USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

5 USD/JPY karansi pair. Is liye, mein is waqt market mein dakhil hone ka soch nahi raha hoon. Mein sirf is intezaar mein hoon ke agar price is ascending channel se neeche gir jaye to. Aise halat mein, bull ko support level 152.01 se bullish correction karni hogi. Sale mein dakhil hone ke liye, mujhe yeh correction dekhni pasand hogi, lekin yeh ho sakta hai ke na ho. Agar yeh na ho to mein trading se door reh kar market ko observe karunga. European session ke doran USD/JPY currency pair mein moderate decline dekha gaya. Pair sharply gira magar jaldi se current weekly session ke opening levels pe wapas aa gaya. Lagta hai ke investors US market open hone se pehle kuch profits lock kar rahe hain.

4-hour chart par achi accumulation nazar aa rahi hai. Aur yeh accumulation north ja rahi hai. Ab tak, MACD par koi strong brake nahi hai aur movement mein potential hai. Hum shayad previous maximum se thoda upar bhi ja sakte hain aur aur nahi. Filhal, is currency pair ko forecast karna kaafi mushkil hai, kyun ke movement ab tak planned direction mein nahi ja raha, aur priority ko is current vector ko dena chahiye. Mera yaqeen hai ke main resistance level 160.9 hoga, is liye zaroori hai ke 159.61 mark ko overcome karain, 160.29 ko reach karain, aur tabhi hum upward movement ka end dekhenge. Is vector mein, aapko jaldi act karna chahiye, kyun ke weekly cycle ke end tak kam waqt reh gaya hai, aur current trend ko complete karna important hai. Meri rai mein, price level for entering the increase 158.97 hoga, aur yeh optimal moment hoga ek long position open karne ke liye




Yeh intense hoga agar price action weekly pivot point se bounce kar sake aur apni highest component tak pohanch jaye. Iske ilawa, aap bhi purchase kar sakte hain agar price rebound kare top of the bullish price action component par weekly support level 161.30 pe jab price lower blue channel line se upper blue channel line tak pohanch jaye. Sale initiate ho sakti hai current level pe, stop loss level ko is haftay ke highest trading price ke upar adjust kar sakte hain, aur target level ko pivot point for the week ke upar adjust kar sakte hain

USD/JPY currency pair ko traders aur investors ne aak qareeb se dekha hai, khaaskar haal hi mein ke sessions mein. Abhi, main market mein dakhil hone ka moamla nahi ker raha hoon mojooda qeemat ke darajat ki wajah se. Mera tareeqa yeh hai ke main ek wazeh signal ka muntazir hoon, khaaskar agar qeemat ne woh utha hai jo ban gaya hai, neeche chala jata hai. Agar yeh kami hoti hai, to mehsool ki samajh hai ke bael zor se dakhil ho jayenge aur ahem support level 152.34 se bullish correction shuru karenge. Mere liye, behtar dakhil hone ki nakaaroot tab hogi jab yeh correction taqreeban hoti hai. Magar, yeh mumkin hai ke correction na ho. Agar yeh mamla hai, to main trading se fraz karon ga aur bina kisi harkat se market dynamics ko muntazir rahon ga.



Yoorope ke session ke doran, USD/JPY currency pair ko mukhtalif giravat ka samna kerna para. Pair aik waqt par tez gir gaya, lekin jald hi mojooda haftay ke session ke opening levels tak punah uth gaya. Yeh punah uthanay ne darja hararat ka aik level zahir kiya aur ishara deta hai ke market abhi tak kise naye trend mein basne ke liye taiyar nahi hai.
Hal karkardo harkaton ke piche ki wajah ye bhi ho sakti hai ke investors US market ke khulne se pehlay kuch profit lock kar rahe hain. Profit lena aam hai traders ke darmiyan jo apne European session mein hasil ki gyi faiday ko jama karna chahte hain US market ke khulne ke saath aane wale ihtemal wale hararat se pehle. USD/JPY pair ke performance ko aksar mukhtalif factors jese maeeshi dain dene, saqafati masail aur market ki iazat se mutasir hoti hai. Misal ke tor per, US maeeshi shaoor jese roozmarra ke taaleem reports, tawanai ke data aur Federal Reserve ki interest rate faislay par asar dal sakti hai pair par. Isi tarah, Japan mein maeeshi halaat aur policy faislay bhi aham kirdar ada karti hain.

