usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY H4 (US Dollar - Japanese Yen). Sab ko as-salam-o-alaikum aur aap sab ko bahut saari duaein! Meri trading strategy jo Hicken Ashi, TMA aur RSI indicators ko combine kar ke bani hai, mujhe batati hai ke ab currency pair/instrument bechnay ka waqt aa gaya hai, kyun ke system ke consensus indicators ke mutabiq bears dominate kar rahe hain. Hicken Ashi candles, jo traditional Japanese candles ke mukhtalif hote hain aur smooth aur average price movements dikhatay hain, in se reversal moments, corrective rollbacks aur impulse shootouts asani se pata chalte hain. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi chart par moving average ke basis par current support aur resistance lines draw karta hai, jo asset ke movement range ko dikhata hai. Signal ko final filter aur deal band karne ke liye RSI oscillator ka istemal hota hai, jo traded pair ke overbought aur oversold zones ko batata hai. Aise trading instruments ka intikhab technical analysis ke process ko behtar banata hai aur galat market entries se bachata hai




Is tarah ke indicators ke combination se chart par ek situation utpann hoti hai jab candles red ho jate hain, iska matlab bullish mode ke bajaye ab bearish mode ko pasand kiya jata hai, aur isliye short trade ke liye market mein dakhil hone ka waqt hota hai. Prices ne linear channel ke upper limit (neeli dotted line) ko cross kiya hai, lekin lowest level tak pohanchne ke baad unho ne ise jump karke channel ke center line (peeli dotted line) ki taraf rukh badla. Direction badal gaya hai. Aap dekh sakte hain ke basement RSI indicator (14) bhi sell signal ko accept kar raha hai, kyun ke short position select karne se yeh contradictory nahi hai - is ki curve downward hai aur oversold level ke upar hai, magar kaafi door tak. Main nateeja nikalta hoon ke ab bechna sab se zyada kaam karne wala hai, aur is liye short deal open karna bilkul justified hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke channel ke lower border (neeli dotted line) par jo price quote 154.520 hai, wahan profit milay ga. Jab order profitable zone mein shift ho jaye, toh us position ko breakeven par laana munasib hai, kyun ke market hamari expectations ko false moves se disrupt karne mein bohat dilchaspi rakhta hai.

mara mawaad USD/JPY currency pa live pricing ko decode karne par mabni hai. USD/JPY pair is waqt ek descending channel mein trade kar raha hai aur downward trend ko maintain kar raha hai. Pair ne EMA 50 se bounce back kiya hai aur ab 145.35 ke critical support level ko target kar raha hai. Yeh level pehle hi test kiya ja chuka hai, jo is baat ka signal hai ke pair agle targets 143.99 aur 142.14 ki taraf further decline kar sakta hai. Isi liye, recommendation yeh hai ke selling par focus karna chahiye, aur stop-loss resistance 146.59 ke upar set karna chahiye.
USD/JPY ne kal ke lows ko hit karne ke baad ek correction phase mein entry ki hai. Aaj market Federal Reserve se ahem khabron ka intezar kar raha hai, khaas tor par minutes release aur labor market data ki revision ka. Yeh data agar significant revise hota hai, to iska asar zyada ho sakta hai, jisse speculation shuru ho sakti hai ke September mein Fed 50-point ka rate cut karega, jo dollar ki weakness ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Abhi ke analysis ko dekhte hue, NPI with Distances indicator ke zariye buying opportunities sabse faydemand strategy hai. Zigzag indicator bhi upward trend show kar raha hai, jo long positions ki taraf trade karne ko reinforce karta hai. Saath hi oscillators bhi buyers ke liye favorable zone mein hain, is liye mein apni position ko 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ke 152,299 price level tak maintain karne ka plan bana raha hoon.

Recent hafton mein price drop chhota raha hai, jo ek prolonged upward trend ke baad aaya hai. Aaj ke din ki news limited hai, sirf Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ke minutes ka release hai jo shaam mein hoga. Magar yeh news critical nahi hai kyun ke minutes mein interest rate ka faisla shamil nahi hoga.

