usd/jpy

**USD/JPY Ki Technical Analysis**

Thursday ko Japanese yen 157.41 par pohanch gaya US dollar ke muqable mein, jo pehle ke 38 saal ke lowest 161.5 se tezi se wapas aya. Yeh reversal US ke weak inflation data ke release ke baad hua, jo dollar par pressure dalta hai aur yeh expect kiya jata hai ke Federal Reserve apni interest rates ko near future mein cut kar sakta hai. Aisa hone se Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan ka interest rate differential kam ho jayega, jiska nateeja yeh hoga ke yen ki is saal significant depreciation mein kami aayegi.

USD/JPY pair ka sharp rise 161.5 level se economic data releases ka forex markets par asar ko highlight karta hai. Khaaskar inflation data central bank policies ko direct influence karta hai. Recent weak US inflation figures ne market participants ko anticipate karne par majboor kar diya ke Federal Reserve ki monetary policy tightening se easing ki taraf shift ho sakti hai, jo dollar ki appeal yen ke muqable mein kam kar dega.

Technically, USD/JPY ka rebound 38 saal ke low se ek correction hai broader downtrend mein. Pair ka movement 157.41 ki taraf suggest karta hai ke market naye economic realities ko adjust kar raha hai aur interest rate policies ke baray mein expectations ko recalibrate kar raha hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake pair ke potential future direction ko behtar samajh saken.



USD/JPY ka immediate resistance level 158.00 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh level sustain ho gaya to yeh yen mein mazid strength ko indicate karega, jo pair ko lower drive kar sakta hai. Conversely, support 156.00 level par hai. Agar USD/JPY is support ko break kar gaya to yeh dollar ki continued weakness aur yen ke further gains ko signal karega.

Broader context mein, yen ka lagbhag 13% depreciation dollar ke muqable mein since beginning of the year divergent monetary policies ka asar hai. Bank of Japan ka commitment low interest rates maintain karne ka Federal Reserve ke pehle ke rate hikes se sharply contrast karta hai, jo interest rate spread ko widen karta hai aur yen ko historic lows par drive karta hai. Magar, Federal Reserve ke stance ke shift ka potential, weak inflation data se spur hota hai, yeh gap narrow kar sakta hai aur yen ko support de sakta hai.

Aage dekhte hue, traders ko further economic data releases aur central bank communications par dhyan dena chahiye. Koi bhi indications of changes in monetary policy from either Federal Reserve or Bank of Japan USD/JPY par significant implications rakhengi. Technical analysis tools jaise moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators bhi pair ke future movements ke baray mein valuable insights de sakti hain.

Conclusion mein, yen ka recent rebound dollar ke muqable mein forex markets ke fluid nature aur economic data ke importance ko highlight karta hai market expectations ko shape karne mein. Technical analysis ko macroeconomic trends ke understanding ke sath combine karke, traders USD/JPY pair ki complexities ko behtar navigate kar sakte hain aur informed trading decisions le sakte hain.

USD/JPY ANALYSIS 15 JULY, 2024




Mukammal haftay ke aakhir tak keemat ki position mein, USD/JPY currency pair ne 161.95 ke price level tak pohanchne ki koshish ki magar us ke baad keemat ne phir se neeche mur kar significant range ke saath girna shuru kar diya, jo keh raha hai ke market ko ab bechne wale qaatil ka control mein aa gaya hai. Graph ke zariye mapping ke natayej saaf dikhate hain ke USD/JPY currency pair ab tak bechne wale qaatil ke control mein hai aur yeh haalat trading session ke aakhir tak jaari rahegi.

Pichle kuch dinon ke trading sessions mein movement ab bhi bearish hai aur ab market 157.90 ke level par band hai. Isliye ummeed hai ke bechne wale qaatil ab bhi bearish trend ki jaari raah par aage kaamyaab hona chahte hain, jaisa ke pichle dinon mein hua hai. Kal raat ke price movement mein dekha gaya ke candlestick ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki hai aur Simple Moving Average indicator ko break kar diya hai, iska matlab hai ke agle trading sessions mein dobara neeche jaane ki sambhavna hai taake 157.40 ke level ko test kiya ja sake, jo ke abhi ke price se neeche hai.