USD/JPY pair ki tafseeli analysis:

Main phir se USD/JPY currency pair ki movement par guftagu karunga, jahan fundamental analysis aur technical analysis future orders ke liye ghor o fikr honge USD/JPY market par.



USD/JPY currency pair ki halat:

USD/JPY currency pair ki halat bohat zyada barhi hui hai, jis ne pichle Thursday shaam se 161.16 ke qareeb tak pohancha. USD/JPY ki is izafat ki wajah Tokyo mein June mein inflation dar 0.9% tak barh gaya, jabke pichle mahine Tokyo ka inflation dar sirf 0.7% tha. Is ne yen ke exchange rate ko US dollar ke khilaf kamzor kar diya. Is izafat ne Thursday shaam tak jari rahi. Asian market mein USD/JPY ki movement yen ke exchange rate mein thori taqat aane ki wajah se gir gayi, jab Tokyo Core CPI data ke release hone se 0.1% izafat hui, aur US dollar exchange rate ke rate data ke release hone se kamzor ho gayi. America mein berozgari ka dar bhi abhi tak kaafi zyada hai, jis se 233 hazar berozgar log hain, aur pending home sales bhi America mein -2.1% tak neeche dabav bana rahi hain, jis ne USD/JPY ki movement ko 160.80 ke qareeb ke prices tak girne mein madad ki.

Aaj ki USD/JPY movement ki fundamental analysis ke natije mein, main ne faisla kiya hai ke main future mein USD/JPY ko 160.50 ke qareeb tak bechunga.

Mujh par mojood technical analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY currency pair ki movement aaj phir se 160.50 ke qareeb girne ki surat mein lagti hai. Is baat ki wajah yeh hai ke H1 time frame mein USD/JPY currency pair ne bearish engulfing candle bana li hai, jo USD/JPY ko future mein 160.50 ke qareeb tak bechne ka bohat taqatwar signal hai. Is ke ilawa, RSI 14 indicator ko dekhne se pata chalta hai ke USD/JPY ki price 161.15 par already overbought ya zyada overbought hai, is liye bohat zyada mumkin hai ke aaj shaam ko USD/JPY ki movement ko 10 se 50 pips ke darmiyan gehra nichla correction ka samna karna parega. USD/JPY SELL signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods ki madad se bhi support mil raha hai, kyun ke jab USD/JPY ki price 161.06s mein enter hui, to yeh SBR area mein thi, is liye bohat zyada mumkin hai ke aaj USD/JPY apne girne ki raah par 160.50s ke qareeb jaari rakhegi.

Aaj ke USD/JPY currency pair ke technical analysis ke natije ke mutabiq, main ne faisla kiya hai ke main future mein USD/JPY ko 160.50 ke qareeb tak bechunga.

NIGARI: Karobar ki tajziya aur Japani yen ka tajribati behtareen Paish-e-raft Mein, jab MACD nishandehi zero mark se intehai buland hota gaya, to 156.56 ke qeemat darja barqi hui, jis ne jodi ke mazeed buland potential ko roka. Is liye, maine ise nahi khareeda. Kyunki yeh Amrici session ke ikhtitam ki taraf hua, is liye koi naye daakhilay bazaar mein nahi mile. Kal ke Japan mein machinery orders aur trade balance ke musbat figures ko nazar andaz kiya gaya, lekin aaj ke economic activity ke nishandehiyon ne yen ko mazboot kar diya. Japan mein manufacturing PMI aur services PMI ne ma'ashiyat ke mohrajaat ko peechey chhoda, jo ke muashion ke tajziyati tawaghan ko girane wala tha. Lekin sawal yeh hai ke yen kharidne walon ki daair tak kitni muddat rahegi, khaaskar ek bullish dollar market mein aur Federal Reserve ke interest rates par mazboot stance ke sath. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko 156.80 (graph par hari line) ke qareeb ka hisa khareedun taake woh 157.15 (outline par zyada moti hari line) tak chade. 157.15 ke aas paas, maine khareedne ka irada kiya hai aur doosri taraf se farokht karna hai (yeh 30-35 jagahon ka chal chuka hai). Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko 156.56 ke muqam par do bar test hone par (jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hai), kharidun. Yeh jodi ka nichley potential ko mehdood kar dega aur ek sarhad ka bazaar ulta ho sakta hai. 156.80 aur 157.15 ke mukhalif darajat par, izaafa mutawaqqa hai. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko sirf tab bechun jab wo 156.56 ke muqam se neeche toot jaye (graph par surkhi line), jo ke jodi mein tezi se kami kar dega. Farokht karne walon ke liye ahem maqsad 156.30 hoga, jahan main farokht chhodunga aur jaldi se kharidun (yeh 20-25 jagahon ka chal chuka hai). Jodi ke upar farokht ka dabao wapas aa sakta hai agar yeh rozi rozi ke uchay par ittefaq nahi karta. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke agar MACD nishandehi zero mark ke niche ho aur bas ab is se girne laga ho, tab main USD/JPY ko bhi bechne ka irada karta hoon. Agar MACD nishandehi overbought area mein ho aur 156.80 ke dauray ke do murattab hon, to main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko bechne ka irada

USD/JPY currency pair k closely monitor ki jati hai traders aur investors dwara, khaaskar hali k sessions mein. Abhi main market mein dakhil hone ka khayal nahi kar raha hoon current price levels ki wajah se. Mera strategy ek wazeh signal ka intezar karna hai, khaaskar agar price ascending channel ke neeche gir jati hai jo establish ho gaya hai. Agar yeh kami ho jati hai, to main bulls ko ek bullish correction shuru karte dekhna umeed karta hoon jo significant support level 152.34 se hoga. Mere liye, bechne ka trade karne ka aham point sirf is correction ko dekhne ke baad hoga. Lekin, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke correction ka mauqa na mile. Agar aisa ho, to main trading se bachne ka irada karonga aur bina kisi move ke market ki dynamics ko dekhna jari rakhonga.



Europe session ke doran, USD/JPY currency pair ne ek moderate giravat mehsoos ki. Pair ek waqt par tezi se gir gaya lekin phir jaldi se current weekly session ke opening levels par wapas aagaya. Yeh recovery ek lehaz se volatility ki darjaat ko darust karti hai aur yeh ishara karta hai ke market abhi naye trend mein set hone ke liye tayar nahi hai.
Hal k movements ke peeche ek wajah yeh bhi hosakti hai ke investors US market opening ke pehle kuch munafa lock kar rahe hain. Munafa lock karna aam hai traders mein jo European session mein banaye gaye faiday ko secure karne ke liye karne ki ichha rakhte hain pehle US markets ke opening ke saath jo volatility ka saamna kar sakti hai. USD/JPY pair ka performance aksar mukhtalif factors se mutasir hota hai jaise economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Maslan, changes US economic indicators mein jaise employment reports, inflation data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions pair par bhaari asar daal sakti hai. isi tarah, Japan mein economic conditions aur policy decisions bhi aham role ada karte hain.

Hello sab!

Honestly, main abhi USD/JPY pair par kya trade karna hai, is par confirm nahi hoon, kyunki opportunities pehle global maximum update se pehle thi, aur targets clear the.

Ab, humein bas neeche ki taraf price reversal ka wait karna padega, lekin is ke liye Japanese authorities ka clear intervention hona zaroori hai, jo ke asal mein Chief Cabinet Secretary of Japan, Mr. Hayashi ne wada kiya tha. Magar agar unke words sirf words hi rahenge, to US dollar Japanese yen ke khilaf continue rise karega, despite the threats.

Situation yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair buy karna ab waqai darawna hai, kyunki iska ceiling 38 saalon mein nahi dekha gaya level, yani 161.25, Murray indicator ke mutabiq 6/8 reversal level ko tod ke, ek naya initially bullish candle ko khola, jo further price growth of the dollar ko indicate karta hai.

Zaroor, us ke baad yeh bearish ho gaya, aur hum ek chhoti correction dekh rahe hain, jo price ka wave movement ke tor par dekh sakte hain. Main samajhta hoon ke USD/JPY pair 160.70 level ke pass 14-period moving average ko test kar ke upar bounce kar sakta hai.

Best case scenario mein bears ke liye, pair 5/8 regression channel ke top par gir kar former global maximum of 160.16 tak ja sakta hai, lekin yeh Bank of Japan ki involvement ke bina, jaise ke hum samajhte hain.

Wahan se, ek naya growth wave emerge hoga, lekin agar regulator market mein currency interventions conduct karta hai, to situation significantly change hogi is currency pair ke rapidly decline ke favor mein, lekin phir se temporary.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis yeh darshata hai ke ab tak koi significant progress nahi hui hai, magar 152 ke mark par breakthrough hone ka imkan hai. Haal hi mein decline ko ek corrective measure mana jaa raha hai, jo ke bullish trend ki raah bana sakta hai. Daily chart ke mutabiq, yeh mumkin hai ke bullish move aaye. 150.09 tak pullback expected hai, magar upward movement ko continue karne aur 152.92 tak pahunchne ke liye 151.94 par resistance break karna zaroori hai.

Filhaal, USD/JPY ka intraday trend neutral hai kyunke yeh 151.93 se neeche ek range mein trade kar raha hai. Agar 150.27 par support level break hota hai, toh yeh short-term peak indicate kar sakta hai aur trend reversal ki taraf lead kar sakta hai 55-day EMA 149.27 par. Doosri taraf, agar resistance level 151.98 par sustained break hota hai, toh yeh long-term uptrend ke continuation ko confirm karega. Short-term target expected hai 140.25 aur 150.87 ke darmiyan, aur 146.47 aur 153.03 ke darmiyan.

Broader perspective se dekha jaye toh 151.87 se correction potentially 140.25 par end ho sakti hai, signaling ke 127.26 se gains ka resumption hai. 151.93 par resistance level ka decisive break yeh bullish forecast ko confirm karega. Next medium-term target likely hoga 127.26 aur 151.86 ke darmiyan, aur 140.25 aur 155.20 ke darmiyan, condition ke sath ke pullback ke case mein support 146.47 par hold kare. Agar minor retreat hota hai, toh 151.27/151.19 ke support zone ke neeche girna deeper decline indicate kar sakta hai.

In factors ko dekhte hue, maine buying se selling par switch kiya hai aur target set kiya hai support level 151.46 par, jo ke March 27th se flat corridor ke upper boundary ke sath coincide karta hai. Uske baad, fall flat corridor ke lower boundary ke qareeb support zone 151.23/151.18 ko target kar sakta hai. Kisi bhi market environment mein risk management ko prioritize karna zaroori hai. Clear risk parameters set karna, stop-loss orders implement karna, aur portfolios ko diversify karna potential losses ko mitigate karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Discipline maintain karna aur well-defined investment strategy ko adhere karna long-term success aur wealth preservation ka sabab ban sakta hai.

USDJPY currency pair

Pair ke liye upward trend continue ho raha hai. Technical analysis se yeh pata chalta hai ke four-hour chart par price Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke upar trade kar rahi hai, cloud ke upar, Chikou span line price chart ke upar hai, aur "golden cross" active phase mein hai. Bollinger bands upward direction mein hain, relative strength index 50 ke upar move kar raha hai, MACD oscillator ke volumes grow kar rahe hain, aur trend filter oscillator green color mein hai, jo ek bullish market mood signal karta hai. Is waqt shopping priority hai. Mein resistance level 154.67 ko ek potential target consider karta hoon upward movement ke liye. Buying tab tak priority rahegi jab tak price critical Kijun-sen line ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Ek rollback is level tak purchases ki relevance ko reduce kar dega. Alternative option ke liye prepare karna tab possible hoga jab price cloud ke neeche trade kare, aur signal lines ke formation ke sath "dead cross" ban jaye.

Northern direction of movement USDJPY currency pair ke liye prevail kar rahi hai. H1 time frame par, significant extremes rise kar rahe hain, jaisa ke zig zag indicator dikhata hai, jaisa significant lows aur highs rise karte hain. Trend indicator, moving average with a period of 120, price ke neeche hai, yeh buyers ki strength indicate karta hai. Aaj behtar yeh hoga ke level 153.90 se buying consider karein, pehla take profit price level 154.30 par rakhein, doosra take profit best level 154.70 par rakhein, aur stop loss for two orders level 153.60 par set karein. Agar pair price level 153.30 par fix ho jaye, market ki situation change ho sakti hai, phir selling consider karna zaroori hoga. Market par directly sell karne ki koshish karein consolidation ke baad. Take profit for sales level 152.90 par set karein, aur stop loss level 153.60 par rakhein. Signal confirm karne ke liye lower timeframe par jayein; M15 is quite suitable. Fifteen-minute chart par USDJPY ke purchases Moving Average aur Zig Zag indicators se confirm hote hain.

USD/JPY KA TAARUF

Rozana se Bollinger Bands ki indicator par nazar rakh kar dekha jata hai ke kharidar ab bhi qeemat ko Upper Bollinger Bands area mein barqarar rakhte hain, halaanke kharidar ne bullish Doji candlestick bana kar trading ka domin peemai jaari rakha hai jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke UsdJpy market pair ka movement mazeed bullish tareeqe se barhega, sab se qareeb makaam Upper Bollinger bands area ko todne aur ek bar phirse all-time high qeemat banane ki koshish karega. Magar agar Upper Bollinger Bands area mein dakhal na mil sake, to ismein becho ke liye mouqa ban sakta hai ke qeemat ko bearish downward movement mein wapas le jaye with target ke paas nearest buyer support area ki taraf jaane ka.

Technical Reference: 161.040 ke neeche bechne ka, Resistance 1: 160.850 Resistance 2: 161.040 Support 1: 160.400 Support 2: 160.280

USDJPY ne Jumeraat (6/28/24) ko itihas mein record high qeemat banayi, currency pair mein tezi se izafa ho sakta hai jo ke munafa lenay ki saakh hai. Girawat ka mouqa ab bhi US session tak ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Bullish channel aur Moving Average par breakout jo ke chal rahi qeemat se oopar hain yeh bearish tajzia mein izafa karte hain.

Aik ghantay ki chart analysis ke mutabiq. 15 M chart par upar bhasa di gayi hai. Is mein bhi girawat ka mouqa hai kyunke Moving Average chal rahi qeemat par hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke qeemat ki movement ka average value abhi bhi giray ga. Agar scenario ke mutabiq ho, to USDJPY ka mouqa ho sakta hai ke giray aur 160.280 ke support level ko test karne jaaye.

USD/JPY karansi pair. Is liye, mein is waqt market mein dakhil hone ka soch nahi raha hoon. Mein sirf is intezaar mein hoon ke agar price is ascending channel se neeche gir jaye to. Aise halat mein, bull ko support level 152.01 se bullish correction karni hogi. Sale mein dakhil hone ke liye, mujhe yeh correction dekhni pasand hogi, lekin yeh ho sakta hai ke na ho. Agar yeh na ho to mein trading se door reh kar market ko observe karunga. European session ke doran USD/JPY currency pair mein moderate decline dekha gaya. Pair sharply gira magar jaldi se current weekly session ke opening levels pe wapas aa gaya. Lagta hai ke investors US market open hone se pehle kuch profits lock kar rahe hain.
4-hour chart par achi accumulation nazar aa rahi hai. Aur yeh accumulation north ja rahi hai. Ab tak, MACD par koi strong brake nahi hai aur movement mein potential hai. Hum shayad previous maximum se thoda upar bhi ja sakte hain aur aur nahi. Filhal, is currency pair ko forecast karna kaafi mushkil hai, kyun ke movement ab tak planned direction mein nahi ja raha, aur priority ko is current vector ko dena chahiye. Mera yaqeen hai ke main resistance level 160.9 hoga, is liye zaroori hai ke 159.61 mark ko overcome karain, 160.29 ko reach karain, aur tabhi hum upward movement ka end dekhenge. Is vector mein, aapko jaldi act karna chahiye, kyun ke weekly cycle ke end tak kam waqt reh gaya hai, aur current trend ko complete karna important hai. Meri rai mein, price level for entering the increase 158.97 hoga, aur yeh optimal moment hoga ek long position open karne ke liye.

Yeh intense hoga agar price action weekly pivot point se bounce kar sake aur apni highest component tak pohanch jaye. Iske ilawa, aap bhi purchase kar sakte hain agar price rebound kare top of the bullish price action component par weekly support level 161.30 pe jab price lower blue channel line se upper blue channel line tak pohanch jaye. Sale initiate ho sakti hai current level pe, stop loss level ko is haftay ke highest trading price ke upar adjust kar sakte hain, aur target level ko pivot point for the week ke upar adjust kar sakte hain

USD/JPY Price Move

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price action analysis par baat karenge. USD/JPY pair mein kisi significant downturn ka imkaan kam hai. Lekin agar aisa hota hai, to yeh downtrend ka aghaz kar sakta hai, jo 161.24 ke peak se door hote hue move karega. Technically, USD/JPY pair 14-period moving average aur bands ke upper boundary ke upar trade kar raha hai. 2 EMA Color Alerts trend indicator bhi further growth ko support kar raha hai. Agar Bank of Japan foreign exchange demand mein interfere karta hai yen ki value ko raise karne ke liye, to USD/JPY currency pair significant drop experience kar sakta hai, possibly 157.69 ke support level tak pohonch sakta hai. Yeh level mid-June mein dekhi gayi consolidation range ke saath coincide karta hai, lekin aur zyada drop hona unlikely hai.

