USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Main abhi USD/JPY pair ko D1 time frame mein dekh raha hoon, jahan iski price Thursday ko 144.40 par sharp decline ki. Lekin yeh 146.50 ke neeche fall hone ki sambhavna nahi hai. Iske alawa, US dollar index Ukraine aur Russian crisis ki geopolitical tensions ki wajah se sharp rise kiya hai. Thursday ko, USD/JPY 145.50 supply zone ke above recover karne ki sambhavna hai, long-term bulls profit karne ke saath. Isliye, USD/JPY ki price badhne ki sambhavna hai. Buyers 147.10 supply level ke above settle karke price ko January high 146.40 par boost kar sakte hain.

Main Bollinger Bands aur resistance levels 149.251, 150.855, 153.348, aur 153.720 par target kar raha hoon. Bulls ne aaj bearish trend line ko surpass kiya, jisse buying volume mein possible increase ka signal milta hai. Lekin agar bearish sell level 142.901 par hota hai, to yeh bearish trend ki taraf shift ka signal dega.

30-minute chart ka technical analysis reveal karta hai ki oscillator oversold conditions ko indicate karta hai, histogram uptrend mein shuru ho raha hai. Price ne 141.86 ka minimum level touch kiya, aur ab rise shuru kiya hai. Yeh green zone mein move karta hai aur red zone ko support level ke taur par use kar sakta hai. Price fully green zone ko navigate kar sakta hai aur apne previous sideways range mein return kar sakta hai, support 153.11 aur resistance 154.71 ke saath.

Prices currently weekly lows ke near sharply lower trade kar rahi hain. Important support areas abhi untested hain, lekin phir bhi hold kar rahi hain, downside ko significant banati hain. Current phase ki corrective recovery ne apne continuation ke potential ko exhaust kar liya hai 145.81 level par, jahan main resistance zone currently expected hai. Is level ka retest aur subsequent reversal down new wave ko pave kar sakta hai 137.72 aur 135.18 areas par target karne ke liye

USD/JPY ne record high ko chhoo liya hai, jo ke ek tezi se izafa ko darshata hai, aur yeh profit-taking ka potential moqa bhi de sakta hai. Mazid yeh bhi mumkin hai ke US session se pehle kuch decline dekhne ko mile. Moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout ne bearish pressure ko darshaya hai. Agar hourly chart analysis aur 15-minute chart ka jayeza liya jaye, to yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke current price ke upar moving average hone ke sabab, USD/JPY pair mein bullish trend ke continuation ka imkaan hai, jo ke ek higher zone tak ja sakta hai. Is hafte ke trend pattern mein ek narrow range mein uptrend ka zikar hai. Iss modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, yeh izafa agle hafte tak barqarar reh sakta hai, aur prices uptrend ko maintain kar sakti hain.

Subah ki candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo ke market trend mein izafa ka ishara hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko paar kar lein... Abhi ke doran USD/JPY apni trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki taqat ko darshata hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke barqarar rehne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance level ko break karna hoga, jo ke trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke liye movement ka potential faraham karega. Pehla target supply zone 160.47 par ho ga, jahan historically sellers ne prices ko niche dhakela hai.

Ek reverse movement towards short side bhi mumkin hai, magar bears ko pehle 160.24 support level ko break karna hoga, jahan se aksar price ne bounce back kiya hai. Bear strength us waqt confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke niche consolidate karegi, jo ke price weakness ko darshata hai.

Yeh khaas tor par USD/JPY market mein pichlay Wednesday ke doran dekha gaya jab price ne us trading session mein significant downward movement kiya. Choti time frame mein, price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai, jo ke ek slight upward correction ko darshata hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke ird gird consolidate ho jaye, kyun ke yeh conditions aksar Tuesdays ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai.

Agar H1 timeframe mein market trend conditions ka jaiza liya jaye, to yeh clear hai ke yeh filhal ek downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Iss hafte ka trend thora bearish hai, bawajood iske ke USD/JPY pair ne July 2024 ke aaghaz mein trading sessions ke baad upward move kiya. Yeh imply karta hai ke agar USD/JPY is level ke niche hold nahi kar sakta, to yeh agle support levels ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ke mumkinan 168.00 ya is se niche ho sakti hain. Agar support hold karta hai, to ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair previous highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke aas paas hain.

