USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

neeche ki taraf chal raha hai. Usi waqt, bailon ka hosla nahi tootta aur woh bazaar ko oopar kheenchte rehte hain, jo ke unki dilchaspi ko barhane ki alaamat hai. Jab bazaar channel ke ooper hisse 157.008 ke upar stabilizes hota hai, toh main bullish trend par tawajjo dete hoon aur khareedne ka tajruba karta hoon. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke 157.708 ke darja tak pohanchne par ihtiyaat baratna. Bechnay walay fael shuru ho sakte hain, jo ke mukhalif qeemat ke harkat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Main nafa fix karne ki tajweez deta hoon maqsood darja par, lekin aap M15 chart par darmiyani muddat ke harkat mein hissa lenay ke liye bhi position barqarar rakh sakte hain. 156.561 ke darja ka tor phoot, jahan kharidari ki mazbootiyan majood hain, manzil darja 157.708 ki taraf barhne ki shak mehdood karta hai. Ghantay ka chart dikhata hai ke linear regression channel ek upri trend mein hai, jo ke zyada taqatwar khareedaron ko dikhata hai. Khareedaron ne apni khareedari ke volumes ko channel ke neechay ke sath 156.561 ke darja par ikatha kiya hai. Jo ke qeemat ko 157.708 ke darja tak mazeed buland kar sakta hai. M15 chart ne bullish market ko tasdeeq di hai jab wo channel ke upper limit 157.008 ko paar kar chuka hai. Ye dikhata hai ke khareedari mein izafa hua hai. Magar, ihtiyaat baratna zaroori hai, kyunki 156.561 ke darja ka tor phoot, kharidariyon ko rad kar sakta hai aur bazaar ki mukhalif harkat ko channel ke rukh mein tabdeel kar sakta hai. Kisi bhi waqt trend ka tabdeel hone ki mumkinat ko madde nazar rakha jana zaroori hai; ye khabron ki peechidgi se asani se kiya ja sakta hai, is liye trading karte waqt hamesha khabron ka khayal rakhna chahiye

Shuru mein, US dollar Japanese yen ke muqable mein mazbooti dikha raha tha aur barhta gaya. Lekin, jab hum Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ko Wednesday ko aur Bank of Japan ko Friday ko qareeb dekhte hain, toh thodi si hichkichahat hoti hai. Is expectation ka matlab hai ke ek bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, main short-term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche rehne ke saath hume samajh hai ke buy karna behtar hai kyunki yeh giravat se bachata hai. Dusri mein higher drive karna chahiye, eventually recent high levels ke upar aur Bank of Japan ki kisi bhi intervention se ineffective hona chahiye.In wajaon se, mera focus Japanese yen aur US dollar par hai. Dollar ke muqable mein yen high rehta hai. Overall economic fundamentals aur interest rate differentials strongly support karte hain continued growth ko. Is natije mein, mujhe umeed hai ke pair apne recent highs ko break karega, aur Japanese stock market ki koshishon ko market ko influence karne mein piche chhor dega. Yeh approach in mulkon ki relative financial strength aur monetary policy par mabni hai, jo in dono currencies mein downward trend ko reinforce kar rahi

Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche rehne ke saath hume samajh hai ke buy karna behtar hai kyunki yeh giravat se bachata hai. Dusri mein higher drive karna chahiye, eventually recent high levels ke upar aur Bank of Japan ki kisi bhi intervention se ineffective hona chahiye.In wajaon se, mera focus Japanese yen aur US dollar par hai. Dollar ke muqable mein yen high rehta hai. Overall economic fundamentals aur interest rate differentials strongly support karte hain continued growth ko. Is natije mein, mujhe umeed hai ke pair apne recent highs ko break karega, aur Japanese stock market ki koshishon ko market ko influence karne mein piche chhor dega. Yeh approach in mulkon