USD/JPY pair broader time frames mein unstoppable growth dikhata hai, aur kisi trend reversal ka koi sign nahi hai. Price sirf minor pullbacks dikhata hai, jaise ke recent one on the H4 chart, jo optimal prices par long positions ke opportunities provide kar raha hai. Bulls ki strength significantly bears se zyada hai, jo 160.192 level ko test karne mein do attempts ke bawajood fail ho gaye. Pehle bhi kaha gaya tha, mujhe halt ya reversal ke koi signs nahi nazar aa rahe. Current market conditions ke mutabiq, agar USD/JPY currency pair decline karta hai, to shorter time frames mein buy patterns implement karne ke opportunities dekhna prudent hoga. Ek khaas chart jo in patterns ko monitor karne ke liye suitable hai, wo M1 chart hai. Additionally, H4 chart par bullish direction mein upward trend dikhai de raha hai, jo solid buying opportunity indicate karta hai.

To summary mein, USD/JPY currency pair mein major downturn ka chance kam hai, lekin agar Bank of Japan interfere karta hai, to significant drop ho sakta hai. Broader time frames mein growth strong hai, aur minor pullbacks long positions ke liye opportunities de rahe hain. Shorter time frames mein buy patterns dekhte rahein, aur H4 chart par upward trend ke saath solid buying opportunities ko monitor karte rahein.

) ne Japanese Economic Revitalization Minister Yoshitaka Shindo ke comments ke baad recent losses se recover karne ki koshish ki. Shindo ne hukumat ke budget surplus ko fiscal year 2025 mein achieve karne ke commitment ka ilaan kiya aur economy ke growth potential ke baray mein optimism zahir kiya. Is khabar ne potential currency weakness ke concerns ko kam karne mein madad di. Magar, underlying factors ab bhi Yen par pressure daal rahe hain. Japan mein inflation barh raha hai, lekin bohat si doosri countries ke muqable mein dheemi raftaar se. Iska matlab hai ke Bank of Japan ke interest rates barhane ke chances kam hain, jo aam tor par Yen ko mazboot karta hai. Japan aur doosri nations, khas tor par United States, ke interest rates ke darmiyan farq ki wajah se Yen ek kam attractive investment banta hai, jo iska exchange rate niche dhakelta hai. USD/JPY currency pair filhal 157.40 ke qareeb hai. Technical analysis ek potential pause ko suggest karti hai uptrend mein, magar overall sentiment bullish hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka 50 se ooper rehna USD/JPY ke upward trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai. Qareebi mustaqbil mein, key level jo dekhne wala hai woh 158.00 hai. Agar yeh psychological level break hota hai toh 34-year high 160.32 ka retest ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar 157.00 se niche girta hai toh pair 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 156.72 ke taraf retreat kar sakta hai. Aage dekhte hue, kuch Fibonacci retracement levels potential support aur resistance zones provide karte hain. Agar 159.10, jo 161.8% Fibonacci extension hai, ke ooper breakout hota hai toh 34-year peak ka revisit possible ho sakta hai. Niche ki taraf, agar pair 156.35, jo 138.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai, se girta hai toh yeh 154.64 aur shayad usse bhi niche slide kar sakta hai. May inflection point 151.90 significant decline ke scenario mein kuch support de sakta hai. Overall, USD/JPY exchange rate ek tug-of-war face kar raha

USD/JPY

158.20 ka price test us waqt hua jab MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator ne zero mark se kaafi upar significant movement dikha diya tha. Ye movement ek strong bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Kaafi arse se, MACD overbought area mein tha. Ye surat-e-haal sell scenario ko consider karne ki gunjaish paida karti thi, kyunke yeh suggest karti thi ke market overextended ho sakta hai aur ek price correction nazdeek ho sakti hai.

