USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

U.S. dollar ne Wednesday ke trading session ke dauran thodi si retreat ki, shayad recent gains ke baad ek choti correction ke tor par. Iske bawajood, overall market sentiment ab bhi buying on dips ke haq mein hai. 160 yen ka level khaas taur par noteworthy hai, kyunki Bank of Japan ke pehle interventions ki wajah se yahaan kaafi market residual hai, jo ek major deterrent ke tor par identified kiya gaya hai.
Jab hum is stage par pohnchte hain, key sawaal yeh hai ke kya yeh support ke tor par hold karega. Agar 160 yen ka level hold karne mein fail bhi ho jaye, to 158 yen ka lower level substantial support provide karne ki umeed hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke in levels par koi bhi decline potential buying opportunity present karta hai. Iski wajah favorable interest rate differential hai, jiska faida traders jo is pair ko hold karte hain hamesha uthatay hain.

Japan ki interest rate policy kaafi flexible rehti hai, aksar country ke massive debt ki wajah se. Kuch cases mein Japanese mortgages virtually illiquid hoti hain, jahan sirf Bank of Japan unhe kharidta hai. Yeh context yen ko zyada strong rehne dena mushkil banata hai. Natija yeh hai ke is market mein pullbacks ko buying opportunities ke tor par dekha jaayega.

Specifically, current market dynamics buying on dips ke trend se related hain. 160 yen ka level, jo pehle Bank of Japan intervention ki wajah se resistance area tha, ab ek important support level ban gaya hai dekhne ke liye. Agar yeh level fail karta hai, to 158 yen ka level next line of defense hai. Interest rate policy mein differences, aur consistently low Japanese interest rates yen ko kam attractive banati hain. USD/JPY pair ka pullback buyers ko attract karne ki umeed hai, jo ongoing interest rate differential ka faida uthana chahte hain.

Aage dekhte hue, jab tak Japan apni easy monetary policy maintain karta hai, yen ke zyada strong hone ki umeed nahi hai. Yeh scenario USD/JPY ko dips par buy karne ka ek ongoing opportunity provide karta hai, interest rate gains aur implied market support levels ka faida uthate hue.

NIGARI: Karobar ki tajziya aur Japani yen ka tajribati behtareen Paish-e-raft Mein, jab MACD nishandehi zero mark se intehai buland hota gaya, to 156.56 ke qeemat darja barqi hui, jis ne jodi ke mazeed buland potential ko roka. Is liye, maine ise nahi khareeda. Kyunki yeh Amrici session ke ikhtitam ki taraf hua, is liye koi naye daakhilay bazaar mein nahi mile. Kal ke Japan mein machinery orders aur trade balance ke musbat figures ko nazar andaz kiya gaya, lekin aaj ke economic activity ke nishandehiyon ne yen ko mazboot kar diya. Japan mein manufacturing PMI aur services PMI ne ma'ashiyat ke mohrajaat ko peechey chhoda, jo ke muashion ke tajziyati tawaghan ko girane wala tha. Lekin sawal yeh hai ke yen kharidne walon ki daair tak kitni muddat rahegi, khaaskar ek bullish dollar market mein aur Federal Reserve ke interest rates par mazboot stance ke sath. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko 156.80 (graph par hari line) ke qareeb ka hisa khareedun taake woh 157.15 (outline par zyada moti hari line) tak chade. 157.15 ke aas paas, maine khareedne ka irada kiya hai aur doosri taraf se farokht karna hai (yeh 30-35 jagahon ka chal chuka hai). Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko 156.56 ke muqam par do bar test hone par (jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hai), kharidun. Yeh jodi ka nichley potential ko mehdood kar dega aur ek sarhad ka bazaar ulta ho sakta hai. 156.80 aur 157.15 ke mukhalif darajat par, izaafa mutawaqqa hai. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko sirf tab bechun jab wo 156.56 ke muqam se neeche toot jaye (graph par surkhi line), jo ke jodi mein tezi se kami kar dega. Farokht karne walon ke liye ahem maqsad 156.30 hoga, jahan main farokht chhodunga aur jaldi se kharidun (yeh 20-25 jagahon ka chal chuka hai). Jodi ke upar farokht ka dabao wapas aa sakta hai agar yeh rozi rozi ke uchay par ittefaq nahi karta. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke agar MACD nishandehi zero mark ke niche ho aur bas ab is se girne laga ho, tab main USD/JPY ko bhi bechne ka irada karta hoon. Agar MACD nishandehi overbought area mein ho aur 156.80 ke dauray ke do murattab hon, to main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko bechne ka irada rakhta hoon.

