usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY Price Move Analysis

Hamara aaj ka guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ki live examination par markaz hai. USD/JPY pair ne 160.09 ki round resistance level ko break karne ke baad apna mazboot growth jaari rakha hai. Yeh pehle hi 149 points se zyada upar chala gaya hai, aur bulls aur bhi aage push karne ka iraada rakhte hain. Historical levels yahan irrelevant hain kyunke aise heights pehle nahi dekhe gaye. Mera dhyaan agle round level 165.14 par hai. Central Bank of Japan shayad in levels par buyers anticipate kar raha ho. Crucial U.S. statistics aaj raat ko release hongi, aur Powell bhi bolenge, jo ke dollar aur pair ki dynamics ko impact kar sakte hain. Ek significant market weakening of the dollar zaroori hai taake current trend mein ek substantial correction ya reversal justify ho sake. Warna, fundamental factors further growth ko hinder nahi karte.


Kuch arsa ho gaya jab se maine isko analyse kiya tha; channels mukhtalif scenarios depict karte hain jo different targets tak le jaate hain. Aise cases mein, main wave goals par rely karta hoon. Jab tak H4 target 161.41 hai, growth 163.17 tak feasible hai, lekin further gains unlikely lagte hain. Europe abhi bhi Tuesday ke resistance options par hai 161.52 par, jahan uptrend support H1 aur 14.6% level of 161.52 converge karte hain, jo is retest level se continued growth suggest karte hain. 14.6% level of 161.52 ke neeche consolidation testing 23.6% level at 161.39 tak aur even 38.2% level at 161.17 tak le ja sakta hai. Agar latter breach hota hai, to bearish correction likely continue kar sakti hai Fibonacci zone of 50% at 160.9 to 61.7% at 161.82 tak. Yeh growth ko sustain bhi kar sakti hain. Main American session aur U.S. labour market news ko paanch baje shaam ko dekh raha hoon, jo ke shayad further market intentions reveal karenge.

USDJPY currency pair ka aaj kal ka movement bohat zyada bara hai, aur yeh guzishta Jumeerate ke shaam se 161.16 ki price tak pohanch gaya hai. USDJPY currency pair ke barhne ki wajah Tokyo mein June mein inflation rate ka 0.9% tak barhna hai, jabke pichle mahine Tokyo inflation rate sirf 0.7% tha. Is se yen ki exchange rate dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hui. Yeh izafa Jumeerate ki shaam tak barqarar raha. Asian market mein, USDJPY ka movement neeche gira kyunke yen exchange rate thodi si mazboot hui thi jabse Tokyo Core CPI data release hua, jo 0.1% se barh gaya, aur US dollar exchange rate kamzor hui jabse unemployment rate data release hua. America mein berozgaari ka rate abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai, jo 233 hazaar berozgar tak pohanch gaya, aur pending home sales mein bhi -2.1% tak ki girawat aayi, jiski wajah se USDJPY movement subah tak 160.80 tak gir gayi. Aaj ki meri fundamental analysis ke mutabiq, USDJPY movements ko dekhte hue, maine USDJPY ko 160.50 ki price tak sell karne ka faisla kiya

Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj USDJPY currency pair ka movement abhi bhi girne ke asar mein lagta hai, jo 160.50 ki price tak ja sakta hai. Yeh isliye kyunke H1 time frame mein, USDJPY currency pair ne bearish engulfing candle form ki hai, jo bohat strong signal hai USDJPY ko 160.50 ki price tak sell karne ka. Iske ilawa, RSI 14 indicator ko dekhte hue, USDJPY price 161.15 pe already overbought hai, to yeh bohat mumkin hai ke aaj dopehar mein USDJPY ka movement kaafi gehri downward correction experience karega, jo 10 se 50 pips tak ho sakti hai. USDJPY SELL signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods se bhi support mil raha hai kyunke jab USDJPY price 161.06s tak pohnchi, yeh already SBR area mein thi, to yeh bohat mumkin hai ke aaj USDJPY apni decline ko continue kare aur 160.50s ki price tak jaaye. Aaj ki meri technical analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq, maine USDJPY ko 160.50 ki price tak sell karne ka faisla kiya

downtrend ka aghaz kar sakta hai, jo 161.24 ke peak se door hote hue move karega. Technically, USD/JPY pair 14-period moving average aur bands ke upper boundary ke upar trade kar raha hai. 2 EMA Color Alerts trend indicator bhi further growth ko support kar raha hai. Agar Bank of Japan foreign exchange demand mein interfere karta hai yen ki value ko raise karne ke liye, to USD/JPY currency pair significant drop experience kar sakta hai, possibly 157.69 ke support level tak pohonch sakta hai. Yeh level mid-June mein dekhi gayi consolidation range ke saath coincide karta hai, lekin aur zyada drop hona unlikely hai. USD/JPY pair broader time frames mein unstoppable growth dikhata hai, aur kisi trend reversal ka koi sign nahi hai. Price sirf minor pullbacks dikhata hai, jaise ke recent one on the H4 chart, jo optimal prices par long positions ke opportunities provide kar raha




hai. Bulls ki strength significantly bears se zyada hai, jo 160.192 level ko test karne mein do attempts ke bawajood fail ho gaye. Pehle bhi kaha gaya tha, mujhe halt ya reversal ke koi signs nahi nazar aa rahe. Current market conditions ke mutabiq, agar USD/JPY currency pair decline karta hai, to shorter time frames mein buy patterns implement karne ke opportunities dekhna prudent hoga. Ek khaas chart jo in patterns ko monitor karne ke liye suitable hai, wo M1 chart hai. Additionally, H4 chart par bullish direction mein upward trend dikhai de raha hai, jo solid buying opportunity indicate karta hai.

To summary mein, USD/JPY currency pair mein major downturn ka chance kam hai, lekin agar Bank of Japan interfere karta hai, to significant drop ho sakta hai. Broader time frames mein growth strong hai, aur minor pullbacks long positions ke liye opportunities de rahe hain. Shorter time frames mein buy patterns dekhte rahein, aur H4 chart par upward trend ke saath solid buying opportunities ko monitor karte rahein.

Sab kuchh kamzor lag raha hai kamzor news headlines ki wajah se. Lagta hai ek potential mauka aa raha hai; afsos ke saath, main theek se predict nahi kar sakta ke yeh move kab hoga, kyun ke humein pehle 157.40 ko touch karna hoga. Agar successful nahi hota, toh bulls ke liye 156.94 se upar jaana mushkil hoga, aur southerners 155.99 tak support ke liye downward wave create karenge. Iss range mein, bears ki taqat downward movement ko reinforce karegi aur southern structure ko extend karne ke liye ek aur wave banayegi. Ab lagta hai ke yeh movement north ki taraf ja raha hai kyun ke hum bullish potential mein wapas aa gaye hain USD/JPY ki girawat ke baad, jaisa hona chahiye. Lagta hai ke kam az kam do options available hain. Main ek deep correction expect kar raha tha, lekin aaj market shayad predictable hogi, aur bina kisi khaas surprise ke yeh pair 160 area ki taraf apni growth continue karegi, halaan ke main market mein enter nahi kar saka kyun ke mera focus kisi aur instrument par tha. Lekin, aap bhi current levels par market mein enter kar sakte hain. Jaise jaise hum aage barhenge, humara aim 157.77 ko reach karna hoga aur phir shayad 159.30 tak bhi ja sakte hain. 158.17 ko pair ke journey mein achieve karna pehli kamiyabi hogi, jo expected se pehle bhi ho sakti hai. Prices phir se barh sakti hain kyun ke buyers confident hain. Isliye, hum resources ko objective levels ki taraf buy karna chahte hain taake iss momentum ka faida utha sakein. 157.77 ki dip ke baad, ek upward movement mumkin hai, exchange rate increment par focus karte hue agar bullish trend continue hoti hai. USD/JPY price movements ki direction predict karna mushkil hai kyun ke market levels unpredictable hain. Challenges ke bawajood, USD/JPY movements par focus rahega. Pichle kuchh hafton mein, yeh trend barh raha hai, khaas tor par European session aur lunchtime news ke baad. European session ke end se pehle, yeh pair 154.85 ki resistance ko test kar sakti hai aur 157.77 tak bhi pohanch sakti hai

### USD/JPY M30 Chart

Hamari conversation ka mawzoo USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing movement ki assessment ke baray mein hai. Price ne 158.987 ke support level aur 159.734 ke resistance ko test kiya. Din ke aakhir tak price in levels ke beech raha. Jab, maine aglay din ke liye range trading ko prioritize kiya. Meri prediction theek thi kyunke price ne Tuesday range ke andar hi trade kiya, resistance aur support ko avoid karte hue. Upper limit ke kareeb hone ki wajah se, mai 158.987 ke support tak reduction ko prioritize karunga. M30 time frame pe noticeable accumulation hai, aur cluster bullish direction mein hai. MACD potential dikhata hai aur abhi tak strong brake nahi laga. Iss currency pair ki direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunke expected movement se align nahi hui. Priority current vector ko deni

**Approach to Strategy**
In developments ko dekhte hue, buying on the dip ek smart move lagta hai. U.S. dollar ki strength Japanese yen ke against ek isolated phenomenon nahi hai, balke ek broader phenomenon ka hissa hai jisme yen colorful major currencies ke against ground lose kar raha hai. Advanced interest rates in the U.S. iss trend ko support karti hain, aur yeh jaldi change hone ke chances kam hain.

**Conclusion**
USD/JPY ke 160 ke level ke upar ka momentum strong lagta hai, supported by historical levels aur market momentum. Dealers ko withdrawal ke baad buying opportunities dekhni chahiye, stronger support aur different interest rates ko madde nazar rakhte hue. Yeh situation suggest karti hai ke yen dollar aur doosri major currencies ke against weak rahega.

**Stochastic Indicator Analysis**
USD/JPY ke fall hone ke high likelihood hai kyunke stochastic indicator overbought dikhata hai. Yeh likely hai ke USD/JPY jald hi decline karega. Mazid, candle ne resistance ko break kiya bina kisi correction ke, is liye traders ko short positions open karne pe focus karna chahiye. Target nearest support level pe set karna chahiye, jo ke 159.27 hai.

USD/JPY rebound kar sakta hai agar price daily high ke paas consolidate karne mein fail hoti hai. Sell karne se pehle, ensure karen ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur decline karna shuru ho.

samajhne mein madadgar hote hain. 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) apni upri raftar ki wajah se bullish trend ko dikhata hai. Keemat ka upper band Bollinger Bands ke nazdeek hone ka matlab hai ke kuch pullback ka imkan hai ya bullish trend ka jaari rehna. Demand Index aur Stochastic Oscillator market conditions ko mazeed analyze karte hain. Kharidar aur bechne walon ke darmiyan kuch fark hai kyun ke kharidari aur farokht ke dabao mein balance hai. Stochastic Oscillator, jo closing price ko mukarar price range ke khilaaf napta hai, overbought ya oversold intehaai nahi dikhata, jo keemat ko kisi bhi raaste mein move kar sakta hai aur ek bullish trend ko tasdeeq karta hai. Mazeed, Average True Range (ATR) bhi ahem hai jo market ki volatility napta hai. Traders ATR ke zahir hone wali darmiyan volatility ko mad e nazar rakhte hue munasib stop-loss aur take-profit levels set kar sakte hain, Main abhi USD/JPY currency pair ke powerful valuing conduct ka evaluation kar raha hoon. USDJPY H4 chart par apni upar ki taraf movement ko continue karne ke liye tayaar hai. Price abhi bhi Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke upper limit ke upar hai, jo persistent bullish sentiment ko indicate kar raha hai jo bears ko shaheed nahi kar sakte. Nayi trading week mein dollar ke mazid mazboot hone ke sath yeh 161 ya us se upar move karne ka imkaan hai. Yeh strong upward trend abhi bhi solid hai, supported by Japan ke weakening yen aur negative news.
Recently, CCI indicator H4 par volatility show kar raha tha lekin Friday ke end par ek upward turn dikhaya, jo meri outlook ko support karta hai ke is currency pair ko buy karna chahiye, jo ke zyada time tak grow kar sakti hai, shayad ek saal tak bhi. Agar support level 155.76 par break ho jata hai aur consolidation niche hoti hai, to yeh development outlook ko negate kar dega, aur phir 154.57 ya 153.62 tak sell off ho sakta hai. Weekly chart ke hawale se, maine consistently ek bullish trading plan form kiya hai
USDJPY currency pair H1 timeframe par ab kaafi mazboot bullish signs dikhata hai. Is bullish tendency ka ek main indication yeh hai ke price 159.901 resistance level par atkaa hua hai. Pehle, price ne 159.296 support level tak ek correction ka saamna kiya tha, jo EMA 50 ke aas paas hai. Yeh correction temporary selling pressure ko indicate karta hai jo price ko support area tak neeche kheench gaya tha. 159,296 support level tak pohanchne ke baad, price ne phir se bullish strength dikhayi aur barhti huyi. Yeh darshata hai ke 159,296 support ne price girne ko rokne mein kamiyabi haasil ki hai aur buyers ke liye phir se market mein daakhil hone ka modd hai. Is support ko chhootne ke baad huyi price increase

USD/JPY/D1

USD/JPY pair filhaal ek complex interplay ke through navigate kar raha hai, jo ke bullish aur descending channels ko reflect karta hai, mixed market sentiments ko dikhate hue. Is duality ke bawajood, recent technical indicators suggest karte hain ke short-term uptrend possible hai.

USD/JPY ek bullish channel aur descending channel ka hissa hai. Bullish channel yeh indicate karta hai ke pair medium to long term mein upward trajectory par hai, jabke descending channel intermittent bearish pressures ko highlight karta hai. Yeh dual-channel dynamic yeh suggest karta hai ke jabke overall trend upward hai, market mein downward corrections ke phases bhi hain.
Daily timeframe pe yeh clear hai ke USD/JPY ka rise continue ho raha hai, aur market iss trend ke mutabiq develop karta rahega jab hum ek new range mein price increase ke liye jaenge. Isliye, mai suggest karunga ke support se buying karein, jab bhi southerners appear hon, jab tak market 159.61 ke north mein hai. Isliye, hum yeh keh sakte hain ke apne growth mein, USD/JPY quotes ne pichle week ke dauran phir se current global maximum ko update kiya hai, aur ab yeh 161.25 pe listed hai. Mazid, price tayar hai aur continue karegi grow karna, kyunki Bank of Japan aur US Federal Reserve System ke beech interest rates ka main contradiction abhi tak eliminate nahi hua hai.

Isliye, daily chart pe maine vector of movement to the north indicate kiya hai, jo ke main aur most probable price movement ko denote karta hai, aur pink mein expectations hain ke Bank of Japan Monday ko currency intervention kar sakta hai, jiska Friday ko Japanese government ne heavily discuss kiya tha. Is case mein, agar yeh carried out hoti hai, to hum expect kar sakte hain ke is currency pair ki price decrease ho ke Murray 3/8 regression channel ke bottom area 154.69 tak ja sakti hai.

U.S. dollar thoda retreat hua Japanese yen ke muqable mein magar uske baad psychologically important 160 yen se upar chala gaya. Yeh outstanding category historical importance aur market recall ke sabab kafi tawajju attract karti hai. Agar yeh is zone se door hota hai to ek major support 158 yen ke qareeb hai, aur ho sakta hai ke 155 yen tak decline ho. Market trends aur interest rate differentials. Overall, market data suggest karti hai ke yen ke muqable mein dollar ke liye continued upward trend hai, magar short term mein thodi spread ke saath. Kisi bhi return ko buying opportunity samjha jaye, khaaskar US aur Japan ke wide interest rate differential ko dekhte hue. Japan ki monetary policy bohot zyada accommodative hai, iske fiscal position se constrained hai, jab ke Federal Reserve relatively high interest rates maintain karti hai.
In developments ko dekhte hue, buying on the dip smart move lagti hai. U.S. dollar ki yen ke muqable mein strength isolated phenomenon nahi hai balki ek broader phenomenon ka hissa hai jisme yen mukhtalif major currencies ke muqable mein ground lose kar raha hai. Higher interest rates in the US. qareebi waqt mein badalne ke imkaan kam hai jo is trend ko confirm karta hai. In conclusion, US ke 160 yen level ke beyond strong momentum ka indication milta hai jo historical levels aur market momentum se supported hai. Traders ko buying opportunities dekhni chahiye pullback ke baad, mazboot support aur different interest rates ko madde nazar rakhte hue jo U.S. dollar aur Japan ke darmiyan hain. Yeh surat-e-haal yen ko dollar aur doosri major currencies ke muqable mein kamzor rakhti hai.
Main trading setup ke formation ka intezar karunga jo aage ka trading direction tay karega. Yeh baat zaroori hai ke price ko mazeed north ki janib push kiya ja sakta hai towards more distant northern targets, magar yeh depend karega situation par aur price ke reaction par indicated distant northern targets ke sath saath news flow ke dauran. Ek alternative scenario price movement ke liye jab resistance level 164.500 ko approach karega yeh hoga ke reversal candles ka formation aur corrective southern movement ka resumption. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, main price ke support level 160.209 ya support level 157.671 par wapas aane ka intezar karunga. Iss support level ke qareeb, main bullish signals ki talash karta rahunga, expecting ke upward price movement ka resumption hoga. Mukhtasir taur par, agle haftay main locally anticipate karta hoon ke position accumulation impulsive northern price breakout ke sath khatam hogi, jiske baad nearest resistance level ka testing hoga, aur phir main market situation ke mutabiq action lunga

USDJPY
02.05.2024

USDJPY currency pair market opening ke baad continue rise kar rahi hai.

Yeh pair trends ko follow karne ka rujhan rakhti hai, jo long-term perspective se indicated hai. Lekin, yeh bhi excess passengers ko shake off karne ka rujhan rakhti hai, jaise pichle hafte dekha gaya. Hamne ek technical growth dekhi, supports ko account mein le kar, aur ek buy signal hourly timeframe par form hua. Grey bar signal level aur potential ko mark karta hai. Brief consolidation ke baad buy signal level par, prices sharply drop hui aur buyers' risk zone ke neeche gayi. Phir wapas jaldi se upar aayi. Iske ilawa, trendline ne ek acha bounce point ke taur par act kiya, lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh zyada side effect tha, kyunki ranging market mein koi trendline se buy karne ka waqt nahi milta jab tak buy limit orders place na karein, jo bohot kam traders karte hain. Abhi, hamare paas ek aur buy signal hourly timeframe par hai, pehle se zyada potential ke sath. Iske alawa, resistance fractals mein break hai, jo uptrend ke resumption ko indicate karta hai.

Dusre chart par, daily timeframe par switch karte hain. Yahan, humein yaad dilana chahiye ke humare paas pehle price targets range ki form mein the. Lower target range 16 April ko set hua tha, lekin upper target bhi reach kiya ja sakta hai. Dusre chart par, maine Fibonacci grid apply kiya hai pehli wave par jo prolonged southern correction ke baad aayi. Hamara nearest target level 261.8% par hai, jo ke 155.305 hai. Hourly buy signals ke potentials ko moving averages par compare karte huye, yeh Fibonacci level ke sath align karte hain. Phir bhi, market structure for growth broken ho gayi hai, especially jab hourly timeframe ko refer karte hain. Iska matlab hai ke extreme market targets ko reach karna bohot challenging aur tense ho sakta hai. Jab hum targets ke qareeb pahunchte hain, zyada participants, especially large trend followers, apne positions close karna shuru kar dete hain, jisse candles upward structure ko break karti hain.

Attached Files

USD/JPY pair mein ek correction chal rahi hai. Yeh pair shayad kuch gains ko consolidate aur retrace kare ga ek significant upward trend ke baad. 'Support levels' wo price levels hain jahan ek currency pair historically neechay girne mein mushkilat ka shikar hota hai. Is healthy correction ke natije mein naye support levels ban sakte hain, jo market ko overheating se bachate hain
Charts par notice kiye gaye zigzag patterns minor fluctuations ko filter karte hain, jo trends ko samajhne mein madadgar hote hain. 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) apni upri raftar ki wajah se bullish trend ko dikhata hai. Keemat ka upper band Bollinger Bands ke nazdeek hone ka matlab hai ke kuch pullback ka imkan hai ya bullish trend ka jaari rehna. Demand Index aur Stochastic Oscillator market conditions ko mazeed analyze karte hain. Kharidar aur bechne walon ke darmiyan kuch fark hai kyun ke kharidari aur farokht ke dabao mein balance hai. Stochastic Oscillator, jo closing price ko mukarar price range ke khilaaf napta hai, overbought ya oversold intehaai nahi dikhata, jo keemat ko kisi bhi raaste mein move kar sakta hai aur ek bullish trend ko tasdeeq karta hai. Mazeed, Average True Range (ATR) bhi ahem hai jo market ki volatility napta hai. Traders ATR ke zahir hone wali darmiyan volatility ko mad e nazar rakhte hue munasib stop-loss aur take-profit levels set kar sakte hain,
Main abhi USD/JPY currency pair ke powerful valuing conduct ka evaluation kar raha hoon. USDJPY H4 chart par apni upar ki taraf movement ko continue karne ke liye tayaar hai. Price abhi bhi Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke upper limit ke upar hai, jo persistent bullish sentiment ko indicate kar raha hai jo bears ko shaheed nahi kar sakte. Nayi trading week mein dollar ke mazid mazboot hone ke sath yeh 161 ya us se upar move karne ka imkaan hai. Yeh strong upward trend abhi bhi solid hai, supported by Japan ke weakening yen aur negative news.
Recently, CCI indicator H4 par volatility show kar raha tha lekin Friday ke end par ek upward turn dikhaya, jo meri outlook ko support karta hai ke is currency pair ko buy karna chahiye, jo ke zyada time tak grow kar sakti hai, shayad ek saal tak bhi. Agar support level 155.76 par break ho jata hai aur consolidation niche hoti hai, to yeh development outlook ko negate kar dega, aur phir 154.57 ya 153.62 tak sell off ho sakta hai. Weekly chart ke hawale se, maine consistently ek bullish trading plan form kiya hai
Humein Bank of Japan ke actions par vigilant rehna hoga.
Agar trend abhi bhi bullish side par jaari hai, to price dheere dheere target increase ki taraf move karegi, jo ke profit banane ka ek mauqa faraham karegi. Bas meri yeh guzarish hai ke zyada pur-umeed na ho, abhi bhi doosri imkanaanat hain, neeche jaane ka bhi imkaan hai, us se bhi hoshiyaar rahen
Jabki USD/JPY ab bearish trend aur slow market movements ka samna kar raha hai, kayi factors nazr aa rahe hain jo significant changes ki sambhavna bata rahe hain. Economic conditions, central bank policies, geo-political events, market sentiment, aur technical analysis sabhi indicate karte hain ke aane wale dino mein volatility hosakti hai. Yeh depend karega ke in factors ka kaise unfold hota hai. Isliye zaroori hai ke traders aur investors mutasir rahen aur USD/JPY currency pair par asar dalne wale naye developments par amal karne ke liye tayar rahen. A well-informed aur strategic approach is currency pair ke potential shifts ko navigate karne ke liye essential hoga, jo market participants ko emerging opportunities par capitalize karne mein madad dega.

### Market Analysis: USD/JPY

Overall, market data yeh suggest karta hai ke yen ke against dollar ki upward trend barqarar hai, halan ke short term mein thoda spread nazar aa sakta hai. Koi bhi return buying opportunity ke tor pe dekha jana chahiye, khas tor par US aur Japan ke interest rate differential ko dekhte hue. Japan ki monetary policy bohat zyada accommodative hai, jo fiscal position ki wajah se constrained hai, jabke Federal Reserve comparatively high interest rates maintain kar raha hai.

### Strategy Approach

In developments ko dekhte hue, buying on the dip smart move lagta hai. U.S. dollar ki strength yen ke against ek isolated phenomenon nahi hai, balke broader trend ka hissa hai jahan yen mukhtalif major currencies ke against ground lose kar raha hai. US mein higher interest rates ka change hone ke chances kam hain, jo is trend ko confirm karta hai. Conclusion yeh hai ke US ke 160 yen level se beyond rest strong momentum ko indicate karta hai jo historical levels aur market momentum se supported hai. Traders ko pullback ke baad buying opportunities dekhni chahiye, stronger support aur different interest rates ko madde nazar rakhte hue.