Yen ka price 149.20 level tak utha tha lekin phir is level ko retest karne ke baad drop ho gaya. Is bullish movement ne signal diya ke 139.90 support level cross ho sakta hai. Pichle trading week mein Japanese yen ne apna upward correction continue rakha aur naye local highs tak pohoch gaya. Price 149.19 par ruk gayi, jahan resistance mila, phir bounce back hui aur signal zone ke neeche height lose karne lagi. Ab tak expected downside scenario materialize nahi hua, aur chart supertrend red zone mein wapas aa gaya hai jo increased seller activity indicate karta hai.

USD/JPY pair ne Wall Street ke trading open hone ke baad se fall karna shuru kar diya hai, jo ke US Treasury yields se direct correlation ki wajah se hai, jo weaker dollar ki wajah se giri hain. Pair 146.58 tak gir gaya jabke pichle din ki closing 147.53 thi. High for the day 148.05 tha aur low 145.18 tak gaya. US Treasury yields ke Monday ke din girne se dollar ke against losses reflect h

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Short-Term Bullishness ko Long-Term Bearish Outlook mein Navigate Karna

Is analysis mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki technical aspects mein ghuste hain, iski current market behavior aur potential future movements ki insights offer karte hain. Latest data ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair mixed technical landscape mein navigate kar raha hai, short-term bullish trend ko long-term bearish outlook ke sath contrast karte hue.

*Current Price aur Moving Averages*

Analysis ke waqt, USD/JPY pair 50-day moving average (MA50) se upar trade kar raha hai lekin 200-day moving average (MA200) se neeche hai. Yeh setup short-term aur long-term trends mein divergence ko indicate karta hai. Khaskar, price MA50 se upar hone se immediate upward momentum ka suggestion hai, short-term mein bullish bias ko hint karte hue. Lekin, price MA200 se neeche hone se broader context mein bearish sentiment ko underscore karta hai, jo pair ke key resistance levels ko approach karne par phir se assert ho sakta hai.

*Trend Analysis*

USD/JPY pair ki current positioning MA50 se upar short-term strength ko reflect karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ki buyers currently control mein hain, price ko higher drive karte hue. Lekin, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye jab price MA200 ko approach karta hai. Historically, MA200 significant trend indicator hai; agar price is level se upar break nahi karta hai, to yeh broader downtrend ki resumption ko signal kar sakta hai, sellers ko dominance regain karne ke liye.

*Support aur Resistance Levels*

Key support aur resistance levels USD/JPY pair ki next move ko determine karne mein crucial hain:

- *Support*: Immediate support level MA50 ke qareeb hai. Agar price is level se neeche drop karta hai, to yeh short-term bullish scenario ko negate kar sakta hai aur further declines ki taraf pave kar sakta hai. Yeh support level bulls ke liye critical line of defense hai aur isko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

- *Resistance*: Upside par, resistance 148.50 to 149.00 range mein expected hai. Agar price is levels se upar break karta hai, to yeh further buying opportunities ko signal kar sakta hai, potentially higher resistance zones ki retest ko lead karte hue. Lekin, agar price is levels se upar nahi nikalta hai, to yeh reversal ko trigger kar sakta hai, longer-term bearish outlook ko reaffirm karte hue.

*Technical Indicators*

*Relative Strength Index (RSI)* bhi key indicator hai. Agar RSI 50 se upar hai, to yeh typically bullish momentum ko confirm karta hai, further gains ke liye case ko support karte hue. Lekin, agar RSI overbought territory mein enter karta hai (70 se upar), to yeh suggest kar sakta hai ki pair correction ke liye due hai, bullish momentum ko overextended hone ke karan

Aaj mein W1 chart ke senior period par ghore karne ka mashwara deta hoon - USDJPY currency pair. Yahan aap dekh sakte hain ke is pair ki price ka mustaqil girawat jaari hai.





