USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY TAJZIYE KI UPDATE


Subah mein main USD/JPY jodi ki tajziyat shuru karunga jo agle haftay ke liye ek trading intikhab hone ka irada hai. Char ghanton ke time frame chart ke mutabiq guftagu mein, forex market ki surat-e-haal ki shuruat Monday ko 157.50 ke qareeb se hui aur phir 156.28 tak ja kar nichay ki taraf rawana hui. Uske baad Tuesday se Friday raat tak market ki raftar ab bhi downtrend ki taraf ja rahi thi. Agar pichle haftay ki market ki halat dekhen toh candlestick safar ab bhi kamzor honay ki taraf ja raha hai. Pichle haftay ke trading muddat mein, market ne ek qeemat shartein dikhayi thi jo girne ki koshish kar rahi thi lekin aur nichay nahi ja saki aur 155.36 ke qareeb se upar uth gayi.

Is hafte tak qeemat ab bhi 100-period simple moving average zone se door ja kar kamzor hoti ja rahi hai, jo keh raha hai ke market bechne walon ke control mein hai. Jumeraat ke trading mein buyers se khareedari ke dilchaspi nazar aayi, jis ne qeemat ko ooncha sudhar dekha, lekin yeh lamba nahi chala kyunki shanivaar raat ko bechne walon se dabao aaya jo market trend ko bearish mein wapas le gaye. Jab akhbaar update hua, to market mein qeemat waqtan fawran 153.76 par tham gayi. Bechne walon ke paas ab bhi asar hai jo ke qeemat ko July ke urooj se mazeed nichay le sakte hain.




Agle haftay ke trading muddat mein market ke safar ki tasawwur ke tor par, main yeh peshan guftagu karta hoon ke woh Downtrend safar jari rakh sake ga, shayad qeemat mazeed bearish hokar ek naye zone tak ja sakti hai. Main ye basharat karta hoon ke bechne walay ab bhi market ko control kar sakte hain kyunki agar is hafte ki trend ki halat dekhein to candlestick nichay ki taraf rawana hai. Downtrend safar ke jari rahne ke sath pichle kuch dinon mein, agle haftay bhi yeh jari rah sakta hai. Qeemat ka tasawwur hai ke woh bearish trend jari rakhne ke liye neechay ja sakti hai. Subah ke candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average zone ke neechay bandh kar diya, jo keh raha hai ke qeemat ko Downtrend ka aasar ho sakta hai. Agar bechne walay 153.20 ke qareeb se guzar sakte hain, to bearish trend agle haftay ke trading muddat mein market ko ab bhi control kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY TAJZIYA:
USD/JPY currency pair abhi 0.8935 ke aas paas trade ho raha hai, jo ke din ke opening position ke qareeb hai. D1 (daily) chart par yeh 153.84 par mojood hai, ek level jahan trading volume aam tor par kam hota hai. Opening level ke nazdeek yeh position is waqt ek balance market ko ishara karta hai, jahan na to khareedne walay aur na bechne walay ka khaas dominion zahir hai. Lekin kuch indicators ishara dete hain ke aane waale waqt mein ek oonchi harkat ho sakti hai.

Agar qeemat D1 chart par 154.00 level ke ooper qaim reh sakti hai, to yeh jodi apni oonchi rukh ki taraf jaari rakhegi. 154.00 level aik ahem support level hai, jo mazeed izafay ke liye bunyadi buniyad ka kaam karta hai. Agar qeemat is level ke ooper rehti hai, to agla maqsad 155.00 hoga, jo ke traders ke liye aik nafsiyati resistance point hai jo qeemat ke amli harkaton ke liye aik maqbooza bunyadi number ke tor par kaam karta hai.

155.00 ke ooper, agla ahem maqsad 157.00 ya mazeed ho sakta hai. 157+ tak ki yeh mumkin harkat bullish trend ka jari rehne ka ishara hai, jise haalat-e-haal mein market ki mojooda surat-e-haal ne saath diya hai. In levels par chal rahi khareedari dabao yeh dikhata hai ke traders mazeed izafay ke intezar mein apni positions jama karne ke liye tayyar hain. Yeh khareedari dabao tawiil muddat ke liye ahem support faraham karta hai, jis se short term mein mazeed neechay ki harkaton ki imkanat kam hoti hain.

Is pair ke liye oonchi harkat ke liye abhi bhi jagah mojood hai bina kisi bari farokht ki dabao ke. Yeh technical setup, jis mein 154.00 level ki bunyadi support bhi shaamil hai, USD/JPY pair mein mazboot bullish trend ke liye aik mazboot case banata hai.

Bunyadi taur par, maweshi sharaait bhi is oonchi harkat ko support karti hain. US dollar ki taqat, jo maweshi taraqqi aur interest rate ke farq se jari hai, USD/JPY pair ke liye bullish sentiment mein izafa karta hai. Japan ki maweshi policies aur market interventions bhi yen ki kamzori ko support karte hain, jo USD/JPY pair ke oonchi harkat ko faida pohanchata hai.

USD/JPY TAQDEER NIGARI

Adaab aur Subah Bakhair dosto!

Maujooda market ki surat-e-haal mein USD/JPY ke sellers ki paidari numaya hai. Kal unhone 152.87 zone ke aas paas raftar dikhayi thi. Aur buyers ke maamlaat abhi bhi kamzor hain.

USD/JPY market ab traders ke liye maujooda mauqe aur challenges dono pesh karti hai. JPY ki khabron ke asar se barhte hue bechnay ki dabao mein izafa is baat ka zikr karta hai ke hoshmandi aur maahirana trading strategies zaroori hain. Asal signals ko pehchanne, mufeed risk management ka amal karne aur haalat-e-haal par tabdeeli laane ke zariye traders market ko kamyabi se samajh sakte hain. D1 chart ki raushniyat aur news monitoring ke liye disciplined approach bhi yeh zaroori hai ke hamari malumat taaza aur flexibly rahe. Mustaqil seekhna, technology ko behtar tareeqay se istemal karna aur sehatmand work-life balance bhi successful trading ke liye zaroori tajaweezat hain. Jab tak market tabdeel hoti rahegi, traders jo in asoolon ko apnaenge wo forex trading ke dinamik duniya mein apne trading maqsad haasil karne mein behtar tareeqay se kaamyab honge.

Yahan par hamein ghaltiyon ko control mein rakhne par tawajjo deni chahiye, kyunki ghaltiyan trading ke mizaj ko mushkil bana sakti hain. D1 chart ne aaj bechnay ka mauqa dikhaya hai, jis se is manzar mein lambi positions mein dakhil hona sahi nahi hoga. Sellers aam tor par daily high zone se market mein dakhil ho sakte hain aur daily low point ko nishana bana sakte hain. Lekin agar USD/JPY market resistance ya daily high zone ke ooper rahe, to sellers ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur waazeh inkar signal ka intezar karna chahiye qabzay ke liye. Anay walay news events ko nazar andaz karna bhi zaroori hai, kyunki yeh market ki raftar ko gehra asar daal sakte hain.



D1 chart ke insights aur news events ki monitoring ki ahmiyat hamari malumat aur disciplined approach ko mazeed ahmiyat deti hai. Jab tak market tabdeel hoti rahegi, naye malumat aur haalaat ke jawabgar hona trading mein kamyabi haasil karne ke liye zaroori hoga.

Khush rahein aur calm rahen!

USDJPY JODI KA H-4 TIME FRAME TAJZIYA

Is hafte jo hua hai dekh kar saaf hai ke market ab bhi seller ki nigrani mein chal raha hai, taaki yeh qeemat 152.66 ke aas paas gir sakay, ummeed hai ke candlestick neechay ki taraf rawanaai jari rakh sake. Pichle kuch dino ke tamam market trend images se saaf hai ke yeh bearish taraf ja raha hai takay mazeed neechay ja sake. Market mein beech haftay mein lagta hai ke qeemat ki halaat mein zyada tabdeeli nahi aayi hai kyunki qeemat ka safar abhi bhi kam hota ja raha hai aur haftay ke shuru mein opening price se door ho raha hai. Shayad is shaam ya raat ko ek zyada volatile safar shuru ho sakta hai.




Mere tajziye ke mutabiq, jo ke bare time frame mein nazar aata hai, qeemat pichle dinon ke trend ke mutabiq neechay jaane ki salahiyat rakhti hai. Bare time frame mein USDJPY jodi ka haalat bearish nazar aata hai, main is shart ko 4-hour time frame chart ke zariye monitor karta hoon. Kharidari karne walon ki taraf se qeemat ko ooncha uthane ki koi koshish nahi hui hai, jo ke bearish trend ko jari rakhta hai ab tak. Market mein lambi muddat ke jazbaat ke liye mauqa neechay ki taraf jaane ki taraf hota hai, is liye market par jo bearish potential hai us par tawajjo dena behtar hai. Shayad sellers candlestick ko neechay le kar 152.51 zone ke aas paas test karna chahte hain.

Samajhna chahiye ke qeemat neechay rawanaai ke sath ek mazboot bearish trend bana sakti hai jo ke zyada volatile hone ke saath zyada munafa faraham karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai. Is ke alawa, yeh bhi sochna zaroori hai ke market achanak bullish trend mein wapas laut sakta hai jaise pichle haftay hua tha. Is liye behtar hai ke hum abhi ke trend ke mutabiq muamla karen kyunki sellers abhi bhi bohat taqatwar hain. Meri umeed hai ke agle USDJPY jodi ke liye market ke halat apne Downtrend safar ki taraf jaari rakh sakein.

USD/JPY bhi, abhi abhi weekly chart dekha aur main keh sakta hoon, ya shayad shikayat karoon, ke main long term me kaam karne ka aadat nahi rakhta, chahe bull ho, chahe kuch khaas risks ho, bina kisi faayde ke rehne ka, lekin aakhir me, ek bara munafa lene ka, na ke woh jo maine yen pairs ke liye abhi apne liye tay kiya hai, jo ke 100 ya thoda zyada hai. Aakhir me, mujhe yaad hai ke tum aur maine kaha tha ke do akhri chotiyon tak girawat hogi, yeh nahi ho sakta ke na ho - pichle hafte candle ka local minimum 151.94 par tha. Lekin yeh sirf buddhe ka grumbling hai, kuch aur nahi.

Aur ab, lagta hai ke dollar-yen ne expected targets ko reach kar liya hai, lekin isse koi yaqeen nahi mila. Is silsile me, mere liye yeh bohot asaan hota hai jab pair rapidly grow kar raha hota hai aur local maximums ke zone me hota hai to sale ke options ko consider karna. Aur ab, yeh dubara se growth ko resume kar sakte hain, ek aur zigzag northern direction me bana sakte hain, ya Fibonacci grid ke rollback benchmarks ko finish kar sakte hain - jo ke matlab hai ke dollar-yen 148 ki figure ke beech tak gir sakta hai. Aur direction me galti ki cost kaafi achi ho sakti hai, kyun ke, shuru me, main stops set nahi karta. Pichle hafte dollar aur yen neeche gaye. Support 157.163 test hui. Price ne support 155.447 ko reach kiya. Hafte ke aakhir me yeh roll back hui aur 157.163 marks se upar band hui, in reasons ke liye maine last week growth ko resistance 161.241 tak priority di thi, lekin mere forecast ke contrary, price ne poora hafta phir neeche ka safar kiya. Support 157.163 toot gayi. Support 155.447 bhi toot gayi. Hafte ka end 153.584 marks par hua, jahan koi priority nahi thi. Agar yeh 153.584 marks ke upar open hota hai, to yeh ek purchase hai resistance 155.447 tak, agar yeh marks ke neeche open hota hai, to yeh ek decline hai 151.589 marks tak.

Market aksar chhote traders ko further drops se pehle buy karne par entice karta hai. Main 154.89 ka test aur uske baad ek continued fall ka predict karta hoon. Ek upward correction ke baad, price ko neeche girne ka imkaan hai. 154.39 ka false breakout likely ek aur girawat ka sabab banega. Yeh concrete sell signals nahi hain, balkay potential movements par soch hain. Maine weekly time frame me decrease ke approximate targets identify kiye, khaaskar 146.918. Yeh level shayad monthly time frame par tha, lekin isne weekly level par bhi liquidity dikhayi, jahan price frequently react karta hai, alternating support aur resistance ke beech. Is target tak pohanchne ka approach ek deep pullback ko bullish side par involve kar sakta hai, ek 'head and shoulders' pattern ka dusra shoulder form kar sakta hai, ya bina shoulder banaye bhi ho sakta hai. Candle ka body aur shadow shoulder levels ko mark karte hain, lekin is scenario me candle ke body par focus karna behtar hai.

USD/JPY MARKET PAIR DAILY TAJZIYA

Market pair USD/JPY ke hawale se jo Daily timeframe par hua, is Tuesday ko phir se seller ne safalta ke sath qabza kar liya tha. Seller ne resistance area ko 157.15-157.10 ke qeemat par maintain kiya tha, jahan buyer ke taraf se aane wale kharidari dabao ko rok kar seller ne qeemat ko ooncha na le jane ka kamyab intekhab kiya. Is ne seller ko mazeed bechnay ki dabao mai mazbooti mili, taake USD/JPY pair ki qeemat ko mazeed neechay le ja sakay.



Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ke istemal se dekha ja sakta hai ke qeemat waqai Middle Bollinger Bands area ke nichay hai aur is waqt seller ne qeemat ko Lower Bollinger Bands area ke qareeb maintain karne ka kaam jari rakha hai, jo ke aaj ke trading mein bearish sellers ke liye maqsood area ban sakta hai. Market support bhi bearish candlesticks ke dominion se nazar aata hai jo ke dobara shakhsiat dikhate hain ke USD/JPY market pair ab bhi mazeed taqatwar bearish trend mein hai. Agar Lower Bollinger Bands area jo 155.24-155.20 ke qeemat par hai, darust tareeqay se toota ja sakta hai, to USD/JPY pair ki qeemat mazeed gehraai se kamzor ho sakti hai jis ka agla maqsad buyer ki demand support area ki taraf ja sakta hai.