/JPY currency pair: is waqt mein market mein enter karne ka soch nahi raha. Main sirf tab signal ka intezar karunga agar price ascending channel ke neeche drop hoti hai. Us surat mein bull ko support level 152.01 se bullish correction karna hoga. Proper sale entry ke liye, main yeh correction dekhna pasand karunga, magar yeh ho bhi sakta hai ke yeh na ho. Agar aisa na ho toh main trading se parheiz karunga aur market ko observe karunga.

USD/JPY currency pair ne European session ke doran moderate decline face kiya. Pair sharply gira magar phir jaldi se current weekly session ke opening levels par wapas aa gaya. Investors ke likely kuch profits lock in kar rahe hain before US market open.

4-hour chart par acha accumulation nazar aa raha hai. Aur yeh accumulation north ki taraf hai. Ab tak MACD par koi strong brake nazar nahi aa raha aur movement mein potential ab bhi hai. Hum thoda zyada previous maximum se upar bhi ja sakte hain aur usse aage nahi. Is waqt is currency pair ka forecast karna kaafi mushkil hai, kyunke movement ab tak planned direction mein nahi ja raha, aur priority current vector ko deni chahiye. Mera maanna hai ke main resistance level 160.9 hoga, toh zaroori hai ke 159.61 mark ko overcome karein, 160.29 tak pohanchein, aur tabhi hum upward movement ka end dekh payenge. Is vector mein, quickly act karna zaroori hai, kyunke weekly cycle ke end tak thoda time bacha hai, aur current trend complete karna important hai. Mere khayal se, price level 158.97 increase enter karne ka hoga, aur yeh long position open karne ka optimal moment hoga.




Agar price action weekly pivot point se bounce kar sakti hai aur apne highest component tak pohanch sakti hai, toh yeh intense hai. Iske ilawa, aap purchase kar sakte hain agar price bullish price action component ke top par rebound hoti hai weekly support level 161.30 par jab price lower blue channel line se pohanchti hai. Sale ko current level par initiate kar sakte hain, stop loss level ko adjust kar sakte hain is haftay ki highest trading price ke upar, aur target level ko pivot point ke upar adjust kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY

158.20 ka price test us waqt hua jab MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator ne zero mark se kaafi upar significant movement dikha diya tha. Ye movement ek strong bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Kaafi arse se, MACD overbought area mein tha. Ye surat-e-haal sell scenario ko consider karne ki gunjaish paida karti thi, kyunke yeh suggest karti thi ke market overextended ho sakta hai aur ek price correction nazdeek ho sakti hai.

MACD ek maqbool momentum indicator hai jo technical analysis mein trend ki strength aur direction assess karne ke liye istemal hota hai. Isme do moving averages hote hain, MACD line aur signal line, jo traders ko potential buy aur sell signals identify karne mein madad dete hain. Jab MACD line signal line ke upar cross karti hai, ye aam tor par ek bullish trend ko signal karti hai, jabke signal line ke neeche crossover ek bearish trend ko zahir karta hai. Zero line ek baseline ke tor par kaam karti hai taake positive aur negative momentum ko distinguish kiya ja sake.

Is particular instance mein, MACD kaafi arse se overbought area mein tha, jo ye indicate karta hai ke price rapidly rise ho rahi thi aur ek reversal ke liye due ho sakti thi. Overbought condition tab hoti hai jab MACD line significantly signal line aur zero mark se upar hoti hai, jo market mein excessive bullish sentiment ko reflect karti hai. Traders aise scenarios mein aksar sell signals dekhte hain, anticipate karte hue ke ek potential downturn ho sakta hai.

158.20 par price pohanchna jab MACD ab bhi overbought territory mein tha, sell scenario ki likelihood ko mazeed reinforce karta tha. Traders isay ek opportunity interpret kar sakte hain profits lene ya short positions enter karne ke liye, expect karte hue ke price decline hogi. Price level aur MACD ke prolonged overbought condition ka combination ek confluence of signals paida karta hai jo potential market correction ko suggest karta hai.