MACD ek maqbool momentum indicator hai jo technical analysis mein trend ki strength aur direction assess karne ke liye istemal hota hai. Isme do moving averages hote hain, MACD line aur signal line, jo traders ko potential buy aur sell signals identify karne mein madad dete hain. Jab MACD line signal line ke upar cross karti hai, ye aam tor par ek bullish trend ko signal karti hai, jabke signal line ke neeche crossover ek bearish trend ko zahir karta hai. Zero line ek baseline ke tor par kaam karti hai taake positive aur negative momentum ko distinguish kiya ja sake.

Is particular instance mein, MACD kaafi arse se overbought area mein tha, jo ye indicate karta hai ke price rapidly rise ho rahi thi aur ek reversal ke liye due ho sakti thi. Overbought condition tab hoti hai jab MACD line significantly signal line aur zero mark se upar hoti hai, jo market mein excessive bullish sentiment ko reflect karti hai. Traders aise scenarios mein aksar sell signals dekhte hain, anticipate karte hue ke ek potential downturn ho sakta hai.

158.20 par price pohanchna jab MACD ab bhi overbought territory mein tha, sell scenario ki likelihood ko mazeed reinforce karta tha. Traders isay ek opportunity interpret kar sakte hain profits lene ya short positions enter karne ke liye, expect karte hue ke price decline hogi. Price level aur MACD ke prolonged overbought condition ka combination ek confluence of signals paida karta hai jo potential market correction ko suggest karta hai.

Yeh baat zaroori hai ke MACD aik valuable tool hai technical analysis mein, magar yeh infallible nahi hai. Traders ko apni trading decisions ko confirm karne ke liye doosray factors aur indicators ko bhi consider karna chahiye. Mazeed, market conditions rapidly change ho sakti hain, aur jo clear sell signal lag raha ho woh jaldi se bullish trend ka continuation ban sakta hai. Is liye, risk management aur ek comprehensive trading strategy zaroori hai taake aise scenarios ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

Natije mein, 158.20 ka price test us waqt hua jab MACD indicator ne zero mark se kaafi upar significant movement kar chuka tha aur kaafi arse se overbought area mein tha. Yeh sell scenario ko consider karne ki gunjaish paida karta tha, kyunke market overextended lag rahi thi aur potential correction ke liye ripe thi. Traders jo MACD ko apne analysis ka hissa banate hain, unho ne overbought condition aur price level ko apne decision-making process mein key factors ke tor par note kiya hota

USD/JPY UPDATES ANALYSIS
Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ke istemal se nazar rakh rahay hain, khareedne walay Upper Bollinger Bands area mein qeemat ko maintain kartay ja rahay hain. Khareedne walay trading mein dominate karnay mein kamiyaab hotay hain aur bullish Doji candlestick bananay ke zariye ishara detay hain keh UsdJpy market pair ki movement mazeed buland ho kar barhne ja rahi hai, jis ka qareebi target Upper Bollinger Bands area ko toorna aur all-time high price ko dobara bananay ki koshish karna hai. Lekin agar Upper Bollinger Bands area ko paar karne mein kamiyabi na milay, to is mein mauqa hai keh farokht karne walay qeemat ko bearish girawat movement mein wapis le ja sakain, jis ka maqsad qareebi buyer support area ki taraf jana hai.

Technical Reference: Jab tak 161.040 se neeche rahe, bechna munasib hai.

Resistance 1: 160.850
Resistance 2: 161.040
Support 1: 160.400
Support 2: 160.280

USDJPY ne Jumeraat (28 June 2024) ko tareekhi bulandi qaim ki, jis mein taizi se izafa hua hai, jis ki wajah se munafa ikhraj ka imkaan hai. Girawat ka mauqa raat ke US session tak bhi ho sakta hai. Mazeed ye ke Bullish channel aur Moving Average bhi jo ke dauran ke price se oopar hain, ye bhi girawat ki tawajjo barhate hain.

Aik ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, girawat ki tashkeel ke sath milta julta hai. 15 minute ke chart mein bhi, Moving Average dauran ke price se oopar hone ki wajah se girawat ka mauqa hai, jo ke price movement ki ausat ke qeemat girne ka ishaara karta hai. Agar tajziya ke mutabiq ho, to USDJPY ke liye girawat ka mauqa hai jis mein support level 160.280 ko test kiya ja sakta hai.

Bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, short term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed Hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaaD1par ek mirror level ka intezar kar chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar