USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY H-1 Timeframe Ka Tafseeli Jaiza:
156.55 par aik ghalat breakout mumkin hai, aur is ke baad, girawat jaari rahegi. Agar hum 153.60 ke range ko toorna kar ke is ke neeche mazbooti se jamay, to yeh ek farokht ka ishaara hoga. Magar, main yeh nahi kahunga ke hamari upar ki harkat toot gayi hai, jo rozana basis par waziha tor par dekhi ja sakti hai. Aur har surat mein, dollar ke future mein kaise trade hoga, yeh ahem hai, kyun ke aaj hamare paas mazdoori ke bazaar ke data hain. Aur main khud choti fikriyat par jari rakhunga, is liye agar hum kam az kam 155.75 tak pohanch gaye, to main wahan bhi farokht ki ejazat doonga. 155.70 ke range mein rukawat hai. Yahan se, girawat jaari ho sakti hai. Main 156.70 ke range ka ghalat breakout tasleem karta hoon, lekin is ke baad, girawat jaari rahegi. 153.58 ke range mein support hai aur shayad is ke neeche, girawat jaari rahegi. Abhi main 153.40 ke range mein girawat ka intezar kar raha hoon. 153.57 ke range ko toorna aur is ke neeche mazbooti se jamay, to yeh ek farokht ka ishaara hoga. 156.75 ke range mein rukawat hai aur wahan se, girawat jaari ho sakti hai. 153.60 ke range ke tootne ke baad, girawat mazeed jaari ho sakti hai. Jo barhav market mein ho raha hai, woh rate mein aik correctuve izafa ki manind hai aur humain aik ghalat breakout mila hai. Is ke baad, USD/JPY ko behtar farokht karna hai.

USD/JPY Analysis 23 May 2024

Agar hum USD/JPY market ke mojudah trend conditions ki baat karein, toh yeh wazeh hai ke daily chart reference mein bullish trend ka rujhan dominant hai. Yeh izafa asal mein supply area 156.50 par atka hua hai aur Tuesday ke trading session mein ek bearish candle close hui thi. Magar aisa lagta hai ke ab bhi kuch kharidar push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain taake resistance area 156.77 par ek naya high banaya ja sake. Agar is price level ke upar breakout hota hai, toh agle bullish attempt ke target ko resistance level 158.00 tak pohanchne ki tawaqo rakhi ja sakti hai. Jabke sellers ke efforts ke imkaanat hain ke bearish correction phase shuru karne ke liye, yeh tabhi mumkin hai jab decline yesterday ke lowest price area 155.80 ko paar kar jaye.

Technical Reference:
Sell jab tak yeh 156.650 ke neeche hai.
Resistance 1: 156.650
Resistance 2: 156.950
Support 1: 155.900
-Support 2: 155.650

USD/JPY technical analysis ke levels mein koi tabdeeli nahi hui. Kal ke analysis mein jo decline target 155.900 diya gaya tha, woh mukammal hua, magar uske baad USD/JPY rebound kar gaya. Yeh matlab hai ke yeh level trading mein Wednesday (22/5/2024) ko bhi dekhna zaroori hai.

1-hour chart par USD/JPY ka potential hai ke Double Top pattern banaye, jo aam tor par bearish signal ke tor par use hota hai. Pehla peak 156.770 ke range mein dekha gaya jo ke 15 May ko pohcha, jabke doosra peak ka potential 156.540 ke range mein hai jo aaj subah pohcha.

Yeh pattern long-term decline ka mouqa de sakta hai, agar neckline jo ke 153.60 ke range mein hai, usko dekha jaye. Hourly chart par stochastic indicator overbought territory mein dakhil ho raha hai, jo short-term decline ke chances ko barha raha hai.





15-minute chart par stochastic bhi yeh hi dikhata hai, jo short-term decline ke chances ko barha raha hai. Strong resistance 156.650 ke range mein hai, jab tak yeh iske neeche hai, USD/JPY ka potential hai ke wapas girkar 155.900 ko test kare.

156.56 ke price level ka test us waqt hua jab MACD indicator ne zero mark se kaafi upar move kiya tha, jo pair ki mazeed upar janay ki potential ko limit karta hai. Is wajah se, maine isse nahi khareeda. Yeh sab kuch American session ke end par hua, isliye market mein naye entry points nahi milay. Kal ke machinery orders aur trade balance ke positive figures Japan mein nazarandaz kiye gaye, lekin aaj ke economic activity indicators ke saath yen mazboot ho gaya. Japan ke manufacturing PMI aur services PMI economists ke forecast se zyada aaye, jis se USD/JPY pair mein thoda downward correction aya. Magar sawal yeh hai ke yen buyers kab tak tik sakte hain, khas tor par bullish dollar market aur Federal Reserve ke sakht mawqaf ke bawajood.

Aaj, mera irada USD/JPY ko khareedne ka hai 156.80 ke qarib (graph par green line) tak ke yeh 157.15 (outline par mooti green line) tak chala jaye. 157.15 ke aas paas, mera irada hai ke khareedari ko khatam karke selling shuru karoon (expect karte hue ke 30-35 points ka movement opposite direction mein hoga is level se). Aaj ke pair ke development par bharosa kiya ja sakta hai kyun ke trend barqarar hai.
Important! Khareedne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur sirf wahan se upar chadhna shuru kar raha ho. Mein additionally USD/JPY ko aaj khareedne ka plan rakhta hoon agar 156.56 ke price ke do bar back-to-back tests hoon jab MACD indicator oversold region mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko upward trend mein le jayega. 156.80 aur 157.15 ke opposite levels par growth anticipated hai.

Aaj, mera irada sirf tab USD/JPY bechne ka hai jab 156.56 level (outline par red line) ke neeche break ho, jo pair mein tez girawat ka sabab banega. Sellers ka key target 156.30 hoga, jahan main sales ko khatam karke purchases open karoon ga opposite direction mein (expect karte hue 20-25 points ka movement opposite direction mein is level se). Pair par selling pressure wapas aa sakta hai agar yeh daily high par consolidate karne mein fail ho jaye.
Important! Bechne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur sirf wahan se neeche girna shuru kar raha ho. Agar 156.80 price ke do consecutive tests hon jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho, mein aaj bhi USD/JPY ko bechne ka plan rakhta hoon. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market downward trend mein le jayega. 156.56 aur 156.30 ke opposite degrees par girawat anticipated hai.

Roshan USD/JPY Keemaati Faalat

Hamara mojuda tajziya USD/JPY currency pair ke keemaati faalat par mabni hai. Main Bollinger Band indicator ka istemaal karta hoon taake moving average levels ke baray mein keemaati rawayyat ka jaeza lain aur mazeed agahi ke liye uthne walay tick volumes ka ghor karta hoon. Halat yeh hai ke jora 156.72 par trading kar raha hai, jo ke aam Bollinger ke qeemat 156.76 se oopar hai, jo aik mumkin upar ki taraf rawayyat ke keemaat ko zahir karta hai. Ahem Bollinger levels hain upper-156.853 aur lower-156.65. Bael khuwah shor mein hain is market mein. Ek munasib faida hasil karne ka lehaz 156.85 par tay kia gaya hai, jabke 156.68 farokht ke liye mumkin hai. Abhi farokht ko ghor karne ke liye waqt zyada hai, kyun ke aise shor ke liye short position kholne ke shara'it sirf tab puri hoti hain jab qeemat 156.73 ke neeche jamta hai. Lambi muddat ke positions Bollinger ke levels ke mutabiq halq mein dikh rahe hain, is liye meri strategy upar rawayyat ka jaari rehna par mustaqil tabdeeliyon ka samna karte hue banaai gayi hai.



Hum hosla afzai ke saath meharban hain, 157 ke darjay aur us se aage ke liye mazeed taraqqi ke liye, shayad 160 tak pohanchne ka iraada hai. Pair ke safar ke liye manzilain tay ki ja rahi hain, pehla manzil 158.17 ka maqsood hai, jo ke tawaqo ke mutabiq pehle se pehle pohancha ja sakta hai. Khareedne walay pur itminan hain, jo ke mazeed upar ki keemat ki harkat ka zahir hai. Is liye, hum is ta'ayun par faida uthane aur maqsad ke darja tak maal kharidne ka iraada rakhte hain. Magar agar bullish trend khatam ho gaya, to 157.15 ki taraf girawat ka khatra hai, us ke baad upar ki harkat phir se shuru hogi, jo ke tabadla darja ko pehle rakhne ka tauqiyah karta hai. Numaish shuda market levels ishaaraat hain ke potential bullish aur bearish keemaat ki harkaat, lekin sahi tor par USD/JPY ke raaste ka tayyun karna ek complex challenge hai. Mushkil ke bawajood, koshishen shayad USD/JPY ko barha saken.

