usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Guzaarish ke do dinon mein, USD/JPY currency pair ne economic aur geopolitical factors ki wajah se significant fluctuations experience ki hain. 5 August ko, yen ne 7 mahine ki high par strengthen kiya jab Japanese authorities ne currency market mein intervene kiya, approximately 5.53 trillion yen spend kiya currency ko support karne ke liye. Yeh intervention partially 10-year Japanese government bond ki yield mein drop se drive kiya gaya, jo 0.8% se below gir gaya Federal Reserve ki expectations ke baad ki aggressive interest rate cuts karne ke liye weak US jobs data ke baad.
Usi din, Bank of Japan ne unexpected rate hike announce kiya, apne benchmark interest rate ko 0.25% par raise kiya aur economic conditions supportive rehne par rates ko continue raise karne ki willingness show ki. Yeh move Japan ki economic challenges ke baad aaya, raise private consumption mein decline aur economy mein contraction.

US ne disappointing economic data ka saamna kiya, jaise weak manufacturing PMI aur economic slowdown ki concerns. Yeh factors, US stock futures mein decline aur USD/JPY pair par pressure add karne ke liye lower-than-expected US earnings reports ke saath, Federal Reserve ki commentary ne US labor market ko protect karne ki bat ki, jo aggressive rate cuts ko delay kar sakti hai.

Overall, hawkish stance aur Fed ki cautious approach ne economic uncertainties ke beech volatile environment create kiya hai USD/JPY pair ke liye. Investors central bank policies aur economic data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain future movements ko gauge karne ke liye, US jobs report aur both central banks se further monetary policy adjustments par significant attention de rahe hain

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke mojooda pricing behavior ke gird ghoom rahi hai, jo hum analyze kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair support line ke neeche chali gayi hai, jise Marlin oscillator ka support hai jo neeche ki taraf trend kar raha hai aur negative territory mein enter ho chuka hai. Trend line, jo 146.59 level ke qareeb hai, is baat ki nishandahi kar rahi hai ke pair ki value mein mazeed kami ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, pair ne Ichimoku cloud ko upar se breach kar liya hai aur iske neeche consolidate ho gayi hai, jo ke bearish trend ka tasdeeq karti hai. Agar price apne aap ko 146.07 ke upar barqarar nahi rakh sakti, to is level ke neeche ek sell entry point banega, jo bears ko mazeed neeche le jane ka mauqa dega, aur agla target 144.02 ka support level hoga. Aaj ka candle daily chart par bearish hai magar ismein kafi lambi lower wick hai, jo downward pressure ko zahir kar rahi hai.

USD/JPY pair apni decline ko continue karne wali hai, jo Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki divergent monetary policies se mutasir ho rahi hai. U.S. Central Bank ke interest rates kam karne ki umeed hai, jabke Japanese Central Bank ke rates barhane ki. U.S. aur Japanese bonds ke darmiyan narrowing yield spread yen ko dollar ke muqablay mein mazboot kar raha hai. Aaj ke 299 points ke decline ke bawajood, jo ke sparse economic calendar ke bawajood hua, main abhi bhi kisi bhi buying ko intraday correction ka hissa samajhta hoon. H4 time frame par, pair apne descending channel se bahar aayi hai, jo is baat ka imkaan hai ke 140 level par wapas ja sake. Local reversal sirf tab ho sakta hai jab price dobara channel mein aaye aur 147.59 level ko breach kare, target karte hue round figure 149 ko. Aaj, bearish pressure ke neeche, USD/JPY pair 145.17 tak gir gayi, aur 146.07 ke support level ko tod diya. Price is waqt is level ke upar consolidate karne ki koshish kar rahi hai.

Jaise ke maine pehle bhi bataya tha, mera main reference point senior time frame tha, jahan price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai
Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte hain

Kahani Chart Mein Hai: USD/JPY

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ki price movement ko analyze karne ki discussion karenge. Is currency pair ki senior weekly chart par, ye clear hai ki price past few weeks mein sharply gir gaya hai. Ye decline technical indicators ki wajah se hai, khaskar MACD indicator par bearish divergence. CCI indicator ne bhi bearish divergence signal diya, lekin smaller scale par.

Is decline mein fundamental factors bhi contribute kar rahe hain. Bank of Japan ne apni currency ki persistent weakening se frustrate hokar, billions inject kiye, lekin effect nahi hua, aur interest rates raise karne par majboor ho gaya. Is move ne significant decline ka onset trigger kiya.

