USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY
Hamari guftagu ka markaz USD/JPY currency pair ke mojooda price action ka tajziya hai. Resistance level 158.22 test kiya gaya bina maximum update kiye, jiske baad bears ne control hasil kar liya aur takreeban support level 157.50 ko pohanch gaye. Aaj USD/JPY ne significant volatility dikhayi hai, aur shaam tak 157.50 pohanchne ke asar hain. Is maqam par, hum ya to is level ke neeche consolidation ke sath ek breakdown dekh sakte hain ya phir 157.50 ke upar ek entry point ka formation, jo buying opportunity ka ishara dega. Kisi bhi trade se pehle, ek precise formation aur entry point ka intezar karna zaroori hai. Sab se important, confirmation signal ka hona bhi zaroori hai taake false breakouts se bacha ja sake jo reversal ka sabab ban sakte hain.

USD/JPY currency pair zyada tar bullish move kar raha hai. H1 time frame par zig-zag indicator ke zariye rising extremes dekhe ja rahe hain, jisme increasing lows aur highs hain. Trend indicator, jo ke 119 period ke moving average hai aur price ke neeche hai, buyers ki strength ko demonstrate karta hai. Aaj, 157.59 level se buying behtar hai, pehle take profit 157.99 par aur doosra 158.39 par rakhna chahiye jabke dono orders ke liye stop loss 157.29 par set karna chahiye. Agar pair 156.99 par fix ho jata hai, to market situation shift ho sakti hai aur sales ko consider karna zaroori hai. Repair hone par, market par directly selling ki koshish ki ja sakti hai, jisme take profit 156.59 par aur stop loss 157.29 par set karna chahiye. Signal ko confirm karne ke liye lower time frame ko check karna chahiye, jisme M15 suitable hai. Fifteen-minute USDJPY chart par, instrument ki purchases ko Moving Average aur zig-zag indicators validate kar rahe hain.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY currency pair ke kaafi aham resistance aur support levels hain jo traders ko ghor se dekhne chahiye. Iss waqt, high resistance level 157.13 par hai, aur ek aur significant resistance 155.76 par hai. Yeh levels kaafi strong barriers sabit hue hain jahan sellers ne price ko upar jane se roka hai. Iss surat-e-haal mein, mumkin hai ke price mazid mazboot ho aur 155.298 ke aas-paas ek nayi supply area ki taraf badh jaye, jo ke ek aur resistance level hai. Agar price yahan tak pohanchti hai, to sellers isko wapas niche dhakelne ki koshish kar sakte hain, jo is level ko potential reversals ke liye critical banata hai.

Support side par, low support level 157.20 par hai, jab ke high support level 156.81 par hai. Yeh support levels ne pehle downward movements ko roknay mein madad ki hai, jahan buyers ne further declines ko roknay aur control regain karne ki koshish ki hai. In support levels ke aas-paas activity ka mushahida karna future price direction samajhne ke liye bohot zaroori hoga. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke USD/JPY price mazid kamzor ho aur 156.31 ke aas-paas ek nayi demand area ki taraf badh jaye, jo ke ek aur important support level hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke price 156.53 level ko phir se test kar sakti hai, jahan main resistance area mojood hai.