Yeh baat zaroori hai ke MACD aik valuable tool hai technical analysis mein, magar yeh infallible nahi hai. Traders ko apni trading decisions ko confirm karne ke liye doosray factors aur indicators ko bhi consider karna chahiye. Mazeed, market conditions rapidly change ho sakti hain, aur jo clear sell signal lag raha ho woh jaldi se bullish trend ka continuation ban sakta hai. Is liye, risk management aur ek comprehensive trading strategy zaroori hai taake aise scenarios ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

Natije mein, 158.20 ka price test us waqt hua jab MACD indicator ne zero mark se kaafi upar significant movement kar chuka tha aur kaafi arse se overbought area mein tha. Yeh sell scenario ko consider karne ki gunjaish paida karta tha, kyunke market overextended lag rahi thi aur potential correction ke liye ripe thi. Traders jo MACD ko apne analysis ka hissa banate hain, unho ne overbought condition aur price level ko apne decision-making process mein key factors ke tor par note kiya hota.

USD/JPY currency pair ke nazdeek traders aur investors ne khaas tor par tawajjo di hai, khaaskar aakhri session mein. Filhal, mein maqool qeemat darjon ke bani mein markazi dafa nahi kar raha. Mera tajarba yeh hai ke ek wazeh signal ka intezar karna chahiye, khaaskar agar qeemat uroojati channel ke neeche gir jati hai jo mukarrar hai. Agar yeh kami hojati hai, to mein samjhta hoon ke bullish trend 152.34 ke ahem support level se shuru hoga. Mere liye, behtareen dakhil hone ka maqta sirf tab aayega jab yeh correction dekha jaye ga. Magar ek aise surat mein bhi hosakta hai ke correction asar andaz na ho. Agar aisa ho to mein kisi bhi qisme ke karwai se parahez karongha aur bina kisi harkat ke bazaar ki dynamics ko dekhta rahonga.

European session ke doran, USD/JPY currency pair mein mukhtasir girawat ka samna hua. Pair ek waqt mein tezi se gir gaya lekin phir jaldi se abhi tak ke haftay ke session ke opening levels tak barh gaya. Is sawalat ka jawab hai ke mazeed volatility ka darja aur yeh darwazaan dikhata hai ke bazaar abhi tak kisi naye rukh mein set hone ke liye tayar nahi hai.
Haalmein hone wali harkaton ke peeche kuch wajoohaat shamil ho sakti hain jaise ke investors jo apne faide ko mehfooz karne ke liye profit booking kar rahe hain US bazaar ke opening se pehle. Profit booking aam amal hai traders ke darmiyan jo European session ke doran hasile faide ko mehfooz karne ka irada rakhte hain, US bazaar ke opening ke sath anay wali volatility ko dekhte hue. USD/JPY pair ke performance ko aksar mukhtalif factors jaise economic data releases, siyasi waqe'at, aur bazaar ki jazbaat ka asar hota hai. Maslan, US economic indicators jaise rozi hefazat ke reports, inflation data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions pair par khas asar dal sakti hain. Usi tarah, Japan ke economic conditions aur policy decisions bhi ek ahem kirdar adaa karte hain.

Assalamu'alaikum warahmatullahi wabarakatuh, Subah bakhair, dosto! Ummeed hai ke aap sab khush aur maqbool weekend guzaar rahe hain. Dua hai ke aap sab ke trading ke din behtareen guzar rahe hain aur munafa hasil kar rahe hain. Agar nuqsan bhi hai, to himmat mat haarna aur mehnat jaari rakhein. InshaAllah, istiqamat aur lagan se kaam karte rahiye aur nateeja behtar hoga.

Aaj subah, main USDJPY currency pair ke movement ke liye tajwezat discuss karunga. Umeed hai ke yeh analysis aane wale Somvar ko faidaymand trading ki taraf le jaayegi. Pichle dinon ke price action ke mutabiq, USDJPY pair shuru mein barh raha tha lekin aakhir mein baraamad 161.15 ke doosre resistance level ke upar close karne mein aghwa hua aur gir gaya. Price lagbhag 95 pips neeche gayi, lekin dheere se recover hui. Aage dekhte hain, Somvar ko yeh currency pair kahan ja sakta hai? Kya phir se barhne ki koshish karega ya neeche ke targets ko nishana banayega? Chaliye USDJPY H1 timeframe chart ko milke dekhte hain saafai ke liye:


Barton ka plot | bara plot
Id:18441992

Upar display kiye gaye H1 chart ke base par, hum support aur resistance levels ko pehchaan sakte hain jo hamari trading decisions ke liye madadgar honge, jaise take profit aur stop loss orders ki placement, entry points, aur potential price reversals. Yeh levels hain:

