USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY Price Trend Assessment

Hamari discussion ka markaz USD/JPY currency pair ki live price movements ko decode karna hai. 156.95 par local resistance breakout ne daily trend ko continue karne ka ishara diya hai, jo resistance level 160.18—daily range ki upper limit—ko aim kar raha hai. Is area mein sellers ne “Double Top” reversal pattern banaya hai. Maine is scenario ke liye 160.18 par sell limit order set kiya tha. Lekin, market ne reverse kar diya aur breakout area ke neeche gir gaya, jo previous trading idea ki taraf wapas aane ka ishara deta hai, yani 1-2-3 reversal pattern ke andar local top banane ka. Market se aane wale frequent false signals ke bawajood, main ehtiyat se kaam lunga aur pattern ke poora develop hone tak sell position enter nahi karunga.

Aaj, maine USD/JPY positions ka tajziya kiya, noting changes since the first half of the day. Participants ne pair ko 155.42-97 support zone se kharida, hoping for a pullback to resume the uptrend. Lekin, initial long positions itni significant thi ke breakdown trigger ho gaya, jo decline ka sabab bana. Jese jese price girti gayi, participants ne dobara buying shuru ki. Agar woh in positions ko hold karte rahe, to price consolidation ke baad decline kar sakti hai. Pullback par long positions ko reduce aur shorts ko increase karna ek aur low ka sabab ban sakta hai, jiske baad ek upward movement ho sakti hai. Ab tak broken zone ke ird-gird 155 par rollback nahi hua, jahan initial buyers hain. Agar rollback hota hai, to yeh sellers ko invite kar sakta hai, jo ek potential bear trap bana sakta hai. USD/JPY pair complex dynamics aur potential reversals aur traps exhibit kar raha hai. Key levels jo monitor karne honge woh hain 156.97 resistance aur 155.42-97 support ke liye. In areas ko monitor karna crucial hoga informed trading decisions banane ke liye. Yeh analysis market ki movements aur potential traps ko navigate karne ke liye ek structured approach provide karta hai.

THE CURRENCY PAIR USD-JPY
Thoda thoda karke, woh corridor se nikalne lage hain, jo filhal ek ascending triangle se zahir hai, aur USD/JPY growth ka imkan hai, jo pair ko higher rates tak le jayega. Dekhte hain ke aaj USD ka kya hota hai; lagta hai ke yeh mazboot hoga aur USD/JPY iss background ke against barhega. Bulls ko upar move karne ke liye kafi mehnat karni padegi aur 157.94 se nikalna hoga, lekin yahan sab kuch weak news ki wajah se complicated hai. Lagta hai ke aisa mauka aa raha hai; afsos ke saath keh nahi sakta ke yeh move kaun se period mein hoga, khas tor par pehle 157.40 tak pohanchna padega. Agar fail ho gaye, toh bulls naturally 156.94 se upar nahi jaayenge, aur southerners ek downward wave 155.99 ke support tak le aayenge. Is range mein bears ki mazbooti downward movement ko mazid mazboot karegi aur southern structure ko prolong karne ke liye ek additional wave ko spin karegi. Abhi dekh raha hoon ke movement northern direction ka demand kar raha hai kyunki structurally, hum USD/JPY ke fall se finish kar chuke hain aur phir se bullish potential mein enter ho gaye hain, jo complete karna zaroori hai. Yeh nikalta hai ke kam az kam do options ko catch kiya ja sakta hai. Maine expected kiya tha ke ek deeper correction hoga, lekin aaj market predictable hoga, aur bina kisi special surprises ke, pair apni further movement along the tops area 160 tak continue karega, halan ke main market mein enter nahi ho saka kyunki dusre instrument par concentrate tha. Bunyadi tor par, aap current levels se bhi market mein enter kar sakte hain ek choti stop ke sath.

Hum musalsal bullish ki taraf tezi se barh rahe hain, 157 ke darja aur mazeed ke liye umeed hai, shayad 160 tak pohanch jaye. Jod ki safar ki tayyari kar rahi hai, pehla manzil ke tor par 158.17 ka agla qadam jald hi pohancha ja sakta hai. Kharidarein itmenan se hain, aur mazeed vertical qeemat barhne ki salahiyat ki taraf ishara karte hain. Isi liye, hum is josh ko faida uthane ka irada rakhte hain aur maal e maash ko maqsood level ki taraf kharidte hain. Magar agar bullish trend dheema pad jaye, to qeemat ka 157.15 tak girne ka imkan hai, uske baad wo mazeed barhne ka imkan hai, jahan mehngaai ke dar ko pehle rakha jata hai. Shaoor afza market levels ne bullish aur negative qeemat ke harekat ko zahir kiya hai, lekin USD/JPY ke rukh ka durust andaza lagana ek mushkil challenge hai. USD/JPY ke efforts ke natije mein shayad qeemat barh sake, chahe mushkil bhi kyun na ho.,

USDJPY TAJZIYA

USD/JPY mudra jod ki qeemat ki karwai humari mojooda tajziya ka markaz hai. Main Bollinger Band indicator ka istemal kar raha hoon taake qeemat ke rawayya ko moving average ke levels ke hawale se tahlil kiya ja sake aur mazeed wusat hasil karne ke liye vertical tick volumes ka jaaiza liya ja sake. Abhi, jod 156.72 par trading ho rahi hai, average Bollinger ke qeemat 156.76 ke oopar hai, jo ke ek mumkin upturn price continuation ko darust karti hai. Ahem Bollinger levels upper-156.853 aur lower-156.65 hain. Bulls is market mein apni taqat kho rahe hain. Aik wazeh munafa 156.85 par puri tarah se muqarrar hai, jabke 156.68 farokht ke liye mumkin hai. Farokht ka ghoor say sochna abhi jaldi hai, kyunke short position kholne ke maamlat mein surat haal tab milti hai jab qeemat 156.73 ke neeche aa jaye. Lambi muddat ke positions haarenge agar haal hi mein qeemat ke tawar ko dekha jaye Bollinger levels ke mutabiq. Isi liye, meri strategy upswing continuation par mabni hai jabke market ke tabdiliyon ke liye mohtaaj rehne ka hawala diya gaya hai.

Hum musalsal bullish ki taraf tezi se barh rahe hain, 157 ke darja aur mazeed ke liye umeed hai, shayad 160 tak pohanch jaye. Jod ki safar ki tayyari kar rahi hai, pehla manzil ke tor par 158.17 ka agla qadam jald hi pohancha ja sakta hai. Kharidarein itmenan se hain, aur mazeed vertical qeemat barhne ki salahiyat ki taraf ishara karte hain. Isi liye, hum is josh ko faida uthane ka irada rakhte hain aur maal e maash ko maqsood level ki taraf kharidte hain. Magar agar bullish trend dheema pad jaye, to qeemat ka 157.15 tak girne ka imkan hai, uske baad wo mazeed barhne ka imkan hai, jahan mehngaai ke dar ko pehle rakha jata hai. Shaoor afza market levels ne bullish aur negative qeemat ke harekat ko zahir kiya hai, lekin USD/JPY ke rukh ka durust andaza lagana ek mushkil challenge hai. USD/JPY ke efforts ke natije mein shayad qeemat barh sake, chahe mushkil bhi kyun na ho.
Main H4 timeframe se banaayi gayi mapping ke mutabiq khareedari dakhil hone ke signals dhoondhne ki tajwez deta hoon, yeh lambi muddat ke liye ho sakta hai, buyers ka dabao USDJPY ki keemat ko H4 timeframe par upper resistance area tak pohanchne ke liye le jayega ya 160 ke qeemat ke aas paas, beshak yeh waqt zyada le sakta hai lekin bullish trend ki halat lambi muddat ki halat hai isliye yeh bohot mumkin hai.

USD/JPY aaj 156.78 par open hua. USD/JPY exchange rate dheere dheere 156.18 ki taraf ja raha hai. Jari improvement ke sath, hum dekhenge ke clients win karne ki umeed kar rahe hain, jo cost ko upward direction mein push kar raha hai, jo clients ke liye ek respectable sign hai. Mere nazar mein, cost aaj 158.84 degrees ki taraf push karega. Ek bullish pattern continuous expansion of the Overall Strength Record RSI(14) mein dekha ja sakta hai. Writing ke waqt, Relative Strength Index RSI(14EMA) 50.5587 par hai. Technically, moving average convergence divergence MACD(12,26,9) simultaneously purple cause ke upar chal raha hai aur north ki taraf factors kar raha hai.
Moving averages bhi bullish sign de rahe hain. Is graph mein, USD/JPY market 20-day aur 40-day moving averages ke upar fluctuate kar raha hai. Candles ke model ke mutabiq, system buying range 156.90-161.78 par open hai. 159.78 bullish rally ke liye immediate resistance provide karta hai pehle resistance wall 160.48 ke. Us point ke baad, USD/JPY 161.00 level ki taraf pass karega jo ke third certificate of deterrent hai.
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Dusri taraf, downside traction direct guide wall 154.28 aur secondary bearish goal 152.38 se provided hai, jo second level of support hai. Us point ke baad, USD/JPY pair girte hue continue karega aur 0.33 level of help 148.40 achieve karega. Sab kuch perfect lagta hai jab aap is plan ko dekhte hain. Cash mein pay karne ke liye, aapko market anticipate karna hoga.
Dusri baat, market participants zyada cautious approach le rahe hain kyunki woh key economic data ya geopolitical developments ka intezar kar rahe hain jo USD/JPY pair ko impact kar sakte hain. For instance, Federal Reserve ya Bank of Japan ke upcoming announcements market mein nayi volatility introduce kar sakte hain, jisse traders hesitate karte hain bade directional bets lene mein. Yeh uncertainty consolidation period ko lead kar sakti hai jab traders clearer signals ka wait karte hain. Iske ilawa, broader market sentiment bhi pair ke price action mein crucial role play karta hai. Agar risk appetite mein shift hota hai aur investors safer assets ki taraf move karte hain, toh Japanese yen ki demand increase ho sakti hai, jo USD/JPY pair par downward pressure exert karegi. Conversely, agar risk appetite improve hoti hai, toh pair ko renewed strength mil sakti hai, lekin yeh dynamic currently technical resistance at 156.63 se overshadowed ho rahi hai.

USD/JPY pair ki recent price action around the upper boundary of the four-hour Envelopes indicator at 156.63 potential stalling of the bullish momentum suggest karti hai. Multiple attempts ke baad is resistance level ko break karne mein nakami dikhati hai ke pair consolidation period ya possible pullback ke liye poised hai. Traders ko is level ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki decisive break above ya below clearer direction provide kar sakta hai pair ke next move ke liye. Technical resistance, market sentiment, aur upcoming economic events ka interplay crucial hoga determine karne ke liye ke USD/JPY pair apni upward trajectory resume karega ya lower levels ki taraf retrace karega.

USD/JPY Market Review

Yeh chart USD/JPY ka hai jahan hum dekh rahe hain ke price 157.355 par khara hai. March 2024 se lekar ab tak ka trend upward hai. April ke end par ek strong bullish candle bani thi jo 158.770 ke resistance level tak gai thi. Uske baad se price fluctuate kar rahi hai, lekin overall trend bullish hi raha hai.

April ke end mein, ek sharp upward movement ke baad, price niche aayi thi aur 154.630 ka level touch kiya tha. Yeh ek significant correction thi, lekin price ne phir se recover kiya aur upward move continue rakha. May ke mid tak price ne multiple times resistance level ko test kiya, lekin uspe hold nahi kar pai.

Recent candles ko dekhte hue, price ab phir se resistance level 157.355 ke paas aayi hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai to next target 158.770 ka hoga. Lekin agar price is level ko break nahi karti to ek downward correction expected hai.

Indicators ke hawale se, RSI bhi bullish momentum ko indicate kar raha hai, lekin overbought zone mein enter kar raha hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke ek short-term correction possible hai. Moving averages bhi bullish crossover ko show kar rahe hain jo future mein upward movement ko support kar sakte hain.

Mera trading plan yeh hai ke agar price 157.355 level ko break karti hai aur uspe sustain karti hai to main buy karunga aur next target 158.770 ka set karunga. Lekin agar price is level ko break nahi kar pati aur downward correction start hoti hai to main support levels 156.000 aur 154.630 ko monitor karunga. In levels par buying opportunities search karunga.

Overall, USD/JPY market ka trend bullish hai, lekin short-term corrections ko dekhte hue careful trading zaroori hai. Mera focus key levels par rahega jahan se main buying aur selling decisions lungi.

USD/JPY Daily Chart Review

USD/JPY ka daily chart humein ek interesting scenario dikhata hai. Yeh pair 157.38 ke level par trade ho raha hai aur yeh level ek important resistance ban gaya hai. Chart par dekh sakte hain ke September 2023 se yeh pair consistently upar ki taraf move kar raha hai. Har baar jab yeh pair correction karta hai, buyers ne phir se entry ki aur price ko upar push kiya.

RSI (Relative Strength Index) ka indicator 57.66 par hai, jo ke ek neutral zone mein hai. Yeh batata hai ke abhi market overbought ya oversold nahi hai, lekin upward momentum zaroori hai. Agar RSI 70 ke level ko cross kar leta hai toh yeh ek overbought condition indicate karega, jahan se correction expected ho sakti hai.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator bhi ek bullish crossover show kar raha hai. Red signal line ke upar MACD line move kar rahi hai, jo ke ek bullish sign hai. Histogram bhi positive side par hai, jo momentum ke continuation ko indicate kar raha hai. Yeh sab batata hai ke buyers market par control rakhte hain aur further upward movement possible hai.

Chart par moving averages bhi dekhen, toh 50-day moving average (red line) aur 200-day moving average (black line) upward slope dikhate hain. Yeh ek healthy uptrend ka sign hai. Agar price 157.38 ke resistance ko break kar leti hai, toh next target 160 ka level ho sakta hai.

Lekin agar yeh resistance level hold kar leta hai, toh correction possible hai jahan price 154.65 ya 152.00 tak aana possible hai, jo ke support levels hain. Overall, current indicators aur price action bullish hain, lekin traders ko caution rakhni chahiye aur breakout ka wait karna chahiye.

Conclusively, USD/JPY abhi ek strong uptrend mein hai, aur 157.38 ke level ka breakout ek significant move upar ko trigger kar sakta hai. Technical indicators bullish hain, lekin proper risk management zaroori hai. Trader ko latest market news aur data par nazar rakhni chahiye, aur apni trading strategy accordingly adjust karni chahiye.

### USD/JPY Analysis in Roman Urdu

USD/JPY currency pair iss waqt aik interesting safar par hai, kyun ke yeh apni upward momentum ko reclaim karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Haal hi mein, yeh pair 155.76 zone mein aik significant bounce ke saath takraya, jo ke ek mazboot resistance point sabit hua hai. Bulls ke lagatar efforts ke bawajood, candlestick ab tak is critical zone ko penetrate karne mein naakaam rahi hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke yeh area further gains ke liye aik strong barrier bana hua hai.

Technical charts ka mutaala karte hue, yeh wazeh hai ke USD/JPY ne aik series of fluctuations experience ki hain jab ke yeh varying economic indicators aur market sentiments ke through navigate kar raha hai. 155.76 par bounce yeh suggest karta hai ke is level par substantial buying interest hai, jo ke support provide kar raha hai aur pair ko further decline hone se roka hua hai. Yeh bounce aik pivotal moment ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai un traders ke liye jo USD/JPY par bullish hain, kyun ke yeh signify karta hai ke pair ke upward trend ko resume karne ka potential turning point ho sakta hai.

Magar, candlestick ka 155.76 zone ko break through karne mein naakaam rehna yeh indicate karta hai ke bears ab bhi considerable pressure exert kar rahe hain. Bulls aur bears ke darmiyan yeh tug-of-war aik aisi scenario create karta hai jahan market participants ko further strength ya weakness ke signs closely dekhne padhenge. Agar pair is resistance level ko break karne mein kaamyab ho jata hai, toh yeh aik new leg higher ke liye rasta bana sakta hai, potentially agle resistance levels ko target karte hue.