### Technical Analysis


ING Bank ke latest analysis yeh dikhate hain ke USD/JPY exchange rate barh gaya hai, aur Japanese authorities market mein intervene kar sakti hain. Reliable trading company ke platform ke mutabiq, yen dollar ke against girta ja raha hai, aur market observers aur participants mein speculation chal rahi hai ke Japanese authorities yen ke value ko defend karne ke liye kab intervene karengi. May mein Japanese authorities ne 9.79 trillion yen (62.23 billion US dollars) spend kiye the foreign exchange market mein intervene karne aur yen ko support karne ke liye.

Waise hi, RSI trend lower kar raha hai aur jab tak sellers hold karenge, price neeche follow karegi. Agar koi bhi Fibonacci support levels hold karti hain, toh USD/JPY swing top ki taraf wapas aa sakta hai aur us se bhi aage ja sakta hai. Overall, recent sessions mein dollar ki strength heavily influenced thi lackluster Treasury auctions aur risk aversion ke rebound se. Bank of Japan aur Ministry of Finance ka koi action na lena after breakout above 160.00 bhi further gains ka rasta clear karta hai USD/JPY mein.

Regarding USD/JPY, Friday saw buyers failing to initiate a strong upward movement, resulting in a candle of uncertainty by day's end, slightly favoring bulls. There is evident accumulation on this instrument, likely culminating in a breakout towards the north. As previously mentioned, my strategy revolves around observing the resistance level, currently identified at 164.500. Around this resistance, two scenarios could unfold: first, consolidation above this level leading to further upward momentum towards 168.000. I'll await a clear trading setup near this resistance to guide future decisions. Alternatively, approaching 164.500 could trigger reversal signals, possibly leading to corrective downward movement back towards support at 160.209 or 157.671. In summary, I expect accumulation to resolve with a bullish breakout early next week, followed by testing of nearby resistance, guiding my actions based on market conditions
Demand Index aur Stochastic Oscillator market conditions ko mazeed analyze karte hain. Kharidar aur bechne walon ke darmiyan kuch fark hai kyun ke kharidari aur farokht ke dabao mein balance hai. Stochastic Oscillator, jo closing price ko mukarar price range ke khilaaf napta hai, overbought ya oversold intehaai nahi dikhata, jo keemat ko kisi bhi raaste mein move kar sakta hai aur ek bullish trend ko tasdeeq karta hai. Mazeed, Average True Range (ATR) bhi ahem hai jo market ki volatility napta hai. Traders ATR ke zahir hone wali darmiyan volatility ko mad e nazar rakhte hue munasib stop-loss aur take-profit levels set kar sakte hain,
Main abhi USD/JPY currency pair ke powerful valuing conduct ka evaluation kar raha hoon. USDJPY H4 chart par apni upar ki taraf movement ko continue karne ke liye tayaar hai

Forex trading strategy
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum!
US dollar/Japanese yen jodi ne 161.41 ki support satah ko todne ki ek aur koshish ki lekin nakam rahe. Bulls ne qimat ko ooper uthaya, lekin jodi kal ki buland tarin satah 161.72 se ooper uthne me nakam rahi. Agar kharidaron ke pas kafi taqat hai to, dollar/yen ki jodi aaj ek nayi bulandi ko chune me kamyab ho jayegi. Agar bears pahal karte hain to, joda piche hatt jayega ya gahri islah me chala jayega. Halankeh abhi tak koi farokht ke signal nahin banaye gaye hain, lekin is scenario ko mustarad nahin kiya ja sakta hai. Yah wazeh hai keh ooper ka rujhan barqarar hai. Iske alawa, dollar/yen ki jodi abhi oopri raftar hasil kar rahi hai, lehaza mukammal riversal ke bare me bat karna jald bazi hogi. Ek aur scenario yah hai keh yen ek tang sideways range me aage badhna jari rajhega.

USD/JPY currency pair is is maah mein aham bullish trend dikha raha hai. March se yeh consistent tarar barh raha hai aur pichle haftay 157.48 tak pohanch gaya hai, jo taqatwar khareedari ki dalil hai. Rozana ka trend bhi bullish hai, jo aane wale dinon mein mazeed urooj ka ishara deta hai, jo 2024 ke ibtedai dor se mustamil hai. Abhi keemat ko consolidate hone ka nazar aata hai, jo mazeed izafa ke liye mamooli dor hai. Is ke bawajood, overall trend urooj mein hai, jahan consolidate hone ke baad keemat ki aane wali karwaiyon ke liye manzil mukarrar ho sakti hai. EMA 50 jo EMA 100 ke upar hai, amuman bullish momentum ko market mein dominate karne ka mazboot pegham hai. 160.313 ke level par support ne pehle correction ko rokne mein kamiyabi dikhayi hai. Yeh darshata hai ke yeh level aham support area hai, jahan khareedne wale ne keemat ko mazeed girne se roka hai. Correction ke baad, keemat ab 161.171 ke resistance ko dobara test kar rahi hai. Yeh test aham lamha hai kyun ke agar keemat resistance level ko paar karne mein kamiyab ho jaye, to urooj jaari rakhne ki buland mumkinat hain. Is tarah ke taqatwar khareedari ki harkaton ko dekh kar, khareedne ki position mein dakhil hone ka intezar karna asal intekhab ho sakta hai. Lekin, ehtiyati taur par bhi apne kaam mein laani chahiye. Mera trading plan hai ke 161.171 ke resistance ke breakout ka intezar karon. Is level ka durust breakout bullish trend ki jari rakhne ka saboot dega aur khareedne ki position mein dakhli ke liye mazboot ishara hoga.
Aage ki taraf dekhte hue, is saal ke trend ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair ka bullish rukh jari rakhne ka imkan hai. Haalat-e-bazar ke darmiyan, haalat-e-bazar ke asar par nazar rakhna traders ke liye zaroori hoga jo trend ko mazeed behtar rakhne ki umeed karte hain. Aakhri mein, USD/JPY pair 157.74 ke resistance level par aham mor par hai. Is zone ke dohrao aur is mein kamiyab nahi hone ki koshishen is baat ki ahamiyat ko zahir karte hain. Jab tak market ek saaf signal ka intezar kare, traders ko technical indicators aur bunyadi factors par nazar rakhni chahiye jo pair ke rukh par asar daal sakte hain. USD/JPY ki safar market forces ke masroof intizam aur forex trading mein tajarba ke ahem asar ka saboot hai.

H1 timeframe se analyze karne ke baad, sab se qareebi resistance break karne ke baad USD/JPY foran 160.83 tak chala gaya. Is significant increase ke baad, USD/JPY pehle thoda correct kar sakta hai. Aaj subah, USD/JPY thoda weak hua aur ab 160.64 pe hai. Mein predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY 159.94 tak gir sakta hai, kyun ke ek RBS pattern banne ka potential hai. Agar ye pattern hold karta hai to USD/JPY dobara upar ja sakta hai; agar break karta hai to aur neeche gir sakta hai. Recent high increase dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke decline zyada likely hai.
Ichimoku indicator ko use karte hue, candle position abhi bhi Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke upar hai, jo ke ek strong bullish trend dikhata hai USD/JPY ke liye. Iska matlab hai ke upside opportunity abhi bhi exist kar sakti hai. Magar, mein ek naye crossover ka intezar karna pasand karta hoon, kyun ke mujhe lagta hai ke decline ka chance zyada hai, especially kyun ke USD/JPY ne thoda weaken shuru kiya hai.

Stochastic indicator dikhata hai ke USD/JPY abhi overbought hai, aur line level 80 ko touch kar rahi hai. Iska matlab hai ke USD/JPY aur neeche girne ke liye tayar hai, aur line ka downward face karna imminent decline ka indication hai. Ye meri pehle ki analysis ko support karta hai ke resistance break karne ke baad usually decline hota hai.

Conclusively, aaj ki analysis suggest karti hai ke USD/JPY ke girne ka high likelihood hai, kyun ke stochastic indicator dikhata hai ke ye overbought hai. Ye likely USD/JPY ko jald decline karne par majboor karega. Additionally, kyun ke candle bina kisi correction ke resistance break kar chuki hai, mein traders ko suggest karta hoon ke short positions open karne par focus karein. Target qareebi support level, jo ke 159.27 hai, pe set kiya ja sakta hai

USD/JPY rebound kar sakta hai agar price daily high ke qareebi consolidate karne mein fail hota hai. Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche aur usse decline karna shuru kar raha ho