Traders ko yeh dekhna chahiye ke price in key levels par kaise react karti hai. Agar price mazboot hoti hai aur 155.298 resistance area ki taraf badhti hai, to dekhna hoga ke sellers control bana sakte hain aur price ko wapas niche dhakel sakte hain ya nahi. Isi tarah, agar price kamzor hoti hai aur 156.31 support area ke qareeb aati hai, to buyers ki activity ko monitor karna zaroori hoga taake dekha ja sake ke kya woh is level ko defend kar sakte hain aur price ko wapas upar le ja sakte hain ya nahi. In resistance aur support levels ke darmiyan interaction market sentiment aur USD/JPY pair ke potential future movements ke baray mein valuable insights faraham karega. Misal ke taur par, agar price high resistance level 157.13 ko test karti hai aur isay break nahi kar pati, to yeh strong selling pressure ki nishani ho sakti hai jo ke reversal ke liye niche levels ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Doosri taraf, agar buyers 156.31 support area ko effectively defend karte hain, to yeh bullish reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo ke price ko wapas upar higher resistance levels ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Japanese Economic Revitalization Minister Yoshitaka Shindo ke comments ke baad recent losses se recover karne ki koshish ki. Shindo ne hukumat ke budget surplus ko fiscal year 2025 mein achieve karne ke commitment ka ilaan kiya aur economy ke growth potential ke baray mein optimism zahir kiya. Is khabar ne potential currency weakness ke concerns ko kam karne mein madad di. Magar, underlying factors ab bhi Yen par pressure daal rahe hain. Japan mein inflation barh raha hai, lekin bohat si doosri countries ke muqable mein dheemi raftaar se. Iska matlab hai ke Bank of Japan ke interest rates barhane ke chances kam hain, jo aam tor par Yen ko mazboot karta hai. Japan aur doosri nations, khas tor par United States, ke interest rates ke darmiyan farq ki wajah se Yen ek kam attractive investment banta hai, jo iska exchange rate niche dhakelta hai. USD/JPY currency pair filhal 157.40 ke qareeb hai. Technical analysis ek potential pause ko suggest karti hai uptrend mein, magar overall sentiment bullish hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka 50 se ooper rehna USD/JPY ke upward trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai. Qareebi mustaqbil mein, key level jo dekhne wala hai woh 158.00 hai. Agar yeh psychological level break hota hai toh 34-year high 160.32 ka retest ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar 157.00 se niche girta hai toh pair 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 156.72 ke taraf retreat kar sakta hai. Aage dekhte hue, kuch Fibonacci retracement levels potential support aur resistance zones provide karte hain. Agar 159.10, jo 161.8% Fibonacci extension hai, ke ooper breakout hota hai toh 34-year peak ka revisit possible ho sakta hai. Niche ki taraf, agar pair 156.35, jo 138.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai, se girta hai toh yeh 154.64 aur shayad usse bhi niche slide kar sakta hai. May inflection point 151.90 significant decline ke scenario mein kuch support de sakta hai. Overall, USD/JPY exchange rate ek tug-of-war face kar raha

Charts par notice kiye gaye zigzag patterns minor fluctuations ko filter karte hain, jo trends ko samajhne mein madadgar hote hain. 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) apni upri raftar ki wajah se bullish trend ko dikhata hai. Keemat ka upper band Bollinger Bands ke nazdeek hone ka matlab hai ke kuch pullback ka imkan hai ya bullish trend ka jaari rehna. Demand Index aur Stochastic Oscillator market conditions ko mazeed analyze karte hain. Kharidar aur bechne walon ke darmiyan kuch fark hai kyun ke kharidari aur farokht ke dabao mein balance hai. Stochastic Oscillator, jo closing price ko mukarar price range ke khilaaf napta hai, overbought ya oversold intehaai nahi dikhata, jo keemat ko kisi bhi raaste mein move kar sakta hai aur ek bullish trend ko tasdeeq karta hai. Mazeed, Average True Range (ATR) bhi ahem hai jo market ki volatility napta hai. Traders ATR ke zahir hone wali darmiyan volatility ko mad e nazar rakhte hue munasib stop-loss aur take-profit levels set kar sakte hain, Main abhi USD/JPY currency pair ke powerful valuing conduct ka evaluation kar raha hoon. USDJPY H4 chart par apni upar ki taraf movement ko continue karne ke liye tayaar hai. Price abhi bhi Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke upper limit ke upar hai, jo persistent bullish sentiment ko indicate kar raha hai jo bears ko shaheed nahi kar sakte. Nayi trading week mein dollar ke mazid mazboot hone ke sath yeh 161 ya us se upar move karne ka imkaan hai. Yeh strong upward trend abhi bhi solid hai, supported by Japan ke weakening yen aur negative news.
Recently, CCI indicator H4 par volatility show kar raha tha lekin Friday ke end par ek upward turn dikhaya, jo meri outlook ko support karta hai ke is currency pair ko buy karna chahiye, jo ke zyada time tak grow kar sakti hai, shayad ek saal tak bhi. Agar support level 155.76 par break ho jata hai aur consolidation niche hoti hai, to yeh development outlook ko negate kar dega, aur phir 154.57 ya 153.62 tak sell off ho sakta hai. Weekly chart ke hawale se, maine consistently ek bullish trading plan form kiya hai
USDJPY currency pair H1 timeframe par ab kaafi mazboot bullish signs dikhata hai. Is bullish tendency ka ek main indication yeh hai ke price 159.901 resistance level par atkaa hua hai. Pehle, price ne 159.296 support level tak ek correction ka saamna kiya tha, jo EMA 50 ke aas paas hai. Yeh correction temporary selling pressure ko indicate karta hai jo price ko support area tak neeche kheench gaya tha. 159,296 support level tak pohanchne ke baad, price ne phir se bullish strength dikhayi aur barhti huyi. Yeh darshata hai ke 159,296 support ne price girne ko rokne mein kamiyabi haasil ki hai aur buyers ke liye phir se market mein daakhil hone ka modd hai. Is support ko chhootne ke baad huyi price increase darshata hai ke market sentiment abhi taak buying power dwara dominate ki ja rahi hai. Abhi, price phir se 159,901 resistance level ke qareeb ja raha hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke jaari rehne ko taay karta hai. Agar price 159,901 resistance ko toorna kaamyaab