MACD indicator par histogram bar ki position thodi lambi hai aur consistently zero level ke neeche move kar rahi hai, yeh ishara hai ke market abhi bhi ek neeche ki trend mein comfortable hai. Candlestick monitoring ke zariye yeh dekha gaya hai ke do Simple Moving Average lines ke neeche reh rahi hai, meri raay mein yeh trend ab bhi peechle movement ke tarah bearish trend ko jaari rakhne ki kshamata rakhta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator par Lime line bhi level 30 ke neeche se aur bhi zyada comfortable ho rahi hai, jo ke market trend ko ek bearish phase mein dikhata hai.

Agar keemat phir se 157.80 ke neeche jaaye to yeh ek accha mauqa hai SELL trading ke liye. Kyunki us waqt entry signal zyada valid hoga. Pichle haftay ke USD/JPY currency pair ke trend conditions abhi bhi bearish trend mein hain, isliye market ke halat ke mutabiq trading ka ghor se sochna behtar hai.

جولائی 15 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

پچھلے ہفتے کے آخر میں، بینک آف جاپان کے اعداد و شمار نے تجویز کیا کہ جاپان نے زرمبادلہ کی مارکیٹ میں اپنی حالیہ مداخلت میں 3.57 ٹریلین ین تک خرچ کیے ہیں۔ جمعہ کو، قیمت دن کے چارٹ پر کجن - سین انڈیکیٹر لائن سے نیچے آ گئی۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے میں مضبوط ہو گیا ہے۔



ڈالر 155.75 تک پہنچ سکتا ہے، لیکن قیمت اب بھی بیلنس لائن (ریڈ موونگ ایوریج لائن) سے اوپر ہے۔ اس نشان سے نیچے گرنا ایک مستحکم کمی کو واپس لائے گا، لیکن ابھی کے لیے، مارکیٹ کو تھوڑا سا ٹھنڈا ہونے اور موجودہ سطحوں پر مستحکم ہونے کی ضرورت ہے۔

قیمت اور آسیلیٹر نے ٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر ایک کنورجن بنایا ہے۔ یہ ممکنہ طور پر آج کے استحکام کی تکنیکی وجہ ہے، خاص طور پر چونکہ یہ جاپان میں قومی تعطیل ہے۔ اگر قیمت جمعہ کی کم ترین 157.39 کو توڑ دیتی ہے، تو یہ ریچھوں کو مزید 155.75 کی ہدف کی سطح کی طرف بڑھنے کے لیے ایندھن فراہم کرے گی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis

Thursday ko, Japanese yen 157.41 tak surge kar gaya US dollar ke muqable mein, 161.5 ke pehle ke 38 saal ke lowest level se sharply rebound karte hue. Yeh reversal United States mein weak inflation data release hone ke baad aaya, jo dollar par pressure daal raha tha aur Federal Reserve ke near-term mein US interest rates cut karne ki expectations ko reinforce kar raha tha. Aisa move substantial interest rate differential ko narrow kar dega jo Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan hai, jinki ultra-accommodative stance ne iss saal yen ki significant depreciation mein contribute kiya hai.

USD/JPY pair ka sharp rise 161.5 level se economic data releases ke forex markets par impact ko highlight karta hai. Inflation data, khaaskar, crucial role play karta hai kyunki yeh directly central bank policies ko influence karta hai. Recent weak US inflation figures ne market participants ko Federal Reserve ki monetary policy mein potential shift ki anticipation di hai, jo tightening se easing ki taraf move karegi, jo yen ke muqable mein dollar ki appeal ko reduce kar dega.

Technically, USD/JPY ka rebound apne 38 saal ke low se ek correction ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai broader downtrend ke andar. Pair ka movement 157.41 ki taraf yeh suggest karta hai ke market naye economic realities ko adjust kar raha hai aur interest rate policies ke mutaliq expectations ko recalibrate kar raha hai. Traders ko closely key support aur resistance levels monitor karni chahiye taake pair ki potential future direction ko behtar samajh sake.



USD/JPY ke liye immediate resistance level 158.00 ke aas paas hai. Agar is level ke upar sustained move hoti hai, to yeh yen ki further strength ko indicate kar sakti hai, jo pair ko neeche drive kar sakti hai. Dusri taraf, support 156.00 level par dekhi ja sakti hai. Agar USD/JPY is support ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh dollar ki continued weakness aur yen ke further gains ka signal de sakta hai.