Mein soch sakta hoon un bechne walon ka haal jo apne paas kaafi paisa nahi rakh sakay taake is pair ki girawat ko bardasht kar saken, kyun ke intezar ka zamana khatam ho gaya hai aur girawat ka silsila shuru ho gaya hai, price hamesha ke liye upar nahi ja sakti thi. MACD indicator ne girawat ka ishara diya tha, jis par ek bara bearish divergence bana, jo itne bara time interval par kafi kam hota hai, yeh ek saal mein
sirf ek martaba hota hai, ya phir is se bhi kam. Maximum ke akhri update par bhi, second istamal honay wala indicator CCI par ek bearish divergence bana. Yeh sab us waqt tasdeek hui jab price ne reversal figure se niche nikala - ek ascending wedge. Iske baad price gir gayi, apne raste par sab obstacles ko torhti hui, aur un par sirf thode waqt ke liye rukki. Pehle yahan ka main support level 152.16 tha, halan ke upar rebound hua, magar phir bhi sellers ke pressure se gir gaya. Uske baad, jaisa ke expect kiya gaya tha, hum ascending support line tak pohnche, lekin yeh koi khas rebound nahi de sakti thi, yeh niche dhakel di gayi largely due to US mein Friday ke bure khabar ki wajah se, US dollar market mein kamzor ho gaya. Non-agricultural employment rate waqi se kafi bura tha. US mein unemployment rate ek dam se 0.2 points barh gaya. Nai hafta shuru hui aur price ne aage niche ka rukh liya bina kisi upward correction ka sochay. Hum horizontal support level 140.81 ke kareeb pohnch gaye. Thoda kam tha, well, shayad ab bhi is level ka pass aur specific test ho sakta hai. Iske qareeb, mere khayal se hum choti period par upwards entry consider kar sakte hain taake ek possible upward correction ka part le sakein. Aaj ki noteworthy news: 16-45 Moscow time: US Services Business Activity Index, US Composite Business Activity Index (PMI) from S&P Global. 17-00: US Non-Manufacturing Employment Index (ISM), US Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (ISM), US Non-Manufacturing Pric

lutf utha rahe hain. USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor





ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide kar sakte hain

USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86

USD/JPY ne record high touch kiya, jo rapid increase ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh profit-taking ka potential opportunity suggest karta hai. US session se pehle decline ka chance bhi ho sakta hai. Furthermore, moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout bearish pressure ko indicate karta hai. Hourly chart analysis ke mutabiq, aur 15-minute chart pe, decline ka possibility bhi hai kyunki moving average current price ke upar hai, jo bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai for USD/JPY pair, potentially higher zone mein move karne ka. Iss week ka trend pattern uptrend aur narrow range ko indicate karta hai. Relatively modest upward rally ke madde nazar, yeh increase agle hafte tak continue ho sakti hai, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karenge. Morning candlestick 100-period simple moving average ke upar close hui, jo market trend ke rise ko suggest karti hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone surpass kar sakein... Is waqt, USD/JPY trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko show karta hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke continue hone ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance break karna hoga, jo trading channel ko open karega continuation ka potential dega. Pehla target supply zone hoga 160.47 pe, jahan historically sellers ne price down push kiya tha. Reverse movement towards short side bhi possible hai, lekin bears ko pehle 160.24 support break karna hoga, jahan se price aksar bounce back hoti hai. Bears ki strength tab confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke neeche consolidate ho jaye, jo price weakness ko indicate karega. USD/JPY market mein. Yeh khas tor pe pichlay Wednesday ko evident tha, jab price significant downward movement experience hui thi us trading session ke doran. Chhoti timeframe mein, price position monitor hui hai aur abhi Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai 50 period ke liye aur slight correction upward hui hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke around consolidate kare gi, kyun ke aise conditions aksar Tuesday ko hoti hain jab market activity relati

. Yahan par aap dekh sakte hain ke is pair ki keemat ka lagataar girna jaari hai. Mai andaza laga sakta hoon ke un sellers kaise mehsoos kar rahe hain jinhon ne drawdown ke dauran is pair ko hold karne ke liye kaafi paisa nahi tha, kyun ke intezar ke baad girawat aakhir kaar shuru hui hai. Keemat hamesha ke liye upar nahi ja sakti thi. MACD indicator ne girawat ka ishara diya tha, jismein aik bara bearish divergence bana tha, jo ke itne bara time interval mein kafi rare hota hai, yeh saal mein sirf aik baar ya isse bhi kam hota hai. Jab aakhri baar maximum update hui thi, to doosre istamal hone wale indicator CCI par bhi bearish divergence bana tha. Yeh sab phir reversal figure - ek