ek bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, main short-term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed Hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai

Economic Revitalization Minister Yoshitaka Shindo ke comments ke baad recent losses se recover karne ki koshish ki. Shindo ne hukumat ke budget surplus ko fiscal year 2025 mein achieve karne ke commitment ka ilaan kiya aur economy ke growth potential ke baray mein optimism zahir kiya. Is khabar ne potential currency weakness ke concerns ko kam karne mein madad di. Magar, underlying factors ab bhi Yen par pressure daal rahe hain. Japan mein inflation barh raha hai, lekin bohat si doosri countries ke muqable mein dheemi raftaar se. Iska matlab hai ke Bank of Japan ke interest rates barhane ke chances kam hain, jo aam tor par Yen ko mazboot karta hai. Japan aur doosri nations, khas tor par United States, ke interest rates ke darmiyan farq ki wajah se Yen ek kam attractive investment banta hai, jo iska exchange rate niche dhakelta hai. USD/JPY currency pair filhal 157.40 ke qareeb hai. Technical analysis ek potential pause ko suggest karti hai uptrend mein, magar overall sentiment bullish hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka 50 se ooper rehna USD/JPY ke upward trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai. Qareebi mustaqbil mein, key level jo dekhne wala hai woh 158.00 hai. Agar yeh psychological level break hota hai toh 34-year high 160.32 ka retest ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar 157.00 se niche girta hai toh pair 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 156.72 ke taraf retreat kar sakta hai. Aage dekhte hue, kuch Fibonacci retracement levels potential support aur resistance zones provide karte hain. Agar 159.10, jo 161.8% Fibonacci extension hai, ke ooper breakout hota hai toh 34-year peak ka revisit possible ho sakta hai. Niche ki taraf, agar pair 156.35, jo 138.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai, se girta hai toh yeh 154.64 aur shayad usse bhi niche slide kar sakta hai. May inflection point 151.90 significant decline ke scenario mein kuch support de sakta hai. Overall, USD/JPY exchange rate ek tug-of-war face kar raha

JPY pair mein ek correction chal rahi hai. Yeh pair shayad kuch gains ko consolidate aur retrace kare ga ek significant upward trend ke baad. 'Support levels' wo price levels hain jahan ek currency pair historically neechay girne mein mushkilat ka shikar hota hai. Is healthy correction ke natije mein naye support levels ban sakte hain, jo market ko overheating se bachate hain Charts par notice kiye gaye zigzag patterns minor fluctuations ko filter karte hain, jo trends ko samajhne mein madadgar hote hain. 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) apni upri raftar ki wajah se bullish trend ko dikhata hai. Keemat ka upper band Bollinger Bands ke nazdeek hone ka matlab hai ke kuch pullback ka imkan hai ya bullish trend ka jaari rehna. Demand Index aur Stochastic Oscillator market conditions ko mazeed analyze karte hain. Kharidar aur bechne walon ke darmiyan kuch fark hai kyun ke kharidari aur farokht ke dabao mein balance hai. Stochastic Oscillator, jo closing price ko mukarar price range ke khilaaf napta hai, overbought ya oversold intehaai nahi dikhata, jo keemat ko kisi bhi raaste mein move kar sakta hai aur ek bullish trend ko tasdeeq karta hai. Mazeed, Average True Range (ATR) bhi ahem hai jo market ki volatility napta hai. Traders ATR ke zahir hone wali darmiyan volatility ko mad e nazar rakhte hue munasib stop-loss aur take-profit levels set kar sakte hain,
Main abhi USD/JPY currency pair ke powerful valuing conduct ka evaluation kar raha hoon. USDJPY H4 chart par apni upar ki taraf movement ko continue karne ke liye tayaar hai. Price abhi bhi Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke upper limit ke upar hai, jo persistent bullish sentiment ko indicate kar raha hai jo bears ko shaheed nahi kar sakte. Nayi trading week mein dollar ke mazid mazboot hone ke sath yeh 161 ya us se upar move karne ka imkaan hai. Yeh strong upward trend abhi bhi solid hai, supported by Japan ke weakening yen aur negative news.
Recently, CCI indicator H4 par volatility show kar raha tha lekin Friday ke end par ek upward turn dikhaya, jo meri outlook ko support karta hai ke is currency pair ko buy karna chahiye, jo ke zyada time tak grow kar sakti hai, shayad ek saal tak bhi. Agar support level 155.76 par break ho jata hai aur consolidation niche hoti hai, to yeh development outlook ko negate kar dega, aur phir 154.57 ya 153.62 tak sell off ho sakta hai. Weekly chart ke hawale se, maine consistently ek bullish trading