D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, to yeh bullish trend continuation ko darshata hai. Magar agar yeh moving average ke niche trading ko sustain karta hai, to yeh trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka ishara ho sakta hai

USD/JPY H4 time frame chart par, USD/JPY currency pair ek corrective phase se guzar raha hai, aur halan ke yaqeenan koi significant news yen ya dollar par asar nahi kar rahi hai. Is prevailing correction ke bawajood, yeh possibility hai ke market Thursday tak bearish trend continue kar sakta hai. Market ke potential direction ko samajhne ka raaz US unemployment claims data ki dynamics mein chhupa hai, jo ke labor market ki current state par insights de sakta hai. Agar data labor market ke weakness ko continue dikhata hai, to yeh aam tor par USD/JPY pair ke liye bearish sentiment ko support karega.

Lekin, US unemployment claims data ke recent release mein results anticipated se zyada favorable aaye. Is unexpected positive outcome ne US dollar ko boost diya, jis se yeh yen ke against appreciate kar gaya. Data ka better-than-expected performance yeh indicate karta hai ke labor market shayad pehle se ziada healthy state mein ho sakta hai, jo ke dollar ko strengthen kar sakta hai. Traders aur analysts in developments ko closely monitor karenge taake USD/JPY pair ke future trajectory ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Hamesha ki tarah, market participants ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur currency movements par asar dalne wale immediate aur broader economic factors ko consider karna chahiye.

Traders jo is trend se faida uthana chahte hain, unke liye 145.22 zone ek key area ban kar samne aata hai short positions open karne ke liye. Yeh level broader market trend ke sath align karta hai aur un logon ke liye ek strategic entry point offer karta hai jo ongoing bearish movement ke direction mein trade karna chahte hain. Magar, yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke trend ke dobara downward course resume karne se pehle ek brief upward correction ho sakti hai. Aisi correction sellers ke liye aur bhi behtar entry point faraham kar sakti hai jo bearish side of the market mein shamil hona chahte hain.

Nateeja yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair firmly bearish trend mein hai H4 timeframe par, jahan technical indicators aur market conditions further declines ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Traders ko 145.22 zone par potential selling opportunities ke liye nazar rakhni chahiye, jab ke short-term corrections ko bhi madde nazar rakhna chahiye jo downtrend continue hone se pehle ho sakti hain. Overall sentiment bearish hai, aur jab tak price 100 SMA ke neeche rehta hai, further downside movement ke chances high rehte hain.

pyaare forum ke doston au duniya bhar ke visitors. Aap sab kaise hain? Umeed hai ke aap sab achi sehat mein hain aur apne trading activities ka lutf utha rahe hain. Aaj, main USD/JPY currency pair ka apna analysis aapke saath share karna chahta hoon. Pichle chand trading dinon se, USD/JPY pair ka overall behavior mein zyada tabdeeli nahi aayi hai, jo ke technical analysis ke mutabiq hai. Yeh pair ek achi tarah se defined range ke andar trade kar raha hai, jo ke consolidation ka dor darshata hai, clear trend direction nahi de raha. Yeh range-bound movement is baat ka izhaar karti hai ke market participants dekh rahe hain aur shayad aage chal kar economic data ya central bank signals ka intezar kar rahe hain, tab tak kisi significant move ki ummeed nahi.
Jab hum attached chart ko dekhte hain, kuch technical indicators khaas nazar aate hain. Sab se pehle, pair key support aur resistance levels ke aas paas ghoom raha hai, jahan na to bulls ko faida mil raha hai aur na hi bears ko. Yeh balance of power price ko relatively stable rakhta hai, lekin yeh bhi is baat ki nishani hai ke ek potential breakout aane wala hai jab ek catalyst samne aayega.