- Resistance 3: 161.69
- Resistance 2: 161.15
- Resistance 1: 160.95
- Pivot point: 160.61
- Support 1: 160.41
- Support 2: 160.07
- Support 3: 159.53

Technical taur par, USDJPY pair par trend bullish hai kyunki price 50-period MA line ke upar hai. Kal, price shuru mein pivot point 160.61 ke neeche gir gayi thi aur MA 50 ke neeche cross bhi hui thi, lekin baad mein reverse hua aur pivot point ke upar close hokar bullish trend ko sabit kiya. Is analysis aur doosre supporting factors ke base par, main yeh nateeja nikalta hoon ke agle haftay ke liye trading option ab bhi kharidne par tawaja deni chahiye, target projection resistance three par rakhkar, jo 161.69 par hai. Behtar rehmat ke liye, hamein price ko resistance one, jo 160.95 par hai, ke upar close karne ka intezaar karna chahiye kharidne se pehle. Ya phir, bechne ke liye ek trade ke liye, price ke neeche pivot point ke neeche close ho jaane ka intezaar karna chahiye, target projection set 160.07 par support two par. Bus abhi ke liye itna hi. Shukriya aur dua hai ke hum sabko kamiyabi mile.

Main USD/JPY currency pair ka market analysis kar raha hoon. Is wajah se current mein market mein dakhil hone ka soch raha hoon. Sirf ek signal ka muntazir hoon agar price is ascending channel ke neeche gir jati hai. Is mazahir mein, bhains ko 152.01 support level se bullish correction karna hoga. Ek sahi sale ke liye dakhil hone ke liye, main is correction ko dekhna pasand karta hoon, halaanki yeh ho sakta hai ke yeh na ho. Main trading se bache rahunga aur market ko dekha jayega agar yeh na ho. USD/JPY currency pair ne European session mein hadaf giravat ka samna kara. Pair tezi se gira lekin jaldi hi current hafte ke session ke opening levels tak wapas aagaya. Investors mukhtalif munafa lock kar rahe hain ke US market open hone se pehle

Ek achi zakhiraai 4 ghante ke chart par nazar aa rahi hai. Aur yeh zakhiraai uttar ki taraf ja rahi hai. Ab tak MACD par koi mazboot brake nahi tha aur movement abhi tak kaafi potential rakhti hai. Hum shayad pehle ke maximum se thoda zyada bhi ja sakte hain aur nahi. Abhi is currency pair ko forecast karna kaafi mushkil hai, kyunke movement abhi tak mukarar direction mein nahi hai, aur is current vector ko ahmiyat deni chahiye. Mujhe lagta hai ke mukhya resistance level 160.9 hoga, is liye zaruri hai ke 159.61 mark ko paar karke, 160.29 tak pohonche, aur tabhi hum upar ki movement ka anjaam dekhein ge. Is vector mein aapko jaldi kaam karna chahiye, kyunke hafte ke cycle khatam hone se pehle kuch waqt bacha hai, aur is current trend ko mukammal karna zaroori hai. Meri raay mein dakhil hone ke liye price level 158.97 hoga, aur yeh long position kholne ka behtareen waqt hai.



Yeh zaroori hai ke price action weekly pivot point se bounce kar sake aur apne bulandi component tak pohonche. Is ke ilawa, agar price neeche blue channel ki line se rebound karke week ke support level 161.30 tak pohonchti hai, to aap bhi khareed sakte hain. Sale current level par shuru ho sakti hai, stop loss level is haftay ke highest trading price ke upar adjust kiya ja sakta hai, aur target level pivot point ke upar adjust kiya ja sakta hai.

USD/JPY/Takheer Ki Tafseel

Chalo hum baat karte hain ke USD/JPY currency pair ka qeemat kis tarah se behave kar rahi hai aur is se kya analysis nikala ja sakta hai. Kharidari ki taqat H4 chart par linear regression channel mein nazar aati hai, jo ke oopar ki taraf ja raha hai. Jo zyada steep channel ka tilt hoga, woh zyada evident buyer activity ko show karega. Bulls apne target level 161.148 tak pohanchne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar wapas aane ke baad market mein dakhil hona ho, to intezar karein jab tak ke qeemat 160.217 ke qareeb ya us par na pohanche, phir len-den consider karein. Channel ke andar trading seedha hai: neeche edge par kharidi karein aur upper edge par bech dein. Magar, tren ke khilaf trading risky hai. Main prefer karta hoon ke target tak pohanchne ke baad wapas growing channel mein dakhil hone ka intezar karein. 160.217 ke barabar se guzar jaane par beghair rukawat ke signal strong seller momentum ka hota hai, jis se kharidari se pehle punah ghor karna zaroori hai. Is tarah ki situations mein caution advised hai.

Abhi buyers control mein hain, aur sab se ahem sawaal yeh hai ke woh qeemat ko 160.29 resistance level ke upar maintain kar sakte hain. Agar kal ka breakout aik dhoka saabit ho jaye, aur USDJPY pair 160.27 ke neeche gir jaye, to H4 candle ko wahan band karne se downtrend ka signal mil sakta hai. Agar qeemat 160.27 ke neeche gir jaye, to main 160.00-160.27 range mein short positions open karne ka tawajjo doon ga, 157.20 support level ki taraf rukh kar ke. Yen ki kamzori trend ban chuki hai, rozana 50-100 points girte ja rahi hai, bina kisi badalati nishani ke. Agar qeemat 163.9 tak pohanchti hai, to Japani authorities kadam uthayenge, lekin abhi tak mushkil hai bears ke liye. Main bhi short positions mein phans gaya hoon aur madad ki zaroorat hai ke mazeed add karoon. Is giravat ko dekhna mushkil hai. Main umeed karta tha ke 160 ke aas paas support milega, lekin abhi tak woh waqi nahi hui hai. Main jald hi hal ka intezar kar raha hoon.

USD/JPY ke liye Takhmin


Pair 160.85 tak pohanch kar 160.00 tak improve hota hai H4 chart par. Is correction ka mukammal hona ek aur chadhav ka raasta bana sakta hai 161.30 tak. Is nazar se yeh technically mazboot hai ke stochastic oscillator, jo ke abhi 20 ke neeche hai aur 80 ki taraf lanat ke liye tayyar hai, indicating a possibility.

Aata hai. Ek technical indicator jo is manzur ko support karta hai woh EMA 50 ka position hai jo EMA 100 ke oopar hai. Ye shart aam tor par bullish signal ke tour par consider ki jati hai kyun ke EMA 50 jaldi time frame mein price movements ko reflect karta hai EMA 100 ke mukable. Jab chhota EMA lamba EMA se oopar hota hai, to yeh darshata hai ke chhote term ki momentum zyada hai aur price ko upar ki taraf le jaa sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, USD/JPY ne ahem resistance level 157.704 ko toorna hai. Is resistance ke tootne ka matlab hai ke kharidari ki takat kaafi mazboot hai jo price ko pehle upper limit ke tour par consider kiya gaya tha, woh paar karne mein madad kar rahi hai. Ek tootne wala resistance level aksar ek naya support level ban jaata hai, isliye price is level ke aas paas correction ya consolidation ka samna karna tend kar hai pehle apne upward movement ko jaari rakhne se pehle. Abhi, price pehle wale high point 160,174 ke neeche hai. Yeh high point bullish trend ke jaari rehne ke liye tootna zaroori hai. Agar price is high level ko paar kar leti hai, to phir aage ke izaafay ki bohot zyada mumkinat khuli huyi hain. Pehle wale high level ko tootna aksar yeh baat confirm karta hai ke bullish trend ab bhi mazboot hai aur jaari reh sakta hai.

USDJPY currency pair H1 timeframe par ab kaafi mazboot bullish signs dikhata hai. Is bullish tendency ka ek main indication yeh hai ke price 159.901 resistance level par atkaa hua hai. Pehle, price ne 159.296 support level tak ek correction ka saamna kiya tha, jo EMA 50 ke aas paas hai. Yeh correction temporary selling pressure ko indicate karta hai jo price ko support area tak neeche kheench gaya tha. 159,296 support level tak pohanchne ke baad, price ne phir se bullish strength dikhayi aur barhti huyi. Yeh darshata hai ke 159,296 support ne price girne ko rokne mein kamiyabi haasil ki hai aur buyers ke liye phir se market mein daakhil hone ka modd hai. Is support ko chhootne ke baad huyi price increase darshata hai ke market sentiment abhi taak buying power dwara dominate ki ja rahi hai. Abhi, price phir se 159,901 resistance level ke qareeb ja raha hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke jaari rehne ko taay karta hai. Agar price 159,901 resistance ko toorna kaamyaab hoti hai, to yeh signal dega ke kharidari takat kaafi mazboot hai ke price ko upar ki taraf le ja sake. Is resistance ke tootne se price ke aur increase ke opportunities khul sakti
hain

