usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Japanese Yen (JPY) ko abhi bhi zabar-dast dabao ka samna hai, aur ye ek naye tareekh ke low tak phir se gir gaya hai. Pichle Jumme ko, Yen aksar 161.28 tak gir gaya tha, lekin phir 160.00 ke neeche wapas aa gaya. Ye naye low ki aati hai jab Japanese Finance Minister Shun’ichi Suzuki ne wohi purana paigham dobarah diya jo pehle keh chuke hain.

**USD/JPY ke Buniyadiyat:**

Jab Yen kamzor ho raha hai, US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US Dollar ki keemat ko chay bade currencies ke against measure karta hai, ab bhi positive territory mein hai. Ye tab ho raha hai jab recent US economic data ne Dollar ko zyada faida nahi diya. Thursday ko reports ne dikhaya ke Durable Goods orders barqarar rahe aur Pending Home Sales do baar lagataar giri hain. Magar Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) numbers apne disinflationary trend ko follow kar rahe hain, bina kisi significant market disruption ke.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Currency pair ne apne recent highs ke nazdeek trade karna continue kiya hai. Filhal, pair 155.90 par positioned hai. Halankeh Relative Strength Index (RSI) daily chart par overbought conditions ko indicate kar raha hai, lekin lagta hai ke rasta ab bhi upar ki taraf hai. Agla key resistance level 160.00 par hai, jo 2023 ke lows se 138.2% Fibonacci projection ke barabar hai. Traders ko 151.50 aur 150.80 par support levels bhi nazar mein rakhni chahiye.

RSI overbought conditions ko indicate karta hai, magar foran correction hone ka imkaan kam hai. Agar PCE data disinflationary trends ko reflect karta raha, to ye USD/JPY ko 151.91 tak neeche le jaane ke liye kafi nahi ho sakta. Iske bajaye, traders ko 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo 157.19 par hai aur 100-day SMA jo 155.55 par hai, ko monitor karna chahiye. Ye moving averages pivot points ke taur par kaam kar sakti hain, jo pair ko phir se higher levels test karne ki ijazat de sakti hain.

USD/JPY H4

Jummah ko USD/JPY currency pair mein significant decline dekhne ko mila, jahan US dollar 1.6% gira aur New York trading mein 157.51 pe close hua. Session ke pehle hisse mein isne 157.30 ka low hit kiya, jo us din ka sabse lowest level tha. Ye tezi se girawat market reports ke baad aayi, jo yeh suggest kar rahi thi ke Japanese authorities ne forex market mein intervene kiya taake USD/JPY pair ki depreciation ko tez kiya ja sake. Ye intervention ek strategic move tha US dollar ki weakness ka leverage lene ke liye.

Market speculation yeh indicate kar rahi hai ke Japanese government aur Bank of Japan ne USD/JPY exchange rate ko influence karne ke liye step liya. Aise interventions aam tor pe currency market ko stabilize karne aur specific economic objectives achieve karne ke liye hote hain. Iss instance mein, intervention ka maksad tha ke Japanese yen ki rapid appreciation ko roka ja sake against US dollar. Authorities ne weak US dollar ko ek mauka samjha action lene ka, taake yen ki strength Japan ke export-driven economy ko adversely impact na kar sake.

Agar hum current daily timeframe pattern ko dekhein, toh price ne waqehi upar ki taraf correction kiya hai aur EMA 55 daily aur EMA 7 daily ko test karne ka potential rakhti hai. Ye increase abhi bhi ek correction movement ke tor pe dekha jaa raha hai due to profit taking after reaching strong support at 155.43. Abhi ke liye, price EMA 55 daily resistance area mein consolidate karte hue nazar aa rahi hai jahan agar sell option reject hota hai, toh phir se liya ja sakta hai. Kai indicators, dono stochastic aur RSI, yeh dikhate hain ke abhi bhi upward correction pattern nazar aa raha hai halan ke wo abhi bhi strong sell area mein hain, jahan stochastic 80 area ko todne ki koshish kar raha hai aur RSI 70 area ke qareeb hai. Kai patterns ko dekh kar, sell setup dhoondhna future mein trade karne ke liye ek zyada attractive option lagta hai USD/JPY pair pe.