USD/JPY: Keemat Ka Jaiza

Mere tajziye ke mutabiq, agar keemat ooncha chalay, toh yeh aik ahem uroojati dhakka de ga, jis se mombatti ko sadah maqami moving average ki zone se aur door le jaaya jayega. 5,3,3 stochastic indicator ka 80 zone ko chhoo dena khareedne ka control dikhata hai. Is dauran, chhotay time frame ek ghante par yeh zahir hai ke keemat ka rawayyat 100 muddati sadah maqami moving average line ke upar samah gaya hai. Yeh ishara deta hai ke keemat shayad ab bhi haftay ki upar rawayyat jari rakhne ke liye ahem sarmaya intezar kar rahi hai. Is tajziye ke buniyad par, hum mahine ke ant mein farokht ke nateejay nikal sakte hain. Nazar aata hai ke market ke paas bullish manzarnumaari dobara jaari rakhne ki salahiyat hai. Iske baad, Japanese yen apne urooj par laut sakta hai. Mere khayal hai ke darja agle haftay mein 157,000 tak barh jayega.



Char ghanton ke trading diagram par, keemat oonchi janib jaa rahi hai, aur Relative Strength Index ab bhi 50.00 ke reading se oopar hai, jis se yeh ishara milta hai ke oopar ki harkat abhi bhi mojood hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke uthan jodi ko 156.90 ke darja tak le jaayega. Is darje ke oopar, pehli nishaat 157.00 ke gol mark ka ho ga, uske baad 157.30. Lekin woh halat mein jahan se keemat mojood darjo se girne lag jaye, to keemat ka zone 155.50 pehla nishana hoga, uske baad 155.00 ki nafsiyati satah par hamla hoga. Agar sheron ko market par mazbooti se grip mil jaye aur jodi ko 155.00 ke darja se neeche le jaye, to keemat 154.40 ke darja tak chalti rahegi, neeche jahan 154.10 aur 153.80 ke darje hain. Aane wale ghanton mein dekhte hain ke market kaise chalata hai. Dosto, kamiyabi ki tamanna hai!

**USD-JPY Pair Forecast**

Trading week ki shuruaat se lekar ab tak, USD/JPY market bullish zone mein chal rahi hai. Mazboot buying interest ne yeh darust kiya hai ke prices pichle kuch hafton se upar ki taraf trend kar rahe hain. 4-hour time frame chart dikhata hai ke trading week ki shuruaat mein market ka scenario position 155.62 se shuru hua aur 157.21 tak pahunch gaya hai. Budhwar raat ko lag raha tha ke market ka scenario ek neeche ki correction mili jo kafi strong nahi thi, phir buyers candlestick ko phir se upar le sakte hain. Market ab bhi dikh raha hai ke prices upar ki taraf badhne ki koshish kar rahe hain lekin itni zyada nahi tak ke kal raat tak candlestick 100 simple moving average zone ke upar hi raha, ek signal jo dikhata hai ke market buyers ke control mein chal raha hai.

Jab journal update kiya gaya toh price ki yatra thoda sa rok gayi thi temporary position 156.99 pe. Buyer control abhi bhi mazboot dikh raha hai, jo ke prices ko upar aur door le ja sakta hai weekly low zone se. Agle hafte ke liye, USD/JPY pair ka bullish journey jari rakhne ki prediction ki ja rahi hai, shayad price upar ki taraf move kar sake kisi higher zone tak. Yeh predict kiya ja raha hai ke buyers market ko control kar payenge kyun ke agar aap pichle hafte ke trend ko dekhte hain, lagta hai ke prices ne neeche correction kiya tha. Iss hafte ka candlestick bullish hai. Yeh ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario market ko momentum de ke increase agle hafte bhi jari rakh sake.

Agar aap pichle teen hafte ke trading data ko dekhte hain, toh USD/JPY market ek bullish trend ki taraf ja rahi hai. Aaj subah ka candlestick apni position ko ab bhi 100 period simple moving average line ke upar band kar raha hai, matlab ke market trend ka mauka hai ke woh apni bullish journey jari rakh sake. Agar buyers candlestick ko 157.52 price zone se upar le sakte hain, toh bullish trend agle hafte ke trading period mein bhi market par dominate kar sakta hai, recommended Buy transaction option ke saath kyun ke technical analysis ke mutabiq market trend tend kar raha hai bullish ki taraf.

