usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY ne pichle hafte losses ke saath trading ki, jo support level 155.37 tak chali gayi, jo ke ek mahine aur aadh se kam ka sabse neeche level tha. Ye selling operations Japanese yen ke 38 saal mein sabse kam price se chali rahi hain. Week ke beech se USD/JPY price upar ki taraf rebound kar gaya, gains 157.86 resistance level tak pahunche aur is haftay ki shuruaat mein 157.35 ke aas paas stabil raha. Aane wale dino mein USD/JPY ka price central bank policies ke future aur Japanese intervention ke asar mein rahega.

Last Wednesday, US dollar ka price girta raha kyunki Federal Reserve se interest rate cuts ki umeedon ne kisi bhi khaas movement ko roka. Lekin, session ke aakhri hisse mein, US industrial production data ke release hone ke baad dollar ne kuch investor support attract kiya. Is release se June mein umeed se zyada production level dikha, aur May ke numbers bhi revise karke upar le jaaye gaye. Thursday ko, initial unemployment claims ke latest data United States se release hue. Data ne umeed se zyada naye berozgar US nagrikon ke benefits claim karne ki tasveer dikhai, jo ke US labor market mein aaj bhi rukawat dikha raha hai. Lekin, US dollar ka price losses ko resist kar saka, poore hafte ke dauran ek chhote samay ke liye excessive selling ke baad, jo exaggerated bets par driven thi Federal Reserve se interest rate cut par.

USD/JPY chart ka technical analysis bhi dollar ke liye potential downside ka ishara karta hai. Pair filhaal ek key short-term moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo bearish momentum ka sanket deta hai. Iske alawa, ek aur technical indicator, RSI, bhi is bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. USD/JPY ke liye support June ke low ke aas paas mil sakti hai, lekin agar ye level break hota hai to May ke low ki taraf aur bhi zyada girawat ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY ek key resistance level ke upar chadh jaata hai, to ye psychological 162.00 level ke paas ek aur hurdle face kar sakta hai.

Nateeja yeh hai ki Japanese yen kamzori ke ek daur ke baad recovery ke signs dikha raha hai. Upcoming BoJ meeting aur potential policy shift, saath hi saath weakening US dollar, is trend mein yogdan de rahe hain. Technical indicators bhi near term mein USD/JPY pair ke liye potential downside ka sanket dete hain. Traders BoJ meeting aur broader economic developments ko closely watch karenge, yen ke direction ke liye further cues ke liye.

support level ko test karne ke baad, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 160.209 par hai, bounce kiya. Din ke closing ke natije mein, thori si bullish advantage ke sath uncertainty ki candle bani. Overall, main yeh samajhta hoon ke buyers aaj dikhai gayi weakness ka faida uthane ki koshish kar sakte hain aur mujhe poori ummed hai ke qareebi resistance level ko retest kiya ja sakta hai, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 161.951 par hai. Agar price is resistance level tak pohanchti hai, to do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate kare aur upar move karna jari rakhe. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price resistance level 164.500 ki taraf move kare. Is resistance level ke upar consolidate karne par, main aage further northward movement anticipate karunga, jo resistance level 168.000 tak ho sakta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga, jo trading ke further direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Bilkul, main yeh bhi samajhta hoon ke price ke northern target ki taraf move karte waqt southern pullbacks ho sakte hain, jinhein main nearby support levels se bullish signals search karne ke liye istemal karne ka plan banata hoon, overall bullish trend ki formation mein uptrend ke resumption ki anticipation ke sath. Dusra scenario price movement ka yeh hoga ke 161.951 resistance level ko test karne ke baad reversal candle bane aur southern movement resume ho. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price support level 160.209 ya support level 157.671 par wapas aa jaye. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals search karta rahunga, upward price movement ke resumption ki expectation ke sath.