### USD/JPY: Price Action Strategies
#### Haal Ka Market Analysis
USD/JPY currency pair aik significant support zone se potential rebound dikha raha hai. Ye rebound, however, kuch notable obstacles face kar raha hai jo bullish momentum ko hinder kar sakte hain. Pair ne recent mein ek crucial trend line ko neeche se test kiya, jo significant resistance level indicate kar raha hai. In hurdles ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair ab bhi overarching bullish trend mein correct kar raha hai, jahan bearish forces kuch influence maintain kar rahe hain.

#### Key Factors Jo USD/JPY Ko Influence Kar Rahe Hain

1. **Technical Indicators**:
- **Support aur Resistance Levels**: Current support zone bullish action ke liye ek potential springboard provide kar raha hai. Trend line jo recently neeche se test ki gayi thi, wo ek critical barrier ban gayi hai.
- **Intermediate Accumulation**: Pehle ke accumulation phases indicate karte hain ke potential areas jahan selling pressure wapas aasakti hai, bullish advances ko slow down kar sakti hain.

2. **De-Marker Oscillator**:
- De-Marker oscillator H4 time frame pe ab tak overbought level pe nahi pohncha hai, jo suggest karta hai ke ab bhi upward movement ke liye space hai. Ye technical indicator un traders ke liye hope provide karta hai jo market ke overextended hone se pehle further gains anticipate kar rahe hain.

#### Price Action Strategy

1. **Anticipated Move to 158.201**:
- Current analysis ke mutabiq, new trading week ke start pe price level 158.201 tak modest increase expect kiya ja raha hai. Ye target broader trend ke within current bullish correction se derive kiya gaya hai.

2. **Potential Pullback**:
- Expected rise to 158.201 ke baad, ek pullback likely hai. Is pullback ki depth uncertain hai aur ye market sentiment, economic data releases, aur geopolitical developments par depend karegi.

3. **Strategic Entry aur Exit Points**:
- **Entry Point**: Traders current support zone ke paas long positions enter karne ka soch sakte hain, stops ko is level ke thoda neeche place kar ke risk manage karne ke liye.
- **Profit Target**: Profit target ko 158.201 level ke aas paas set karna anticipated modest rise ke saath align karta hai.
- **Monitoring Pullback**: 158.201 tak reach hone ke baad, traders ko price action closely monitor karna chahiye pullback ke signs ke liye. Trailing stops use karna profits protect karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai jab tak upward movement continue rehti hai agar expectations se beyond extend hoti hai.

#### Risk Management

1. **Stop-Loss Orders**:
- Tight stop-loss orders ko support zone ke neeche implement karna help kar sakta hai potential losses ko limit karne mein agar price anticipated direction ke against move kare.

2. **Position Sizing**:
- Account equity aur risk tolerance ke base par proper position sizing exposure ko manage karne aur significant losses prevent karne ke liye crucial hai.

3. **Monitoring Economic Data**:
- US aur Japan se key economic indicators jaise ke GDP growth, inflation rates, aur central bank policies ko closely monitor karna chahiye kyun ke ye USD/JPY pair ko significantly impact kar sakte hain.

#### Conclusion

Jab ke USD/JPY pair bullish trend ke within correct kar raha hai, significant resistance aur prior accumulation phases cautious approach suggest karte hain. De-Marker oscillator ke current readings further upward movement ke liye optimism provide karte hain, with a potential rise to 158.201 level new trading week ke beginning mein. However, subsequent pullback ki likelihood price action ko vigilantly monitor karne aur robust risk management strategies implement karne ko necessitate karti hai.

Technical analysis ko strategic entry aur exit points ke saath combine karne se, traders effectively USD/JPY pair ke movements navigate kar sakte hain. Proper risk management ensure karna aur economic developments se informed rehna key hoga potential opportunities ko capitalize karne ke liye within this dynamic currency pair.

