USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

U.S. dollar abhi bhi Japanese yen ke muqable me barh raha hai, jo interest rates ke farq ki wajah se samajh aata hai. Amreeka aur Japan ke darmiyan interest rates ka farq market ko rozana traders ko inaam dena banata hai. Iske ilawa, Friday ka jobs report thoda behtar tha jitna ummed thi, jo yeh nazariya mazid mazboot kar raha hai ke interest rate cuts abhi door nahi hain, aur dollar ko aur support diya hai.

Short-term returns ko buying opportunities ke tor par dekha ja raha hai. 160 yen ka figure khaas taur par ahem hai kyun ke ye ek conceptual aur historical level hai. Yahan par Bank of Japan pehle bhi intervene kar chuka hai, jo market memory ko trigger karta hai. Is segment me koi bhi pullback high performance ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar yeh pair 160 yen se neeche bhi jata hai, to weekly aur daily charts par kaafi support levels hain jo isay balance kar sakti hain.

Lambi muddat me dollar-yen pair ka target 165 yen level ho sakta hai, halan ke isme waqt lag sakta hai aur kabhi kabar reversals bhi a sakte hain. In reversals ko concerns ke tor par dekha jaana chahiye aur buying ka mauka nahi samjha jaana chahiye. Maujooda market sentiment aur strong uptrend ke madde nazar, is pair ko short karne me koi dilchaspi nahi hai.



Amreeki dollar ko mazboot economic indicators aur wide interest rate differentials ka support hasil hai. Is liye, yeh pair mazid barh sakta hai aur 165 yen level ek lambi muddat ka target hai. Traders ko short-term increases ka faida uthane ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye, kyun ke overall upward trend me koi kami nazar nahi aa rahi.

Munafa Bakhsh Forex Trades: USD/JPY Prices

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing movements ka live analysis karte hain. Moving average ek downward trend ko dikhata hai, jo USDJPY ke liye selling opportunities ko suggest karta hai. Weekly quotes downward trend me hain, halaan ke pehle ek positive trend ki umeed thi. H1 chart par buyers ne 161.81 resistance ko breach karne ki koshish ki, lekin nakam rahe. Filhal, price 161.02 par hai. Agar downtrend jaari rehta hai, to agla target 160.80 ke aas paas support zone ko test kar sakta hai, aur shayad isse neeche bhi jaye. Agar price wapas 164.45 resistance level par aata hai, to yeh favourable selling opportunities faraham kar sakta hai. Bulls is currency pair me mazboot momentum nahi rakhte, is liye market reversal ke asar dikhata hai.



Monday ko ek choti si uptick ke baad, ek subsequent decline hone ki umeed hai. Yeh upward movement chote traders ko lure kar sakta hai pehle ek significant drop se pehle. Yeh process prices ko mahino tak downward pressure me rakh sakta hai, buyers ko shake out karte hue aur unhe lower levels par sell karne ko entice kar sakta hai. 161.30 par ek false breakout continued decline ka signal de sakta hai. Medium term me selling likely hai, khaaskar jab 160.35 breach ho jaye. 161.25 par ek false breakout, khas taur par ek bearish divergence formation ke darmiyan, selling positions ko validate karega. Hourly chart price ko ek descending channel ke andar dikhata hai. Kal, pair ne channel ke upper boundary ko 161.19 par test kiya, jo ek reversal aur downward movement ko trigger karta hai. Monday se price decline honi chahiye, aur shayad channel ke lower boundary tak pohonch jaye jo 160.12 ke aas paas hai. Is level se ek bounce upward reversal ko initiate kar sakta hai, jo channel ke upper limit ke aas paas 160.87 ko target karega.

Currency pair ne ek notable upward trend dekha hai, jo recent mein apne all-time high 161.97 ko pichlay Thursday par surpass kar gaya, aur market close par 160.77 ke aas paas settle ho gaya. Is impressive ascent ke bawajood, spot prices crucial 161.00 supply zone ke neeche hain, kyunke traders is haftay ke key US macroeconomic data releases aur central bank announcements ka intezar kar rahe hain.

USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:

Traders abhi tak Japanese central bank ke next move ke bare mein unsure hain, khaaskar monthly government bond purchases me potential reductions ke hawale se. Yeh uncertainty aur bhi barh gayi hai ek weaker economy ke wajah se, kyunke Cabinet Office ne pehle quarter mein 0.5% contraction aur 1.8% year-over-year decline report kiya. Yeh economic challenges aur stable equity markets Japanese Yen (JPY) ko weigh down kar rahe hain, jo USD/JPY pair ke liye supportive environment faraham karte hain.

Central bank policies ka asar nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Japanese central bank se koi bhi announcement bond purchases ya dusri monetary policies ke hawale se USD/JPY pair par significant impact daal sakti hai. Isi tarah, US economic data aur Federal Reserve ke decisions market expectations aur trader behavior ko shape karne mein critical role ada karenge.

Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Agar yeh point breach ho jata hai to substantial support mil sakta hai, jo pair ko upper boundary ke paas 162.00 tak push kar sakta hai. Pair ko 161.98 par further resistance ka samna hai, jo ke apni thirty years se zyada highest level ke liye notable hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se upar hai jo bullish momentum ko suggest karta hai, aur further gains ka potential dikhata hai.



Downside par, pair ka lower boundary ascending channel ke andar 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 160.79 par align karta hai. Agar price is level se neeche girta hai, to yeh USD/JPY pair par downward pressure ko increase kar sakta hai. Aisi breach pair ko throwback support area ke aas paas 152.80 ki taraf direct kar sakti hai, jo ek significant retracement ko indicate karta hai.

USD/JPY Analysis Updates

USDJPY currency pair ke future movement ke liye, meri analysis ke mutabiq, technically yeh abhi bhi 160.400 ki price tak girne ka rujhan rakhta hai. Yeh isliye kyunke H1 time frame me USDJPY currency pair ne bearish candle engulfing form ki hai jo SELL USDJPY ka bohot strong signal hai, 160.400 ki price tak. Iske ilawa, RSI 14 indicator par meri observations ke mutabiq, USDJPY price 160.75 par overbought ya oversold nahi dikhayi deti, isliye bohot mumkin hai ke kal Monday ko USDJPY apne bearish trend ko follow karega jo shayad 160.400 ki price tak pohonch sakta hai. USDJPY SELL signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods ka istemal bhi support karta hai kyunke jab USDJPY price 161.20 par aayi, to yeh pehle hi SBR area me thi yaani support become resistance, isliye bohot mumkin hai ke USDJPY ko kaafi deeply correct karke 160.400 ki price tak le jaye future me. Meri technical analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq, maine future me USDJPY ko SELL karne ka faisla kiya jab tak price 160.400 tak pohonch jaye.



Technical Reference:
Sell jab tak yeh 161.355 ke neeche rahe
Resistance 1: 161.190
Resistance 2: 161.355
Support 1: 160.385
Support 2: 160.200

USDJPY selling pressure me rahta hai jab tak US trading session raat tak (5/7/24) ka mouqa girne ka bhi dekha ja sakta hai kyunke price bullish channel area ko breakout kar chuki hai aur Moving Average jo ab running price ke upar hai woh bhi bearish potential ko barhata hai.

Ek ghante ke chart analysis ke mutabiq. 15 M chart par bhi yeh girne ka mouqa faraham karta hai kyunke USDJPY abhi bearish channel me phansa hua hai, Moving Average running price ke upar hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke ek ghante ke price movement ka average value abhi bhi girega. Agar scenario ke mutabiq dekha jaye, to USDJPY ko support level 160.200 ko test karne ka mouqa hai.

USD JPY Forum Analysis, Forecast ❗

Tuesday ko, USDJPY currency pair ne lagbhag 180 pips ki bohot gehri girawat dekhi. Us waqt candle RBS zone ko paar nahi kar saki. 154.72 ki price tak girne ke baad, achanak Wednesday ko USDJPY wapas barh gaya aur yeh barhavat bhi lagbhag 180 pips ki thi. Jab maine check kiya, to pata chala ke USDJPY ke barhne ki wajah yeh thi ke candle demand area mein phansi hui thi. Aaj USDJPY trading 156.07 ki price par open hui. Is martaba opening position kuch parallel hai kyunke USDJPY ke girne ke baad wapas barh gaya. Agar H1 timeframe se analysis kiya jaye, to candle abhi bhi supply area 156.38 par paar nahi kar saki. Filhal, USDJPY apni barhawat ko jari nahi rakh saka. Upar barhne ke liye zaroori hai ke candle supply area ko paar kar sake. Agar aisa nahi hota, to ho sakta hai ke movement dobara neeche chali jaye. Dheere dheere USDJPY ne girna shuru kar diya hai. In dono scenarios mein, meri prediction yeh hai ke USDJPY ke barhne ka mauqa ab bhi hai kyunke upar ek shoulder hai jo ab tak touch nahi hui, jo 157.28 ki price range mein hai. Tab USDJPY ne direction change karna shuru kiya.



Agar Ichimoku indicator se analysis kiya jaye, to candle position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai. Iska matlab hai ke USDJPY trend bullish hona shuru ho gaya hai. Barhne ka mauqa ab bhi kaafi bara lagta hai. Jab tak koi nayi intersections nahi aati, USDJPY movement zyadatar upar hi rahegi. Iske ilawa, candle ne kumo cloud ko bhi paar kar liya hai, jo kaafi strong pressure ko dikhata hai. Stochastic indicator se bhi yeh dikhata hai ke USDJPY condition almost over sold hai kyunke line ko apne lowest level 20 par touch karne ke liye thoda hi waqt baqi hai. Filhal direction neeche hai isliye upar jane ka signal abhi tak nahi aaya. Jab lowest level touch ho jaye, to mumkin hai ke USDJPY wapas barhne lage. Bas intezar karte hain ke yeh upar ki taraf chale. Aaj ki analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke USDJPY apne bullish trend ko jari rakhega, isliye mumkin hai ke USDJPY wapas barh jaye. Upar bhi ek shoulder hai jo ab tak touch nahi hui, jo 157.36 ke aas paas hai. Isliye, main apne doston ko jo is pair mein trade karte hain yeh recommend karta hoon ke sirf buy positions open karne par focus karein. Jaise aam tor par, target ko kareeb ke resistance par rakha ja sakta hai jo 157.34 ki price par hai aur stop loss ko kareeb ke support par rakha ja sakta hai jo 155.66 ki price par hai.

Japanese Yen (JPY) ne aaj subha Asian trading mein US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein kuch ground hasil kiya, apni recent positive momentum ko jari rakhte hue. USD/JPY pair mein yeh decline do aham factors ki wajah se hai. Pehla, US dollar khud doosri major currencies ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai. Yeh broad weakness USD/JPY pair par downward pressure daal rahi hai. Investors recent economic data ya geopolitical events ke roshni mein dollar ki strength ko dobara evaluate kar rahe hain. Dosra, market aaj US se anay wale key economic data se pehle cautious hai. Yeh data, jo shayad monthly employment report hai, USD ki value par bohot bara asar daal sakta hai. Investors wait-and-see approach apna rahe hain, jo data release ke anticipation mein USD/JPY pair ko kuch sell kar rahe hain.



Yeh dikhata hai ke support 159.296 par price decline ko roknay mein kamyab raha aur buyers ke market mein dobara enter hone ka turning point ban gaya. Is support ko touch karne ke baad hone wali price increase yeh indicate karti hai ke market sentiment ab bhi purchasing power se dominate hai. Filhal, price dobara resistance level 159.901 ke kareeb pohonch rahi hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke continuation ko determine karne ke liye ek aham key hai. Agar price 159.901 ki resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh signal dega ke purchasing power kaafi strong hai ke price ko aur upar push kar sake. Is resistance ke breakout se price ke mazeed barhne ke aur shayad agle resistance level tak pohonchnay ke opportunities khul sakti hain.

USD/JPY/M30/163.20

Meri technical view ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ki performance par overall trend ab bhi barh raha hai aur recent gains ne tamaam technical indicators ko severely overbought levels tak push kar diya hai. Yeh trend unchanged rehne ki umeed hai jab tak Japan foreign exchange market mein intervene nahi karta yen ko girne se rokne ke liye ya phir market aur investors Fed signals aur US employment data par react nahi karte. Filhal, pair ke next resistance levels 161.75, 162.50 aur 163.20 hain.

Jumay ko, U.S. dollar ne early trading mein Japanese yen ke muqable mein thodi kamzori dikhayi. Maashi data kuch garam raha jitni umeed thi, us se zyada. Iska nateeja yeh hai ke market ne pichle nuqsan ko reverse kar diya. 160 yen ka level ab bhi ek dilchasp milestone bana hua hai, jo market mein general uptrend ko indicate karta hai. US aur Japanese interest rates ke darmiyan farq is dynamic mein aham kirdar ada karta hai.

In tafseelat ko dekhte hue, mumkin hai ke yeh pair dobara upar jane ka irada kare. Magar yeh yad rakhna zaroori hai ke sardi ke trading mein aksar low margins hote hain, jo market performance ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. Agar pair 160 yen ke level se neeche break karta hai, to yeh bearish mood ko trigger kar sakta hai. Lekin broader view yeh suggest karta hai ke market participants aakhirkar consensus pe pohonch jayenge, shayad upward mobility ke haq mein.

Hum ek aise phase mein ho sakte hain jahan market recent gains ko confirm kar raha ho, lekin overall trend upward lagta hai. Traders ko daily interest rates ka dhyan rakhna chahiye jo positive bias ko support karte hain. Agar price 160 yen se neeche bhi girti hai, to 50-day EMA jo 157.75 ke qareeb hai, aur kai dusre key levels neeche, ek possible support zone provide karte hain.



Nateeja yeh hai ke main ab bhi ek buyer rahunga aur yeh expect karunga ke yeh pair upar jaye. Key underlying factors jaise ke interest rate differentials is view ko support karte hain. Short-term volatility ke bawajood, broader trend mazeed gains deliver karne ko tayar lagta hai, jo ke current level ko un logon ke liye ek dilchasp buying opportunity bana deta hai jo growth outlook ki talash mein hain.

USD/JPY currency pair, jo ke 169.79 par hai, abhi bearish trend dikha raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke US dollar ki qeemat Japanese yen ke muqablay mein kam ho rahi hai. Market ke hissadaron ko halat-e-hazira ke nichle raaste ka khayal rakhna chahiye, kyun ke yeh ishara deta hai ke yen dollar ke muqablay mein mazbooti hasil kar raha hai. Is tabdeeli ka sabab mukhtalif maqasid ho sakte hain jaise kefaat dar farq, siyasi tensions ya phir America ya Japan se macroeconomic indicators. Ek ahem maqasid jo is bearish trend par asar daal raha hai woh Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke monetary policies ke farq mein hai. Federal Reserve inflation ke mukablay mein interest rates ko barhane ka zyada sakht qadam utha rahi hai, jabke Bank of Japan ne apni monetary policy ko mustehkam karne ke liye be hadd sakht kiya hai. Is farq se aam tor par dollar mazboot hota hai aur yen kamzor hota hai; lekin mojooda bearish trend yeh bhi nazar ata hai ke market in policies ke lambay arsay ke asar ko dobara dekhne par tashwish mand hai.

America aur Japan ke economic data USD/JPY exchange rate mein ahem kirdar ada karte rahenge. Misal ke taur par, agar ane wale US economic data mein maandgi ka ishara ho toh yeh Fed ko apni aggressive rate hikes ko dobara sochnay par majboor kar sakta hai, jo ke dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Ulta agar Japan ke economic indicators mein mustehkam nashrati nataij aaye ya phir Bank of Japan apni monetary policy ko sakht karne ki ishara de to yen mazeed mazboot ho sakta hai.

Siyasi factors bhi ahem hain. Kisi bhi international trade policies, siyasi mustehkam, ya global economic halat ke maamlay mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ka asar USD/JPY pair par ho sakta hai. Maslan, bari duniyawi miyaar ke darmiyan barhne wali trade tensions ya anjaanay siyasi waqiyat currency markets mein barhne wale ghair mamooli harkat aur investor sentiment par asar andaz ho sakte hain.

Technical analysis bearish trend ke baray mein mazeed maloomat faraham karta hai. Chart patterns, moving averages aur dusre technical indicators traders ke liye zaroori asaas hote hain. Mojudah trend key support aur resistance levels ko dekhte hue tasdiq kiya ja sakta hai. Agar pair ahem support levels se neeche gir jaye toh iska matlab ho sakta hai ke mazeed downside potential hai. Ulta agar yeh levels se ooper uth jaye toh mumkin ho sakta hai ke ek mukammal rukh ki nishandahi ho.

Market sentiment, jaise ke futures contracts ya options ke zariye, bhi ahem clues faraham kar sakta hai. Risk se bachne ki soorat mein investor sentiment ki tabdeeli yen ke liye mazbooti ka sabab banti hai, kyun ke yeh ek safe-haven currency hai. Ulta, zyada risk appetite dollar ko

(USD/JPY) is waqt analysis likhne ke doran lagbhag 161.50 par hai.

Bank of Japan ki monetary conditions ko normal karne mein jaldbazi na dikhane se yen par asar para hai, halan ke yeh speculation barh rahi hai ke Bank of Japan apni agle policy meeting mein, jo ke July ke akhir mein hogi, interest rates barha sakti hai. Central bank ne yeh note kiya ke Japanese yen ki kamzori import costs ko barhati hai, jo inflationary pressures ko badhati hai aur household consumption ko nuqsan pohanchati hai. Dusri taraf, Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne Tuesday ko zor diya ke hukumat currency movements par nazar rakhti hai, aur yeh note kiya ke foreign exchange levels ek complex mix of factors ko reflect karte hain.

US Central Bank policy ke hawale se, bank ke aakhri meeting ke minutes ke mutabiq, US Federal Reserve ne June 2024 mein seventh straight meeting mein federal funds target range ko 5.25%-5.50% par stable rakha, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq tha. Policymakers ko nahi lagta ke interest rates ko cut karna munasib hoga jab tak unhein yeh yaqeen nahi ho jata ke inflation sustainable tareeke se 2% ki taraf ja rahi hai.

Is beech, dot plot ne yeh dikhaya ke policymakers sirf ek rate cut ko is saal aur chaar ko 2025 mein dekh rahe hain. March mein, Fed ne 2024 mein teen aur 2025 mein teen cuts dekhe the. GDP growth forecasts mein koi adjustment nahi hui, aur ab bhi yeh dekha ja raha hai ke economy 2024 mein 2.1%, 2025 aur 2026 mein 2% tak expand hogi. PCE inflation 2024 ke liye (2.6% vs. 2.4% March forecast) aur agle saal (2.3% vs. 2.2%) mein revise hui hai, magar 2026 ke liye 2% par rahi. Core PCE inflation bhi 2024 (2.8% vs. 2.6%) aur 2025 (2.3% vs. 2.2%) mein revise hui, magar 2026 ke liye 2% par barqarar rahi. Unemployment rate ko 2024 ke liye 4% tak pohanchne ki umeed hai, jo ke March mein forecast hui thi, magar yeh thodi barh kar 4.2% 2025 mein (vs. 4.1%) pohanchne ki umeed hai.



Aaj ke liye US dollar ke Japanese yen ke muqable mein expectations:
Jaise ke main pehle expect kar raha tha, US dollar ke Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ke muqable mein price ka general trend upward hi rahega, chahe dollar baqi major currencies ke muqable mein decline ho, jab tak Japanese forex markets mein intervention nahi hoti. Agar intervention hoti hai, to yeh short time mein currency pair ke direction ko bearish mein tabdeel karte hue strong selling operations ko le ayegi. Filhal, nearest resistance levels 161.75, 162.30, aur 163.00 hain. Yeh bhi yaad rakhein ke kal US jobs numbers ke announcement ka US dollar price ke performance par bohot bara asar hoga.

USD/JPY/M30/163.20

Aaj humare paas high-impact news hain jo various currencies ko affect karegi. Kuch low aur medium-impact news bhi hain. Iss ilaqay mein aur in currencies se related kisi bhi pair mein bohot zyada volatility hogi. Traders ko is baat ka khayal rakhna chahiye aur aaj trading karte waqt apne money management skills ka accha istemal karna chahiye. Trading mein ehtiyaat se kaam lena bohot zaroori hai, khaaskar forex market mein. Neeche diye gaye tasveer ko dekhein taake aaj ke available news ke baray mein zyada maloomat mil sakein.
Click image for larger version Name: image_5012213.jpg Views: 0 Size: 28.8 KB ID: 18446785
Yeh dikhata hai ke 159,296 par support ne price decline ko roka aur buyers ke liye market mein dobara enter karne ka turning point bana. Support ko touch karne ke baad jo price increase hui usse yeh maloom hota hai ke market sentiment ab bhi purchasing power se dominated hai. Filhal, price dobara resistance level 159,901 ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke continuation ka aham key hai. Agar price 159,901 ke resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh signal milega ke purchasing power itni strong hai ke price ko aur zyada push kar sake. Is resistance ke breakout se price ko aur upar jane ka mauqa mil sakta hai aur yeh agle resistance level tak pohanch sakta hai.



USD/JPY/M30/163.20

Meri technical view USD/JPY ke performance par nahi badli hai kyunki overall trend ab bhi upward hai aur recent gains itne hue hain ke sab technical indicators severely overbought levels par hain. Yeh trend tab tak unchanged rehne ke imkanaat hain jab tak Japan foreign exchange market mein intervene nahi karta taake yen ke girawat ko roka ja sake ya jab tak market aur investors Fed signals aur US employment data par react nahi karte. Filhal, pair ke liye next resistance levels 161.75, 162.50 aur 163.20 hain.

USD/JPY Trading ka Jaiza aur Tips

U.S. session mein kisi bhi mentioned levels ka price test nahi hua, isliye koi accha entry point nahi mila. U.S. holiday ki wajah se volatility kam thi. In halat ke bawajood, sellers ne aaj ki Asian session mein actively trade karne ka irada rakha, jo weekly lows ke test tak le gaya. Household spending data ke weak numbers, jo sharply decrease hue, ne bhi pair ki correction ko nahi roka. Economic indicators ke figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq the, lekin traders ne is report ko nazarandaz kar diya. Yeh wazeh hai ke pair ka agla direction poori tarah se U.S. labor market data par depend karega, aur tab tak, daily low ke niche breakout aur consolidation ka imkaan kam hai. Is wajah se, main reversal entry points dhundhne ki koshish karunga, ek choti bullish correction ki umeed mein. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par rely karunga.

Buy Signals

Scenario No. 1: Aaj main USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon jab price green line par 160.89 ke entry point par pohanchegi, growth ke liye 161.46 tak jo chart par thicker green line se indicate hai. 161.46 ke qareeb, main long positions exit karunga aur short ones opposite direction mein open karunga, 30-35 pips ke movement ki umeed rakhte hue. Pehle ke aap buy karein, yeh dekhein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar hai aur wahan se rise ho raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Main USD/JPY kharidne ka plan us waqt bhi bana raha hoon agar 160.52 ka do bar test hota hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur reverse market upturn ko lead karega. Aap growth ki umeed rakh sakte hain opposite levels 160.89 aur 161.46 tak.

Sell Signals

Scenario No. 1: Aaj main USD/JPY bechne ka plan sirf us waqt bana raha hoon jab red line par chart mein 160.52 ka test hota hai, jo price ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target 159.95 hoga, jahaan main short positions exit karunga aur immediately long ones opposite direction mein open karunga, 20-25 pips ke movement ki umeed rakhte hue. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt bearish correction ke dauran wapas aa sakta hai. Pehle ke aap sell karein, yeh dekhein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche hai aur wahan se decline ho raha hai.



Scenario No. 2: Main USD/JPY bechne ka plan us waqt bhi bana raha hoon agar 160.89 ka do bar price test hota hai jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur reverse market downturn ko lead karega. Aap decline ki umeed rakh sakte hain opposite levels 160.52 aur 159.95 tak.