ascending wedge - se neechay nikalne par confirm ho gaya. Uske baad, keemat ne niche girna shuru kar diya, apne raaste mein saari rukavaton ko todte hue, aur wahan par thodi dair ke liye ruk gayi. Pehle, yahan par main support level 152.16 tha, jisne thoda rebound kiya, lekin phir bhi sellers ke pressure ke neeche aa gaya. Uske baad, jaisa ke umeed thi, hum ascending support line tak pohnche, lekin usne zyada rebound nahi diya, yeh aksar US mein Friday ko aane wali kharab khabron ki wajah se hua, jisse US dollar market mein overall kamzor ho gaya. Non-agricultural employment rate umeed se kafi kharab nikla. US mein berozgari ka rate aik hi baar mein 0.2 points barh gaya. Nai haftay ki shuruaat hui aur keemat aur neeche gir gayi, bilkul bhi upar jane ki soch bhi nahi. Hum lagbhag horizontal support level 140.81 tak pohnch gaye. Bas thodi si kami reh gayi, shayad abhi bhi pass ho aur is level ka specific test ho jaye. Is ke kareeb, mai sochta hoon ke choti periods par upar enter karna consider kiya ja sakta hai taake expected upward correction ka kuch hissa liya ja sake. Aaj ke liye jo news note ki ja sakti hain: 16-45 Moscow waqt: US Services Business Activity Index, US Composite Business Activity Index (PMI) S&P Global se. 17-00: US Non-Manufacturing Employment Index (ISM), US Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (ISM), US Non-Manufacturing Price Index (ISM)

USD/JPY H4 time frame chart par, USD/JPY currency pair aik corrective phase se guzar raha hai, aur hal filhal yen ya dollar par koi bara news impact nahi hai. Is correction ke bawajood, yeh imkaan hai ke market Thursday tak bearish trend ko continue kare. Market ke potential direction ko samajhne ka raaz US unemployment claims data ke




dynamics mein chhupa hai, jo labor market ki current state par insights de sakta hai. Agar data labor market ki weakness ko dikhata hai, toh yeh USD/JPY pair ke liye bearish sentiment ko support karega. Lekin, abhi haal hi mein US unemployment claims data ke results anticipated se behtar aaye hain. Is unexpected positive outcome ne US dollar ko boost diya hai, jiski wajah se yen ke muqable mein dollar ki qeemat barh gayi hai. Data ka behtar performance yeh darshata hai ke labor market expected se zyada behtar halat mein ho sakta hai, jo dollar ki mazid taqat ko barha sakta hai. Traders aur analysts in developments ko qareebi se monitor karenge taake USD/JPY pair ke future trajectory ka andaza laga sakein. Hamesha ki tarah, market participants ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur currency movements ko influence karne wale immediate aur broader economic factors par ghour karna chahiye. Agar traders is trend se faida uthana chahte hain, toh 145.22 zone ek key area ke tor par saamne aata hai, jahan short positions kholne ka socha ja sakta hai. Yeh level broader market trend ke sath align karta hai aur un logon ke liye aik strategic entry point offer karta hai jo bearish movement ke direction mein trade karna chahte hain. Lekin, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke yeh note kiya jaye ke downward trend ke dobara shuru hone se pehle aik chhoti si upward correction ho sakti hai. Aisi correction sellers ke liye aur bhi behtar entry point provide kar sakti hai jo market ke bearish side mein shamil hona chahte hain. Nateeja yeh ke, USD/JPY pair H4 timeframe par firmly bearish trend mein hai, aur technical indicators aur market conditions mazid declines ki taraf ishara karte hain. Traders ko 145.22 zone par selling opportunities ke liye nazar rakhni chahiye, jabke short-term corrections ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye jo downtrend ke dobara shuru hone se pehle ho sakti hain. Overall sentiment bearish hi hai, aur jab tak price 100 SMA ke neeche rehti hai, further downside movement ke imkaanat baray rehte hain

USD/JPY currency pair mein anticipated bearish trend ek plausible scenario hai, lekin is trend ko fully materialize hone se pehle, hum ek notable upward movement dekh sakte hain. Yeh potential upswing brief strengthening of U.S. dollar se drive ho sakta hai, jo catalyst ke taur par kaam karta hai, pair ko short term mein higher push karta hai. Aisa movement traders ko yeh sochna ke liye lure kar sakta hai ki bullish momentum continue hogi, lekin market later reverse ho jayegi, anticipated decline ko lead karti hai.
Yeh situation traders ke liye caution ka message deta hai, kyunki market is period mein significant volatility exhibit kar sakta hai. Upward push sharp aur sudden ho sakta hai, false signals ke conditions create karta hai, especially unke liye jo short positions mein prematurely enter karna chahte hain. Yeh essential hai ki yeh upward movement broader bearish outlook ko negate nahi karta, lekin temporary phase ho sakta hai jo short-term factors se drive hota hai, jaise U.S. se positive economic data ya brief shift in investor sentiment towards risk assets.