Is downturn mein, 151.91 level likely tha, followed by ascending trend line ka breakdown. Price ne 140.26 support level ko nearly touch kiya lekin short fall gaya. Correction hui, aur price ne broken ascending line ko touch kiya, suggesting another downward move ki possibility.

H4 chart par price action ko observe karna zaroori hai, taaki ye decide kiya ja sake ki further growth ya renewed decline ka sign hai. Situation yahan twofold hai; buyers aur sellers ke chances hain.

Week ke start mein corrective rise ke baad, price midweek stagnant ho gaya aur sideways move karna shuru kar diya. Range aur accumulation zone form hui, trading ke liye challenging environment ban gaya, agar random entries lene ki inclination ho.

Is scenario mein, breakout ka intezar karna chahiye, either down ya up. Agar 147.74 resistance level upside break karta hai, to buying ke liye entry point hoga, provided ye above se breakout ke baad likely ho. Is case mein, target 151.91 level ko approach karna hoga, jo daily chart par noted hai

Maine USD/JPY currency pair ki dynamic pricing behavior ko real-time mein examine kiya. Japan ke Central Bank ne total interest rate ke baare mein ek surprising decision kiya, jo almost kisi ne expect nahi kiya tha, market mein significant reaction ka cause ban gaya. Iske result mein, Japanese yen surge kiya. Yeh decision yen ko revitalize kiya, ek sleeping giant ko awaken karne ke tarah. USDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi.

Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai.

Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.

Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai, positive outlook ke saath. Is information ko given, main anticipate kar

USD/JPY currency pair ne economic aur geopolitical factors ki wajah se significant fluctuations experience ki hain. 5 August ko, yen ne 7 mahine ki high par strengthen kiya jab Japanese authorities ne currency market mein intervene kiya, approximately 5.53 trillion yen spend kiya currency ko support karne ke liye. Yeh intervention partially 10-year Japanese government bond ki yield mein drop se drive kiya gaya, jo 0.8% se below gir gaya Federal Reserve ki expectations ke baad ki aggressive interest rate cuts karne ke liye weak US jobs data ke baad.

Usi din, Bank of Japan ne unexpected rate hike announce kiya, apne benchmark interest rate ko 0.25% par raise kiya aur economic conditions supportive rehne par rates ko continue raise karne ki willingness show ki. Yeh move Japan ki economic challenges ke baad aaya, jaise private consumption mein decline aur economy mein contraction.

US ne disappointing economic data ka saamna kiya, jaise weak manufacturing PMI aur economic slowdown ki concerns. Yeh factors, US stock futures mein decline aur USD/JPY pair par pressure add karne ke liye lower-than-expected US earnings reports ke saath, Federal Reserve ki commentary ne US labor market ko protect karne ki bat ki, jo aggressive rate cuts ko delay kar sakti hai.

Overall, hawkish stance aur Fed ki cautious approach ne economic uncertainties ke beech volatile environment create kiya hai USD/JPY pair ke liye. Investors central bank policies aur economic data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain future movements ko gauge karne ke liye, US jobs report aur both central banks se further monetary policy adjustments par significant attention de rahe hain.

Forecast & Trading Strategy:

Aaj, main US dollar index ko good value par dekh raha hoon. Isliye, USD/JPY ne 146.00 ki high ko break kiya. Is level ko break karne ke baad, humne quote ko broken resistance par dekh kar rebound kiya. Yeh means US dollar Japanese yen ke against stronger ho raha hai. Daily chart mein do bottoms current price level ke near hain, jo currency price ke resistance act karte hain

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki real-time price ko analyze kar rahe hain. Abhi USD/JPY 146.149 par trade ho raha hai, aur yeh ek acha waqt hai market price par sell karne ka. Din ke shuruat se ab tak ke distance ko dekha jaye to lagta hai ke buying momentum kareeb hai, jo sellers ke liye favorable conditions paida kar raha hai. Agar hum 146.149 par market enter karte hain, to stop loss 146.174 ke aas-paas rakhna chahiye. Is trade ka ideal profit target 145.192 par hai, jo ke ek strong support level hai. Is level tak pohanchne ke baad short positions ko close karna behtar hoga, kyun ke iske baad ek corrective rebound upar ki taraf aasakta hai. Yeh rebound ascending channel ke lower boundary tak jaa sakta hai, aur price ko first correction wave ke upper point ke kareeb 147.322 tak le jaa sakta hai. Wahan se ek downward rebound ho sakta hai, lekin is rebound ki strength abhi clear nahi hai.

