usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

deceleration dikhate hain downward trajectory mein, jo ke possible reversal ki taraf ishara karte hain jo last Friday se manifest hona shuru hui thi. US dollar ka potential weakening yeh bullish outlook support karta hai. Mukhtalif economic indicators aur market sentiments bhi dollar ke retreat ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo USD/JPY pair ki upward movement ko further enhance karte hain. Jo traders is trend ko recognize karte hain, wo support level ke aas paas long positions enter kar ke anticipated upward movement ko capitalize kar sakte hain Market conditions for USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai. Apni trading strategy ko prevailing bullish trend ke sath align kar ke aur key economic indicators ke baray mein informed rah ke, hum apne potential for profit ko maximize kar sakte hain while risk ko effectively

USDJPY ka Fibonacci numbers ke zariye tajziya karna aik structured method hai jo trading opportunities ko pehchanne aur price movements ki forecasting ke liye madadgar sabit hota hai. Agar aap kal ke trading data par Fibonacci grid lagate hain, to aap technical analysis ke liye crucial levels ko pinpoint kar sakte hain. Fibonacci grid ko Daily high 146.622 (Fibonacci level 100) aur Daily low 141.695 (Fibonacci level 0) par set kiya gaya, jo key price points ko evaluate karne ka framework faraham karta hai.

Filhal, USDJPY 145.575 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke Fibonacci range 100-146.622 aur 50-144.159 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh buying pressure ke dominant hone ko zahir karta hai. Jo traders long positions consider kar rahe hain, unke liye critical Fibonacci levels 50-144.159, 61.8-144.740, aur 76.4-145.459 par nazar rakhni chahiye. Yeh behtari hogi ke positions ko projected levels 123.6-147.785 ya 138.2-148.504 tak reach hone tak hold rakha jaye. Risk ko mitigate karne ke liye, traders ko apni kuch positions ko close karna chahiye aur baaqi ko breakeven par set karna chahiye.

Agar price current bullish range se break out kar jaye, to yeh market sentiment mein potential reversal ka signal de sakta hai. Is surat mein, selling strategy mein transition karna munasib hoga. Fibonacci levels 50-144.159 aur 100-146.622 ke reverse side se pullbacks ko dekhna chahiye. Jo traders bearish stance adopt kar rahe hain, unke liye potential take-profit levels -23.6-140.532 aur -38.2-139.813 hosakti hain.




USDJPY trading mein Fibonacci levels ka istemal aik disciplined approach hai jo entries aur exits ko plan karne aur risk ko effectively manage karne mein madadgar hota hai. In Fibonacci projections ko follow karte hue, traders apne decisions ko solid technical analysis par base kar sakte hain, speculative guesses ke bajaye, jo unke trading strategy aur decision-making process ko behtar bana sakta hai.

USD/JPY Chart Review

Haftawar Tajziya
USD/JPY ke senior haftawar chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke pichlay kuch hafton mein is currency pair ki qeemat mein kafi tez girawat ayi hai. Kuch technical indicators bhi is girawat ki taraf ishara kar rahe thay, jin mein se sab se ahem MACD indicator par nazar anay wali bearish divergence thi. Dusra indicator jo istamal kiya gaya, CCI, us ne bhi upar bearish divergence dikhayi, magar woh thori si kamzor thi. Is girawat ke kuch buniyadi wajuhat bhi hain. Japan ka central bank apni qaumi currency ki kamzori se tang aa gaya tha, aur bazaar mein arbon inject karne ke bawajood kuch faida nahi hua, isliye unhoon ne interest rate mein izafa karna pada. Iske baad ek bade peemane par girawat shuru hui. Girawat ke doran, 151.92 ka level tor diya gaya aur phir ascending line bhi tor di gayi. Qeemat taqreeban 140.54 ke support level tak pohonch gayi thi, lekin us level ko chua nahi. Ab ek upward correction shuru hui hai aur aksar ye upar jaane ki umeed hai. Mera khayal hai ke toray gaye ascending line ko neeche se touch karna zaroori hai, khaaskar jab ke CCI indicator neeche overheating zone mein dakhil ho chuka hai. Mera khayal hai ke abhi mazeed girawat ke liye bechna jaldi hogi, mein samajhta hoon ke upar ka rollback is waqt se gehra hoga, yahan dekha ja sakta hai ke H4 par neeche ki taraf dubara banana hoga ya nahi, takay aage chal kar neeche kaam kiya ja sake. Agar aap din se chotay period par dekhen, to yeh dikhayi de raha hai ke CCI indicator neeche ke overheating zone se upar ki taraf jaana chahta hai aur is par ek growth ka signal hai - ek bullish divergence. Mujhe nazdeek mein koi ahem resistance levels nazar nahi aa rahe, is liye maine recent girawat par Fibonacci correction grid lagayi. Aap dekh sakte hain ke qeemat 23.6 ke level tak pohonch gayi thi aur thodi si wapas ayi hai. Mera khayal hai ke kam az kam 38.2 ke level tak growth hogi. Neeche se toray gaye line ka touch bhi hoga. Is zone mein aap already selling ke baray mein soch sakte hain.