saath hua, jo jodi ke mazeed buland potential ko rok raha tha. Is wajah se, maine khareedna nahi kiya. Ye is liye hua kyunkay ye amrici session ke akhri hisse mein hua, jis se market mein koi naya daakhilay ka mauqa nahi mila. Kal ke musbat machinery orders aur Japan ki trade balance ke figures ko nazar andaz kiya gaya, lekin aaj ke Japan ki ma'ashi fa'alat ke indicators ne yen ko mazboot kiya. Japan mein manufacturing PMI aur services PMI maeeshat danon ke tajaweezon se aage nikle, jis se USD/JPY jodi ka thora sa niche ka islaah hua. Lekin, abhi tak ghaur nahi hai ke yen khareedne walay kitna arsa qaim rahenge, khas tor par jab Federal Reserve ne interest rates par mazboot stand rakha hai Aaj, main USD/JPY ko 156.80 (graph par hari line ke moqa par) ke aas paas milnay wale mulaqat nukta par khareedna ka irada rakhta hoon, jis ka maqsad 157.15 (graph par moti hari line ke moqa par) tak chadhav hai. 157.15 ke aas paas, main khareedna band karne aur bechna shuru karne ka irada rakhta hoon, jis se 30-35 points ke nichayi chalne ka tawaqo kiya jata hai. Aaj ke pair ke taraqqi par bharosa kiya ja sakta hai kyun ke trend jaari hai
Ahem: Khareedne se pehle, yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark se ooper hai aur sirf wahan se urdu hai. Main aik saal USD/JPY ko bhi khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon agar do musalsal darjaat 156.56 ke darjaat ka imtehan lete hain jab MACD indicator oversold ilaqa mein hai. Ye jodi ke nichayi potential ko mehdood karega aur aik ooper ki market ka ulta parivartan layega. Izafa 156.80 aur 157.15 ke darajat par mutawaqqa hai. Aaj, main USD/JPY ko sirf tab bechunga jab ye 156.56 ke darjaat se neeche toot jata hai (graph par surkhi line), jis se jaldi mein pair ka tezi se giraav hota hai. Bechne walon ka markazi maqsad 156.30 hoga, jahan par main bechnay aur khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon, jis se 20-25 points ke ooper ki chalne ki umeed hai. Agar pair rozana ke uchit ird gird jam nahin hota, to pair par bechnay ka dabav wapas aa sakta hai. Ahem: Bechnay se pehle, yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur sirf wahan se gir raha hai. Do musalsal darjaat 156.80 ke darjaat ka imtehan jab MACD indicator overbought ilaqa mein hai, to aaj main USD/JPY ko bhi bechnay ka irada rakhta hoon. Ye jodi ke ooper potential ko mehdood karega aur aik neeche ki market ka ulta parivartan layega. Izafa 156.56 aur 156.30 ke darajat par mutawaqqa hai. Jab diary ko update kiya gaya, to kimat 156.99 par waqtan-fa-waqt ruk gayi. Kharidne wale ka control mazboot lag raha hai, jis se kimat ko upar aur haftay ke kam zone se dur kar diya gaya hai
Aglay hafte ke liye, USD/JPY jodi ke bullish trend ka iksaaz kiya gaya hai, buland tareen zone ki taraf mumaalik ho sakta hai. Yeh tawaqo ki jati hai ke kharidne walay market par qaboo rakhenge kyun ke peechlay haftay ke trend ko dekhtay hue, qeemat ko neeche ki taraf durust kiya gaya lagta hai. Is hafte ke bullish candlestick market ke liye josh barha sakti hai, jis se agle hafte tak chadhav jaari rah

Lekin, jab hum Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ko Wednesday ko aur Bank of Japan ko Friday ko qareeb dekhte hain, toh thodi si hichkichahat hoti hai. Is expectation ka matlab hai ke ek bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, main short-term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche rehne ke saath hume samajh hai ke buy karna behtar hai kyunki yeh giravat se bachata hai. Dusri mein higher drive karna chahiye, eventually recent high levels ke upar aur Bank of Japan ki kisi bhi intervention se ineffective hona chahiye.In wajaon se, mera focus Japanese yen aur US dollar par hai. Dollar ke muqable mein yen high rehta hai. Overall economic fundamentals aur interest rate differentials strongly support karte hain continued growth ko. Is natije mein, mujhe umeed hai ke pair apne recent highs ko break karega, aur Japanese stock market ki koshishon ko market ko influence karne mein piche chhor dega. Yeh approach in mulkon ki relative financial strength aur monetary policy par mabni hai, jo in dono currencies