Moving averages, khaaskar 50-day aur 200-day, ab flat hain ya sirf thoda incline dikhate hain, jo ke strong directional bias ki kami ko confirm karta hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) neutral zone mein hai, lagbhag 50 ke aas paas, jo aam tor par dono directions mein momentum ki kami ko darshata hai. Yeh neutral RSI overall range-bound nature se milti hai, jo ke traders ke undecided hone ko darshata hai.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator bhi indecision ka wahi picture dikhata hai, jahan MACD line aur signal line closely intertwined hain, jo buyers aur sellers ke beech ongoing tug-of-war ko reflect karta

Morning candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo ke market trend mein rise ka ishara hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone se upar jaane mein kamiyab hote hain... Is waqt, USD/JPY apni trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance level ko todna hoga, jo trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke liye continued movement ka potential offer karega. Pehla target supply zone 160.47 par hoga, jahan historically sellers ne prices ko niche dhakela hai.
Reverse movement towards short side bhi possible hai, lekin bears ko pehle 160.24 support level ko todna hoga, jahan se price aksar wapas bounce hota hai. Bear strength us waqt confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke niche consolidate karega, jo ke price weakness ka ishara hoga.

Yeh khas taur par USD/JPY market mein pichle budh ko dekha gaya tha jab price ne trading session ke dauran significant downward movement experience kiya. Shorter time frame mein, price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai, jo ek slight upward correction ko dikhata hai. Yeh possible hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 area ke ird-gird consolidate kare, kyunki yeh conditions aksar Tuesday ko dekhi jaati hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai.

H1 timeframe mein market trend conditions ko observe karte hue, yeh clear hai ke abhi yeh downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend thoda bearish hai, ke bawajood ke USD/JPY pair ne July 2024 ke shuruati trading sessions ke baad upward move kiya. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold nahi kar pata, toh yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke possible 168.00 ya us se niche ho sakta hai. Agar support hold karta hai, toh ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair pehle ke highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke ird-gird ho sakte hain

Pura din yeh afwahayn chal rahi hain ke Fed minutes mein kya kuch samne aane wala hai, aur is se dollar ke maqable mein dosray major currencies ke muqablay mein mazid kamzori ho sakti hai. USD/JPY pair ke hawale se bohot kuch in minutes par depend karega, kyunke chart par price triangle bhi yeh ishara de raha hai ke inki release ke baad breakout ho sakta hai. Market ka reaction is aham information par kaise hoga, yeh abhi tak kahoof hai, is liye humein intezar karna hoga. Dollar par pressure kam ho sakta hai, jis se correction 148.09 tak ho sakti hai, lekin nateeja akhri tor par US regulator ke tone par hi depend karega. Currency pair ke hawale se, main sirf 143.01 ke recent low se hi kharidne ko tarjeeh doonga. Pound aur euro ke charts ke muqablay mein, jahan current price ke qareeb upward trend ka silsila jaari reh sakta hai, 145.85 ka level ek mazboot buy entry ke liye bohot risky lagta hai. Main 143.01 tak ke drop ka intezar karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur agar moqa munasib ho, to 149.89 tak ke profits target karne ka plan hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke bullish trend abhi tak barqarar hai, lekin pair ko 145.96-145.90 ke resistance zone ke upar position secure karna zaroori hai. Aise mein do scenarios samnay aa sakte hain: ya to USD/JPY pair agle haftay apni downward movement jaari rakhega ya phir is resistance ke upar stabilize hoke 151.85 ki taraf push karega. Is waqt mujhe market mein entry ke liye koi convincing moqa nazar nahi aa raha, is liye main agle haftay tak intezar karne aur situation ko doobara assess karne ka plan kar raha hoon. Information se waqif rehna traders ko apni positions mein bar waqt adjustments karne mein madad dega aur unki strategies ko naye information ke mutabiq relevant banaye rakhega. Umeed hai ke price aanay walay dinon mein sellers ke haq mein rahegi aur recent surprises ka silsila jaari rahega. US news mein surprises aam baat hai, jo is situation ko mazeed unpredictable banate hain. USD/JPY quotes ne descending wide channel mein triangle form karna jaari rakha hai. 148.01 ko test karne ke baad, rebound aur wapis 146.09 tak drop hone ke imkaniyat mazid strong hain. Aise significant decline ke liye mazeed negative news ki zaroorat hogi. Is haftay ka sab se aham waqia Fed ke minutes ka release hai. Pair ek critical level ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo

USD/JPY ka pair is hafte H4 timeframe par ek clear bearish trend dikha raha hai, jo apni downward momentum ko barhawa de raha hai aur 145.68 ke aham price zone ko break kar raha hai. Is girawat se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment barqarar hai, khaaskar jab price 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo traders ke liye market direction ka gauge hai. Current market conditions mein, jahan price 100 SMA ke neeche hai, bearish outlook mazid mazboot hota hai, yeh signal deta hai ke sellers ka control hai aur market trend pichle weekend se downward hai.
July se trading activity ko dekhte hue, yeh saaf hai ke market bearish trajectory par chal raha hai. Downward trend steady raha hai, aur agar pair girti rahi aur 144.96 price zone ko touch karti hai, to decline agle hafte tak extend ho sakti hai. Pichle hafte ki trading mein buyers ne price ko upar push karne ki koshish ki, lekin yeh efforts short-lived rahe. Price 149.36 area tak pohnchne ke baad koi upward momentum sustain nahi kar payi, aur phir reverse ho gayi, jis se bearish trend ka continuation ho gaya jo ab tak chal raha hai.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, downtrend pattern market ke movement ko mid-week mein strongly influence kar raha hai. Stochastic indicator, jo overbought ya oversold conditions ko identify karne ke liye popular tool hai, ne 20 zone ko touch kiya hai, jo market ke current bearish state ko signal karta hai. Price ne aaj subah se lower edge karna shuru kar diya hai, jo further downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Bearish momentum ke sath, sellers ke liye lower price areas target ban rahe hain jaise ke pair apni descent ko continue kar raha hai.

Traders jo is trend ka faida uthane ki soch rahe hain, unke liye 145.22 zone ek key area ban gaya hai jahan short positions open ki ja sakti hain. Yeh level broader market trend ke sath align karta hai aur un logon ke liye strategic entry point offer karta hai jo ongoing bearish movement ke direction mein trade karna chahte hain. Magar, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke short-term upward correction ho sakti hai isse pehle ke trend apne downward course ko resume kare. Aisi correction sellers ke liye ek aur behtar entry point provide kar sakti hai jo market ke bearish side join karna chahte hain.

Tuesday (August 20) ko US dollar yen ke muqablay mein 145.36 tak gir gaya, jabke ek din pehle 145.20 tak pohnch gaya tha, jo 7 August ke baad se sabse kam level hai. Foreign exchange market mein Tuesday ko, US dollar index ke further decline ne non-US currencies ko collectively uthane mein madad ki. Iska sabab yeh hai ke investors Wednesday ko US employment data revision aur is haftay ke baad Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ki Jackson Hole Economic Conference mein speech ka intezar kar rahe hain, ummeed hai ke interest rate cuts ke bare mein clearer information milegi.
Japan mein, Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ko Friday ko parliament mein question kiya jayega, jahan central bank ke pichle mahine interest rates barhane ka faisla discuss kiya jayega. Agle hafte data se yeh bhi expect kiya ja raha hai ke Japan ki consumer inflation July mein teesi baar barh gayi, jo Bank of Japan ko short-term interest rates 0.25% tak barhane ke baad ek aur rate hike consider karne ka mauka de sakta hai. Japan aur United States ke interest rate adjustments ke opposing directions ke sath, yen ko bullish positions se gradually zyada favor milne ki ummeed hai

Hello, dosto. Aap sab kaise hain? Yen ki qeemat barh kar 149.20 level tak pohanchi thi aur phir is level ko retest karte huye wapas gir gayi. Is bullish movement ne 139.90 support level ko cross karne ka signal diya. Pichle trading hafta mein Japanese yen ne apni upward correction jari rakhi aur naye local highs tak pohanch gayi. Price 149.19 par ruk gayi, jahan usay resistance ka samna hua, aur phir wapas bounce karte hue signal zone ke neeche gir gayi. Is tarah, expected downside scenario ab tak materialize nahi ho saka aur jari hai. Issi doran, price chart supertrend red zone mein wapas aa gaya, jo zyada seller activity ka izhar kar raha hai.

USD/JPY pair ne Wall Street ke trading ke aghaz se girawat dekhai, jo ke US Treasury yields ke sath direct correlation ki wajah se hui. Treasury yields mein girawat aayi, jo ke ek kamzor dollar ke bawajood thi. Pair ka price 146.58 tak gir gaya, jabke pichle din ka closing 147.53 tha. Din ka high 148.05 tha aur low 145.18. US Treasury yields ne Monday ko girawat dekhi, jo dollar ke muqable mein nuksan ko reflect kar rahi thi.