Is context mein, key levels to watch yeh hain ki USD/JPY pair apne upward move ke dauran kis resistance zone ko approach karta hai. Agar pair in levels ko break karne mein struggle karta hai aur exhaustion ke signs deta hai, toh yeh expected downward trend ka precursor ho sakta hai. Conversely, sustained break above in resistance levels bearish outlook ki reassessment ko require kar sakta hai, kyunki yeh stronger bullish momentum ko indicate kar sakta hai.

Unke liye jo is period mein trade karna chahte hain, trend reversal ki confirmation ke liye wait karne ka strategy prudent ho sakta hai. Yeh bearish signals ke liye look out karne ko involve kar sakta hai, jaise bearish engulfing pattern, key support levels ke below break, ya momentum indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) mein divergence. Aise signals anticipated bearish trend ki confirmation ko provide kar sakte hain.

Summary mein, while USD/JPY pair ke broader outlook bearish hai, traders ko potential upward move ke liye taiyar rehna chahiye pehle downtrend resumes. Yeh period increased volatility aur false signals ke risk ko bring kar sakta hai, making it crucial market ko caution aur patience se approach karne ke liye

Mere specialized analysis ke ground par, usdjpy currency pair ki movement ko lekar, mere hisab se yeh abhi bhi relatively deeply correct hone ki tendency rakhata hai 148.60 ke price par. Yeh isliye hai ki H1 time frame mein usdjpy currency pair ki movement ne bearish candle gulfing form kiya hai, jo ki USDJPY ko 148.60 ke price par vend karne ke liye veritably strong signal hai. Aur, RSI 14 index par mere observation mein, yeh pata chalta hai ki USDJPY ki price 149.32 par overbought declare ki gayi hai ya buying se too much impregnated hai, taaki yeh veritably likely hai ki abhi USDJPY ko relatively deeply correct kiya jayega 148.60 ke price par.






USDJPY ko vend karne ka signal SNR aur Fibonacci styles ke use se bhi support kiya jata hai, kyunki jab USDJPY ki price 149.120 par enter hoti hai, to yeh formerly SBR area mein hai, taaki merchandisers ko yeh veritably possible hai ki USDJPY ko 148.60 ke price par vend kar sakte hain. Mere specialized analysis ke results, maine decide kiya hai ki USDJPY ko 148.60 ke price par vend kiya jaye.

Yeh currency pair relatively high history par move kiya hai, jahan request ke opening par yeh 147,154 par tha aur ab yeh much advanced hai 151,499 ke target position par, aur is autumn ke liye yeh likely hai ki yeh first correct kiya jaye, kam se kam yeh position 148,125 par look karega, taaki aapko yeh chance mile ki yeh price move down correction par. Staples main plan kar raha hoon ki 146,320 par position par rakhi jaye aur profit target agar yeh position 151.50 ko exceed karta hai to provision pursue karke 155,345 par position par rakhi jaye

• USD

USDJPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen):

Currency pair/instrument ke liye H1 timeframe par ek bahut favorable trading situation unfold ho raha hai profitable selling trade initiate karne ke liye. Teen indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color analysis ke liye use kiye jaa rahe hain, jo humein most advantageous quotes par short positions open karne ki ijazat dega.

Market mein most promising entry point choose karne ke liye, kuch important conditions ko check karna zaroori hai. Sabse pehle, higher timeframe H4 par current trend ko correctly identify karna zaroori hai, taaki market sentiment ko determine karne mein mistake na ho, jo financial losses ka cause ban sakta hai.

Hum apne instrument ki 4-hour timeframe chart ko study karenge aur dekhenge ki key condition meet hai - H1 aur H4 time periods par trend movements coincide hona chahiye. Isse hum yeh ensure kar sakte hain ki today market humein selling trade mein enter hone ka excellent opportunity de raha hai.

Further analysis mein, hum indicators ke signals par rely karenge. Jaise hi Hama aur RSI indicators red mein change honge, yeh bearish interest ka main confirmation hoga aur yeh fact ki sellers market par dominate kar rahe hain. Jaise hi indicators color change karte hain, hum market mein enter karte hain aur selling trade open karte hain.