Wednesday ke trading mein subah Asian market session mein dekha gaya ke buyer ne qeemat ko ooncha uthane ki koshish ki thi jis ka muqabla karne ke liye seller resistance area ko 156.60-156.62 ke qareeb target kiya gaya tha. Agar is ko mazbooti se tor diya gaya, to USD/JPY pair ki qeemat aur oonchi urooj tak pohanch sakti hai jis ka agla maqsad seller ki supply resistance area 157.45-157.47 ke qareeb ja sakta hai. Lekin agar nakam ho gaya, to USD/JPY pair ki qeemat phir se seller ki nigrani mein aa jayegi jo ke 155.22-155.20 ke support area ko test karne ke liye nishana bana sakte hain.

Conclusion:

Sell entry kiya ja sakta hai agar seller 155.22-155.20 ke qareeb wale buyer support area ko toorna mein kamyab ho gaye, TP target area 154.67-154.65 ke qareeb.

Buy entry kiya ja sakta hai agar buyer 156.60-156.62 ke qareeb wale seller resistance area ko toorna mein kamyab ho gaye, TP target area 157.45-157.47 ke qareeb.

USD:JPY:M15: 154.02.

Japanese Yen (JPY) ke saath mazboot giravat ka samna ho raha hai, jab ke Japanese currency officials ne yen ki slide ko rokne ke liye badi tadad mein yen ki khareedariyon ke zariye koshish ki hai. Is giravat ki wajah zyada tar structure issues se juri hai, khaas tor par Japan aur United States ke darmiyan significant interest rate differential ki wajah se. Is saal ke shuru mein Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne interest rates ko negative territory se bahar nikalne ke liye bada diya tha, lekin yeh qadam Japan mein qareeb-zero rates aur United States mein 5.25% rates ke darmiyan mazeed gap ko khatam karne ke liye kamzor sabit hua hai.



In corrections ki miqdar hamesha mushkil hai. Lal boxes purane fractals ko highlight karte hain, jo ke abhi tak tootay nahi hain, jis se kehta hai ke ek barhne wale trend ko jari rakhne ka ishara hai. Trend line ka breakout mumkin hai jaise ke isay mukhtalif tareeqon se draw kiya ja sakta hai, jis se uski raftar badal sakti hai. Main sirf trend ko dekhne ke liye ek trend line mark karta hoon. Pichli dafa jab is par touch hua tha aur minor rebound hua tha, to market mazeed upar nahi gaya aur is line ko toor diya gaya tha. Yeh kehna mushkil hai ke yeh ek false breakout hai ya asal hai. Is uncertainty ke bais par interest ho sakta hai. Sellers is se bechnay ki koshish kar sakte hain, jab ke buyers correction ka intezar kar sakte hain. Giravat mukammal ho sakti hai. Maine Fibonacci grid last growth expectation impulse par lagaya hai, jahan buyers trend line se reaction ka intezar kar rahe the. Yeh range, 200% level ke saath, growth momentum ke khilaf support ke taur par kaam aaya 161.9%-176.5% tak.

USD:JPY:M15: 154.02.

Trading Plan Conclusion:
Main FTR 155.51 area mein buy re-entry lena jaari rakhunga, jahan stop loss 154.90 aur take profit 158.73 hoga.
Lekin agar price RBR area se bahar nikalta hai to main price movement ko follow karke 155.05 area mein sell entry lena jaari rakhunga, jahan stop loss 155.60 aur take profit 154.02 hoga.

USD/JPY currency pair. Pichle trading hafta mein, American dollar ne sellers ko apni zordar decline se khush kiya. US ki news ayi, indicators expected se bohot zyada kharab nikle aur price neeche gir gayi, magar sirf Japanese currency ke against nahi, balki almost puray market spectrum mein. Canadian dollar ke ilawa, jo ab tak mazboot hai. Takriban 400 points bohot jaldi neeche gir gaye. Is decline ke dauran, price ne support payi ek ascending support line ki form mein jo waves ke bottoms ke sath built hui thi aur wahan se upar rebound hui, phir dobara descent aur rebound aur dobara line ko press kiya. Magar wave structure upar ki taraf apna order banata ja raha hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai, magar apni signal line ke neeche. Aur ab do options hain. Ya to phir se grow karna aur horizontal resistance level 160.30 tak pohchna, ya neeche jaana aur ascending line ko break karna. Main growth ke haq mein hoon kyunke CCI indicator lower overheating zone mein hai aur uspe growth signal dikh raha hai - ek bullish convergence. Aur line ke base par, yeh ek acha signal hai. Aur waise bhi, yeh zaroori nahi ke upward trend puri tarah khatam ho gaya hai aur ek deeper correction follow karega. Shayad ziada sellers ko recruit karne ke liye jo sochte hain, achha, akhirkar, ek reversal, price ab bhi yahan ek din ke liye sideways ja sakti hai. Positions ka accumulation hoga aur woh asani se unhein phir se bilkul top tak le ja sakte hain, resistance level 160.32 ko break karte hue. Har haal mein, agar sales ko consider karte hain, to abhi line par bilkul best jagah nahi hai. Magar main waqai mein khareedna bhi nahi chahta kyunke yeh line pehle hi upar se kuch achay departures de chuki hai, magar sirf line nahi, yahan horizontal support level bhi hai 157.72.
USD/JPY pair Monday ko 158.00 ke around trade kar rahi thi. Daily chart suggest karta hai ek potential weakening trend, pair key support level ko break kar rahi hai. Additional, ek technical indicator jo momentum ko measure karta hai, wo neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai, bearish sentiment ko reinforce karte hue. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to pair dobara apne June low 154.55 ko revisit kar sakti hai. Magar, ek reversal ka chance abhi bhi hai. Resistance levels jo 14-day Exponential Moving Average aur ascending channel ke lower boundary ke kareeb hain, kuch support offer kar sakte hain. Agar price action wapas ascending channel ke andar chali jati hai, to yeh ek renewed bullish sentiment signal kar sakta hai USD/JPY ke liye, potential target channel ke upper limit ke kareeb ho sakta hai. Essentially, assassination attempt ne currency market mein volatility inject ki hai. Agle kuch hafton mein yen further weaken ho sakti hai risk aversion aur Japanese authorities ke potential intervention ke wajah se, magar technical indicators suggest karte hain ke ek possible trend reversal ho sakta hai agar USD/JPY pair key support levels ko dobara capture kar leti hai. Agle kuch haftay yen aur dollar ke future trajectory ko determine karne mein crucial honge, US election ke developments aur Japan ki further intervention attempts ko closely dekhna padega.

Maine USD/JPY pair ka analysis bohat tafseel se kiya hai. Aap kehta hain ke is hafte ke hawalat se market ab bhi seller control mein hai, aur yeh ke price zone 152.66 tak gir sakti hai. Candlestick downward movement ko continue karne ki umeed hai. Pechle kuch dino ke market trend images se yeh wazeh hai ke yeh bearish side ki taraf ja rahi hai aur aur zyada gehrayi mein gir sakti hai.
Hafte ke darmiyan market mein price situation mein zyada tabdeeli nahi dekhi gayi kyunke price journey ab bhi decrease ho rahi hai aur week ke start ke opening price se door ho rahi hai. Aaj dopahar ya sham se ziyata volatile journey shuru ho sakti hai.

Mere analysis ke mutabiq, larger time frame mein price previous day's trend ko follow karte hue gir sakti hai. USD/JPY pair ki situation large time frame par bearish nazar aa rahi hai, aur mein is condition ko 4-hour time frame chart par monitor kar raha hoon. Buyers ne ab tak price ko upar le jane ki koshish nahi ki, jis se bearish trend continue ho raha hai. Long-term sentiment bhi downward state mein nazar aa raha hai, is liye market par focus karte hue bearish potential par rehna behtar hoga. Shayad sellers candlestick ko 152.51 zone tak test karne ke liye niche lana chahte hain.

Yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke prices ek strong downward trend form kar sakti hain with high level of volatility, jo zyada profit opportunity de sakti hai. Humain yeh bhi madde nazar rakhna chahiye ke market unexpected taur par bullish trend ki taraf wapas aa sakta hai jaise pechle hafte mein hua tha. Is liye current trend ke mutabiq transaction karna behtar hoga kyunke sellers ab bhi bohot powerful hain. Mere prediction ke mutabiq USD/JPY pair ke liye agle market conditions Downtrend side ki taraf apni journey continue kar sakti hain.

Filhaal, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke live pricing ko decode kar rahe hain. Maine USD/JPY currency pair ko growth ke liye analyze kiya, lekin isay sirf ek potential pullback samjha. Hourly chart pe growth signal mein desire aur probability ki kami thi, jo ek significant drop ka sabab bana substantial rise ke baad. Yeh decline rapidly hua, jo weekly candlesticks se zahir hota hai. Abhi tak absorption confirm karna mushkil hai kyun ke candle abhi close nahi hui. Magar agar month isi tarah close hota hai, to further decline mumkin hai, aur hum approximate targets outline kar sakte hain. Historically, monthly absorption achi tarah kaam karta hai kuch exceptions (red rectangles) ke ilawa. Current candle ek short body aur large tail bottom pe dikha rahi hai, jo ek mirror-level test ko indicate karta hai.
Image pe click karen for larger version



Older time frames mein, Japanese yen ke liye main direction bearish trend mein hai. Magar current data zyada informative ho sakta hai ongoing consolidation ki wajah se, jo outcome ko uncertain bana raha hai. Lower periods mein, H1 show karta hai ke low of 151.97 se dollar-yen buyers ne ek primary downward impulse initiate kiya with a bullish trend-based start line at 154.72. Picture borderline hai, aur agar bears USD/JPY ko 157.79 ke neeche push karte hain, to ek nayi low update likely imminent hai. Primary resistance for dollar-yen along the bullish start line 154.72 pe hai. Agar yeh level possible hota hai aur bulls gain foothold karte hain, to upward impulse likely continue karega first impulse zone levels 156.44 aur 151.59 tak, making this the main scenario for USD/JPY. Next week, non-farm payroll aur unemployment rate pe essential data hai, so pichle week se higher volatility ho sakti hai

USD/JPY Tashreeh

Mangal ko hui UsdJpy market pair ki timeframe mein bechare ko phir se bechne wala ne kabza kar liya jo keh kharidar ke dabaav ko qaim rakhne ke baad trading mein ghalba hasil karne mein kamyab raha aur isi ke sath kharidar ne dobara qeemat ko ooncha lana nakam raha aur is ko bechne wala ne isko mazboot bechne ke dabaav se zyada zor se istemal kiya ta keh yeh UsdJpy jodi ki qeemat ko ek kaafi gehri kamzori ke darje tak dabane mein kamyab ho saka.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger bands indicator ke istemal se dekha ja sakta hai keh qeemat asal mein Middle Bollinger bands area ke neeche hai aur abhi bhi qeemat bechne wale ke zimmedari mein hai jo keh Lower Bollinger bands area ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai jo aaj ke trading mein bearish bechne wale ke liye maqsad area banne ka imkan rakhta hai. Market ki himayat bhi bearish candlesticks ke dominancy se nazar aati hai jo keh phir se ban gaye hain aur is se zahir hota hai keh UsdJpy market pair ab bhi ek kaafi mazboot bearish trend mein hai. Agar Lower Bollinger bands area jo keh 155.24-155.20 ke qeemat par hai, sahi tor par toot jaye, to UsdJpy jodi ki qeemat mazeed gehri kamzori ke sath girne ka silsila jari rahega jis ka agla maqsad kharidar ki darkhwast ki himayat area ki taraf jayega.

Budh ko subah ke Asian market session mein trading ne dikhaya keh kharidar ne qeemat ko buland karnay ke liye mukhlis koshish ki jo keh najdeek tarin bechne wale ke mukhalif dabaav area 156.60-156.62 ke qeemat par pohanchne ki taraf muhaim kar rahi thi. Agar is ko mukhlis tor par kamyab tor par tor kar diya jaye, to UsdJpy jodi ki qeemat aur bhi buland hojayegi jis ka agla maqsad bechne wale ki farahmi dabaav area 157.45-157.47 ke qeemat par jayega. Magar agar yeh kamyaab na ho, to UsdJpy jodi ki qeemat phir se bechne wale ke dabaav ke neeche control mein aa jayegi jo keh himayat area 155.22-155.20 ke qeemat par ja kar test kiya jayega.

Nateeja:

Sell entry kiya ja sakta hai agar bechne wala 155.22-155.20 ke qareeb kharidar ki himayat area ko tor deta hai jis ka TP maqsad area 154.67-154.65 ke qeemat par hai.



Buy entry kiya ja sakta hai agar kharidar 156.60-156.62 ke qareeb bechne wale ke mukhalif dabaav area ko tor deta hai jis ka TP maqsad area 157.45-157.47 ke qeemat par hai.

USD/JPY

Hello, saathi! Oh, kehna mat: agar bas kuch pakarne ko hota, to hum hamesha use pakar lete )) Main ne to bas daily chart dekha waves ka USD/JPY par aur hairan reh gaya: kab se yeh instrument itni technical tareeqe se hamare plans ko work out kar raha hai? Kal maine likha tha ke jab se neeche ki taraf movement shuru hui aur pair ne MA18 ke niche consolidate kiya, to humein is decline ko finalise karne ke liye seedha kaam karna chahiye tha. Yani, pendulum method ke mutabiq: jab humne light moving se push kiya, to humein MA100 ke paas pull back hona chahiye tha. Hum is goal par gaye, kehna chahiye, bohot lambi dair lag gayi. Ek poora hafta laga sirf moving averages ke beech sideways movement se nikalne mein - guide jo maine zigzags ke lower peaks ke sath draw kiya tha, aur Ichimoku Cloud ke upper band ke neeche padi hui. Aur ab ho gaya, humne specifically decline ko MA100 tak khatam kar diya. Ab sawaal yeh hai - agla kya hoga. Lagta hai bullish candle form hone laga hai. Aur yeh bohot technical lag raha hai. Jo indicators ke mutabiq humare paas hai:
- MA100 kaam kar raha hai space ko kafi saaf parallel to the floor - din ke doran flat mood ka sign.
- MA18 ab ek trend angle of thirty degrees se neeche pull kar raha hai. Yani, din ke doran abhi bhi decline ki tendency hai.
- Ichimoku cloud ab bullish colors mein paint kiya gaya hai moment ke liye. Forecast perspective mein, yeh bullish mood ko kafi thorough tareeqe se work out karne liya jata hai. Haqeeqat mein, forecast perspective mein, yeh zero level tak narrow hota hai aur bears ki taraf jana chahta hai.
Sare basement indicators abhi sell ke liye configure hain. Lagta hai ke decline jaari rahega. Bas ab humein intezaar karna hoga ke qeemat MA100 ke neeche consolidate ho jaye.

USD/JPY par kal qeemat uttarne ka rukh raha, jis se ek puri bullish candle ki shakl bani jo pichle daily range ke maximum ke upar rehne mein kamyab rahi. Overall, main is instrument ke liye apna plan qaim rakhta hoon aur poori tarah se nazara andaz karta hoon nearest resistance level se reaction ke mumkinat ke liye, jo keh meri tashreeh ke mutabiq 161.951 par hai. Jaise keh maine pehle kaha tha, is resistance level ke aas paas do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario is se mutaliq hai keh qeemat is level ke upar qaim reh kar aagey ki taraf chalti rahe. Agar yeh plan paish aata hai, to main qeemat ko agle resistance level tak move hone ka intezar karunga, jo keh 164.500 par waqai hai. Agar qeemat is resistance level ke upar qaim rehti hai, to main aur upar ki taraf movement ka intezar karunga, jis se agla resistance level 168.000 par pohnch sakta hai. Is resistance level ke aas paas, main trading pattern ki shakalat ka intezar karunga jo aagey ki trading ki taraf rukh maloom karne mein madad karega. Bila shuba, main lambi muddat ke uttar ki taraf movement ke doran pullback ka imkan bhi samjhta hoon, jise main istemal karunga nearest support levels se bullish signals talash karne ke liye, qeemat ke upar ki taraf movement ke jariye, global bullish trend ke mutabiq.

Ek aur raasta qeemat ke movement ke liye jab 161.951 ke resistance level ke qareeb pohnche, yeh hai keh reversal candle ki shakalat ban jaye aur dakhal andazi ke rukh ki shuruaat ho. Agar yeh plan paish aata hai, to main qeemat ka intezar karunga ke woh support level tak lautay, jo keh 160.209 par hai ya phir agle support level 157.671 par. Is support levels ke aas paas, main bullish signals talash karte rahunga, qeemat ke upar ki taraf movement ke intezar mein. Overall, summarise karne ke liye, is waqt main yeh mumkinat ko ghor kar raha hoon keh qeemat agle resistance level ke taraf push hone ke liye utar jaye gi, aur agar buyers is ke upar qaim rehne mein kamyab ho jate hain, to main apna target ek mazeed door ke uttar taraf shift karunga.



Usdjpy currency pair ke market mein ek sideways movement hai, jo keh TMA indicator ke horizontal channel se tasdeeq kiya jata hai, jo keh yellow rang mein hai. MACD indicator is ko tasdeeq karta hai, jo zero level ke upar hai aur green rang mein hai, jab ke OsMA indicator dikhata hai keh red line blue line ke upar hai. Is halat mein, jab tak keh koi wazeh trend na ho, mashwara diya jata hai keh currency pair ko movement ki taraf tay karne ke liye intezar kiya jaye, aur jab TMA indicator channel apna slope angle badalte hue dekhein, ya to upar ya neeche. Jo log trend ki taraf trading pasand karte hain, woh channel ki hadood levels 161.90-161.30 se mumkin trades ko ghor sakte hain.

