USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY

Aap akelay nahi hain aur USD/JPY ab market mein sab se zyada trade hone wale pairs mein se ek se wo nahi raha hai jo kai log avoid karte hain. Meri trades is pair par bohat kam hoti hain aur volumes bhi pehle se kafi kam ho gaye hain aur jinhe main doosre pairs par allow karta hoon.

Is mein ilm ka koi talluq nahi hai. Chahe toh trade ko sahi tareeqe se kaise enter karna hai is par textbooks mein koi pasandeeda nahi hai: kisi rebound par ya breakout par, dono options barabar mumkin hain. Aur agar kuch aisa hota toh university graduates ya programmers ne toh program banaya hota...

Magar business centers jo ke 100 manzil oonchai par hain, in ke pas behtareen dimagh hain... lekin ye unhe wo munafa nahi deta jo wo chahte hain... Achha thik hai, yeh sab toh hai... Kalender par ek weekend hai, is ka matlab hai ke ab main senior timeframes par trade hone wale pairs dekhunga aur ab maine USD/JPY ko haftay ke chart ki bulandiyon se dekha hai.

Main ye keh sakta hoon ke mere liye kuch bhi nahi badla, chahe pair 6 figures se zyada gir gaya ho. Jaisa pehle tha, meri taraf se sirf bechna hai, koi khareedari nahi, jab tak ke main pair ko 151-150 figure zone mein na dekhon.

Beshak kabhi kabhi main khareedariyan bhi karta hoon, lekin ye tab jab zarurat ho ke thanday bechon ko thoda sa bacha sakoon. Ab layout bohat mantooqi aur takneeki tor par sahi hai. Pehle upar se moving ke pehle test ke baad, hum rebound dekh rahe hain, is ke natije mein main mazboot bechon ke liye dilchaspi wali bulandiyan ka intezar kar raha hoon.



Nazdeek tar zone, jahan se main short ke liye options ka intezar karunga, 158 figure hai. Saaf hai ke yeh sab se barabar zone nahi hai. Figure 160 se bechon ka intezar karna zyada reliable lagta hai, lekin natural taur par koi guarantee nahi hai ke dollar-yen wahan zaroor lautega.

Agar hum D1 chart ko detail mein dekhein, to USD/JPY pair 161.48-161.73 ke level par consolidate ho rahi hai. Yeh consolidation market mein agle move ke bare mein indecision ko show karta hai, chahe woh upwards ho ya downwards. Magar, stochastic indicator apni upper boundary par hai, is wajah se bulls ke liye price ko aur upar push karna mushkil ho jata hai. Murray indicator par regression channel ka top level 161.82 par hai. Agar bulls price ko is level tak push karne mein kamiyab hote hain, to yeh ek significant resistance level ban jayega. Is level par substantial selling pressure expected hai, jo price ko niche push kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, channel ka bottom level 161.65 par hai, jo ek strong support level provide karta hai. Agar price is level tak pohanchti hai, to buyers dobara active ho sakte hain, aur price ko support de sakte hain. Jabke Japanese Yen ke further strengthen hone ka koi reason nazar nahi aata, USD/JPY pair regression channel ke andar trade kar raha hai. Stochastic indicator ke overbought condition ko dekhte hue, bulls ke liye channel ka top test karna mumkin hai, magar price pullback ke badh jane ka zyada chance hai. Trading mein risk management follow karna hamesha zaruri hota hai taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake




Humari discussion ka markaz real-time evaluation par hai, jo USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ko dekhta hai. Resultantly, USD/JPY pair ne Friday ko decline kiya, jo bears ke favor mein tha despite a minor pullback. Ek koshish hui ke upper MA ke niche drop kiya jaye, jo abhi 160.86 par hai, magar price ab tak uske niche firmly settle nahi hui. Saath hi, RSI aur stochastic indicators downward trend show kar rahe hain, jo further decline ka potential suggest karte hain. Moreover, bear butterfly pattern ab tak fulfill nahi hua, kyunki ek downward zigzag missing hai. Hum Monday ko upper MA par focus karenge taake dekha jaye ke price aur niche gir sakti hai ya nahi. Agar yeh rebound hoti hai, to growth last peak 162.01 ko target kar sakti hai, potentially butterfly ko update karte hue aur ek aur downward attempt le sakti hai. Agar price drop karti hai, to lower MA aur middle Bollinger band tak gir sakti hai, jo 159.55/159.18 ke around hain. Yahan, hume dekhna hoga ke price continue downward hoti hai ya nahi. Further declines lower Bollinger band par 155.74 tak reach kar sakti hain