kheenchte rehte hain, jo ke unki dilchaspi ko barhane ki alaamat hai. Jab bazaar channel ke ooper hisse 157.008 ke upar stabilizes hota hai, toh main bullish trend par tawajjo dete hoon aur khareedne ka tajruba karta hoon. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke 157.708 ke darja tak pohanchne par ihtiyaat baratna. Bechnay walay fael shuru ho sakte hain, jo ke mukhalif qeemat ke harkat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Main nafa fix karne ki tajweez deta hoon maqsood darja par, lekin aap M15 chart par darmiyani muddat ke harkat mein hissa lenay ke liye bhi position barqarar rakh sakte hain. 156.561 ke darja ka tor phoot, jahan kharidari ki mazbootiyan majood hain, manzil darja 157.708 ki taraf barhne ki shak mehdood karta hai. Ghantay ka chart dikhata hai ke linear regression channel ek upri trend mein hai, jo ke zyada taqatwar khareedaron ko dikhata hai. Khareedaron ne apni khareedari ke volumes ko channel ke neechay ke sath 156.561 ke darja par ikatha kiya hai. Jo ke qeemat ko 157.708 ke darja tak mazeed buland kar sakta hai. M15 chart ne bullish market ko tasdeeq di hai jab wo channel ke upper limit 157.008 ko paar kar chuka hai. Ye dikhata hai ke khareedari mein izafa hua hai. Magar, ihtiyaat baratna zaroori hai, kyunki 156.561 ke darja ka tor phoot, kharidariyon ko rad kar sakta hai aur bazaar ki mukhalif harkat ko channel ke rukh mein tabdeel kar sakta hai. Kisi bhi waqt trend ka tabdeel hone ki mumkinat ko madde nazar rakha ja na zaroori hai; ye khabron ki peechidgi se asani se kiya ja sakta hai, is liye trading karte waqt hamesha khabron ka khayal rakhna chahiye

price qareeban 156.195 hai. Yeh level ek ahem point hai, kyunki price ne ise cross kiya hai, jo higher levels ki taraf potential continuation ko point karta hai. Agla significant resistance level 156.775 par hai, jise traders closely dekh rahe hain. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh possibly 157.963 mark ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko signal karega. Lekin, market ke liye healthier hoga ke price pehle 156.775 level se correct kare, taake further gains hone ke liye stable foundation ho. Relative Strength Index (RSI) filhal dikhata hai ke USD/JPY pair overbought territory mein hai, suggesting ke correction jaldi due ho sakti hai. ZigZag indicator ned recent price swings ko highlight karta hai aur support karta hai ke market ne significant volatility ke sath upward move kiya hai. Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ek bullish trend ko indicate karta hai, kyunki current price EMA lines ke upar hai, jo further upward momentum ko confirm karta hai. Bollinger Bands yeh dikhate hain ke price upper band ke near trade kar rahi hai, jo aksar ek overbought signal ke tor par interpret kiya jata hai, aur pullback ki possibility ko reinforce karta hai. Demand Index suggest karta hai ke buying pressure abhi bhi strong hai, lekin caution advise ki jati hai kyunki market current levels ke near resistance face kar sakta hai. Stochastic Oscillator bhi overbought conditions ko show karta hai, jo potential reversal ki taraf hint karta hai. Meanwhile, Average True Range (ATR) increased volatility ko indicate karta hai, jo suggest karta hai ke price movements near future mein more pronounced ho sakte hain. Agar USD/JPY pair 156.775 resistance level ke upar hold karne mein fail hoti hai aur decline start hota hai, to pehla support jo dekhna hoga wo 156.195 par hoga. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to further downward movement 155.95 aur 155.59 support levels ki taraf ho sakti hai. Agar yeh levels ke neeche sustained drop hota hai, to yeh stronger bearish trend ko indicate karega, jo potentially lower support 151.86 ko target karega. Aisi movement ke case mein, Bank of Japan intervene kar sakti hai, kyunki historically woh yen ki value mein sharp fluctuations ke baare mein concerned rehti hai. Lekin, agar pair 156.195 level ke upar stay karti hai, to yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain, aur bullish trend continue kar sakti hai.

