usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

sab kuch kamzor khabron ki wajah se pechida hai. Lagta hai ek moqa qareeb aa raha hai; Yeh afsos ki baat hai ke main theek theek nahi keh sakta ke yeh harkat kis waqt hogi, utsalar kyunki humein pehle 157.40 tak pohanchne ki koshish karni hai. Agar nakami hui, toh bulls aam tor par 156.94 se upar nahi jayenge, aur southerners 155.99 ki madad ke liye ek neechay ki lehar banayenge. Iss range mein bears ki mazbooti neeche ki movement ko mazboot karegi aur ek izafi lehar paida


karegi jo southern structure ko lamba karegi. Ab main dekh raha hoon ke yeh movement north ki taraf jane ka takaza kar rahi hai kyunki aslan hum USD/JPY ke girne se nikal kar wapas bullish potential mein dakhil ho gaye hain, jo sikkeho hona chahiye. Aisa lagta hai, ke kam az kam do options mil sakte hain. Main ek gehri correction ki tawakku kar raha tha, lekin aaj market mutawaqqa hogi, aur kisi khaas hairani ke baghair, yeh pair apni further growth ko 160 ke ilaqe tak jari rakhega, halan ke main market mein dakhil nahi ho saka kyun ke yeh kisi doosre instrument par focus tha. Aslan, aap mojooda levels se bhi market mein dakhil ho sakte hain. Jab hum taraqqi karte hain, hum 157.77 aur phir kuch aur, shayad 159.30 tak pohanchne ki tawakku karte hain. 158.17 pair ke safar mein pehla kaamyabi hogi, jo tawakku se pehle pohanch sakti hai. Prices dubara barhne ke imkaan hain kyun ke buyers pur aitmaad hain. Is liye, hum resources ko objective level ki taraf khareedne ka irada rakhte hain ta ke is momentum se faida utha sakein. 157.77 ki girawat ke baad, ek upper movement mumkin hai, focusing on exchange rate increment agar bullish trend mutazalzil hota hai. USD/JPY price movements ki direction ki theek theek peesh goi karna mushkil hai kyun ke market levels pehchaanne layak nahi hain. Koshishain D/JPY hongi, mushkilat ke bawajood. Aakhri chand hafton ke dauran, yeh trend barhta raha hai, utasalar European session ke doran aur dopahar ki khabron ke baad. European session ke khatam hone se pehle, yeh pair mumkin hai ke 154.85 ki resistance ka test kare aur 157.77 tak pohanche

Aaj main USD/JPY currency pair ki keemat ki tafseeli tashreeh kar raha hoon. Aaj mangalwar hai, haftay ke doosray trading din. H4 chart par, USD/JPY pair ab 157.66 ke qareeb hai. 157.70 ke price level ka khaas ahmiyat hai kyun ke isay pichlay haftay se bar bar azma kar naak mein rakha gaya hai, jo ke isay resistance level ke tor par ishara deta hai. USD/JPY pair ka major trend bullish hai. Keemat 155 aur 157 zones ke andar hil rahi hai, jo consolidation pattern dikhata hai. Is rawaiye se yeh ishara hota hai ke pair aik mukhlis harkat ke liye aagahi ka muntazir hai. Chart par 100 SMA (Simple Moving Average) istemal kar ke yeh bullish outlook ko support karta hai, jo aik khareedne ka mauqa darust karta hai.

Traders ko in ahem levels ke reaction par tawajjo deni chahiye. Agar keemat mazboot hoti hai aur 155.298 resistance area ki taraf jaati hai, to zaroori hai dekhna ke bechnay walay control ko qaim rakh saktay hain aur keemat ko neechay daba saktay hain. Umgeer agar keemat kamzor hoti hai aur 156.31 support area ke qareeb jaati hai, to khareedne walay fa'aliate ko monitor karna ahem hoga ke woh is level ko defend kar saktay hain aur keemat ko phir se oopar le ja saktay hain.

In resistance aur support levels ke darmiyan ka ta'alluq market sentiment aur USD/JPY pair ke mustaqbil ke potential harkatoun mein shayedat faraham kare ga. Maslan, agar keemat 157.13 high resistance level ko azmaati hai aur isay tod nahi paati, to yeh mazboot bechnay ki dabao ko darshaa sakti hai jo neechay levels ki taraf palat ja sakti hai. Dosri taraf, agar khareedne walay 156.31 support area ko mukammal taur par defend kar saktay hain, to yeh bullish reversal ki ishara ho sakti hai, jo keemat ko phir se oopar le ja sakti hai aur unchi resistance levels ki taraf barh sakti hai.

158.20 ke price test ke waqt MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator ne pehle se hi zero mark ke upar significant movement dikhayi thi. Ye movement ek taqatwar bullish trend ko darust karti hai. Kaafi arse tak, MACD overbought area mein tha. Ye situation sell scenario ka mawazna karne ka mouqa deti hai, kyunki yeh ishara deta hai ke market shayad overextended hai aur price correction jald hi hone wala hai.