General mein, mukhtasir mein yeh kehna chahta hoon ke aaj ke nearest support level se sellers ki weakness ko dekhte hue, main poori ummed karta hoon ke price qareebi resistance level ki taraf northward move kar sakti hai, lekin phir market situation ke mutabiq decisions liye jayenge, jis mein bullish scenarios ko priority

time frame chart ki nazar se, forex market ke halat Monday ke din 157.50 ke price se shuru hue aur 156.28 ke area ki taraf niche aaye. Phir Tuesday se Friday tak market ka trend abhi bhi downtrend ki taraf ja raha tha. Agar pichle hafte ke market halat ko dekhein, to candlestick ka safar abhi bhi girawat ki taraf lagta hai. Pichle hafte ke trading period mein, market ne aise price condition dikhayi jo girne ki koshish kar rahi thi lekin 155.36 ke price zone se upar uth gayi. Is hafte bhi price abhi bhi niche ja rahi hai jab tak yeh 100-period simple moving average zone se door nahi hoti, jo seller ke control ka signal hai. Thursday ke trading mein buyers ki taraf se buying interest nazar aayi, jisse price mein upar ki taraf correction aayi, lekin yeh lamba nahi chala kyunki Saturday raat sellers ke pressure ne market trend ko bearish bana diya. Jab journal update hui, to market mein price temporarily 153.76 par ruki hui thi. Sellers abhi bhi influence rakhte hain jo prices ko aur neeche le ja sakte hain, jo ke July ke highest zone se niche haihai

USDJPY ne Jumeraat (6/28/24) ko itihas mein record high qeemat banayi, currency pair mein tezi se izafa ho sakta hai jo ke munafa lenay ki saakh hai. Girawat ka mouqa ab bhi US session tak ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Bullish channel aur Moving Average par breakout jo ke chal rahi qeemat se oopar hain yeh bearish tajzia mein izafa karte hain.
Aik ghantay ki chart analysis ke mutabiq. 15 M chart par upar bhasa di gayi hai. Is mein bhi girawat ka mouqa hai kyunke Moving Average chal rahi qeemat par hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai
USD/JPY pair apna bullish trend continue karega, mumkin hai ke ek higher zone tak upar move kare Iss hafte ka trend pattern ek uptrend indicate karta hai narrow range ke sath. Relatively modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, mumkin hai ke increase agle hafte bhi continue kare, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karengi. Subah ke candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo suggest karta hai ke market trend rise kar sakta hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko surpass kar sakte hain
USD/JPY abhi trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke Buyers ki mazbooti dikhata hai, aur trend line Support hai. Bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke buyers ko Resistance - 162.15 todna hoga, jisse trading channel khul jaye ga, aur Bulls' movement ke continuation ka imkan ho sakta hai. Pehla target Supply Zone - 160.47 hoga, jahan se history

USD/JPY/H4/160.35

Aaj humare paas high-impact news hai jo various currencies ko involve karti hai. Low aur medium-impact news bhi available hai. Yeh volatility area mein kaafi badh jati hai aur kisi bhi pair related to the currencies seen below ke sath. Traders ko yeh note karna chahiye aur money management skills ka achi tarah se istemal karna chahiye aaj trading karte hue. Forex market mein trading karte hue caution se trade karna bahut zaruri hai. Neeche picture dekh kar aaj ke available news ke baare mein zyada information le sakte hain. Click image for larger version

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Technical analysis aur chart patterns ko dekhte hue, is point par buy entry lena prudent lagta hai. Is trade ka immediate target 161.82 level hoga. Yeh target recent price actions aur resistance levels ke base par choose kiya gaya hai. Risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye, stop loss 162.25 level par set karna wise hai. Yeh stop-loss level current resistance se thoda upar hai, jo ensure karta hai ke potential losses minimize ho agar trade anticipated tarah se na jaye.

USD/JPY/H4/160.35

Kal, USD/JPY pair higher areas mein trade hui aur din ko around 161.25 par close kiya. Aaj, yeh 161.65 price level ki taraf upward direction mein move hui. Hourly chart dekhte hue, noticeable hai ke USD/JPY moving average line MA (200) H4 at 160.35 ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Four-hour chart par bhi similar situation hai jahan USD/JPY moving average line MA (200) H4 ke upar trade kar rahi hai abhi ke liye. In facts ko dekhte hue, traders ko advice kiya jata hai ke correction ke baad achi buy entry point dekhne ke liye. Neeche picture aur chart se is analysis par zyada information milti hai. Kindly is par nazar daalain.