Technical Analysis of Foreign Exchange Dollar/Yen

Japanese yen ne apni tez taraqqi jaari rakhi, aur ab ek dollar ke muqablay mein 141.68 yen tak pohonch gaya, jo ke January 2024 ke aghaz ke baad se sab se buland satah hai. Iska sabab yeh hai ke logon ka khayal hai ke Bank of Japan aney walay mahinon mein mazeed interest rates barha sakta hai, jab ke US Federal Reserve ke baray mein umeed hai ke woh mazeed tez raftari se rates mein kami karega. Yeh umeedain us waqt barh gayin jab kamzor jobs report ne America mein mandi ka khauf barhadiya, jisse bazaar mein September mein Fed ke 50 basis points ki rate cut ki pricing honay lagi.

Is doran, Bank of Japan ne pichlay haftay apna interest rate 0.25% tak barhaya aur yeh isharah diya ke agar economy mazboot rahi to woh mazeed rates barhane ke liye tayaar hai. Financial markets is fiscal year, jo March 2025 mein khatam ho ga, ke doran mazeed do rate hikes ki umeed kar rahi hain, jisme agla izafa December mein hona mutawaqqa hai. Central bank ne yeh bhi elaan kiya ke woh aglay do saal mein apni mahana bond khareedari ko adha kar dega.

Doosri taraf, data ne yeh dikhaya ke Japanese authorities ne July mein apni currency ko support karne ke liye 5.53 trillion yen kharch kiye.

10 saal ke Japanese government bond ke yield mein kami aayi aur woh 0.8% se neeche chala gaya, jo ke chaar mahinay ki kamzoor satah hai. Yeh kami US bond yields ke girnay ke doran hui, jab ke logon ka khayal hai ke Federal Reserve kamzor U.S. jobs data ke baad mazeed tez raftari se rates mein kami karega. Japanese government bond yields par yeh pressure safe-haven khareedari ke wajah se bhi tha, jo ke global stock selloff aur yen carry trade ke rapid unwinding ke doran barh gaya.

Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan ke bond purchases ko kam karne ke plans bazaar ki umeedon par pura nahi utaray. BOJ ne pichlay haftay kaha ke woh apni mahana bond purchases ko 2026 ke pehle quarter mein takreeban 3 trillion yen tak le ayega. Iska matlab hai ke har quarter mein 400 billion yen ki kami ki jayegi, jo ke umeed ke mutabiq har quarter mein takreeban 1 trillion yen ki kami se kam hai.

Lekin, Bank of Japan ne pichlay haftay apna interest rate 0.25% tak barhaya aur yeh isharah diya ke agar economy mazboot rahi to woh rates mazeed barhane ke liye tayaar hai.




USD/JPY ke Liye Aaj Ka Tajziya:

Neeche diye gaye daily chart ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ki qeemat mein girawat kaafi tez aur sakht thi, jo ke technical indicators ko strong oversold levels ki taraf dhakailnay ke liye kaafi thi. Agar selling 140.00 ke support level tak jari rehti hai, to mein samjhta hoon ke bina risk ke USD/JPY khareedne ka sochna behtar hai. Dosri taraf, jaise ke maine pehle kaha tha, 150.65 ka resistance level bull ke liye dobara qabza hasil karne mein ahem hoga. Currency pair central banks ki future policies aur investors ke risk lene ke shauq se mutasir hota rahega.

USDJPY Pair ka Technical Analysis

1-hour chart par, ab qeemat ke upar janay ka acha mauqa hai, kyun ke qeemat ko price channels aur weekly level 143.56 se support mil raha hai. Qeemat ne aaj apna trading descending price channels ke andar shuru ki, jo ke pichlay do dino ke doran qeemat ki movement ke direction ko represent karte hain, lekin aaj humein direction ko upar janay ki taraf badalne ki koshish dikhayi de rahi hai, aur ye koshish ab tak kamyab rahi hai.

Bhala yeh ke qeemat channels ke darmiyan upar neeche ho rahi hai, aur kal ke sab se buland trading prices ke darmiyan bhi, lekin jo abhi support level hai, woh qeemat ko phir se upar le a raha hai, takay qeemat sab se buland trading price ko todne ki koshish kar sake aur apni rising ko jaari rakh sake.

Is waqt trading ka mashwara yeh hai ke current level se weekly pivot level tak buy karein, aur stop-loss level ko 143.56 ke neeche set karein.

