usd/jpy

USD/JPY pair ka performance mukhtalif factors se influenced hota hai jaise economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. For instance, US economic indicators jaise employment reports, inflation data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions ka asar pair pe padta hai. Isi tarah, Japan ki economic conditions aur policy decisions bhi crucial role play karte hain. Thursday ko, USD/JPY ne record high touch kiya, jo rapid increase ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh profit-taking ka potential opportunity suggest karta hai. US session se pehle decline ka chance bhi ho sakta hai. Furthermore, moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout bearish pressure ko indicate karta hai. Hourly chart analysis ke mutabiq, aur 15-minute chart pe, decline ka possibility bhi hai kyunki moving average current price ke upar hai, jo bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai for USD/JPY pair, potentially higher zone mein move karne ka. Iss week ka trend pattern uptrend aur narrow range ko indicate karta hai. Relatively modest upward rally ke madde nazar, yeh increase agle hafte tak continue ho sakti hai, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karenge. Morning candlestick 100-period simple moving average ke upar close hui, jo market trend ke rise ko suggest karti hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone surpass kar sakein...
Is waqt, USD/JPY trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko show karta hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke continue hone ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance break karna hoga, jo trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke movement ke continuation ka potential dega. Pehla target supply zone hoga 160.47 pe, jahan historically sellers ne price down push kiya tha. Reverse movement towards short side bhi possible hai, lekin bears ko pehle 160.24 support break karna hoga, jahan se price aksar bounce back hoti hai. Bears ki strength tab confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke neeche consolidate ho jaye, jo price weakness ko indicate karega.
USD/JPY market mein. Yeh khas tor pe pichlay Wednesday ko evident tha, jab price significant downward movement experience hui thi us trading session ke doran.
Chhoti timeframe mein, price position monitor hui hai aur abhi Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai 50 period ke liye aur slight correction upward hui hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke around consolidate kare gi, kyun ke aise conditions aksar Tuesday ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai. Market trend conditions H1 timeframe mein dekh kar yeh kaafi clear hai ke yeh abhi downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend thoda bearish hai, jab ke USD/JPY pair ka trend upar ki taraf move hua tha July 2024 ke shuruat ke trading session ke baad. Iska matlab yeh hai ke is haftay ke market

USD/JPY ka trade kiya. Kya tumne bhi join kiya? Maine ek short position li aur 154.04 par close kiya. Sab theek hai, main khush hoon kyunki is instrument ko trade karna kaafi satisfying hai. Chalo dekhte hain ke Ichimoku indicator USD/JPY ke liye kya dikhata hai: Daily chart par, lagta hai ke bears market ko control karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. March mein ek golden cross tha, jo ek buy signal tha jab Tenkan-Sen aur Kijun-Sen cross hue the. Lekin abhi recently July mein ek dead cross bana. Yeh interesting baat hai ke yeh cross ek zone mein hua jo typical nahi hai - Ichimoku Cloud ke upar, jo ek bullish market indicate karta hai. Lekin ab bears ne kuch ground gain kar liya hai, ek downward trend aa raha hai, halan ke yeh abhi tak intense nahi hai. Local Ichimoku Cloud ko break karne se moving average clear bearish trend mein shift ho gaya hai cloud ke neeche. Saath hi, Kijun-Sen local Cloud ke andar hai. Cloud abhi bullish aur inflated lagta hai, magar forecast bearish territory ki taraf shift indicate kar raha hai. Chikou-Span bhi indecisive lag raha hai, neeche shift kar gaya hai lekin abhi tak local Ichimoku Cloud ke andar hai, apne influence ko divide kar raha hai. Mera focus sirf Tenkan-Sen ke bottom ko test karne par nahi hai, balki is moving average ke upar consolidate karne par hai taake further growth anticipate ki ja sake. Forecasts ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair ke upward movement ke restore hone ke acche imkaan hain. To ab northern direction mein trade karna profitable hai. Pair already 153.65 level ke upar trade kar raha hai, ek growth pattern form kar chuka hai. Is liye, humein expect karna chahiye ke quotes grow karein with a breakout of the 154.35 level, jo bullish sentiment ko strengthen karega aur pair ko aur upar le jaayega. Recommendations: pair ke growth ke trading options consider karein. Ek hi nuance hai ke selling mein enter karna abhi bohot unprofitable aur dangerous hai, kyunki price support zone of 153.49-152.00 se door nahi hai. Yahan bear ko break aur consolidate karna zaroori hai is support zone ke neeche, ya ek acchi correction milni zaroori hai kam az kam resistance level of 157.77 tak aur wahan se selling mein enter karna target ke sath in the area of the support zone of 146.45-144.91. Main ab bhi expect karta hoon ke ek correction milegi, magar yeh hoga ya nahi yeh hum baad mein hi

