages*

Analysis ke waqt, USD/JPY pair 50-day moving average (MA50) se upar trade kar raha hai lekin 200-day moving average (MA200) se neeche hai. Yeh setup short-term aur long-term trends mein divergence ko indicate karta hai. Khaskar, price MA50 se upar hone se immediate upward momentum ka suggestion hai, short-term mein bullish bias ko hint karte hue. Lekin, price MA200 se neeche hone se broader context mein bearish sentiment ko underscore karta hai, jo pair ke key resistance levels ko approach karne par phir se assert ho sakta hai.

*Trend Analysis*

USD/JPY pair ki current positioning MA50 se upar short-term strength ko reflect karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ki buyers currently control mein hain, price ko higher drive karte hue. Lekin, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye jab price MA200 ko approach karta hai. Historically, MA200 significant trend indicator hai; agar price is level se upar break nahi karta hai, to yeh broader downtrend ki resumption ko signal kar sakta hai, sellers ko dominance regain karne ke liye.

*Support aur Resistance Levels*

Key support aur resistance levels USD/JPY pair ki next move ko determine karne mein crucial hain:

- *Support*: Immediate support level MA50 ke qareeb hai. Agar price is level se neeche drop karta hai, to yeh short-term bullish scenario ko negate kar sakta hai aur further declines ki taraf pave kar sakta hai. Yeh support level bulls ke liye critical line of defense hai aur isko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

- *Resistance*: Upside par, resistance 148.50 to 149.00 range mein expected hai. Agar price is levels se upar break karta hai, to yeh further buying opportunities ko signal kar sakta hai, potentially higher resistance zones ki retest ko lead karte hue. Lekin, agar price is levels se upar nahi nikalta hai, to yeh reversal ko trigger kar sakta hai, longer-term bearish outlook ko reaffirm karte hue.

*Technical Indicators*

*Relative Strength Index (RSI)* bhi key indicator hai. Agar RSI 50 se upar hai, to yeh typically bullish momentum ko confirm karta hai, further gains ke liye case ko support karte hue. Lekin, agar RSI overbought territory mein enter karta hai (70 se upar), to yeh suggest kar sakta hai ki pair correction ke liye due hai, b

Daily Timeframe

USDJPY ne last few sessions mein very strong seller pressure dikhai hai. Impulsive bearish candles se ye dekhne mein aaya hai, jo EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke do levels ko penetrate karne mein kamyab rahe. Ye strong indication hai ki bearish trend market ko dominate kar raha hai. Price movement support level 146,429 ko test karta raha hai, jo finally penetrate kiya gaya. Ye bearish movement high level 161,639 se shuru hua, phir decline karta raha until critical support level 146,429 par pahunch gaya. Support level ke penetration se ye dikha hai ki sellers ko market par full control hai, prices ko lower push kar raha hai.

Technical analysis se, key support levels ke penetration ke baad bearish trend ka continuation hua hai, especially high trading volume aur negative market sentiment ke saath. Is case mein, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ko penetrate karne ke baad bearish pressure continue hone ka possibility hai. Next possible target decline ke liye 140,731 ke level par hai. Ye level significant support level hai aur sellers ke liye target ho sakta hai.

H1 Hour Timeframe

USDJPY H1 timeframe par increasingly strong bearish movement dikha raha hai. EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke direction se ye dekhne mein aaya hai, jo continue fall kar raha hai, seller dominance ko indicate karta hai. Important support level 151,900 ke penetration ne downward movement ka continuation trigger kiya hai, significant bearish strength ko dikha raha hai. Today's Asian session mein downward trend continue kar raha hai, sellers ko price movements par dominance dikha raha hai. Lekin technical analysis mein, strong bearish movement ke baad correction phase hoti hai, phir main trend continue hoti hai. My current trading plan upward correction ka wait kar raha hai, better sell momentum find karne ke liye. Area jo main watch kar raha hoon sell entry ke liye 146,522 - 147,428 ke aaspaas hai. Ye area potential resistance level hai jo price se retest ki ja sakti hai

USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyata economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, utsalar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.8

Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, okay fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin sikke se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta h

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing behavior ko ghour se dekh rahe hain. Agarche rozana tabdeeliyaan zyada nahi hain, magar upward trend qaim hai, jis se buying zyada behtar strategy lag rahi hai. Price ne pichle din ka high touch kiya, lekin phir bearish position mein wapas aaya. Yeh pattern dikhata hai ke sellers aur buyers ke darmiyan power ka balance hai. Magar, teen din pehle buyers ne dominance hasil ki thi, lekin sellers abhi bhi challenge kar rahe hain. Kareeb future mein ek upward movement ki umeed hai. Iss stage par, yeh pair zyada chance rakhta hai ke ye upar jaye naa ke neeche aaye. Agar bullish move ho sakti hai, to market kisi bhi direction mein ja sakta hai, ya toh bearish ho sakta hai ya 151.945 se upar chala jaye. Yeh direction ane wali news aur corrective exit ke baad pehli significant daily candle ke formation par depend karegi. Ek zyada pronounced bullish correction dekhne mein aayi hai, jo ke ek aggressive bearish movement ke baad aayi hai. Daily hourly chart par, USD/JPY pair ek sideways zone mein form ho raha hai weekly price action ke doran. Iss waqt, resistance 148.01 par hai, jo ek formidable level hai, jise pair breach karne mein hichkichahat mehsoos kar raha hai, jis se deeper bullish correction ka imkaan hai.

Market ne bar-bar 141.73 support level ko test kiya hai, jo ke considerable instability ke saath aaya. Yeh area bhi lower Bollinger Band ke sath milta hai, jo ke lowest price range ko define karta hai. Agar price iss area tak pohanchi, to develop double-bottom pattern ho sakta hai, jo ke ek technical recovery ko spark kar sakta hai aur bullish trend ki taraf shift ho sakti hai. Japan ka interest rate iss asset ki valuation par khasa asar dal chuka hai, aur iska future impact abhi tak clear nahi hai.

Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyata economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, utsalar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading