USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Japanese yen US dollar ke muqable mein kafi girawat ka samna kar raha hai. Budh ke din, USD/JPY ka exchange rate 161.91 tak pohanch gaya, jo 1986 ke baad se apni sabse mazboot satah par hai. Is tezi se girawat ne bazar ke shirakaun ko fikr mein dal diya hai. Woh Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke currency market mein madakhlat ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aisi madakhlat yen ko mazboot kar sakti hai aur USD/JPY pair ke bullish rujhan ko rok sakti hai. Pressure mein izafa karte hue, Japanese hukoomat ke bonds ki yields 13 saalon ki unchi satah par pahunch gayi hain, 10 saal ki maturities ke liye 1.11% tak. Yields ka yeh izafa BOJ ke monetary policy mein tabdeeli ki umeed ko zahir karta hai. Yen ki kamzori ke sath, karobar rising import costs aur inflationary pressures ka samna kar rahe hain. Is masle ko hal karne ke liye, Reuters ke mutabiq Japanese Finance Ministry naye qisam ke variable-rate bond launch karne ka soch rahi hai. Yeh investors ko rising bond yields ke risks se bachane mein madad kar sakta hai, khaaskar BOJ ke potential interest rate hikes ke pehle.
Yeh strategy price action ko nazdeek se dekhne aur market conditions mein tabdeeliyon ka foran jawab dene ki salahiyat par mabni hai. Kamiyab execution ka raaz 161.48 ko strong resistance aur 161.11 ko strong support ke tor par sahi pehchanne mein hai. Timing nihayat ahmiyat rakhti hai; in levels par positions lena aur chorna barhi dyanatdari se faida ko barhawa dene aur nuqsan ko kam karne mein madadgar hota hai. Iske ilawa, traders ko broader market context aur koi bhi fundamental factors jo USD/JPY movements ko asar andaz kar sakte hain, se wakif hona chahiye. Economic data releases, central bank announcements, aur geopolitical events sab pair ki price action ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. In factors ka jawaz dete hue strategy mein adjustments karna zaruri hai. Aaj ka plan USD/JPY ko 161.48 level par test karne ke baad sell karna aur pehla target 161.11 rakhna hai. Is target par pohanchne ke baad short positions ko close karna aur long positions open karna, 20-25 pip ki upward movement ka faida uthane ke liye. Yeh approach key levels ki carefully monitoring, swift execution, aur broader market influences ka aware hone par mabni hai. Is strategy ko follow kar ke, traders anticipated price movements in USD/JPY ka faida uthaa sakte hain



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USDJPY pair ko daily time frame par working day ke liye dekhen. Hamein sirf do indicators chahiyein: nine aur twenty-one periods ke exponential moving averages. Signals simple aur familiar hain: in moving averages ka intersection price level 158.048 par hota hai. Sabr karo, 5-minute time frame par price pullback ka intezar karo, phir market sell entry initiate karo. Trade se trade tak main composed rehne ki koshish karta hoon aur sirf calculated risks leta hoon. Mera risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 3 meri golden rule hai. Mera stop order hamesha kam az kam 21 points par set hota hai, kabhi kabar 24 tak extend hota hai lekin kabhi zyada nahi. Bank of Japan apni agli meeting jo 29 July ko hai, us se bond-buying reduce karne ka soch raha hai. Yeh proposal positive feedback le chuka hai. Magar woh apni communication mein ehtiyaat kar rahe hain kyunke yeh aik critical issue hai. US bond holdings reduce karne se Japan-US relations mein friction ho sakti hai, lekin yeh yen ko mazboot aur Japan ki economy ko current rates par support bhi de sakta hai. USD/JPY ke hawale se kal, thodi si southern pullback ke baad, price ne reverse kiya aur dheemay dheemay northern direction mein push karti rahi, jis se pehle din ki range mein ek chhoti reversal candle bani. Mujhe ab bhi umeed hai ke is instrument ke liye price movement north ki taraf jari rahegi aur main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke current accumulation ke khatam hone ke baad, ek impulsive breakout resistance level 164.500 tak ho ga. Jaise ke main pehle bhi keh chuka hoon, is resistance level ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate karay aur north ki taraf further move karay. Agar yeh plan play out hota hai, toh hum price ko resistance level 168.000 ki taraf move hota dekh sakte hain. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo agle trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Bilkul, main is possibility ko bhi madde nazar rakhta hoon ke price aur zyada north ki taraf push ho sakta hai, lekin filhal, main is scenario ko nahi dekh raha kyunke mujhe iski jaldi realization ka prospect nazar nahi aata. Ek alternative scenario jab price resistance level 164.500 ke qareeb ho, yeh ho sakta hai ke ek reversal candle bane aur price southern movement resume kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, Jodi ke liye aik ahem resistance level symmetrical triangle ke upper threshold par 156.80 ke qareeb hai. Is level ko paar karna bearish outlook ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur mumkin hai ke jodi ko zehni sarhad 161.00 ke imtehan mein pohancha sake. Mazeed izafa se jodi 161.31 tak pohanch sakti hai, jo ke tehat saaloon se nahi dekha gaya

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY
Pichlay trading week mai yen ki taqat mai izafa dekha gaya. 158.43 level se break karne ke baad, price ne stabilize hone k baad sharp decline dikhaya, aur 156.54 level ko breach kar diya. Lekin phir yeh level ke qareeb recover bhi hui. Expected emission reduction scenario kuch had tak achieve hua hai, magar target area abhi door hai. Chart abhi tak red zone mai hai, jo sellers ke control ko show kar raha hai.

158.60 ki critical resistance ko clear karne mai nakami ke baad, USD/JPY mai bearish trend ne dobara control hasil kiya, aur price ne bearish corrective trend mai trade karna shuru kar diya. Technical analysis ke point of view se, hum aaj downside ko prefer kar rahay hain due to stochastics ki upward momentum loss aur simple moving averages ke negative crossover ki wajah se. Isliye, 155.00 ko starting point samajh kar, corrective decline ko sustain aur effective hone ki umeed hai, jo break hone pe losses ko badha kar 153.55 aur 153.00 levels ko hit kar sakti hai.



Filhal, price weekly low ke qareeb slightly lower trade kar rahi hai. Main support area test hui aur successfully hold hui, jo downward bounce ko zinda rakhta hai. Is continuity ke liye, quote ko 156.54 level ke neeche consolidate hona zaroori hai, jo ke critical resistance zone ka border hai. Is level ka retest aur subsequent pullback new downtrend ka raasta khol dega jiska target 153.35 aur 151.80 area hai.

Agar resistance level break hota hai aur price 158.43 ke reversal level ke upar jati hai, to current situation ko cancel karne ka signal milega.

Yen ne pichle trading week mein mazbooti jari rakhi. 158.43 level se neeche girne ke baad, keemat ne stable hone ka safar shuru kiya aur ulte rukh ke retest ke baad tezi se kamzor ho gayi, 156.54 level se neeche girne ka safar jari raha, lekin phir is level ke qareeb wapas aagayi, jis se nuqsan mein kuch hissa aafiyat se wapas liya. Is tarah, intezar kiya gaya nisbatan kamiyabi haasil hui, lekin maqsad wali manzil abhi tak dor mein hai. Iss dauran, keemat ka chart supertrend ke red zone mein hai, jo ke kharidarun ki control ko zahir karta hai.

Critical resistance 158.60 ko paar karne mein nakami ke baad, taqatwar bearish trend ne USD/JPY par qabza kar liya, jis ne isay ek bearish correction trend mein mutasir kar diya. Technical analysis ke nazariye se, aaj hum keemat ki kamzori aur stochastics ke negative crossover ke bais neeche ki taraf mael hain. Isi wajah se, 155.00 se shuru hone par correction decline mukhtalif aur mufeed hone ki koshish ki jaa rahi hai, jis ka tootna nuqsan barhane ke sath sath 153.55 aur 153.00 levels tak pohnch sakta hai. Neeche chart dekhen:

[Chart yahan insert hota hai]


Halisahar, keemat thori si kamzor tareen hai aur haftawaray ki kamzori ke qareeb hai. Bunyadi support area ko imtehan diya gaya aur kamiyab tareeqay se qaim rakha gaya, jis se neeche ki taraf rukh jaari hai. Isay jari rakhne ke liye, quote ko 156.54 level se neeche jamah karna zaroori hai, jo ke abhi aeham resistance zone ke border par hai. Is level se dobara test aur us ke baad pullback, naye downtrend ke raaste ko khol sakta hai jis ka maqsad 153.35 aur 151.80 area ho sakta hai.

Agar resistance level toot jaye aur keemat 158.43 ke reversal level ke ooper uth jaye, toh is halat ko mansookh karne ka signal mil jaye ga.

Tuesday ki early trading session mein, U.S. Treasury 1.35 par trade kar raha tha. Dollar Japanese yen ke mukablay mein thoda retreat hua. Is choti si dip ke bawajood, ek significant amount of support barkarar hai, jise bohot se traders ko focus karna chahiye. Jab tak USD/JPY pair 155 yen level ke upar rehta hai, buying gain badhne ke chances hain. Agar pair is level ke neeche bhi girta hai, to bhi 152 yen mark ke aas paas maximum support expected hai. Magar, short term mein aise improvements expected nahi hain.

Agar USD/JPY pair apni 50-day EMA regain kar leta hai, to yeh 160 yen level tak possible return ka indication hoga. Prevailing interest rate differential US dollar ke haq mein hai, aur yeh pair ke liye ek major catalyst ka kaam karta hai. National debt ke high level ke wajah se, Bank of Japan adequate monetary austerity apply karne mein nakaam raha hai. Unke interventions yen depreciation ko kam karne ke liye sirf sporadic actions tak limited rahe hain. Given the current situation, jab tak Federal Reserve koi major policy adjustment nahi karta, USD/JPY pair ka long-term outlook bullish rahega, halan ke traders ko volatility ke liye tayar rehna chahiye jo kabhi kabhi hoti rehti hai.

Conclusively, halan ke USD/JPY pair mein kuch pullback dekha gaya hai, strong support levels ek continued uptrend ko indicate karte hain. Positive interest rate differentials US dollar ke terms mein aur currencies jo Bank of Japan ke limited monetary stimulus capacity ke zariye supported hain. Iss tarah, traders ko expect karna chahiye ke pair long run mein higher move karega despite potential short-term volatility.

The Japanese yen ko aik tezi say girawat ka samna hai, phir bhi Japanese currency authorities ne yen ki girawat ko rokne ki koshish ki hai massive yen purchases ke zariye. Yeh girawat zyadatar structural issues ki wajah se hai, khaaskar Japan aur US ke darmiyan ka significant interest rate differential. Is saal ke start mein, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne interest rates ko negative zone se bahar kiya, magar yeh move Japan ke near-zero rates aur USD ke 5.25 rates ke darmiyan ka substantial gap close karne mein nakam rahi. Recent notable decline USD/JPY pair mein, Tokyo se aur yen buying ki speculation ko barhawa diya hai. Pehle yeh pair 160.00 ke upar comfortably trade kar raha tha, ab yeh 155.00 support level ko target kar raha hai, aur next important support level 151.90 hai. Yeh shift Japanese authorities ke yen ki continued decline par growing concern aur market mein intervene karne ke liye unki readiness ko reflect karta hai

Tokyo officials optimistic hain ke recent decline US dollar mein USD/JPY pair ki downward trend ko continue karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai, khaaskar jabke US inflation rate ke decline ne Federal Reserve ke towards sentiment ko improve kiya hai. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne recent data par optimism express kiya, aur agar yeh trend continue karta hai, toh woh interest rates cut karne ke decision mein confidence hasil kar sakte hain, jo ke Japanese yen ke liye ek aur challenge hoga. BoJ ke interest rates adjust karne ke efforts ke bawajood, Japanese aur US rates ke darmiyan ka gap significantly narrow nahi hua. Yeh gap yen par pressure continue karta hai, aur Japanese authorities ke liye stable exchange rate hasil karna mushkil banata hai, yen ki girawat zyadatar Japan aur US ke darmiyan ke interest rate differential ki wajah se hai

USD/JPY Ka Technical Analysis

Pichlay trading haftay yen mein mazid mazbooti dekhne ko mili. 158.43 ke level ko tor kar, price ne stabilize hona shuru kiya aur opposite direction mein retest ke baad tezi se neeche gir gaya, aur 156.54 ke level ko bhi tor diya, lekin phir is level ke qareeb aagayi aur kuch recovery dekhne ko mili. Is tarah se, expected emission reduction ka scenario qareeb tak poora hua, lekin target area abhi door hai. Is doran, price chart ab bhi supertrend ke red zone mein hai, jo ke sellers ka control dikhata hai.

158.60 ke critical resistance ko clear na karne ke baad, ek strong bearish trend ne USD/JPY par control hasil kar liya, jis ke natijay mein price bearish corrective trend mein negative trading karne laga. Technical analysis ke point of view se, aaj hum downside ki taraf jhuk rahe hain, stochastics ke upward momentum ke loss aur simple moving averages ke negative crossover ki wajah se. Is liye, 155.00 ko starting point mante hue, corrective decline ke sustain rehne aur effective hone ki umeed hai, jiska break losses ko barhata hai aur 153.55 aur 153.00 levels ko hit kar sakta hai. Niche chart dekhein:



Is waqt, price weekly low ke qareeb thori neeche trade kar rahi hai. Main support area test hui aur successfully hold hui, jis se downward bounce ne downward vector ko zinda rakha hai. Is continuation ke liye, quote ko 156.54 ke level ke neeche consolidate karna zaroori hai, jo ke currently critical resistance zone ka border hai. Is level ka retest aur subsequent pullback naye downtrend ka rasta kholayega, target area 153.35 aur 151.80 ke sath.

Agar resistance level break hota hai aur price reversal level 158.43 ke upar chali jati hai, to current situation ko cancel karne ka signal mil jayega.

USD/JPY Market Outlook

Sab ko subah bakhair!

Is haftay USD/JPY market mein ziada buying opportunities nazar aati hain. Market dynamics filhal buyers ke haq mein hain aur bullish sentiment prevail kar raha hai. Magar, Tokyo CPI rate aik ahem factor hai jo sellers ki madad kar sakta hai. Agar CPI rate umeed se zyada aata hai to market sentiment shift ho sakta hai aur sellers ko temporary advantage mil sakta hai. Iske bawajood, overall outlook USD/JPY buyers ke liye positive hai.

US dollar ko kai news data se influence hone ki umeed hai, jo USD/JPY market mein zyada volatility le ayega. Key economic indicators, jese ke Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Average Earnings, Average Good Orders, Home Sales, aur Unemployment Rate, sab market sentiment ko impact karne wale hain. Yeh data points US economy ki strength ke baray mein insights denge, jo USD/JPY exchange rate ko accordingly influence karenge. Traders ko in economic releases ke unfold hone par potential market swings ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

Overall, mein USD/JPY par buy order ko prefer karta hoon with a short-term target of 157.77. Yeh target level pair ke optimistic outlook ko reflect karta hai, kyunke US dollar apni strength maintain karne ki umeed hai. Zaroori hai ke traders incoming news data par nazar rakhein, kyunke har economic release market sentiment aur price movements ko significantly affect kar sakta hai. Informed aur agile reh kar traders prevailing bullish trend ka faida utha sakte hain.

By the way, Tokyo CPI rate aur US economic data ko monitor karne ke liye traders ko disciplined approach apnani chahiye taake risk manage kar saken aur apni trading strategies ko optimize kar saken. Economic indicators par market reactions ko carefully analyze karna crucial hoga informed decisions lene ke liye. Yeh proactive approach traders ko volatility aur potential reversals navigate karne mein madad karegi jo ke week ke doran samnay aa sakti hain.

USD/JPY Currency Pair Analysis

Japanese Yen (JPY) ka girna lagataar jari hai bawajood iske ke Japanese currency officials ne yen ki qeemat ko rokne ke liye bohot zyada yen kharide. Yeh girawat zyada structural issues ki wajah se hai, khaaskar Japan aur United States ke darmiyan ka buhat bara interest rate ka farq. Is saal ke shuru mein, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne interest rates ko negative territory se nikalne ke liye barhaya, magar yeh qadmon se bhi Japan ke near-zero rates aur US ke 5.25% rates ka farq kam nahi ho saka.

USD/JPY pair mein haali mein notable girawat ne Tokyo se ek aur round yen purchases ki charcha ko barhaya hai. 160.00 ke upar aram se trading ke baad, yeh pair ab 155.00 support level ko target kar raha hai, aur agla key support level 151.90 hai. Yeh tabdeeli Japanese officials ke yen ke girawat par barhte hue concern aur unki market mein mudakhlat kar ke currency ko stabilize karne ki tayyari ko darshaati hai.

Tokyo officials optimistic hain ke US dollar ki haali girawat USD/JPY pair mein downward movement ko extend karne mein madadgar hogi, khaaskar jab ke US inflation ne Federal Reserve mein sentiment ko behtar banaya hai. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne haali data ke baray mein optimism ka izhar kiya hai, aur agar yeh trend continue hota hai to yeh confidence de sakta hai ke interest rates ko cut karne ka ahem faisla liya jaye.

Persistent interest rate differential Japanese yen ke liye aik bara challenge bana hua hai. BoJ ke interest rates adjust karne ke koshishon ke bawajood, Japanese aur US rates ke darmiyan ka farq kam nahi ho saka. Yeh gap yen par pressure dalta rehta hai, jis se Japanese authorities ke liye stable exchange rate hasil karna mushkil ho jata hai. Yen ki girawat ka asal sabab structural issues hain, khaaskar Japan aur US ke darmiyan ka interest rate differential. Japanese currency officials ne yen ko stabilize karne ke liye interventions ki hain, magar yeh measures limited success de sake hain kiyunke underlying economic conditions waisi hi hain. Tokyo se aur yen purchases ki potential abhi bhi high hai jabke officials currency ko market volatility ke darmiyan support karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yen ka outlook bohot zyada BoJ aur Federal Reserve ke future interest rate decisions par aur broader economic trends par depend karega.

USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka analysis karengay. Heiken Ashi candlesticks ke configuration aur RSI indicators ke signals yeh suggest karte hain ke market mein bullish trend likely hai. Traditional Japanese candlesticks ke mukable, Heiken Ashi candlesticks smoothed aur averaged price value ko dikhate hain, jo technical analysis ko simplify karte hain aur trading decisions ki accuracy ko enhance karte hain. Price channel indicator, apni red, blue, aur yellow lines ke sath, twice-smoothed moving averages par support aur resistance lines construct karta hai, jo instrument ke current movement boundaries ko clear illustrate karta hai. Basement RSI indicator ek filtering oscillator hai, jo Heiken Ashi ke sath mil kar positive results yield karta hai. Decline abhi tak shuru nahi hua, senior half ko dekhte hue. Main locally sell karne ke haq mein bhi nahi hoon.
USD/JPY chart nazar aa raha hai, uske mutabiq price 157.16 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Chart par red line 50-period moving average ko represent kar rahi hai, jo abhi price ke upar hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke short-term mein downtrend chal raha hai, kyunki price moving average ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Pehle ke highs aur lows bhi confirm karte hain ke overall trend upward tha, lekin recent price action downtrend ko suggest kar raha hai.
MACD indicator chart ke neeche diya gaya hai, jisme 12, 26, aur 9 period ka setting use hua hai. MACD line aur signal line ke crossovers se trend ke strength aur direction ka andaza hota hai. OsMA (Oscillator of Moving Average) indicator bhi MACD ke sath present hai, jo momentum changes ko highlight karta hai. Recent MACD histogram negative values dikha raha hai, jo bearish momentum ko indicate kar raha hai.
Money Flow Index (MFI) bhi chart mein present hai, jiska value 39.91 hai. MFI 20 aur 80 ke levels ke darmiyan hoti hai, to current value neutral se thodi bullish momentum ko suggest kar rahi hai. Agar yeh 20 ke neeche jaye to oversold condition indicate hoti hai, aur agar 80 ke upar jaye to overbought condition hoti hai. Abhi yeh 50 ke neeche hai, jo selling pressure ko indicate kar rahi hai.
Chart ke price action ko dekhte hue, jo recent peak 162.10 par hai, price wahan se neeche gir kar 157.16 par aa gayi hai. Yeh downward correction ko indicate karta hai. Agar price 157.16 ke support level ko break karti hai, to yeh neeche 156.10 aur phir 153.10 tak ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price wapas recover karti hai aur 159.10 ko break karti hai, to upward trend wapas resume ho sakta hai.
In conclusion, abhi USD/JPY pair bearish momentum mein hai aur support levels par close attention dena zaroori hai. Indicators aur moving averages suggest karte hain ke abhi selling pressure zyada hai, lekin critical levels par price action monitor karna hoga, kyunki trend kabhi bhi reverse ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair. Japani yen (USD/JPY) me ek potential rebound ka nishan dikhata hai support zone se, magar iske samne aise rukawat hai jo bull ko rok sakti hain. Ye rukawat ek bearish reaction ko trigger kar sakti hai, jaise ke trend line jo currency pair ne haal hi mein neeche se test ki thi aur pehle ke intermediate accumulation. Magar, pair abhi bhi bullish trend ke andar correction kar raha hai, bear apni maujoodgi banaaye rakh rahe hain. Main new trading week ke shuruaat mein price level of 158.201 tak ek halki si izafa dekh raha hoon, jise ek uncertain depth ke pullback ka saath follow karega. Jab bhi pair ke highest highs tak pohanchne ke liye koi rokawat ho, De-Marker oscillator abhi tak H4 time frame par overbought level tak pahuncha nahi hai, jo further upward movement ke liye ek mauqe ka zariya ho sakta hai, jo traders ke liye ek ummeed ka sabab hona chahiye.
USD/JPY currency pair H1 timeframe par strong bullish signs dikhata hai. Ek bullish trend ka sanket hai ke price resistance level of 159.901 par atka hai. Pehle yeh price support level of 159.296 ki taraf correction ki taraf gaya tha, jo EMA 50 ke paas tha. Yeh correction temporary selling pressure ko dikhata hai jo price ko support area tak le gaya. 159.296 support level ko chhoo kar ke price ne bullish mazbooti dikhaya aur badha. Yeh dikhata hai ke support at 159.296 ne price decline ko roka aur buyers ke liye market mein dobara pravesh ka turning point ban gaya. Support ko chhoo kar ke price me badha dikhana bataata hai ke market sentiment buying power ke dwara dominated hai. Abhi, price dobara resistance level of 159.901 ki taraf badh raha hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke continuation ko decide karne mein mahatvapurna hai. Agar price 159.901 ke resistance level ko todta hai, to yeh signal karega ke buying power itni mazboot hai ke price ko aur upar le jaane mein safal ho sakti hai. Is resistance ke breakout se price mein aur badhne ke avsar khul sakte hain aur potential mein agle resistance levels tak pahunch sakte hain.

USD/JPY currency pair abhi ek tight trading range mein atka hua hai Asian trading hours ke dauraan is mangalwaar ko, uske baad shaayad is hafte ke shuruaat mein ek 34 saal ka high chhoo chuka tha. Magar, USD/JPY ke liye upside potential hone par seemit hai Japani authorities, visheshkar Bank of Japan, ke dwara sambhavit intervention ke karan. Japan ne zyada currency fluctuations ke liye chinta jataayi hai aur Yen ko support karne ke liye kadam uthane ki ishaaraat dee hain. Ye stance seedhe contrast mein hai US ke hawkish Federal Reserve ke saath, jo dollar ko upar le ja raha hai.

USD/JPY nedned mein haal hi mein 158.34 par ek important resistance level ko tod kar 160.20 ke paas ghoom rahi hai. Pair ne haucsh mein 159.80 ke aaspaas resistance ka saamna kiya hai, aur agar 159.00 ka crucial level neeche toot jaata hai, to ye ek potential downside correction ka signal ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar rehti hai, to phir bhi aur upar tak badhne ka mauka hai. Vartamaan peak of 160.20 ka decisive tod ek surge ke liye raasta khole sakta hai 162.75-163.10 ki taraf. Uske aage, manasik level 165.35 ya 161.8% Fibonacci extension

USD/JPY H1 Sub ko ek behtareen din aur bohat si duaen! Meri trading strategy jo Heiken Ashi, TMA aur RSI indicators ko combine karti hai, yeh batati hai ke ab currency pair/instrument ko sell karne ka time hai, kyunki system ke consensus indicators yeh indicate karte hain ke bears ne momentum le liya hai. Events aur sales ab priority hain. Heiken Ashi candles, jo ke traditional Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, smooth aur average price movements dikhati hain, aur reversal moments aur corrective rollbacks aur impulse shootouts ko spot karne mein madadgar hain. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator, jo moving average par based current support aur resistance lines ko chart par draw karta hai, trading mein bhi bohat madad karta hai aur asset ke movement ka range show karta hai.

Final signals ke filtering aur deal ko close karne ka final decision lene ke liye, RSI oscillator use hota hai, jo traded pair ke overbought aur oversold zones ko indicate karta hai. Trading instruments ka yeh selection technical analysis ke process ko improve karta hai aur possible wrong market entries se bachata hai. Jo chart pair se provided hai, us par is period mein yeh situation arise hui hai ke candles red ho gayi hain, toh bearish mode ab bullish mode par preferred hai, aur is liye market mein enter karne ka ek achha entry point mil sakta hai taake short trade kiya ja sake. Prices ne linear channel (blue dotted line) ke upper limit ko cross kiya, lekin lowest level ko reach karne ke baad, woh wapas jump karke channel ki center line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf move kar rahi hain, aur direction change kar rahi hain.

Basement RSI indicator (14) bhi sell signal accept karta hai, kyunki yeh short position selection se contradict nahi karta - uska curve downward hai aur oversold level se kaafi door hai. Main conclude karta hoon ke selling ab kaafi likely hai, aur is liye short deal open karna justified hai. Main expect karta hoon ke channel ki lower border (blue dotted line) par profit milega jo ke price quote 154.520 par located hai. Jab order profitable zone mein move kar jaye, toh position ko breakeven par lena advisable hai, kyunki market ko humari expectations ko false moves se disrupt karna bohat pasand hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ek interesting rasta par hai jab yeh apni upward momentum regain karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Haal hi mein, yeh pair 155.76 level par significant resistance ka samna kar raha tha. Bulls ki koshish ke bawajood, candlestick is critical zone ko break karne mein kamiyaab nahi hui, jo dikhata hai ke yeh abhi bhi further gains ke liye ek strong barrier hai. Technical charts dikhate hain ke USD/JPY ne mukhtalif economic indicators aur market sentiments ki wajah se kai fluctuations face kiye hain. 155.76 par bounce yeh suggest karta hai ke substantial buying interest mojood hai, jo support provide karta hai aur further decline ko rokta hai. Bullish traders ke liye yeh bounce ek pivotal moment hai, jo upward trend ko resume karne ke liye ek potential turning point signal karta hai. Lekin, candlestick ka 155.76 zone ko break na kar paana yeh dikhata hai ke bears abhi bhi considerable pressure exert kar rahe hain. Yeh aik aise scenario create karta hai jahan market participants ko strength ya weakness ke signs closely dekhne chahiye. Agar pair is resistance level ko break karta hai, toh yeh ek nayi upward move lead kar sakta hai, jo higher resistance levels ko target kar sakti hai. Fundamental factors bhi USD/JPY ke behavior mein ek crucial role play karte hain. Economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments sab pair ke movements ko influence karte hain. Misal ke taur par, US Federal Reserve ka interest rates par stance US dollar ki strength ko significantly impact karta hai, jabke Japan ki economic outlook aur Bank of Japan ki policies yen ki performance ko affect karti hain. Iske ilawa, market sentiment




aur risk appetite bhi pair ke trajectory ko influence karte hain. Global uncertainty ke dauran, yen aksar US dollar ke against safe haven ki tarah strengthen hota hai. Iske muqabil, optimism aur risk-taking ke periods mein, US dollar yen ke against gain karta hai. Traders aur investors jab USD/JPY pair ko monitor karte hain, toh technical analysis tools jaise ke moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracement levels provide valuable insights kar sakte hain potential future movements ke bare mein. Yeh tools trends, overbought ya oversold conditions, aur key support aur resistance levels ko identify karne mein madadgar hote hain.

Certainly! Here's a translation of the USD/JPY H4 technical analysis into Roman Urdu:

USD/JPY H4 Technical Analysis

USD/JPY H4 (US Dollar - Japanese Yen). Sab ko as-salam-o-alaikum aur aap sab ko bahut saari duaein! Meri trading strategy jo Hicken Ashi, TMA aur RSI indicators ko combine kar ke bani hai, mujhe batati hai ke ab currency pair/instrument bechnay ka waqt aa gaya hai, kyun ke system ke consensus indicators ke mutabiq bears dominate kar rahe hain. Hicken Ashi candles, jo traditional Japanese candles ke mukhtalif hote hain aur smooth aur average price movements dikhatay hain, in se reversal moments, corrective rollbacks aur impulse shootouts asani se pata chalte hain. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi chart par moving average ke basis par current support aur resistance lines draw karta hai, jo asset ke movement range ko dikhata hai. Signal ko final filter aur deal band karne ke liye RSI oscillator ka istemal hota hai, jo traded pair ke overbought aur oversold zones ko batata hai. Aise trading instruments ka intikhab technical analysis ke process ko behtar banata hai aur galat market entries se bachata hai.

Is tarah ke indicators ke combination se chart par ek situation utpann hoti hai jab candles red ho jate hain, iska matlab bullish mode ke bajaye ab bearish mode ko pasand kiya jata hai, aur isliye short trade ke liye market mein dakhil hone ka waqt hota hai. Prices ne linear channel ke upper limit (neeli dotted line) ko cross kiya hai, lekin lowest level tak pohanchne ke baad unho ne ise jump karke channel ke center line (peeli dotted line) ki taraf rukh badla. Direction badal gaya hai. Aap dekh sakte hain ke basement RSI indicator (14) bhi sell signal ko accept kar raha hai, kyun ke short position select karne se yeh contradictory nahi hai - is ki curve downward hai aur oversold level ke upar hai, magar kaafi door tak. Main nateeja nikalta hoon ke ab bechna sab se zyada kaam karne wala hai, aur is liye short deal open karna bilkul justified hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke channel ke lower border (neeli dotted line) par jo price quote 154.520 hai, wahan profit milay ga. Jab order profitable zone mein shift ho jaye, toh us position ko breakeven par laana munasib hai, kyun ke market hamari expectations ko false moves se disrupt karne mein bohat dilchaspi rakhta hai.

Mujhe ummeed hai ke yeh madadgar sabit ho. Agar aur koi sawal ho ya aur tafseel chahiye ho toh bataye ga!

USD JPY ab mazboot hone ke area mein hai aur rozana ki mombati ke ooper se dekha ja sakta hai ke yeh pichle high candle area se baar baar bahar nikal raha hai, phir aik neechay ki taraf dekhne ke liye talash karein aur jab yeh 38% se kam ho jaaye, is daily candle area se pehle ke din, toh buy entry ke liye talaash karein, is waqt buy entry ke liye sahi nahi hai kyun ke price abhi tak kal ke close candle ke area mein hai, is liye aaj European session ya US session mein intezar karein ke price phir se kamzor ho jaye aur aam movement ke mutabiq technical analysis ke liye hamesha peechli history ki taraf dekha jayega jo aaj ke price movement ke liye reference hogi aur analysis ki taraf se, mujhe yeh estimate hai ke buy entry tab karni chahiye jab price aaj ke movement se thoda kamzor ho jaye, jo haftay ke resistance point 2 ko mazboot karne ke liye samjha jaata hai jo neeche ki tasweer mein dikha gaya hai

USDJPY ab trend line ke ooper trade kar raha hai, jo humein Buyers ki taqat ko dikhata hai, aur yeh trend line Support hai. Bullish rally ko jaari rakhne ke liye, mujhe yakeen hai ke buyers ko Resistance - 162.15 ko todna hoga, jis se trading channel khul jayega, Bulls ke movement ke possible continuation ke liye. Target for working out yeh hoga pehla level, yani Supply Zone - 160.47, yeh jagah hai jahan se, jaise ke hum history mein dekhte hain, Sellers ne price ko accelerate kiya tha.

Main short movement ka vikas exclude nahi karta hoon, lekin pehle Bears ko Support - 160.24 ko todna hoga, jahan se price ne kayi dafa bounce kiya hai. Bear ki taqat ka confirmation woh hoga jo price 160.31 ke todne ke baad level ke neeche fix ho jayega. Yeh humein dikhayega ke USDJPY mein taqat kamzor ho rahi hai.

Downtrend abhi bhi jari hai. Price ne support level 155.48 par mila hai, jahan se bounce hua hai. Technical analysis batata hai ke price four-hour time frame par cloud ke neeche trade kar raha hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche hai, Chikou span line price chart ke neeche hai, aur "dead cross" active hai. Relative strength index 50 ke neeche hai aur "trend filter" oscillator red color mein hai, jo bearish market sentiment ko signal karta hai. Further decline ki potential bani rehti hai. Agar price 155.48 ke neeche breakthrough karke successfully consolidate ho jaye, toh naye sales consider karne ka sense banaega. Is scenario mein, agla potential target jo main consider karta hoon, woh support level 154.70 hai.

Ek alternative scenario ke liye prepare hone ka tareeqa yeh hoga jab price cloud ke ooper trade kar raha ho, aur "golden cross" formation hone ka condition ho.

Yeh tha USDJPY ke technical analysis ke bare mein overview. Agar aur sawaal hain, toh zaroor poochhein.

Shukriya aur Allah Hafiz.