USD JPY ab mazboot hone ke ilaqe mein hai aur is baat ka andaza daily candle ke upper side par laga sakte hain keh yeh pehle high candle area se mazeed bahar nikal gaya hai, phir neeche ki correction ke liye dekhein aur jab yeh daily candle area ke pehle din ki 38% kamzori mein ho tab buy entry karein, is waqt buy entry sahi nahi hai kyunki qeemat abhi bhi kal ke close candle ke area mein hai, isliye European session ya US session ke liye aaj intezaar karein keh qeemat dobara kamzor ho jaye aur amoman movements ke liye technical analysis hamesha pehle ki history ki taraf le jayega jo aaj ki qeemat ke movement ke liye reference hoga aur analysis ke hisay se main khareedari entry ko mad-e-nazar samajhta hoon jab qeemat aaj ki movement se thoda kamzor ho jaye ga jo haftawar ki resistance point 2 ki taraf majroo hai jaisa ke nichlay tasveer mein dikhaya gaya hai.





USDJPY ab trend line ke upar trade ho raha hai, jo humein buyers ki taqat dikhata hai, aur trend line support hai. Bullish rally jaari rakhne ke liye, main yakeen karta hoon keh buyers ko resistance - 162.15 ko tor dena chahiye, jis se trading channel khula hoga, bullish movement ke mumkin jaari rakhne ke liye. Kaam karne ke liye target hoga pehla level, yeh hai supply zone - 160.47, yeh jagah hai jahan se hum ne history mein dekha hai keh sellers ne qeemat ko tezi se gira diya. Main reverse movement ka izafa bhi nahi nikalta hoon short ki taraf, lekin sab se pehle bears ko support - 160.24 ko tor dena chahiye, jahan se qeemat ne kai martaba bounce kiya hai. Bear ki taqat ka tasdeeq qeemat ka fix hone wala level - 160.31 ke neeche hona hoga. Jo humare liye tasdeeq karega keh qeemat kamzor ho rahi hai.

USDJPY mein abhi bhi downtrend jari hai. Qeemat ne support level - 155.48 par madad payi hai, jahan se bounce hua hai. Technical analysis dikhata hai keh qeemat chaar ghanton ke timeframe par abhi bhi cloud ke neeche trade ho rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche hai, Chikou span line qeemat ke chart ke neeche hai, aur "dead cross" mojood hai. Relative strength index 50 ke value ke neeche hai, aur "trend filter" oscillator laal rang mein hai, bearish market sentiment ki alamat de raha hai. Mazeed girawat ke liye potential mojood hai. Agar qeemat 155.48 ke level ko tor kar mazbooti se consolidate kar leti hai, to naye bechne ki tafteesh ka tawajjo dena munasib hoga. Is scenario mein, agla potential target jo main samajhta hoon woh support level 154.70 hai. Tayyar hone ke liye ek alternative scenario yeh ho sakta hai keh qeemat cloud ke upar trade kar rahi ho, "golden cross" ke shartein ke sath

USD/JPY ki Technical Tashreeh

Yen ne peechle trading haftay mein mazeed mazbooti dikhayi. 158.43 level ke neeche girne ke baad, qeemat ne istehkam kiya aur mukhalif rukh ki ek retest ke baad tezi se neeche girne lagi, 156.54 level ke neeche gir kar, lekin phir is level ke qareeb wapis aane lagi, jis se girawat mein aahista aahista izafa hua. Is tarah, muntazir emission reduction scenario ka hissa hissa poora hua, lekin maqsad area abhi tak hasil nahi hua. Intehaiat mein, qeemat ka chart abhi bhi supertrend ke red zone mein hai, jo keh sellers ka control dikhata hai.

158.60 critical resistance ko paar karne mein nakami ke baad, taqatwar bearish trend ne USD/JPY par qabza kar liya, jis ne isay ek bearish corrective trend mein nakami se trade karne par majboor kar diya. Technical analysis ke nazariye se, hum aaj downside ki taraf leaning kar rahe hain, stochastic ke upward momentum ke nuqsan ke sath sada moving averages ke negative crossover ki wajah se. Isi liye, 155.00 ko starting point rakhte hue, corrective girawat jari aur asar andaz hone ka imkan hai, jise torne se nuqsan barh sakta hai aur 153.55 aur 153.00 levels tak pohnch sakta hai. Neeche di gayi tasveer dekhein:



Abhi qeemat thoda neeche trade ho rahi hai, haftawaray ki kamzori ke qareeb. Main support area ko test kiya gaya aur safaltapurvak qaim rakh gaya, jis ne neeche ki taraf bounce ko jari rakha hai. Is jari rakhne ke liye, quote ko 156.54 level ke neeche consolidate hona hoga, jo ke abhi critical resistance zone ka hadood hai. Is level ka retest aur us ke baad pullback naye downtrend ke raste ko khol dega jis ka maqsad 153.35 aur 151.80 area hoga.

Agar resistance level tor jaye aur qeemat 158.43 reversal level ke upar chali jaye, to is waqt ki mojudgi ko cancel karne ke liye ek signal mil jayega.