USDJPY FORECAST TODAY'S

Subah bakhair, aaj aap kaise hain, ummid hai sab log tandrust aur sehatmand hain aur ummid hai aaj ke tamam kaam aapke liye aasan guzre. USDJPY ki movement pehle trading session mein tezi se girne ke baad ab theek lag rahi hai aur yeh dekha gaya hai ke wo middle weekly Bollinger band ko chhoo rahi hai aur wahaan 155.43 ke qeemat par reject ho rahi hai. Bunyadi nazar se dekha jaye toh BOJ ki intervention masla abhi bhi USDJPY ki giravat ke mukhtalif sabab lagti hai, khaas tor par jab hum Fed ke interest rates par dovish policy ko bhi shamil karte hain. Bank of Japan ke data se pata chalta hai ke Tokyo ne currency market mein hadood-e-asar ghari karne ke liye 2.14 trillion yen ($13.5 billion) kharch kiye hain aur yen ko dollar ke khilaf mazboot kiya hai.

Yen ko thora sa rahat mili hai ke barhte hue khyalat se ke US Federal Reserve September mein interest rates ko kam karne ka aaghaz karega, lekin is ke zyada taqatwar hone ki mumkinat government intervention se bhi ho sakti hai. Japanese officials ne saaf ishara nahi kiya hai ke unhon ne intervention kiya hai. Magar USD ne haal hi mein tezi se girna shuru kiya hai qabil-e-yakeen hai ke September mein rate cut hone ki taqatwar khyalat se, jab ke mahine ke pehle weak inflation data aur Fed se kai dovish signals aaye hain. Upar di gayi cheezein aane waale waqt mein bhi USDJPY par asar daal sakti hain.



Takneeki nazar se agar hum mojooda daily timeframe pattern dekhte hain, toh qeemat mein bilkul correct hawa mein tezi ho rahi hai aur yeh mauqa hai ke EMA 55 daily aur EMA 7 daily ko test kia jaye. Is izafe ko abhi bhi correction movement ke taur par dekha jaa raha hai jab tak ke strong support level 155.43 par pahunchne ke baad profit booking na ho. Halat yeh hain ke abhi price EMA 55 daily resistance area mein consolidate ho rahi hai jahan par agar bechne ka option reject ho gaya toh wapas le liya ja sakta hai. Kai indicators jaise stochastic aur RSI ke mutabiq, yeh dikh raha hai ke woh abhi bhi upward correction pattern dikha rahe hain bhalay hi woh abhi strong sell area mein hain, jahan par stochastic 80 area ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur RSI 70 area ke qareeb pahunch raha hai. Kai maujooda patterns ko dekhte hue, future mein USDJPY pair par trade karne ke liye bechna ka setup talash karna zyada attractive option lag raha hai.

Currently, the currency pair is consolidating after a significant decline, undecided on its next direction. There are indications for both a potential uptrend and a downtrend.

Agar hum H4 timeframe par focus karein, to yeh girawat paanch waves mein hui thi. Yeh theoretically kam az kam teen waves ka retracement suggest karta hai, jo possible northward movement ko indicate karta hai. Lekin abhi uptrend trade karna mushkil hai kyunki clear support ki kami hai aur downtrend structure ka breakdown nahi hua hai. Bechna bhi mashwara nahi hai kyunki paanch waves niche gir chuki hain aur Fibonacci retracement level 261.8% ko pohanch chuka hai.

Mazeed tajziye par, main ne tasdeek ki hai ke 261.8% Fibonacci level doosri chart par respected hua hai. 161.8% level, jo ke support ke tor par use nahi hua, resistance ke tor par kaam aaya hai.

Hourly timeframe par, ek significant decline ke baad, ek bullish impulse aaya jo buyers ko attract kiya, lekin ek subsequent decline ne naya low banaya. Main is waqt buyers ki expectations ke against ek grid setup kar raha hoon, jahan 161.8% level niche target ke tor par serve kar raha hai. Targets 156.725 par set hain

Iske ilawa, akhri chart par, maine wo areas mark kiye hain jahan buyers market mein enter hue hain. Lekin structure clear uptrend ko indicate nahi karta, balki market expectations ko reflect karta hai. Orange areas buyer accumulation ko M5 signals ki base par dikhate hain, jabke brown bars buyer accumulation ko M15 timeframe par dikhate hain. Mera khayal hai ke ek aur downward move jaldi hi ho sakta hai

Japanese Yen ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein recent mein zyada quwati dikhayi hai, halan ke Treasury yields ka general uptrend greenback ko support kar raha hai. Yeh na-ummeed khilat zyada tar market ki umeedon ki wajah se hai ke Japanese authorities shayad Yen ki tez girawat ko rokne ke liye koi intevent karengi. Ye surat-e-haal aur bhi mushkil ho gayi hai US se mixed economic indicators ki wajah se. Jabke pehle US Consumer Price Index (CPI) ka kamzor data Dollar ki quwat ko kam kar raha tha, baad mein aane wale reports, jaise ke Michigan Consumer Confidence Index aur US Producer Price Index (PPI), US economic trajectory ke bare mein zyada insight dene ki umeed hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke Japan ne already Yen ko stabilize karne ke liye July 11th ko billion dollars spend kiye hain currency kharidne ke liye. Government officials ne bhi zaroori measures employ karne ki tayari dikhayi hai. Lekin, monetary policy ka final faisla Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke paas hai, jo July ke aane wale meeting mein interest rates ko barhane ka tajwez de raha hai inflationary pressures ko address karne ke liye

Daily chart par, Japanese yen correction ka nishan dikhata hai. Dollar ke muqablay mein price 160 yen per dollar ke local seven-day low tak gir sakti hai. Agar yeh level barqarar raha, to price annual high 161.951 tak wapas aa sakti hai, jo 165 yen per dollar tak ka raasta khol sakta hai. Lekin, bina gehri corrections ke aise tez movements risky ho sakte hain. Yeh unclear hai ke is scenario mein kya correction levels humari intezar kar rahe hain. Kam se kam, corrective movement 151,001 se neeche ho sakti hai, jo ek naye bearish trend ko indicate karega. Jitna zyada pair is continuous trend mein move karega, utni hi mushkil corrections hongi, jo lambi muddat tak chal sakti hain. USD/JPY pair ke saath Japanese yen ki situation abhi unclear hai, aur humein dekhna hoga ke market aane wale trading week mein kaise unfold hoti hai

USD/JPY currency pair indicates karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai.

USD/JPY currency pair indicates karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai,

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Ab tak, US dollar/Japanese yen joda 157.40 ki muzahmati satah ko todne me kamyab nahin hui aur 155.00 ke nishan par wapas aane se pahle 158.90 ki agli muzahmati satah tak apni tezi jari rakhi hai. Yah dekhte hue keh qimat pahle 156.10 ko paar kar gayi thi, maine peshan goi ki thi keh 158.90 se girawat 156.10 se niche mustahkam hone ka ek aala mauqa fraham karegi. Halankeh, jodi 157.40 ko paar karne me nakam rahi, jis ne muzahmati satah se reversal ko mustarad nahin kiya. Iske alawa, dollar/yen ke jode ne sideways movement ka tajurbah kiya, jo ek islahi chakar ho sakta hai jiske bad musalsal kami waqe ho sakti hai. Lehaza, sab se zyada imkani scenario yah hai keh dollar/yen ka joda 156.10 ke nishan tak gir jayega, is se niche toot jayega aur nuqsanat ko badha dega, jaisa keh maine hafte ke aakhir me tawaqqoki thi.



Agar qimat 157.40 ki muzahmati satah ko todne me nakam rahti hai to, imkan hai keh jodi 156.10 ke nishan par wapas giregi. Agar qimat is support satah ko tod deti hai aur is se niche fix ho jati hai to, dollar/yen jodi ke 155.00 ki nafsiyati support satah tak girne ki ummid hai. Halankeh, iska breakout kafi cahllenging hai. Qimat is satah se ucchal kar 157.40 ya yahan tak keh 158.90 par wapas aa sakti hai. Agar qimat 155.00 se niche toot jati hai to, dollar/yen ki jodi hafte ke aakhir tak 157.40 ke nishan tak recover hone se pahle 154.05 tak kamzori ko badhayegi.
157.40 ka breakout 158.90 tak mazid izafe ki rah hamwar karega, jiske bad ek reversal hoga. Mutabadil taur par, agar qimat 158.90 se ooper toot jati hai to, dollar/yen jodi ke 160.00 satah aur mumkena taur par 163.40 tak faida badhane ki ummid hai. Is surat me, market ke jazbat mandi se tezi me badal jayenge.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Ab tak, US dollar/Japanese yen joda 157.40 ki muzahmati satah ko todne me kamyab nahin hui aur 155.00 ke nishan par wapas aane se pahle 158.90 ki agli muzahmati satah tak apni tezi jari rakhi hai. Yah dekhte hue keh qimat pahle 156.10 ko paar kar gayi thi, maine peshan goi ki thi keh 158.90 se girawat 156.10 se niche mustahkam hone ka ek aala mauqa fraham karegi. Halankeh, jodi 157.40 ko paar karne me nakam rahi, jis ne muzahmati satah se reversal ko mustarad nahin kiya. Iske alawa, dollar/yen ke jode ne sideways movement ka tajurbah kiya, jo ek islahi chakar ho sakta hai jiske bad musalsal kami waqe ho sakti hai. Lehaza, sab se zyada imkani scenario yah hai keh dollar/yen ka joda 156.10 ke nishan tak gir jayega, is se niche toot jayega aur nuqsanat ko badha dega, jaisa keh maine hafte ke aakhir me tawaqqoki thi.



Agar qimat 157.40 ki muzahmati satah ko todne me nakam rahti hai to, imkan hai keh jodi 156.10 ke nishan par wapas giregi. Agar qimat is support satah ko tod deti hai aur is se niche fix ho jati hai to, dollar/yen jodi ke 155.00 ki nafsiyati support satah tak girne ki ummid hai. Halankeh, iska breakout kafi cahllenging hai. Qimat is satah se ucchal kar 157.40 ya yahan tak keh 158.90 par wapas aa sakti hai. Agar qimat 155.00 se niche toot jati hai to, dollar/yen ki jodi hafte ke aakhir tak 157.40 ke nishan tak recover hone se pahle 154.05 tak kamzori ko badhayegi.
157.40 ka breakout 158.90 tak mazid izafe ki rah hamwar karega, jiske bad ek reversal hoga. Mutabadil taur par, agar qimat 158.90 se ooper toot jati hai to, dollar/yen jodi ke 160.00 satah aur mumkena taur par 163.40 tak faida badhane ki ummid hai. Is surat me, market ke jazbat mandi se tezi me badal jayenge.

USD/JPY pair ka performance aksar mukhtalif factors se mutasir hota hai jaise economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Maslan, changes US economic indicators mein jaise employment reports, inflation data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions pair par bhaari asar daal sakti hai. isi tarah, Japan mein economic conditions aur policy decisions bhi aham role ada karte hain. USDJPY ne Jumeraat (6/28/24) ko itihas mein record high qeemat banayi, currency pair mein tezi se izafa ho sakta hai jo ke munafa lenay ki saakh hai. Girawat ka mouqa ab bhi US session tak ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Bullish channel aur Moving Average par breakout jo ke chal rahi qeemat se oopar hain yeh bearish tajzia mein izafa karte hain.
Aik ghantay ki chart analysis ke mutabiq. 15 M chart par upar bhasa di gayi hai. Is mein bhi girawat ka mouqa hai kyunke Moving Average chal rahi qeemat par hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai
USD/JPY pair apna bullish trend continue karega, mumkin hai ke ek higher zone tak upar move kare Iss hafte ka trend pattern ek uptrend indicate karta hai narrow range ke sath. Relatively modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, mumkin hai ke increase agle hafte bhi continue kare, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karengi. Subah ke candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo suggest karta hai ke market trend rise kar sakta hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko surpass kar sakte hain

USDJPY pair ne aik aisi price position enter ki hai jo ab bhi entry point ke tor par qabil-e-ghaur hai. Market dynamics ka dekhna yeh suggest karta hai ke US dollar apni pehle se haasil ki hui positions se wapas hatne lag sakta hai. Yeh potential withdrawal significant profits ka mouqa faraham karta hai, khaaskar un logon ke liye jo downward momentum se faida utha sakte hain. Lekin, current market trends yeh bhi indicate karte hain ke downward trajectory slow ho rahi hai, jo ke ek possible reversal ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai jo ke pichle Jumay ko shuru hui thi. US dollar ka kamzor hona is bullish outlook ko support karta hai. Mukhtalif economic indicators aur market sentiments is baat ki nishandahi karte hain ke dollar ka retreat ho sakta hai, jo ke USDJPY pair ke upward





movement ko mazeed barhawa dega Chaliye Price Action analysis (Trader pressure) ka istamal karte hain, Market trend me, lagta hai ke USDJPY ab bhi Bearish / Downtrend condition me hai, magar hamein trend reversal ko anticipate karna chahiye agar price Resistance area ke upar break through kar jaye aur price consolidation bhi ho. Candle history me, hum Sell entry opportunities dekh sakte hain kyun ke long term ab bhi Downtrend effect me hai, magar zyada objective hone ke liye, main buy ya sell entries ke liye analysis pesh karunga
4-hour chart par achi accumulation nazar aa rahi hai. Aur yeh accumulation north ki taraf ja rahi hai. Ab tak, MACD par koi strong brake nahi hai aur movement ab bhi potential rakhti hai. Hum shayad pehle maximum se thoda zyada upar ja sakte hain aur phir aur nahi. Filhaal, is currency pair ka forecast karna kaafi mushkil hai, kyun ke movement ab tak planned direction me nahi ja rahi hai, aur priority ko is current vector ko di jani chahiye. Mere khayal me, main resistance level 160.9 hoga, is liye zaroori hai ke 159.61 mark ko overcome karein, 160.29 tak pohanchain, aur phir hi hum upward movement ka end dekhenge. Is vector me, aapko jaldi act karna chahiye, kyun ke weekly cycle ke end tak kam waqt reh gaya hai, aur current trend ko complete karna zaroori hai. Mere khayal me, increase ke liye entry ka price level 158.97 hoga, aur yeh ek optimal moment hoga long position open karne ka. Agar price action weekly pivot point se bounce kar sakta hai aur apne highest component tak pohanch sakta hai to yeh intense hoga. Iske ilawa, aap purchase bhi kar sakte hain agar price weekly support level 161.30 par bullish price action component ke top tak rebound kare jab price lower blue channel line se pohanchti hai. Sale current level par initiate ki ja sakti hai, stop loss level is haftay ke highest trading price se upar adjust kiya ja sakta hai, aur target level weekly pivot point se upar adjust kiya ja sakta hai

inflation data ke release ke baad hua, jo dollar par pressure dalta hai aur yeh expect kiya jata hai ke Federal Reserve apni interest rates ko near future mein cut kar sakta hai. Aisa hone se Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan ka interest rate differential kam ho jayega, jiska nateeja yeh hoga ke yen ki is saal significant depreciation mein kami aayegi.
USD/JPY pair ka sharp rise 161.5 level se economic data releases ka forex markets par asar ko highlight karta hai. Khaaskar inflation data central bank policies ko direct influence karta hai. Recent weak US inflation figures ne market participants ko anticipate karne par majboor kar diya ke Federal Reserve ki monetary policy tightening se easing ki taraf shift ho sakti hai, jo dollar ki appeal yen ke muqable mein kam kar dega.

Technically, USD/JPY ka rebound 38 saal ke low se ek correction hai broader downtrend mein. Pair ka movement 157.41 ki taraf suggest karta hai ke market naye economic realities ko adjust kar raha hai aur interest rate policies ke baray mein expectations ko recalibrate kar raha hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake pair ke potential future direction ko behtar samajh saken. USD/JPY ka immediate resistance level 158.00 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh level sustain ho gaya to yeh yen mein mazid strength ko indicate karega, jo pair ko lower drive kar sakta hai. Conversely, support 156.00 level par hai. Agar USD/JPY is support ko break kar gaya to yeh dollar ki continued weakness aur yen ke further gains ko signal karega. Broader context mein, yen ka lagbhag 13% depreciation dollar ke muqable mein since beginning of the year divergent monetary policies ka asar hai. Bank of Japan ka commitment low interest rates maintain karne ka Federal Reserve ke pehle ke rate hikes se sharply contrast karta hai, jo interest rate spread ko widen karta hai aur yen ko historic lows par drive karta hai. Magar, Federal Reserve ke stance ke shift ka potential, weak inflation data se spur hota hai, yeh gap narrow kar sakta hai aur yen ko support de sakta hai. Aage dekhte hue, traders ko further economic data releases aur central bank communications par dhyan dena chahiye. Koi bhi indications of changes in monetary policy from either Federal Reserve or Bank of Japan USD/JPY par significant implications rakhengi. Technical analysis tools jaise moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators bhi pair ke future movements ke baray mein valuable

USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Ab tak, US dollar/Japanese yen joda 157.40 ki muzahmati satah ko todne me kamyab nahin hui aur 155.00 ke nishan par wapas aane se pahle 158.90 ki agli muzahmati satah tak apni tezi jari rakhi hai. Yah dekhte hue keh qimat pahle 156.10 ko paar kar gayi thi, maine peshan goi ki thi keh 158.90 se girawat 156.10 se niche mustahkam hone ka ek aala mauqa fraham karegi. Halankeh, jodi 157.40 ko paar karne me nakam rahi, jis ne muzahmati satah se reversal ko mustarad nahin kiya. Iske alawa, dollar/yen ke jode ne sideways movement ka tajurbah kiya, jo ek islahi chakar ho sakta hai jiske bad musalsal kami waqe ho sakti hai. Lehaza, sab se zyada imkani scenario yah hai keh dollar/yen ka joda 156.10 ke nishan tak gir jayega, is se niche toot jayega aur nuqsanat ko badha dega, jaisa keh maine hafte ke aakhir me tawaqqoki thi.

Pichle haftay ke aghaz mein qeemat dheere dheere barh rahi thi, lekin Jumma raat se hafta raat tak farokht ka zor zyada hone se is pair ne ab tak bearish trend ki taraf rujhan rakha hai. Guzishta hafta ke trading period mein UsdJpy pair ke bazar ke haalaat ke madde nazar, yeh bearish surat-e-haal ke sath band hua. 4-hour time frame mein bazar ka manzar dekha jaye to neeche ki taraf rujhan ab bhi barqarar hai, abhi qeemat correction se guzar rahi hai aur ho sakta hai ke 100 period simple moving average line ke neeche hi rahe, meri raaye mein yeh guzishta hafta ke end mein bearish trend ka signal hai Seller ka buyer ki qeemat ko ooper le jaane ki koshish ko nakam banana pehle ke hafton men kamiyab lagta hai, aisa lagta hai ke candlestick abhi bhi neeche ki qeemat zone mein gir sakta hai taake agle hafta mein qeemat position wapas laayi ja sakay. To guzishta hafta ke bazar ke haalaat ke mutabiq, mein yeh tajwez karta hoon ke UsdJpy pair ke liye lagta hai ke seller itna taqatwar hai ke bazar ko control kar sakay, kuch aur dinon tak qeemat ke Downtrend side pe chalne ka mauka ha Qeemat position ke signal ke rukh ke mutabiq, yeh 100 period






simple moving average zone se neeche gir gayi hai, jo yeh darshaata hai ke bazar ka trend abhi bhi bearish ki taraf jaane ka mauka rakhta hai. Abhi candlestick lagta hai ke 158.08 area tak ooper correct ho rahi hai. Guzishta hafta Jumma raat ko ek achanak girawat hui. Agar qeemat aur neeche jaa sakay, to jo target hai woh 157.58 qeemat zone ke aas paas hai USD/JPY ne abhi kuch hi arsa pehle ek ahem resistance level 158.34 ko tor diya hai aur filhal 160.20 ke neeche hover kar rahi hai. Yeh pair pichle kuch dino mein 159.80 ke aas paas resistance ka samna kar chuki hai, aur agar 159.00 ka ahem level tor diya jaye to yeh neeche ki taraf correction ka signal ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke uper rehti hai, to aage barhne ka mauka abhi bhi hai. 160.20 ke maujooda peak ko decisively tor kar 162.75-163.10 tak ka raasta mil sakta hai. Iske baad, psychological level 165.35 ya 161.8% Fibonacci extension level

Japon ki yen aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policies ke aas paas chal rahe dynamics yeh dikhate hain ke maamlaat kis tarah se currency ki stability aur Japan ki economic performance ko asar daal rahe hain. Yen ka haal hi mein 156.85 ke aas paas US dollar ke muqablay mein stabilize hona is baat ki nishani hai ke investors mein ek ehtiyaat se bhara aasra hai, khas taur par BoJ ki agle policy meeting ke intezar mein. Yeh jazbaat is baat ki taraf ishara karti hai ke investors ko yen ki mehfooz karne aur inflationary pressures ka samna karne ke liye potential interest rate hikes ka khauf hai.

Haal hi ke data se yeh pata chalta hai ke Japan ki headline inflation 2.8% par hai, jabke core inflation thora sa barh kar 2.6% ho gayi hai. Yeh inflation ka mahol BoJ ko apni ultra-loose monetary policy par dobara ghor karne ke liye majboor kar raha hai, khaaskar jab domestic aur foreign yields ke darmiyan faasla barh raha hai aur yen tareekhi taur par kamzor ho raha hai. 10 saal ke Japanese government bond yields ka 1.05% se upar jana is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke market ki umeedain potential rate adjustments ki taraf shift ho rahi hain.

Iske ilawa, sarkari dakhalati amal, jismein hukumatein 6 trillion yen ke aas paas kharidari karti dakhi gayi hain, yeh dikhata hai ke wo foreign exchange market ki volatility ke darmiyan currency ko stabilize karne ke liye proactive approach apna rahi hain. Japan ka lagbhag $22 billion ka US Treasury bonds bechna iski buniyaad par iski reserves ko majboot karne ka ikhtiyaar hai taake forex interventions ke liye tayyari rahe.

Aage chal kar, analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke kuch aham technical levels par nazar rakhni chahiye. USD/JPY pair mein chal raha downward correction 154.50 par critical support ke sath hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke agar Japanese intervention jari rahe, toh sellers ka dominance dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Iske muqabil, 160.00 par psychological resistance ek aham threshold hai, jo bulls ki control ko dobara hasil karne ki salahiyat ko dikhata hai. Market sentiment BoJ meeting ke nateeje, mazeed intervention ke efforts, aur broad geopolitical developments, khaaskar US siyasi landscape se asar pakrayegi.

Overall, in sab factors ka interplay USD/JPY currency pair ke trading strategies aur Japan ki economic resilience aur growth potential ke broader market perceptions ko shape karega.

USD/JPY:
Trading News
Aaj sirf low aur medium-impact news hai. Forex market aaj calm rahne wali hai jab tak koi breaking news na aaye, jo zaroor market ko kaafi move kar degi. Aaj forex market mein zyada volatility nahi hogi. Mehfooz rehne ke liye, yeh mashwara diya jata hai ke trading mein ehtiyaat se kaam lein. Aaj aur hamesha trading karte waqt apni money management skills ka accha istemal karein. Niche diye gaye tasveer ko dekhein taake aaj ke available news ke bare mein zyada maloomat mile.

USDJPY Analysis
Jummah ko, USDJPY pair lower areas mein trade hui aur din ko lagbhag 156.95 par close kiya. Aaj, yeh downward direction mein move karke 156.20 price level ki taraf chali gayi hai. Hourly chart ko dekh kar, ye notice hota hai ke USDJPY moving average line MA (200) H1 ke niche 157.95 par trade kar rahi hai. Isi tarah, four-hour chart par bhi wahi situation hai kyunke USDJPY abhi moving average line MA (200) H4 ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Is note par, upar diye gaye facts ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko salah di jati hai ke correction ke baad ek achi sell entry point dhundhein. Niche diye gaye tasveer aur chart ko dekhein taake is analysis par mazeed maloomat mile.

Resistance Levels: 157.15, 158.70, aur 159.30.
Support Levels: 155.85, 155.15, aur 154.55.
Kya expect karein: Hum USDJPY price mein continuous decline dekh sakte hain towards agle support level 155.85.
Mutaqbilan, hum MA (200) H4 ke upar rise dekh sakte hain jo 161.80 ki taraf ja sakta hai.
Abhi ke liye itna hi. Aap is analysis ke bare mein kya sochte hain? Apne thoughts aur contributions comments section mein likhein. Aapka din achha guzre.