USD/JPY KE NAQDE KI TA'ARUF AUR TA'AMULAT

Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ke istemal ke doran, buyers ne keemat ko Upper Bollinger Bands area mein qaim rakha hai. Buyers ab bhi trading par hukumat jari rakhte hain aur ek bullish Doji candlestick banane ke zariye market mein izafa ho raha hai, jo yeh ishara deta hai ke USD/JPY pair ke liye mazeed bull movement ka imkan hai. Qareebi target Upper Bollinger Bands area ko toorna aur all-time high ke daur mein mazeed pohnchne ka bhi hai. Lekin agar Upper Bollinger Bands area ko paar karne mein nakami ho jati hai, to yeh mauqa ho sakta hai ke sellers ke zariye qeemat ko neechay ki taraf daba diya jaye, jahan qareebi buyer support area ka intikhab kiya ja sakta hai.

Technical Reference:
Bechne ka sujhaav jab tak 161.040 ke neechay rahe ga
Resistance 1: 160.850
Resistance 2: 161.040
Support 1: 160.400
Support 2: 160.280

USD/JPY ne Jumeraat ko (6/28/24) tareekh mein aik record bulandee qaim ki, currency pair mein tezi ke baad munafa lenay ka imkan mojood hai. Girawat ka mauqa aaj raat tak US session mein bhi ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Bullish channel aur Moving Average ke breakout jo running price ke ooper hain, yeh bhi bearish outlook ko barhate hain.



Ek ghantay ke chart ke mutabiq bhi, 15 minute ke chart par bhi girawat ka mauqa mojood hai, kyunki Moving Average running price ke ooper hai, jo keemat ki aam maaliyat mein girawat ka ishara karta hai. Agar yeh manzur ho, to USD/JPY ka mojooda scenario 160.280 ke support level ko test karne ka mauqa mojood hai.

USD/JPY KE TA'AMULAT AUR MAZID TAQAT

Price 160.63 ke imtehan ne tab aya jab MACD indicator zero mark se ooper uthne laga, jo dollar khareedne ke sahi dakhli nukta ko tasdeeq karta hai halat ke dauran bull market mein. Is natijay mein USD/JPY 20 pips se zyada izafa kar gaya, jari rahay annual highs ki tashkeel par aaj ke Asian session mein. Japan ke Bank ki currency intervention ki ghaibi maujood hai, jo kehna hai ke market ko aur bhi buland karne ki mumkinat hai, Japan ke finance minister ki kal ki tanbeehon ke bawajood. Sirf masla yeh ho sakta hai ke aaj maheena ka aakhir hai, jis ke saath lambi positions par munafa lenay ka aasar ho sakta hai aur yeh pair ke bull potential ko thora sa had tak mehdood kar sakta hai. Lekin bohot kuch US data par munhasar hoga, jise hum afternoon forecast mein mazeed tafseel se muntazir hain. Rozana ki strategy ke liye, main No. 1 aur No. 2 ke manazir ke tatbiq par zyada ittemad karunga.