Broader context mein, yen ki near 13% depreciation against the dollar since the beginning of the year divergent monetary policies ka asar highlight karti hai. Bank of Japan ki commitment to maintaining low interest rates sharply contrast karti hai Federal Reserve ke pehle ke rate hikes ke sath, jo interest rate spread ko widen karti hai aur yen ko historic lows tak le jati hai. Lekin, weak inflation data se spurred Federal Reserve ke stance mein potential shift yeh gap narrow kar sakta hai aur yen ke liye support provide kar sakta hai.

Aage dekhte hue, traders ko further economic data releases aur central bank communications par nazar rakhni chahiye. Koi bhi indications of changes in monetary policy from either the Federal Reserve ya Bank of Japan ka USD/JPY par significant implications ho sakta hai. Technical analysis tools jaise ke moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators bhi pair ke future movements mein valuable insights provide kar sakte hain.

Nateejay mein, recent rebound yen against the dollar forex markets ki fluid nature aur economic data ke market expectations ko shape karne mein importance ko highlight karta hai. Technical analysis ko macroeconomic trends ke understanding ke sath combine karke, traders USD/JPY pair ki complexities ko behtar navigate kar sakte hain aur more informed trading decisions le sakte hain.

Aaj Japanese yen ko nuksan ho raha hai jabke US dollar apni taqat dikhara hai. Yeh us waqt ho raha hai jabke haftay ke akhri din ek shock ka mahal tha, jisme former US President Donald Trump par qatal ka hamla hone ki koshish hui. Investors ahtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain, jo ke dollar ki taraf flight to safety ko fuel kar raha hai. Jumma ko, US dollar aur Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ke darmiyan exchange rate lagbhag 159.30 par tha. Daily charts par nazar dalain, toh ek khatarnak trend saamne aata hai. Pehle ka bullish trend ab kamzor hota nazar aata hai.

USD/JPY pair ne hal hi mein us ascending channel se neeche dip kiya hai jo ke technical indicator ke tor par decline ka ishara hai. Ek aur pareshani ka sabab hai Relative Strength Index (RSI). Yeh metric, jo ke 14 din ke price momentum ko gauge karta hai, is waqt 50 se thoda neeche hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke USD/JPY pair ka upward momentum kamzor ho raha hai. Ab sawal yeh hai ke yeh currency pair kahan ja sakta hai? Agar yen ka downward spiral jaari rehta hai, toh yeh kuch initial support 159.00 ke psychological level par pa sakta hai. Is key level ke neeche break hone par bearish sentiment ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke pair ko June ke lows 154.55 tak push kar sakta hai.Lekin yen ke liye sab kuch itna bura nahi hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yen comeback kar le. Agar yen strengthen hota hai, toh initial resistance 21-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke qareeb 159.82 par aa sakti hai. Ek aur potential hurdle ascending channel ka lower boundary ho sakta hai, jo ke 159.95 ke qareeb hai. Agar USD/JPY pair waapis ascending channel ke andar aa jata hai, toh yeh investor sentiment ka shift signal kar sakta hai. Is surat mein, pair upper boundary of the channel ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke 163.20 ke qareeb hai.

Technical indicators ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY pair lagbhag 158.00 par trading kar raha tha Monday ko. Daily chart ek potential weakening trend ko suggest karta hai, jo pair ko ek key support level ke neeche break kar chuka hai. Ek aur technical indicator jo momentum ko measure karta hai, woh bhi neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai, bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Agar yeh trend jaari rehta hai, toh pair June ke low 154.55 ko phir se visit kar sakta hai. Lekin reversal ka chance bhi hai. Resistance levels 14-day Exponential Moving Average aur ascending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb kuch support offer kar sakte hain. Agar price action wapis ascending channel ke andar aata hai, toh yeh USD/JPY ke liye renewed bullish sentiment ko signal kar sakta hai, potential target channel ke upper limit ke qareeb ho sakta hai.

Mukhtasir mein, yeh attempted assassination ne currency market mein volatility inject ki hai. Jabke qareebi mustaqbil mein yen ko further weakness dekhne ko mil sakti hai due to risk aversion aur Japanese authorities ki potential intervention, technical indicators ek possible trend reversal ko suggest karte hain agar USD/JPY pair key support levels ko recapture kar leta hai. Agle kuch haftay crucial honge yen aur dollar ke future trajectory ko determine karne ke liye, khas taur par US election ke developments aur Japan ki further intervention attempts ko closely dekhna hoga.

Aaj ke discussion ka topic USD/JPY currency pair ki price behavior ka analysis hai. Main hourly chart par dollar-yen pair ko analyze kar raha hoon. Pair ek upward trend channel mein trade kar raha tha, lekin is channel ke lower boundaries likely thi. Iske bawajood, koi significant seller volume nahi tha, sirf buyer volume tha. Yeh customer limits ko trigger karta hai, jo pair ke higher move ki taraf ishara karta hai, lekin yeh gir gaya. Isne support level 160.966 ko break kiya, phir bhi buyer volume barkarar raha. Customer limits likely thi, jo further growth ki potential ko indicate karti hai. Pair ne previous buy trade-based limits se door move kiya, aur 160.966 par resistance likely hai. Main assume karta hoon ke pair ab resistance 162.941 ki taraf move karega.
Japanese stocks ne bhi Wall Street ke gains ko follow kiya, jab Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne warn kiya ke restrictive policies ko lambay arsay tak maintain karna economic growth ko hinder kar sakta hai. Is beech, economic data ne dikhaya ke Japan ka corporate goods price index June mein 2.9% year-on-year increase hua, jo August last year ke baad se highest hai

Jab tak Japan foreign exchange market mein intervene nahi karta aur yen ko plummet hone se nahi rokta, USD/JPY exchange rate ka overall trend upward hi rahega. Warna, Fed ki policy aur Bank of Japan ki policy ke divergence ki wajah se aaj ke US inflation announcement ke baad se overall trend upward rahega aur record levels ko break karega. Filhal, pair ke next resistance levels 161.85, 162.30 aur 163.00 hain. In support levels ke kareeb, main bullish signals search karunga, aur upward price movement ke resumption ki umeed karunga. Short mein, aaj ke liye, main fully consider karta hoon ke price northern direction ki taraf push hoti rahegi towards nearest resistance level, aur agar buyers uske upar establish ho jate hain, to main apna target more distant northern objectives ki taraf adjust karunga

Aaj Japanese yen ki qeemat gir rahi hai jabke US dollar apni taqat dikha raha hai. Yeh sab us weekend ke baad ho raha hai jab former US President Donald Trump par jaan leva hamla hua tha. Investors kaafi ehtiyaat barat rahe hain aur dollar ki taraf rujhan kar rahe hain. Jumme ko, US dollar aur Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ke darmiyan exchange rate 159.30 ke aas paas tha. Daily charts pe nazar daalein toh ek khatarnak trend saamne aati hai. Pehle bullish trend ab apni raftar kho raha hai.
USD/JPY pair ne abhi haal hi mein ascending channel se neeche gir gaya hai, jo ke ek technical indicator hai jo yeh batata hai ke decline ho sakta hai. Aur bhi pareshani ka sabab ek technical measure hai jo ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) kehlata hai. Yeh metric jo 14 din ke price momentum ko napta hai, filhal 50 se neeche hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke USD/JPY pair ka upward momentum kamzor ho raha hai. Toh ab yeh currency pair kahan ja sakta hai? Agar yen ka girna jaari rehta hai, toh yeh 159.00 ke psychological level ke aas paas pehli support dhoond sakta hai. Is level se neeche girne par bearish sentiment barh sakta hai, jo is pair ko June ke lows, yani 154.55 ke aas paas le ja sakta hai

Magar abhi yen ke liye sab kuch khatam nahi hua. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yen waapas apni qeemat barha le. Agar yen mazboot hota hai, toh isko 21-day exponential moving average (EMA), jo ke 159.82 par hai, pehli resistance mil sakti hai. Dusra hurdle ascending channel ka lower boundary ho sakta hai, jo ke 159.95 par hai. Agar USD/JPY pair dobara ascending channel ke andar chala jata hai, toh yeh investor sentiment mein tabdeeli ka signal ho sakta hai. Iss surat mein, yeh pair channel ke upper boundary ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke 163.20 par hai