Fundamental factors bhi current behavior mein aik crucial role play kar rahe hain. Economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments sab USD/JPY ke movements mein contribute kar rahe hain. US Federal Reserve ka interest rates par stance, for instance, US dollar ki strength par significant impact rakhta hai, jab ke Japan ka economic outlook aur Bank of Japan ki policies yen ki performance ko influence karti hain.

In macroeconomic factors ke ilawa, market sentiment aur risk appetite bhi pair ki trajectory ko influence kar rahe hain. Global uncertainty ke times mein, yen aksar aik safe haven ke taur par act karta hai, aur US dollar ke against strengthen hota hai. Iske baraks, optimism aur risk-taking ke periods mein, US dollar aksar yen ke against gain karta hai.

Jab traders aur investors USD/JPY pair ko monitor karte hain, technical analysis tools jaise ke moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracement levels valuable insights provide kar sakte hain potential future movements ke liye. Yeh tools trends, overbought ya oversold conditions, aur key support aur resistance levels identify karne mein madad karte hain jo ke play mein aa sakte hain.

Nateeja yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair ka current struggle 155.76 resistance zone ko break through karne mein traders ke liye aik key focal point hai. Is level par bounce strong buying interest ko demonstrate karta hai, magar ongoing failure is zone ko penetrate karne mein significant selling pressure ko highlight karta hai. Jaise jaise pair apna safar jaari rakhega, market participants ko vigilant rehna hoga, dono technical indicators aur fundamental developments ko dekhte hue agle potential move ko gauge karne ke liye. Yeh dekhna baaqi hai ke pair is hurdle ko overcome karke apni upward trajectory ko resume karega ya further consolidation face karega.

hum Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ko Wednesday ko aur Bank of Japan ko Friday ko qareeb dekhte hain, toh thodi si hichkichahat hoti hai. Is expectation ka matlab hai ke ek bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, main short-term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche

USD/JPY


U.S. dollar ne is haftay ke doran Japanese yen ke khilaf kaafi utar chadhav dekha, jo zyadatar FOMC meeting aur Bank of Japan meeting ki wajah se hua, jinhon ne market mein shor macha diya. In utar chadhav ke bawajood, dollar lagta hai ke apni position wapas hasil kar raha hai, is liye ek uptrend ki mumkinat zahir ki gayi hai.

Filhal, tawajju 158 yen level ko todne par hai, jo ke aik aham resistance hai. Iske ilawa, 160 yen ka level bhi important hai, kyun ke Bank of Japan ne is threshold par pehle intervene kiya tha. Ye manzar is rate ki ahmiyat ko highlight karta hai dollar-yen development mein.

Is manzar ko dekhte hue, market ab bhi "buy on the dip" trend ko favor karta hai, jahan 155 yen level mazboot support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Ye strategy positive changes se mazeed support hoti hai, isliye in pairs ko kam karna nafrat karnay kabil hai. Institutional marketers bhi shayad yehi view share karte hain, jo lean times mein dollars barhane ki value ko pehchan rahe hain.

Dollar-yen pair ab bhi buyers ke liye maqbool hai, khaaskar un logon ke liye jo short-term downturn ka faida uthana chahte hain. Positive interest rate differentials ensure karte hain ke dollar holdings profitable rahein, jo buy-and-drop strategy ko mazeed reinforce karta hai. Jab tak fundamental backdrop supportive rahega, ye trend continue karega, aur traders expect hain ke low prices par dollars hasil karne ka moka lutain.

Mukhtasir mein, aham central bank meetings ne U.S. Treasury bill ko drive kiya. Is haftay dollar yen ke khilaf barh gaya, jo market mein shor ka sabab bana. Magar, dollar ka recovery aur key resistance points par tawajju improvement ki nishandahi karta hai. 155 yen price par mazboot support aur positive exchange rates mazeed buy dips ka case strengthen karte hain, ye sentiment institutional traders bhi echo karte hain. Dollar-yen pair ko isliye koi bhi weakness ke signs ko dekhte hue continue buying advantage de sakti hai, jo traders ko greenback ke short-term decline se profit hasil karne ka moka faraham karta hai.