Buy signals:
Scenario No. 1: Aaj ke liye, main USD/JPY khareedna chahta hoon jab keemat chart par sabz line ke zariye 161.18 entry point tak pohanchay, maqsad yeh hai ke 161.79 tak mazeed izafa ho, jo chart par moti sabz line ke zariye nishana rakha gaya hai. 161.79 ke aas paas, main lambi positions se nikalunga aur mukhalif raaste mein short positions kholunga, umid hai ke us darje se mukhalif raaste mein 30-35 pips ki chalao aye gi. Aaj ke dauran bullish progress ke jariye pair ke izafa par umid ki ja sakti hai. Khareedne se pehle, yaqeeni banayen ke MACD indicator zero mark se ooper hai aur abhi sirf is se ooper uthna shuru ho raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Main aaj ke liye bhi USD/JPY khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon agar MACD indicator oversold area mein ho aur do mawafiq imtehan 160.86 ke ho jayen. Yeh pair ke neechay ke potential ko mehdood karega aur market ko mukhalif raaste par la sakta hai. Umeed hai ke izafa 161.18 aur 161.79 ke mukhalif levels tak ho sakta hai.

Sell signals:
Scenario No. 1: Aaj ke liye, main USD/JPY bechnay ka irada rakhta hoon sirf 160.86 ke mawafiq imtehan ke baad, jo chart par laal line se darj hai, jo keemat mein tezi se girao ho sakta hai. Bechne ke liye, key target sellers ke liye 160.40 hai, jahan se main short positions se bahar niklunga aur foran mukhalif raaste mein long positions kholunga, umid hai ke us darje se mukhalif raaste mein 20-25 pips ki chalao aye gi. Dabao USD/JPY par wapas aa sakta hai agar keemat din ke unchi qareebat mein jam nahi ho paye. Bechnay se pehle, yaqeeni banayen ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur abhi sirf is se neeche girna shuru ho raha hai.



Scenario No. 2: Main aaj ke liye USD/JPY bechnay ka irada rakhta hoon agar MACD indicator overbought area mein ho aur do mawafiq imtehan 161.18 ke ho jayen. Yeh pair ke upar ke potential ko mehdood karega aur market ko mukhalif raaste par la sakta hai. Umeed hai ke girao 160.86 aur 160.40 ke mukhalif levels tak ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY KE HAWALE SE

Kal USD/JPY ke baray mein, aik halkay southern pullback ke baad, keemat ne rukh badla aur dheeray se uttar ki taraf jari rahi, jis se pehle din ke range ke andar aik relatively chota sa reversal candle ban gaya. Kul mila kar, main is aala ke liye mazeed keemat ki taraf rehnumai ka intezar karta raha hun aur main puri tarah se tasleem karta hun ke jari accumulation mukammal hone ke baad, aik impulsive breakout resistance level tak hoga, jo ke meri tashkeel ke mutabiq 164.500 par waqaya hai. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya hai, is resistance level ke qareeb do manazir ho sakte hain. Pehla manzar yeh hai ke keemat is level ke ooper consolidate ho aur mazeed uttar ki taraf jaye. Agar yeh mansoobah pura ho, to hume 168.000 ke resistance level ki taraf keemat ko uthtay hue dekhne ka imkan hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main trading setup ke janam hone ka intezar karunga jo aglay trading rukh ka faisla karne mein madad dega. Beshak, main keemat ko mazeed uttar ke targets ki taraf push hone ke imkan ko bhi muntazir rakhunga, lekin abhi ke liye main is manzir ko tezi se haqeeqat hone ke liye tayyar nahi dekhta.



Ek mukhalif scenario ke mutabiq jab keemat resistance level 164.500 ke qareeb aaye, aik plan shamil hai jo aik reversal candle ki shakl mein shakhsiat banata hai aur phir southern movement ko dobara shuru karta hai. Agar yeh mansoobah kamyab ho jaye, to main 160.29 ya 157.671 ke support level ki taraf keemat ko wapas anay ka intezar karoonga. In support levels ke qareeb, main mazeed bullish signals ki talaash karta rahunga, jo uttar ki taraf keemat ke phir se chalne ki umeed par amal karay ga. Amm tor par agar hum chand lafzon mein baat karen to, aaj ke taur par main samajhta hoon ke keemat ko mazeed uttar ki taraf push kiya ja sakta hai aur qareebi resistance level ko test kiya ja sakta hai, phir market ke halat ke mutabiq amal karon ga. News background ke taur par, aaj mazboot bunyadiyon par bhi mukhtalif taza updates mojood hain, aur mujhe yakeenan yeh samajhta hoon ke jazbati ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY Currency Pair: Muzabooti Ki Nishaniyaan

USD/JPY currency pair apni muzabooti ko sabit karta raha hai, haalaat mein America ki dollar ki muzahirah kamzori ke bawajood bhi. Yeh mazbooti khaas tor par H-4 (chaar ghanton) chart par zahir hai, jahan aik aham pin bar pattern zaahir ho raha hai. Yah pin bar abhi tak tashkeel mein hai lekin is mein traders aur analysts ke liye wazeh sifat mojood hain: buland trading volume aur lambay nichlay saaya.

USD/JPY currency pair forex market mein aik ahem benchmark hai, jo America ki dollar ki taqat ko Japanese yen ke muqablay mein darshaata hai. Haal hi mein tarraqiyan aur America ki dollar par amm tor par neechay ki dabao ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair ne apni muzabooti qaim rakhi hai. Is muzabooti ko mukhtalif factors ki taraf se tasleem kiya ja sakta hai, jaise ke maaliyat policy, market ki jazbaati haalat, aur bari siyasi o iqtisadi tajawuzat.

USD/JPY pair ke hawale se, is pin bar ke tashkeel hone ka matlab ho sakta hai ke aane wale waqt mein bullish reversal ka ishara ho. Agar yeh pattern mukammal ho jaye aur tasdeeq ho jaye, to yeh ishara hosakta hai ke America ki dollar ki haal hi ki kamzori waqtan-fawaqtan hai aur yeh pair aik tezi dekh sakta hai. Traders aur analysts mustafid hone ke liye agle qadam ke dauran keemat ki harkat ko tawajjo se dekhen ge ke yeh pin bar aik mustawab upar ki raftar ki taraf ishara hai ya bas waqtan-fawaqtan ki harkat hai.

Is ke ilawa, USD/JPY pair ki tafseeli muzammat ke doran mazeed amm siyasi manzar bhi tawajjo mein rakhe jaane chahiye. America aur Japan ke darmiyan interest rate ka farq, iqtisadi tarraqi ke imkanat, aur central bank policies is currency pair ko mutasir karne mein bara kirdar ada karte hain. Maslan, Federal Reserve ke interest rates par kisi tabdeeli ya Japan se naye maali data ke asar se USD/JPY exchange rate par asar par sakta hai.



Mukhtasar taur par, USD/JPY currency pair H-4 chart par muzabooti ki nishaniyan dikhata hai, America ki dollar ki muzahirah kamzori ke bawajood. Pin bar jo buland volume aur lambay nichlay saaye ke sath numaya hai, aik technical pattern hai jo bullish reversal ki mumkinat ka ishara karta hai. Is tashkeel ke sath, iqtisadi factors bhi shamil hain, jo USD/JPY pair ko forex traders aur market analysts ke liye dilchaspi ki mazhar bana dete hain. Hamesha ki tarah, forex market mein trading faislay ke liye technical indicators aur bunyadi factors ko dono ko madde nazar rakhe jana zaroori hai.

USD/JPY Ki Raftar Aur Aane Wale Imkano Ke Hawale Se

Sab kuch kamzor khabron ki wajah se nazuk lag raha hai. Lag raha hai ke aane wale waqt mein aik mumkin mauqa nazdeek hai; afsos hai ke main is harkat ke hone ka durust waqt sahi tarah se pesh nahi kar sakta, jab tak ke hum pehle 157.40 tak pohanchne ki koshish na karen. Agar is mein kamyabi na mile, to bulls 156.94 ke ooper jana mumkin nahi hai, aur southerners 155.99 tak support ke liye ek lehar utpann karenge. Is range ke andar, bear strength ne neechay ki taraf izafa aur southern structure ko barhane ke liye ek mazeed lehar tayar ki hai.