Umeed hai aap khairiyat se hain. Aaj subah main ne USDJPY market ki price movements ko dekha. Ab tak mujhe lagta hai ke USDJPY market ka trend downward hai. Kal se main wait kar raha tha ke sahi waqt par sell position enter karoon, aur kal raat USDJPY ki price mein lagbhag 100 pips ka spike aaya, jis ke baad main ne turant sell position open ki, kyun ke price apne resistance area ke kareeb thi. Khushi ki baat yeh hai ke subah tak price thodi-thodi girti rahi. Halankeh ek drasti increase hui thi, overall lagta hai ke USDJPY market ka trend ab bhi downward hai, isliye main recommend karta hoon ke sell entry opportunities par focus rakhein. Daily timeframe par dekha jaye to kuch bearish candlesticks bani hain jin ke bodies lambi hain, yeh dikhata hai ke sellers ne market ko achi tarah se dominate kar liya hai, aur price 140.234 ke lower support level tak gir sakti hai. Isliye jo log USDJPY market mein sell position hold kar rahe hain, unhein abhi hold karna chahiye taake maximum profit hasil ho sake.

Is waqt jo chart diya gaya hai, us par dekhne ko milta hai ke is duration mein candles ka rang red ho gaya hai, jo yeh batata hai ke ab bearish mood ko bullish mood par preference mil gayi hai. Is liye, ab market mein enter karne ke liye ek acha entry point dhundhna munasib hai taake short deal ki ja sake. Price quotes ne linear channel ki upper boundary (blue dotted line) se bahar nikalne ke baad, apni lowest HIGH point par pohanch kar central line ki taraf (yellow dotted line) direction badal li.

Basement RSI indicator (14) bhi sell signal ko approve kar raha hai kyunki yeh short position ke choice se mutabiqat rakhta hai. Iska curve abhi downwards directed hai aur oversold level se kaafi door hai. In sab baaton ke madde nazar, main yeh nateeja nikalta hoon ke sales ka probability ab maximum hai, aur is liye short transaction open karna bilkul justified hai. Main take profit ki umeed kar raha hoon channel ki lower border (blue dotted line) ke area mein, jo ke price quote 141.673 par hai.

Aaj aap sab kaise hain, forum ke tamam doston aur investing social riders ke admin moderators? Umeed hai ke aap hamesha achi sehat mein rehte hain aur aaj ke activities ko behtareen results ke liye puri josh o kharosh ke sath anjaam denge. Aaj Thursday ke din aap sab ko activities mein dobara se mubarakbaad pesh karta hoon. Aaj trading plan ko implement karne ke bohat saare moqay milenge taake maximum results hasil kiye ja sakein. USDJPY ki movement par baat karna bohat interesting hai, jo kal kaafi volatile dekhi gayi. Kal ke trading session mein mazboot bullish trend ke bawajood, USDJPY ne increase experience ki, aur pehle ke 20-year high 148.25 ka break kiya, aur ab yeh psychological level 147.00 ke upar pohanch gayi hai. Kal ka range lagbhag 150 pips tha, jisme highest price 146.90 thi aur lowest 148.90 thi. Main recommend karta hoon ke is currency pair ko choti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders lagayein taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunki situation rapidly adverse ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, hum ne hourly chart par decline dekha, jis ke baad rise hui jo 147.103 resistance ko break kar gayi. Is breakout ne ek buy signal generate kiya jo ke 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Lekin yeh signal misleading tha, kyunki price ne is level par Friday ko drop kiya. Yeh false breakout us waqt hua jab price ne upar se is resistance ko break kiya. Monday ko ek naye buy signal ne dobara 151.644 resistance ko target kiya, aur price ne is target ko pohancha. Us ke baad Tuesday ko is level par retrace karne ke baad, ek aur upward movement ki koshish ki, lekin phir se broken level par fall kar gayi. Breakout confirm hua, aur kal ka target 151.644 resistance par set hai.

Aaj main USD/JPY currency pair ka real-time price assessment kar raha hoon. Filhal yeh 146.149 par trade ho raha hai, aur yeh acha waqt hai sell karne ka. Din ki shuruaat se jo faasla hai, us se lagta hai ke buying momentum qareeb hai, jo sellers ke liye achi conditions bana raha hai. Agar hum market mein 146.149 par enter karein, toh stop loss 146.174 ke qareeb hona chahiye. Is trade ka ideal profit target 145.192 ke strong support level par hai. Jab yeh level hit ho jaye, toh short positions ko close karna behtar hoga kyunki yahan se ek corrective rebound ke chances hain.