Abhi prices weekly lows ke thoda neeche trade kar rahi hain. Main resistance zone test kiya gaya, lekin breakout se bach gaya aur quotes ko wapas neeche khinch liya, is tarah downward vector ka priority barqarar rahi. Ab, intentions down ko confirm karne ke liye, 145.81 ke level ke neeche consolidation zaroori hai, jahan central resistance zone ki sarhad hai. Is level ka retesting aur us ke baad reversal neeche, 140.80 aur 137.72 ke darmiyan naye wave ka rasta khol dega

Morning candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo ke market trend mein rise ka ishara hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone se upar jaane mein kamiyab hote hain... Is waqt, USD/JPY apni trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance level ko todna hoga, jo trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke liye continued movement ka potential offer karega. Pehla target supply zone 160.47 par hoga, jahan historically sellers ne prices ko niche dhakela hai.
Reverse movement towards short side bhi possible hai, lekin bears ko pehle 160.24 support level ko todna hoga, jahan se price aksar wapas bounce hota hai. Bear strength us waqt confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke niche consolidate karega, jo ke price weakness ka ishara hoga.

Yeh khas taur par USD/JPY market mein pichle budh ko dekha gaya tha jab price ne trading session ke dauran significant downward movement experience kiya. Shorter time frame mein, price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai, jo ek slight upward correction ko dikhata hai. Yeh possible hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 area ke ird-gird consolidate kare, kyunki yeh conditions aksar Tuesday ko dekhi jaati hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai.

H1 timeframe mein market trend conditions ko observe karte hue, yeh clear hai ke abhi yeh downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend thoda bearish hai, ke bawajood ke USD/JPY pair ne July 2024 ke shuruati trading sessions ke baad upward move kiya. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold nahi kar pata, toh yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke possible 168.00 ya us se niche ho sakta hai. Agar support hold karta hai, toh ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair pehle ke highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke ird-gird ho sakte hain.

D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, agar yeh moving average ke neeche sustained trading hoti hai, toh yeh ek trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka ishara ho sakti hai

USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis

Guzaarish ke do dinon mein, USD/JPY currency pair ne economic aur geopolitical factors ki wajah se significant fluctuations experience ki hain. 5 August ko, yen ne 7 mahine ki high par strengthen kiya jab Japanese authorities ne currency market mein intervene kiya, approximately 5.53 trillion yen spend kiya currency ko support karne ke liye. Yeh intervention partially 10-year Japanese government bond ki yield mein drop se drive kiya gaya, jo 0.8% se below gir gaya Federal Reserve ki expectations ke baad ki aggressive interest rate cuts karne ke liye weak US jobs data ke baad.

Usi din, Bank of Japan ne unexpected rate hike announce kiya, apne benchmark interest rate ko 0.25% par raise kiya aur economic conditions supportive rehne par rates ko continue raise karne ki willingness show ki. Yeh move Japan ki economic challenges ke baad aaya, jaise private consumption mein decline aur economy mein contraction.

US ne disappointing economic data ka saamna kiya, jaise weak manufacturing PMI aur economic slowdown ki concerns. Yeh factors, US stock futures mein decline aur USD/JPY pair par pressure add karne ke liye lower-than-expected US earnings reports ke saath, Federal Reserve ki commentary ne US labor market ko protect karne ki bat ki, jo aggressive rate cuts ko delay kar sakti hai.

Overall, hawkish stance aur Fed ki cautious approach ne economic uncertainties ke beech volatile environment create kiya hai USD/JPY pair ke liye. Investors central bank policies aur economic data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain future movements ko gauge karne ke liye, US jobs report aur both central banks se further monetary policy adjustments par significant attention de rahe hain.

Forecast & Trading Strategy:

Aaj, main US dollar index ko good value par dekh raha hoon. Isliye, USD/JPY ne 146.00 ki high ko break kiya. Is level ko break karne ke baad, humne quote ko broken resistance par dekh kar rebound kiya. Yeh means US dollar Japanese yen ke against stronger ho raha hai. Daily chart mein do bottoms current price level ke near hain, jo currency price ke resistance act karte hain. Toh, 146.80 ke above break karne se humein buying opportunity milegi