Filhaal, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke live pricing ko decode kar rahe hain. Maine USD/JPY currency pair ko growth ke liye analyze kiya, lekin isay sirf ek potential pullback samjha. Hourly chart pe growth signal mein desire aur probability ki kami thi, jo ek significant drop ka sabab bana substantial rise ke baad. Yeh decline rapidly hua, jo weekly candlesticks se zahir hota hai. Abhi tak absorption confirm karna mushkil hai kyun ke candle abhi close nahi hui. Magar agar month isi tarah close hota hai, to further decline mumkin hai, aur hum approximate targets outline kar sakte hain. Historically, monthly absorption achi tarah kaam karta hai kuch exceptions (red rectangles) ke ilawa. Current candle ek short body aur large tail bottom pe dikha rahi hai, jo ek mirror-level test ko indicate karta hai. Image pe click karen for larger version

Older time frames mein, Japanese yen ke liye main direction bearish trend mein hai. Magar current data zyada informative ho sakta hai ongoing consolidation ki wajah se, jo outcome ko uncertain bana raha hai. Lower periods mein, H1 show karta hai ke low of 151.97 se dollar-yen buyers ne ek primary downward impulse initiate kiya with a bullish trend-based start line at 154.72. Picture borderline hai, aur agar bears USD/JPY ko 157.79 ke neeche push karte hain, to ek nayi low update likely imminent hai. Primary resistance for dollar-yen along the bullish starting line 154.72 pe hai. Agar yeh level possible hota hai aur bulls gain foothold karte hain, to upward impulse likely to continue karega first impulse zone levels 156.44 aur 151.59 tak, making this the main scenario for USD/JPY. Next week, non-farm payroll aur unemployment rate pe essential data hai, so pichle week se higher volatility ho sakti hai

USD/JPY ANALYSIS:

USD is waqt JPY ke against strength gain kar raha hai, aur ek strong upward movement dikhai de rahi hai. Lekin, mazid gains ki raah itni aasan nahi hai. D1 timeframe par yeh dekha gaya hai ke pair 154.00-154.40 levels ke darmiyan bounce kar sakta hai. Yeh range ek potential support zone ko represent karti hai jahan price temporarily retrace kar sakti hai pehle ke upward trend resume kare. Is possible bounce ke bawajood, upper bullish channel ka overall structure intact hai, jo suggest karta hai ke long-term trend ab bhi upward hai. Traders ko yeh short-term fluctuations ka khayal rakhna chahiye aur apne entries aur exits ko plan karte waqt inhe mad-e-nazar rakhna chahiye.

D1 timeframe mein, USD/JPY pair consistent bullish momentum dikhara raha hai. Current price action ne ek triangle pattern form kiya hai, jo typically consolidation period ko zahir karta hai pehle ke breakout ho. Given prevailing bullish sentiment, high probability hai ke pair upwards breakout karega, potentially 50-80 pips move karta hua. Yeh breakout broader bullish trend ke sath align karega aur traders ko ek opportunity de sakta hai ke wo USD ki JPY ke against strength se faida utha sakain. Triangle pattern ka upper boundary ek key level hai jise yeh anticipated breakout ke liye watch karna chahiye, jo potential buy signals ka clear indication de sakta hai.



Agar pair apne current levels se downturn experience karta hai, to 153.50 level par ek strong re-entry opportunity hai. Yeh level crucial hai kyunki yeh ek significant support zone ko represent karta hai jo further declines ko rok sakta hai aur traders ke liye ek favorable entry point provide kar sakta hai jo long position lena chahte hain. Risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye aur unforeseen market movements se bachne ke liye, ek stop-loss 153.83 level par strategically place karna chahiye. Support zone ke just neeche stop-loss set karke, traders apne potential losses ko minimize kar sakte hain jab ke anticipated upward movement se faida uthane ke chances maximize kar sakte hain. Overall, USD/JPY pair ka current setup D1 timeframe par traders ko ongoing bullish trend se faida uthane ka ek compelling opportunity deta hai, provided ke wo short-term fluctuations ko dhyan se navigate karen.