opportunity identify ki hai. Ye analysis sirf technical insights ka nahi, balkay aik sharp aur detailed perspective ki zaroorat hai. Ghour se dekhnay par, mene aik directional movement note ki hai jo 156.983 par potential sell opportunity ka ishara de raha hai. Ye resistance kaafi mazboot lag raha hai aur agar sab kuch plan ke mutabiq raha, toh pair is point se downward move karna chahiye. Mera andaza hai ke price 148.158 ke support level tak drop hoga, jahan mai apna profit le sakta hoon. Magar market unpredictable hai, aur agar structure shift hota hai aur reversal signal nazar ata hai, toh losses ka saamna bhi karna par sakta hai. Agar 156.983 ka level strong hold karta hai, toh ye ek naya support level establish kar sakta hai, jo buying opportunity bhi pesh kar sakta hai. Aik correction pehle hi 154.79 par ho chuki hai, jo indicate karta hai ke decline continue ho sakta hai. Growth corrections bhi ho sakti hain, magar decline ke baad wapas resume hone ki umeed hai. Agar upward correction hoti hai, toh decline wapas continue hone ka chance hai.
USD/JPY ke bullish trend ko rukne ki bhi umeed hai. Iske ilawa, Japanese government bond yields ne 13 saal ka high 1.11% ko touch kiya hai, jo BOJ ki monetary policy change ki umeedon ko reflect karta hai. Yen ki kamzori ke bawajood, traders ko imports aur inflationary pressures ke barhtay huay costs ka samna hai. Is maslay ko address karne ke liye, Japanese Finance Ministry naye variable-rate bonds launch karne par ghour kar rahi hai, jaise ke Reuters ne report kiya. Ye naye bonds rising bond yields se investors ko protect karne mein madadgar ho sakte hain, khaaskar BOJ ke potential interest rate hikes se pehle. Ye strategy closely monitoring price action aur market conditions ke changes par promptly respond karne par depend karti hai. Key execution strong resistance 161.48 aur strong support 161.11 ko recognize karne par hai. Timing bhi crucial hai; in levels par positions establish aur exit karna profits enhance aur losses minimize kar sakta hai. Traders ko broader market context aur wo fundamental factors bhi dekhne chahiye jo USD/JPY movements ko impact kar sakte hain. Economic data releases, central bank announcements, aur geopolitical events sab USD/JPY ke price action ko affect kar sakte hain. In factors ko madde nazar rakhte huay, strategies ko adjust karna zaroori hai.

Aaj ka plan ye hai ke USD/JPY ko sell kiya jaye jab ye 161.48 level ko test kare, initial target 161.11 par set kiya gaya hai. Jab ye target reach ho jaye, traders apni short positions close karein aur potential upward movement ka fayda uthane ke liye long positions

se current weekly session ke opening levels par wapas aagaya. Yeh recovery ek lehaz se volatility ki darjaat ko darust karti hai aur yeh ishara karta hai ke market abhi naye trend mein set hone ke liye tayar nahi hai. Hal k movements ke peeche ek wajah yeh bhi hosakti hai ke investors US market opening ke pehle kuch munafa lock kar rahe hain. Munafa lock karna aam hai traders mein jo European session mein banaye gaye faiday ko secure karne ke liye karne ki ichha rakhte hain pehle US markets ke opening ke saath jo volatility ka saamna kar sakti hai. USD/JPY pair ka performance aksar mukhtalif factors se mutasir hota hai jaise economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Maslan, changes US economic indicators mein jaise employment reports, inflation data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions pair par bhaari asar daal sakti hai. isi tarah, Japan mein economic conditions aur policy decisions bhi aham role ada karte hain. USDJPY ne Jumeraat (6/28/24) ko itihas mein record high qeemat banayi, currency pair mein tezi se izafa ho sakta hai jo ke munafa lenay ki saakh hai. Girawat ka mouqa ab bhi US session tak ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Bullish channel aur Moving Average par breakout jo ke chal rahi qeemat se oopar hain yeh bearish tajzia mein izafa karte hain. Aik ghantay ki chart analysis ke mutabiq. 15 M chart par upar bhasa di gayi hai. Is mein bhi girawat ka mouqa hai kyunke Moving Average chal rahi qeemat par hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai USD/JPY pair apna bullish trend continue karega, mumkin hai ke ek higher zone tak upar move kare Iss hafte ka trend pattern ek uptrend indicate karta hai narrow range ke sath. Relatively modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, mumkin hai ke increase agle hafte bhi continue kare, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karengi. Subah ke candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo suggest karta hai ke market trend rise kar sakta hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko surpass kar sakte hain USD/JPY abhi trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke Buyers ki mazbooti dikhata hai, aur trend line Support hai. Bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke buyers ko Resistance - 162.15 todna hoga, jisse trading channel khul jaye ga, aur Bulls' movement ke continuation ka imkan ho sakta hai. Pehla target Supply Zone - 160.47 hoga, jahan se history mein Sellers ne price ko barhaya tha. Reverse movement ka bhi imkan hai Short side ki taraf, lekin pehle Bears ko support - 160.24 todna hoga, jahan se price aksar bounce hoti rahi hai. Bears ki mazbooti ka tasdeeq hoga jab price broken level - 160.31 ke niche fix ho jaye ga, jo ke price ki kamzori dikhaye ga. USD/JPY ka downtrend ab bhi maujood hai. Price ne support level 155.48 par paya, jahan se bounce hua. Technical analysis dikhata hai ke price four-hour time frame par cloud ke niche trade kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke niche hai, Chikou span line price chart ke niche hai, aur "dead cross" active hai. Relative strength index value 50 ke niche hai, aur "trend filter" oscillator red color mein hai, jo bearish market sentiment signal karta hai. Mazid decline ka imkan barqarar hai. Agar price level 155.48 ko todti aur successful consolidation karti hai, to nayi sales ko consider karna munasib hoga. Is scenario mein, next potential target support level 154.70 hoga. Alternative scenario ke liye tayyar rahna hoga jab price cloud ke upar trade kar rahi ho, aur si

