USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

جون 18 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کے لیے پیشن گوئی

امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑے نے 158.00/24 کی ہدف کی حد کا کامیابی سے تجربہ کیا اور اب پیچھے ہٹ رہا ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر تھوڑی دیر کے لیے تیزی کے علاقے میں رہا لیکن اب ایسا لگتا ہے کہ یہ مندی والے علاقے میں واپس آنے کا ارادہ رکھتا ہے۔ قریب ترین سپورٹ لیول 157.00 کے نشان پر مضبوط ہے، کیونکہ یہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن کے ساتھ قریب سے سیدھ میں ہے۔ ایک بار جب قیمت اس سطح سے نیچے مستحکم ہو جاتی ہے، تو ین 155.04 اور 153.80 کی طرف بڑھ سکتا ہے۔



ایک متبادل منظر نامے سے پتہ چلتا ہے کہ جوڑی 158.24 سے اوپر مضبوط ہونے کے بعد 160.40 تک بڑھ رہی ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر مندی کا امکان زیادہ واضح ہوتا جا رہا ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر منفی علاقے میں داخل ہو گیا ہے اور قیمت کو 157.00 کی سطح کی طرف لے جا رہا ہے، 61.8% فبونیکی ریٹیسمنٹ سطح سے بالکل نیچے۔

ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن اسی چارٹ پر اس سطح سے اوپر ہے، جو کسی حد تک ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کو گزرنے کے بعد اس کی پیش رفت کو آسان بناتی ہے۔ اس کے باوجود، یہ اب بھی ایک مضبوط حمایت ہے، کیونکہ قیمت کو اس نشان کی خلاف ورزی کرنے کے لیے ایک مضبوط وجہ کی ضرورت ہے۔ شاید، یہ اسٹاک مارکیٹ کا کریش ہو گا، جو ایک بار پھر ایک مناسب نمونہ تشکیل دے سکتا ہے۔ ہمیں مزید پیش رفت کا انتظار ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

USD/JPY mudra jod ki qeemat ki karwai humari mojooda tajziya ka markaz hai. Main Bollinger Band indicator ka istemal kar raha hoon taake qeemat ke rawayya ko moving average ke levels ke hawale se tahlil kiya ja sake aur mazeed wusat hasil karne ke liye vertical tick volumes ka jaaiza liya ja sake. Abhi, jod 156.72 par trading ho rahi hai, average Bollinger ke qeemat 156.76 ke oopar hai, jo ke ek mumkin upturn price continuation ko darust karti hai. Ahem Bollinger levels upper-156.853 aur lower-156.65 hain. Bulls is market mein apni taqat kho rahe hain. Aik wazeh munafa 156.85 par puri tarah se muqarrar hai, jabke 156.68 farokht ke liye mumkin hai. Farokht ka ghoor say sochna abhi jaldi hai, kyunke short position kholne ke maamlat mein surat haal tab milti hai jab qeemat 156.73 ke neeche aa jaye. Lambi muddat ke positions haarenge agar haal hi mein qeemat ke tawar ko dekha jaye Bollinger levels ke mutabiq. Isi liye, meri strategy upswing continuation par mabni hai jabke market ke tabdiliyon ke liye mohtaaj rehne ka hawala diya gaya hai. Hum musalsal bullish ki taraf tezi se barh rahe hain, 157 ke darja aur mazeed ke liye umeed hai, shayad 160 tak pohanch jaye. Jod ki safar ki tayyari kar rahi hai, pehla manzil ke tor par 158.17 ka agla qadam jald hi pohancha ja sakta hai. Kharidarein itmenan se hain, aur mazeed vertical qeemat barhne ki salahiyat ki taraf ishara karte hain. Isi liye, hum is josh ko faida uthane ka irada rakhte hain aur maal e maash ko maqsood level ki taraf kharidte hain. Magar agar bullish trend dheema pad jaye, to qeemat ka 157.15 tak girne ka imkan hai, uske baad wo mazeed barhne ka imkan hai, jahan mehngaai ke dar ko pehle rakha jata hai. Shaoor afza market levels ne bullish aur negative qeemat ke harekat ko zahir kiya hai, lekin USD/JPY ke rukh ka durust andaza lagana ek mushkil challenge hai. USD/JPY ke efforts ke natije mein shayad qeemat barh sake, chahe mushkil bhi kyun na ho.
Main H4 timeframe se banaayi gayi mapping ke mutabiq khareedari dakhil hone ke signals dhoondhne ki tajwez deta hoon, yeh lambi muddat ke liye ho sakta hai, buyers ka dabao USDJPY ki keemat ko H4 timeframe par upper resistance area tak pohanchne ke liye le jayega ya 160 ke qeemat ke aas paas, beshak yeh waqt zyada le sakta hai lekin bullish trend ki halat lambi muddat ki halat hai isliye yeh bohot mumkin hai.