Main yeh keh sakta hoon ke bohot arsay tak baghair kisi rukawat ke aagey barhnay ke baad, khareedaaron ne guzra hua panch dinon ki trading mein apni qiyadat wali position kho di hai. Agar hum instrument ke chart ki history par nazar dalain, toh hum keh sakte hain ke pehle bhi aise hi southern retreats ho chuke hain. Yeh kai hafton tak jaari rahe, lekin long positions ke holders hamesha apni position wapas haasil karte rahe aur naye bulandiyon par pohnchte rahe. Yeh forecast par shak hai ke aane wale dinon mein upward movement hogi. Market mazid fluctuations ke qareeb hai jo kai zigzags se zahir hongi, aur lagta hai ke USD/JPY isi scenario ki taraf ja rahi hai. Aane wale dinon mein, hum is movement ke shuruaat ke liye ek impulse dekhenge, aur humein ek mazid strong southern progress ka phase dekhne ko milega, jahan faida sellers ke paas hoga. News ka background is direction mein activation mein madadgar hoga, aur yeh important nahi ke kis qisam ki news publish hoti hai; movement ka focus negative impact wali news par hai

Agar Southerners kamiyab nahi hote, toh bulls samne aayenge, aur woh level 161.54 tak ki correction ke sath aayenge. Agar sellers southern direction mein kamiyab hote hain, toh unka target level 155.97 hoga, lekin upward movement ka reversal level 159.61 se bhi ho sakta hai. Yeh kehna mushkil hai ke yeh oscillator ka slowdown price reversal hai, lekin yeh mumkin hai ke direction mein tabdeeli ka aagaz ho, jaise ke ek long-term correction ka formation, jo ke mein intezar kar raha hoon. Ab tak, mujhe middle channel line ke area mein price level 155.57 tak decline hota dikh raha hai. Yeh dekhna mushkil hai ke is dafa situation kaise banegi. Hum agla decline faraz kar sakte hain, ya phir main trend ko tarjeeh de sakte hain. Main trend ke direction mein trade karne ki koshish karta hoon, is case mein, north ki taraf

USD/JPY currency pair,

USD/JPY currency pair, jo abhi 169.79 par hai, ek bearish trend ka samna kar raha hai, jo Japanese yen ki taqat mein izafa ko darshata hai dollar ke muqable mein. Yeh movement kai economic factors se influence hota hai, jaise Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke darmiyan mukhtalif monetary policies ka farq. Fed ka hawkish stance, jisme wo inflation ko control karne ke liye interest rates ko increase kar rahi hai, BoJ ki ultra-loose monetary policy se tezi se mukhtalif hai, jo ki economic growth ko stimulate karne ke liye hai. Yeh policy divergence aam tor par dollar ko yen ke muqable mein mazboot karta hai, lekin chalne wala bearish trend market participants ke long-term impacts ko dobara tajziya karne ki taraf ishara karta hai.

US aur Japan se aane wale economic data USD/JPY exchange rate ko shape karne mein ahem role ada karenge. Kamzor US economic indicators Fed ko rate hikes ko dobara sochne par majboor kar sakte hain, jo dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Saath hi, mazboot Japanese economic data ya BoJ ke tightening signals yen ko aur mazbooti de sakte hain.

Geopolitical developments bhi currency pair par sakht asar dalte hain. Antar-rashtriya trade policies mein tabdeeliyan, siyasi mustehkamiat ya global economic conditions ki changes volatility ko barhate hain aur market sentiment ko impact karte hain, jo USD/JPY mein sakht movements ko drive karte hain.

Technical analysis additional insights provide karta hai, jahan chart patterns aur indicators key support aur resistance levels ko reveal karte hain. Significant support levels ke neeche break downside ko signal kar sakte hain, jabki rebounds potential reversal ko indicate kar sakte hain.

Market sentiment, jaise ke futures aur options ke zariye gaaya jaane wala sentiment, ahem hai. Risk aversion typically yen ko safe-haven currency ke tor par mazboot karta hai, jabki increased risk appetite dollar ko support karta hai.

Traders ko upcoming economic releases, central bank communications aur geopolitical events ko nazdeek se monitor karna chahiye USD/JPY mein potential shifts ke liye. Unexpected data releases, jaise ke kamzor US labor market reports ya mazboot Japanese GDP growth, bearish trend ko aggravate ya phir reversals ko provoke kar sakte hain.

Global market sentiment, jise equities aur commodities ke zariye reflect kiya jaata hai, bhi USD/JPY par asar dalta hai. Declines in global stocks ya safe-haven assets mein izafa yen ko boost kar sakta hai, jabki equity rallies dollar ko support karte hain.



Muqaddama mein, USD/JPY mein maujood bearish trend yeh ishara karta hai ke dollar ke muqable mein yen ki taqat mein izafa ho raha hai, jise monetary policy ke farq, economic data, geopolitics, aur market sentiment ka asar hai. Traders ko saada-dili se qabil-e-tawajjo rehna chahiye aur istehkam aur raftaar se badalne wale market conditions mein apni strategies tajweez karni chahiye, jisse ke yeh dynamic currency pair mein moujood mauqe ko faida uthane ya riskon ko kam karne mein madad mile.

USD/JPY H1 Chart Analysis
Hamari guftagu ka markaz USD/JPY currency pair ki real-time price action ka tajziya hai. Jumma ko USDJPY pair decline hui, bears ko faida hua despite a minor pullback. Ek koshish hui ke upper MA se neeche drop kare, jo ke filhal 160.86 par hai, magar price ab tak uske neeche firmly settle nahi hui. Saath hi, RSI aur stochastic indicators downward trend mein hain, jo ke further decline ka ishara de rahe hain. Iske ilawa, bear butterfly pattern abhi tak fulfill nahi hui, jisme ek downward zigzag ki kami hai. Hum Monday ko upper MA par focus karenge taake yeh dekh saken ke price further drop kar sakti hai ya nahi. Agar rebound hota hai, to growth ka target last peak 162.01 ho sakta hai, jo butterfly ko update kar sakta hai aur ek aur downward attempt ko lead kar sakta hai. Agar price drop hoti hai, to lower MA aur middle Bollinger band tak gir sakti hai, jo ke 159.55/159.18 ke qareeb hai. Yahan hume dekhna hoga ke price downward continue karti hai ya nahi. Further declines lower Bollinger band tak ja sakti hain jo ke 155.74 par hai.

Yeh zaruri hai ke market ki reaction ko in resistance levels par monitor kiya jaye. Yeh levels market sentiment ko samajhne mein madad karte hain aur trend continuation ya reversal ka ishara dete hain. Agar price successfully in levels ko break karti hai, to yeh bullish momentum ko confirm karega. Magar agar price in levels par reject hoti hai, to yeh bearish pressure ko indicate karega.

Trading mein risk management ko consider karna zaruri hai. Market ki reaction resistance levels par unpredictable ho sakti hai, isliye proper risk management strategies ko follow karna zaruri hai. Stop-loss orders define karna aur position sizing ko manage karna trading plan ka aham hissa hai. USD/JPY ke nearest resistance levels 160.73 par hain. Market ki reaction ko in levels par monitor karna current bullish trend ki strength ko assess karne ke liye crucial hai. Technical indicators aur risk management strategies ko use karke, traders aur investors in levels par price action ko behtar samajh sakte hain. Yeh resistance levels ongoing upward momentum ke potential hurdles ko represent karte hain aur inko monitor karke market ke future direction ko predict karne mein madad mil sakti hai.

signal ka muntazir hoon, khaaskar agar qeemat ne woh utha hai jo ban gaya hai, neeche chala jata hai. Agar yeh kami hoti hai, to mehsool ki samajh hai ke bael zor se dakhil ho jayenge aur ahem support level 152.34 se bullish correction shuru karenge. Mere liye, behtar dakhil hone ki nakaaroot tab hogi jab yeh correction taqreeban hoti hai. Magar, yeh mumkin hai ke correction na ho. Agar yeh mamla hai, to main trading se fraz karon ga aur bina kisi harkat se market dynamics ko muntazir rahon ga. USD/JPY currency pair ne ek moderate giravat mehsoos ki. Pair ek waqt par tezi se gir gaya lekin phir jaldi se current weekly session ke opening levels par wapas aagaya. Yeh recovery ek lehaz se volatility ki darjaat ko darust karti hai aur yeh ishara karta hai ke market abhi naye trend mein set hone ke liye




tayar nahi hai. Hal k movements ke peeche ek wajah yeh bhi hosakti hai ke investors US market opening ke pehle kuch munafa lock kar rahe hain. Munafa lock karna aam hai traders mein jo European session mein banaye gaye faiday ko secure karne ke liye karne ki ichha rakhte hain pehle US markets ke opening ke saath jo volatility ka saamna kar sakti hai. USD/JPY pair ka performance aksar mukhtalif factors se mutasir hota hai jaise economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Maslan, changes US economic indicators mein jaise employment reports, inflation data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions pair par bhaari asar daal sakti hai. isi tarah, Japan mein economic conditions aur policy decisions bhi aham role ada karte hain. USDJPY ne Jumeraat (6/28/24) ko itihas mein record high qeemat banayi, currency pair mein tezi se izafa ho sakta hai jo ke munafa lenay ki saakh hai. Girawat ka mouqa ab bhi US session tak ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Bullish channel aur Moving Average par breakout jo ke chal rahi qeemat se oopar hain yeh bearish tajzia mein izafa karte hain.
Aik ghantay ki chart analysis ke mutabiq. 15 M chart par upar bhasa di gayi hai. Is mein bhi girawat ka mouqa hai kyunke Moving Average chal rahi qeemat par hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke qeemat ki movement ka average value abhi bhi giray ga. Agar scenario ke mutabiq ho, to USDJPY ka mouqa ho sakta hai ke giray aur 160.280 ke support level ko test karne jaaye.