USD/JPY pair ne apni downward trajectory ko continue kiya, jo ki strengthening US Dollar (USD) se largely influence kiya gaya tha. USD/JPY pair 141.71 ke new low par trade kar raha hai, jo level 1986 se nahi dekha gaya tha. Is trend ke bawajood, Japanese authorities ki verbal interventions yen ko kuch support offer kar sakti hain, potentially uski further decline ko curb kar sakti hain. USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:
USD ne teen din ki losing streak ko break kar diya, US Treasury yields mein rise ke wajah se. Ye increase growing expectations ke wajah se aya ki Federal Reserve 2024 mein interest rates ko cut kar sakta hai. Mary Daly, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco ki President, ne acknowledge kiya ki monetary policy ka effect hai, lekin ye uncertain hai ki rates ko lower karne ka waqt kab hoga. Daly ne emphasize kiya, "Agar inflation sticky ya slowly decline karti hai, to rates ko higher for longer hona hoga,” according to Reuters.

Market participants ab Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ki upcoming speech se insights ka wait kar rahe hain. Japan ke economic indicators ki taraf dekhte huye, Tankan Large Manufacturing Index ne second quarter mein 13 par uptick dekha, previous reading 11 se upar. Ye two saal mein highest level hai, improved economic outlook ko reflect karta hai. Lekin Japan ka Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI June ke liye revised slightly down 50 par kiya gaya, initial reading 50.1 se, lekin ye expansionary territory mein second consecutive month ke liye rehta hai.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:
USD/JPY pair 144.00 par trade kar raha hai. Hourly chart ko analyze karte huye, bullish trend dikhai deti hai, pair upper boundary of ascending channel pattern ke paas hai. Lekin traders ko caution exercise karni chahiye, kyunki 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 se upar hai, indicating ki asset overbought ho sakta hai. Ye suggests ki potential correction horizon par ho sakti hai. Agar USD/JPY pair ascending channel ki upper boundary ko breach karta hai approximately 144.70 par, to ye bullish sentiment ko bolster kar sakta hai aur pair ko psychological resistance level 147.00 ki taraf drive kar sakta hai

Kal, USD/JPY pair ne upar janay ki koshish ki thi, lekin ye ab bhi downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai aur Tuesday ki early Asian session mein takreeban 146.05 par trade kar raha hai. Pair ki ye recent decline aksar market mein badhti hui umeedon ki wajah se hai ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rate cut kar sakta hai. Yeh umeedein is liye barhti ja rahi hain kyun ke halia economic data se ye lag raha hai ke U.S. economy thodi slow ho rahi hai, jo ke Fed ko apni policy ko aur relaxed karne par majboor kar sakta hai.

Is soch ne U.S. dollar ko kamzor kar diya hai, kyun ke traders ab lower yields ko price karne lagay hain U.S. Treasury bonds par. Dollar ki kamzori mein mazeed izafa Fed ki next move ke hawale se uncertainty ki wajah se ho raha hai, jo ke currency ki global markets mein demand ko kam kar raha hai.

Dosri taraf, Japanese yen ko Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke hawkish stance se support mil raha hai. Fed ke baraks, BoJ apni current monetary policy ko maintain karne ke hawale se signal de raha hai, jisme low interest rates shamil hain takay economic recovery ko support kiya ja sake. Lekin halia remarks se yeh lagta hai ke BoJ officials kuch tightening ki taraf shift karne par ghour kar rahe hain, khas tor par agar Japan mein inflationary pressures barhte hain. BoJ ke is hawkish tone ne yen ko dollar ke muqable mein kuch taqat di hai, jo USD/JPY pair ki downward trajectory mein hissa le raha hai.

Ek aur factor jo yen ki taqat mein shamil hai, wo is currency ka safe-haven appeal hai. Jese jese global economic uncertainties barh rahi hain, khas tor par Chinese economy aur geopolitical tensions ke hawale se, investors safer assets jese yen mein refuge dhoondh rahe hain. Ye flight to safety USD/JPY pair par selling pressure mein izafa kar raha hai.

Agay dekha jaye to, focus upcoming U.S. economic data releases aur Federal Reserve ke policy outlook par hoga. Traders BoJ ke developments par bhi nazar rakhenge, khas tor par agar koi ziada aggressive policy stance ka signal milta hai. Ye dono central banks ke policies ke darmiyan ka interplay aglay hafton mein USD/JPY pair ki direction ko influence karne ke imkaanat rakhta hai.