Rebound neechay ki taraf ascending channel ki lower boundary ko hit kar sakta hai, aur price correction ka silsila us waqt tak jaari reh sakta hai jab tak yeh pehli correction wave ke upper point ke qareeb 147.322 tak na pohanch jaye. Wahan se ek downward rebound ke chances hain, lekin is rebound ki strength abhi tak uncertain hai.

Is subah mein ne USD/JPY market ki price movements dekhi hain. Ab tak yeh lagta hai ke market downward trend mein hai. Kal raat market mein 100 pips ki spike dekhi gayi, us waqt mein ne sell position open ki kyunki price apne qareebi resistance area ke qareeb thi, aur subah tak price thodi thodi kam hoti gayi. Market trend abhi bhi downward hai, is liye sell entry opportunities dhoondhne par focus karna chahiye.

Daily timeframe se monitor karte huye, lagta hai ke kaafi bearish candlesticks form hui hain jinki bodies lambi hain, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke sellers market mein dominate kar rahe hain. Price 140.234 ke lower support level tak gir sakti hai. Agar aapne sell position hold ki hai, toh isko rakhna behtar hai taake maximum profit hasil kiya ja sake.

• USD

Hamari guftagu ka taluq USD/JPY currency pair ki live pricing ke mustaqil jaiza se hai. 141.74 support zone tak tezi se girawat ne un logon ke liye khatrey ko highlight kiya jo proper risk management ko nazarandaz kar rahe hain, aur jaldi fayda kamane ki koshish kar rahe hain jo ke bara nuksan bhi ban sakta hai. Japan ki economy par aham reports ke baad, jahan central bank ne interest rate 2.4% tak barhaya, humne Japanese yen ki shandar taqat ko dekha, jo ke us ke muqablay mein dosri currencies ke liye significant girawat ka sabab bani. Technical point of view se, is high-volatility instrument ka agla qadam andaza lagana mushkil hai, lekin uski volatility aur potential impact ko zaroor madde nazar rakha jaye. Daily hourly chart par 148.01 level ke qareeb sideways trend form hui hai, jahan price chhati dafa is mark ko break karne mein nakam rahi. Yahan kisi bara khiladi ki mojoodgi wazeh hai, aur isko dekhte hue, current resistance zone se breakout badi price move ko janam de sakti hai. Isliye, main suggest karta hoon ke is currency pair mein chhoti lot sizes ke sath trading karein aur stop orders lagayein taake mumkin nuksan ko minimum rakha ja sake, kyunki surat-e-haal tezi se bigar sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, hourly chart par pehle din girawat hui, aur uske baad ek rise aayi jo ke 147.103 resistance ko todte hue guzri. Is breakout ne ek buy signal generate kiya, jo 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Lekin yeh signal dhoka tha, kyunki price Friday ko is level ke neeche gir gayi. Yeh false breakout us waqt hua jab price ne upar se is resistance ko tod kar neeche gir gayi. Monday ko ek naya buy signal aya, jo phir se 151.644 resistance ko target kar raha tha, aur price ne is target ko hasil kiya. Uske baad Tuesday ko yeh level par wapas ayi, ek aur upward movement ki koshish ki, lekin phir se broken level tak gir gayi. Breakout confirm hua, aur kal ka target 151.644 resistance par set hai

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

Haal Ki Market Activity

Friday ko, USD/JPY currency pair ne significant bearish movement dekha, jisne short deal ko take-profit level par band kar diya trend line ka test karte hue. Interestingly, bears ne trend line par hesitation nahi dikhai; balke, unhone isko inertial move par decisively break kiya, strong bearish momentum ko suggest karta hai. Ye price action ne trend line ke neeche consolidation ka possibility badhadi hai. Is breakout ke baad price ki behavior monitor karna future market movements ko anticipate karne ke liye crucial hai.

Key Technical Indicators

*1. Trend Line Break:* Trend line ke neeche decisive break strong bearish signal hai. Typically, trend lines support levels ke role ada karti hain, aur unko break karna market sentiment ko bullish se bearish mein shift karne ka indication de sakta hai. Price ne is level par slow down nahi kiya, jo bearish momentum ki strength ko further underscores karta hai.

*2. Support aur Resistance Levels:* Trend line break hone ke baad, next immediate support levels 154.50 aur 154.00 ke aaspaas hain. Ye levels pehle support ke role ada kar chuke hain aur potentially further declines ko halt kar sakte hain. Upside par, previous trend line, ab resistance ke role ada karta hai, aur 155.50 level key areas hain jo monitor karne ke liye hain.

