USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY


Wa Alaikum Assalam! Aaj hum baat karenge USD/JPY market ke baare mein. Meri USD/JPY trading analysis sab ke liye faidemand hogi, khaskar instaforex traders ke liye. USDJPY pair ne aakhirkar 160.00 ka ahem level cross kar liya, jisse buyers ne confidence gain kiya aur aur oonchay targets ke liye position li. Yeh sab US ke achi economic data ki wajah se hua hai, jaise ke humne recently US PMIs aur US Consumer Confidence report dekhi. Aaj humne US Jobless Claims figures bhi dekhi hain, jahan data se pata chala ke labor market rebalance ho rahi hai kam job openings ke saath, na ke layoffs ke through. Aisi data se interest rate expectations stable rehti hain, aur growth mein pick-up ke saath inflationary pressures ke baghair risk sentiment ko support milta hai. JPY iss environment mein doosri badi currencies ke muqable kamzor hoti ja rahi hai. Yen ki strength tabhi wapas aa sakti hai jab US ka inflation data weak hoga. Agar market aggressive Fed rate cuts ko price in nahi karti, toh ye trend waisa hi rahega.

Daily chart pe hum dekh sakte hain ke USDJPY ne 160.00 handle cross kar liya aur show ko extend kiya. Agar pullback hota hai 160.00 level ke neeche, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke buyers wapas aayenge defined risk ke saath new highs target karne ke liye. Dusri taraf, sellers ko conviction milega jab price 160.00 handle ke neeche jaayega, aur major trendline 157.00 handle ke aas paas focus karega.

Agar USD/JPY channel ke upper limit (around 161.50) ko break karta hai, toh ye aur zyada strong ho sakta hai, potentially 162.00 level tak pohonch sakta hai. Lekin agar ye 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 159.98 ke neeche girta hai, toh significant decline ho sakta hai. Isse pair channel ke lower limit (around 158.20) tak ja sakta hai, aur hatta ke June low 154.55 ko retest kar sakta hai.

Conclusively, Yen abhi ek tug-of-war mein hai Japanese authorities ke intervention aur weakening USD ke beech. Technical indicators short-term upside suggest karte hain for USD/JPY, lekin key support levels ke neeche break hone par Yen firse decline kar sakta hai. Currency market developments aur Japanese authorities ke actions ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga agle kuch dinon aur hafton mein.

Japanese Yen ke paas koi wajah nahi hai mazid mazboot hone ki, is liye USD/JPY pair abhi regression channel ke andar trade kar raha hai jo Murray indicator par mabni hai. Yeh channel ka bottom level 161.65 par hai aur top level 161.82 par. Agar dekha jaye, four-hour chart par stochastic indicator apni upper boundary tak pahunch chuka hai, lekin pair abhi bhi 161.48-161.73 ke level par hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke bulls shayad channel ke top ko test kar sakte hain, lekin baad mein price wapas neeche aane ki umeed hai.
Yen ke mazid mazboot hone ki koi wazahat nahi hai, jiske karan USD/JPY pair regression channel mein remain kar raha hai. Is waqt market mein bulls active hain aur price ko upar le ja rahe hain. Lekin, jab stochastic indicator apni upper boundary tak pohanchta hai, to yeh overbought condition ko indicate karta hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke buyers thode cautious ho jaate hain aur profit book karna shuru kar dete hain, jiski wajah se price mein pullback hota hai.

Agar hum four-hour chart ko detail mein dekhein, to USD/JPY pair 161.48-161.73 ke level par consolidate kar raha hai. Yeh consolidation is baat ka signal hai ke market abhi decide nahi kar raha ke agla move upar hoga ya neeche. Lekin, stochastic indicator ki upper boundary par pohanchne ki wajah se bulls ke liye mushkil hota hai price ko aur zyada upar le jana.

Murray indicator par regression channel ka top level 161.82 par hai. Agar bulls successful hote hain price ko is level tak le jane mein, to yeh ek significant resistance level hoga. Is level par kaafi selling pressure aane ki umeed hoti hai, jo price ko neeche push kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, channel ka bottom level 161.65 par hai, jo ek strong support level provide karta hai. Agar price is level tak aata hai, to buyers phir se active ho sakte hain aur price ko support mil sakta hai.