USD-JPY PAIR REVIEW

Meri raay mein, Tokyo mein barhte hue mahangai dar ke saath, Yen ko mazbooti ka mauka milta hai. Meri samajh ke mutabiq, jab mahangai dar barhta hai, yeh aam taur par central bank ke interest rate mein izafa ki shuruat ko nishan deta hai. Jaise hi kisi central bank ka interest rate badhta hai, sarkari bonds ke upar bhi interest rate badhta hai. Kyunki sarkari bonds, khaas kar Japan jaise viksit desh ke sarkar ke dwaara jaari kiye gaye, surakshit maane jaate hain, isliye ismein adhik videshi investors kharidari karne ke liye aate hain. Is tarah, Tokyo mein barhte hue mahangai dar ke saath, USD/JPY pair mein aage chal kar ek bearish movement ko badhawa mil sakta hai.

Lekin samasya yeh hai ki BOJ ka interest rate aaj bhi sirf 0.10% par hai jabki Fed ka interest rate 5.25% par hai. Samajhdaar investors bina shak Japan se lekar US ki taraf apne paise ko le jaayenge. Is wajah se USD ki maang JPY se zyada hoti hai, jo USD/JPY pair ko bullish movement mein jaari rakhne mein madad karti hai. Ek aur samasya yeh hai ki USD/JPY pair mein jo bullish trend nazar aata hai, usse forex traders BUY position open karne ke liye himmat nahi juta paate hain. Kyunki yeh mumkin hai ki Japanese sarkar phir se dakheel ho jaaye aur ek gehri bearish spike ko shakl de. Isliye, agar bhi keemat H1 time frame mein Bollinger Band indicator ke upper band area mein hai, main abhi bhi BUY position open karne ke liye himmat nahi juta sakta.



Is dauran, aaj kharidari karne wale ne bazaar par kabu paaya aur keemat Friday ke daily open 160.74 se oonchi ho gayi hai. Is sakht tawajjo ne 160.84 kshetra ko safaltapurvak toor diya hai aur aage badh kar 161.12 tak pahunche hain jo aaj ke daily open se sabse qareebi resistance hai.

Agar 161.12 kshetra toot jaye to kharidari taiyar hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ke saath upar ki taraf badhne ka sath dete hain, jisme mazbooti ka imkan 161.72 se lekar 162.59 ke level tak hai. Jabki bechne ka option hai agar yeh tezi jari na rahe aur keemat 160.38 ke support ke through ghatakar neeche jaaye, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 niche ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain jisme kamzori ka imkan hai aur correction ka hissa ban sakta hai 159.76 ke level tak.

To yeh tha aaj ka plan USD/JPY pair ke liye,

USD/JPY
Assalam-o-Alaikum! Yen ke sales ko knock out kar diya gaya hai, iska matlab hai ke mujhe naye sales dekhne padenge, lekin kuch keh raha hai ke main un ke baghair reh sakta hoon ya unhe jaldi se nahi bech paoonga.
Agar hum thoda peechay jayen, toh kaafi arsay tak yen par strong resistance level 152 tha, jahan se humne kuch dafa interventions dekhi. Isko breach karne ke baad, agle intervention tak, price keh sakte hain ke uncontrolled tor par round level 160 tak upar chali gayi, jahan humein phir se interventions mili.
Agar hum sirf price movement ke course ko dekhein, toh hum dekhte hain ke humari akhri intervention ka saara range us length ke range ke andar aata hai jo pehle ke impulse ke doran tha, jo March 11 ko shuru hua tha. Yani, humein 61.8% ki ideal correction mili hai taake medium term mein further upar ja sakein.
Agar hum fundamentals ko dekhein, toh yeh milta hai:

• ab tak high US rates,
• Japan mein low rates,
• pehle ke rates cut karne ki inability,
• doosre ke rates raise karne ki inability,
• macro data ke point of view se, Japan abhi recession ka shikar hai, jise tasleem bhi kiya gaya hai. Recession se nikalne ki koshishain hui hain, magar ab tak kamyab nahi hui.

Asal mein, humare paas ek complete set hai jo yen ko strengthen hone se rokta hai.
USDJPY ka psychological level jo ke 160 hai, usay pichlay hafte overcome kar liya gaya. Aage dekhne ke liye, sales 162 aur round level 165 (jo early May mein indicate kiya gaya tha) par dekhi ja sakti hain. Warna, ab growth ke raaste mein koi barriers nahi hain.
Hum reversal designated levels ke niche interventions ya positions fix karne se le sakte hain, magar main nahi samajhta ke yeh guess karna faida mand hoga ke yeh kahan se aa sakta hai.

Japanese Yen Tehri Rehti Hai Mumkin Alfaazi Mudakhlat Ke Bawajood
Japanese Yen (JPY) abhi haal hi mein bari currencies ke muqablay mein tehri rehti hai, jo ke mumkin hai ke Japanese officials ke alfaazi mudakhlat ki wajah se ho. Yeh tehri rehti hai jab ke Japan ke Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs, Masato Kanda ne kaha ke agar zarurat pari to wo currency market mein mudakhlat karne ko tayar hain. Kanda ke is bayan se Japan ka irada zahir hota hai ke wo Yen ki qeemat ko manage karne ke liye pur-azm hain, khaaskar US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein. Masato Kanda ne zor diya ke Japanese hukoomat kisi bhi waqt karwai karne ko tayar hai taake currency market mein kisi bhi qism ke zaroori utar chadhao ko roka ja sake. Is waaday se yeh pata chalta hai ke Japanese authorities ghoor se Yen ko dekh rahe hain aur zarurat par usay support karne ke liye tayar hain agar yeh bohot ziada dabao ya spekulative attacks ka shikar hota hai
Doosri taraf, US Dollar ne ek mehdood izafa dekha hai, jo ke Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy ke ird gird mojood musalsal qeyasiat ki wajah se hai. Fed officials ne 2024 mein pehla interest rate cut ko delay kar diya hai, jo ke USD ko support kar raha hai. Yeh taakhi delay yeh zahiir karta hai ke Fed mehngayi pe qaboo aur economic growth ke darmiyan tawazun barqarar rakhne mein ehtiyaat se kaam le raha hai, is tarah Dollar ko mazbooti mil rahi hai
Japanese Yen aur US Dollar ke darmiyan yeh muamlaat global markets ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain. Mazboot Yen Japan ki export-driven economy ko mutasir kar sakti hai kyunki is se Japanese maal international kharidaron ke liye mehngi ho jaati hain. Iske baraks, mazboot US Dollar global trade aur investment flows ko tabdeel kar sakta hai, jis se ubharti markets aur international borrowing costs mutasir hoti hain
Japanese Yen ki yeh tehri rehti, jo ke mumkin hai ke Japanese authorities ke alfaazi mudakhlat se support mil rahi hai, aur US Dollar ki izafa Fed ke ehtiyaati rate cuts ki wajah se, yeh dono asar dal rahe hain mojooda economic mahaul pe. Jab yeh currencies apne apne challenges ko navigate kar rahi hain, global markets barqarar financial leaders ke actions aur statements pe focus rakhe hue hain

USD/JPY
Assalamu'alaikum warohmatullahi wabarokatuh, Good morning, doston jo bhi forum mein hain, aur happy weekend! Umeed hai ke jo bhi plans aap ne pehle banaye the, wo smoothly aur enjoyable complete hue honge. Achha doston, pichle paanch dinon mein trading kaise rahi? Aap ne targeted profits achieve kiye, ya abhi bhi losses ka samna kar rahe hain? Jo bhi results hain, motivated raho aur mehnat karte raho. Consistency se results improve hone ki umeed hai.

Is subah, main USDJPY currency pair ke movement ki forecast discuss karunga. Umeed hai yeh analysis Monday ko profitable trading mein madadgar hogi. Pichle din ke price action mein, USDJPY pair pehle upar gaya lekin eventually significant drop hua jab yeh 161.15 ke second resistance level ke upar close karne mein fail hua. Price lagbhag 95 pips gir gayi pehle aur phir dheere dheere recover hui. Aane wale Monday ke liye, yeh currency pair kaha move karegi? Kya yeh wapas upar jane ki koshish karegi ya lower targets ki taraf aim karegi? Chalo USDJPY H1 timeframe chart ko dekhte hain clarity ke liye:

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H1 chart jo upar display hui hai, uski basis pe, hum support aur resistance levels identify kar sakte hain jo hume Monday ko trading decisions mein guide karengi, including take profit aur stop loss orders ka placement, entry points, aur potential price reversals. Yeh levels hain:

• Resistance 3: 161.69
• Resistance 2: 161.15
• Resistance 1: 160.95
• Pivot point: 160.61
• Support 1: 160.41
• Support 2: 160.07
• Support 3: 159.53