Summary mein, USD/JPY currency pair ek critical juncture par hai jahan key resistance 156.775 par hai aur support 156.195 par. Technical indicators jaise ke RSI, ZigZag, EMA, Bollinger Bands, Demand Index, Stochastic Oscillator, aur ATR sab suggest karte hain ke market filhal overbought hai aur shayad correction due hai. Traders ko in levels aur indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed decisions le sakein. Agar price 156.775 ke upar break karti hai, to yeh further gains towards

HAPPY KILLER USD/JPY TRADING DISCUSSION

H4 Hour Timeframe Outlook:
USDJPY kuch dino se aik hi jagah par narrow price range mein chal raha hai. Bulls kooshish kar rahe hain ke wo situation ko change kar dein aur pair ko north ki taraf bhejein. Aapko daily candle ka close first resistance level ke upar wait karna hoga aur phir aap long position enter kar sakte hain. 4-hour chart se pata chal raha hai ke pair uptrend mein hai. Price Ichimoku cloud ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo ke upward momentum ko indicate kar raha hai. Stochastic indicator overbought zone mein hai. Trading session ke doran, pair reversal level par price 157.32 ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Daily targets for growth classic Pivot levels ke resistance hain. Mera khayal hai ke agar first resistance level 157.95 ka breakthrough ho gaya, toh aik nayi growth wave pair ke liye shuru ho gi aur movement north 159.17 ke resistance line ke upar jaari rahegi. Agar short sellers market mein wapas aa gaye, toh unka reference point current chart section mein support level 155.03 ho ga.

H1 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

USDJPY currency pair ne Asian session ke doran dheere dheere strengthen hona shuru kiya. Buyers ne kal ki decline ko absorb kar liya aur is waqt woh pehle se assume kiye gaye resistance level 157.70 ki taraf badh rahe hain. Agar sellers dollar ko 157.70 level ke neeche rakhne mein kamiyab ho gaye, toh mein expect karta hoon ke pair 156.82 - 156.60 range mein decline karega, jahan se northern movement dobara shuru ho sakti hai. Alternative scenario yeh hai ke agar hourly candle ka close 157.70 level ke upar ho gaya, toh yeh dollar ko agle resistance level 158.50 ki taraf aur strengthen karega, jahan se main is asset ka akhri sale closely dekhoonga.

USD/JPY currency pair ka present price performance analysis kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair abhi MA50 ke neeche, lekin MA200 ke upar trade kar raha hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke short-term mein decline ho sakta hai lekin MA200 level se rebound bhi mumkin hai. Agar price 157.01 tak pullback karta hai, to selling ka sochna chahiye, with target 156.01 aur 155.01. Buying ke liye, 155.01 ka pullback dekhna chahiye with a target of 157.01, considering support at MA200.

Long term mein, agar price MA200 (150.01) ke upar hai, to overall bullish trend confirm hota hai, indicating possible further growth in the medium and long term. USD/JPY pair mixed sentiment se influenced hai, negative news se supported hai, aur abhi MA50 ke neeche lekin MA200 ke upar trade kar raha hai. Aaj US se significant news expected hai. Trading positions open karne se pehle news release ka wait karna advisable hai kyunki USD/JPY pair volatile price movements dikhayega. News settle hone ke baad, informed trading decision lena behtar hoga.

Ek bullish formation nazar aa rahi hai, lekin agar market initially USD/JPY liquidity top par withdraw karna chahta hai, to pair formed maximum se upar ja sakta hai. Agar yeh scenario unfold hota hai, to buying risky ho sakti hai. Maximum update hone ke baad, sharp price drop 155.76 accumulation area tak ho sakti hai. US news ka impact monitor karna zaroori hai. Prudent approach yeh hai ke market manipulation conclude hone ka wait karein before trading decisions lene. Agar maximum liquidity remove hoti hai, to significant price failure ho sakta hai, making market unpredictable. Is liye, cautious rehna aur hasty decisions avoid karna behtar hai.

Current market setup potential decline aur rebound around key moving averages dikhata hai, influenced by upcoming US news. Economic indicators aur market reactions par nazar rakhna crucial hoga strategic trading moves ke liye.

USD/JPY Technical Review

Overview


USD/JPY ka daily chart dekh kar lagta hai ke pair ek bullish trend mein trade kar raha hai. November 2023 se pair consistent upward movement dikhata aa raha hai. Chart par Bollinger Bands, Moving Averages (50-day, 100-day, aur 200-day), sab mil kar trend aur potential price action ko samajhne mein madad karte hain.
Bollinger Bands


Bollinger Bands ki positioning dikhati hai ke price upper band ke kareeb trade kar rahi hai, jo ke overbought condition ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bhi ek bullish momentum ka indication ho sakta hai agar price upper band ke saath sustain kar sake.
Moving Averages

• 50-day Moving Average (Green Line): Price iske upar trade kar rahi hai, jo short-term bullish trend ko support karti hai.
• 100-day Moving Average (Red Line): Yeh bhi price ke neechey hai, jo medium-term bullish trend ko dikhati hai.
• 200-day Moving Average (Blue Line): Long-term trend ko support karte hue, yeh moving average bhi price ke neechey hai.

Key Support and Resistance Levels

• Support Levels: 150.00, 145.00 aur 140.00 ke aas-paas ke levels significant support points hain jahan se price rebound kar sakti hai.
• Resistance Levels: 160.00 aur uske upar ke levels significant resistance points hain jo price ke liye challenge create kar sakte hain.

Technical Indicators

• Relative Strength Index (RSI): Chart par nahi dikh raha, lekin agar RSI overbought zone mein hai, to correction expected ho sakta hai.
• Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): MACD bullish crossover ka indication de raha hai jo further bullish momentum ko support karta hai.

Conclusion


Overall, USD/JPY ka trend bullish hai aur price apne key moving averages ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo further bullishness ko support karte hain. Lekin, traders ko Bollinger Bands aur RSI jaise indicators par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunke yeh potential overbought conditions ka signal de sakte hain. Agar price significant support levels ke neechey break karti hai, to trend reversal ka risk ho sakta hai. Aaj kal ke geopolitical aur economic conditions ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY pair ek crucial juncture par hai jahan se agla major move define ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ke liye tez nigaah aur aik tarteebi taur par qareebi zroorat hoti hai. Aaj ki tafseelat naye tabadlay par ghoorti hai, jo karobar ke faislon ko rahnumai faraham karti hai aur trading faislon ko rehnumai faraham karti hai
Din ne 156.95 par maqami resistance ka toorna se shuru kiya, jo daily trend ko 160.18 par daily range ke upper limit ki taraf le ja raha tha. Is rukh ko pehchaante hue, aik limit order ko 160.18 par bechne ke liye khud nazar rakh gaya, jo ke is area mein aik "Double Top" reversal pattern ke formation ke saath mutabiq tha. Magar, market ka bay itwaar fitrat jald az jald saamne aai jab ke qeemat palat gayi, breakout area ke neeche ja kar, peechle trading idea par lauta, jo ke 1-2-3 reversal pattern ke andar local top ke formation par mabni thi. Market ki sargoshi mein, ihtiyaat ehtiyaat se barhakar hai. Jhootay signals ki feqr ke bawajood, hushyar rehna zaroori hai. Is liye, jab tak pattern puri tarah se pakka nahi hota, bechne ka faisla na karna aik dana tar ravayya hai
USD/JPY positions ko din bhar ke doran jaanchne se mukhtalif jazbaat aur sazgar manevarat ka afsana samne aata hai. Shamil hone walay pehle 155.42-97 support zone mein panah talab kar rahe the, umeed thi ke aik pullback se uptrend ko dobara shuru kiya jaye ga. Magar, pehle long positions ka bojh toot par gaya aur mukhtalif giravat aai. Jab keemat wapas chali gayi, shamil hone walay dobara market mein dakhil ho gaye naye long positions ke sath. In positions ki barqarar rehnumai consolidation ke baad ke rukh par mabni hai, jahan aane wale waqt mein aik moghrib giravat lahr raha hai
Aham tor par is afsane se ghayab hai aik broken zone tak ki lautaish, jo ke 155 ke asal kharidaron ka muntazir hai. Agar aisi lautaish mojood ho, to yeh bechne walon ko mutasir kar sakti hai, aik moghrib bear trap ke liye manzoor kar sakti hai. Is ghumshuda ghora-baazi mein, USD/JPY pair apni complexity ki dynamics ko pesh karti hai, jo ke ulte pulte aur traps se bharpoor hoti hai. 156.97 ke liye resistance aur 155.42-97 ke liye support ki mukhya satahain is tajziya ke markaz mein hai. In ahem mawaqe par shawq se nazar rakhne se traders ko is daldal market ke mosallah surat haalaat mein rehnumai faraham hogi
Ikhtitami tor par, yeh tafseelati tajziya USD/JPY pair ke tawanaar faslon aur gird o gubaar ke safar ko tay karte hue, traders ko ghaltiyan bachane aur munasib waqt ko faida uthane ke liye zaroori samajhne ki bunyadi hikmat faraham karta hai