(JPY) ne Japanese Economic Revitalization Minister Yoshitaka Shindo ke comments ke baad recent losses se recover karne ki koshish ki. Shindo ne hukumat ke budget surplus ko fiscal year 2025 mein achieve karne ke commitment ka ilaan kiya aur economy ke growth potential ke baray mein optimism zahir kiya. Is khabar ne potential currency weakness ke concerns ko kam karne mein madad di. Magar, underlying factors ab bhi Yen par pressure daal rahe hain. Japan mein inflation barh raha hai, lekin bohat si doosri countries ke muqable mein dheemi raftaar se. Iska matlab hai ke Bank of Japan ke interest rates barhane ke chances kam hain, jo aam tor par Yen ko mazboot karta hai. Japan aur doosri nations, khas tor par United States, ke interest rates ke darmiyan farq ki wajah se Yen ek kam attractive investment banta hai, jo iska exchange rate niche dhakelta hai. USD/JPY currency pair filhal 157.40 ke qareeb hai. Technical analysis ek potential pause ko suggest karti hai uptrend mein, magar overall sentiment bullish hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka 50 se ooper rehna USD/JPY ke upward trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai. Qareebi mustaqbil mein, key level jo dekhne wala hai woh 158.00 hai. Agar yeh psychological level break hota hai toh 34-year high 160.32 ka retest ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar 157.00 se niche girta hai toh pair 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 156.72 ke taraf retreat kar sakta hai. Aage dekhte hue, kuch Fibonacci retracement levels potential support aur resistance zones provide karte hain. Agar 159.10, jo 161.8% Fibonacci extension hai, ke ooper breakout hota hai toh 34-year peak ka revisit possible ho sakta hai. Niche ki taraf, agar pair 156.35, jo 138.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai, se girta hai toh yeh 154.64 aur shayad usse bhi niche slide kar sakta hai. May inflection point 151.90 significant decline ke scenario mein kuch support de sakta hai. Overall, USD/JPY exchange rate ek tug-of-war face kar raha hai Japanese economic

USD/JPY Daily Currency pair USDJPY ka dainik chart. Dekha ja sakta hai ke pichle haftay hum kahin nahi gaye thay, aur is haftay ki shuruaat traders ko kuch kami ka samna karwai. Lekin main ab bhi ooper ki manzil par qaim hoon. Tamam puranay arsaon mein trend ooper ki taraf ja raha hai, maheenay ka arsa shuru karte hue aur dekhnay wale arsay H4 tak. Jab peechli umeed ki gayi tezi ne ziada had tak ja ke aik naye teesri lehar ko bahar nikala, jaise ke sarasar trend mein, lekin seedha nahi gaya - yeh palat gaya. Agar pehli lehar par nishana Fibonacci grid par rakha jaye, to aik mumkinah tezi ka nishana nazar aata hai - is grid par 161.8 level. Yeh taqreeban haal hi mein tareekhi uchayi 160.23 ke qareeb hai. To agar keemat grid ke 161.8 level tak pohanchti hai, to zahir hai ke zyada tareen bulandi ko taza kiya jaye ga, mudda yeh hai ke wahan ja kar bahar na jaye. Is tarah, main khud ke liye tay karta hoon ke aaj ke doran, chhote arson mein, sirf ooper kaam karna ab zyada wafadar hai. Is ke ilawa, meri raay mein, doosri currency pairs nazdeek mustaqbil mein US dollar ko mazboot karna chahti hain. CCI indicator ab nichlay garam hone ki zone se bahar ja raha hai aur sath hi aik barhtay hue line par mabni hai jis par keemat pehle se ooper chuki hai. MACD indicator ab bhi ooper ki khareed zone mein hai. Main ooper ki manzil ka izaafa ki tawajjuh ka intezar kar raha hoon. Aaj ke pehle saray ahem khabron ka pehla silsila Moscow waqt 15-15 par: Eurozone mein jama rate, Eurozone mein margin lending rate, European Central Bank ki monetary policy par bayan, ECB interest rate par faisla. Phir 15-30 par: Amreekiyon ko berozgaari ki sahoolat milti hai, Amreeka ki niryat volume, Amreeka ki ijarah volume, Amreekiyon ke liye shuruaati dawayat ki tadad, Amreeki ghair-farm productivity level, Amreeki trade balance. Shayad is khabar se pehle hum aik sideways market mein honge, positions jama kar rahe honge, aur khabron par phir tezi aayegi. Halankeh is jori mein euro nahi hai, lekin EURUSD ke harek harkat doosri pairs par asar daalti hai, is liye khabron ko mad e nazar rakha jaana chahiye

hum Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ko Wednesday ko aur Bank of Japan ko Friday ko qareeb dekhte hain, toh thodi si hichkichahat hoti hai. Is expectation ka matlab hai ke ek bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, main short-term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed Hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche

THE CURRENCY PAIR USD-JPY
Thoda thoda karke, woh corridor se nikalne lage hain, jo filhal ek ascending triangle se zahir hai, aur USD/JPY growth ka imkan hai, jo pair ko higher rates tak le jayega. Dekhte hain ke aaj USD ka kya hota hai; lagta hai ke yeh mazboot hoga aur USD/JPY iss background ke against barhega. Bulls ko upar move karne ke liye kafi mehnat karni padegi aur 157.94 se nikalna hoga, lekin yahan sab kuch weak news ki wajah se complicated hai. Lagta hai ke aisa mauka aa raha hai; afsos ke saath keh nahi sakta ke yeh move kaun se period mein hoga, khas tor par pehle 157.40 tak pohanchna padega. Agar fail ho gaye, toh bulls naturally 156.94 se upar nahi jaayenge, aur southerners ek downward wave 155.99 ke support tak le aayenge. Is range mein bears ki mazbooti downward movement ko mazid mazboot karegi aur southern structure ko prolong karne ke liye ek additional wave ko spin karegi. Abhi dekh raha hoon ke movement northern direction ka demand kar raha hai kyunki structurally, hum USD/JPY ke fall se finish kar chuke hain aur phir se bullish potential mein enter ho gaye hain, jo complete karna zaroori hai. Yeh nikalta hai ke kam az kam do options ko catch kiya ja sakta hai. Maine expected kiya tha ke ek deeper correction hoga, lekin aaj market predictable hoga, aur bina kisi special surprises ke, pair apni further movement along the tops area 160 tak continue karega, halan ke main market mein enter nahi ho saka kyunki dusre instrument par concentrate tha. Bunyadi tor par, aap current levels se bhi market mein enter kar sakte hain ek choti stop ke sath.




aaj USD/JPY khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon agar do mubalghay imtehan 156.56 ke qeemat ke hone par jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hai. Yeh pair ke neeche ke potensiyal ko mehdood karega aur ek seedha market inversion ka silsila shuru hoga. 156.80 aur 157.15 ke ulte darjaat par, umeed hai ke izafa hoga. Aaj, main USD/JPY bechne ka irada rakhta hoon sirf tab jab 156.56 ke darjaat se neeche tor jaaye (graph par laal line), jo pair ko tezi se kam kar dega. Faraqdaar bechne walon ke liye ahem maqsad 156.30 hoga, jahan main khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon aur foran seedhi tareeqay se bechne ka irada rakhta hoon (level se 20-25 jagah ke ulte rukh ke intezar mein). Pair par farokht ki dabao wapas aa sakta hai agar yeh rozana ki unchiyon ke aas paas merge nahi hota. Ehmiyat! Bechne se pehle, yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur sirf abhi is se girne ka aghaz hua hai. Do mubalghay imtehan 156.80 ke qeemat par jab MACD indicator overbought area mein hoga, main aaj bhi USD/JPY bechne ka irada rakhta hoon. Yeh pair ke vertical potensiyal ko mehdood karega aur ek market inversion ko neeche le jaayega. 156.56 aur 156.30 ke ulte darjaat par ek giravat ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai.

USD/JPY karansi joṛi is waqt aik aham resistance level 157.37 par mojud hai. Kharidaron ka foran maqsad is rukawat ko paar karna aur phir agla untested resistance 157.64 ko target karna hai. Agar yeh level kamiyabi se paar ho jata hai, toh yeh joṛi mazeed bullish momentum hasil karti hui aglay resistance 1.5123 tak ja sakti hai.
Doosri taraf, niche ki janib, primary support 0.9689 par hai, jabke secondary support zone 157.47 par hai. Agar qeemat girti hai, toh in support levels ko torh sakti hai, jo mazeed niche ki taraf harkat ka raasta saaf kare gi. Aik aham area 157.20 aur 156.84 ke darmiyan hai, jahan se niche girna ek mazid strong bearish trend ko zahir kar sakta hai.