USD/JPY pair ki recent decline ki wajah Fed ke September mein rate cut ki bets mein izafa hai, jis se U.S. dollar kamzor ho gaya hai. Wahi dosri taraf, Japanese yen ko BoJ ke hawkish stance aur global uncertainties ke dauran safe-haven appeal se support mil raha hai. Jab tak central bank policies ke hawale se mazeed wazehat nahi milti, USD/JPY pair mein volatility barqarar reh sakti hai.

Hamari tajziyat USD/JPY currency pair ke mojooda rawaiye par focus karti hai. Aik reliable forecast traders ko foran action lene ki ijaazat deta hai, bina kisi intezar ke. Har trader ko prediction skills develop karni chahiye ya ready-made forecasts ka istemal karna chahiye. Is se hum USD/JPY pair ke movement ko anticipate kar sakte hain, jo ke behtar trading opportunities aur market entry ka intezar kam karta hai. Prediction par based trading strategies implement karne se achi profits hasil ki ja sakti hain. Jab koi profitable trading aur career success ka maqsad rakhta hai to woh bahut satisfying hota hai. Lekin, Forex market mein forecasts mein absolute certainty nahi milti. Traders ko changing conditions ke saath adapt karna padta hai, kyun ke flexible approach aam tor par profitability laati hai, jo ke successful trading ka essence hai. USD/JPY pair ne 146.49 level ko test kiya hai, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ke sath align karta hai. Hum jald is level ka break dekh sakte hain, jo sellers ko 144.39 ke targets ki taraf push karne ka mauka dega.
Ek aur factor ye hai ke is trading week ki shuruat balance line ke neeche se hui hai, jo ke bearish sentiment ko badhata hai aur further decline ki probability ko increase karta hai. Pair ek descending channel ke andar hai. Halankeh abhi ye upar ki taraf badh raha hai, lekin isne channel ke upper boundary ko nahi chhua hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke pair 146.81 ki taraf badhega, jo ke channel ka upper limit hai. Is target tak pohnchne ke baad, ek reversal ho sakta hai, jo price ko lower boundary ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke 143.41 ke aas-paas hai. Aaj pair kaafi zyada gir gaya hai. Chart ye dikhata hai ke isne 147.39 aur 146.24 ke support levels ko break kiya hai, aur ab 146.55 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. RSI middle of its range ki taraf point kar raha hai, jo ke upward momentum suggest karta hai, jabke Awesome Oscillator (AO) buy signal de raha hai. In factors ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke price 147.29 resistance ko test karegi

USD/JPY pair ka current trend niche ki taraf shift ho gaya hai, jo ke bearish trading opportunities ka signal hai. Hafte ke shuru mein, pair ne 147.74 ka aik ahem support level break kiya, aur uske neeche stabilize ho gaya, jo ke bearish outlook ko confirm karta hai. Yeh movement traders ko agle support level 144.29 tak decline ki ummeed rakhne par majboor kar raha hai. Bearish trades ke liye, resistance level 148.52 ke thoda upar stop-loss set karna chahiye. USD/JPY pair ki technical analysis, jo ke Bollinger Bands aur vertical volume assessment ka istemal karke ki gayi hai, yeh dikhati hai ke pair abhi 146.434 par trade kar raha hai, isliye long position kholna faida mand ho sakta hai. Target price indicator ke upper band ke aas-paas 146.645 hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke nazar rakhein, kyun ke choti moti price adjustments ho sakti hain indicator ke realignment ke wajah se.
Pair ke behavior ko Bollinger Bands ke mid line ke aas-paas, jo ke 146.093 hai, monitor karna bhi zaroori hai. Agar reversal pattern ban jaye aur price 146.093 ke neeche chali jaye, to long positions ko minimal loss ke saath close karna aur sell position initiate karna behtar hoga. Agar sellers momentum gain kar lein aur price ko 146.093 ke neeche lekar chalein, to sales target lower Bollinger Band par 145.541 shift ho sakta hai. Market ki volatility aur traders ki active participation ko dekhte hue, flexible strategy adopt karna aur price changes ke liye turant respond karna zaroori hai. Filhal, USD/JPY pair apne opening level 147.94 ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 148.57 ke neeche hai. Key indicators bearish trend ko suggest karte hain, aur price MA 71 trend line ke neeche rehti hai, jahan volume aam tor par kam hota hai