USD/JPY exchange rate 161.91 par pohanch gaya hai, jo 1986 se le kar ab tak ka sabse mazboot level hai. Is tezi ne market ke participants ko chinta mein daal diya hai, jo Bank of Japan (BOJ) se currency market mein mudakhlat ki umeed laga rahe hain. Aisi mudakhlat yen ko mazboot kar sakti hai aur USD/JPY pair ki bullish trend ko rok sakti hai. Dabay ka izafa is baat se bhi hota hai ke Japanese government bonds ki yields 13 saal ke unchi level par, 10 saal ke maturity ke liye 1.11% tak pohanch gayi hain. Yields ka ye izafa BOJ ki monetary policy mein tabdili ki umeed ko darshata hai. Yen ki kamzori ke douran, traders rising import costs aur inflationary pressures ka samna kar rahe hain. Is masle ko hal karne ke liye, Japanese Finance Ministry reportedly naye qism ke variable-rate bond launch karne ka soch rahi hai, Reuters ke mutabiq. Ye rising bond yields ke risks se investors ko mehfooz rakhne mein madadgar ho sakta hai, khaaskar BOJ ke possible interest rate hikes ke pehle. Ye strategy closely monitoring price action aur market conditions mein badlao par foran response dene par mabni hai. Kamyab execution ki chabi 161.48 ko strong resistance aur 161.11 ko strong support ke tor par pehchanna hai. Waqt ko theek tor par samajhna; in levels par positioning aur exiting se munafa barh sakta hai aur nuqsan kam ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, traders ko broader market context aur fundamental factors se baaqif rehna chahiye jo USD/JPY movements ko asar kar sakte hain. Economic data releases, central bank announcements, aur geopolitical events sabhi pair ke price action ko asar daal sakte hain. In factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, strategy adjustments zaroori hain. Aaj ka plan USD/JPY ko 161.48 level par test hone ke baad sell karna hai, initial target 161.11 par set karna hai. Is target ko reach karte hi, traders ko short positions close karni chahiye aur long positions open karni chahiye taake potential 20-25 pip upward movement ka faida uthaya ja sake. Ye approach key levels ko ghoor se monitor karne, swift execution aur broader market influences se agahi par mabni hai

USD/JPY pair ne hafta positive note par khatam kiya, BOJ ke interest rates ko unchanged rakhnay ke faislay aur Federal Reserve ke hawkish outlook ki wajah se support mila. Pair 159.06 par trade ho raha hai, strong market fundamentals aur technical indicators se support mil raha hai. BoJ aur Fed ke monetary policy mein farq pair ke upward momentum ko continue karne ki umeed hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna chahiye, sath hi upcoming economic data ko bhi, taake pair ki future movement ka andaza lagaya ja sake

USD abhi JPY ke muqable mein mazbooti dikhara raha hai, aur achi upward movement dikhai de rahi hai. Lekin, aur ziada gains ke raste mein kuch challenges bhi hain. D1 timeframe par, yeh dekha gaya hai ke pair 154.00-154.40 levels ke darmiyan bounce kar sakta hai. Yeh range ek potential support zone represent karti hai jahan price temporary retrace kar sakti hai pehle ke upward trend resume ho. Is bounce ke bawajood, upper bullish channel ka overall structure intact hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke long-term trend ab bhi upward hai. Traders ko in short-term fluctuations ka khayal rakhna chahiye aur apni entries aur exits plan karte waqt inko madde nazar rakhna chahiye.
D1 timeframe mein, USD/JPY pair consistent bullish momentum dikhara hai. Abhi ke price action ne ek triangle pattern form kiya hai, jo aam tor par consolidation period ko signify karta hai breakout se pehle. Prevailing bullish sentiment ko dekhte hue, yeh high probability hai ke pair upwards breakout karega, aur 50-80 pips move kar sakta hai. Yeh breakout broader bullish trend ke sath align karega aur traders ko USD ke JPY ke muqable mein strength se capitalize karne ka mauka de sakta hai. Triangle pattern ki upper boundary ek key level hai jo anticipated breakout ke liye watch karne layak hai, jo potential buy signals ka clear indication de sakta hai


Agar pair apne current levels se downturn experience karta hai, to 153.50 level par strong re-entry opportunity hai. Yeh level ek significant support zone represent karta hai jo further declines ko rokh sakta hai aur traders ko long jane ke liye ek favorable entry point de sakta hai. Ek stop-loss ko 153.83 level par strategically place karna chahiye taake risk effectively manage ho aur unforeseen market movements se protection mile. Stop-loss ko support zone ke thoda neeche set karke, traders apne potential losses ko minimize kar sakte hain aur anticipated upward movement se profiting ke chances ko maximize kar sakte hain. Overall, D1 timeframe par USD/JPY pair ka current setup traders ke liye ek compelling opportunity offer karta hai ongoing bullish trend se benefit lene ke liye, bas short-term fluctuations ko care ke sath navigate karna hoga

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USD/JPY pair ka performance aksar mukhtalif factors se mutasir hota hai jaise economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Maslan, changes US economic indicators mein jaise employment reports, inflation data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions pair par bhaari asar daal sakti hai. isi tarah, Japan mein economic conditions aur policy decisions bhi aham role ada karte hain.
USDJPY ne Jumeraat (6/28/24) ko itihas mein record high qeemat banayi, currency pair mein tezi se izafa ho sakta hai jo ke munafa lenay ki saakh hai. Girawat ka mouqa ab bhi US session tak ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Bullish channel aur Moving Average par breakout jo ke chal rahi qeemat se oopar hain yeh bearish tajzia mein izafa karte hain.
Aik ghantay ki chart analysis ke mutabiq. 15 M chart par upar bhasa di gayi hai. Is mein bhi girawat ka mouqa hai kyunke Moving Average chal rahi qeemat par hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai
USD/JPY pair apna bullish trend continue karega, mumkin hai ke ek higher zone tak upar move kare Iss hafte ka trend pattern ek uptrend indicate karta hai narrow range ke sath. Relatively modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, mumkin hai ke increase agle hafte bhi continue kare, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karengi. Subah ke candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo suggest karta hai ke market trend rise kar sakta hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko surpass kar sakte hain
USD/JPY abhi trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke Buyers ki mazbooti dikhata hai, aur trend line Support hai. Bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke buyers ko Resistance - 162.15 todna hoga, jisse trading channel khul jaye ga, aur Bulls' movement ke continuation ka imkan ho sakta hai. Pehla target Supply Zone - 160.4JUdGzvrMFDWrUUwY3toJATSeNwjn54LkCnKBPRzDuhzi5 vSepH****JNxRL2gjkNrSqtCoRUrEDAgRwsQvVCjZbRyFTLRNy DmT1a1boZVtaraf, lekin pehle Bears ko support - 160.24 todna hoga, jahan se price aksar bounce hoti rahi hai. Bears ki mazbooti ka tasdeeq hoga jab price broken level - 160.31 ke niche fix ho jaye ga, jo ke price ki kamzori dikhaye ga. USD/JPY ka downtrend ab bhi maujood hai. Price ne support level 155.4JUdGzvrMFDWrUUwY3toJATSeNwjn54LkCnKBPRzDuhzi5 vSepH****JNxRL2gjkNrSqtCoRUrEDAgRwsQvVCjZbRyFTLRNy DmT1a1boZVniche trade kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke niche hai, Chikou span line price chart ke niche hai, aur "dead cross" active hai. Relative strength index value 50 ke niche hai, aur "trend filter" oscillator red color mein hai, jo bearish market sentiment signal karta hai. Mazid decline ka imkan barqarar hai. Agar price level 155.4JUdGzvrMFDWrUUwY3toJATSeNwjn54LkCnKBPRzDuhzi5 vSepH****JNxRL2gjkNrSqtCoRUrEDAgRwsQvVCjZbRyFTLRNy DmT1a1boZVscenario mein, next potential target support level 154.70 hoga. Alternative scenario ke liye tayyar rahna hoga jab price cloud ke upar trade kar rahi ho, aur signal lines ka "golden cross" banta ho.

Is haftay, US dollar aur Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ki trading par dono mulkon ki central banks ke policies ka ghera asar hoga. US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan dono ke faiz daron par announcements ka intezar hai. Bank of Japan ke faiz daron ko barhane ki afwahein machi hui hain, jisne USD/JPY pair par zordaar aur tezi se selling pressure dala hai, aur pair ko 151.94 ki support level tak le gaya tha, jo pichle do mahino ka sabse kam level hai. Is haftay ki trading 153.73 ke aas paas khatam hui.

US economy ne pichle quarter mein 2.8% ke strong annual rate se taraqqi ki, consumers aur businesses ne growth ko barhane mein madad ki, bawajood high interest rates ke pressures ke. Department of Commerce ke report ke mutabiq, GDP - jo economy ka total output of goods and services hai - April-June quarter mein 1.4% ke January-March period ke growth rate ke baad bara hai. Economists ne 1.9% ke weaker annual growth rate ki umeed ki thi.

GDP report ne yeh bhi dikhaya ke inflation kam ho rahi hai, magar phir bhi Fed ke 2% target se upar hai. Central bank ka pasandeeda inflation measure annual rate par 2.6% se bara, jo ke pehle quarter ke 3.4% se kam hai. Food aur energy prices ko chhod kar, core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation 2.9% rate par rahi, jo January-March period ke 3.7% se kam hai.

Is haftay, US Federal Reserve se umeed hai ke woh federal funds rate ko 5.25%-5.50% par stable rakhega, lekin sabki nigahen September ke plans par hongi, jab rate cut ki umeed ki ja rahi hai. Umeed hai ke US economy is mahine 185,000 jobs add karegi, jo ke June ke 206,000 se kam hai, jab ke unemployment rate 2021 ke high 4.1% par stable rahega aur wage growth 0.3% par rahegi. ISM PMI se umeed hai ke manufacturing sector third month ke liye contraction mein rahega. Aur bhi key indicators, jaise ke JOLTS report, ADP employment figures, Challenger job cuts, S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final, S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, FHFA Home Prices, CB Consumer Confidence, Non-Farm Productivity, Labor Costs, aur Factory Orders par traders ki nigahen hongi. Iske ilawa, quarterly repayment announcement bhi traders ke liye important hoga, taake federal government ke borrowing requirements aur upcoming securities aur bond sale strategies ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

USD is waqt JPY ke muqablay mein mazbooti dikhara hai aur ooper ki taraf achi harkat kar raha hai. Magar mazeed faidey ke liye kuch challenges hain. D1 timeframe pe dekha gaya hai ke ye pair 154.00 aur 154.40 ke darmiyan bounce kar sakta hai. Ye range ek potential support zone hai jahan price temporary wapas aa sakti hai pehle ke upward trend ko dobara shuru karne se pehle. Is bounce ke bawajood, upper bullish channel ka overall structure intact hai, jo ye suggest karta hai ke long-term trend abhi bhi upward hai. Traders ko ye short-term fluctuations yaad rakhni chahiye jab wo apni entries aur exits plan kar rahe hon.
D1 timeframe pe, USD/JPY pair consistent bullish momentum dikhara hai. Current price action ne ek triangle pattern banaya hai, jo aksar consolidation period se pehle breakout signify karta hai. Given the prevailing bullish sentiment, ye bohot zyada mumkin hai ke pair ek upward breakout experience karega, jo ke 50-80 pips ka ho sakta hai. Ye breakout broader bullish trend ke sath align karega aur traders ko USD ki strength JPY ke muqablay mein capitalize karne ka mauqa dega. Triangle pattern ka upper boundary ek key level hai jisko traders ko watch karna chahiye anticipated breakout ke liye, jo ke potential buy signals ka clear indication de sakta hai

Agar pair current levels se downturn experience karta hai, to 153.50 level pe ek strong re-entry opportunity hai. Ye level ek significant support zone hai jo further declines ko rok sakta hai aur traders ko long positions ke liye ek favorable entry point de sakta hai. Ek stop-loss strategically 153.83 level pe place karni chahiye taake risk ko effectively manage kiya ja sake aur unforeseen market movements se protection mil sake. Stop-loss ko support zone ke just neeche set karke, traders potential losses ko minimize kar sakte hain aur anticipated upward movement se profiting ke chances maximize kar sakte hain. Overall, D1 timeframe pe USD/JPY pair ka current setup traders ko ongoing bullish trend se faida lene ka compelling opportunity de raha hai, halan ke unko short-term fluctuations ko care ke sath navigate karna hoga

**USD/JPY Market Outlook**

**Greetings and Good Morning to all new and old visitors!**
Juma ko, USD/JPY ka market phir se tez gir gaya aur takreeban 153.82 support zone tak pohanch gaya. Yeh dikhata hai ke sellers in dinon mein stability hasil kar rahe hain. Aik aur wajah US Election ka qareeb hona hai jo aanay walay dinon mein US Dollar ko kamzor karega. Hum USD/CHF ka market dekh kar pehchan sakte hain aur musalsal seekhna aur improvement bhi trading success ke liye bohot zaroori hai. Forex market musalsal evolve ho raha hai aur agey rehne ke liye lagataar taleem aur skill development zaroori hai. Yeh market trends ko study karna, guzishta trades se seekhna aur technical aur fundamental analysis ke latest developments se update rehne ko involve kar sakta hai. Apni knowledge aur skills ko musalsal enhance karke, traders market ko navigate karne aur apne trading goals hasil karne ki ability improve kar sakte hain.

Tawaqqo hai ke is haftay USD/JPY ka market sellers ke haath mein rahega. Aik aur aham pehlu successful trading ka technology ka istemal hai. Advanced trading platforms aur tools traders ko real-time data, sophisticated analysis aur automated trading capabilities faraham kar sakte hain. Yeh tools decision-making ko enhance karte hain aur trading efficiency improve karte hain. Technology ko effectively leverage karke, traders market mein ek competitive edge hasil kar sakte hain. Market ko pehchan na aur dusre traders ke saath collaborate karna bhi faidamand ho sakta hai. Traders ki community ke saath engage hona ideas, insights, aur strategies ka exchange faraham karta hai. Yeh valuable perspectives aur support faraham kar sakta hai, jo traders ko motivated aur informed rehnay mein madad kar sakta hai. Trading forums mein participate karna, webinars attend karna, aur trading groups join karna kuch tareeqe hain jin se dusre traders ke saath connect karke apni trading experience ko enhance kiya ja sakta hai.