MACD ek popular momentum indicator hai jo technical analysis mein istemal hota hai trend ki taqat aur rukh ka andaza lagane ke liye. Ye do moving averages se bana hota hai, MACD line aur signal line, jo traders ko potential buy aur sell signals ke pata lagane mein madad karte hain. Jab MACD line signal line ke upar cross karti hai, ye aam tor par bullish trend ka signal deti hai, jabki signal line se neeche cross hone par ye bearish trend darust karti hai. Zero line positive aur negative momentum ko farq karne ke liye ek base line ka kaam karti hai.

Is khaas moqa par, MACD kaafi arse tak overbought area mein tha, isse matlab hai ke price tezi se barh rahi thi aur reverser hone ke liye taiyar thi. Overbought condition tab hoti hai jab MACD line signal line aur zero mark se kaafi zyada upar hoti hai, market mein excessive bullish sentiment ko reflect karte hue. Traders aise scenarios mein sell signals ka intezar karte hain, ummeed karte hue ke price down ho.

Price 158.20 tak pohanchne ke doraan jab MACD abhi tak overbought territory mein tha, to yeh sell scenario ka imkanaat aur bhi tez ho gaye. Traders isko tafseel se samajh kar apne munafa le sakte hain ya short positions mein dakhil ho sakte hain, price ke girne ka intezaar karte hue. Price level aur MACD ka lamba overbought condition mil kar ek market correction ka intezaar karne wale signals banaye.

Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke MACD technical analysis mein ek ahem tool hai, lekin yeh infallible nahi hai. Traders ko apne trading decisions tasdeeq karne ke liye doosray factors aur indicators ka bhi tawajjo deni chahiye. Mazeed, market conditions jaldi badal sakti hain, aur jo sell signal wazeh lag raha hai woh tezi se bullish trend mein mukammal ho sakta hai. Isliye, risk management aur aik mukammal trading strategy iss tarah ke scenarios ko kamyabi se deal karne mein ahem hain.

Akhri mei, price test 158.20 ke waqt MACD indicator pehle se hi zero mark ke upar significant movement dikhata tha aur kaafi arsa overbought area mein tha. Isne sell scenario ka mawazna karne ka mouqa diya, kyunki market overextended dikh rahi thi aur potential correction ke liye tayyar thi. MACD ka istemal karne wale traders ne overbought condition aur price level ko apne decision-making process mein ahem factors ke tor par note kiya hoga.

USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ko analyze karte hue, aaj ek tezi se downward impulse dekha gaya hai. Yeh movement market mein taizi aur reversals ki wajah se aaya hai, jo ke kuch technical aur fundamental factors se mutasir hua hai.

Aaj ke session mein, USD/JPY pair ne apne support level 158.89 ko tor diya, jo ke pehle se hi significant tha. Yeh level traders ke liye ek important indicator tha ki market ka trend kis direction mein ja raha hai. Support level ko break karte hi, market ne ek temporary bearish sentiment ka signal diya. Is downward movement mein, market sentiment ki strong shift nazar aayi jab traders ne profit booking aur risk management ke liye apne positions ko adjust kiya.

Lekin jaise hi market ne support level ko tora, wahi par ek quick rebound bhi dekha gaya. Yeh rebound USD/JPY pair ke price ko fir se upar le gaya, aur ab yeh price resistance level 159.76 ke qareeb pahunch chuka hai. Resistance level ek area hai jahan traders ko expected hai ke price ko rokne ya reversal ke chances hote hain.

Is waqt, market mein traders ke sentiments mein uncertainty bhi nazar aaraha hai. Ek taraf, support level ka break bearish signals de raha hai, lekin doosri taraf, quick rebound ne dikhaya ke market mein buying interest bhi mojood hai. Yeh conflicting signals traders ke liye decision-making ko challenging bana rahe hain.

Technically dekha jaye, USD/JPY pair ke chart patterns aur indicators bhi is downward impulse aur subsequent rebound ko support karte hain. Moving averages aur oscillators jaise RSI (Relative Strength Index) bhi market momentum aur trend ko evaluate karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain.

Fundamentally, yen ki strength aur dollar ki performance bhi is movement mein influential factors hain. Economic indicators, monetary policy decisions, aur global economic outlook bhi market sentiment ko shape karne mein important role play karte hain.

Aane wale sessions mein, traders ko price action closely monitor karna hoga, khas kar resistance level 159.76 ko dekhte hue. Agar yeh level break hota hai aur price usay sustain karta hai toh yeh bullish continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Wahi agar market dubara se support level 158.89 ke neeche jaata hai toh yeh bearish bias ko strengthen kar sakta hai.

Overall, USD/JPY pair ke recent price movements ne traders ko volatility aur uncertainty ka saamna karwaya hai. Technical aur fundamental factors ko samajh kar, traders apne strategies ko adjust karenge aur market ke upcoming trends ke liye taiyaar rahenge.