Technically, USDJPY pair ka trend bullish form ho raha hai kyunki price 50-period MA line ke upar hai. Kal, price initially pivot point 160.61 ke neeche gir gayi aur MA 50 ke neeche cross hui, lekin baad mein reverse hui aur pivot point ke upar close hui, jo bullish trend ko reaffirm karti hai. Is analysis aur dusre supporting factors ki basis pe, main conclude karta hoon ke agle hafte ke liye trading option buying pe focus hogi, with a target projection resistance three pe jo ke 161.69 hai. Prudent yeh hoga ke price resistance one 160.95 ke upar close hone ka wait karein before considering a buy trade. Alternatively, sell trade ke liye, hum price pivot point ke neeche close hone ka wait karein with a target projection set at support two jo ke 160.07 hai. Filhaal ke liye itna hi. Shukriya aur hum sab ke liye success ki dua.

USD/JPY currency pair ko traders aur investors bohot ghaur se dekh rahe hain, khaaskar aakhri kuch sessions mein. Filhal, main market mein enter karne ka soch nahi raha hoon kyunki current price levels meray liye theek nahi hain. Meri strategy yeh hai ke main ek clear signal ka intezar karoon, khaaskar agar price established ascending channel se neeche girti hai. Agar yeh decline hoti hai, to mujhe umeed hai ke bulls step in karenge aur 152.34 ke significant support level se ek bullish correction initiate karenge. Meray liye sell trade ke liye ideal entry point tabhi hoga jab yeh correction nazar aayega. Lekin, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh correction ho hi na.



4-hour chart par ek acchi accumulation nazar aa rahi hai, aur yeh accumulation north ki taraf ja rahi hai. Ab tak, MACD par koi strong brake nazar nahi aayi hai aur movement mein ab bhi potential hai. Ho sakta hai ke hum pehle ke maximum se thoda upar chalein aur usse aage na jaayein. Filhal, is currency pair ka forecast karna kaafi mushkil hai kyunki movement abhi tak planned direction mein nahi jaa rahi hai, aur priority current vector ko di jaani chahiye. Mujhe lagta hai ke main resistance level 160.9 hoga, is liye zaroori hai ke 159.61 mark ko overcome karna, 160.29 tak pahunchna, aur tabhi hum upward movement ka end dekh paayenge. Is vector mein, aapko jaldi se act karna chahiye kyunki weekly cycle ke end tak kam waqt bacha hai, aur current trend ko complete karna zaroori hai. Meri rai mein, increase ke liye entry price level 158.97 hoga, aur yeh long position open karne ka optimal moment hai.

Agar price action weekly pivot point se bounce kar ke apni highest component tak pahunch sakti hai, to yeh intense hoga. Iske ilawa, agar price weekly support level 161.30 par upper blue channel line tak pahunchte hue rebound hoti hai to aap purchase bhi kar sakte hain. Sale current level par initiate ki ja sakti hai, stop loss level ko is week's highest trading price se upar adjust kar sakte hain, aur target level ko pivot point for the week se upar adjust kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY currency pair ko traders aur investors nazar main rakhtay hain, khaaskar haal ke sessions main. Is waqt main market main enter karnay ka soch nahi raha hoon current price levels ki wajah se. Meri strategy yeh hai ke main ek clear signal ka intezar karoonga, khaaskar agar price established ascending channel se neeche giray. Agar yeh decline hota hai, to mujhe umeed hai ke bulls intervene karenge aur significant support level 152.34 se ek bullish correction shuru hoga. Mere liye sell trade ka ideal entry point yeh correction dekhne ke baad hoga. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh correction na aaye. Agar aisa hota hai, to main trading se parheiz karoonga aur market dynamics ko observe karte rahunga bina koi move kiye.
European session ke doran, USD/JPY currency pair ne moderate decline dekha. Ek point par pair sharply gira lekin phir jaldi se current weekly session ke opening levels par rebound kar gaya. Yeh rebound volatility ko dikhata hai aur yeh batlata hai ke market abhi naye trend main settle nahi kar raha

Recent movements ka aik sabab yeh ho sakta hai ke investors US market opening se pehle kuch profits lock kar rahe hain. Profit-taking ek aam practice hai traders ke darmiyan jo European session main gains secure karna chahte hain US markets ki volatility ke potential se pehle. USD/JPY pair ka performance mukhtalif factors se influenced hota hai jese ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Misal ke taur par, US economic indicators main changes jese employment reports, inflation data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions significant impact daal sakte hain. Isi tarah, Japan ke economic conditions aur policy decisions bhi crucial role play karte hain