By the way, USD/JPY ka market traders ke liye aik dynamic aur complex environment pesh karta hai. Selling pressure mein musalsal izafa, JPY news events ke influence ke saath, challenges aur opportunities dono paida karta hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye, genuine signals identify karne chahiye aur common mistakes se bachna chahiye taake is market ko successfully navigate kar sakein.

Stay blessed and Stay safe!

### Overview of USD/JPY Market Trends
#### Current Technical Analysis

1. **Daily Timeframe (D1)**:
- **Support and Resistance**: USD/JPY is expected to bounce between 154.00 and 154.40. This range acts as a potential support zone where the price may retrace before resuming its upward trend.
- **Triangle Pattern**: The formation of a triangle pattern indicates a consolidation period before a likely breakout. Given the prevailing bullish momentum, an upward breakout is probable, with an expected movement of 50-80 pips. Traders should watch the upper boundary of the triangle for potential buy signals.
- **Entry and Exit Points**: If the pair retraces to the 153.50 level, it presents a strong re-entry opportunity for long positions. A stop-loss at 153.83 is advisable to manage risk effectively.

2. **Four-Hour Timeframe (H4)**:
- **Technical Indicators**: Moving averages and momentum indicators like RSI and MACD support the bullish sentiment. A golden cross on moving averages and a positive divergence on MACD indicate upward momentum.
- **Volume Analysis**: Increased trading volume on up days further validates the bullish trend.

3. **Weekly Timeframe (W1)**:
- **Bearish Divergence**: Bearish divergence on MACD and CCI, along with a downside breakout of an ascending wedge, has led to a recent downtrend. However, a bounce from the support level at 152.16 indicates potential short-term growth before another decline.
- **Candlestick Patterns**: A hammer or pin bar formation suggests potential for upward movement towards the resistance level of 156.05.

#### Fundamental Analysis

1. **Economic Indicators**:
- **US Economy**: Mixed signals with strong GDP growth, but easing inflation and a cooling labor market suggest potential for multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
- **Japanese Economy**: Expectations of a 10 basis point interest rate hike by the BOJ and reduction in bond-buying are driving yen appreciation. This policy shift could further impact USD/JPY movements.

2. **Market Sentiment**:
- **Upcoming Events**: Announcements from the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan will be critical. The market is anticipating potential policy shifts that could impact the pair's direction.

#### Trading Strategy

1. **Buy Signals**:
- **Scenario 1**: Buy around 153.75, targeting 154.46. Ensure MACD is above the zero mark.
- **Scenario 2**: Buy on two consecutive tests of 153.29 when MACD is in the oversold area, targeting 153.75 and 154.46.

2. **Sell Signals**:
- **Scenario 1**: Sell after testing 153.29, targeting 152.60. Ensure MACD is below the zero mark.
- **Scenario 2**: Sell on two consecutive tests of 153.75 when MACD is in the overbought area, targeting 153.29 and 152.60.

#### Key Levels to Watch

- **Support**: 153.50, 153.29, 152.60
- **Resistance**: 154.40, 154.46, 156.05

### Conclusion

USD/JPY presents a compelling trading opportunity with a bullish outlook in the long term but potential short-term fluctuations. Traders should monitor key levels and technical indicators to capitalize on these movements while managing risk effectively.

جولائی 29 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

جمعرات اور جمعہ کو، ین نے بہت زیادہ اتار چڑھاؤ کا تجربہ کیا، لیکن دونوں دن 153.60 کی سپورٹ لیول سے اوپر 20 پیپس سے کم بند ہوئے۔ یہ سطح سے اوپر استحکام کی ایک شکل تھی۔