USD/JPY DAILY TIME FRAME CHART.
Aoa dost! Shukriya mere sath dene ke liye. Aaj mein ne USD/JPY mein trading ki hai. Kya tum bhi sath ho? Mein ne short position li aur ise 154.04 pe khatam kiya. Sab theek hai, kyunki is instrument ko trade karna kafi satisfying hai. Chalo dekhte hain ke Ichimoku indicator USD/JPY ke bare mein kya dikhata hai: Daily chart pe lagta hai ke bears market ko apni taraf le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Ek golden cross kuch waqt pehle hua tha, jo ke buy signal ko indicate karta hai jab Tenkan-Sen aur Kijun-Sen ne March mein cross kiya tha. Magar, ek dead cross haal hi mein July mein bana. Interesting baat yeh hai ke yeh zone mein hua jo ke typical nahi hai - Ichimoku Cloud ke ooper, jo ke bullish market ko indicate karta hai. Lekin ab, lagta hai ke bears ne kuch ground hasil kiya hai, aur downward trend start ho gaya hai, halaan ke yeh abhi itna intense nahi hai. Ichimoku Cloud ke local level se break karne ne moving average ko ek clear bearish trend mein dal diya hai cloud ke neeche. Isi dauran, Kijun-Sen local Cloud ke andar hai. Cloud abhi kafi bullish aur inflated nazar aa raha hai, lekin forecast dikhata hai ke bearish territory ki taraf shift ho raha hai. Chikou-Span bhi indecisive lag raha hai, downward shift hua hai aur local Ichimoku Cloud ke andar hai, jo ke iska influence divide kar raha hai. Mera focus sirf Tenkan-Sen ke bottom ko test karne pe nahi hai, balki is moving average ke upar consolidate karne pe bhi hai taake mazeed growth anticipate kar sako.
CHART USD/JPY DAILY.

Market bearish ho gaya hai aur aik downward channel khul gaya hai, jo yeh batata hai ke ab sellers dominate kar rahe hain. Jaisay jaisay downward momentum barh raha hai, mujhe umeed hai ke price 157.515 level tak giray gi. Yeh specific level bohat important hai kyun ke mujhe lagta hai ke yahan selling pressure kam ho ga aur buying interest shuru ho sakta hai. Aksar aise levels pe slowdown dekhnay ko milta hai kyun ke buyers isko accha entry point samajh ke positions accumulate karte hain. Agar price 157.515 tak pohanchti hai, tou mein market ka reaction closely monitor karoon ga. Agar buyers yahan active ho jate hain, tou yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke current downtrend ruk gaya hai ya reverse ho sakta hai, jo temporary consolidation ya bullish rebound ban sakta hai. Lekin, buying interest ki extent yeh determine karegi ke yeh level hold karta hai ya price break through kar ke apni descent continue karti hai.
Doosri taraf, agar market 157.515 level pohanchne se pehle bullish correction experience karta hai, tou usay resistance 157.374 level ke qareeb face karna paray ga, jo current channel ke upper part ke qareeb hai. Yeh area critical hai kyun ke yeh wo zone represent karta hai jahan bears pehle position le chuke hote hain, aur unka selling pressure wapas aa sakta hai. Agar market apni upward correction ko 157.374 ke qareeb rok deta hai aur reversal ke signs dikhaata hai, tou yeh aik potential selling opportunity present kar sakta hai. Is point pe, traders ko reversal signals dekhne chahiye, jaise ke bearish candlestick patterns, declining volume, ya doosri technical indicators jo bearish sentiment ko confirm karen. Agar yeh signals clear ho jate hain, tou yeh short positions enter karne ka ideal moment ho sakta hai, aur downward trend ke resumption pe bet kiya ja sakta hai.

USDJPY pair abhi tak zyada bearish pressure mein hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke downtrend abhi bhi is currency pair mein dominant hai. 155.601 ke previous low ko break karne ke baad, price ne apna decline continue rakha aur 151.922 ka naya low banaya. Is breakout ne significant bearish strength ko indicate kiya, kyun ke ek important support level ko break karke further declines ke liye raasta khol diya hai.
151.922 ka low touch karne ke baad, USDJPY ne ek upward correction experience kiya. Yeh correction ek natural market reaction hai ek sharp decline ke baad, jahan kuch market players profit le rahe hote hain ya technical buying hoti hai jo price ko thoda upar push karti hai. Magar yeh correction limited lagti hai aur bearish outlook ko change nahi karti.

Abhi, USDJPY apne last downward movement ke 50% Fibonacci retracement zone mein enter hoti dikhayi de rahi hai. Yeh zone technical analysis mein aksar important area hoti hai, jahan prices ko strong resistance milti hai. Yeh 50% Fibonacci retracement zone previous base area ke saath bhi coincide karta hai jo 154.416 - 154.988 ke aas paas hai. Yeh base area ek level hai jahan price pehle consolidate ya pause hui thi before apna main trend continue karte hue. Is context mein, yeh area ek strong resistance ke tor pe serve kar sakti hai jo further upward movement ko potentially block kar sakti hai.

50% Fibonacci zone aur previous base area ke confluence ke saath, yeh zyada chance hai ke price is level ke around significant selling pressure ko face kare. Traders is area ko ek opportunity ke tor pe dekh sakte hain sell position enter karne ke liye, yeh expect karte hue ke price apna downtrend resume karegi after upward correction end hone ke baad. Iske ilawa, ek wise stop loss placement 154.988 level ke upar better risk management provide kar sakti hai agar price predictions ke against move karti hai.

Jumay ko, USD/JPY currency pair ne significant decline dekha, jahan US dollar 1.6% gir gaya aur New York trading mein 157.51 pe close hua. Session ke aghaz mein, yeh 157.30 ka low hit kar chuka tha, jo din ka sabse lowest level tha. Yeh sharp decline market reports ke baad aaya jo suggest karti hain ke Japanese authorities ne forex market mein intervene kiya taake USD/JPY pair ke depreciation ko tez kiya ja sake. Yeh intervention shayad ek strategic move tha taake US dollar ki weakness ka faida uthaya ja sake.
Market speculation yeh indicate karti hai ke Japanese government aur Bank of Japan ne USD/JPY exchange rate ko influence karne ke liye step liya. Aise interventions aksar currency market ko stabilize karne aur specific economic objectives ko achieve karne ke liye hote hain. Is case mein, intervention ka maqsad Japanese yen ki rapid appreciation ko rokna tha. Authorities ne shayad weakening US dollar ko ek moqay ke tor par dekha taake yen ki strength Japan ki export-driven economy ko adversely impact na kare.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye, agar hum current daily timeframe pattern ko dekhein, tou price ne waqai upward correction ki hai aur EMA 55 daily aur EMA 7 daily ko test karne ka potential rakhti hai. Yeh increase abhi bhi ek correction movement ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, profit taking ke baad jab price strong support 155.43 pe pohanchi. Abhi, price EMA 55 daily resistance area mein consolidate kar rahi hai jahan agar sell option reject hoti hai tou wapas liya ja sakta hai. Kai indicators, jaise ke stochastic aur RSI, abhi bhi upward correction pattern dikha rahe hain halanke yeh abhi bhi strong sell area mein hain, jahan stochastic 80 area ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur RSI 70 area ke qareeb hai. Maujooda patterns ko dekhte hue, sell setup dhoondhna lagta hai ke future mein USDJPY pair pe trade karne ke liye zyada attractive option ho sakta hai.

Japanese Yen (JPY abhi tez chal raha hai. Teesre din ke liye yeh mazboot ho raha hai, jo shayad is wajah se hai ke investors apne paisay ke liye safe havens dhoondh rahe hain. Yeh ummeed ke saath aa raha hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) agle haftay apni policy meeting mein finally interest rates barhaye ga. Is policy shift ke sabab short sellers apni positions chhod rahe hain, jo Yen ko aur mazbooti de raha hai. Iske ilawa, Japan ki ruling party ke senior figures BoJ se keh rahe hain ke wo apne plan ko zyada transparent banaye taake monetary policy ko interest rate hikes ke zariye gradually normalize kiya ja sake. Yeh Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ke vision ke saath bhi align karta hai jo Japanese economy ko growth-based banane ka plan rakhtay hain aur unka kehna hai ke yeh central bank ki policy normalization pe depend karta hai. Is dauran, US Dollar (USD) ko mushkilat ka samna hai. Federal Reserve ke potential rate cut ke bets barh rahe hain.
Daily timeframe pe Bollinger bands indicator ko monitor karte hue, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke price Middle Bollinger bands area ke neeche hai aur abhi sellers price ko Lower Bollinger bands area ki taraf le ja rahe hain, jo aaj ke trading mein bearish sellers ke liye target area ban sakta hai. Market support bearish candlesticks ke dominance se bhi nazar aati hai jo yeh indicate karti hain ke USD/JPY market pair abhi bhi strong bearish trend mein hai. Agar Lower Bollinger bands area price 155.24-155.20 ko validly break kiya jata hai, tou USD/JPY pair ki price aur zyada kamzor ho sakti hai aur agla target buyer's demand support area ki taraf ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY/H1/ 155.22-155.20.