Position ko close karne ka point magnetic levels indicator readings par based hoga. Is waqt, most promising levels signal execution ke liye yeh hain - 144.159. Necessary targets achieve karne ke baad, price behavior ko chart par carefully monitor karna zaroori hai, aur decide karna ki next magnetic level tak position ko leave karna hai ya already obtained profit ko lock karna hai. Agar potential profit ko increase karne ki desire hai, to trailing stop use ki ja sakti hai

aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke

liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide kar sakte hain
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USD/JPY currency pair ne economic aur geopolitical factors ki wajah se significant fluctuations experience ki hain. 5 August ko, yen ne 7 mahine ki high par strengthen kiya jab Japanese authorities ne currency market mein intervene kiya, approximately 5.53 trillion yen spend kiya currency ko support karne ke liye. Yeh intervention partially 10-year Japanese government bond ki yield mein drop se drive kiya gaya, jo 0.8% se below gir gaya Federal Reserve ki expectations ke baad ki aggressive interest rate cuts karne ke liye weak US jobs data ke baad.

Usi din, Bank of Japan ne unexpected rate hike announce kiya, apne benchmark interest rate ko 0.25% par raise kiya aur economic conditions supportive rehne par rates ko continue raise karne ki willingness show ki. Yeh move Japan ki economic challenges ke baad aaya, jaise private consumption mein decline aur economy mein contraction.

US ne disappointing economic data ka saamna kiya, jaise weak manufacturing PMI aur economic slowdown ki concerns. Yeh factors, US stock futures mein decline aur USD/JPY pair par pressure add karne ke liye lower-than-expected US earnings reports ke saath, Federal Reserve ki commentary ne US labor market ko protect karne ki bat ki, jo aggressive rate cuts ko delay kar sakti hai.



Overall, hawkish stance aur Fed ki cautious approach ne economic uncertainties ke beech volatile environment create kiya hai USD/JPY pair ke liye. Investors central bank policies aur economic data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain future movements ko gauge karne ke liye, US jobs report aur both central banks se further monetary policy adjustments par significant attention de rahe hain.

Forecast & Trading Strategy:

Aaj, main US dollar index ko good value par dekh raha hoon. Isliye, USD/JPY ne 146.00 ki high ko break kiya. Is level ko break karne ke baad, humne quote ko broken resistance par dekh kar rebound kiya. Yeh means US dollar Japanese yen ke against stronger ho raha hai. Daily chart mein do bottoms current price level ke near hain, jo currency price ke resistance act karte hain.

USD/JPY ke current price analysis pe focus karte hain. USD/JPY abhi 146.149 par trade kar raha hai. Yeh behtareen waqt hai market price par sell karne ka. Din ke shuru hone se jo distance hai us se lagta hai ke buying momentum near hai, jo sellers ke liye favorable conditions bana raha hai. Agar hum market mein 146.149 par enter karein, to stop loss 146.174 ke aas-paas hona chahiye. Ideal profit target is trade ke liye strong support level 145.192 ke near hona chahiye. Is level tak pahunchne ke baad, sho
rt positions ko close karna samajhdari hogi, kyunki uske baad price upside ke liye rebound kar sakti hai. Yeh rebound ascending channel ke lower boundary tak pahunch sakta hai, aur price correction continue kar sakti hai jab tak yeh pehli correction wave ke upper point 147.322 tak nahi pahunchti. Yahan se downward rebound expect kiya ja sakta hai, lekin is rebound ki strength uncertain hai.

Ab H4 time frame pe shift kiya gaya hai, jahan is range ko rectangle se highlight kiya gaya hai. Asian session ke dauran, price 144.91 tak briefly dip hui, jo indicate karta hai ke trading instrument holding pattern mein hai U.S. Federal Reserve ke minutes release se pehle. Yeh event medium-term movement ko trigger kar sakta hai. Abhi Japan se koi noteworthy event nahi aa raha, jo market pe high impact daal sakta hai. Price ek baar phir U.S. dollar ki resistance kar rahi hai. Fibonacci retracement levels ko analyze karte hue, 100% level break kar chuka hai aur 138.2% tak touch kar chuka hai, lekin 161.7% abhi tak untouched hai, standby mode mein hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke price apni decline ke dauran projected reversal zone tak pahunch chuki hai, ek baar rebound kar chuki hai, aur ab second rebound form kar rahi hai.