### Technical Analysis

**1. Current Price Levels:**
USD/JPY joṛi filhal din ki khulne ki level 156.90 aur daily Pivot level 156.98 ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke market mein bearish jazbat ko darshata hai. In levels ke upar nahi reh paana market ke bearish nazariye ko highlight karta hai.

**2. Moving Average Analysis:**
Joṛi MA72 trend line ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke ek ahem level hota hai jahan aam tor par volume distribution hota hai. Iska matlab hai ke chalayat trend bearish hai, aur is moving average ke neeche price action ye darshata hai ke bechne wale filhal control mein hain.

**3. Key Support and Resistance Levels:**
Immediate support 156.00 ke aas-paas dekhi ja rahi hai, jo ke ek psychological level hai. Agar bearish pressure barqarar raha, to agla support level 155.50 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, jo historically important raha hai. Upar ki taraf, resistance levels jo dekhnay chahiye wo hain daily Pivot level 156.98 aur opening level 156.90. In levels ke upar break hona market ke jazbat mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakta hai.

**4. Indicators:**
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neeche hai, jo bearish momentum ko darshata hai bina oversold territory mein gaye. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator mein bearish crossover dikhaayi de raha hai, jahan MACD line signal line ke neeche hai, jo bearish outlook ko confirm karta hai.

### Fundamental Analysis

**1. Economic Indicators:**
US aur Japan dono ke economic data USD/JPY joṛi par bara asar daalenge. US mein GDP growth, employment data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions important hain. Japan mein GDP figures, employment statistics, aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke policy updates bhi zaroori hain. Dono mulkon ke economic performance ke darmiyan differences exchange rate ko drive kar sakte hain.

**2. Central Bank Policies:**
Federal Reserve aur BoJ ke monetary policy decisions pivotal hain. Interest rate changes ya policy shifts ke indications market sentiment ko impact kar sakte hain. Traders ko in central banks ke statements aur policy reports closely monitor karni chahiye taake future actions ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

**3. Political Developments:**
Political events, including US fiscal policies aur geopolitical tensions, USD/JPY joṛi mein volatility introduce kar sakte hain. Significant political developments market reactions ko abruptly influence kar sakti hain, jo pair ki direction ko affect kar sakti hain.

### Trading Strategy

**1. Shorting Opportunities:**
Maujooda bearish sentiment ko dekhte hue, traders USD/JPY joṛi ko resistance levels par short karne ka soch sakte hain, jaise daily Pivot (156.98) ya opening level (156.90). Ye approach bearish trend ke continuation ko leverage karta hai.

**2. Monitoring Support Levels:**
Agar price support levels ke aas-paas 156.00 ya 155.50 tak pahunchti hai, traders ko potential reversal patterns ya strong buying interest dekhni chahiye jo bounce ka indication de sakti hai. In levels ki historical significance inhe critical points banati hai.

**3. Risk Management:**
Effective risk management crucial hai. Recent resistance levels ke upar stop-loss orders set karna, jaise 156.98, potential losses ko limit karne mein madad kar sakta hai. Position sizing individual risk tolerance aur prevailing market conditions par based honi chahiye.

In conclusion, USD/JPY currency pair ki current trading dynamics ek strong bearish sentiment ko underscore karti hai, jahan price key levels ke neeche aur technical indicators downward trend ko confirm karte hain. Technical aur fundamental analysis ko combine kar ke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain, key levels aur broader economic trends ko leverage karte hue aur risks ko appropriately manage karte hue.