Ab lag raha hai ke yeh harkat uttar ki taraf raghib kar rahi hai jab ke USD/JPY ke girne ke baad humein phir se bullish potential mein muzahmat nazar aa rahi hai, jaisa hona chahiye. Lag raha hai ke kam az kam do options maujood hain. Main gehri islah ka intezar kar raha tha, lekin aaj market shayad qabil-e-paish goi ho ga aur kisi khas herat angaiz baat ke baghair yeh pair apnay izafa ko 160 ilaqay ki taraf barhaye ga, haan ke main market mein dakhil nahi ho saka kyunki meri tawajjo doosray aala par thi. Lekin aap mojooda levels par bhi market mein dakhil ho sakte hain.

Jaise ke hum taraqqi karte hain, hum 157.77 tak pohanchne aur shayad 159.30 tak bhi pohanchne ki koshish karte hain. Pair ke safar mein 158.17 ka hasool pehli kami hogi, jo ke matwazan intezar ke pehle hasool kiya ja sakta hai. Keemat phir se barh sakti hai jab ke buyers pur itminan hain. Isi liye, hum maqsad ke darajat ki taraf resources khareedne ki koshish karte hain taakay is momentum ka faida uthaya ja sake. 157.77 ki girao ke baad, agar bullish trend jari rahe, to exchange rate ke izafa par tawajjo di ja sakti hai.



USD/JPY ke keemat ke raftar ka pesh-e-nazar karna mushkil hai kyunki market ke levels ghair mutawaazan hain. Challenges ke bawajood, USD/JPY ke harkat par tawajjo qaim rahegi. Pichle kuch hafton se yeh trend izafa ho raha hai, khaas tor par European session aur lunchtime news ke baad. European session ke ikhtetam se pehle, yeh pair 154.85 ki resistance ko azma sakta hai aur shayad 157.77 tak pohanchay.

recent losses se recover karne ki koshish ki. Shindo ne hukumat ke budget surplus ko fiscal year 2025 mein achieve karne ke commitment ka ilaan kiya aur economy ke growth potential ke baray mein optimism zahir kiya. Is khabar ne potential currency weakness ke concerns ko kam karne mein madad di. Magar, underlying factors ab bhi Yen par pressure daal rahe hain. Japan mein inflation barh raha hai, lekin bohat si doosri countries ke muqable mein dheemi raftaar se. Iska matlab hai ke Bank of Japan ke interest rates barhane ke chances kam hain, jo aam tor par Yen ko mazboot karta hai. Japan aur doosri nations, khas tor par United States, ke interest rates ke darmiyan farq ki wajah se Yen ek kam attractive investment banta hai, jo iska exchange rate niche dhakelta hai. USD/JPY currency pair filhal 157.40 ke qareeb hai. Technical analysis ek potential pause ko suggest karti hai uptrend mein, magar overall sentiment bullish hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka 50 se ooper rehna USD/JPY ke upward trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai. Qareebi mustaqbil mein, key level jo dekhne wala hai woh 158.00 hai. Agar yeh psychological level break hota hai toh 34-year high 160.32 ka retest ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar 157.00 se niche girta hai toh pair 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 156.72 ke taraf retreat kar sakta hai. Aage dekhte hue, kuch Fibonacci retracement levels potential support aur resistance zones provide karte hain. Agar 159.10, jo 161.8% Fibonacci extension hai, ke ooper breakout hota hai toh 34-year peak ka revisit possible ho sakta hai. Niche ki taraf, agar pair 156.35, jo 138.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai, se girta hai toh yeh 154.64 aur shayad usse bhi niche slide kar sakta hai. May inflection point 151.90 significant decline ke scenario mein kuch support de sakta hai. Overall, USD/JPY exchange rate ek tug-of-war face kar raha

USD/JPY: Hafta Ke Aakhir Mein Tehreer

Pair ne Jumma ko kuch had tak raqam wapas liya, pehle ke nuqsanat ko palat diya, jabke America Dollar (USD) ko buland US Treasury yields ki wajah se bazidar hone ki khabar aayi. Is taraqqi ke bawajood, September mein America Federal Reserve (Fed) ke potential interest rate cut ke barhte hue afraad ne USD ke izafaat ko rukne ki sambhavna ka shakar kiya hai, khaas tor par USD/JPY pair mein. Is waqt tak, USD/JPY 160.90 ilaqe mein trading ho raha hai.