Aapki analysis bahut detailed aur insightful hai USD/JPY currency pair ke hawale se. Aapne market ke current state aur possible future movements ke baare mein clear taur par bataya hai. Aapka observation kehta hai ke aap signal ka muntazir hain, khaas kar jab qeemat ne jo trend banaya hai usko follow karta hai.

Agar market neeche chala jata hai, toh aapko bullish correction ki starting point 152.34 support level se mil sakta hai, jo ki ek crucial point hai aapke trading decisions ke liye. Aapne sahi tareeke se highlight kiya hai ke agar yeh correction na ho, toh aap prudent approach apnayenge aur market ki dynamics ko closely monitor karenge, takay aap clear trend ya signal ka intezar kar saken.

Aapne market ki volatility aur recovery ke reference se bhi baat ki hai, jo traders ke liye bahut valuable hai. Aapki analysis se yeh zahir hota hai ke aap market ke short-term aur long-term movements ko samajhne ki koshish kar rahe hain, aur aapka approach market ke unpredictable nature ko samajhne par based hai.

Overall, aapne bahut hi acchi tarah se market ke current state ko samjha hai aur future possibilities ko bhi consider kiya hai apne trading strategy ko tay karne mein. Yeh approach traders ke liye bahut beneficial hai jo market ke fluctuations ko samajhne aur usmein smart decisions lene ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Volatility ke darjaat aur market ki recovery ke reference se aapne yeh bhi zahir kiya hai ke market abhi naye trend ke liye set hone ki taraf ja raha hai. Yeh information traders ke liye valuable hai jo market ke short-term aur long-term movements ko samajhne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

indicators chahiyein: nine aur twenty-one periods ke exponential moving averages. Signals simple aur familiar hain: in moving averages ka intersection price level 158.048 par hota hai. Sabr karo, 5-minute time frame par price pullback ka intezar karo, phir market sell entry initiate karo. Trade se trade tak main composed rehne ki koshish karta hoon aur sirf calculated risks leta hoon. Mera risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 3 meri golden rule hai. Mera stop order hamesha kam az kam 21 points par set hota hai, kabhi kabar 24 tak extend hota hai lekin kabhi zyada nahi. Bank of Japan apni agli meeting jo 29 July ko hai, us se bond-buying reduce karne ka soch raha hai. Yeh proposal positive feedback le chuka hai. Magar woh apni communication mein ehtiyaat kar rahe hain kyunke yeh aik critical issue hai. US bond holdings reduce karne se Japan-US relations mein friction ho sakti hai, lekin yeh yen ko mazboot aur Japan ki




economy ko current rates par support bhi de sakta hai. USD/JPY ke hawale se kal, thodi si southern pullback ke baad, price ne reverse kiya aur dheemay dheemay northern direction mein push karti rahi, jis se pehle din ki range mein ek chhoti reversal candle bani. Mujhe ab bhi umeed hai ke is instrument ke liye price movement north ki taraf jari rahegi aur main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke current accumulation ke khatam hone ke baad, ek impulsive breakout resistance level 164.500 tak ho ga. Jaise ke main pehle bhi keh chuka hoon, is resistance level ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate karay aur north ki taraf further move karay. Agar yeh plan play out hota hai, toh hum price ko resistance level 168.000 ki taraf move hota dekh sakte hain. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo agle trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Bilkul, main is possibility ko bhi madde nazar rakhta hoon ke price aur zyada north ki taraf push ho sakta hai, lekin filhal, main is scenario ko nahi dekh raha kyunke mujhe iski jaldi realization ka prospect nazar nahi aata. Ek alternative scenario jab price resistance level 164.500 ke qareeb ho, yeh ho sakta hai ke ek reversal candle bane aur price southern movement resume kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, Jodi ke liye aik ahem resistance level symmetrical triangle ke upper threshold par 156.80 ke qareeb hai. Is level ko paar karna bearish outlook ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur mumkin hai ke jodi ko zehni sarhad 161.00 ke imtehan mein pohancha sake. Mazeed izafa se