Economic side par, Japanese yen ki tez gains jaari hain, jo ke 141.70 tak pahunch gayi, aur January 2024 ke aghaz ke baad se apni sab se buland satah tak chali gayi, is umeed ke darmiyan ke Bank of Japan aney walay mahinon mein interest rates mazeed barhaega, jab ke US Federal Reserve se umeed hai ke woh interest rates mazeed tez raftari se kam karega. Yeh predictions us waqt samnay aayi jab kamzor jobs report ne United States mein recession ka khauf paida kiya, jis ke nateeja mein markets ne September mein Federal Reserve ke 50 basis point ke interest rate cut ko price in kar liya.

Is doran, Bank of Japan ne pichlay haftay apna benchmark interest rate 0.25% tak barhaya aur yeh isharah diya ke agar economy mazboot rahi to woh rates mazeed barhane ke liye tayaar hai. Financial markets is fiscal year ke doran mazeed do rate hikes ki umeed kar rahi hain jo March 2025 mein khatam hoga, jisme agla izafa December mein mutawaqqa hai. Central bank ne yeh bhi elaan kiya ke woh aglay do saal mein apni mahana bond purchases ko aadha kar dega.




Doosri taraf, data ne dikhaya ke Japanese authorities ne July mein apni currency ko support karne ke liye 5.53 trillion yen kharch kiye.

Jaise ke maine pehle bataya tha, mera main reference point senior time frame mein tha, jisme price ka behavior weekly chart ke hawale se dekha gaya tha. Yeh yad dilata chaloon ke sab se pehle price action ka method use kiya gaya tha. Jahan candlestick pattern, "Evening Star", ne steep decline ko zahir kiya, jo ke diagonal support tootne par hua, aur us ke baad sellers ne kafi der tak market ko apne qaboo mein rakha. Total decline 1720 points tha, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 par tha, jo heavy Moving Average (MA) ke sath milta tha. Maine yeh sab kuch screen par draw kiya tha, jo direction ko rok diya aur price kaafi upar chala gaya. Mujhe lagta hai agle hafte mein hum 148.53 tak pahunch sakte hain, aur yeh kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara check karein. Economic calendar mein teen-star category ki kafi news hain, jo Japan aur US dono se aane wali hain, is liye yahan fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge.
USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekha hai, lekin mujhe filhaal ke prices par selling karne mein thoda cautious hona pad raha hai. Dekhte hain agla hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi is weekend se guzarna hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fix hai, lekin Middle East mein nayi tensions dekhne ko mili hain, aur agar kuch hua toh Monday ko market khulne par kuch surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein yeh Japanese yen ko mazid mazboot karne par majboor karenge. Bearish trend ab bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 ke mark se upar nahi jati, toh yeh price par selling market mein entry leni chahiye. Lekin hum is idea ko weekend par zaroor analyze karenge, aur saare fundamental factors ko consider karte hue final decision lenge.

Mere analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY abhi bhi upar jaane ka chance rakhta hai kyunki candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kar liya hai. Lekin aapko hoshiyaar rehna hoga kyunki candle abhi MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi. Idhar se ek rebound bhi ho sakta hai jo ke akhir kar price ko neeche gira dega. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario kaam kare aur aise hi price distribution ka agla phase start ho, jab majority market participants yeh sochne lagein ke corrective rollback ab khatam ho chuka hai aur ab yahan se selling start karni chahiye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam karta hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar yeh hota hai, toh wahan se neeche ghir kar market kaafi neeche ja sakti hai.

Main yeh predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega kyunki H1 support price 145.88 par ab tak nahi toota hai. Is liye main yeh recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, wo sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apni take profit target 151.20 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte hain.

**USD/JPY**

Colleague, hello! Aap bilkul theek keh rahe hain ke USD/JPY ne saare moving averages aur guides ko todna shuru kar diya hai. Kal unhone takreeban do sau points ka attack kiya tha, aur aaj din abhi bas shuru hi hua hai aur unhone already ek sau se zyada pips south ki taraf kar liye hain. Ye waqai rukne ka naam nahi le rahe.

Ab jo humare paas daily chart par indicators ke mutabiq hai, wave technique ko use karte hue:
- MA100 lagta hai ke apni bullish mood dheere dheere khone laga hai - pehle ye almost thirty degrees ke trend angle par growth ke favor mein pull kar raha tha, lekin ab - lagta hai ke recent bears ke asar mein aakar - ye moving average decline ke favor mein tilt hona shuru ho gaya hai. Aur ab ye lagbhag floor ke parallel kaam kar raha hai.
- MA18 ne decline ke favor mein forty degrees ke trend angle par bend karna shuru kar diya hai, ab ye lagbhag vertically south ki taraf ja raha hai. Iska obvious intention ye hai ke near future mein ek dead cross form karega - jo ek sell signal hoga.
- Ichimoku cloud apni current state mein bullish colors mein hai, lekin forecast perspective mein ye bears ki taraf switch hota nazar aa raha hai. Matlab, future mein humein decline ko continue karne ka forecast diya ja raha hai.

Maine screen par note kiya hai ke saare basement indicator bundles decline ke continuation ko dikhate hain.
Pehla calculated support 151.70 par hai.



Ye sab waqai deewana kar dene wala hai. Kal subah ka scenario phir se repeat ho gaya hai. Aam tor par, ab lagbhag support par hain aur aap thoda sa buy karna shuru kar sakte hain ye expect karte hue ke USD/JPY aur bhi neeche jayega, aur har decline par zyada add kar sakte hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke southern trend se exit upward direction mein hoga. Filhaal, Japanese yen ke strengthen hone ki tendency hai, jo market mein bulls ke potential control ko indicate karta hai. Agar next session mein market bullish potential ko confirm karta hai, to ye waqt hoga ke short positions ko close kar diya jaye jo situation ko aur bigaad sakti hain. Is baat ko dekhte hue ke movement mein near future mein Japanese yen ki growth ko continue karne ka significant desire nazar nahi aata, hum ye assume kar sakte hain ke yen ke liye upward trend set ho jayega, aur level 155.75 ek mark ban sakta hai, jahan pohanch kar main new sale ke possibility ko consider karunga. Obviously, ek strong reversal is level se nayi prospects kholta hai. Ahem baat ye hai ke aisa impulse mil jaye aur resistance level par na ruka jaye, taake ek potentially profitable sell trade ban sake.

### USD/JPY Analysis

**Pichle Tajaweezat:**

Jaisa ke maine pehle zikar kiya, mera main reference point senior time frame tha, jahan price behavior ko weekly chart ke mutabiq analyze kiya gaya. Main yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method ka istemal pehle kiya gaya, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne steep decline ka ishara diya, diagonal support ke break hone ke baad, aur uske baad se sellers ne market ko apne control mein rakha. Kul decline 1720 points tha, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se milta tha. Maine ye sab screen par draw kiya, jo direction ko rok diya, aur price kafi zyada upar chal gayi. Mujhe lagta hai ke agle haftay hum 148.53 tak pohanch sakte hain, jo kam se kam 200-point move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke aap apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhen. Economic calendar par Japan aur US se kaafi significant news aane wali hai, isliye fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge.

**Current Situation:**

USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf strong correction dekha hai, lekin main ab in prices par selling ke liye cautious feel kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agla haftah kya laata hai, kyunki hume is weekend se guzarna hai. Main nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch fix hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh market ke Monday ko khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, isse Japanese yen ka mazid strong hona mumkin hai. Bearish trend ab bhi relevant hai, aur agar prices Monday ko 147.90 mark ke upar nahi break hoti, toh shayad market mein selling ke liye enter karna sahi hoga. Lekin hum is idea ko weekend par analyze karenge, sabhi fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final decision lene se pehle.

**Future Outlook:**

Mere analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ab bhi upar ja sakta hai kyunki candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin aapko cautious rehna chahiye kyunki candle ne MA50 line ko ab tak penetrate nahi kiya. Yahan se rebound bhi ho sakta hai jo ultimately price ko neeche le jayega. Ye bhi ho sakta hai ke is scenario ke tehat hum price distribution ke agle phase mein enter karain, jab market participants sochne ke corrective rollback khatam ho chuki hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar ye puppeteer trap kaam karta hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq USD/JPY pair seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai bina kisi rollback ke, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakta hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY ab bhi upar jayega, kyunki H1 support price 145.88 ab tak nahi break hui. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair ko trade kar rahe hain woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss ko 145.45 par rakhein.

Good morning, USD/JPY ke last 4-hour chart mein consolidation nazar aa rahi hai. Pehle price mein zabardast bearish movement thi, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market seller camp ke pressure mein hai. Is liye aglay price movement ke liye bearish rehna zyada relevant lagta hai. Is liye mere khayal mein Sell transaction option zyada safe hai. Kal se price girne ki koshish kar rahi thi aur aaj subah market ke close pe seller ne market pe apna control banaaye rakha. Candlesticks 151.96 ke position tak gir sakti hain. Pechlay kuch dinon ke price movement pattern ko dekhte hue, trend kaafi wazeh tor pe Downtrend ki taraf lag raha hai.
Agar bearish movement kal jaise hi barqarar rahi, to price aur bhi gir sakti hai, aur bearishness aur gehri lagti hai. Aaj market band hai, price temporarily 153.76 area mein ruki hui hai. Mere khayal mein, poori market situation se yeh nateeja nikala ja sakta hai ke price aglay kuch dinon mein dubara giregi aur bearish trend ko continue karegi. Bas kuch confirmation ki zaroorat hai takay market ke direction ko samajh kar faisla kiya ja sake, kyunki trend abhi bhi neeche ja sakta hai.