**Transaction Options:**

Buy in the 157.12 area, Take Profit: 157.43, Stop Loss: 156.88

**USD/JPY/H4 Tafseeli Jaiza**

Kai analysts ke mutabiq, USD/JPY currency pair aage bhi wahi rukh mein trend karega. Price movements "ascending triangle" chart pattern ke istemal se mumkin hain. Ascending triangles corridors ki tarah hote hain jahan farsh dheere dheere buland hota hai. Price ne lower trend line (farsh) aur upper trend line par kuch waqt tak bounce kiya hai. Jab yeh pattern breakout ke pehle ata hai, toh mumkin hai ke daakhil hone se pehle keemat kisi bhi rukh mein tezi se barhegi.

Achi khabar ye hai ke dollar Japanese yen ke muqable mein mazboot ho raha hai, jo ke USD/JPY mein izafa kar sakta hai. Ye upward trend US ke aaj release ki gayi economic data par mumkin hai. Magar kuch rukawatein bhi hain. Bullish scenarios ke liye price ko 157.77 ke ahem resistance level ko tasleem ke saath paar karna zaroori hai. Yahan kuch kamzor economic news ki wajah se kuch rukawat ho sakti hai. Breakout hone ka imkan hai, lekin ye phir bhi ho sakta hai kab hoga. Iske alawa, bulls (jo price mein izafa ka intezar karte hain) ko 157.77 ko paar karne mein mushkilat ka samna ho sakta hai.

Price 4 ghanton ke trading diagram par upar ki taraf ja raha hai, aur Relative Strength Index ab bhi 50.00 ke level se oopar hai, jo ke yeh darust karta hai ke upar ki movement ab bhi valid hai. Main tasavvur karta hoon ke yeh barhna pair ko 156.90 ke darja tak le jayega. Is point ke upar, 157.00 ka round mark, uske baad 157.30, quotes ka maqsood hoga. Magar halat mein jab keemat mowjooda levels se girne lagti hai, toh 155.50 ke darja pehla maqsood hoga, 155.00 ke mental level ke hamle ke baad. Agar bears (jo keemat mein kami ka intezar karte hain) ko bazaar mein achha grip milta hai aur pair 155.00 ke darja ke neeche trading karta hai, toh keemat 154.40 ke darja tak chalti rahegi, jis ke neeche 154.10 aur 153.80 ke darje hain. Chaliye dekhte hain ke bazaar kaise react karta hai. Sabko kamiyabi ki duaon mein yaqeen rakho, dosto!

USD/JPY currency pair ne halhi mein isharaat diye hain ke uski bullish taqat shayad kamzor ho rahi hai. Guzisht do din se, qeemat ke amal ne mustaqil tor par chaar ghante ke Envelopes indicator ke ooperi hadood ko azmaaya hai, jo ke 156.63 par waqif hai. Yeh darja ek ahem madda ke tor par sabit hua hai, jo pair mein mazeed urooj ke liye rukawat hai. USD/JPY pair ke qeemat ke amal ne guzisht kuch dino mein bailon aur bhalon ke darmiyan ladaai ki nishandahi ki hai. Jabke bailon ne qeemat ko ooperi hadood ki taraf dhakelne mein kamiyabi haasil ki hai, woh kaafi tor par josh ka mohima nahi kar sake hain ke 156.63 ke ooper ek todhak se baahar ja sake. Is se aik aasar ka doraniyati dor aya hai, jahan qeemat is ahem darje ke qareeb tezi se hil rahi hai.

Dusri baat, market ke shirakatdaar ab zaroori arzi data ya siyasi waqiyat ka intezar kar rahe hain jo USD/JPY pair par asar daal sakta hai. Maslan, agle faislon se ya Bank of Japan se anay wale elaanat se, market mein nai golaki daakhil ho sakti hai, jis se traders baray hudood se rukawat ke faisley karne mein sharmindah ho sakte hain. Yeh beqarari waqt ki muddat ki taraf le ja sakti hai jab traders clear signals ka intezar karte hain. Mazeed iske ilawa, asal market ke jazbat bhi pair ke qeemat ke amal mein ek ahem kirdaar ada karte hain. Agar khatra pasand investors mehfooz assets ki taraf ja rahe hain, toh Japanese yen ki darkhwast barh sakti hai, jis se USD/JPY pair par neeche ki taraf dabao aaye ga. Balkay, agar khatra pasand investors ke jazbat behtar hotay hain, toh pair ko naye josh ka ahsaas ho sakta hai, lekin yeh namoona abhi tak 156.63 ke takhfeefi rukawat se dhaans mein daba hua hai.



