usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

158.20 Ke Price Test Aur MACD Indicator

158.20 ke price test waqt aik dor mein waqai tha jab MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator pehle se hi zero mark ke ooper aik significant movement dikha raha tha. Yeh harkat aik mazboot bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Kaafi arsay tak, MACD overbought area mein tha. Yeh halaat aik sell scenario ka imkan dene ke liye mojood the, kyunki yeh ishara kar raha tha ke market shayad bohat ziada extend ho chuka hai aur aik price correction jald hi mumkin hai.

MACD aik mashhoor momentum indicator hai jo technical analysis mein istemal hota hai trend ki taqat aur raftar ka andaza lagane ke liye. Is mein do moving averages hote hain, MACD line aur signal line, jo ke traders ko potential buy aur sell signals ke pehchanne mein madad dete hain. Jab MACD line signal line ke ooper se guzarti hai, to yeh aam tor par bullish trend ka ishara karta hai, jabke agar crossover signal line ke neechay hota hai to yeh bearish trend ka ishara karta hai. Zero line aik asas hoti hai jo musbat aur manfi momentum ke darmiyan farq ko zahir karta hai.

Is khaas surat hal mein, MACD kaafi arsay tak overbought area mein tha, ishara dete hue ke price tezi se barh rahi thi aur ab is ka muqabla mumkin hai. Overbought shartein us waqt hoti hain jab MACD line signal line aur zero mark se kafi buland hoti hai, jo ke market mein zyada bullish jazbaat ko zahir karta hai. Traders aksar is tarah ke scenarios mein sell signals ke liye talaash karte hain, umid karte hue ke price mein girawat mumkin hai.

158.20 tak pohanchne waqt jab MACD ab bhi overbought territory mein tha, to yeh sell scenario ke imkan ko mazeed mazbooti deta hai. Traders is ko munafa hasil karne ka mauqa ya short positions enter karne ka moqa samajhte hain, umid karte hue ke price girne ki taraf ja sakti hai. Price level aur MACD ke lambay overbought condition ka milna julna signals ka combination ek potential market correction ke isharaat ko zahir karta hai.

Yad rahe ke jab ke MACD technical analysis mein aik qeemti tool hai, lekin yeh be-nayazi se kaam nahin leta. Traders ko apne trading decisions ko tasdiq karne ke liye doosre factors aur indicators ka bhi ghor karna chahiye. Is ke ilawa, market conditions tezi se tabdeel ho sakti hain, aur jo cheez aik wazeh sell signal lagti hai woh jald hi bullish trend ki jari rehnumai bhi ho sakti hai. Is liye, risk management aur aik mukammal trading strategy is tarah ke scenarios ko mufeed tareeqe se samajhne ke liye zaroori hain.



Ikhtitami taur par, 158.20 ke price test MACD indicator ke dor mein waqai tha jab yeh pehle se hi zero mark ke ooper aik significant movement dikha raha tha aur kaafi arsay tak overbought area mein tha. Yeh halaat sell scenario ko tawajjo dene di, jabke market shayad zyada extend ho chuka tha aur ek potential correction ke liye tayar tha. MACD ka istemal apni analysis ke hisse ke taur par karne wale traders ne overbought condition aur price level ko apne faislay ke muqarar karne ke liye ahem factors samjha.

USD JPY Technical Analysis

Aaj Jumeraat hai aur early Asia session mein hum volatility movement dekh rahe hain jo Asia mein anaaqoniyat se hui, US dollar index apni major currencies ke muqable mein mazboot hota ja raha hai aur aaj main USD JPY ki baat karunga jo har din ya har haftay naye record buland qeematon par ja raha hai.
Pehle technical analysis se pehle fundamental cheezain jo zaroori hain, aur market participants Bank of Japan ke ingervention ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jiska khatra Japan ne May ke CPI report jari karne ke baad barh gaya hai. Tokyo CPI Ex Food and Energy mein inflation dar annual istimal se 1.2% se 1.4% tak barh gaya hai. Agar BOJ foreign exchange intervention karta hai, to is ke saath hi hum USD JPY mein achanak keematon mein girawat ka intezar kar sakte hain.
Aaj ka economic calendar bohat si khabron ka aaghaaz dikhata hai lekin tamam khabron ka kam asar hai, sirf ek khabar ahmiyat rakhti hai jo USA Core price index hai aur yeh USA session mein jari kiya jayega.
4 ghante ke time frame chart ke mutabiq technical analysis ke mutabiq USD JPY ne $161.28 tak aik naya buland record banaya hai aur is naye record ke baad USD JPY gir raha hai jo keh sakta hai ke USD JPY buland levels par strong reversal dikha sakta hai. Agar hum 4 ghante ke time frame chart ko dekhen to hum dekh sakte hain ke aik support trend line USD JPY ke bullish momentum ko sambhal rahi hai aur saath hi saath USD JPY $160.86 ke support level par inkar dikha raha hai aur is se umid hai ke agar USD JPY qareebi support level aur support trend line ko tode to USD JPY agle mazboot support level $159.100 ki taraf giray ga aur yeh long term USD JPY sellers ke liye aik acha target ho sakta hai.