Market ke price journey ko dekh kar yeh predict kiya ja sakta hai ke price 152.96 area tak gir sakti hai, aur Downtrend ki taraf apni journey continue kar sakti hai. Market ke conditions ko dekhte hue, jo abhi bhi decline zone mein chal rahi hain, aglay haftay bhi market ka yeh rukh barqarar reh sakta hai. Seller abhi bhi market ko dominate karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Bearish movements lowest area tak pursue karne ki soch sakti hain. Aane wale dinon mein USD/JPY market mein trading plan ke taur pe, mein Sell position choose karunga.
USD/JPY.


Hello, dost! Tumhain weekend mubarak ho! Hafte ke aakhir mein, mein higher time frames ko dekh raha hoon. USD/JPY ke weekly chart pe, pichlay haftay ka close ek minbar ke saath hua hai jiska neeche se shadow kaafi bara hai. Aur yeh mujhe reversal ka sign lagta hai. Price 146.59 par hai aur moving average line ke neeche hai, jo ke 155.34 par hai. Stochastic indicator, jiska fast moving average hai, abhi oversold zone mein hai, lekin yeh reversal karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur oversold zone se nikalne ka trend dikhane ki koshish kar raha hai. Agle haftay, mujhe umeed hai ke asset kam az kam moving average line tak uthegi. Shayad, is waqt tak moving average mein zyada farq na aaye aur yeh 154.50 ke level par ho. Dekhte hain!

Good morning, USD/JPY ke last 4-hour chart mein consolidation nazar aa rahi hai. Pehle price mein zabardast bearish movement thi, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market seller camp ke pressure mein hai. Is liye aglay price movement ke liye bearish rehna zyada relevant lagta hai. Is liye mere khayal mein Sell transaction option zyada safe hai. Kal se price girne ki koshish kar rahi thi aur aaj subah market ke close pe seller ne market pe apna control banaaye rakha. Candlesticks 151.96 ke position tak gir sakti hain. Pechlay kuch dinon ke price movement pattern ko dekhte hue, trend kaafi wazeh tor pe Downtrend ki taraf lag raha hai.
Agar bearish movement kal jaise hi barqarar rahi, to price aur bhi gir sakti hai, aur bearishness aur gehri lagti hai. Aaj market band hai, price temporarily 153.76 area mein ruki hui hai. Mere khayal mein, poori market situation se yeh nateeja nikala ja sakta hai ke price aglay kuch dinon mein dubara giregi aur bearish trend ko continue karegi. Bas kuch confirmation ki zaroorat hai takay market ke direction ko samajh kar faisla kiya ja sake, kyunki trend abhi bhi neeche ja sakta hai.

Market ke price journey ko dekh kar yeh predict kiya ja sakta hai ke price 152.96 area tak gir sakti hai, aur Downtrend ki taraf apni journey continue kar sakti hai. Market ke conditions ko dekhte hue, jo abhi bhi decline zone mein chal rahi hain, aglay haftay bhi market ka yeh rukh barqarar reh sakta hai. Seller abhi bhi market ko dominate karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Bearish movements lowest area tak pursue karne ki soch sakti hain. Aane wale dinon mein USD/JPY market mein trading plan ke taur pe, mein Sell position choose karunga.
USD/JPY.


Hello, dost! Tumhain weekend mubarak ho! Hafte ke aakhir mein, mein higher time frames ko dekh raha hoon. USD/JPY ke weekly chart pe, pichlay haftay ka close ek minbar ke saath hua hai jiska neeche se shadow kaafi bara hai. Aur yeh mujhe reversal ka sign lagta hai. Price 146.59 par hai aur moving average line ke neeche hai, jo ke 155.34 par hai. Stochastic indicator, jiska fast moving average hai, abhi oversold zone mein hai, lekin yeh reversal karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur oversold zone se nikalne ka trend dikhane ki koshish kar raha hai. Agle haftay, mujhe umeed hai ke asset kam az kam moving average line tak uthegi. Shayad, is waqt tak moving average mein zyada farq na aaye aur yeh 154.50 ke level par ho. Dekhte hain!