hum Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ko Wednesday ko aur Bank of Japan ko Friday ko qareeb dekhte hain, toh thodi si hichkichahat hoti hai. Is expectation ka matlab hai ke ek bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, main short-term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed Hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche





Dollar-yen pair ab bhi buyers ke liye maqbool hai, khaaskar un logon ke liye jo short-term downturn ka faida uthana chahte hain. Positive interest rate differentials ensure karte hain ke dollar holdings profitable rahein, jo buy-and-drop strategy ko mazeed reinforce karta hai. Jab tak fundamental backdrop supportive rahega, ye trend continue karega, aur traders expect hain ke low prices par dollars hasil karne ka moka lutain.

Mukhtasir mein, aham central bank meetings ne U.S. Treasury bill ko drive kiya. Is haftay dollar yen ke khilaf barh gaya, jo market mein shor ka sabab bana. Magar, dollar ka recovery aur key resistance points par tawajju improvement ki nishandahi karta hai. 155 yen price par mazboot support aur positive exchange rates mazeed buy dips ka case strengthen karte hain, ye sentiment institutional traders bhi echo karte hain. Dollar-yen pair ko isliye koi bhi weakness ke signs ko dekhte hue continue buying advantage de sakti hai, jo traders ko greenback ke short-term decline se profit hasil karne ka moka faraham karta hai.

/JPY aaj 156.78 par open hua. USD/JPY exchange rate dheere dheere 156.18 ki taraf ja raha hai. Jari improvement ke sath, hum dekhenge ke clients win karne ki umeed kar rahe hain, jo cost ko upward direction mein push kar raha hai, jo clients ke liye ek respectable sign hai. Mere nazar mein, cost aaj 158.84 degrees ki taraf push karega. Ek bullish pattern continuous expansion of the Overall Strength Record RSI(14) mein dekha ja sakta hai. Writing ke waqt, Relative Strength Index RSI(14EMA) 50.5587 par hai. Technically, moving average convergence divergence MACD(12,26,9) simultaneously purple cause ke upar chal raha hai aur north ki taraf factors kar raha hai.
Moving averages bhi bullish sign de rahe hain. Is graph mein, USD/JPY market 20-day aur 40-day moving averages ke upar fluctuate kar raha hai. Candles ke model ke mutabiq, system buying range 156.90-161.78 par open hai. 159.78 bullish rally ke liye immediate resistance provide karta hai pehle resistance wall 160.48 ke. Us point ke baad, USD/JPY 161.00 level ki taraf pass karega jo ke third certificate of deterrent hai.
Click image for larger version






Dusri taraf, downside traction direct guide wall 154.28 aur secondary bearish goal 152.38 se provided hai, jo second level of support hai. Us point ke baad, USD/JPY pair girte hue continue karega aur 0.33 level of help 148.40 achieve karega. Sab kuch perfect lagta hai jab aap is plan ko dekhte hain. Cash mein pay karne ke liye, aapko market anticipate karna hoga.
Dusri baat, market participants zyada cautious approach le rahe hain kyunki woh key economic data ya geopolitical developments ka intezar kar rahe hain jo USD/JPY pair ko impact kar sakte hain. For instance, Federal Reserve ya Bank of Japan ke upcoming announcements market mein nayi volatility introduce kar sakte hain, jisse traders hesitate karte hain bade directional bets lene mein. Yeh uncertainty consolidation period ko lead kar sakti hai jab traders clearer signals ka wait karte hain. Iske ilawa, broader market sentiment bhi pair ke price action mein crucial role play karta hai. Agar risk appetite mein shift hota hai aur investors safer assets ki taraf move karte hain, toh Japanese yen ki demand increase ho sakti hai, jo USD/JPY pair par downward pressure exert karegi. Conversely, agar risk appetite improve hoti hai, toh pair ko renewed strength mil sakti hai, lekin yeh dynamic currently technical resistance at 156.63 se overshadowed ho rahi hai.