*3. Moving Averages:* USD/JPY pair 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke neeche trading kar raha hai, jo bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. Moving averages ne bearish crossover bhi dikhai hai, jo death cross ke naam se jana jata hai, jo typically downward momentum ko signal karta hai.




*4. RSI aur MACD Indicators:* Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neeche hai, bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai lekin abhi tak oversold nahi hai, jo further declines ke liye room dikha raha hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi bearish territory mein hai, MACD line signal line ke neeche hai, bearish outlook ko support karta hai.

Fundamental Factors

*1. Economic Data:* US aur Japan dono se upcoming economic data crucial hai. US indicators jaise GDP growth, employment data, aur Federal Reserve interest rate decisions key drivers hain. Japan ke liye, GDP figures, employment statistics, aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy updates pair ko significantly influence kar sakte hain

Jaise ke maine pehle bhi bataya tha, mera main reference point senior time frame tha, jahan price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide




kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte hain

USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho





sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyata economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, opsalar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge,jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide kar sak

Guzaarish ke do dinon mein, USD/JPY currency pair ne economic aur geopolitical factors ki wajah se significant fluctuations experience ki hain. 5 August ko, yen ne 7 mahine ki high par strengthen kiya jab Japanese authorities ne currency market mein intervene kiya, approximately 5.53 trillion yen spend kiya currency ko support karne ke liye. Yeh intervention partially 10-year Japanese government bond ki yield mein drop se drive kiya gaya, jo 0.8% se below gir gaya Federal Reserve ki expectations ke baad ki aggressive interest rate cuts karne ke liye weak US jobs data ke baad. Usi din, Bank of Japan ne unexpected rate hike announce kiya, apne benchmark interest rate ko 0.25% par raise kiya aur economic conditions supportive rehne par rates ko continue raise karne ki willingness show ki. Yeh move Japan ki economic challenges ke baad aaya, raise private consumption mein decline aur economy mein contraction.

US ne disappointing economic data ka saamna kiya, jaise weak manufacturing PMI aur economic slowdown ki concerns. Yeh factors, US stock futures mein decline aur USD/JPY pair par pressure add karne ke liye lower-than-expected US earnings reports ke saath, Federal Reserve ki commentary ne US labor market ko protect karne ki bat ki, jo aggressive rate cuts ko delay kar sakti hai.

Overall, hawkish stance aur Fed ki cautious approach ne economic uncertainties ke beech volatile environment create kiya hai USD/JPY pair ke liye. Investors central bank policies aur economic data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain future movements ko gauge karne ke liye, US jobs report aur both central banks se further monetary policy adjustments par significant attention de rahe hain

Monday se humaray pass hourly timeframe par aik sell signal tha, jo kay brown bar say mark kiya gaya hai, jisme choti si potential target 146.458 thi. Is kay ilawa, aik expansion bhi complete ho chuki thi. Iska matlab hai kay upper boundary par aik deviation ke baad, currency pair ne downward move kia aur lower boundary par deviation complete kiya. Abhi tak yeh pattern ke andar hi hai. Main aam tor par expansion formations ko trend ke haq mein dekhta hoon. Is waqt, USDJPY ka recent trend bearish hai, khas tor par agar 4-hour aur daily timeframe dekha jaye. Lekin abhi tak koi sell pattern nahi bana hai. Jee haan, humay aik naya support level fractals par milta hai, magar hamein expansion ko decline ki pehli wave nahi samajhna chahiye. Agar currency pair 145.155 ka level update karta hai, to yeh 1-2-3 structure banaayega jo descending waves ka hoga, aur southward movement ki possibility barha dega. Pehle chart mein hum dekhte hain kay hourly signal par jo rise hua tha, wo perfect ho gaya - jo kay green bar say dikhaya gaya hai aur target 148.484 tha. Aik higher timeframe par buy signal bhi hai 4-hour chart par - jo kay gray bar say dikhaya gaya hai. Iska target level 152.741 hai, magar completion abhi tak clear nahi hai. Mazeed, last sell signal jo 1-hour timeframe par tha, wo bhi complete ho chuka hai. 4-hour chart par aik sell signal bhi hai, jo kay buy signal kay opposite hai same timeframe par.

Main ne potential decline ko purple bar ke sath second chart par mark kiya hai, jo kay 143.295 ka target hai. Mera khayal hai kay yeh targets tab relevant honge jab currency pair 145.186 ke level ke neeche giray aur third wave of decline ko confirm kare. Graphically, Maine in conditions ko blue mein highlight kiya hai. Is scenario mein, remaining downside potential kareeb 190 pips ho gi - jo kay aik acha movement hai