USD/JPY currency pair, jo is waqt 146.60 par hai, forex market mein aik dilchasp soorat-e-haal pesh kar raha hai. Is waqt market bearish trend dikhai de rahi hai, jo ahista lekin mustahkam tor par neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai. Magar currency trading ki duniya mein, jahan utar-chadhav ka dar-o-madar aksar mukhtalif anasir ke peche hota hai, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke ahista chalne wale trends kabhi kabhi kisi bara harkat ke liye pehli nishani ho sakte hain. USD/JPY pair duniya ke sabse zyada dekhe jane wale pairs mein se aik hai, dono U.S. aur Japan ki iqtisadi taqat ke madde nazar, aur kisi bhi mumkin tabdeeli ke asraat door tak pohnch sakte hain.
### Maujooda Market Ka Tanazur

Zahir mein, USD/JPY ka maujooda bearish trend kuch khaas nazar nahi aa raha. Yeh pair gir raha hai, jo ke Japanese yen ke U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein mazboot hone ko zahir karta hai. Is trend mein mukhtalif wajahein shamil ho sakti hain, jese ke iqtisadi data releases, central bank policies, aur wider market sentiment. Misal ke taur par, recent U.S. economic indicators shayad umeed se kam raha hoon, jiski wajah se dollar kamzor ho gaya hai. Dosri taraf, Japan shayad safe-haven assets, jese yen, ki zyada demand ya positive economic data se faida utha raha ho.

Lekin, iss waqt ka ahista chalne wala trend yeh batata hai ke market ke participants shayad ehtiyat kar rahe hain, aur mumkin hai ke kisi aise trigger ka intezar kar rahe hain jo zyada wazeh harkat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh kisam ka rawaiya forex markets mein aam hai, jahan traders aksar wazeh signals milne ka intezar karte hain pehle se bara positions lene se pehle.

### Bari Harkat Ke Imkanat Wale Catalysts

Mukhtalif anasir USD/JPY pair mein aik bara harkat ka sabab ban sakte hain. In mein shamil hain:

1. **Central Bank Policies**: U.S. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka USD/JPY exchange rate par gehra asar hota hai. Koi bhi tabdeeli interest rates, monetary policy stance, ya forward guidance mein in institutions ke taraf se, pair par bara asar daal sakti hai. Misal ke taur par, agar Fed aik zyada dovish stance apnaaye, aur interest rates mein rukne ya cut ka ishara de, to dollar aur kamzor ho sakta hai yen ke muqablay mein. Wahi, agar BoJ apni monetary policy ko tight karne ki taraf jhukaav rakhta hai, to yen mazid mazboot ho sakta hai, aur bearish trend ko barhawa mil sakta hai.

2. **Economic Data**: Key economic indicators jese ke GDP growth rates, employment data, inflation figures, aur trade balances dono U.S. aur Japan se, market ke umeedat ko shakal dene mein aham hain. Achanak positive ya negative surprise in figures mein USD/JPY mein tezi se harkat ko trigger kar sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, ek stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report dollar ko boost de sakta hai, jab ke kamzor inflation data Japan se yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai.

3. **Geopolitical Events**: Forex market geopolitical developments ke liye bohat zyada hassas hoti hai. East Asia mein tensions, khaaskar woh jo Japan ya uske ahem trading partners ko involve karte hain, yen mein volatility ko barhawa de sakti hain. Isi tarah, koi bhi significant development U.S. foreign policy ya economic sanctions mein dollar ko affect kar sakta hai. Aise cases mein, traders yen ko ek safe-haven currency ke tor par dekhenge, jo USD/JPY ko aur neeche le aayega.

4. **Market Sentiment**: Investor sentiment currency markets mein bohot bara asar rakhta hai. Agar global market sentiment risk aversion ki taraf shift hota hai, to yen, jo ke ek traditional safe-haven currency hai, mein zyada demand ho sakti hai. Is se USD/JPY pair aur neeche gir sakta hai. Isi tarah, agar risk appetite wapas aata hai, to yen kamzor ho sakta hai aur dollar mazboot, jo ke current trend ko ulat sakta hai.

### Bari Harkat Kyun Nazdeek Lagti Hai

Jab ke current trend ahista aur bearish hai, kuch indicators yeh dikhate hain ke USD/JPY mein bari harkat nazdeek hai. Pehli baat, market ka ahista chalne wala pace yeh zahir karta hai ke trading positions ka ek buildup ho raha hai, jahan bohot se traders kisi decisive breakout ya breakdown ka intezar kar rahe hain pehle se bara moves banane se pehle. Yeh kisam ka rawaiya aksar forex market mein sharp movements se pehle hota hai.

Uper se, global economic environment ab bhi kaafi uncertain hai, major economies se mixed signals aa rahe hain. U.S. mein, monetary policy ke direction par behas jaari hai, kuch log further tightening ke liye kehte hain jab ke doosre zyada accommodative approach ka mashwara dete hain. Japan mein, BoJ ki policies ko gehri nazar se dekha ja raha hai, khaaskar jab ke mulk low-inflation environment aur aging population ke challenges ka samna kar raha hai.

In uncertainties ke madde nazar, koi bhi significant khabar ya policy decision USD/JPY pair mein major harkat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Traders ko is liye aglay economic data releases, central bank meetings, aur geopolitical developments par gehri nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh aglay bade move ke liye trigger provide kar sakte hain.