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY
Japanese yen ne thori strength regain karne ki koshish ki magar phir wapis weaken hogaya, aur apni pehli gains kho di. Yeh pair 154.75 level tak gir gaya jo key support tha, jis ne price ko reverse kar diya aur 156.54 pivot level ke upar break kiya. Expected scenario ke bar-aks, price ne decline continue nahi kiya aur target area tak nahi gaya. Iss dauran, price chart ne green supertrend zone mein wapis aagayi, jo buyers ka control show kar rahi hai.

Aaj ke technical picture par nazar dalte hue, 240-minute chart mein pair 155.50 support ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, jab ke stochastic additional momentum gain karne ki koshish kar raha hai jo pair ko upar push kar sakta hai. Agle kuch ghanton mein, ek upward trend possible hai, jiska pehla target 156.55 level ko retest karna hai, aur phir 157.50 ko target karna hai. Yeh zaruri hai ke agar price 154.60 ke neechay trading stability wapis aajaye, to ek aur move lower hoga, jiske targets 153.60 aur 152.60 hain. Chart dekhein:



Prices abhi weekly highs se thodi upar trade kar rahi hain. Key resistance area ka significant impact aur breakout na karne se preferred vector ko upside ki taraf change karna zaruri hai. Iss movement ko confirm karne ke liye, price ko 156.54 level ke upar consolidate karna hoga. Iss level ka retest aur subsequent rebound agle wave ka raasta banayega, jo 160.26 se 161.67 area ko target karega.

Agar support break ho gaya aur price 154.75 reversal level ke neechay gir gayi, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

USD/JPY currency pair ki price behavior ka analysis abhi discussion ke liye khula hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke bulls ke liye mauka hai apne goals achieve karne ka. Buy trades ko 157.304 level se aur lower support 157.124 se initiate kiya ja sakta hai. Agar calculations theek hain, to nearest resistance level 157.654 hai, jahan profit set karke sari positions close ki ja sakti hain. Trading ke dauran open positions ko cautiously manage karna zaroori hai. Agar buyer ki strategy plan ke mutabiq nahi chalti, to closing se choti gains hasil ki ja sakti hain. Trades ke liye ye details yaad rakhein:

Dono trades ke liye specific level 157.004 par stop loss set karna zaroori hai. Yeh strongly recommend kiya jata hai ke is stop loss level ko follow kiya jaye taake potential losses ko mitigate kiya ja sake. Is waqt selling se bachna bhi chahiye.

Sideways movement apne end ke kareeb hai. Ek ascending triangle form ho chuka hai, jo ke upcoming meeting se pehle breakout nahi hua hai. Notably, Bank of Japan ki meeting is Friday ko scheduled hai, aur Fed bhi cautious rehne ka likely hai. Lekin Friday ko significant moves expected hain, jo ke triangle ka breakout kar sakti hain. Yeh hafta news se packed hai, jismein US CPI data release bhi aaj kuch ghanton mein hone wala hai, jo USD/JPY ko bhi impact kar sakta hai. Inflation report ke baad ek bullish movement triangle ko break karne ka trigger ho sakta hai.

Main ek potentially harmful scenario ke liye prepare kar raha hoon aur anticipate kar raha hoon ke mujhe Federal Reserve ke interest rate decision tak intezar karna pad sakta hai. Decision ke baad substantial market movement hogi, jo possibly phir se bullish direction mein ho sakti hai.