USD/JPY pair ki recent price action around the upper boundary of the four-hour Envelopes indicator at 156.63 potential stalling of the bullish momentum suggest karti hai. Multiple attempts ke baad is resistance level ko break karne mein nakami dikhati hai ke pair consolidation period ya possible pullback ke liye poised hai. Traders ko is level ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki decisive break above ya below clearer direction provide kar sakta hai pair ke next move ke liye. Technical resistance, market sentiment, aur upcoming economic events ka interplay crucial hoga determine karne ke liye ke USD/JPY pair apni upward trajectory resume karega ya lower levels ki taraf retrace karega.

khareeddaar ne kal 157.00 zone ko kamyaabi se paar kar liya. Ye un logon ke liye umeed ki shuruaat hai jo apni nuqsan ko behtar tareeqay se wapas lena chahte hain. Meri tajwez jo tha ke market 157.00 zone ko paar kar sakta hai, woh sahi sabit hui hai, jo bullish jazba ko mazbooti deta hai. USD/JPY ke karobar ki performance ka tajziya karte hue, sellers ko kuch zyada pips hasil karne mein kaamyabi mili, lekin haal ki US khabron ne khareeddaaron ko mazbooti di, khaaskar Jumeraat ko. Ye istiqamat ek mustaqil ooperi raftar ke liye manzoori de gaya hai. Aakhir mein, main ek khareed order ko pasand karta hoon kyun ke market ek ooperi raftar mein dakhil ho gaya hai. Haal ki harkatein yeh ishara deti hain ke khareeddaar control ko dobara hasil kar chuke hain, jo ke pair ko ahem resistance levels se guzar gaya hai. Ek tajurbakar trading tareeqay ke liye, ek chhota moqay ka 157.65 tak ka khareed order Peer ke liye munasib lagta hai. Ye nishana mojooda josh ko istemal karta hai jabke kisi bhi mumkin market sudhar ke pehle munafa lenay ki ijaazat deta hai. Additionally, USD/JPY ke khareeddaar ki mazbooti na-faasid khabron ke beech ooperi raftar ki taqat ko dikhata hai. Ye kehna ke market sirf khabar ke asar ko bardasht kiya balkay aik ahem darwazay se bhi guzar gaya hai, mazboot khareeddaar dilchaspi aur market bharose ko darust karti hai. Is trend se faida uthane wale traders ko ahem darwazay ko nigrani karna chahiye aur jald az jald any upcoming economic data ke baray mein maloomat hasil karni chahiye jo pair ke harkat ko mutasir kar sakti hai. Aakhir mein, USD/JPY market ne US khabron ka wazeh jawab diya hai, jahan khareeddaar ne situation ka faida uthaya hai taake pair ko 157.00 zone ke paar le jaye. Ye kamiyabi se bounce a favorable outlook ko darust karta hai un logon ke liye jo khareed positions mein hain. Peer ke liye, mojooda ooperi raftar aur market dynamics ke madda nazar rakh kar, 157.65 tak ka ek khareed order mashwara diya jata hai. Market jazbat aur takneeki indicatoron par nazar rakh kar, traders USD/JPY market ko behtar tareeqay se samajh sakte hain aur aane wale dinon ke liye apni trading strategies ko optimize kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY currency pair ki current status ko analyze karte hue, uski pricing behavior aur potential movements ko forecast karna zaroori hai. Abhi ke indications yeh suggest karte hain ke ek decline shuru ho sakti hai prevailing levels se, jo ke 155.39 ke crucial range ke breakdown tak culminate kar sakti hai.

USD/JPY currency pair, jo forex market mein ek significant benchmark hai, uski pricing dynamics ko various factors influence karte hain. In factors mein macroeconomic indicators, geopolitical developments, central bank policies, aur market sentiment shamil hain.

Geopolitical events bhi USD/JPY exchange rate par considerable influence daalte hain. Dono mulkon ke darmiyan tensions, trade policies mein tabdilion, ya region mein geopolitical instability, currency pair ke pricing ko fluctuate kar sakti hain.

Market sentiment, jo ke risk appetite, investor confidence, aur global economic trends jese factors se driven hota hai, USD/JPY exchange rate ki direction determine karne mein significant role play karta hai. Sentiment rapidly shift ho sakta hai news events ya unexpected developments ke response mein, jo currency prices mein sharp movements lead karta hai.

Current landscape ko dekhte hue, indications hain ke USD/JPY currency pair apne current levels se ek downturn experience kar sakti hai. Technical analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke 155.39 range ek critical support level serve kar sakti hai, aur is level ke breakdown se further downside potential signal ho sakta hai.