### Nateeja

USD/JPY pair, jo is waqt 146.60 par hai aur bearish trend kar raha hai, ek ahem mor par hai. Jab ke market is waqt ahista chal rahi hai, aglay dinon mein ek significant harkat ka mumkin hai. Traders aur investors ko chaukanna rehna chahiye, aur key factors jese ke central bank policies, economic data, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Yeh tamaam anasir USD/JPY mein sharp movement mein apna kirdar ada kar sakte hain, jo forex market mein dono opportunities aur risks pesh karte hain. Hamesha ki tarah, careful analysis aur prudent risk management zaroori hoga taake potential volatility ko navigate kiya ja sake.

USD/JPY

Mere colleague, assalam o alaikum! Aap bilkul theek keh rahe hain ke USD/JPY ne sab moving averages aur guides ko break karna shuru kar diya hai. Kal unhone kareeb do sau points attack kiye, aur aaj ka din abhi sirf shuru hi hua hai aur unhone already ek sau se zyada pips south mein achieve kar liye hain. Yeh bilkul unstoppable hain.

Indicators ka kya kehna hai daily chart par using wave technique:
- MA100 ne apna bullish mood dheere dheere kho diya hai - yeh growth ke favor mein tha ek trend angle ke sath jo takreeban tees degrees tha, lekin ab - recent bears ke asar ke neeche - yeh moving average decline ke favor mein tilt hone lagi hai. Aur ab yeh zameen ke parallel space mein kaam kar rahi hai.
- MA18 ne forty degrees ke trend angle ke sath decline ke favor mein bend hone mein kamiyab hogaya hai, ab yeh lagbhag vertically south ki taraf ja raha hai. Jis se yeh obvious lagta hai ke near future mein yeh dead cross form karega - jo ke ek sell signal hai.
- Ichimoku cloud apne current state mein bullish colors mein hai, lekin forecast perspective mein yeh bears ki taraf switch ho raha hai. Yani ke future mein hum decline ka continuation predict kar rahe hain.

Jaisa ke maine neeche screen par note kiya - sab basement indicator bundles decline ka continuation dikhate hain.
Pehla calculated support 151.70 hai.



Bilkul deewana pan. Kal subah dobara repeat ho gaya. General mein, ab takreeban support ke kareeb hain aur thoda thoda buying shuru ki ja sakti hai yeh expectation ke sath ke USD/JPY further down jaayega aur har decline par zyada add kiya ja sakta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke southern trend ka exit upward direction mein hoga. Filhal, Japanese yen mein strength dikhai de rahi hai, jo market mein bulls ke control ka indication hai potential mein. Agar agli session ke dauran market bullish potential ko confirm karta hai, to yeh waqt hoga ke short positions ko close kiya jaye jo ke situation ko aggravate kar sakta hai. Dekha jaye to movement yeh nahi dikha rahi ke Japanese yen ka growth continue ho sakta hai near future mein, to hum yeh maan sakte hain ke yen ka upward trend setup hoga, aur level 155.75 ek mark ban sakta hai, jahan pohonch kar mein nayi sale ka possibility consider karunga. Obvious hai ke is level se ek strong reversal naye prospects kholta hai. Important hai ke aisa impulse mile aur resistance level par na rukein taake ek potentially profitable sell trade ban sake.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S U S D / J P Y

Good morning trading friends on the Mt5 forum. Maine USD/JPY pair ko analyze karne ke liye chuna hai. Analysis dikhata hai ke USD/JPY pair 146.60 par trade kar raha hai. Is chart mein dekha ja sakta hai ke sellers buyers se zyada strong hain; is baat ki tasdeeq directional movement aur indicators karte hain. Analysis dikhata hai ke market downside ki taraf move kar rahi hai, jo ke bearish trend zahir kar raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator trend ki strength ko represent karta hai. RSI indicator 42.7018 par float kar raha hai, jo ke ek strong price trend dikhata hai. Saath hi, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator ne neeche move kiya, aur phir horizontally move karna shuru kar diya. Is indicator ne ab tak confirmation nahi di, to abhi dekhne ka intezar karna padega. Market ka cost 20 EMA aur 50 EMA ke moving average ke neeche hai.

Cost resistance level 149.39 se upar rise karega pehle ke agli rukawat 156.66 ko pohnche. Market ka izafa primary resistance zone 149.39 ko break kar sakta hai. Uske baad, market ka upside trend resistance level 156.66 ko hit karega, jo ke agla target hoga 162.66, jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai. Dusri taraf, primary aur secondary support jo ke 145.76 aur 141.79 par located hain, market price ke decline se destroy ho sakte hain. Uske baad, market ka bearish trend 3rd level of support area 135.87 ko breach kar sakta hai. Main apne dostoon ka shukriya ada karna nahi bhoolta jo apna qeemti waqt nikaal kar apne trading analyses share karte hain mere journal mein.