Ek kamzor ISM manufacturing report aur khas tor par ek bohot kamzor employment component (jo 49.3 se 43.4 tak gir gaya) ke wajah se dollar thodi dair ke liye kamzor ho gaya, jabke is din greenback ki demand thi. Lekin, traders ne jald hi yaad kiya ke US mein manufacturing mein sirf 8.2% log kaam karte hain aur labor market ziada tar service sector ke hawale hai.

Is mahine market report ke tamam components par zyada tawajjo de rahi hogi. Khaaskar, wage growth aur unemployment rate par nazar rakhi jayegi, khas kar unemployment rate par dekhna ye hai ke kya so-called Sahm rule activate hota hai. Ye rule kehta hai ke recession ke baad aata hai jab unemployment rate ka teen mahine ka moving average 12-mahine ke low se 0.5 percentage points se zyada niche ho. June mein ye 0.43 tha. Mujhe lagta hai ke aaj ye trigger hone ke chances kam hain, lekin market nazar rakhegi.

Outlook mixed hai; US Dollar (USD) 148.20 aur 150.50 ke beech choppy trade kar sakta hai, UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang aur Lee Sue Ann kehte hain. Agli support level 148.20 par hai.

**24-HOUR VIEW:** "Hamari kal ki update ke excerpts yeh hain: ‘Aaj USD ka zyada kamzor hona nazar nahi aa raha. Lekin, severely oversold conditions yeh suggest karti hain ke significant support level 148.20 tak pohanchna mushkil hai. Ek aur support level 149.00 par hai. Momentum ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, USD ko 151.30 ke neeche rehna hoga, jahan minor resistance 150.50 par hai.’ USD phir se wild fluctuations ka shikaar hua, jaise ye 148.48 tak gira, mazboot bounce kiya 150.89 tak, aur phir 149.36 par band hua (-0.41%). Yeh choppy price action mixed outlook ka natija bana hai. Aaj, USD choppy tareeqe se trade kar sakta hai, shayad 148.20 aur 150.50 ke beech.”

**1-3 WEEKS VIEW:** "Hamari kal ki update (01 Aug, spot at 149.90) ab bhi valid hai. Jaise ke highlighted kiya gaya, recent USD weakness ab bhi barqarar hai, aur agla level jo dekhna hai wo 148.20 hai. USD weakness tab tak barqarar hai jab tak 152.00 ('strong resistance level kal 152.80 par tha) breach nahi hota."

USD/JPY Ka Bunyadi Nazariya

USD/JPY jorha Thursday ki Asian session ke aakhir mein ahm 150.35 ke mark se neeche trade kar raha tha. Yeh jorha ab bhi gir raha hai kyunki dollar par Federal Reserve ki mi'kdaaron ki wajah se dabao hai. USD/JPY is hafte mein aur gira, aur Friday ko yeh 147.00 par band hua, jo ke March ke baad ka sab se neecha level hai. Is waqt ke hesaab se USD/JPY din ke dauran 1% gire hue 147.80 par hai. Jahan US ne behtar ishtiharat ki report di thi, walay jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein rates kam karne ki ummeed hai, dollar Friday ko 146.41 yen par paanch mahine ka sab se neecha level tak gir gaya. Is jorhe ka taluq US ke 10-saalay Treasury yield se bhi hai, jo ke 4% ki seema se neeche gira. Jab ke early US trade mein USD/JPY mein kami dekhne ko mili, dollar par general pressure dekha gaya hai jo ke muted labor market report se aaya. Is wajah se, US dollar index ne din ke aakhir mein 0.85% gir kar 103.46 par band hua.

USD/JPY Ka Technical Nazariya

USD/JPY ka exchange rate 1.80% se zyada gire kar 146.62 par close hua. Mazboot support jo ke March 11 ko 146.48 ki pivot low ke aas paas hai, yeh price losses ko rok sakta hai agar kayi important support levels ka khayal rakha jaye. Agar sellers rate ko is ke neeche lekar jaana chahein, toh unhein chunaav karna hoga. Beuraahi nazar rakhti hai ke daily closing agar 146.48 se neeche ho. 146.00 ka mark jo ke 145.50 ke aas paas dekha ja sakta hai, yeh agla support banega. Is kaafi kami 145.50 par bhi nazar aati hai. Lekin agar buyers 147.00 se upar trading karte hain, toh unhein mauqa mil sakta hai ke wo spot prices ko upar lekar jaayein, jo ke modern cycle ke lows ko dekhte hue 151.86 par resistance establish kar sake. Magar yeh is baat ki taraf ishaara karta hai ke 148.20 par ek substantial raasta banana mushkil ho sakta hai. Baqi saare support levels 149.00 par hain. Thoda resistance 150.50 par hai, lekin agar USD/JPY 151.30 se neeche trade karna jaari rakhta hai, toh momentum ko banaaye rakhna asaan hoga.

USD/JPY currency pair forex market mein bohot se traders aur investors ke liye aik central point bana hua hai. Filhal, yeh pair 159.64 par trade ho raha hai, aur prevailing trend bearish lag raha hai. Yeh movement yeh suggest karta hai ke Japanese yen US dollar ke muqable mein strong ho raha hai. Magar, market ka slow pace yeh dikhata hai ke yeh trend abhi fully develop nahi hua, aur near future mein significant shifts ke potential hain.
Kaafi factors USD/JPY pair mein significant movement contribute kar sakte hain. US aur Japan se aane wale economic data releases profound impact rakhte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar Federal Reserve ya Bank of Japan interest rates mein koi tabdeeli karte hain, to heightened volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Currently, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy stance USD/JPY pair ka aik key driver hai. Agar Fed apni interest rate policy mein koi tabdeeli signal karta hai, to market mein swift reaction aasakti hai.

Iske ilawa, geopolitical events bhi currency pairs ko influence karte hain. USD/JPY ke liye, US-China relations, North Korean activities, aur Japanese economic policies crucial factors hain. Koi bhi unexpected geopolitical event pair mein sharp movement trigger kar sakta hai.

Technical analysis bhi future movements predict karne mein aik vital role ada karta hai. Filhal, bearish trend ko various technical indicators jaise ke moving averages aur trend lines support kar rahe hain. Magar, traders ko key support aur resistance levels pe nazar rakhni chahiye. Agar significant support level se neeche break hota hai, to further declines dekhne ko mil sakti hain, jabke resistance level ke upar move bearish trend ke reversal ko signal kar sakta hai.

Market sentiment bhi aik crucial aspect hai. Current bearish sentiment shift ho sakta hai agar global economy mein positive developments ya US se favorable economic data aata hai. Yeh bhi important hai ke large institutional traders ki positioning aur unka market pe potential impact dekha jaye.

Iske ilawa, historical trends future movements ke liye insights provide kar sakti hain. USD/JPY pair ka aik history hai ke sharp movements periods of low volatility ke baad aati hain. Yeh pattern suggest karta hai ke current slow market calm before the storm ho sakta hai, indicating ke aane wale dinon mein significant movement possible hai.
Conclusion mein, jabke USD/JPY filhal bearish trend aur slow movement dikhata hai, kaafi factors substantial changes lead kar sakte hain. Traders ko economic data, geopolitical events, technical indicators, aur market sentiment pe nazar rakhni chahiye. Historical patterns ko dekhte hue, near future mein USD/JPY pair mein significant movement plausible hai. Jaise hamesha, informed aur potential volatility ke liye prepared rehna essential hai forex market mein.

**U.S. Dollar aur Yen: Market Analysis**

U.S. dollar thora sa gir gaya trading session mein jab pehle struggle kar raha tha yen ke muqable mein recover karne ke liye. Ye tabdeel tab aayi jab Bank of Japan ne interest rates ko lagbhag 15 basis points barha diya. Jabke yen ki qeemat samajhdari se barh rahi hai higher interest rates ke response mein, interest rate differential ab bhi US dollar ko support karta hai.

Is scenario ke madde nazar, market aakhir kar dollar ke khilaaf swing kar sakta hai. Magar Federal Reserve ke elaan se jo baad mein aane wala hai, kuch uncertainty aa sakti hai. Federal Reserve ki position ke mutabiq, market conditions tez tarah se badal sakti hain, jo ehtiyat talab hai.

**Market Sentiment aur Interest Rates**

Agar market apni mojudah levels se tezi se pull back karta hai, to ye is baat ki nishani hogi ke recent sell-off temporary tha. Ye is baat ka ishara de sakta hai ke traders tayar hain interest rate differential ka faida uthane ke liye jo US aur Japan ke beech hai. Magar Federal Reserve se dovish tone ka ana is dynamic ko dramatically badal sakta hai. Din ka khatima market ki approach mein crucial hoga.

**Cautiously Optimistic**

Filhaal, US dollar ke ongoing interest rates ke advantage ke sath, bias buying opportunities ki taraf shift ho rahi hai. Magar ehtiyat se dekhna aur Federal Reserve ke elaan par market ke reaction ko observe karna samajhdari hogi. Agar close 152 yen ke qareeb hoti hai, to ye ek strong positive sign hoga, jo resilience aur dollar terms mein further gains ke imkaan ko darshata hai.

**Conclusion**

Akhir mein, jabke yen thora barh gaya hai Bank of Japan appreciation ki wajah se, interest rate differentials ab bhi US dollar ke liye favorable hain. Aane wala Federal Reserve ka elaan kuch uncertainty lata hai, isliye ehtiyat zaroori hai. Ek strong market rally ka matlab ho sakta hai ke commodities ka end aur favorable dollar conditions ka wapsi. Abhi ke liye, ek watchful mind aur buying opportunities dekhna behtareen approach lagta hai.

**U.S. Dollar aur Yen: Market Analysis**

U.S. dollar thora sa gir gaya trading session mein jab pehle struggle kar raha tha yen ke muqable mein recover karne ke liye. Ye tabdeel tab aayi jab Bank of Japan ne interest rates ko lagbhag 15 basis points barha diya. Jabke yen ki qeemat samajhdari se barh rahi hai higher interest rates ke response mein, interest rate differential ab bhi US dollar ko support karta hai.

Is scenario ke madde nazar, market aakhir kar dollar ke khilaaf swing kar sakta hai. Magar Federal Reserve ke elaan se jo baad mein aane wala hai, kuch uncertainty aa sakti hai. Federal Reserve ki position ke mutabiq, market conditions tez tarah se badal sakti hain, jo ehtiyat talab hai.

**Market Sentiment aur Interest Rates**

Agar market apni mojudah levels se tezi se pull back karta hai, to ye is baat ki nishani hogi ke recent sell-off temporary tha. Ye is baat ka ishara de sakta hai ke traders tayar hain interest rate differential ka faida uthane ke liye jo US aur Japan ke beech hai. Magar Federal Reserve se dovish tone ka ana is dynamic ko dramatically badal sakta hai. Din ka khatima market ki approach mein crucial hoga.

**Cautiously Optimistic**

Filhaal, US dollar ke ongoing interest rates ke advantage ke sath, bias buying opportunities ki taraf shift ho rahi hai. Magar ehtiyat se dekhna aur Federal Reserve ke elaan par market ke reaction ko observe karna samajhdari hogi. Agar close 152 yen ke qareeb hoti hai, to ye ek strong positive sign hoga, jo resilience aur dollar terms mein further gains ke imkaan ko darshata hai.

**Conclusion**

Akhir mein, jabke yen thora barh gaya hai Bank of Japan appreciation ki wajah se, interest rate differentials ab bhi US dollar ke liye favorable hain. Aane wala Federal Reserve ka elaan kuch uncertainty lata hai, isliye ehtiyat zaroori hai. Ek strong market rally ka matlab ho sakta hai ke commodities ka end aur favorable dollar conditions ka wapsi. Abhi ke liye, ek watchful mind aur buying opportunities dekhna behtareen approach lagta hai.

USDJPY pair ka tajziya shuru karunga jo agle hafte trading ke liye plan kiya gaya hai. 4-hour time frame chart ki nazar se, forex market ke halat Monday ke din 157.50 ke price se shuru hue aur 156.28 ke area ki taraf niche aaye. Phir Tuesday se Friday tak market ka trend abhi bhi downtrend ki taraf ja raha tha. Agar pichle hafte ke market halat ko dekhein, to candlestick ka safar abhi bhi girawat ki taraf lagta hai. Pichle hafte ke trading period mein, market ne aise price condition dikhayi jo girne ki koshish kar rahi thi lekin 155.36 ke price zone se upar uth gayi. Is hafte bhi price abhi bhi niche ja rahi hai jab tak yeh 100-period simple moving average zone se door nahi hoti, jo seller ke control ka signal hai. Thursday ke trading mein buyers ki taraf se buying interest nazar aayi, jisse price mein upar ki taraf correction aayi, lekin yeh lamba nahi chala kyunki Saturday raat sellers ke pressure ne market trend ko bearish bana diya. Jab journal update hui, to market mein price temporarily 153.76 par ruki hui thi. Sellers abhi bhi influence rakhte hain jo prices ko aur neeche le ja sakte hain, jo ke July ke highest zone se niche haihai

USDJPY ne Jumeraat (6/28/24) ko itihas mein record high qeemat banayi, currency pair mein tezi se izafa ho sakta hai jo ke munafa lenay ki saakh hai. Girawat ka mouqa ab bhi US session tak ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Bullish channel aur Moving Average par breakout jo ke chal rahi qeemat se oopar hain yeh bearish tajzia mein izafa karte hain.
Aik ghantay ki chart analysis ke mutabiq. 15 M chart par upar bhasa di gayi hai. Is mein bhi girawat ka mouqa hai kyunke Moving Average chal rahi qeemat par hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai
USD/JPY pair apna bullish trend continue karega, mumkin hai ke ek higher zone tak upar move kare Iss hafte ka trend pattern ek uptrend indicate karta hai narrow range ke sath. Relatively modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, mumkin hai ke increase agle hafte bhi continue kare, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karengi. Subah ke candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo suggest karta hai ke market trend rise kar sakta hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko surpass kar sakte hain
USD/JPY abhi trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke Buyers ki mazbooti dikhata hai, aur trend line Support hai. Bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke buyers ko Resistance - 162.15 todna hoga, jisse trading channel khul jaye ga, aur Bulls' movement ke continuation ka imkan ho sakta hai. Pehla target Supply Zone - 160.47 hoga, jahan se history mein Sellers ne price ko barhaya tha. Reverse movement ka bhi imkan hai Short side ki taraf, lekin pehle Bears ko support - 160.24 todna hoga, jahan se price aksar bounce hoti rahi hai. Bears ki mazbooti ka tasdeeq hoga jab price broken level - 160.31 ke niche fix ho jaye ga, jo ke price ki kamzori dikhaye ga. USD/JPY ka downtrend ab bhi maujood hai. Price ne support level 155.48 par paya, jahan se bounce hua. Technical analysis dikhata hai ke price four-hour time frame par cloud ke niche trade kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke niche hai, Chikou span line price chart ke niche hai, aur "dead cross" active hai. Relative strength index value 50 ke niche hai, aur "trend filter" oscillator red color mein hai, jo bearish market sentiment signal karta hai. Mazid decline ka imkan barqarar hai. Agar price level 155.48 ko todti aur successful consolidation karti hai, to nayi sales ko consider karna munasib hoga. Is scenario mein, next potential target support level 154.70 hoga. Alternative scenario ke liye tayyar rahna hoga jab price cloud ke upar trade kar rahi ho, aur

JPY ka currency pair moderate decline ka samna kar raha hai. Ek point pe pair significantly drop hua lekin jaldi se current weekly session ke opening levels pe wapas aa gaya. Yeh recovery volatility ko indicate karti hai aur suggest karti hai ke market abhi nayi trend establish karne ke liye tayar nahi hai. Ek possible wajah yeh hai ke investors US market opening se pehle profits lock kar rahe hain. Profit-taking aam hai un traders ke beech jo European session ke gains secure karna chahte hain, kyunki US markets mein volatility ho sakti hai. USD/JPY pair ka performance mukhtalif factors se influenced hota hai jaise economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. For instance, US economic indicators jaise employment reports, inflation data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions ka asar pair pe padta hai. Isi tarah, Japan ki economic conditions aur policy decisions bhi crucial role play karte hain.

Thursday ko, USD/JPY ne record high touch kiya, jo rapid increase ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh profit-taking ka potential opportunity suggest karta hai. US session se pehle decline ka chance bhi ho sakta hai. Furthermore, moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout bearish pressure ko indicate karta hai.

Hourly chart analysis ke mutabiq, aur 15-minute chart pe, decline ka possibility bhi hai kyunki moving average current price ke upar hai, jo bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai for USD/JPY pair, potentially higher zone mein move karne ka. Iss week ka trend pattern uptrend aur narrow range ko indicate karta hai. Relatively modest upward rally ke madde nazar, yeh increase agle hafte tak continue ho sakti hai, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karenge. Morning candlestick 100-period simple moving average ke upar close hui, jo market trend ke rise ko suggest karti hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone surpass kar sakein...

Is waqt, USD/JPY trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko show karta hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke continue hone ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance break karna hoga, jo trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke movement ke continuation ka potential dega. Pehla target supply zone hoga 160.47 pe, jahan historically sellers ne price down push kiya tha. Reverse movement towards short side bhi possible hai, lekin bears ko pehle 160.24 support break karna hoga, jahan se price aksar bounce back hoti hai. Bears ki strength tab confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke neeche consolidate ho jaye, jo price weakness ko indicate karega.

USD / JPY H1 Chart:



Ko ki keemat neechay ki taraf chalay gayi aur ek local channel mein chaltay hue ek calculated support tak gir gayi. Us level par, yeh dekhna dilchasp hai ke Bulls kitni consistency se apni zone mein galtiyon mein khareedte rahe. Ek aur cheez thodi kam, lekin aur bhi ahem hai, lekin giravat abhi khatam nahi hui. Trend channel abhi tak toota nahi hai, average prices girte ja rahe hain aur oscillators abhi tak upar ki taraf palat nahi gaye hain. Linear SSI mein chhoti izafay abhi tak nahi shumar ki gayi hain. Abhi ke liye, ek local correction channel ke upper border par aur neechay calculation zone mein 145.00 mein giravat jaari rehna bohot mumkin hai. Aur phir dekhtay hain ke keemat kya karti hai.

USD / JPY M30 Chart:



Kaafi dukh ki baat hai aur sab se ahem yeh aik moatabar haqeeqat hai, jo is trading instrument ke price chart par bayan hoti hai, aur sach mein, US se buri khabron ke jariye jaari hone ke baad, jo puri tarah se surkhiyon mein thi USDJPY pair 146.66 ke mark area tak ek paanchwe intraday bearish wave mein gir gaya, jismein woh ab naye volume level banane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar liquidity pichli price downside se khatam nahi hoti, jis ke baad current general south se rollback hoti hai, chhathe bearish wave ke andar to hum is aur pichli bearish waves se baraber door hain. Giravat ho sakti hai, lekin agar price sab ke liye upar jaati hai aur 149.02 rally ke upar break hoti hai, jaise meri drawing mein, to is scenario ke neeche, mojooda gen.. Ek bade corrective rollback ke dauraan south se, hum uttar ki taraf chal sakte hain jahan 153.41 mark par accumulated volume ke saath chal sakte hain, aur agar yeh sach hai aur aise halaat mein, USDJPY price level neeche nahi jaata. 153.41 dena chahta hai. Upar jaata hai, to is scenario mein, 153.41 level ke upar, wahan se neeche banaye gaye low ke neeche girne ki sambhavna hai.

Is discussion mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki price movements aur analysis ko cover karenge. Abhi, USD/JPY pair 153.97 ke level se upar hold kar raha hai, jo ek strong upward trend ko dikhata hai aur ane walay dinon mein 157.51 ka target achieve karne ki potential rakhta hai. Pichlay paanch dinon mein, yeh pair sideways movement dekh raha hai, 153.02 ke support zone se bounce karte hue, jo ek psychological level hai. Yeh significant hai kyunki yeh trading volume ki accumulation aur volatility mein slowdown ka indication deta hai.
Chart yeh indicate karta hai ke yeh instrument ek ascending bullish channel ke lower boundary se exit kar chuka hai aur ab descending bearish trend ko continue karne ka stage set kar raha hai.

Situation kuch uncertain lagti hai; lekin, mujhe bullish side ki taraf ek correction ki umeed hai, jo ke 157.27 ke resistance zone tak ja sakti hai, jo ke Bollinger indicator ke moving average line se defined hai. Yeh area bhi descending bearish channel ki upper boundary ko represent karta hai, agar ek trend reversal hota hai. Abhi, trading instrument ki market price 154.11 par hai. Aaj subah ke trading mein, yeh instrument 153.63 par support mila aur wahan se ascend karna shuru kiya, aur 154.25 tak pohch gaya

Technical indicators of the envelope suggest karte hain ke prices likely hai ke increase karengi. MACD indicator positive territory mein hai, aur Stochastic indicator buyer activity ke signs show kar raha hai. Anticipation hai ke price 157.01 ke level tak rise karega. Yeh analysis key levels aur technical indicators ko highlight karta hai, aur upward aur downward movements dono ko anticipate karta hai. Strategic planning maintain karna aur market developments se updated rehna crucial hai taake in dynamics ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake

U.S. dollar ne Monday ko initially thoda upar jane ki koshish ki, magar week ke dauran sustained trading pressure face kiya. Latest jobs report, jo sirf 114,000 jobs ka change dikhaya jab ke expectation 175,000 thi, downward trend ko continue kar raha hai. Ye disappointing employment data dollar ke liye ek major milestone ho sakta hai, jo further declines ka signal de sakta hai.

Is scenario ko dekhte hue, agar selling pressure continue rahta hai, toh dollar 141 yen tak gir sakta hai. Conversely, agar dollar recover karne me kamiyab hota hai aur 150 yen tak wapas jata hai, toh ye ek strong aur important recovery ka signal hoga. Magar long-term traders increasingly worried hain about global economy slowdown, jo Japanese yen ko safety ki taraf move kar sakta hai.

Ab hum ek mushkil waqt me hain. Long-term me koi specifics nahi hain, lekin agle kuch dinon me closely dekhna zaroori hai. Current market conditions kaafi unfavourable hain, aur trends me possible changes ke bare me sochne pe majboor karte hain, magar koi bhi decisive action lene se pehle confirm karna zaroori hai. Experience ne dikhaya hai ke agar early action liya gaya, toh bade losses ho sakte hain, specially agar big positions enter ki gayi. Market sentiment fearful hai, jo indicate karta hai ke Yen finally recover kar raha hai. Long-term outlook for dollar accelerate ho gaya hai.

Summary me, U.S. dollar initially upar jane ki koshish kar raha tha magar selling pressure aur weaker-than-expected jobs news ne uske efforts ko blow kar diya. Ye further declines ke liye stage set kar raha hai, likely targeting 141 yen. Market critical point pe pohanch gaya hai, aur yen global financial problems ke amid security-seeking behavior se benefit ho sakta hai.Kya hasil hoga? Price descending channel se break out kar gaya, lekin local channel me move karta raha aur calculated supports me se ek tak gir gaya. Us level pe, yeh dekhna interesting hai ke Bulls ne apni zone mistakes me consistently buy kiya. Ek aur cheez thodi kam, lekin zyada important hai, magar girawat abhi khatam nahi hui hai. Trend channel abhi tak break nahi hua, average prices decline karte ja rahe hain aur oscillators abhi tak upar ki taraf reverse nahi hue. Linear SSI me choti choti increments abhi tak calculate nahi hui hain. Filhal, local correction upper border of the channel pe ho sakti hai aur phir decline continue ho sakta hai lower calculation zone me 145.00 tak. Aur phir dekhte hain ke price kya karta hai.