آج صبح، قیمت غیر متوقع طور پر اس سطح سے نیچے گر گئی ہے، اور اسے 150.83-151.23 کے ہدف کی حد کو تکنیکی طور پر "کھولنے" کے لیے اس کے نیچے دن کو بند کرنے کی ضرورت ہے۔ اگر جوڑی اس سپورٹ سے اصلاح شروع نہیں کرتی ہے، تو یہ 148.82 پر اگلے ہدف کی طرف بڑھتا رہے گا۔ اس وقت، مارلن آسیلیٹر پہلے ہی اوور سیلڈ زون میں ہوگا۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت پہلے ہی 153.60 کی سطح سے نیچے طے کرنے کا ارادہ رکھتی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر اوور سیلڈ ایریا سے نرمی کے بعد ٹھکرا رہا ہے اور زوال کی نئی لہر کے لیے تیار ہے۔ بیلنس اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن نیچے کی طرف بڑھ رہی ہیں۔ اس وقت، رجحان مستحکم دکھائی دے رہا ہے۔ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ قیمت 150.83-151.23 کے پہلے ہدف کی حد تک پہنچ جائے گی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

This week, koi ahem khabrein JPY ke liye nahi hain jo sellers ki madad kar sakti hain. Sellers ne apne nuksan ka bohot hissa cover kar liya hai aur USD/JPY market ko 153.65 level tak le aaye hain. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke sellers ne apne nuksan ko effectively recover kar liya hai aur apne cycle ko complete kar liya hai. Is point se, ek bullish trend shuru ho sakti hai, price action theory ke mutabiq. Is liye, mein suggest karta hoon ke 20 pips ka short target rakhte hue buy order place karein. Apna stop loss 153.32 level se neechay set karein, kyunke market ke is level se neechay jaane ke chances kam hain. USA aur Washington sessions ke dauran, market tezi se move karegi aur 153.92 level tak pohanch sakti hai.sellers ne apne losses recover kar liye hain aur apna cycle complete kar liya hai. Is point se, ek bullish trend shuru ho sakta hai, price action theory ke mutabiq. Isliye, main suggest karta hoon ke ek buy order place karein with a short target of 20 pips. Apna stop loss 153.32 level ke neeche set karein, kyunki market ke neeche jaane ke chances kam hain. USA aur Washington sessions ke doran, market tezi se move karega aur yeh 153.92 level tak pohanch sakta hai.
Sellers ne apne losses ka substantial portion cover kar liya hai aur USD/JPY market ko 153.65 level tak le aaye hain. Yeh move suggest karta hai ke sellers
Monday ke Asian trading session ke doran, yeh pair 153.70 ke aas paas hover kar raha hai jabke apne recent peak 161.96 se retreat hua hai, jo 1986 ke baad ka sabse uncha level hai. Yeh pullback zyada tar Japanese authorities ke verbal intervention ke wajah se hai, jo yen ko stabilize karne ke liye tha.
Key Inflation Data aur Potential Central Bank Actions ka Anticipation:

US Dollar (USD) decline experience kar raha hai, partly market anticipation ke wajah se Friday ke Core PCE Price Index inflation data ka. Index se umeed hai ke year-over-year inflation rate mein decrease hoga, jo 2.8% se gir kar 2.6% ho jayega. Federal Reserve ka yeh preferred measure of inflation hai, is data ki ahmiyat hai. Traders hopeful hain ke lower inflation reading Fed ko rate cuts consider karne par majboor kar sakti hai jaldi hi.

Iske bar'aks, investors speculating kar rahe hain ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ek early rate hike initiate kar sakta hai persistent inflationary pressures ke wajah se. Furthermore, BoJ apne bond-buying operations ko scale back karne ka plan kar raha hai upcoming policy meeting mein, jo market dynamics ko influence kar sakta hai.

D1 Chart Technical Indicators on USD/JPY:

Pair currently multi-decade high 154.76 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo last Friday achieve hua tha. Japanese Finance Minister Shun’ichi Suzuki ke recent verbal intervention ka immediate effect toh hua hai, lekin long-term impact uncertain hai kyunki market focus yeh remarks se shift ho sakta hai. Japanese government calculated risk le rahi hai, weak US economic data ka sahara lete hue week ke end mein taake USD weak ho aur yen strong ho jaye bina further intervention ke.

1722244616812_USDJPYDaily.png

Halanki, daily chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicate karta hai ke pair currently overbought hai, ek correction on the horizon ho sakta hai. Agar weaker US economic data materialize hota hai, toh yeh potentially USD/JPY pair ko 151.90 tak drive kar sakta hai. Lekin, traders ko 55-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 157.69 aur 100-day SMA at 155.57 monitor karni chahiye, jo critical pivot points serve kar sakti hain aur new highs test karne ka mauka de sakti hain.