Yaad rahe ke USD JPY mein be'waqt ingervention dekhne ko mil sakta hai is liye USD JPY par trading karte waqt ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye.

USD/JPY Currency Pair: Current Market Analysis

Hamari tafseeli tehqiqat ka mozu hai USD/JPY currency pair ki halat-e-hazra ke qeemat ka rawaiya. Jab hum bazar ko qareeb se nazar andaaz karte hain, to wazeh ho jata hai ke currency pair abhi aik ahem level par maujood hai. Hamari tehqiqat ishara deti hai ke haliyat ke levels se girawat shuru hone ka imkaan hai. Yeh peshgoi mukhtalif bazar ke ishaaraton aur mojudah ma'ashrati surat-e-hal ke gehra jaez mutaliah par mabni hai. USD/JPY currency pair ne pichle hafton mein ek range-bound rawaiya dikhai hai, jo support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan harkat kar raha hai. Lekin, haal ki bazar ki trends ishara deti hain ke pair girne ke liye tayyar hai. Yeh mumkin girawat is currency pair ko 155.39 ke ahem range se neechay jana dikha sakti hai. Is tarah ka giravat bazar ke dynamics mein aik numayan tabdeeli ko darshaata hai, jo keh USD/JPY pair ke liye bearish trend ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Is taqreer ke peeche kai factors shamil hain. Sab se pehle, macroeconomic mahaul aik ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Amreeki dollar mukhtalif ma'ashrati ishaaraton ke bais daba hua hai, jin mein shamil hain mahangai dar, Federal Reserve ke interest rate faislay, aur aam bazar ki jazbaat. United States mein mahangai ki dabao mein kami hone ne umeedon ko barhaya hai ke tanzeemati policy tang ho sakti hai, jo traditionally dollar ko madad deti hai. Lekin, haal ki data yeh ishara deta hai ke mahangai kam ho sakti hai, jo Federal Reserve ki narm qarar se lehaz se kamzor dollar ka baais bana sakti hai.

In chhoti-term bearish ishaaraton ke bawajood, lambi-term mein upar ki taraf rawaiyat barqarar hai, khas tor par jab unhe daily aur hourly time frames par dekha jaye. Khas tor par kaam ke hafte ke end mein, Jumeraat ko daily candle ne 157.69 ke resistance zone ko tor kar girne ka intezar kiya, bas phir is mark par wapas aa gaya. Is harkat ne aik sell pin bar bana diya, jo candle analysis mein aik ahem pattern hai, khas tor par price action system mein. Candle analysis patterns amoman lambi intervals par ziada aitmaad ke hamil hote hain, jo is waqt ke bearish ishaaraton ko baray matbuqat ke asarat rakhte hain.

Mojudah bazar ke maqami mahaul ke mutabiq, umeed hai ke 155.73 support zone ko phir se test kiya jaye ga. Is zone ko Bollinger Bands indicator ke lower moving line se bhi indicate kiya gaya hai, jo lower price range ko darsha karta hai. Is test ke baad, keemat ko 160.17 tak barhne ki mumkinat hain, jis ke natije mein aik double-top pattern bhi ban sakta hai. Yeh manzar keemat ke mazeed izafay ki mumkinat ko izhar karta hai, jo traders ke liye ahem levels ke zaroori hai, jin par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye taake wo maqami faislay ke liye sahi trading entezamat kar saken.



Mukhtasir tor par, jabke USD/JPY currency pair ke qareebi nazar andaz mein giravat ki soorat-e-hal batati hai, to lambi-term ke higher time frames par upar ki rawaiyat ishara deti hai ke yeh bearish phase mukhtalif ho sakta hai. Traders ko in maqami support aur resistance levels par tawaju deni chahiye, kyun ke yeh bazar ki harkaton mein mazeed izafay ke bare mein qeemti maloomat faraham karte hain. Candle analysis patterns aur dusre technical indicators ko dekhna market mein strategic faislay lenay mein ahem hai.

Japanese Yen (JPY) vs. US Dollar (USD): Current Market Analysis

Japanese yen (JPY) ne do roz se musbat rukh ikhtiyar kiya hai aur is waqt US dollar (USD) ke khilaf mazboot ho raha hai. Yeh haal hi mein izafa ne USD/JPY pair ko aqliyat ki ahmiyat ke level 160.00 ke qareeb le aya hai, jis ne Japan ko bazar mein intezaam ke liye yen khareedne par amada kiya hai taake USD/JPY exchange rate ko kamzor kya jaye. Qaumi manazir se, Japan ke karobar ki faaliyat ko thora rukhsat hone ka andaza hota hai. May mein business services price index ne pichle saal ke is mahine ke mukablay 2.5% izafa kiya hai, jo keh April mein dekhe jane wale 2.7% ke izafay se thora kam hai. Investors is haftay mein aanay walay Japanese ma'ashrati data releases par nazr rakhe hain, jin mein retail sales figures, May ke berozgari ke data, aur June ke Tokyo mein mahangai ke data shamil hain.