USD/JPY currency pair ki dynamic pricing behavior ka jaeza lene mein masroof hoon. Chaliye hum apni tajziyaat shuru karte hain USDJPY pair ke M15 time frame par kaam karne wale din ke liye. Hum sirf do indicators ki zarurat hai: exponential moving averages (EMAs) jin ki periods nine aur twenty-one hain. In signals ki wazahat seedhi aur maqbool hai: yeh moving averages ke intersection jo hai price level par 158.048. Sabr ka istemal karte hue, hum 5-minute time frame par price ka pullback ka intezar karte hain, aur phir market sell entry shuru karte hain. Har trade mein, main sakoon se rehne aur sirf maqsoodah risk lena chata hoon. Mera risk-to-reward ratio 1 se 3 hai jo ke meri golden rule hai. Mera stop order hamesha kam se kam 21 points par set hota hai, kabhi kabhi 24 points tak extend hota hai, magar us se zyada nahi.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) 29 July ke apne agle meeting se bond-buying program ko kam karne ka soch rahi hai. Yeh proposal positive feedback hasil kar raha hai, lekin BOJ apne communication mein ehtiyaat barat raha hai kyunki yeh ek critical issue par chua hai. Agar US bond holdings reduce kiye jaye to Japan-US relations mein friction paida ho sakta hai, lekin yeh yen ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur Japan ki economy ko current rates par support bhi de sakta hai.
USDJPY price 159.99 tak ja sakti hai. Yeh trading week mein dollar apni upward trend ko Japanese yen ke khilaf jari rakhe hue hai. Halanki price ab tak pichle haftay ki high ko surpass nahi kar payi, lekin agar trend jari rehta hai to yeh koi bari surprise nahi hogi. Ek possible pullback ho sakta hai agar USDJPY broken resistance level 157.71 ke niche consolidate karta hai. Jab tak trading is level ke upar rehti hai, buy positions ke liye entry points dhoondna behtar hai. Aisa ek entry point 157.66 ke support level se hai, jo price is waqt test kar rahi hai.
USD/JPY ab tak short term mein upper track par hai, lekin upward momentum limited lag raha hai. Mukhtalif technical indicators temporarily equilibrium line ke upar hain, lekin direction ab tak unclear hai. Agar USD/JPY short term mein 158 level ke upar stabilize nahi hoti, toh sharp pullback ka risk ab bhi guard karna zaroori hai.
Akhir mein, market participants ke liye yeh important hai ke wo continuously in factors ko monitor karte rahen aur apni positions ko accordingly adjust karein. USD/JPY pair mein upar ki taraf harkat ki barqarari ke bawajood, yeh zaroori hai ke hum kisi bhi possible reversal ke liye bhi tayyar rahen. Price action ko closely observe karna aur risk management strategies ko implement karna kamyabi ki kunji hai.
Yeh tajziya humein batata hai ke current soorat-e-haal mein USD/JPY pair mein bullish trend barqarar hai, lekin kuch risk factors bhi maujood hain jinko ignore nahi kiya ja sakta. Is sab ko madde nazar rakhte hue, investors aur traders ko apni strategies ko accordingly tayar karna chahiye.

Main is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka analysis kar raha hoon. Aao USDJPY pair ko daily time frame par working day ke liye dekhen. Hamein sirf do indicators chahiyein: nine aur twenty-one periods ke exponential moving averages. Signals simple aur familiar hain: in moving averages ka intersection price level 158.048 par hota hai. Sabr karo, 5-minute time frame par price pullback ka intezar karo, phir market sell entry initiate karo. Trade se trade tak main composed rehne ki koshish karta hoon aur sirf calculated risks leta hoon. Mera risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 3 meri golden rule hai. Mera stop order hamesha kam az kam 21 points par set hota hai, kabhi kabar 24 tak extend hota hai lekin kabhi zyada nahi.

Bank of Japan apni agli meeting jo 29 July ko hai, us se bond-buying reduce karne ka soch raha hai. Yeh proposal positive feedback le chuka hai. Magar woh apni communication mein ehtiyaat kar rahe hain kyunke yeh aik critical issue hai. US bond holdings reduce karne se Japan-US relations mein friction ho sakti hai, lekin yeh yen ko mazboot aur Japan ki economy ko current rates par support bhi de sakta hai.
USD/JPY ke hawale se kal, thodi si southern pullback ke baad, price ne reverse kiya aur dheemay dheemay northern direction mein push karti rahi, jis se pehle din ki range mein ek chhoti reversal candle bani. Mujhe ab bhi umeed hai ke is instrument ke liye price movement north ki taraf jari rahegi aur main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke current accumulation ke khatam hone ke baad, ek impulsive breakout resistance level 164.500 tak ho ga.

Jaise ke main pehle bhi keh chuka hoon, is resistance level ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate karay aur north ki taraf further move karay. Agar yeh plan play out hota hai, toh hum price ko resistance level 168.000 ki taraf move hota dekh sakte hain. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo agle trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Bilkul, main is possibility ko bhi madde nazar rakhta hoon ke price aur zyada north ki taraf push ho sakta hai, lekin filhal, main is scenario ko nahi dekh raha kyunke mujhe iski jaldi realization ka prospect nazar nahi aata.

Ek alternative scenario jab price resistance level 164.500 ke qareeb ho, yeh ho sakta hai ke ek reversal candle bane aur price southern movement resume kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh main umeed karunga ke price wapas support level 160.29 ya support level 157.671 tak aaye. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals ki talash mein rahunga, anticipating upward price movement ka resumption.

Aam taur par, agar mukhtasir taur par baat karein, aaj ke din mujhe yeh mumkin lagta hai ke price northern direction mein push hoti rahegi aur nearest resistance level ko test karegi, aur phir main market situation ke basis par action loonga. News background ke hawale se, aaj strong fundamentals kaafi zyada hain aur mujhe lagta hai ke volatility kam az kam average hogi.

USDJPY currency pair ke latest technical analysis ke mutabiq, ek mazboot bullish trend nazar aata hai. Ek technical indicator jo is manzur ko support karta hai woh EMA 50 ka position hai jo EMA 100 ke oopar hai. Ye shart aam tor par bullish signal ke tour par consider ki jati hai kyun ke EMA 50 jaldi time frame mein price movements ko reflect karta hai EMA 100 ke mukable. Jab chhota EMA lamba EMA se oopar hota hai, to yeh darshata hai ke chhote term ki momentum zyada hai aur price ko upar ki taraf le jaa sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, USD/JPY ne ahem resistance level 157.704 ko toorna hai. Is resistance ke tootne ka matlab hai ke kharidari ki takat kaafi mazboot hai jo price ko pehle upper limit ke tour par consider kiya gaya tha, woh paar karne mein madad kar rahi hai. Ek tootne wala resistance level aksar ek naya support level ban jaata hai, isliye price is level ke aas paas correction ya consolidation ka samna karna tend kar hai pehle apne upward movement ko jaari rakhne se pehle. Abhi, price pehle wale high point 160,174 ke neeche hai. Yeh high point bullish trend ke jaari rehne ke liye tootna zaroori hai. Agar price is high level ko paar kar leti hai, to phir aage ke izaafay ki bohot zyada mumkinat khuli huyi hain. Pehle wale high level ko tootna aksar yeh baat confirm karta hai ke bullish trend ab bhi mazboot hai aur jaari reh sakta hai.
USDJPY currency pair H1 timeframe par ab kaafi mazboot bullish signs dikhata hai. Is bullish tendency ka ek main indication yeh hai ke price 159.901 resistance level par atkaa hua hai. Pehle, price ne 159.296 support level tak ek correction ka saamna kiya tha, jo EMA 50 ke aas paas hai. Yeh correction temporary selling pressure ko indicate karta hai jo price ko support area tak neeche kheench gaya tha. 159,296 support level tak pohanchne ke baad, price ne phir se bullish strength dikhayi aur barhti huyi. Yeh darshata hai ke 159,296 support ne price girne ko rokne mein kamiyabi haasil ki hai aur buyers ke liye phir se market mein daakhil hone ka modd hai. Is support ko chhootne ke baad huyi price increase darshata hai ke market sentiment abhi taak buying power dwara dominate ki ja rahi hai. Abhi, price phir se 159,901 resistance level ke qareeb ja raha hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke jaari rehne ko taay karta hai. Agar price 159,901 resistance ko toorna kaamyaab hoti hai, to yeh signal dega ke kharidari takat kaafi mazboot hai ke price ko upar ki taraf le ja sake. Is resistance ke tootne se price ke aur increase ke opportunities khul sakti hain.
USD/JPY currency pair ki price action assessment ka mozu hai. USD/JPY currency pair mein ek potential intervention ke asar dekhne ko mil rahe hain. Pair ki price significant taur par nahi barh rahi. Japan ne apne stance ko reiterate kiya hai against a highly devalued yen, jo meri expectation ko support karta hai ke price increases limited rahenge. Current market trends aur economic indicators ke base par, main short term mein US dollar ki modest strengthening predict karta hoon, followed by a period of fluctuation aur potential weakening. Ye sirf meri perspective hai, aur market dynamics aksar unpredictable hote hain. Sirf waqt hi is forecast ki accuracy ko reveal karega.
Market ne Bank of Japan ke representative ka skeptical view liya, jisne kaha ke Bank kisi bhi waqt intervene kar sakta hai aur ye likely 24/7 karega. Is announcement ne Friday ko yen mein brief spike ka sabab bana, lekin decline tab se stabilize ho gaya hai. Trading range 160.16 aur 159.31 ke darmiyan hai, aur pair significant US news ke ilawa is range mein rahne ka imkaan hai—jab tak Bank of Japan verbal warnings se zyada substantial interventions nahi karta. Agar growth 160.16 ko surpass karti hai, toh pair ko abhi buy karna risky hai despite technical indicators suggesting otherwise.

USD JPY Technical Analysis
Aaj Jumeraat hai aur subah ke early Asia session mein hum volatility movement dekh rahe hain jo ke Asia mein ghair mutawaqa movement tha, USD dollar index apne major currencies rivals ke khilaf mazboot ho raha hai aur aaj main USD JPY ke bare mein baat karunga jo rozana ya har haftay naye buland ke record qeematon par ja raha hai.