USD/JPY Ke Bunyadiyat:

Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda ne Thursday ko parliament ko address karte hue kaha, ke mahangi ke umeedain barh rahi hain lekin abhi tak 2% target ko nahin poora kiya gaya hai. Ueda ne ishteharat kiya ke BoJ March ke faislay ke baad market ki tashkhees ko muntazir hai aur massive monetary stimulus se nikalne ke taur par bond purchases ko kam karne ka intezam hai. Is ke ilawa, BoJ board member Toyoaki Nakamura ne bhi isharat di ke maujooda policy ko mohtaat samajhna moqarrar hai maujooda data ke mutabiq.

Chaaron ghanton ke time frame technical nazariya:

Agar USD/JPY 160.00 ke neechay gir jaye, to pehla support level Senkou Span A aur B ke milne wale nataij par 159.70 ke qareeb hoga. Is ke baad 100-day moving average (DMA) jo 158.56 par hoga, ko azma kar dekha jaega. Is level ke tor par Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) ke neechay 157.00 ke qareeb girna mumkin hai, jis se mazeed neechayi ki alamat ho sakti hai.



Pair ke liye aik ahem resistance level symmetrical triangle ke upper threshold par 156.80 par hai. Is level ko tor kar neechayi ke manazir kamzor ho sakte hain aur yeh pair 161.00 ki psychological barrier ko azma sakti hai. Mazeed izafaat ke sath pair 161.31 tak pohanch sakti hai, jo ke tehat saaloon se dekha jaega.

USD-JPY Pair Ki Tehqiq

Main phir se USDJPY currency pair ke harkat par guftagu karunga, jahan main ne fundamental analysis aur technical analysis ko future orders ke liye USDJPY market par ghor kiya hai.
USDJPY currency pair ki mojooda harkat ne apne izafa mein kafi bulandiyon tak pohanchi hai, aur guzishta Thursday shaam se 161.16 ke qeemat tak pohanch gayi hai. USDJPY currency pair ke izafay ka sabab Tokyo ki mahangi dar mein June mein izafa hua hai jo ke 0.9% tak pohanch gaya, jabke pichle maheene Tokyo ki mahangi dar sirf 0.7% thi. Is ne yen ke exchange rate ko US dollar ke khilaf kamzor kar diya. Yeh izafa Thursday shaam tak jaari raha. Asian market mein USDJPY ki harkat yen ke exchange rate ke halkay mazboot hone ke baaad gir gayi thi jab Tokyo Core CPI data ke izhar ke baad jo ke 0.1% tak izafa hua, aur US dollar ke exchange rate ko rate data ke izhar hone ke baad kamzor mehsoos hua. America mein be-rozgar logon ki tadad bhi abhi tak kaafi buland hai, jis mein 233 hazar be-rozgar shamil hain, aur America mein pending home sales bhi -2.1% tak ke neechay dabaaw mehsoos kar rahi hain, jis se USDJPY ki harkat ne subah ke waqt 160.80 ke qareeb girne ka sabab ban gaya. Aaj ke USDJPY ki harkat ke fundamental analysis ke natijay mein, main ne faisla kiya ke future mein USDJPY ko 160.50 ke qeemat par bechna hai.



Is ke saath hi, meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj ke USDJPY currency pair ki harkat phir se 160.50 ke qeemat tak girne ke mumkin nazar aati hai. Iska sabab yeh hai ke H1 time frame mein, USDJPY currency pair ki harkat ne aik bearish engulfing candle banai hai, jo ke USDJPY ko future mein 160.50 ke qeemat tak bechnay ke liye aik bohat taqatwar signal hai. Is ke ilawa, RSI 14 indicator ko mutalia karne se pata chalta hai ke USDJPY ki qeemat 161.15 par pehle se hi overbought ya bohat zyada overbought hai, is liye bohat mumkin hai ke aaj ke baad USDJPY ki harkat ko 10 se 50 pips tak gehri downward correction ka samna karna parega. USDJPY SELL signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods ke istemal se bhi support mil raha hai kyunki jab USDJPY ki qeemat 161.06 mein dakhil hui thi, to yeh SBR area mein thi, is liye bohat mumkin hai ke aaj ke din USDJPY apni girawat ko future mein 160.50 ke qeemat tak jari rakhegi. Aaj ke USDJPY currency pair ke technical analysis ke natijay mein, main ne faisla kiya hai ke future mein USDJPY ko 160.50 ke qeemat tak bechna hai.