Samundar ke doosri taraf, United States ne apne awwal quarter ke revised Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data ko Thursday ko release karna hai, jis ke baad Friday ko Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index shamil hai. Yeh reports Amreeki ma'ashi halat par roshni daalengi. Jaise ke Tuesday ko, USD/JPY pair 159.30 ke qareeb tha. Technical analysis isharatain utha raha hai keh yeh mazeed izafa ki taraf bias hai. Pair abhi aik uthnay wale channel pattern ke upper limit ko test kar raha hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke ooper hai, jo bullish momentum ki alamat hai. Channel ke hadood ke ooper se 159.90 ke qareeb breakout mazeed izafay ko jala sakta hai aur pair ko 160.32, aik ahem resistance level aur April ke se pehle se buland tareen point ke taraf daikh sakta hai.

Neeche ki taraf, USD/JPY ke liye fori support nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke 158.60 par mojood hai. Is level ke neechay giravat aik sell-off ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo exchange rate ko 155.60 ke uthne wale channel ke lower border ke taraf lay sakta hai. Is point ke neechay girne se support 152.80 ke qareeb ka test kar sakta hai. Ulti taraf, agar izafa jari rahe toh keemat pehle mukhalifat ko 158.25 par milti hai. Mazeed izaafa 159.10 tak rok sakta hai, jo keh aik ahem Fibonacci retracement level hai. Is ilaqe ke muqarar breakout se 34-year peak 160.20 ke test ke raste ko saaf kar sakta hai.



Bari tasveer mein dekhte hue, agar USD/JPY pair bechnay ki dabao mein mubtala hota hai, toh pehli support 138.2% Fibonacci retracement level 156.35 par mil sakta hai. Is level ke neechay girne se 154.64 Fibonacci level tak izafa ho sakta hai. Agar bears control mein rahen aur pair ko mazeed neechay dabaen, toh May ke inflection point 151.90 aik farsh ka kaam kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY/D1

Main abhi USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat mein tabdeeliyon ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Chaliye rozana ki time frame par USDJPY pair ko dekhte hain. Hamein sirf do indicators ki zaroorat hai: exponential moving averages jin ki periods 9 aur 21 hain. Signals seedha aur ma'loom hain: in moving averages ka muqabla 158.048 ki qeemat par hota hai. Sabar rakhiye, 5-minute time frame par qeemat mein kami hone ka intezaar kijiye, phir market sell entry shuru kijiye. Har trade mein, main pur sukoon rehne ki koshish karta hoon aur sirf qaim muqarrar khatron ko uthata hoon. Mera risk-to-reward ratio 1 se 3 hai jo meri asli rehnumai hai. Mera stop order hamesha kam se kam 21 points par hota hai, kabhi kabhi 24 points tak phail sakta hai lekin kabhi zyada nahi hota. Bank of Japan aglay meeting se yani 29 July se apni bond-buying ko kam karne ka soch rahi hai. Is peshkash ko mustaqil feedback mila hai. Lekin woh apni communication mein ihtiyati se kaam le rahe hain kyunki yeh aham masla ko chhu raha hai. US bond holdings ko kam kar dena Japan-US relations mein ragbat paida kar sakta hai, lekin yeh bhi yen ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur Japan ki mojooda daro dar economy ko support kar sakta hai.

Istehkaam marhala qeemat ko aik maqami range mein tehleel kiya jata hai. Qeemati istehkaam ki yeh muddat traders ke liye mauqa faraham karti hai ke woh market dynamics ka jayeza len aur agle qadam ke liye tayyar ho jayen. Jab tak qeemat is range mein rehti hai, zaroori hai ke kisi bhi taraf tootne ya girne ke signs ke liye nazar rakhi jaye. Aam tor par bullish trend ke dorey mein, upar ki taraf tootne ka imkaan zyada hai jo keh mukhtalif market sentiment ke saath milta hai. Traders ko is marhale mein ahem resistance aur support levels par nazar rakhna chahiye. Hal hi mein paai gayi 157.48 ki qeemat aik ahem resistance point hai. Agar qeemat is level se guzar jaye, to is se aik naye upward trend ke aaghaz ki alamat ho sakti hai, jo keh mazeed buland qeematon tak pohanch sakta hai. Ulta agar yeh resistance tootne mein nakam ho jaye, to is se qeemati istehkaam ki zaroorat mehsoos hoti hai pehle ke koi bhi wazeh move ho.



USD/JPY currency pair is mahinay mein predominantly buyers ki asar mein raha hai, jo ke 2024 ke shuru mein shuru hui bullish manzil ke sath jari hai. Hal hi mein aik samaji marhala mein dakhil hone ke bawajood, overall market trend musbat hai, is se ishaara hota hai ke pair apni upward movement jari rakh sakta hai. Istehkaam ka yeh dora market dynamics ka aik zaroori pehlu hai, jo qeemat ko agle ahem qadam ke liye jama karta hai. Traders ko mutawasit rehna chahiye aur agle bullish trend ke isharon ke liye nazar rakhni chahiye. Hamesha ke taur par ahem resistance aur support levels par nazar rakhna trading decisions ke liye ahem hai.