Technical analysis se pehle fundamentals jo zaroori hain un mein se ek hai ke market participants Bank of Japan ki intervention ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jiska khatra Japan ne May ke CPI report jaari karne ke baad barh gaya hai. Tokyo CPI Ex Food and Energy ke inflation rate ne saalana andaz mein 1.2% se 1.4% tak barhavat ki. Agar BOJ foreign exchange intervention karta hai, to is se hum USD JPY ke daam mein achanak giravat ka intezar kar sakte hain.

Aaj ka economic calendar bohat se news events dikhata hai lekin sabhi news events ka kam asar hai, sirf ek news important hai jo ke USA Core price index hai aur yeh USA session mein release hone wala hai.

4 ghanton ke time frame chart par technical analysis ke mutabiq USD JPY ne $161.28 ke buland record tak pohanch gaya hai aur is naye record ke baad USD JPY gir raha hai, jo ke ek nishaan ho sakta hai ke USD JPY upar ki taraf tezi mein mazboot reversal dikhayega. Agar hum 4 ghanton ke time frame chart par dekhein to dekh sakte hain ke ek support trend line USD JPY ke bullish momentum ko qaim kar rahi hai aur saath hi USD JPY $160.86 ke support level par rejection bhi dikhata hai. Is ke saath main yeh ummeed kar raha hoon ke agar USD JPY qareebi support level aur support trend line ko tode to USD JPY agle mazboot support level $159.100 ki taraf giray ga aur yeh long term USD JPY sellers ke liye aik acha target ho sakta hai.

Yaad rahe ke USD JPY mein ghair mutawaqa intervention bhi dekhne ko mil sakti hai, is liye USD JPY par trading karte waqt careful rehna zaroori hai.

Keemat 160.63 ka imtehan MACD indicator ke zero mark se ooper uthne par hua, jo jari bull market mein dollar khareedne ke sahi dakhli nuqta ko tasdeeq karta hai. Is natije mein USD/JPY 20 pips se zyada barh gaya, jari Asian session mein saalana uroojon ko jari rakhte hue. Japan ke Bank of Japan se currency intervention ki ghair maujoodgi speculators ko market ko mazeed ooper janay ki izazat deti hai, kal Japan ke finance minister ke tanbe ke bawajood. Sirf masla yeh ho sakta hai ke aaj mahine ke khatam hone ka din hai, jis mein lambi positions par munafa lena shamil hoga aur yeh pair ke bullish potential ko thora sa mehdood kar sakta hai. Magar is par kafi cheezein US data par munhasir hogi, jo hum sham ki tashreeh mein mazeed tafseel se discuss karenge. Rozana ki strategy ke liye, main No. 1 aur No. 2 ke manzarayat par zyada bhrosa rakhunga.

Khareedne ke signals
Manzarah No. 1. Aaj main USD/JPY khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon jab keemat chart par sabz rekha se 161.18 ke dakhli nuqte tak pohanche, jahan tak ke thicker green line par 161.79 ke liye mazeed izafah ka imkan hai. 161.79 ke aas paas, main lambi positions se bahar nikalunga aur usi rukh mein short positions kholunga, 30-35 pips ke mukhalif rukh se movement ka intezar karte hue. Aaj pair ke bullish progress ke jaari hone par aap is par barhne ki umeed kar sakte hain. Khareedne se pehle yeh zarur dekhein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke ooper hai aur sirf is se uthna shuru ho raha hai.

Manzarah No. 2. Main aaj bhi USD/JPY khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon agar 160.86 ke do mawafiq imtehan hoon jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke nichlay potential ko mehdood karega aur market ko palatne ki taraf le jayega. Aap 161.18 aur 161.79 ke opposite levels tak izafah ka imkan rakhte hain.

Farokht ke signals
Manzarah No. 1. Aaj main USD/JPY bechnay ka irada rakhta hoon sirf 160.86 ke level ko chart par nishanay se pehle, jo keemat mein tezi se kami karay ga. Farokht karne walon ke liye muqarrar maqsad 160.40 hoga, jahan se main short positions se bahar nikalunga aur foran usi rukh mein long positions kholunga, 20-25 pips ke mukhalif rukh se movement ka intezar karte hue. Agar keemat rozana ke urooj ke qareeb jamah nahi ho sakti. Farokht se pehle yeh zarur dekhein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neechay hai aur sirf is se girna shuru ho raha hai.

Manzarah No. 2. Main aaj bhi USD/JPY bechnay ka irada rakhta hoon agar 161.18 ke do mawafiq keemat ke imtehan hoon jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke ooper ki potential ko mehdood karega aur market ko palatne ki taraf le jayega. Aap 160.86 aur 160.40 ke opposite levels tak kami ka imkan rakhte hain.

USD/JPY ke hawale se, kal ek thodi si southern pullback ke baad, qeemat ne reverse kiya aur dheere dheere northern direction mein push karti rahi, jiska nateeja ek chhoti reversal candle ki surat mein aya jo pehle din ke range ke andar tha. Kul mila kar, mujhe lagta hai ke is instrument ki qeemat northern direction mein aur aage badegi aur mujhe poori ummed hai ke jab ongoing accumulation mukammal hogi, to ek impulsive breakout hoga resistance level par, jo mere analysis ke mutabiq 164.500 par hai. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya tha, is resistance level ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario ye hai ke qeemat is level ke upar consolidate karegi aur phir north ki taraf move karegi. Agar ye plan play out karta hai, to hum expect kar sakte hain ke qeemat resistance level 168.000 ki taraf move kare. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ke banne ka intezar karunga jo next trading direction ka tayun karega. Bilkul, main ye bhi consider karta hoon ke qeemat aur north ki taraf push ho sakti hai lekin filhal main is scenario ko consider nahi karta kyunki mujhe iske jaldi poora hone ke imkanaat nazar nahi aate. Ek alternate scenario ye hai ke jab qeemat resistance level 164.500 ke qareeb aayegi to ek reversal candle banegi aur southern movement dobara shuru hogi. Agar ye plan execute hota hai, to main expect karunga ke qeemat wapas support level 160.29 ya support level 157.671 tak aaye. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals ko search karta rahunga, anticipate karte hue upward price movement ka. Kul mila kar, agar mukhtasir mein baat karain, to aaj ke liye mujhe lagta hai ke qeemat northern direction mein move karte hue nearest resistance level ko test kar sakti hai aur phir main market situation ke mutabiq action loonga. News background ke hawale se, aaj strong fundamentals ka din hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke volatility kam az kam average hogi.

USD/JPY mein, kal round resistance level 160.00 ke upar ek breakout hua, jiske baad qeemat sellers ke stops par actively rise karti rahi. Bulls ko 160.00 par koi significant resistance face nahi karna pada, aur Bank of Japan ne waisa intervene nahi kiya jaise pehle is level ke touch hone par kiya tha, jis se us waqt qeemat 8 figures down hui thi. Mujhe lagta hai ke pair ke aage bhi strong growth prospects hain, aur interventions hone ka imkaan kam hai. Main next target ko round level 165.00 consider karta hoon. Prices aise levels ko khas tor par respect karti hain, jab woh pehli martaba bohot saalon mein un tak pahunchti hain. Aur, major players, including banks, aise round levels par operate karte hain. Jab tak dollar market mein weaken nahi hota ya Bank of Japan apna interest rate raise nahi karta, mujhe lagta hai ke trend threat mein nahi hai. Warna, agar Fed apna rate lower karta hai, to ek reversal anticipate kiya ja sakta hai

USD/JPY pair Wednesday ko 160.34 par pohancha, jo levels 1986 se nahi dekhe gaye, kyunke market participants increasingly expect kar rahe hain ke Japanese authorities intervene karenge.
Repeated verbal reassurances ke bawajood, Japanese government ne koi concrete monetary policy undertake nahi ki, jo yen ko weaken kar rahi hai. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne government ke readiness ko reiterate kiya hai ke woh yen ki value mein sudden aur unwanted changes ko counter karne ke liye tayar hain, aur zarurat padne par market operations mein intervene karenge.
Lekin, in interventions ka timing aur manner uncertain hai, jo yen ki problems ko aur barhata hai. Yen ke continued decline ka ek important factor Bank of Japan aur Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke darmiyan wide gap hai, near-zero interest rates par. Yeh anomaly yen ko weaken karne ka major factor rahi hai, jisne currency ko dollar ke against June mein almost 2% loss kar diya hai.
USD/JPY Technical Rating USD/JPY Forecast USD/JPY ne critical 160.00 level breach kiya aur 160.85 tak move kiya. Ab market pull back kar raha hai 160.00 level ko upar se test karne ke liye.
Agar yeh level hold karta hai, to hum expect karte hain ke further rise 161.30 tak ho sakti hai, jo bullish trend ko 163.30 tak extend kar sakti hai. Yeh bullish scenario MACD indicator se supported hai, jo ek signal range well above zero show karta hai, jo ek strong uptrend indicate karta hai.
USD/JPY Forecast Pair 160.00 par improve ho rahi hai 160.85 reach karne ke baad H1 chart par. Is correction ke complete hone par, ek aur climb 161.30 tak ke liye raasta bana sakti hai. Yeh view technically stochastic oscillator se reinforced hai, jo abhi below 20 hai aur 80 par wapas move hone ke liye poised hai, indicating ek possibility.
USD/JPY price movements ki direction ki theek theek peesh goi karna mushkil hai kyun ke market levels pehchaanne layak nahi hain. Koshishain D/JPY hongi, mushkilat ke bawajood. Aakhri chand hafton ke dauran, yeh trend barhta raha hai, utasalar European session ke doran aur dopahar ki khabron ke baad. European session ke khatam hone se pehle, yeh pair mumkin hai ke 154.85 ki resistance ka test kare aur 157.77 tak pohanche. Ye upper trend, magar, 154.85 par kamzor ho sakta hai, jo ek aur buying ka moqa paida karega. Market dynamics buniyadi tor par mumkin hongi agar USD/JPY 154.00 tak gir jaaye.

Jodi ne Jumma ko kuch had tak izafa kar lia aur apne pehle ke nuqsanat ko palat dia, jabke US Dollar (USD) ne bari US Treasury yields ke barhne se aamad ki. Is sudhar ke bawajood, September mein US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate mein kami ki mumkinat ke barhte hue tajawuz, khaas tor par USD/JPY pair mein USD ke izafat ko mehdood kar sakti hai. Is waqt, USD/JPY 160.90 kheyalat mein trade ho raha hai.

USD/JPY ke bunyadiyaat:

Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda ne peer ko parliament mein guftagu ki, jahan unho ne tanqeed ki ke mahangaai ke intizamat barh rahi hain lekin abhi tak 2% maqsood tak nahi pohanchi hai. Ueda ne isharat ki ke BoJ bade monetary stimulus se nikalne ke hissay ke tor par March ke faislay ke baad market ki taqazaat ko ahtiyat se nigrani mein le raha hai aur bond khareedariyon ko kam karne ka irada rakhta hai. Is ke ilawa, BoJ ke board member Toyoaki Nakamura ne israr kiya ke halat ke data ke mawafiq mojooda policy ko barqarar rakhna munasib hai.

Chaaron ghantay ke time frame ki technical tashreeh:

Agar USD/JPY 160.00 ke neeche gir jaye, to pehla support level kareeb-kareeb Senkou Span A aur B ke muqam par hoga jo takreeban 159.70 hai. Is ke baad 100-day moving average (DMA) ke imtehan ke baad 158.56 tak pohanchega. Is level ko toorna, Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) ke neeche jo kareeb 157.00 hai, aur mazeed izafa ki alamat hai, ko expose kar sakta hai.




Jodi ke liye aik ahem resistance level symmetrical triangle ke upper threshold par 156.80 ke qareeb hai. Is level ko paar karna bearish outlook ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur mumkin hai ke jodi ko zehni sarhad 161.00 ke imtehan mein pohancha sake. Mazeed izafa se jodi 161.31 tak pohanch sakti hai, jo ke tehat saaloon se nahi dekha gaya level hai.

Hello everyone! USDJPY currency pair ko dekhte hue, mujhe yeh surat-e-haal nazar aati hai: M15 chart pe linear regression channel upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ke market mein strong buying pressure ko zahir karta hai. Buyers ki activity ek behtareen moka pesh karti hai ke lower channel boundary 158.085 se buying consider ki jaye. Agle, mujhe umeed hai ke market level 158.232 tak barhega, us ke baad ek correction aani chahiye. Correction lower boundary ki taraf hogi, jahan se buying opportunities ko phir se consider karna chahiye. Agar price is level se neeche break kar jaye, to hum mazeed neeche girte rahenge, is surat mein buying positions cancel kar di jayengi. Market channels ke andar aisey barhta hai jab yeh upar ki taraf dekhta hai. Sales upper channel boundary 158.232 se expect karni chahiye, jahan se enter kiya ja sakta hai. Mere liye important hai ke pullback pe enter karoon jitna lower boundary ke qareeb ho sake

H1 higher timeframe ko analyze karte hue, mujhe dikhai deta hai ke linear regression channel upward sloping hai. Yeh M15 se zyada important hai mere liye. Yeh strong bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. M15 channel se milne wala signal buying ko suggest karta hai, jo meri buying ki khwahish ko mazeed barhata hai. Mujhe sirf price ka intezar karna hai sahi level pe aur wahan se buying opportunities dekhni hain. Iss surat-e-haal mein jahan mujhe buying opportunities dekhni hain, wo hai lower channel boundary 157.702. Wahan se, mein phir se buy karne ki koshish karta hoon 158.459 tak. Target achieve karna aur uske baad growth strong upward movement ko zahir karta hai. 158.459 se correction ka chance zyada hai, kyunki bullish movement select hoti hai. Bulls phir apni movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry point 157.702 neeche breach hoti hai, to yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Is surat mein, trading plan ko buying positions ki taraf reconsider karna aur market situation ko dobara assess karna behtar ho sakta hai

pair ki haftawar (weekly) chart ka tajziya karte waqt, hum kuch ahem technical aspects aur trends ko madde nazar rakhenge. Ye analysis humare liye iss baat ka ta'yyun karega ke aane wale hafton mein pair ka rujhan kya ho sakta hai. Pehle toh, humein yeh dekhna hai ke 149.691 ka level kitna ahem hai. Yeh level historically ek strong resistance raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke jab bhi price is level ke qareeb aata hai, sellers ka pressure increase hota hai aur price ko neeche dhakel dete hain. Aksar ye bhi hota hai ke kuch investors aur traders is level pe apne profits book karte hain, jiski wajah se selling pressure aur bhi barh jata hai. Recently hafton mein, humne dekha ke USD/JPY pair ne 149.691 ke resistance ko test kiya aur wahan se bounce back kiya. Iska matlab yeh hai ke resistance ab bhi intact hai aur bears (sellers) abhi bhi control mein hain. Agar hum price action ko dekhein toh, bounce ke baad price ne ek downward movement dikhayi hai, jo is baat ki nishandahi kar rahi hai ke short-term mein bearish sentiment dominate kar raha hai. Is bounce ke baad agar hum technical indicators ka sahara lein, toh Moving Averages (MA), Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ka analysis helpful hoga. Agar price ne 50-period MA ke neeche close kiya hai, toh yeh ek bearish sign hai. RSI agar oversold levels (30 ke qareeb) ko approach kar raha hai, toh yeh possible reversal ka indication ho sakta hai, magar agar RSI neutral ya mid-levels pe hai, toh bearish trend ke continuation ka zyada chance hai. MACD ko dekh kar humein trend ki strength aur momentum ka pata chal sakta hai. Agar MACD line signal line ke neeche hai aur divergence barh rahi hai, toh bearish momentum strong hai. Iska matlab hai ke price aur neeche ja sakta hai. Support levels bhi dekhne chahiyein. Agar price consistently lower highs aur lower lows bana rahi hai, toh nearest support level ko watch karna zaroori hai. Yeh levels wo points hain jahan buyers dubara enter ho sakte hain. Agle kuch supports 145.00 aur 142.50 ke aas paas hain. Fundamentally, USD/JPY pair pe American aur Japanese economic indicators ka asar hota hai. Jaise ke Federal Reserve ki interest rate policies, US ka GDP growth, inflation data aur Japanese economy ki health indicators. Yen traditionally safe-haven currency mana jata hai, toh global uncertainties bhi USD/JPY ko affect kar sakti hain. Conclusively, agar 149.691 ka resistance barqarar rehta hai aur price lower highs aur lower lows banati rehti hai, toh short-term bearish trend ka possibility barh jati hai. Traders ko yeh bhi dekhna hoga ke kya koi fundamental changes aa rahe hain jo trend ko reverse kar sakte hain
USD/JPY jodi ke liye, 157.37 resistance level ko paar karna buyers ke liye ek significant achievement hoga. Yeh indicate karega ke market sentiment Japanese yen ke muqable mein stronger US dollar ki taraf lean kar raha hai. Agla step untested 157.64 resistance level par focus karna hoga, jo agar break ho gaya, toh bullish outlook ko reinforce karega aur price ko 1.5123 resistance level ki taraf drive kar sakta hai
Traders ko potential risks aur market conditions ko bhi consider karna chahiye jo is scenario ko asar kar sakte hain. Geopolitical events, economic reports, aur central banks ki taraf se monetary policy changes jaise factors USD/JPY jodi ke movement ko influence kar sakte hain. In factors se waqif rehna aur vigilant rehna informed trading decisions lene ke liye crucial hoga
Summary mein, USD/JPY karansi jodi ka main resistance level iss waqt 157.37 par hai. Buyers is level ko todne aur untested resistance 157.64 ko target karne ka irada rakhte hain. Agar yeh levels successfully breach ho gaye, toh yeh continued bullish movement ko 1.5123 ke next significant resistance ki taraf le ja sakte hain. Hamesha ki tarah, traders ko apne trades plan

USD/JPY currency pair is waqt aik stagnation ke period se guzar raha hai, recent dinon mein ek significant upward movement ke baad. Is waqt ye 157.00 ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, jo ke late April mein achieve kiye gaye peak levels se notably lower hai. Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ke bawajood, inflation ke kam hone ki wajah se qareebi mustaqbil mein rate cuts ka intezar barhta ja raha hai. Ye umeed US dollar ke liye enthusiasm ko kam kar rahi hai.
USD/JPY pair ko samajhne ke liye broader economic context aur market sentiment ko influence karne wale factors ka jaiza lena zaroori hai. Recent months mein, Federal Reserve ne interest rates par ek firm position banaye rakhi, inflationary pressures ko curb karne ke liye borrowing ko mehnga kar diya.

Pehle, is hawkish approach ne US dollar ko mazboot kiya, kyunki higher interest rates foreign investment ko attract karte hain, jo better returns ki talash mein hoti hain. Lekin, ab landscape shifting lagta hai. Recent economic data suggest karte hain ke US mein inflationary pressures kam ho sakte hain. Is development ne market participants ko speculate karne par majboor kiya hai ke Federal Reserve apni aggressive stance se pivot kar sakta hai aur economic growth ko support karne ke liye interest rates ko lower karne ka soch sakta hai. Aisa move typically dollar ko weaken karega, kyunki lower interest rates se currency mein denominated investments par returns kam ho jate hain

USD/JPY pair ke context mein, dynamics aur zyada complicate ho jate hain Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke policies ke wajah se. Historically, BoJ ne aik dovish stance banaye rakha hai, interest rates ko exceptionally low levels par rakh kar economic activity ko stimulate karne ke liye. Ye monetary policy mein divergence US aur Japan ke darmiyan USD/JPY exchange rate ka aik significant driver raha hai