USD/JPY currency pair ne H-4 chart par bohot interesting price behavior dikhaya hai, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan complex interplay ko highlight karta hai. Pehle, pair ek upward trend channel mein tha, jo bullish momentum ko indicate kar raha tha. Lekin recent movements market dynamics mein potential shifts ka pata de rahe hain.
Is upward channel mein trade karte hue, lower boundaries ne significant pressure face kiya, jo potential reversal ya consolidation phase ki taraf ishara karta hai. Notably, is period ke dauran strong seller volume ka absence tha, jo typically bearish sentiment ko indicate karta. Iske bajaye, buyer volume robust raha, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke market participants future price movements ke bare mein abhi bhi optimistic hain.

Customer limit orders ka trigger hona is bullish outlook ko aur reinforce karta hai, jo ek strong demand base ko indicate karta hai jo price ko support kar sakti hai. Lekin, expectations ke contrary, pair decline hua aur crucial support level 160.966 ko break kiya. Yeh break upward trend ki sustainability ke bare mein concerns uthata hai, lekin persistent buyer volume underlying strength ko indicate karta hai.

Price drop ke bawajood buyer activity ka continuation imply karta hai ke bohot se traders ab bhi recovery ke liye position le rahe hain. Customer limits ka presence suggest karta hai ke traders naye positions enter karne ke liye ready hain, jo yeh notion reinforce karta hai ke market shayad ek aur bullish leg ke liye prepare kar raha hai

Support level ke breach hone ke baad, market dynamics shift ho gaye hain. 160.966 ke aas paas ka area ab ek naya resistance zone mana ja raha hai, jo is price point par heightened selling interest ko reflect karta hai. Previous support ab ek battleground ban gaya hai, jahan buyers aur sellers control ke liye compete kar rahe hain

**Former US President Donald Trump par hamle ki koshish se Japanese yen (JPY) aur US dollar market mein kaafi halchal hui. JPY kamzor aur US dollar mazboot hogaya. Yeh tabdeeli investors ki risk aversion ko reflect karti hai, jo uncertainty ke samnay US dollar ki safety dekh rahe hain. Analysts ka maanna hai agar yeh waqia Trump ke election mein support barhata hai, toh yeh 'Trump victory trade' ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo dollar ko aur mazboot banayega aur US Treasury yield curve ko bhi badal sakta hai.
Japanese authorities yen ki girawat ko rokne ke liye intervene kar sakte hain. Bank of Japan ke data ke mutabiq unhone shayad Thursday ko kaafi paisa kharch kiya yen ki depreciation ko slow karne ke liye. Yen ne hal hi mein dollar ke mukable 38 saalon ki low ko touch kiya. Yeh girawat June mein US consumer prices ki slowdown ki data se hui, jo Federal Reserve se September tak interest rate cut ki umeed ko barhata hai.

Technical indicators ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair Monday ko 158.00 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ek potential weakening trend dikhata hai, jahan pair ek key support level se neeche break ho gaya hai. Ek technical indicator jo momentum measure karta hai woh bhi neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai, jo bearish sentiment ko reinforce kar raha hai. Agar yeh trend jaari rehta hai, toh pair apne June low 154.55 ko revisit kar sakta hai. Magar, reversal ka bhi chance hai. 14-day Exponential Moving Average aur ascending channel ke lower boundary ke paas resistance levels kuch support de sakte hain. Agar price action wapas ascending channel mein aata hai, toh yeh USD/JPY ke liye ek renewed bullish sentiment ko signal kar sakta hai, aur channel ke upper limit ke paas potential target ho sakta hai

Yeh sab Trump par hamle ne currency market mein volatility ko inject kiya hai. Aane wale dinon mein yen further weaken ho sakta hai risk aversion aur Japanese authorities ke intervention ki wajah se, magar technical indicators ek possible trend reversal suggest karte hain agar USD/JPY pair key support levels ko recapture kar leta hai. Aane wale haftay yen aur dollar ki future trajectory ko determine karne mein crucial honge, jahan US election developments aur Japan ke further intervention attempts par close attention diya jayega