USD/JPY/H1

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ki qeematon ki mojudah live tashkeel ke saath mutabiq hai. Is liye, mein is waqt market mein dakhil hone ka intezar kar raha hoon. Mein sirf ek signal ka intezar kar raha hoon agar qeemat is ascending channel se nichle jaaye. Is surat mein, bull ko support level 152.01 se bullish correction karna chahiye. Aik munasib sale entry ke liye, mujhe is correction ko dekhna pasand hai, walaikin yeh ho bhi sakta hai ya na bhi ho. Agar yeh na ho, to mein trading se bachunga aur market ko dekhunga. USD/JPY currency pair ne European session ke dauran aik moderate giravat mehsoos ki. Pair tezi se gir gaya lekin jaldi hi is haftay ke current session ke opening levels par wapis aa gaya. Investors amooman US market ke khulne se pehle kuch munafa munasib karte hain.

4-hour chart par achi ikhtraaq nazar aa rahi hai. Aur yeh ikhtraaq mashriq ki taraf ja raha hai. MACD par abhi tak koi mazboot brake nahi hua hai aur movement abhi bhi potential rakhta hai. Hum shayad pehle se zyada unchayi tak bhi ja sakte hain aur mazeed nahi. Is waqt is currency pair ki tashkeel ko peshgoi karna kafi mushkil hai, kyunki movement abhi tak muntakhib raaste par nahi ja raha hai, aur is current vector ko ahmiyat deni chahiye. Mujhe yaqeen hai ke mukhtasir arse mein mukhtalif resistance level 160.9 hoga, is liye zaroori hai ke 159.61 mark ko paar kiya jaye, 160.29 tak pohancha jaye, aur phir hum sirf upar ki taraf jaate hue movement ka anjaam dekhein. Is vector mein aapko jaldi amal karna chahiye, kyunki haftay ke cycle ke khatam hone se pehle thoda sa waqt bacha hai, aur is current trend ko mukammal karna ahmiyat rakhta hai. Meri raye mein, upar jane ke liye qeemat darja 158.97 ho gi, aur yeh optimal waqt long position kholne ke liye.



Yeh bari gehri hai agar qeemat action haftay ke pivot point se bounce kar sake aur uss ki buland component tak pohanch sake. Is ke ilawa, agar qeemat is bullish price action component ke top par phir se bounce kare, to weekly support level 161.30 par sale shuru ki ja sakti hai, jab qeemat lower blue channel ki line se neeche aaye. Sale current level par shuru ho sakti hai, stop loss level is haftay ke highest trading price se upar adjust kiya ja sakta hai, aur target level haftay ke pivot point se upar adjust kiya ja sakta hai.

USD/JPY
Is post ke likhne waqt, H1 chart par USDJPY currency pair aik samatha dikha raha hai aur 160.709 ke maqam par hai. Instaforex company ke indicator ke mutabiq, jo ke is forum par mojood hai, pehle hisse mein bull aur bear ke darmiyan barabari dikhata hai, pehle wale ke andar 50.12% ke range mein. Dusra hissa, indicator aik short-term shumali trend dikhata hai. Iss pair se hum kya dekhenge? Japan se koi ahem aur dilchaspi wali khabarat nahi muntazir hai, lekin United States se: President Joe Biden ka khitaab, shakhsi istafraqat ke bunyadi qeemat index aur consumer confidence index. Isi tarah ham do qisam ke tajziya ke sath kaam karte hain: technical aur fundamental. Choti baat mein, kya umeed hai? Mujhe umeed hai ke pair pehle southern correction kare ga 160.20 ke level tak, phir uttar ki taraf mudhalil ho kar 161.30 ke maqam par pohanchega. Sab ko mubarak ho, sabka shikar ho.



Aalam e aam ke nazar mein, - USDJPY ke liye qeemat ka rawaiya ab trend line ke ooper trade kar raha hai, jo humein kharidarun ke quwwat ko dikhata hai, aur trend line support hai. Bullish rally ko jari rakhne ke liye, mujhe yaqeen hai ke kharidarun ko Resistance - 162.15 ko toorna hoga, jis se trading channel khula hoga, bullish movement ke mumkin jari rakhne ke liye. Kaam karne ke liye maqsad pehla level hoga, yeh Supply Zone - 160.47 hai, yeh woh jagah hai jahan se hum ne tareekh mein dekha hai ke sellers ne qeemat ko tezi se neeche kiya hai.
Main aik palat ke movement ka ijarah nahi kar raha hoon, lekin pehle Bears ko support - 160.24 ko toorna hoga, jis se qeemat ne kayi martaba bounce kiya hai. Bears ki quwwat ka saboot qeemat ko tootay hue level - 160.31 ke nichayi fixed price denge ga. Yeh hamare liye Bull ki kamzori ko dikhayega.