USD/JPY Market Analysis

Subah Bakhair dosto!
Hum dekh sakte hain ke US dollar kamzor hai aur USD/JPY ke sellers apni qeemat barha rahe hain. Kal unhone 161.13 zone tak pohanch li thi. Is tarah ke volatile market mein trading karne ki ahmiyat ko ziada nahi kiya ja sakta hai. USD/JPY ke resistance levels ko paar karne aur bulandi dar maqsadat dikhaane ki mumkinat ke sath, traders ko apne faislon mein ahtiyat baratni chahiye. Is mein haqeeqi trends aur signals ko pehchaanne ke sath-sath aam ghalatiyon se bachna bhi shamil hai jo nakis natijay paida kar sakti hain. Efektif risk management strategies zaroori hain taake haalat-e-baazaar ke pur asraar manazir mein safar karna asaan ho. Main umeed karta hoon ke USD/JPY ka market aane waqt mein 160.80 zone ko cross karega. Is ke ilawa, traders ko apne tajziati hunar ko behtar banane par tawajjo deni chahiye taake bazaar ke signals aur trends ko behtar samajh saken. Is mein technical analysis tools ka istemal karna aur buniyadi factors par mustamil rahein jo bazaar ke harek tezi ya mandi ko asar andaaz karte hain. In do tarikon ko jama kar ke traders bazaar ke bare mein mukammal samajh bana sakte hain aur zyada maqsood faislon ko kar sakte hain. Yaad rakhein ke D1 chart ke rol mein jo bechne ke hints dete hain wo khaas tor par ahmiyat rakhte hain. Ye chart bazaar ke rukh ko samajhne mein madad deta hai aur traders ko munasib entry aur exit points pehchaanne mein madad deta hai. D1 chart ko nazdeek se nazar andaz kar ke, traders ko bazaar ke maujooda trends par wazeh nazariya milta hai aur unki strategies ko mutabiq tarmeem karne mein madad milti hai. By the way, USD/JPY market traders ke liye ek mushkil aur mojooda mahaul hai. Bechnay ke dabao mein istiqamat ke sath-sath JPY news events ke asar ke sath challenges aur opportunities paida hote hain. Main umeed karta hoon ke USD/JPY ka market aaj bhi sellers ke liye favor mein rahega.

USD-JPY Pair Analysis

USDJPY ke market ki halat mein sellers ke resistance ka aaghaz ho raha hai jo USDJPY ki keemat ko neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Mujhe samajh mein aata hai ke USDJPY ke market ke abhi ke trend situation, lambi aur chhoti muddaton ke liye dono mein ek bullish trend hai, is liye meri tashkeel hai ke sellers ki resistance jo USDJPY ki keemat ko neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain, is mein lambi muddat tak qaim nahi rahegi.

Ab tak yeh nazar aa raha hai ke sellers ne MA 100 indicator ko guzarne mein kamyabi haasil ki hai lekin is ke aage MA 100 indicator ke neeche is ko barqarar rakhne mein kamiyab nahi rahe hain, USDJPY ki movement abhi bhi MA 100 indicator ke aas paas hai, meri tashkeel hai ke buyers phir se USDJPY ki keemat ko ooper le jane mein kamiyab ho jayenge taa ke USDJPY ke market mein bullish trend situation barqarar rahe. Buyers ko sellers se zyada moqa hai kyunki USDJPY ke market ki lambi muddat ki situation bullish trend hai.




Meri trading recommendation USDJPY market mein yeh hai ke USDJPY ke market mein entry buy signals dhoondne ke liye tawajo den, jahan par buyers ke wapis aane aur USDJPY ki keemat ko zor se ooper le jane ke signs nazar aayen, kyunki meri tashkeel hai ke USDJPY ke market mein bullish trend situation barqarar rahegi aur jo maine kai situations mein dekha hai jab sellers zor se aate hain, unhe jald hi buyers ki resistance milti hai, matlab ke buyers abhi bhi bullish trend situation ko barqarar rakhne ki taqat rakhte hain, is liye meri tashkeel hai ke buyers USDJPY ke market ko lambi muddat tak control karte rahenge.

USD/JPY market pair, jo agle hafte ke liye ek trading option banane ka plan hai. 4-hour time frame par graph ke observations ke mutabiq, market ne Monday ko 159.77 se start kiya aur 161.28 tak upar gaya. Wednesday tak, upward trend ne halki si continuation dikhai, jo ke bullish movement ke continuation ko indicate karta hai. Pehle hafte se market conditions ko dekhte hue, yeh ab bhi bullish trend ki taraf ja raha hai. Jo daily chart par nazar aa raha hai: MA100 north ko pull kar raha hai twenty degrees ke trend angle par. Indicator par yeh reading ke mutabiq mood zyada bullish hai. MA18 north ko fly kar raha hai forty degrees ke trend angle par. Yeh bohot serious angle of climb hai, jo dikhata hai ke pair par mood din bhar bullish hi rehta hai. Saare candles ek expressed bullish space mein form ho rahe hain. Saare moving averages, including the guide, local Nichimoku cloud ke upar ja rahe hain. Cloud ke bare mein kuch kehna chahunga. March se yeh bulls ke side move ho gayi hai, aur ab bhi unki madad kar rahi hai. Kisi waqt par, bears ke haq mein move karne ki koshish dekhi gayi thi Last week ki trading session ne ek bullish rally dikhai ek wider range ke sath, jo ke Saturday raat ko correction tak halki price increases tak le gayi. In observations se lagta hai ke buyers market ko control kar rahe hain. Jab journal update hua, price temporarily 160.87 par ruk gayi thi. Iss mahine, buyers ke strong influence ne prices ko bullish trend ki taraf drive kiya, pichle mahine ke lowest zone se door le jate hue. Agle hafte ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY pair apna bullish trend continue karega, mumkin hai ke ek higher zone tak upar move kare

Iss hafte ka trend pattern ek uptrend indicate karta hai narrow range ke sath. Relatively modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, mumkin hai ke increase agle hafte bhi continue kare, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karengi. Subah ke candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo suggest karta hai ke market trend rise kar sakta hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko surpass kar sakte hain, to bullish trend agle hafte bhi market ko dominate kar sakta hai

USDJPY Market Analysis

Thursday (July 4) ko, jo ke ek US holiday tha, USD/JPY aam tor par ek 40 saal ke qareeb ooper raha, aur band hone par 161.25 par thora kam hua. Jabke yen kamzor hota gaya aur record kamzori tak pohanch gaya, investors amuman yeh umid rakhte thay ke Japanese government April aur May ke baad dobara foreign exchange market mein dakhalat karega.

Magar analysts ne is bat par ishara kiya ke Japan ke monetary normalization ke tez nahi hone aur Japan aur America ke darmiyan wazeh interest rate ke farq ki wajah se, market aksar Japanese authorities ke dakhalat se daar nahi hai aur isay dollar ko kam keemat par khareedne ka behtar moqa samajhta hai. Yen ki musalsal ki kamzori import costs mein achanak izafa karay gi, khapat par dabao dalay gi, aur is tarah arzi roop se iqtisadi taraqqi ko rokay gi. Mukhtalif challenges ne Japanese economy ko mushkil mein daal diya hai. Maujooda interest rate ko barqarar rakhna yen ki kamzori ka masla hal nahi kar sakta, magar interest rate ko barhane se Japanese government ko ada karni wali qarz mein izafah karay ga, jabke iqtisadiyat ko daba dega. Is pehlu se market ye umid rakhti hai ke Bank of Japan interest rate normalization ke raste par ehtiyati qadmon par rahegi.




Magar Fed ke interest rate cut raste par abhi bhi shak hai. Jo der tak yeh bara interest rate farq barqarar rahega, yen par aur zor zaroor ayega. Short term mein, kl Jumeraat ko US non-farm data ke natayej ne yen ko saans lene ka moqa de sakta hai. Agar data umid se kafi kam nikle, to USD/JPY mojooda buland darje par munafa ikhtiyar kar sakta hai aur sanjeedha ho sakta hai aur gir sakta hai. Daily chart se, mukhtalif technical indicators overbought shara'it dikhate hain, aur USD/JPY ke short-term adjustment aur girne ke khatre se bachna zaroori hai.