USD/JPY pair ke movement ko samajhne ke liye technical indicators ka analysis zaroori hai. Stochastic indicator ne upper boundary ko touch kiya hai, jo overbought condition ko depict karta hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke ab price mein pullback hone ke chances zyada hain. Bulls shayad channel ka top test kar sakte hain, lekin uske baad price mein neeche aane ki umeed hai.

Trading ke doran yeh zaroori hai ke risk management ko madde nazar rakha jaye. Stop loss aur target levels ko define karna trading plan ka important hissa hai. USD/JPY pair ko closely monitor karna hoga taake market ke next move ko anticipate kiya ja sake. Regression channel aur stochastic indicator ka analysis karke, aap market ke potential reversals ko samajh sakte hain aur accordingly apne trades plan kar sakte hain.

In conclusion, Japanese Yen ke mazid mazboot hone ki koi wajah nahi hai, aur USD/JPY pair regression channel mein trade kar raha hai. Stochastic indicator ke overbought condition ko dekhte hue, bulls ke liye channel ka top test karna possible hai, lekin baad mein price mein pullback hone ke chances zyada hain. Trading mein hamesha risk management ko follow karna zaroori hai taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake.

Aaj, main plan karta hoon ke USD/JPY buy karun jab price 160.89 ke entry point par pohanchti hai jo green line se chart par plot ki gayi hai. Mera aim yeh hai ke price 161.46 tak barh jaye jo chart par thicker green line se plot ki gayi hai. 161.46 ke qareeb, main apni long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short ones open karunga, expecting ke 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein hoga is level se.
Maine dekha hai ke 160.89 level ek significant support level hai, jahan price ko aksar strong buying interest milta hai. Jab price is level par pohanchti hai, to yeh typically buying pressure ki wajah se rebound karti hai. Is entry point par buy order place karke, main anticipated upward movement se faida uthana chahta hoon.

Jab price 160.89 se upar move karna shuru karegi, main uske progress ko closely monitor karunga. Mera target level 161.46 pe based hai jo previous resistance levels hain jahan price ko historically selling pressure face karna padta hai. Yeh level chart par thicker green line se mark kiya gaya hai, jo iski importance ko indicate karta hai. Jab price is level ke qareeb aayegi, to mujhe umeed hai ke yeh resistance ko encounter karegi aur shayad direction reverse kar le.

Jab price 161.46 tak pohanchti hai, to main apni long positions exit karunga taake profits lock in kar sakoon. Foran uske baad, main short positions open karunga, anticipating ke price downward move karegi. Mera expectation hai ke price is level se taqriban 30-35 pips niche drop karegi. Yeh projection historical price patterns aur market behavior par mabni hai jo is resistance level ke qareeb observe kiya gaya hai.

Is strategy ko execute karke, main support level se upward movement aur resistance level se subsequent downward movement dono se faida uthana chahta hoon. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke trading mein risks hote hain aur yeh guarantee nahi hai ke price expected direction mein move karegi. Is liye, risk management bohot zaroori hai.

Risk manage karne ke liye, main apni long positions ke liye stop loss 160.89 entry point se thoda niche set karunga. Yeh potential losses ko limit karega agar price unexpectedly meri trade ke khilaaf move karti hai. Meri short positions ke liye, main stop loss 161.46 level ke upar place karunga taake opposite direction mein potential breakout se protect kiya ja sake.

Summarize karte hue, mera trading plan aaj ke liye yeh hai ke USD/JPY ko 160.89 support level par buy karun aur aim karun ke yeh 161.46 resistance level tak barh jaye. 161.46 ke qareeb, main apni long positions exit karunga aur short ones open karunga, expecting ke 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein hoga. Unfavorable market movements se protect karne ke liye proper risk management ko follow karna zaroori hai.

Even though main sirf aram nahi kar raha aur ek significant decline ka wait nahi kar raha, main actively USD/JPY pair trade kar raha hoon. Yeh pair recently us peak ko touch kar gaya jo isne March 2024 ke baad nahi dekha. Lekin, hum short-term upward movement dekh sakte hain, aur ek slight, incomplete, corrective decline ka intezar karna chahiye. Abhi ke liye, H4 chart pe market sentiment optimistic hai, kuch resistance levels ka samna karne ke bawajood. Nazdeek ka resistance level 162.60 pe hai. Agar price movement evolve hoti hai, main suggest karta hoon ke Friday ko buy order se sell pe switch karen. USD/JPY pair ne apna trading session 162.88 pe khatam kiya. Yeh pair apne rising channel ke andar move kar raha hai, aur moving averages ek strong trend ko indicate kar rahe hain. Buyer pressure evident hai kyunki quotes signal lines ke upar break ho chuke hain. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY pair resistance level 163.00 ko test karega as part of the upward trend. Iske baad, pair bounce kar sakta hai aur 161.85 area tak decline kar sakta hai.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq 4-hour chart pe, USD/JPY ne recently resistance trendline ke upar break kiya aur phir support level 167.25 ki taraf retrace kiya. Is rejection ke baad, yeh ab upwards move kar raha hai. USD/JPY pair abhi resistance level 134.38 ko test kar raha hai. Kyunki yeh pehle minor-term resistance level 161.68 ke upar break kar chuka hai, USD/JPY minor-term support level 164.60 ki taraf retrace kar sakta hai for correction se pehle ke apna upward movement continue kare. In levels aur market movements pe close watch rakhna zaroori hai taake well-informed trading decisions li jaa sakein

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! US dollar/Japanese yen ki jodi ne pichle din ko ooper ki taraf karobar karte hue guzara. Halankeh, jodi ek nayi bulandi ko chune aur 161.749 ki muzahmati satah se ooper jane me nakam raha. Yah maujudah satahon se niche ki taraf reversal ke imkan ki nishandahi karta hai. Is surat me, tawaqqo hai keh dollar/yen ka joda 160.322 ki support satah ki taraf badhega aur chadhte hue channel ki nichli ka test karega. Agar qimat channel ke niche fix ho kata hai to, yah tezi se mandi ke rujhan me tabdil hote hue mumkena taur par nuqsanat ko badha dega.



GBP/USD
Kal, pound/dollar ke jode ne apni kami ko roka aur 1.27758 ki support satah se ucchal kar tezi ki taraf mud gaya. Aaj, Bartanwi currency ooper ki taraf karobar karna jari rakhe hue hai aur 1.28895 ki muzahmati satah par chadhne ke liye taiyar hai. Iske bad, sterling ke is muzahmati satah se piche hatne ka imkan hai, is se pahle woh dobara faida shuru kare aur chadhte hue channel ki oopri hadd aur 1.29446 ki agli muzahmati satah ki taraf badhe.

Aaj hamaray paas high-impact khabrein hain. Yeh high-impact khabrein mukhtalif currencies ko involve karti hain. Hamaray paas kuch low aur medium-impact khabrein bhi hain. Is area mein aur niche dekhi gai currencies ke pairs ke saath kafi volatility hogi. Traders ko is baat ka khayal rakhna chahiye aur trading ke doran achi money management skills ka istemal karna chahiye. Ihtiyaat ke saath trade karna seekhein. Yeh forex market mein trading karte waqt bohot zaroori hai. Zyada maloomat ke liye niche di gai tasveer dekhein

Technical analysis aur chart patterns ko madde nazar rakhte hue, is maqam par buy entry lena munasib lagta hai. Is trade ka immediate target 161.82 level hoga. Yeh target recent price actions aur resistance levels ko dekh kar chuna gaya hai. Risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye, stop loss ko 162.25 level par set karna acha hai. Yeh stop-loss level mojooda resistance se thoda upar hai, jo yeh ensure karta hai ke agar trade anticipated na ho, to potential losses minimize ho sakti hain



Kal, USDJPY pair ne upar ke areas mein trade kiya aur din ko 161.25 ke aas paas close kiya. Aaj, yeh upar ki taraf 161.65 price level ki taraf move hua hai. Hourly chart dekhne par, yeh wazeh hota hai ke USDJPY moving average line MA (200) H4 par 160.35 ke upar trade kar raha hai. Humare paas four-hour chart par bhi yahi surat-e-haal hai jahan USDJPY abhi MA (200) H4 ke upar trade kar raha hai. In facts ko dekhte hue, traders ko correction ke baad ek acha buy entry point dhoondhne ka mashwara diya jata hai. Niche di gai tasveer aur chart is analysis par behtar maloomat dete hain. Meherbani karke dekhein.

Chunki Bank of Japan aur US Federal Reserve ke darmiyan interest rates ka farq rehne aur kuch arsay tak barqarar rehne ke waja se aisa growth hota rahega, mein sirf corrections par bharosa karta hoon. Mein din ba din safar karta hoon. Yahaan par koi southern impulses nazar nahi aati. Lekin, kal ghari ne naturally downward direction mein move kiya. Lekin yeh model southern region mein kuch khaas ahmiyat nahi rakhta. Recovery jaldi hui. Haan, ek hammer hai, lekin aapko structure ke resistance tak pahunchna hoga. Aur wahaan, mazeed north mein, mujhe priority hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke hum jald hi bullish vector par aagey barhein aur is direction mein 160.62 ke level tak pohchne tak barqarar rahein. Yeh dikhaye ga ke bullish sentiment prevail kar raha hai, aur correction shayad is resistance level par shuru ho. Agar market aise shifts ko negatively react karta hai, tou hum 159.33 support level ki taraf ya 158.69 level tak bhi move kar sakte hain.
USD/JPY trend ke baray mein yaad rakhein ke reversals hamesha ho sakte hain, aur aapko inka tayar rehna chahiye market news ko dekh kar aur jaldi action le kar. USD/JPY currency pair ke quotes abhi 159.45 ke qareeb hain, aur mujhe lagta hai ke current southward correction ke dauran, yeh Bollinger Bands ke average border jo ke 159.15 hai, se neeche gir sakte hain. Kal humne USD/JPY pair ke quotes ko 159.15 tak girne diya. Ab hum repeat ka intezar kar sakte hain, jiske baad bulls grow karne ki koshish karenge aur hopefully current global maximum jo 160.05 hai, ko update karenge. Hum dekhte hain ke bears wahaan gaye the lekin wapas aaye, jo indicate karta hai ke level sahi tarah se determine hua tha. USD/JPY currency pair ki current positions four-hour chart par suggest karti hain ke bulls ko mazeed growth rokne ka chance kam hai jab tak wo global maximum update na kar lein. Agar Bank of Japan ne sirf nayi currency intervention carry out ki, tou bulls ko nuksan hoga. Dollar barhta rahega, kam az kam aik significant waqt tak

USDJPY ka movement bullish pattern mein hai jahan yen ki kamzori aur USD ki mazid mazbooti USDJPY ko naye highs tak push karne mein madad kar rahi hai. Abhi yeh 160.21 ke resistance ko bhi tor chuka hai. Fundamentals ke lehaz se, US Dollar ne ziada tar currencies ke mukablay mein mazid mazbooti hasil ki hai market mein speculation ke sabab ke Fed interest rates ko ziada aggressively barhane wala hai taake high inflation se nipat sake. Dusri taraf, Japanese Yen kamzor hua hai doosri major currencies ke mukablay mein Bank of Japan ke dovish monetary policy ke chalte, jo ke Fed ke aggressive monetary tightening policy se mukhtalif hai. US aur Japan ke darmiyan interest rate difference USDJPY movements ka ahem factor hai. Fed ka tezi se interest rates ko barhana Bank of Japan ke muqablay mein USD ko investors ke liye ziada attractive banata hai, jis se USDJPY mazid mazboot hota hai. Short term mein, yeh pair market speculation ke wajah se Fed ke interest rate hike ke bare mein mazid mazbooti dikhaye ga. Lamba arsa dekha jaye to USDJPY ke prospects US aur Japan ke interest rate difference, donon mulkon ke economic growth aur global risk sentiment par mabni hain

Technical nazariya se dekha jaye to daily timeframe pattern mein, abhi bhi price strong upward pattern mein hai jahan bullish pattern abhi bhi kafi dominant nazar aa raha hai aur highest price resistance 160.21 ko tor chuka hai. Abhi price 162.00 ke psychological level tak bhi barhne ka potential rakhta hai, jahan kai EMAs abhi bhi daily time frame par price se niche hain, jo ke buy option ko support karte hain. Akhri bullish candle bhi continuation pattern ka strong signal de rahi hai. Iske ilawa kai indicators, jaise ke stochastic aur RSI, bhi abhi bhi upward signal dene mein kaafi strong nazar aa rahe hain. RSI level 30 ke upar move karne mein kamiyab ho gaya hai, aur stochastic ne bhi 20 area ke niche decline nahi dikhaya, jo ke bullish signal ko mazid mazboot dikhata hai.

USD/JPY:
Sb dosto ko salam,
USD/JPY ke early session mein Thursday ko upward movement ke signs dekhne ko mile, jo pehle din ke gains ko build kar rahe thay jab yeh 161.70 ke aas-paas chaar din ka high touch kar gaya tha. Yeh uptick softer US consumer inflation figures ke baad aya, jisne bullish momentum ko soften kiya magar pair ko afloat rakha. Ab Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy meeting par tawajjo hai, aur market sentiment uncertainties ke darmiyan cautious hai.

Fed ke Hawkish Pivot ka USD/JPY aur BoJ Meeting ke Intizar par Asar:

Federal Reserve ke unexpected hawkish stance, jo Wednesday ko announce ki gayi, ne US Dollar (USD) ko boost diya. Fed ne 2024 ke liye anticipated rate cuts ko reduce karne ka signal diya, is shift ko higher inflation levels ke expectations ke sath attribute karte hue. Pehle jo teen rate cuts predict kiye gaye thay, policymakers ab sirf ek foresee karte hain, yeh move USD ko support kar sakti hai aur USD/JPY pair ko potentially strengthen kar sakti hai.
In factors ke bawajood, pair market mein bullish sentiment restrained lagta hai. Traders cautious hain BoJ ke decision se pehle, speculations hain ke monthly bond purchases mein potential reductions ho sakte hain economic weaknesses ke bawajood. Do din ka BoJ meeting jo Friday ko conclude hoga, ke outcome se market dynamics par significant asar parh sakta hai.

H4 Chart Technical Analysis aur USD/JPY Movement ke Key Levels:

Technically, USD/JPY pair ne daily lows ke near 161.49 se rebound experience kiya, 161.74 mark ko surpass kiya magar 100-Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke aas-paas 162.43 pe resistance face kiya. Further upside momentum ke liye, buyers ko yeh SMA breach karna hoga aur Ichimoku Cloud ke lower boundary near 162.00 ko test karna hoga. Additional resistance 161.80 ke aas-paas anticipate ki ja sakti hai, jo bullish continuation ke liye critical level hai.

Conversely, downside risks evident hain jab pair ascending channel ke andar consolidate kar raha hai, jahan lower boundary 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke sath 161.29 pe intersect kar raha hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai to selling pressure intensify ho sakta hai, jo potentially USD/JPY ko support zones near 160.27 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Good luck,apka din acha guzray.

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki pricing movements ki live dynamics ko analyse karte hain. Moving average ek downward trend ko indicate kar rahi hai, jo USDJPY ke liye selling opportunities suggest karti hai. Weekly quotes bhi downward trend mein hain, halaanki shuru mein positive trend ki umeed thi. H1 chart par buyers ne 161.81 resistance ko breach karne ki koshish ki, lekin kamiyab nahi hue. Abhi price 161.02 par hai. Agar downtrend barqarar rahti hai, to agla target support zone ke ird gird 160.80 par ho sakta hai, aur shayad is se bhi niche push kare. Agar price 164.45 resistance level par wapas aati hai to sell position initiate karne ka socha ja sakta hai. Ye level favorable selling opportunities de sakta hai. Bulls is currency pair mein solid momentum nahi dikhate, isliye market reversal ke signs show kar raha hai.
Monday ko thodi si uptick ke baad, ek subsequent decline ke chances hain. Ye upward movement shayad chote traders ko attract karne ke liye thi, iske baad ek significant drop aya. Ye process prices ko mahino tak downward pressure kar sakti hai, buyers ko shake out karte hue aur unhe lower levels par sell karne par majboor kar sakti hai. 161.30 par ek false breakout continued decline ka signal de sakti hai. Medium term mein selling likely hai, khas tor par 160.35 ko breach karne ke baad. 161.25 par ek false breakout, khas tor par bearish divergence formation ke darmiyan, selling positions ko validate karega. Hourly chart dikhata hai ke price descending channel mein hai. Kal, pair ne channel ke upper boundary ko 161.19 par test kiya, jo ek reversal aur downward movement ko trigger kar gaya. Monday ke baad price decline karni chahiye, shayad channel ke lower boundary ke ird gird 160.12 par pohonch sakti hai. Agar yahan se bounce hoti hai, to upward reversal initiate ho sakta hai, target around 160.87 channel ke upper limit par

Understanding Forex with USD/JPY Prices
Main real-time mein USD/JPY currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka tajzia kar raha tha. Main dollar-yen pair ko four-hour chart par analyze kar raha hoon. Pair buyer ke dusre profit-taking ke baad increase hua, jo growth ke sath actively profits lete rahe. Magar, previous correction highs ko update karne ke baad koi significant profit-taking nahi hui. Iske bajaye, pair bina rukawat ke grow hua, aur week ke end par ek zyada substantial pullback hua. Pair 160.756 ke support level tak pohanch gaya, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh support se rise karte hue resistance 164.318 tak ja sakta hai. Maine accurately bearish pullback ko predict kiya resistance line of ascending channel se breakdown area tak, jo lagbhag 160.115 par tha, Friday ko. Magar, short position open karne ke liye, maine pehle "bullish doji" ka intezar kiya channel ke resistance line ki taraf, anticipating ek possible puncture followed by pullback.

Mujhe ek theory mili jo yeh suggest karti hai ke latecomers ke long positions open karne se market mein further long positions trend ke sath continue karti hain. Is market perspective ke basis par aur channel resistance zone mein bearish divergence ke doran, maine apna sell limit conceal kiya aur trading setup ka intezar kiya. Badqismati se, expected movement materialize nahi hui, aur market ne pullback ke liye reverse kar liya bina channel resistance strength ko test kiye. Maine jaldbazi mein market mein enter nahi kiya aur cautious raha. Consequently, Friday ko bearish pullback ko sahi identify karne ke bawajood, maine is par trade nahi kiya, aur market ke bahar rehte hue poori decline ko observe kiya. Mujhe afsos hai ke maine 160.06 level ke neechay price ko secure nahi kiya. Magar, main maan leta hoon ke shayad maine zyada intezar kiya, aur sab kuch swiftly unfold nahi hua. Is tarah, main apne downward movement ke outlook ko maintain karta hoon, aur yeh manta hoon ke humein ab corrective movement par focus karna chahiye growth cycle 154.57 se 161.97 tak. Agar yeh reasoning sahi hai, to humein 38.2 level (159.14) ka test dekhna chahiye.

USD/JPY H-1, 155.74

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ki haqeeqat pasandi par mabni hai. Is silsile mein, USDJPY pair Jumma ko gir gaya, jis ne bearish trend ko favor kiya, chhoti si wapas ki koshish ke bawajood. Upper MA ke neeche girne ki koshish ki gayi, jo abhi 160.86 par hai, lekin price ne ab tak is ke neeche mazbooti se settle nahi kiya hai. Isi doran, RSI aur stochastic indicators bhi neeche ki taraf trend kar rahe hain, jo ke mazeed giravat ki sambhavna ko darshaate hain. Is ke ilawa, bear butterfly pattern abhi tak poori nahi hui hai, aur ek downward zigzag ki kami hai.

Hum Monday ko is upper MA par tawajjo denge ke dekhein ke price mazeed neeche gir sakta hai. Agar price wapas hoti hai, to upar jaane ki koshish 162.01 ke aakhri peak tak ho sakti hai, jis se butterfly update ho sakta hai aur ek aur downward attempt ho sakta hai. Agar price girta hai, to woh lower MA aur middle Bollinger band tak gir sakta hai, jo ke 159.55/159.18 ke aas paas hai. Yahan, hume dekhna hoga ke price mazeed neeche jaata hai ya nahi. Mazeed giravat lower Bollinger band tak pahunch sakti hai jo 155.74 par hai.



USD ko barhane mein madad milti hai ke Federal Reserve apni haliyat e faiz par jari rehne ki sambhavnaon par barh chuki hai. Is soch ne tawanai hasil ki thi Jumma ko paish-e-nazar US rozgar report jo ke achanak taqatwar nikla aur is ne USD ke bulls ke position ko market mein mazboot kiya. Is tarah ke tabdeeliyan USD/JPY pair ke manzar e aam par asar andaaz hoti hain jabke traders Bank of Japan ki faisla kun amal par agle haftay mein mazeed isharon ka intezar karte hain.

USD/JPY H-1, 155.74

Agay ki taraf dekhte hue, market ka tawajjo anay wale economic events par muntaqil hota hai jo qareebi muddat mein pair ke raftar ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Khas tor par ahmiyat hai US consumer inflation figures jo week ke darmiyan jaari hone hain, is ke baad Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki meeting. Yeh events aham hain kyunki yeh Federal Reserve ke future interest rate decisions par roshni daal sakte hain, jo ke ulte USD ke yen ke khilaf karobar mein asar andaz ho sakte hain.

USD/JPY karansee peir ne haftay ke aghaz mein girawat ke baad ab phir se upar ka rukh ikhtiyar kiya hai. Juma'raat ke Asian trading session mein, ye 161.50 mark ke upar mazbooti se qaim hai. Is mazbooti ka sabab do mukhtalif quwatein hain: bazaar mein risk lene ki rawiyat ka wapsi, jo US dollar ko kamzor banata hai jab sarmaaya daar ziyada risk lene wale asasaay talash karte hain, aur US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke darmiyan munfarid policies ka farq. Bazaar ke hissa daar US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke jaari hone ka intezar kar rahe hain, umeed hai ke ye ayeenda ke ma'ashi rujhanaat aur markazi bank ke iqdamat ke mutaliq naye isharaat faraham karega.



Is data ka anjaam aane wale dino mein USD/JPY peir ke liye ahem sabit ho sakta hai. Tehqiqi tor par dekha jaye to USD/JPY ka uptrend barqarar nazar aata hai. Magar aage kuch rukawatain ho sakti hain. Jab keemat 162.00 ke ehm quwati muqaam ke qareeb pohanchegi, to bikri ka daur shuru ho sakta hai. Waqti indicators filhal bulls ke haq mein hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought halat mein hai, jo taqatwar khareedari ke dabao ko zahir karta hai. Yeh mazeed upar jaane ki harkat ko rok sakta hai, jis se consolidation ka daur shuru ho sakta hai. Agar bulls 162.00 barrier ko torne mein kamiyab ho gaye, to aglay resistance levels 163.00 aur November 1986 ka high 164.87 ho sakte hain. Dosri taraf, agar bears ne qabza kar liya aur keemat ko Tekansen, jo filhal 161.10 pe hai, ke niche dhakel diya, to yeh ek bara pullback trigger kar sakta hai. Is surat mein, pehla support level 9 July ka low 160.73 hoga, us ke baad 8 July ka cyclical low 160.26 hoga. Agar yeh supports qaim nahi rahe, to USD/JPY 160.00 level tak aur shayad us se bhi niche gir sakta hai.

USD/JPY pair mein, kal ke din price ne apni northern movement jaari rakhi, jiska natija ek puri bullish candle ka formation tha jo pichle din ke high se upar close hui. Overall, is instrument ke liye mere plans unchanged hain, aur mujhe ye poori tarah se mumkin lagta hai ke nearest resistance level ka retest ho sakta hai, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 161.951 par located hai. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi mention kiya hai, is resistance level ke qareeb do scenarios unfold ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate kare aur further upwards move kare. Agar yeh scenario play out hota hai, to mein price ko resistance level 164.500 ki taraf advance karte hue dekhoonga. Agar yeh resistance level successfully break hota hai, to mein further northern movement anticipate karoonga, jo ke resistance level 168.000 tak pohanch sakti hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, mein trading setup ka formation dekhunga taake next trading direction determine kar sakoon. Yaqeenan, main southern pullbacks ke possibility ko bhi consider karta hoon jo ke designated northern target ki taraf move karte hue form ho sakti hain, jinhe main nearby support levels se bullish signals search karne ke liye use karunga, expecting ke upward price movement global bullish trend ke framework mein continue kare. Alternative scenario for price action jab yeh 161.951 resistance level approach kare, ek reversal candle formation aur corrective southern movement ka beginning ho sakta hai. Agar yeh scenario unfold hota hai, to mein price ka return support level 160.209 ya support level 157.671 tak intezar karoonga. In support levels ke qareeb, mein bullish signals search karte rahunga, expecting ke upward price movement resume ho. Mukhtasir yeh ke, aaj ke din, main poori tarah consider karta hoon ke price northern direction mein nearest resistance level ki taraf push hoti rahegi, aur agar buyers iske upar establish karne mein kamiyab hotay hain, to main apna target zyada distant northern objectives adjust karunga

USD/JPY Market Analysis:
### USD/JPY Market Analysis
**USD/JPY Ka Tajzia**

USD/JPY ek important currency pair hai jo US Dollar aur Japanese Yen ko represent karta hai. Is pair ka forex market mein bara ahmiyat hai kyun ke yeh dono dunia ki badi economies ko represent karte hain. Aaj hum bullish channel aur descending channel dynamics ka tajzia karain ge.

**Bullish Channel Dynamics**

Bullish channel ek aisi trend hai jisme price gradually upward direction mein move karti hai. Is channel mein support aur resistance levels hotay hain jo price ko ek range mein rakhte hain.

1. **Support Levels:** Bullish channel ke support levels wo points hotay hain jahan se price bounce karke wapas uptrend mein jati hai. In levels ka tajzia karna bohot zaruri hota hai kyun ke yeh strong buying opportunities ko indicate karte hain.

2. **Resistance Levels:** Resistance levels wo points hotay hain jahan se price temporary downward movement karti hai. Yeh levels profit-taking opportunities ko show karte hain.

3. **Market Sentiment:** Bullish channel mein market sentiment positive hota hai. Investors aur traders confident hotay hain ke price aage aur barh sakti hai.

4. **Technical Indicators:** Technical indicators jese Moving Averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index) aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) bullish channel ko identify karne mein madadgar hotay hain.

**Descending Channel Dynamics**

Descending channel ek aisi trend hai jisme price gradually downward direction mein move karti hai. Is channel mein bhi support aur resistance levels hotay hain jo price ko ek range mein rakhte hain.

1. **Support Levels:** Descending channel ke support levels wo points hotay hain jahan se price temporary upward movement karti hai. Yeh levels short-term buying opportunities ko indicate karte hain.

2. **Resistance Levels:** Resistance levels descending channel mein bohot important hotay hain. Yeh wo points hotay hain jahan se price wapas downward trend mein move karti hai. Yeh levels strong selling opportunities ko show karte hain.

3. **Market Sentiment:** Descending channel mein market sentiment negative hota hai. Investors aur traders ko lagta hai ke price aur gir sakti hai.

4. **Technical Indicators:** Technical indicators jese Bollinger Bands, Stochastic Oscillator aur Fibonacci Retracement descending channel ko identify karne mein madad karte hain.

**Factors Affecting USD/JPY**

USD/JPY ka exchange rate kai factors se mutasir hota hai:

1. **Interest Rates:** Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki interest rate policies ka bara asar hota hai. Agar Fed apni rates ko barhata hai aur BoJ apni rates ko kam rakhta hai to USD ki demand barh jati hai aur USD/JPY rate barh jata hai.

2. **Economic Data:** US aur Japan ke economic indicators jese GDP growth, inflation rate aur employment data bhi exchange rate par asar dalte hain.

3. **Geopolitical Events:** Political stability aur international relations ka bhi rate par bara asar hota hai. Trade wars, diplomatic relations aur economic policies ko traders closely monitor karte hain.

4. **Market Sentiment:** Traders aur investors ka sentiment bhi rate ko affect karta hai. Safe-haven demand ke doran Japanese Yen ko prefer kiya jata hai.

**Trading Strategies**

USD/JPY ko trade karte waqt traders different strategies use karte hain. Bullish channel mein buy on dips aur breakout strategies use ki jati hain jab ke descending channel mein sell on rallies aur short-selling strategies use hoti hain. Technical aur fundamental analysis ka combination effective trading ke liye zaruri hai.

**Conclusion**

USD/JPY market dynamics ko samajhna successful trading ke liye bohot zaruri hai. Bullish channel aur descending channel ke tajzia se traders ko effective trading decisions lene mein madad milti hai. Yeh currency pair market sentiment aur economic indicators se bohot mutasir hota hai, is liye traders ko hamesha updated rehna chahiye.