Selected time frame (time-frame H4) par linear regression channel north ki taraf hai, jo strong buyer ki mojoodgi ko signal karta hai aur market price quotes ke upar active breakthrough ka potential dikhata hai. Nonlinear channel (convex lines) jo near future direction ko predict karta hai, kaafi noticeable upward slope rakhta hai. Nonlinear regression channel ne linear channel ke golden line ko bottom se top cross kiya hai aur quotes mein izafa dikhata hai
Price ne linear regression channel ki blue support line 2-nd LevelSupLine ko cross kiya lekin minimum value (LOW) quotes 151.884 tak pohchne ke baad apni decline rok di aur gradually grow karna shuru kar diya. Filhal, instrument ka trading price level 157.368 hai. Sab kuch madde nazar rakhtay hue, mein expect karta hoon ke market price quotes wapas aayengi aur 2-nd LevelSupLine channel line (158.241) FIBO level 76.4% ke upar consolidate karengi aur mazid upar move karengi golden average line LR of the linear channel 160.205 tak, jo 100% Fibo level ke sath coincide karta hai. Yahan par auxiliary indicators RSI (14) aur MACD bhi oversold area mein hain aur instrument ke price increase ki high probability dikhate hain
RSI (14) oversold area mein hone ka matlab hai ke instrument ki price neeche se recover karne ke qareeb hai. Yeh situation generally buying signal ka indication hoti hai. Dusri taraf, MACD bhi oversold area mein hai aur negative bars decrease kar rahi hain, jo bullish reversal ka indication hai. Jab yeh dono indicators ek hi direction dikhate hain, toh price ke upward movement ki high probability hoti hai.



Overall, AUD/USD pair ki analysis ke liye Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD indicators ke signals ko use karke hum profitable trading decision le sakte hain. Yeh strategy trading ke liye ek reliable framework provide karti hai jo ke high probability ke sath sahi trading decisions lene mein madadgar hoti hai. Fibonacci correction levels ka istemal exit points tay karne mein madad karta hai, jo ke profitable aur risk-managed trading ensure karta hai.

U.S. dollar ne Budh ke trading session mein thora sa peeche hat gaya, shayad haal hi mein milay faiday ke baad aik chhota sa correction ho raha hai. Is ke bawajood, overall market sentiment ab bhi dips par khareedne ke favor mein hai. 160 yen level khaas tor par ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke Bank of Japan ke pehle ke mudakhlat ki wajah se yahan market mein bari tadad hai, jo ke bara rokawat ke taur par pehchani jati hai.

Jab hum is darjeel ke qareeb aate hain, to asal sawal yeh hai ke kya yeh support ke tor par qaim rahe ga. Agar 160 yen level qaim na ho, to 158 yen level neechay substantial support faraham karne ki umeed hai. Iska matlab hai ke in levels mein koi bhi giravat khareedne ka aik moqa faraham karti hai. Is ke piche wajah yeh hai ke traders is pair ko hold karne se hamesha faida uthate hain, jo ke interest rate differential se mutaliq hai.

Japan ki interest rate policy bohat narm aur mulaim hai, jis ka bara hissa mulk ke massive debt ki wajah se hai. Aise maamlay bhi hain jahan Japanese mortgages virtually illiquid hoti hain, jahan sirf Bank of Japan inhen khareedta hai. Is maahol ki wajah se yen ko mazeed mazboot dekhna mushkil hai. Isi liye is market mein pullbacks ko khareedne ka nazariya qaim hai.

Khaas tor par, mojooda market dynamics dips par khareedne ke trend se mutaliq hain. 160 yen level, jo ke Bank of Japan ke intervention ki wajah se pehle resistance area tha, ab dekhne ke liye aik ahmiyat mand support level hai. Agar yeh level qaim na ho, to 158 yen level agla line of defense hai. Interest rate policy mein farq aur Japan ke consistent low interest rates se yen kam attractive hai. Is liye USD/JPY pair ke pullback ki umeed hai ke yeh khareedne wale ko akarshit kare ga, jo ke ongoing interest rate differential aur samjhi gayi market support levels ka faida uthayenge.



Aage dekhte hue, jab tak Japan apni easy monetary policy qaim rakhta hai, yen ko zyada mazboot hone ki kam hi umeed hai. Yeh scenario ongoing opportunity faraham karta hai ke USD/JPY ko dips par khareed liya jaye, interest rate gains aur market support levels ka faida uthate hue.

USD/JPY currency pair is mahine ek notable bullish trend dikhata raha hai. March ki trading sessions se, price consistently upwards move kar rahi hai, aur last week tak 157.48 ke price level tak pohanch gayi hai. Yeh persistent upward movement market mein strong buying interest ko highlight karti hai. Current dynamics ko dekhte hue, price gains ke barqarar rehne ka potential significant hai. Daily trend bullish hai, aur price ke ane wale dinon mein upward trajectory maintain karne ki umeed hai—a trend jo 2024 ke aghaz se chal raha hai.
Filhal, price movement sideways phase mein dikh rahi hai, jo ek consolidation period ko indicate karti hai. Is pause ke bawajood, USD/JPY currency pair ka market trend firmly upward hai. Yeh consolidation phase typically ek breather ke taur par serve karta hai, jahan market momentum gather karta hai nayi highs ko break karne se pehle. Aisi phase ko aksar ek significant market moves ke precursor ke taur par dekha jata hai, jahan sideways movement future price action ke staging ground ke taur par act karti hai.
Kal, badi currencies ne US dollar ke liye jumay ke liye shcheduled ahem economic events ka acha jawab diya. Khaaskar, "average hourly wages aur non-agricultural employment" statistics positive rahi, jo ke humari terminal mein noticeable volatility ka sabab bana. Halankeh mein daily chart ka baad mein analysis karunga, pehle Price Action method par focus karte hue, yeh note karna zaroori hai ke 6 June ko humne ek "bullish engulfing" candle pattern dekhi, jo ke 155.11 ke correction ke baad 200 points se zyada ka rise le kar ayi.
Dusri taraf, USD/JPY pair ne 155.89 level par mazboot support identify kiya hai. Yeh support level qeemat ko mazeed girne se rokta hai. Agar qeemat is level se neeche gir jaye, toh agla downside target 155.57 ka second support level hai. Is level ko todne se mazid bearish pressure ka ishara milta hai, aur traders mazeed declines ki umeed kar sakte hain. Yeh second support level essential hoga yeh andaza lagane mein ke bearish trend jaari rahega ya qeemat wapas upar jayegi.
Yeh support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan ka interaction traders ko potential market movements ke bare mein key insights faraham karta hai. Misal ke taur par, jab qeemat kisi resistance level ke qareeb aati hai, traders dekhte hain ke breakout hoga ya reversal. Ek breakout jo resistance level se upar ho, strong bullish sentiment aur mazeed gains ka ishara ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar qeemat resistance ko todne mein nakam hoti hai, toh yeh reversal aur support levels ki taraf potential decline ka ishara ho sakta hai.
NZD/USD currency pair abhi ek bullish phase mein hai, jo 0.61669 resistance level ke breakout aur subsequent rise to 0.61971 se indicate hota hai. EMA 50 ka EMA 100 ke upar hona bhi bullish momentum ko confirm karta hai. Lekin downward correction ka possibility consider karna chahiye. Aisi correction ke natije mein significant resistance level 0.6200 ke near form hui hai. Yeh resistance kaafi important hai kyunki isse past mein kai dafa test kiya gaya hai aur yeh ek strong barrier bana hua hai. Downside par key support level 0.6100 ke near hai jahan buying interest already present hai aur price ko girne se rok raha hai.

Japanese Yen (JPY) vs. US Dollar (USD): Current Market Analysis

Japanese yen (JPY) ne do roz se musbat rukh ikhtiyar kiya hai aur is waqt US dollar (USD) ke khilaf mazboot ho raha hai. Yeh haal hi mein izafa ne USD/JPY pair ko aqliyat ki ahmiyat ke level 160.00 ke qareeb le aya hai, jis ne Japan ko bazar mein intezaam ke liye yen khareedne par amada kiya hai taake USD/JPY exchange rate ko kamzor kya jaye. Qaumi manazir se, Japan ke karobar ki faaliyat ko thora rukhsat hone ka andaza hota hai. May mein business services price index ne pichle saal ke is mahine ke mukablay 2.5% izafa kiya hai, jo keh April mein dekhe jane wale 2.7% ke izafay se thora kam hai. Investors is haftay mein aanay walay Japanese ma'ashrati data releases par nazr rakhe hain, jin mein retail sales figures, May ke berozgari ke data, aur June ke Tokyo mein mahangai ke data shamil hain.

Samundar ke doosri taraf, United States ne apne awwal quarter ke revised Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data ko Thursday ko release karna hai, jis ke baad Friday ko Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index shamil hai. Yeh reports Amreeki ma'ashi halat par roshni daalengi. Jaise ke Tuesday ko, USD/JPY pair 159.30 ke qareeb tha. Technical analysis isharatain utha raha hai keh yeh mazeed izafa ki taraf bias hai. Pair abhi aik uthnay wale channel pattern ke upper limit ko test kar raha hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke ooper hai, jo bullish momentum ki alamat hai. Channel ke hadood ke ooper se 159.90 ke qareeb breakout mazeed izafay ko jala sakta hai aur pair ko 160.32, aik ahem resistance level aur April ke se pehle se buland tareen point ke taraf daikh sakta hai.

Neeche ki taraf, USD/JPY ke liye fori support nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke 158.60 par mojood hai. Is level ke neechay giravat aik sell-off ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo exchange rate ko 155.60 ke uthne wale channel ke lower border ke taraf lay sakta hai. Is point ke neechay girne se support 152.80 ke qareeb ka test kar sakta hai. Ulti taraf, agar izafa jari rahe toh keemat pehle mukhalifat ko 158.25 par milti hai. Mazeed izaafa 159.10 tak rok sakta hai, jo keh aik ahem Fibonacci retracement level hai. Is ilaqe ke muqarar breakout se 34-year peak 160.20 ke test ke raste ko saaf kar sakta hai.

Bari tasveer mein dekhte hue, agar USD/JPY pair bechnay ki dabao mein mubtala hota hai, toh pehli support 138.2% Fibonacci retracement level 156.35 par mil sakta hai. Is level ke neechay girne se 154.64 Fibonacci level tak izafa ho sakta hai. Agar bears control mein rahen aur pair ko mazeed neechay dabaen, toh May ke inflection point 151.90 aik farsh ka kaam kar sakta hai.

Is subha maine UsdJpy market pair ka tajziya kiya jo agle hafte ke liye aik trading option banane ka mansuba hai. 4 ghantay ke time frame par graph ka mu’aina karte hue, yeh dikhata hai ke Monday ko market ka halat 159.77 ke price area se shuru hui aur 161.28 tak move karne ki koshish ki. Budh ke trading period tak, yeh upward trend jari rahi, halaan ke zyada nahi, magar yeh upar ki taraf safar ke continuation ko dikhati hai. Agar pichle hafte se market conditions dekhi jayein, to abhi bhi yeh bullish ki taraf ja rahi hai.
Pichle hafte ke trading session mein, market ne dikhaya ke prices aik bullish rally ka tajziya kar rahi hain wide range ke sath, jiski wajah se is hafte tak prices thodi si badi magar Saturday raat ko thodi neeche correct hui. Jo kuch mein ne upar kaha, us se yeh ishara milta hai ke market buyers ke control mein hai. Jab journal update hua to price arzi tor par 160.87 ke position par ruki thi. Is mahine mein, yeh dikhayi deta hai ke buyers, jinki asar abhi bhi mazboot hai, ne prices ko bullish ki taraf le jane mein kamyab hue hain, is tarah ke pichle mahine ke lowest zone position se door move hui hain. Agle hafte ke liye, mein predict karta hoon ke UsdJpy pair bullish market situation ko jari rakhne mein kamyab hogi. Yeh mumkin hai ke price dobara upar ki taraf move kare aur higher zone ki taraf jaye

Agar is hafte ke trend pattern ko dekha jaye, to yeh nazar aata hai ke market aik uptrend chal rahi hai zyada range ke baghair. Upward rally ke sath jo zyada strong nahi ya choti range mein hai, yeh mumkin hai ke yeh izafa agle hafte tak jari rahe, aur yeh predict kiya jata hai ke prices uptrend ko chalane ki koshish karenge. Is subha ke candlestick ne apni position 100 period simple moving average zone ke upar close ki, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market trend ko rise hone ka mauka hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko cross kar lein, to bullish trend trading period mein agle hafte bhi market par dominate kar sakti hai.

USD/JPY currency pair hal mein tafteesh mein hai, jahan mukhtalif rawayat ko barqi hawala diya ja raha hai, jaise ke uss ke qeemat ko barqarar rakhne ke liye intervention ke mumkinat. Japan ki sarkar ne yen ki tawana de ke liye zor daar awaz uthai hai, jo qareebi mustaqbil mein uss ki qeemat mein izafa ke liye aik ihtiyati nazar bata rahi hai.

Maujooda market trends aur ma'ashiyati peshangoiyan ke mutabiq, tajarbaykar munaqadat mein riyasati dollar mein mazeed mustaqil izafa ka intezar kar rahe hain, lekin mali dynamics ke beqarari ke bawajood agahi ke izafa karna aik mushkil kaam hai.

Bank of Japan ke aik numainda ke hal mein bayanat ne is beqarari ko izhar kiya hai. Bank ne tasali di hai ke zarurat par jaldi intervention kiya jayega, ta ke currency market ki barqarar rahay. Halanki is ilan ne yen ke interest ko foran barha diya, lekin baad mein stabilisation ne ehtiyati market fehmi ko zahir kiya hai.

Technical analysis aur trading range ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair abhi 160.16 se 159.31 ke darmiyan trade kar raha hai. Yeh mustaqil pattern mutawaqqa hai ke yeh halat tabdeel na ho, jab tak ke amreeki idaray se numaya tajawuzat na niklay. 160.16 ke par karne se ziada khatra izhar ho sakta hai, jis se mojooda pair ke kharidari mumkin tor par shadeed ho sakti hai, chahe ke technical indicators faidayemand hon.

Mustaqbil ki tashkeel aur gauri
Ummeedwar amreeki ma'ashi trends USD/JPY pair ko buland maqamat tak le ja sakte hain, jaise ke technical analysis ke tajarbay ke mutabiq 164 ke mark tak. Lekin, ehtiyat zaroori hai, khas tor par Bank of Japan ke amalat ke hawale se, jo sirf lafzi tanbeeh se aagay barh sakti hai. Agar kisi wazi intervention ka amal ho, to mojooda barqarar mein izafa ajaib kar sakta hai.

Mukhtasar mein, jabke mojooda USD/JPY ke qeemat ke amal indicate karte hain ke is waqt aik muddat ke barqarar daur mein hai, Bank of Japan ke mumkin intervention ki talash ne beqarari ko jama kiya hai. Tajarbah karne wale ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur amreeki ma'ashi idaray aur Japan ke ma'ashi niti ke mutaliq update par rehna chahiye. In factors ke ta'alluq se mukhtalif USD/JPY trends ko qarar aur darmiyan mein tajarbat ke liye future tashkeelat karenge.

Tamam ma'ashi paishgoiyan mein market shara'it tabdeel ho sakti hain, aur sirf waqt hi in paishgoiyan ke durust hone ka saboot de sakta hai. Ma'ashi dynamics ke mazeed tabdeel hone ke jawab mein amil aur jawaabdeh rehne ke liye barqi tajarbat ko samajhna aham hai, jo aane wale hafton aur maheenon mein USD/JPY currency pair ke mukhtalif pechidgiyon ko samajhne ke liye zaroori honge.

NIGARI: Karobar ki tajziya aur Japani yen ka tajribati behtareen Paish-e-raft Mein, jab MACD nishandehi zero mark se intehai buland hota gaya, to 156.56 ke qeemat darja barqi hui, jis ne jodi ke mazeed buland potential ko roka. Is liye, maine ise nahi khareeda. Kyunki yeh Amrici session ke ikhtitam ki taraf hua, is liye koi naye daakhilay bazaar mein nahi mile. Kal ke Japan mein machinery orders aur trade balance ke musbat figures ko nazar andaz kiya gaya, lekin aaj ke economic activity ke nishandehiyon ne yen ko mazboot kar diya. Japan mein manufacturing PMI aur services PMI ne ma'ashiyat ke mohrajaat ko peechey chhoda, jo ke muashion ke tajziyati tawaghan ko girane wala tha. Lekin sawal yeh hai ke yen kharidne walon ki daair tak kitni muddat rahegi, khaaskar ek bullish dollar market mein aur Federal Reserve ke interest rates par mazboot stance ke sath. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko 156.80 (graph par hari line) ke qareeb ka hisa khareedun taake woh 157.15 (outline par zyada moti hari line) tak chade. 157.15 ke aas paas, maine khareedne ka irada kiya hai aur doosri taraf se farokht karna hai (yeh 30-35 jagahon ka chal chuka hai). Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko 156.56 ke muqam par do bar test hone par (jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hai), kharidun. Yeh jodi ka nichley potential ko mehdood kar dega aur ek sarhad ka bazaar ulta ho sakta hai. 156.80 aur 157.15 ke mukhalif darajat par, izaafa mutawaqqa hai. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko sirf tab bechun jab wo 156.56 ke muqam se neeche toot jaye (graph par surkhi line), jo ke jodi mein tezi se kami kar dega. Farokht karne walon ke liye ahem maqsad 156.30 hoga, jahan main farokht chhodunga aur jaldi se kharidun (yeh 20-25 jagahon ka chal chuka hai). Jodi ke upar farokht ka dabao wapas aa sakta hai agar yeh rozi rozi ke uchay par ittefaq nahi karta. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke agar MACD nishandehi zero mark ke niche ho aur bas ab is se girne laga ho, tab main USD/JPY ko bhi bechne ka irada karta hoon. Agar MACD nishandehi overbought area mein ho aur 156.80 ke dauray ke do murattab hon, to main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko bechne ka irada

USD/JPY daily H1 time frame chart

Neeche taraf, USD/JPY ka fori support 158.60 par noohi-day exponential moving average (EMA) par hai. Is se neeche jaane se bechav ki shuruat ho sakti hai, jo exchange rate ko neeche ki taraf daba sakta hai, mumkin hai ke exchange rate ko ziada se ziada neeche chalkar ascend channel ke niche ki taraf kar sakta hai jo 155.60 ke aas paas hai. Agar is point ke neeche jaata hai toh, support ke taraf neeche 152.80 ke qareeb jane ka imkan hota hai. Umsale mein, agar upri dabav barqarar rehta hai, toh keemat shayad shuru mein 158.25 par muqabla karegi. Aage ki barhti chalangon ko 159.10 tak rukawat bhi aayegi, jo aik ahem Fibonacci retracement level hai. Is ilaqa ke muqarara tor par upri tor par toot jata hai toh, rasta 160.20 karne ke liye ek raasta ban sakta hai. Baray tasawwur mein dekhne par, agar USD/JPY pair bechav ka shikar hota hai, toh shuru mein support 156.35 par 138.2% Fibonacci cutting point par mil sakta hai. Agar is level ke neeche jata hai toh, 154.64 Fibonacci level ki taraf neeche jaane ka rukh ho sakta hai. Agar bears qabu mein rehte hain aur pair ko mazeed neeche dabaate hain, toh May ke Point 151.90 ke tahat floor ka kaam kar sakta hai.




The Japanese yen (JPY) ne do din se umeedwar rah kar USD ka mazboot kharab karnay ke liye dollar ko kamzor karne ke liye intervene karne ki koshish ki. yeh haliqi charbi USD/JPY

Is trade ka maqsad 160.00 aur 159.60 ke darmiyan set hai. Yeh target range yeh le kar taake ho sakti hai ke pair dobara 160.00 ke pas mazboot support area ko dekhe, sath hi 159.60 ki taraf mazeed pullback ke liye rastay bhi hai. Is range mein aik mutawazan target set kar ke traders apni munafe ko pakar sakte hain jabke forex market ki qadri jhoone ka ihtimam kar sakte hain.
USD/JPY pair ki technical analysis H1 interval par ek barqarar uptrend ko zahir karti hai jis mein ahem support aur resistance levels hain jo traders ko nazdeek se dekhna chahiye. 160.00 par support area aur 160.27 aur 160.65 par resistance levels aur aik ahem support level 159.60 par, market ke dynamics mazeed upar ki potentional ki misaal deti hain. Aik buy position 160.40 par dala gaya, 160.60 par stop loss aur 160.00-159.60 ke target range ke saath, moazan taur se current technical landsscape ke sath milti hai aur risk management aur munafe ki potentional ke sath milte hai.