Chart mein use hue indicators:
MACD indicator:
RSI indicator period 14:
50-day exponential moving average color Orange:
20-day exponential moving average color Magenta:

USD/JPY H-1 142.01.
Pichlay do dinon mein, USD/JPY currency pair ne kafi zyada fluctuations dekhi hain jo ke mukhtalif economic aur geopolitical factors se mutasir hui hain. 5 August ko, yen ne saat mahine ki bulandi ko chua jab Japanese authorities ne currency market mein mudakhlat ki, aur kareeban 5.53 trillion yen kharch kiye taake currency ko support diya ja sake. Yeh mudakhlat iss liye bhi thi kyun ke 10-year Japanese government bond ka yield gir kar 0.8% se neeche aa gaya tha, yeh umeed ke saath ke Federal Reserve zyada aggressively interest rates cut karega weak US jobs data ke baad.

Usi din, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne ek achanak rate hike ka elan kiya, apna benchmark interest rate ko 0.25% tak barhaya, aur yeh bhi signal diya ke agar economic conditions supportive rahi to woh rates ko mazeed barha sakte hain. Yeh move Japan ke economic challenges ke bawajood kiya gaya, jese ke declining private consumption aur contracting economy.

USD/JPY H-1 142.01

M30 chart par, USD/JPY pair ek steady downtrend mein hai. Hali mein, price ne aik significant level ko break kiya jo ke do daily supports se supported tha at 146.36, aur phir isne neeche consolidate kiya, in supports ko resistances mein tabdeel kar diya. Uske baad, hum ne daily support at 142.01 se break kiya aur ek corrective upward move shuru kiya, jahan pehle se broken level ko opposite side se test kiya. Is test ke dauran, price ne do dafa downward bounces liye aur pin bars ke sath retrace kiya, jo ke strong sellers ki maujoodgi ko zahir karta hai. Pullback ke bawajood, price ne average daily aur weekly growth levels ke sath intersect kiya, jo ke is level par resistance ko mazid reinforce karta hai. Arrow indicator bhi continued decline ko support karta hai. Is liye, current market conditions sales ke liye favorable lag rahi hain, jahan target support level 142.01 ho sakta hai.

**USD/JPY**

Colleague, hello! Aap bilkul theek keh rahe hain ke USD/JPY ne saare moving averages aur guides ko todna shuru kar diya hai. Kal unhone takreeban do sau points ka attack kiya tha, aur aaj din abhi bas shuru hi hua hai aur unhone already ek sau se zyada pips south ki taraf kar liye hain. Ye waqai rukne ka naam nahi le rahe.

Ab jo humare paas daily chart par indicators ke mutabiq hai, wave technique ko use karte hue:
- MA100 lagta hai ke apni bullish mood dheere dheere khone laga hai - pehle ye almost thirty degrees ke trend angle par growth ke favor mein pull kar raha tha, lekin ab - lagta hai ke recent bears ke asar mein aakar - ye moving average decline ke favor mein tilt hona shuru ho gaya hai. Aur ab ye lagbhag floor ke parallel kaam kar raha hai.
- MA18 ne decline ke favor mein forty degrees ke trend angle par bend karna shuru kar diya hai, ab ye lagbhag vertically south ki taraf ja raha hai. Iska obvious intention ye hai ke near future mein ek dead cross form karega - jo ek sell signal hoga.
- Ichimoku cloud apni current state mein bullish colors mein hai, lekin forecast perspective mein ye bears ki taraf switch hota nazar aa raha hai. Matlab, future mein humein decline ko continue karne ka forecast diya ja raha hai.

Maine screen par note kiya hai ke saare basement indicator bundles decline ke continuation ko dikhate hain.
Pehla calculated support 151.70 par hai.


Ye sab waqai deewana kar dene wala hai. Kal subah ka scenario phir se repeat ho gaya hai. Aam tor par, ab lagbhag support par hain aur aap thoda sa buy karna shuru kar sakte hain ye expect karte hue ke USD/JPY aur bhi neeche jayega, aur har decline par zyada add kar sakte hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke southern trend se exit upward direction mein hoga. Filhaal, Japanese yen ke strengthen hone ki tendency hai, jo market mein bulls ke potential control ko indicate karta hai. Agar next session mein market bullish potential ko confirm karta hai, to ye waqt hoga ke short positions ko close kar diya jaye jo situation ko aur bigaad sakti hain. Is baat ko dekhte hue ke movement mein near future mein Japanese yen ki growth ko continue karne ka significant desire nazar nahi aata, hum ye assume kar sakte hain ke yen ke liye upward trend set ho jayega, aur level 155.75 ek mark ban sakta hai, jahan pohanch kar main new sale ke possibility ko consider karunga. Obviously, ek strong reversal is level se nayi prospects kholta hai. Ahem baat ye hai ke aisa impulse mil jaye aur resistance level par na ruka jaye, taake ek potentially profitable sell trade ban sake.