Iss haftay ke doran, sab ki nigahain is baat par hongi ke USD/JPY joṛi in key support levels par kaisay react karti hai. Khaas tor par aaj ka focus qeemat ke behavior ko dekhne par hoga jab yeh weaker support area ke qareeb aati hai. Agar support level 157.47 toot jata hai, toh yeh niche ki taraf mazeed harkat ko zahir kar sakta hai aglay major support 157.20-156.84 tak. Agar yeh support zone toot jata hai, toh yeh ek bearish trend ko confirm karay ga, jo mazeed girawat ka sabab banay ga.

Dosri taraf, agar qeemat 157.47 support se upar rehti hai aur rebound karti hai, toh yeh potential recovery ka ishara day sakta hai. Aisi surat mein, kharidar phir se momentum hasil kar sakte hain aur main resistance 157.37 ko dobara test kar sakte hain. Agar yeh resistance kamiyabi se paar ho jata hai, toh yeh bullish perspective ko mazid mazboot banay ga aur 157.64 resistance level ki taraf harkat ka raasta saaf kare ga.

Akhir mein, USD/JPY joṛi aik ahem mor par hai jahan muhim support aur resistance levels focus mein hain. Market participants ko qeemat ke in areas ke sath interaction par gaur karna chahiye, kyunki yeh mustaqbil mein joṛi ke direction ke bare mein aham clues faraham karein ge. Is haftay ki price action bohot ahem hogi yeh tay karne ke liye ke bullish trend jari rahega ya bearish reversal samnay aayega. Traders ko dono outcomes ke liye tayar rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko mutabiq adjust karna chahiye.

USD/JPY ka mukhya resistance level 157.37 par hai. Kharidaron ka agla price target yeh hai ke wo untested resistance 157.64 ko torain. Agar yeh kamiyab ho jata hai, toh USD/JPY pair apni bullish harkat ko aglay resistance level 1.5123 tak jari rakh sakta hai. Dosri taraf, mukhya support zone 0.9689 par hai aur secondary zone 157.47 par hai. Agar qeemat girti hai, toh yeh support levels toot sakte hain. Iske baad, yeh pair 157.20 aur 156.84 ke darmiyan support levels ke neeche ja sakta hai. Iss haftay, yeh dekhna ahem hoga ke qeemat in weaker support areas par kaisa react karti hai.
Aaj, mein market ko qareebi tor par dekhunga taake qeemat ke action ko dekh sakoon jab yeh in support levels ko torne ki koshish karti hai. Agar support 157.47 par qaim nahi rehta, toh yeh mazeed girawat ka ishara ho sakta hai aglay key support zone 157.20-156.84 tak. Yeh zone ahem hai, kyunki iske neeche girna bearish trend ko confirm kar sakta hai, jo mazeed neeche ki taraf movement ka sabab banayega.

Lekin agar qeemat 157.47 ke support se upar uthti hai, toh yeh potential rebound ko zahir kar sakti hai, jahan kharidar dobara control hasil karte hain aur qeemat ko wapas mukhya resistance 157.37 ki taraf dhakel sakte hain. Agar qeemat is resistance ko paar kar leti hai, toh yeh bullish outlook ko mazboot karega aur 157.64 ki taraf harkat ka stage set karega.

Mukhtasir mein, USD/JPY pair aik ahem mor par hai, jahan significant support aur resistance levels khel mein hain. Traders ko hoshyar rehna chahiye aur qeemat ke in critical zones ke sath interaction par amal karna chahiye. Kya yeh pair apni bullish trajectory ko jari rakhta hai ya bearish trend mein shift karta hai, yeh in key levels ko torne ya qaim rehne ki salahiyat par mabni hoga. Iss haftay market sentiment aur direction ke liye bohot ahem hoga.