Japanese yen (JPY) do din se lagatar acha kar raha hai, shayad is liye ke log ye soch rahe hain ke US Federal Reserve 2024 ke aakhir mein interest rates kam kar sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to US dollar yen ke muqable mein kamzor ho jayega. Lekin, abhi bhi US aur Japan ke interest rates ke darmiyan farq dollar ko mazboot rakhta hai, jo yen ki qeemat mein izafa hone nahi de raha (jo ke USD/JPY exchange rate mein zahir hota hai). Masla mazeed ulajhta hai jab Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne ishara diya ke agar Japan ke long-term interest rates ziada barh jate hain, to bank madakhlat kar sakta hai. Yeh matlab hai ke woh ziada bonds khareed sakte hain taake rates ko neeche rakha ja sake, jo yen ko mazid kamzor kar sakta hai. Ueda ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar Japan mein mehengai barh gayi, to woh sakht monetary policy bhi la sakte hain. Is darmiyan, Tuesday ko US Dollar Index (DXY) mazboot hua, jo US Treasury yields mein izafe ko reflect kar raha hai. Yeh investors ki ehtiyaat ke wajah se ho sakta hai jo key US economic data ke release se pehle wait kar rahe hain. Yeh data future mein Fed ke interest rate hikes ke expectations ko affect kar sakta hai, jo phir dollar ko bhi affect karta hai. Aam tor par, further Fed rate hikes dollar ko kamzor karte hain, lekin woh US Treasury yields ko bhi barha sakte hain, jo dollar ki value ko mutasir karta hai

Tuesday ko, USD/JPY qareeban 156.40 ke aas paas tha. Daily chart suggest karta hai ke yeh ek symmetrical triangle pattern ke andar consolidate kar raha hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) sirf 50 ke upar hai, aur agar yeh girta hai, to bearish trend ki taraf shift ho sakta hai. Possible price movements dekhein, to agar USD/JPY psychological level 157.00 aur upper triangle border ke upar break karta hai, to yeh 160.32 ke multi-decade high ko retest kar sakta hai. Waisa, agar yeh triangle ke lower border ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh 156.00 tak gir sakta hai, jo phir 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke 154.69 tak test ho sakta hai. Mukhtasir yeh ke aanewale dinon mein USD/JPY pair ek tug-of-war mein phansa rahega, jo ke US rate cuts ke expectations, interest rate differential, Bank of Japan ki possible intervention aur aanewale US economic data ke darmiyan hoga. USD/JPY pair ki direction is baat par depend karegi ke inmein se kaun si force ghalib aati hai

USD/JPY:
Agle din ke trading session mein USD/JPY currency pair ke liye bearish correction ka imkaan hai. Yeh paishgoi guzishta weekend ke market close par mabni hai, jahan buyers ko key resistance zone mein sellers ki mazahimat ka samna tha. Yeh zone 156.00 aur 156.30 ke price levels ke darmiyan hai. Yeh resistance area ek aham rukawat sabit hua, jo buyers ko price ko zyada barhane se roknay mein kamiyab raha. Iss manzar ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, mumkin hai ke bearish sellers market ka qabza hasil karain aur price ko niche le jane ki koshish karain. In sellers ka buniyaadi nishana buyers ka support area hoga, jo ke 156.46 aur 156.73 ke price levels ke darmiyan hai. Yeh support zone nihayat aham hai kyun ke yahan buyers ne pehle bhi price ko girne se roknay aur control hasil karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki thi.

Agar sellers is support area ko torne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to market ka reaction is maqam par nihayat ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar sellers is support level ko torne mein naakam rehtay hain, to yeh is baat ki nishandahi hogi ke bearish momentum kamzor ho raha hai, jo buyers ko dobara control hasil karne ka mauka dega. Aise halat mein, agar buyers ka support area mazboot rehta hai, to price ke ulta hone aur dobara upar jane ke imkaanaat barh jate hain. Agla aham nishana bullish price movement ke liye sellers ka strong resistance area hoga, jo ke 156.00 aur 156.30 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh area bhi ek key level hai jahan sellers ko buyers ke samne mazahimat karne ki umeed hai.

Is tarah, Monday ke trading session ke aghaz mein initial bearish correction ka daromadar sellers ki is salahiyat par hai ke woh buyers ke support area 156.46-156.73 ko tor saken. Agar yeh support mazboot rehta hai, to buyers ke dobara control hasil karne ke imkaanaat hain, jo ke price ko dobara significant resistance zone ki taraf barha sakte hain. In key levels par price action ko barqi nazar se dekhna traders ke liye nihayat zaroori hoga taake market dynamics aur potential price movements ko samajh sakein. Kul mila kar, traders ko in critical support aur resistance zones ke ird gird price reaction par ghehri nazar rakhni chahiye. In levels par price ka reaction samajhna market ki direction ke baray mein qeemati maloomat faraham karega aur behtar trading faislay karne mein madadgar sabit hoga.