Traders aur investors price action ko closely monitor karenge 155.39 level ke around, taake currency pair ki future direction ke clues mil sakein. Agar yeh support level decisively breach hota hai, toh additional selling pressure aur ek sustained downtrend USD/JPY exchange rate mein pave kar sakta hai.

In conclusion, jabke USD/JPY currency pair ko various challenges aur uncertainties face hain, jisme macroeconomic factors, geopolitical tensions, central bank policies, aur market sentiment shamil hain, indications hain ke ek decline horizon par ho sakti hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko accordingly adapt karna chahiye taake potential volatility ko navigate kar sakein aur forex market mein opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein

USD/JPY karansi pair is waqt 157.50 level ke aas-paas kaafi resistance face kar raha hai, jahan kai technical indicators ikattha hain, jo ke upar ki taraf mazeed movement ke liye rukawat ban rahe hain. Support 157.00 level pe dekha jaa raha hai, jo ke nichay girne se bachao ka zaraiya hai. Abhi kaariiban 157.25 ke aas-paas price pe traders in levels ko closely monitor kar rahe hain taake future price action ko samajh saken. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55 mark ke qareeb hai, jo ek moderately bullish sentiment ko darsha raha hai baghair overbought conditions tak pohanchay. ZigZag indicator, jo price trends ko identify karta hai, ek recent uptrend dikhata hai lekin halki corrections ke saath, jo suggest karta hai ke pair abhi bhi bullish phase mein hai, magar movements bilkul smooth nahi hain. USD/JPY karansi pair is waqt 139.25 ke aas-paas trade ho raha hai. Resistance 140.50 level pe dekha ja raha hai, jabke support 138.00 pe hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55 pe hai, jo ek moderately bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 200-day EMA ke upar cross kar gaya hai, jo ke ek bullish trend signal kar raha hai. Bollinger Bands tight hain, jo low volatility magar potential breakout ka ishara karti hain. Stochastic Oscillator 70 ke qareeb hai, jo overbought territory mein pohanch raha hai, aur ek potential pullback ka caution deta hai. Average True Range (ATR) low hai, jo subdued volatility ko indicate karta hai, jo key levels break hone par sudden price movements ka sabab ban sakti hai

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) mazeed insight deti hain, jahan 50-day EMA 200-day EMA ke upar cross kar gaya hai, jo ek bullish crossover kehlata hai aur potential continued upward momentum signal kar raha hai. Bollinger Bands relatively tight hain, jo low volatility magar potential breakout ka ishara karti hain. Demand Index, jo buying aur selling pressure ko measure karta hai, halka bias buying ki taraf dikhata hai, jo ke doosray bullish indicators ke sath align karta hai. Stochastic Oscillator 70 pe hai aur overbought territory ke qareeb hai, jo traders ko ek possible pullback ka caution de sakta hai. Waqt ke saath, Average True Range (ATR) relatively low hai, jo subdued volatility ko indicate karta hai, jo significant levels breach hone par sudden price movements ka sabab ban sakta hai. Overall, in indicators ka confluence ek cautiously optimistic outlook suggest karta hai USD/JPY ke liye, jahan key resistance aur support levels traders ke liye critical points provide karte hain dekhne ke liye

USD/JPY

Aaj ke market movement par popular technical analysis indicators, Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD ke practical recommendations ka mutala karte hain. Yeh recommendations humein aaj position enter karne mein madad karengi aur achi profit hasil karne ka mauqa dengi. Jab hum signal ko poori tarah se process kar lete hain, to hum equally profitable exit point bhi choose karenge, jismein humein Fibonacci grid correction levels madad karengi, jo ke selected period ke extreme values par based hain.

Click image for larger version

Linear regression channel selected time frame (time-frame H4) par upward direction dikhata hai, jo market mein buyers ki mojoodgi aur unka further upward trend movement mein interest ko emphasize karta hai. Aur, jitna zyada angle of inclination hota hai, utna strong current upward trend hota hai. Nonlinear regression channel (convex lines), jo near future ko predict karne ke liye use hota hai, ne golden channel line ko bottom se up cross kar diya hai aur upward direction show karta hai.

Price ne sirf recover nahi kiya, balki 156.41 level ko phir se cross karte hue trading session bullish outlook ke sath end kiya. H4 chart par critical resistance level 160.20 hai. Yeh previous high tha aur price ke liye significant barrier ka kaam karega. Agar bullish momentum last week jaisa continue hota hai, to strong possibility hai ke price agle hafte is level ko test karega. Dusri taraf, agar market Monday ko open hoti hai aur price bullish pressure ko sustain nahi kar pati, to reversal ho sakta hai. Sell side par 156.41 level ke niche break hona bearish traders ke liye crucial signal hoga, jo potential downtrend ko indicate karega.

Summary mein, USD/JPY pair ne last week strong bullish movement ke sath close kiya, 156.41 level se rebound hote hue aur 157.38 par close kiya. Price action suggest karta hai ke pair agle hafte 160.20 resistance level ko test kar sakta hai. Magar traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi reversal signals, specially 156.41 level ke niche break, ko dekhna chahiye, jo bearish sentiment ki taraf shift ko indicate kar sakta hai. In key levels ko monitor karna informed trading decisions banane ke liye essential hoga upcoming sessions mein.

USD/JPY karansee peir ke daam ke harkat ka tajziya karte hue, pichle hafte ke ikhtitam par USD/JPY peir 157.37 par band hua. Is dauran ka sab se ahem waqia yeh tha ke bulls ne is peir ko 158 ke mark ke kareeb pohanchnay ki koshish ki. Ye harkat Bank of Japan ke faiz daron ko barqarar rakhne ke faislay se zyada mutasir hui. Is faislay ne bullish jazbat ko ek arzi tor par faraham kiya, jise USD/JPY 158.29 ke resistance level ke kareeb pohoch gaya. Yeh resistance level ke kareeb pohochne se bazar mein bullish momentum ko zor mila.
Lekin yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke Bank of Japan ne pehle bhi is level ke kareeb karansee bazar mein mudakhlat ki thi, jo bulls ko dobara mudakhlat ke khauf se hoshiyar banata hai. Is tareekhi context ne buyers ke darmiyan eik level ka ehtiyaat paida kiya, jis se yeh peir 158.29 mark se peeche hat gaya. Is retreat ne USD/JPY ko 158 range ke andar mazboot pakar hasil karne se rok diya. Bulls ka is nazuk mor par rawaiya is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke wahan mazboot upward momentum hai, lekin kuch ahem rukawaten bhi hain jo mazeed taraqqi mein rukawat ban sakti hain.

Agar bulls in rukawaton ko paar kar lein aur 158 level ko hasil kar lein, to yeh 160 mark ki taraf harkat ka raasta khol sakta hai, jo ke technical projections par mabni hai. Is mumkin upward movement ki buniyad bazar ke overall bullish sentiment par hai. Is ke bawajood, Friday ka daily candle buyers ke haq mein nahi hai. Candle ka formation bazar ke participants mein jhijhak ko zahir karta hai, aur sirf ek clear indication ke taur par 4-hour chart par divergence dekhne ko mil raha hai jo ke girawat ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Daily trading volumes ka tajziya aur zyada roshni dalta hai. Jab ke daily volumes barh rahe hain, jo ke bazar mein rujhan aur hissah dari ko zahir karta hai, lekin May ke aaghaz se volumes mein ahista ahista kami dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Ye kami is baat ki taraf ishara karti hai ke buyers ehtiyaat barat rahe hain, shayad peir ke izafay ke sath apni kharidari activity kam kar rahe hain. Buyers ka yeh ehtiyaati rawaiya mustaqbil mein volatility ke imkaniyat ko zahir karta hai, jahan ahem price swings dekhne ko mil sakti hain.

Filhal, growth ke liye trading karna danishmandana nahi lagta, khas tor par jab ke daily stochastic ne downward turn le liya hai. Yeh technical indicator zahir karta hai ke bullish momentum kamzor par raha hai, aur mazeed taraqqi mukhtasir muddat mein mehsood lagti hai. Dosri taraf, sell positions shuru karna bhi abhi jaldbazi hai. Bazar ne ab tak downward correction ka clear signal nahi diya, aur daily candle ke sath lambi upper shadow shayad aisi correction ka aaghaz ho sakta hai.

Is context mein, traders ke liye zaroori hai ke key levels aur trends par nazar rakhein. Bazar ke dynamics aur resistance points ko samajhna strategic trading decisions lene ke liye nihayat ahem hai. Bazar ki harkat ka samna karte hue hoshiar aur flexible rahna ahem hai, jo ke traders ko bazar ke pechida hallat mein moasar tor par navigate karne mein madadgar hoga. Ye mukammal approach bazar ke tajziya ko highlight karti hai ke maaloomat mein rehte hue aur evolving market conditions ke response mein strategies ko adjust karte hue tayar rahna zaroori hai.

hum ney doosray martaba USD/CHF ke market mein ek aur kami dekhi. Yeh 0.8940 zone ko kamiyabi se guzar gaya. Is liye, hum ney abhi abhi USD/CHF mein ek khareedne ka order khola hai. Ye faisla hamari yakeen par mushtamil hai ke mojooda market shara'it humein fayda mand moqa faraham kar rahi hain. Market ke dynamics munasib hain, is tarah humein is tajwezati qadam se faida uthane ke ziada chances faraham kar rahi hain. Is natije mein, USD/CHF ke kharidaron ka maqsad anay walay ghanton


mein resistance zone ko nishana banane ka hai, jo humari mojooda market ke trends aur indicators ki tafseeli tajziya ke mutabiq hai. USD/CHF ke market sentiment ko samajhne ki koshish karen. Yeh baad mein dobara 0.8976 zone ko guzar sakta hai. Mazeed, is khareedne ke order mein shamil hone ka faisla aasan nahi hai. Is par mojooda market ke technical aur bunyadi factors ki mukammal tajziya par mabni hai jo USD/CHF jori ko mutasir karte hain. Nazar andaaz nahi kiya ja sakta ke kis qadar ahem hai USD/CHF se mutaliq khabron ka silsila. Khaaskar, Swiss National Bank (SNB) Monetary Policy announcements aur ahem US ma'ashi khabron ke waqiat market ke rukh ko tameer karne mein intehai ahem sabit hone ki umeed hai. Yeh waqiat currency pair mein shaded tabdeeliyan paida kar sakte hain, aur in ke baray mein maloomat rakhna aham hai tajawuzi trade decisions ke liye. Umeed hai ke market kharidaron ke liye faida mand rahe ga jab ke farokht giranay walay log oversold area tak pohanch jayenge. Kul mila kar, in waqiat ki tawaqo aur unke mumkin asarat ne uptrend ko

Meri tajziya ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ka overall trend bearish (neeche ki taraf) hai. Badi market conditions is downward trend ko support karti hain aur hal hi ki keemat ki harkatein is sentiment ko mazid mazboot karti hain. Mojooda market sentiment negative hai, jahan bohot ziada selling pressure dekhne ko milta hai. Iska matlab hai ke traders aur investors USD/JPY ko zyada bechne mein dilchaspi rakhte hain, jo ek strong bearish outlook ko zahir karta hai.
Mojooda market sentiment ke madde nazar, agar keemat 157.67-157.79 ke critical support range se neeche break karti hai, to mazeed selling pressure ka imkaan hai. Yeh range is liye ahem hai ke iske neeche break hona long-term downtrend ka silsila jari rehne ka ishara de sakta hai. Traders ko is range ke ird gird keemat ki harkat ko gahri nazar se dekhna chahiye taake market ke aglay qadam ka andaza ho sake. Agar yeh support range se neeche clear break hota hai, to ziada selling activity ka imkaan hai jo keemat ko aur neeche le ja sakta hai.

Agar yeh breakout hota hai, to yeh long-term downtrend ke silsila jari rehne ka ishara de sakta hai, jo USD/JPY ke prices par selling pressure ko barha sakta hai. Yeh scenario traders ke liye apni short positions ko barhane ka mazid imkaan dega, jo expected decline se faida uthane ka zariya hai. 157.67-157.79 range ke baad additional support levels ko monitor karna bohot zaroori hai taake samajh sakein ke keemat kaha stabilize hogi agar downtrend jari rehta hai. Ahem levels jo dekhne chahiyein woh 157.50 aur shayad isse neeche bhi ho sakte hain, depending on selling pressure ke intensity.

Agar keemat in critical support levels ke neeche break ko barqarar rakhti hai, to bearish trend aur ziada momentum hasil karega, jo USD/JPY ke liye medium to long term mein overall negative outlook ko mazid mazboot karega. Dosri taraf, agar keemat 157.67-157.79 support range ke upar barqarar rehti hai aur mazbooti se wapas aati hai, to yeh selling pressure se temporarily nijat ka ishara de sakta hai. Magar, mojooda market dynamics aur sentiment ko dekhte hue, yeh scenario bearish continuation ke muqable mein kam mumkin lagta hai.

Khulasa yeh ke H4 chart par USD/JPY haftay ke aghaz par khaas harkatain zahir kar raha hai, aur is waqt keemat critical support levels ko test kar rahi hai. Major trend neeche ki taraf hai, jahan bohot ziada selling pressure dekha ja raha hai. 157.67-157.79 support range se neeche break hona long-term downtrend ke silsila jari rehne ka ishara de sakta hai, jo USD/JPY prices par mazeed selling pressure ko barha sakta hai. Traders ko in levels ko gahri nazar se dekhna chahiye taake behtar faislay kar sakein aur apni strategies ko accordingly adjust kar sakein.

Aaj, maine H1 chart par USD/JPY ka jaiza liya aur haftay ke aghaz par khaas harkatain dekhi. Keemat ne pehle 157.60 support level se girawat dikhayi, lekin phir jaldi se wapas aayi, jo ek mukhtasir rebound ka ishara hai. Is bounce ke bawajood, keemat ab ruk gayi hai aur 157.93 ke ahem level ko test kar rahi hai, jo mustaqbil ki keemat ki harkat ka ahem indicator hai. Meri tajziya ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ka overall trend bearish (neeche ki taraf) hai. Badi market conditions aur hal hi ki keemat ki harkatein is downtrend ko support karti hain. Mojooda market sentiment khaas tor par negative hai, jahan bohot ziada selling pressure dekhne ko milta hai. Traders aur investors ziada tar USD/JPY ko bechne par raghbat rakhte hain, jo ek strong bearish outlook ko zahir karta hai. Mojooda market sentiment ke madde nazar, agar keemat 157.67-157.79 ke critical support range se neeche break karti hai, to mazeed selling pressure ka imkaan hai. Yeh support range is liye ahem hai ke iske neeche break hona long-term downtrend ka silsila jari rehne ka ishara de sakta hai.
Agar yeh breakout hota hai, to yeh long-term downtrend ke silsila jari rehne ka ishara de sakta hai, jo USD/JPY ke prices par selling pressure ko barha sakta hai. Yeh scenario traders ke liye apni short positions ko barhane ka mazid imkaan dega, jo expected decline se faida uthane ka zariya hai. 157.67-157.79 range ke baad additional support levels ko monitor karna bohot zaroori hai taake samajh sakein ke keemat kaha stabilize hogi agar downtrend jari rehta hai. Ahem levels jo dekhne chahiyein woh 157.50 aur shayad isse neeche bhi ho sakte hain, depending on selling pressure ke intensity. Agar keemat in critical support levels ke neeche break ko barqarar rakhti hai, to bearish trend aur ziada momentum hasil karega, jo USD/JPY ke liye medium to long term mein overall negative outlook ko mazid mazboot karega. Dosri taraf, agar keemat 157.67-157.79 support range ke upar barqarar rehti hai aur mazbooti se wapas aati hai, to yeh selling pressure se temporarily nijat ka ishara de sakta hai. Magar, mojooda market dynamics aur sentiment ko dekhte hue, yeh scenario bearish continuation ke muqable mein kam mumkin lagta hai. Khulasa yeh ke H1 chart par USD/JPY haftay ke aghaz par khaas harkatain zahir kar raha hai, aur is waqt keemat critical support levels ko test kar rahi hai. Major trend neeche ki taraf hai, jahan bohot ziada selling pressure dekha ja raha hai. 157.67-157.79 support range se neeche break hona long-term downtrend ke silsila jari rehne ka ishara de sakta hai, jo USD/JPY prices par mazeed selling pressure ko barha sakta hai. Traders ko in levels ko gahri nazar se dekhna chahiye taake behtar faislay kar sakein aur apni strategies ko accordingly adjust kar sakein.

neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch


gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche rehne ke saath hume samajh hai ke buy karna behtar hai kyunki yeh giravat se bachata hai. Dusri mein higher drive karna chahiye, eventually recent high levels ke upar aur Bank of Japan ki kisi bhi intervention se ineffective hona chahiye.In wajaon se, mera focus Japanese yen aur US dollar par hai. Dollar ke muqable mein yen high rehta hai. Overall economic fundamentals aur interest rate differentials strongly support karte hain continued growth ko. Is natije mein, mujhe umeed hai ke pair apne recent highs ko break karega, aur Japanese stock market ki koshishon ko market ko influence karne mein piche chhor dega. Yeh approach in mulkon ki relative financial strength aur monetary policy par mabni hai, jo in dono currencies

USD/JPY
Sab ko aaj ke trading din ki shuruaat mein sehatmandi ki duaayein. Chaliye M30 time frame par USDJPY pair ka tajziya karte hain. Tezi se 9 aur 22 periods ke fast animations meray purane aur vafadar dost hain. Signals duniya ki tarah asaan aur aam hain. Humare paas do moving averages hain jo keemat level 156.095 par ek doosre se milti hain. Thoda sabr, 5 minute time frame par keemat mein palat aur hum market mein dakhil ho jaate hain. Main risk aur reward ratio apply karta hoon, jismein 1 se 3 hota hai. Jab order munafa mand zone mein pohanchta hai, toh main position ko breakeven par le jaata hoon. Mera stop order hamesha kam se kam 20 points par hota hai. Kabhi-kabhi main 25 points bhi rakh sakta hoon, lekin zyada nahin. Main wide stops istemal karta hoon taaki jaliyon ka shikaar na banun, jo market se bhara hua hai. Sabhi ko jo is paigham ko padh rahe hain, main un sabko bada munafa deta hodet




Ice day. Haan, yahan par ab formation poori tezi se ho rahi hai, aur kal US se aane waali khabron ke baad, USDJPY pair ne 155.82 level ko test kiya hai, jo keemat mein giravat ke saath mahatvapurn hai. Trading aalaat. Keemat ab is value ke oopar chali gayi hai. Bullish trend ke hawale se hum kah sakte hain ke purane samay ke price chart par yeh dikh raha hai, lekin mere understanding ke mutabiq, keemat ka mojooda urooj garmi ko oopar uthane par nazar hai.. Kuch aur nahin, aur upar USDJPY liquidity maximum formation ke oopar hai aur hum cheezen update kar sakte hain, is liye main yahan ab bhi khareed raha hoon, chahe hum kal ki tarah heraan kar sakte hain. In fact, is pair ke chart par jo bearishness hum ab dekh rahe hain, woh sabse zyada ascending price channel ke saath milta julta hai jo maine draw kiya hai, aur agar yeh channel kaam karta hai, toh ab keemat badh sakti hai. Magar sabse upar yeh hai ke main in khareedaron par munafa record karunga baad mein most expected update aur main is channel ko account mein nahin leta kyunki ek muphti malik ne is channel ko design kiya hai. Hai. Lekin yeh hum sabko dhoka de diya.. Agar hum high update karte hain aur phir keemat badhti hai toh bada volume ke saath, toh is scenario mein hum high update ke baad neeche ja sakte hain aur shayad meri tasveer ki tarah

USDJPY MARKET ANALYSIS
Jumma (June 14) ko, USD/JPY 0.17% izafa kar ke 157.29 par late trading mein pohancha. Pehle is ne 158.26 tak pohncha, jo ke April 29 se sab se ooncha tha. Pichle Jumma ko, Bank of Japan ne interest rate meeting mein interest rates ko unchanged rakhne ka faisla kiya, aur anayat ke current rate par temporarily government bonds ko purchase karne ka izhar bhi kar diya, aur yeh bhi ghosha kiya ke July policy meeting mein bond purchase reduction plan ke tafseelat announce ki jayengi.

Bank of Japan ki dovish move ne June interest rate meeting mein yen par sasto ka pressure barha diya. Lekin phir, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda ne kaha ke central bank "closely monitoring" hai weak yen ke asar ko inflation par, aur yeh bhi keh diya ke economic data ke bunyad par July mein interest rates ko barha sakte hain. Unka bayaan ne yen ke giravat ko thoda sa kamzor kiya. Bank of Japan ab bhi ek accommodating policy maintain karta hai, aur mabadi asoolon se, yen ab bhi kamzor mein phansa hua hai





Technical level par, daily chart par dekha jaye toh USD/JPY ne Bollinger Band channel ke beech ka middle line phir se lauta hai, aur technical indicators equilibrium line ke nazdeek hain, jo ke kafi wazeh nahin hai. Iske alawa, 20-day moving average ne both 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke upar cross kiya hai, jo ke "golden cross" kehlata hai, ek bullish signal jo yeh batata hai ke short-term trend long-term trend se zyada mazboot hai, bullish outlook ko taqwiyat dete hue.

Is waqt, 158.00 ke upar bhari dabaav hai. Agar yeh toot jaaye, toh USD/JPY ki umeed hai ke upar jaayega. Is waqt, nichle taraf mazboot support 155.00 ke aas paas hai.