Wednesday ke subah Asian market session mein buyers ne resistance dikhane ki koshish ki taake price ko bullish banaya ja sake aur nearest seller resistance area 156.60-156.62 ko penetrate kiya ja sake. Agar yeh successfully penetrate hota hai, tou USD/JPY pair ki price aur upar soar kar sakti hai aur agla target seller's supply resistance area 157.45-157.47 ki taraf ho sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh fail hota hai, tou USD/JPY pair ki price phir se sellers ke control mein aa jaye gi jo price drop karke support area 155.22-155.20 ko test karna chahenge.

Pichlay Monday (July 29) ko, New York trading ke akhir mein US dollar yen ke muqable mein 0.13% barh gaya, aur din ke end mein 153.99 par band hua, aur pehle 0.49% gir kar 153.04 par tha. Kul mila kar, dollar/yen apne halia neeche range mein kam tabdeelion ke sath raha. Traders is hafte ke akhir mein aane wale kuch market events ke liye tayari kar rahe hain, jin mein Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan aur Bank of England ki policy decisions shamil hain, saath hi Friday ko aane wali US employment report bhi.

Bazaar pichlay haftay yen ke tez utar chadhav par nazar rakha hua tha, aur Bank of Japan ke is haftay interest rates barhane ke iqdamat ke baray mein speculation garam thi, aur Bank of Japan ne kuch dino mein kai dafa yen khareed kar yen ko mazboot kiya. Jahaan tak US dollar ka taluq hai, bazaar aam tor par ye expect karta hai ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is haftay interest rates ko badalti nahi, magar agle meeting mein September mein 25 basis points se cut karega. Halankeh FOMC agle mahine August mein koi meeting nahi karega, Fed Chairman Powell Jackson Hole Central Bank Presidents' Meeting ko late August mein istemal kar sakte hain September mein rate cut ke liye tayari karne ke liye. Tab tak, zyada inflation data aur Friday ki July employment report mil chuki hogi jo policymakers ko rate cut ke liye conditions tolne mein madad de sakti hain.

Mojooda market atmosphere ko dekhte hue, jab ke US-Japan yield gap tang hone ki umeed hai, long-term carry trade advantage jo yen ko borrow aur short karte hain, agle do mahine mein asani se kamzor hota nahi lagta. Aakhir kar, foreign exchange market ka haawi quwat ab bhi United States mein hai. Jab United States apne rate cuts ke attitude ko badalta hai, yen apni decline ko ulatne ke raaste mein kai rukawat ka saamna karega


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USD/JPY currency pair, jo ke is waqt 154.72 par hai, bearish trend dikhata hai. Is trend ka matlab hai ke Japanese yen US dollar ke muqable mein mazboot ho raha hai, jo ke traders aur investors ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai. Halanki market ka movement abhi dheema hai, mujhe yakeen hai ke aane wale dinon mein USD/JPY pair mein significant volatility dekhnay ko milegi. Is umeed ke peechay kai factors hain, jinmein economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment shamil hain ### Economic Indicator
Currency movements ke primary drivers mein se ek economic data hota hai. USD/JPY pair ke liye, US aur Japan dono ke key economic indicators iske direction ko kafi asar dalte hain. United States ke recent economic data, jaise ke employment reports, inflation rates, aur GDP growth, ne mixed signals dikhayi hain. Jabke US economy resilience dikhata hai, inflationary pressures abhi bhi concern hain. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy decisions, khas tor par interest rates ke hawale se, ahmiyat rakhti hain. Rate hikes ya cuts ka koi bhi ishara USD/JPY pair mein significant fluctuations paida kar sakta hai
Japan ki taraf, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka policy stance bhi utna hi ahmiyat rakhta hai. BoJ ne kai salon se ultra-loose monetary policy ko barqarar rakha hai, taake deflation se nipat sake aur economic growth ko stimulate kar sake. Lekin agar is policy mein koi bhi shift hoti hai, jaise ke interest rates ya bond-buying programs mein tabdeeli, to yen mein sharp movements dekhi ja sakti hain. Traders BoJ meetings aur statements ko closely dekhte hain kisi bhi policy adjustments ke liye
### Geopolitical Events
Geopolitical events aksar market volatility ke liye catalysts ka kaam karte hain. USD/JPY pair ke liye, major economies ke darmiyan tensions, jaise ke US-China trade relations, market mein ripples paida kar sakte hain. Iske ilawa, Japan mein hone wale events, jaise ke political developments ya natural disasters, investor sentiment aur currency movements ko impact kar sakte hain. Yen ko aksar safe-haven currency mana jata hai, matlab global uncertainty ke waqt investors is taraf rujhan karte hain, jo iski value ko dollar ke muqable mein mazboot kar deta hai
### Market Sentiment
Market sentiment, jo traders aur investors ke collective behavior se driven hota hai, currency pairs ko bhi asar dalta hai. Filhal, USD/JPY mein bearish trend dollar ke muqable mein yen ke liye confidence ki kami ko dikhata hai. Yeh sentiment mukhtalif factors se influenced ho sakta hai, jinmein global economy ka overall health, investor risk appetite, aur future monetary policies ke hawale se expectations shamil hain
### Technical Analysis
Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, USD/JPY pair ka current position 154.72 par hai jo ke key support aur resistance levels ke qareeb hai. Technical analysts mukhtalif tools, jaise ke moving averages, trend lines, aur oscillators ka use karte hain future price movements ko predict karne ke liye. Bearish trend yeh suggest karta hai ke pair near term mein lower support levels ko test kar sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh key resistance levels ko break karta hai, to ek significant upward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai
### Historical Contex
USD/JPY pair ki historical performance dekhte hue, yeh significant volatility dekh chuka hai jab bhi economic uncertainty ya major policy shifts ka waqt aya. Misal ke taur par, 2008 ke global financial crisis ke dauran, yen ne dollar ke muqable mein surge kiya tha kyunki investors ne safe-haven assets ko tarjeeh di thi. Isi tarah, jab US mein strong economic growth aur rising interest rates ka daur tha, to dollar yen ke muqable mein mazboot hota gaya

USD/JPY H4 Analysis

Jumma ko, USD/JPY currency pair mein aik bara girawat dekhne ko mili, jahan US dollar 1.6% gir gaya aur New York trading mein 157.51 par band hua. Session ke aaghaz mein, ye 157.30 tak gir gaya, jo din ka sabse kam point tha. Ye tezi se girawat market reports ke baad aayi jo ye suggest kar rahi thi ke Japanese authorities ne forex market mein interven kiya taake USD/JPY pair ki depreciation ko tezi se barhaya ja sake. Ye intervention ek strategic move tha taake US dollar ki kamzori ka faida uthaya ja sake

Market speculation ke mutabiq, Japanese government aur Bank of Japan ne USD/JPY exchange rate ko influence karne ke liye steps liye. Aisi interventions aam tor par currency market ko stabilize karne aur specific economic objectives hasil karne ke liye ki jati hain. Is case mein, intervention ka maqsad Japanese yen ki rapid appreciation ko roknay ka tha jo US dollar ke muqable mein ho rahi thi. Authorities ne weak US dollar ko ek mauqa samjha ke action lein taake yen ki strength ko Japan ki export-driven economy par negative impact se bachaya ja sake

Agar current daily timeframe pattern dekha jaye, to price waqai upar correct hui hai aur EMA 55 aur EMA 7 ko daily chart par test karne ke liye tayar hai. Ye increase ab bhi corrective movement kehlai gi jo ke profit-taking ke baad strong support 155.43 ko touch karne ke baad hui hai. Filhal, price EMA 55 daily resistance area mein consolidate karti nazar aa rahi hai, jahan agar sell option reject hota hai to ek reversal ho sakta hai. Kai indicators, including Stochastic aur RSI, dikhate hain ke ab bhi ek upward correction pattern hai, halan ke wo strong sell area mein hain, jahan Stochastic 80 level ke upar break karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur RSI 70 ke aas paas hai. Observed patterns ke madde nazar, USD/JPY pair mein sell setups dhondhna future trading ke liye aik attractive option lag raha hai

Dusri taraf, agar market bullish correction experience karti hai 157.515 level tak pohchne se pehle, to usay 157.374 level ke paas resistance face karni paregi, jo ke current channel ke upper part ke kareeb hai. Ye area critical hai kyun ke yahan pehle bears ne apne position banayi hogi, aur unki selling pressure wapas aasakti hai. Agar market 157.374 ke aas paas apni upward correction ko rokti hai aur reversal ke signs dikhati hai, to ye potential selling opportunity ho sakti hai. Is point par, traders ko reversal signals dekhne chahiye, jaise ke bearish candlestick patterns, declining volume, ya dusre technical indicators jo bearish sentiment confirm karen. Agar ye signals zahir hote hain, to ye ideal moment ho sakta hai short positions enter karne ka, downward trend ke resumption par bet lagate hue

USD/JPY bhi upar ki taraf ja raha hai halan ke yeh abhi kafi patla hai. Support 151.90 ek ahm zone hai jo girawat ke liye ek neechay ki hadh hai, jaisa ke yahan pe rejection hote dekha gaya hai aur is wajah se price ab tak upar gaya hai. Bohot zyada chances hain ke price dobara barhega aur MA 100 level ko test karega jo ke 157.19 ke price pe hai. Ya phir lamba target 160.24 ke aas paas fresh Supply area mein ho sakta hai. Candlestick ka position abhi Simple Moving Average indicator line period 200 ke neechay hai jo ke USD/JPY pair pe SELLERS ka strong influence ka signal hai jo ke abhi bhi price ko consistently neechay rakhne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur bearish trend ko continue kar rahe hain jo ke kuch hafton se chal raha hai.

Doosri taraf, Relative Strength Index indicator period 5 ke conditions ko monitor karne ke baad jo abhi bhi level 70 se thoda neechay hai, yeh bhi ek strong signal hai ke price abhi bhi neechay ki taraf move kar raha hai. Market abhi bhi high volatility mein hai jo ke kuch dinon se dekhne ko mil rahi hai kyunki USD/JPY market mein SELLERS ke zyada Sales transactions ho rahi hain. Khaaskar jab market pichlay budh ke din tha jahan price ne kafi bara downward movement dekha trading session ke dauran.

Chote timeframe par price position monitor ki gayi hai jo ke ab Simple Moving Average line period 50 ke upar hai aur thodi upar ko correct hui hai. Shayad aaj price position area 154.00 - 155.23 ke aas paas consolidate karegi kyunki Tuesday ke din aisi conditions aksar hoti hain jab market ke halat nisbatan khamosh hote hain. H1 timeframe par market trend conditions ko dekha jaye toh yeh kafi wazeh hai ke yeh abhi bhi downward phase mein hai lekin range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend thoda bearish hai, jabke July 2024 ke shuruat se trading session ke baad USD/JPY pair ka trend upar ki taraf move kiya hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke is haftay ke market conditions abhi bhi mahana trend ke mutabiq hain.

USD/JPY Analysis:

USD/JPY pair ne 155.20-155.50 ke resistance level ko break karne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, jo ke ek potential reversal ka indication hai. Is resistance level ko paar na kar paane se bullish momentum kamzor hota dikhai de raha hai, aur decline ki ummeed hai. Pair ki expectation hai ke pehle 154.73 tak giregi, aur shayad support range 155.20-154.83 tak aur niche chale. Yeh movement market sentiment ka shift dikhata hai, jahan sellers buyers par zyada control gain kar rahe hain.

Is scenario ke madde nazar, hum anticipate kar sakte hain ke pair 154.83-155.16 ke level ki taraf move karega. Yeh range critical hai kyunki yeh ek potential area hai jahan pair stabilize ho sakti hai ya phir further pressure face kar sakti hai. Agar pair is range ke andar develop hoti hai, to yeh bearish trend ka indication hoga, jo sellers ke market mein control ko highlight karega. Traders ko is range ke andar price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki yeh future movements aur potential reversal points ke bare mein essential clues provide karega.

Is waqt, European session ke khulne ka intezar karna behtar hoga. European session aam tor par increased trading volume aur volatility laata hai, jo ke market movements ko zyada definitive bana sakta hai. Is session ka intezar karke, traders market ke direction ke baare mein behtar insights le sakte hain aur sales ke liye optimal points identify kar sakte hain. Is waqt market ko observe karke yeh confirm kiya ja sakta hai ke anticipated decline materialize hoga ya nahi aur trades execute karne ke liye clearer signals mil sakte hain.

USD/JPY pair ka 155.20-155.50 ke resistance level ko break karne mein na successful hona ek potential reversal aur decline ka indication hai, jo 154.73 tak aur further 155.20-154.83 ke support range tak ho sakta hai. Yeh anticipated movement market sentiment mein shift ko dikhata hai, jahan sellers ko buyers par zyada faida ho raha hai. Traders ko 154.83-155.16 ke range par focus karna chahiye taake pair ke future direction ko behtar samjha ja sake. European session ke khulne ka intezar karna additional clarity aur zyada robust trading opportunities provide karega. In key levels aur market developments ko monitor karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur USD/JPY pair ke potential bearish trend ka faida utha sakte hain.

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price performance ka analysis dekhenge. Sirf girawat ke ilawa doosre scenarios ka sochna bohot zaroori hai. Filhal, upar ki taraf harakat sabse zyada mumkin lagti hai, jo ke significant growth opportunities deti hai. Is potential ke sath, hum shayad 155.35 level tak pohanch sakte hain, lekin yeh abhi door hai. Jab hum 154.03 mark cross kar lein, toh agla level 154.67 ho sakta hai. Jabke izafa wazeh lagta hai, girawat scenario ko bhi specific karna zaroori hai. Ek correction bearish side par level ko 152.74 tak la sakti hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke liye ek excellent buying opportunity hogi.
Iske ilawa, 153.42 se bullish position enter karna bhi consider kiya ja sakta hai, kyunki slight pullback ho sakta hai. Mein aam tor par USD/JPY growth ko support karta hoon, lekin umeed hai ke hum 156.55 tak hi pohanchain. Envelopes ke mutabiq, hourly scale par current growth cycle ka target resistance 155.29 par hai. Agar USD/JPY pair current 154.65 level se is resistance tak rise hoti hai, toh mein selling ko rokne aur price drop ka wait karne ka plan banata hoon towards support at 152.21

Mujhe umeed hai ke trading puray hafte mein 152.22 aur 155.29 ke darmiyan rahegi. Jab support level 152.15 se rebound hota hai, toh ek characteristic candlestick formation for growth nazar aata hai, jisme hammer ya pin bar shamil hain. CCI indicator lower overheating zone se upar move hone ke liye tayaar dikhata hai, aur ek bullish divergence bhi visible hai. Closing prices ke base par, mujhe lagta hai ke price horizontal resistance level 156.04 tak rise karegi. Is higher level ke paas, M15-M30 ke lower periods mein selling formations dekhi ja sakti hain, jisme support resistance mein tabdeel hoti hai. Is point se rebound likely hai ke full-fledged decline lead karega beyond the support level of 152.15. Aaj ki noteworthy news include karti hai 16:00 Moscow time: Composite Housing Price Index in the USA, US Consumer Confidence Index from CB, aur number of open vacancies in the labour market (JOLTS) USA.

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka analysis karengay. Heiken Ashi candlesticks ke configuration aur RSI indicators ke signals yeh suggest karte hain ke market mein bullish trend likely hai. Traditional Japanese candlesticks ke mukable, Heiken Ashi candlesticks smoothed aur averaged price value ko dikhate hain, jo technical analysis ko simplify karte hain aur trading decisions ki accuracy ko enhance karte hain. Price channel indicator, apni red, blue, aur yellow lines ke sath, twice-smoothed moving averages par support aur resistance lines construct karta hai, jo instrument ke current movement boundaries ko clear illustrate karta hai.

Basement RSI indicator ek filtering oscillator hai, jo Heiken Ashi ke sath mil kar positive results yield karta hai. Decline abhi tak shuru nahi hua, senior half ko dekhte hue. Main locally sell karne ke haq mein bhi nahi hoon.Corrections ka extent hamesha uncertain hota hai. Red boxes older fractals ko highlight karte hain, jo unbroken hain, aur continued growth trend ko indicate karte hain. Trend line ka breakout likely hai kyunki isay mukhtalif tarikon se draw kiya ja sakta hai, jisse iski slope alter ho sakti hai. Main ek trending topic ko sirf isliye mark karta hoon taake uski reaction dekh sakoon. Aakhri dafa jab touch aur minor rebound tha, market mazeed upar nahi gayi aur is line ko break kiya. Yeh false breakout hai ya genuine, yeh unknown hai. Is uncertainty ki wajah se interest develop ho sakta hai. Sellers isay dekh kar sell kar sakte hain, jab ke buyers correction ka intezar karenge. Decline complete ho sakta hai. Main ne Fibonacci grid ko last growth expectation impulse par apply kiya, jahan buyers trend line se reaction ka intezar kar rahe the. Yeh range, 200% level ke sath mil kar, growth momentum ke against support serve kiya jo 161.9%-176.5% ka tha. Agar yeh complex false breakout hai, toh hum mazeed attractive growth targets anticipate kar sakte hain, shayad previous impulse ke buyers' expectations ko fulfill karte hue, 159.906 ke mark ko reach kar sake. image widget