Aakhri tor par, USD/JPY pair ke haalhi ke qeemat ke amal ne chaar ghante ke Envelopes indicator ke ooperi hadood 156.63 ke darmiyan ek potential bullish taqat ka rukh-e-roka nazar aata hai. Is resistance darje ko todne ki naqamiyat ke baad se yeh darja darja darja isharaat deti hai ke pair ek doraniyati dor ya ek mumsil kashid ke liye mojood ho sakta hai. Traders ko iss darje ko qareeb se dekhte rehna chahiye, kyunke taslees kaari tor par uske ooper ya neeche se break ka ek faisla pair ke agle qadam ke liye wazeh rehnumai faraham kar sakta hai. Technicati rukawat, market ke jazbat, aur agle arzi waqiyat ka khel, USD/JPY pair ke agle qadam ko dorust karne ya usay neeche ke darja tak wapas le jane mein ahem ho ga.

Hello, kaise hain aap? USD/JPY pehle ke faiday ko barhane ke liye 156.50 ko test kar raha hai, walaqin Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ki tawajjuh ke baad bhi. Jab Fed officials ne mazid barhti hui U.S. Treasury bond yields aur U.S. dollar ke darmiyan maharat karte huee inflashan aur policy outlook par ihtiyaat bhara rukh ikhtiyar kiya, tab pair madhur rahe. USD/JPY pair apni behtari ko Friday ke European session mein 156.00 tak barha raha hai. Mawad is liye barh raha hai kyun ke U.S. dollar ko mazid taaqat mili hai jab Federal Reserve ne ek rate cut ki umeedon ko inkar kiya, haalaanki April mein United States consumer price index data ki umeed se girne ki basharat thi. Consumer price inflashan wafaq kafi hai ke overall trend mein tabdili ka ishara hai. New York Fed ke president John Williams ne kaha ke abhi koi ma'ashiyati ishaarat nahi hain jo darustari se monetary policy ka rukh badalne ki zaroorat dikhayein. Inflation ki tasweer par sawal kiya gaya to Williams ne kaha, "Bohot hi qareebi doran mein, mujhe yeh ummeed nahi hai ke hum do percent inflashan hadaf ki taraf taraqqi karne mein kamyab ho jayenge." Yeh dekhna zaroori hai, Reuters riport karti hai. Fed ki lambi doran capped interest rate mazaaid US dollar aur bond yields ke liye faida mand hai.



U.S. dollar index, jo ki che usooli currencies ke muqablay mein dollar ki qeemat ko dekhta hai, 104.70 tak barh gaya hai. 10-year U.S. Treasury yield 4.39 percent tak barh gaya hai. Is dauraan, spekulation rehti hai ke Fed apne September ke meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ka aghaz karega. CME FedWatch tool dikhata hai ke September mein maujooda darajat se interest rates girne ki 68% imkaan hai, jo ke naram inflashan data jaari hone ke baad 73% par darj ki gayi thi.

Aaj ham USD/JPY currency pair ke qeemat ke tabdeelion ka jaiza lenge. Hum M15 time frame par USD/JPY pair ka jaeza lenge. Main chart ko saaf rakhta hoon jismein minimal indicators hote hain aur simple hone par zor deta hoon. Meri strategy mein period 9 aur 22 ke exponential moving averages ka istemal shamil hai. Trading signals ka pehchan karna seedha hai: Main apni moving averages ka precise intersection dekhta hoon jo 155.75 par hota hai. Dakhliyon ke liye, mein orders ko maujooda qeemat ke hawale se execute karta hoon, zarurat par pullbacks par ek aur order shamil karta hoon aur apni trading volume ko un mein taqseem karta hoon. Jab ek position faida mein chali jati hai, mein foran stop loss ko break even par adjust karta hoon, stops aam tor par behtar risk management ke liye 20 points par set kiye jate hain.



USDJPY market ki haalat ka tajwez karne ke liye, mein ek neural network ka istemal karta hoon jo potential future movements ki insights faraham karta hai. Halqa halat mein, neural network ek 157.28 ke nishana tak ke upward trajectory ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Main ek bullish outlook maintain karta hoon, jabke ek short-term dip ho sakti hai pehle ke upward momentum ko dobara shuru hone se pehle. Halankeh tajwez bullish umeed ke mutabiq hai, lekin market ki dynamic tabiyat ka matloob hai ke technical analysis ke alawa bhi factors, jaise ke fundamentals, qeemat ke action par asar daal sakte hain, jisse buyers aur sellers ke liye imkanat paida hote hain. Vartaman mein, USD/JPY 155.33 ke aas-pass upar ki taraf trading ho raha hai, aur mazeed bullish momentum 155.13 ke maximum ko torne par munhasir hai, jo ke 155.49 ke aas-pass buland highs ke raaste ko khol sakta hai. Bullish sentiment ki tasdeeq currency pair ke 156.18 ke oopar consolidation ke zariye hoti hai, jismein 155.29 ka ek neeche wala low ek ahem support level ke taur par kaam karta hai, jo ke bullish bias ko tasdeeq deta hai.

USD/JPY: Qeemat Ke Amal Ka Code Shikast Karna

Main USD/JPY currency pair ke qeemat ke taghafulat ka jaiza karoonga. USD/JPY halankeh ek upar ki taraf qeemat ke durustion mein hai, isliye potential sale taqreeban mukammal hone ke baad honi chahiye. Nazdeek ka nishana 149.68 support level hai, aur iska tor aik girawat ki taraf le ja sakta hai jo 146.73 tak hosakti hai. Sale behtar hai 46 din ke moving average (MA) ke neeche, is level tak waapis aane par kam ahmiyat hai. Ahtiyaati traders ko agar price 153.88 ke neeche girte hue dekha jaye toh sale positions shuru karne ka tasawwur karna chahiye. Dosri taraf, agar price 160.26 ko par karta hai, toh samajhdari yeh hogi ke taqreeban resistance ko torne ya phir 154 support level ki taraf waapis aane ke liye achi tarah nigaah rakhi jaye, jise 151.91-152.89 support range tak aur giravat hosakti hai.



Maujooda zone se palatav ek barish ko zor de sakta hai, jise 156.73 par jhoota breakout ka baad jaari giravat ka silsila ho sakta hai. 156.78 par rukawat giravat ko jaari rakh sakti hai, jabke 153.53 par support mazeed giravat ko dikhata hai, jo shayad 153.58 range ki taraf manzil ho. Aik sale signal ka tasdeeqi saboot 153.58 ke neeche torne aur muratab hone par ata hai, jabke 156.74 par resistance 153.66 range ke breakdown ke baad giravat ko sambhal sakta hai. Market ka izafa durustion ki qeemat ka samar hai, jo jhootay breakdown ke baad potential sale ko predispose karta hai. Maujooda qeemat 155.73 mein ek resistance update hone ki sambhavna ko barhata hai, jo ke 157.05 par hoti hai, ek bearish correction ke baad. Char ghantay ke time frame mein kamzor volatility, is mein gumraah market movement ke darmiyan 153.55 support zone ki dobara tajziyat ka ishara deta hai lekin ek sarhad jo bullish trend hai. Chhoti positions ka tajziya karte waqt, munsif placement of stop orders bari market trend ke khilaf khatra kam karta hai.

USD/JPY ka pichla hafta mein urooj ka manzar dikhaya, lekin uska maqsoodah hadaf 156.79 tak nahi pohancha. Jumeraat ke trading mein aik dohrati hui harakat ke doran, 100 points ke daray mein, mumkin thi. Halankeh is consolidation ke bawajood, urooj ki raftar ki taraf zyada tarjih hai. Ek neechay ki zigzag pattern ban sakta hai jab tak 154.68 ke darja ko paar kiya ja sakta hai. Ye tadeel mustaqbil mein aik zyada ahem harkat ka dhamaka ban sakti hai. Kal, USD/JPY ne bullish momentum ka mazhar dikhaya, jo traders ke shumali manzil ki umeedon ko tasdeeq karta hai. Bazaar ke jazbat mutmaeen rahe, walaum ke price 155.79 ke maqsoodah tak nahi pohancha. Haal he mein hasool shuda faiday ke bawajood, currency pair ne Jumeraat ko 60-pip ke daray mein oscillate kiya, jo aik consolidation ka doran dikhata hai. Aksar, market ko apni saans lene ki zaroorat hoti hai ek mazboot rehnumai harakat ke baad, phir uski raftar ko barqarar rakhte hue ya usi rukh mein palatne ke liye.

Jumeraat ke dohrati hui harakat ke baad, traders ne agle haftay ke ahem harkat se pehle apni positions aur strategies ko dobara tajziya kiya ho sakta hai. Kharidne walay aur farokht karne walay ek 60-pip ke daray ke andar nishbat hai ya balance hain, jo aik consolidating market ki maamooli sifaat hai.



USD/JPY ko barhte hue trend mein rahne ki sambhavna hai, jiske maqsoodah 156.195 hai. Is darja ko pohanchna ahem hai kyunke ye aik ahem resistance point hai. Price mumkin hai ke ek zigzag ke tor par neechay ki taraf correction kare jab ye 155.960 tak pohanch jaye. Market is neechay ki harkat ke baad buland raftar par chal sakti hai, jo mojooda bullish trend mein aik qudrati retracement ke tor par kaam aaye. Technical tajziya ke mutabiq, mutawaqqa zigzag pattern aik teen-wave structure ke zariye barah-e-raast trend ke khilaf chal raha hai. Ye zigzag pattern ek tez girawat, phir ek hissi retracement, aur phir doosri girawat ke doran hota hai. Tadeel shuru mein minor nazar aa sakti hai, lekin agar kuch khaas market halat mumkin hain, to ye aik zyada ahem trend palat ko janam de sakta hai.

Dollar (USD) teesri roz se Japani yen (JPY) ke khilaaf mazboot hui, Monday ke pehle Asian trade mein 155.80 ke qareeb ghum rahi thi. Yeh izafa Japan se kamzor economic data ki wajah se hua, jo ne 2024 ke pehle quarter ke Gross Domestic Product (GDP) mein tangi ka izhar kiya. Investors is haftay Federal Reserve ke kai afseron ke tajziyaati tabsare ke peechay hain, jin mein Bostic, Barr, Waller, Jefferson, aur Mester shamil hain. Unki guftaguon ke saath-saath, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki meeting ke minutes ko Wednesday ko jari kiya jayega, jo Amreeki interest rates ke mustaqbil ke bare mein isharon ke liye janch ki jayegi. Mehengai ke data ka mamooli hissa hai, jahan Atlanta Fed President Bostic ne hilte hue ummedon ke mutabiq haal ki CPI reports par rok lagane ka ihtiyaat bhara inkaar kiya. Magar, unho ne May aur June mein mazeed data ki tasdeeq ki zaroorat par zor diya. Intehai, doosre Fed afseron jaise Richmond Fed President Barkin ne mehengai ko apne maqasid ke mutabiq girane ka ehmiyat par zor diya.



Amreeki aur Japani ke darmiyan interest rates mein yeh nihayat farq yen par neechay dabao daal raha hai. Bank of Japan ne is saal ke shuruaat mein apni manfi soodgi ki policy ko chhod diya, lekin aahista aur taiz mustaqbil ke izharat kiya. Yeh policy ikhtilaf USD/JPY ke halat ki taza tareen ke peechay ek barhaaw hai. Pair ne ek khasi tabdeeli dekhi hai 151.84 ke qareeb se, jisse aik technical indicator (50-day simple moving average) aur musbat momentum signals ne sath dia hai. Aane wale waqt mein, USD/JPY mein mazeed qeemat ka izafa mumkin hai. Magar, kuch ihtiyaat zaroori hai. Ek aur technical indicator (Stochastic) tez ralley ke baad aik wapas chaspaan ka izhar karta hai. Agar bull log 159.10 ke qareeb rukawat ko paar kar sakein, to agla maqsood 160.20 ka 34-saal ka uncha ho sakta hai. Us darja ke mukhalif aik tasalsulat ke raste ko taiz kardia ja sakta hai jo ke June 2023 se ek bara rukawat ka darja raha hai.

Haftay ke ikhtitam tak, woh izafah mein rahe, aur haftay ki mombati khud stagnation ke bahar chali gayi hai, lekin sirf shakhsan. Aglay haftay Bank of Japan ke baray mein waqiyat hone chahiye, agar mein ghalat nahi. Ham waqt aur technique ke lehaaz se bohot mushkil daur se guzar rahe hain, lekin ab tak soorat-e-haal ghaairat barah hai, haalaanki kuch arsa pehle ek giravat ka safr dekha gaya tha, lekin hum dekh rahe hain ke bazaar kaise jaldi se sabhi fronton par unfold ho raha hai. Abhi mein ek aur cheez dekh raha hoon: is skheme mein humein 158.13 ke sath resistance chhodna hoga, aur bhi ooper nahi jaana. Aur jab yeh resistance mazbooti se neeche ki taraf tezi se phir chadega, toh aise ehtimal ke saath, 157.18 par support mukhya level ban jayega jahan hum palat sakte hain. Iss giravat move ke taraqqi ke saath, asal mein humare paas pehla support hoga, aur yeh level ek bearish trend mein toot jayega. Jaise hi hum neeche chalkayenge, ek neeche ki correction khul sakti hai, aur iske saath hi USD/JPY bazaar badal jayega. Yahan sab se important baat yeh hai ke 158.13 yen upar ki taraf na chalay, warna darust darust darust darust ke tend se izafa ho jayega, aur bazaar bunyadi tor par nahi badlega. Waise, mein 158.13 se dakhilay ke baghair movement ka intezar karunga.
Agar ab yahan market ke ziada tar shirkat daron ko yakeen hai ke wo bechna chahte hain aur qeemat kisi surat mein, to woh seedha yahan se neeche giray gi, aur is lamhay ko taeye karna, main samajhta hoon ke mojooda market ke mahol mein jo halat is jodi par ban chuke hain, aapko volumes aur unki shakalat ko dhyan se dekhna chahiye, aur bilkul bhi order book aur uske indicators ko bhoolna nahi chahiye, jo har naye ghante mein tabdeel hote hain. Khabron ke peechay, lagta hai aaj kuch ahem nahi hai, aur is liye main ab sochta hoon ke yeh jodi us rupay ki volume se drive hoti hai jo abhi 157.04 ke darje par laga hua hai, jis ke aas paas qeemat ab moammal kar rahi hai. Agar ab USDJPY jodi ne neeche ki taraf ja kar 156.44 ke ikhtataam ilaqa tak chalkar wahan se, is haalat mein, qeemat tezi se barhti hui volumes par oopar jati hai, to is manzar ke mutabiq, 156.44 ke darje se hi, is moqay par agar ab ham girtay hain, tou yeh teer o tule rahi hai.

USD/JPY FORECAST: Japanese yen ke leay trades ka tajziya aur trading tips
156.56 price level ka test tab hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se kafi upar chala gaya tha, jise wajah se pair ka mazeed upward potential limit ho gaya. Is wajah se, maine isay nahi kharida. Yeh American session ke aakhri hisse me hua, is liye koi naye entry points market me nahi milay. Kal ke positive figures for machinery orders aur trade balance in Japan ko nazarandaz kiya gaya, magar aaj ke economic activity indicators in Japan yen ko strengthen kar gaye. Japan ke manufacturing PMI aur services PMI economists ki forecast se barh gayi, jiski wajah se USD/JPY pair me thori si downward correction dekhi gayi. Magar, sawal yeh hai ke yen buyers kitni dair tak qaim rahenge, especially ek bullish dollar market me aur Federal Reserve ke firm stance on interest rates ke bawajood.

Aaj, mera irada hai ke USD/JPY ko 156.80 (graph pe green line) ke aas paas purchase karoon taake 157.15 (outline pe thicker green line) tak ascend kar sakoon. 157.15 ke aas paas, mera irada hai ke purchases ko leave karoon aur doosri taraf sells open karoon (anticipating a move of 30-35 places doosri taraf level se). One can rely on the pair's development aaj ke pattern ke leay.

Important! Purchase karne se pehle, guarantee karen ke MACD pointer zero imprint ke upar ho aur sirf us se upar chadhne lagay. Additionally, mera plan hai ke USD/JPY ko aaj khareedoon agar 156.56 cost ke do back-to-back tests ho jab MACD pointer oversold region me ho. Yeh pair ke descending potential ko limit karega aur ek vertical market inversion lead karega. Opposite levels of 156.80 aur 157.15 pe growth anticipate ki ja sakti hai.

Aaj, mera irada hai ke USD/JPY ko sirf tab sell karoon jab 156.56 level ke neeche break ho (red line on the outline), jo ke pair me quick decrease lead karega. Vendors ke leay vital objective 156.30 hoga, jahan mera irada hai ke deals ko leave karoon aur purchases ko quickly doosri taraf open karoon (anticipating a move of 20-25 places doosri taraf level se). Pair pe selling pressure wapas aa sakta hai agar yeh daily high ke aas paas consolidate nahi kar pata.

Important! Sell karne se pehle, guarantee karen ke MACD pointer zero imprint ke neeche ho aur sirf neeche decline karna start karay. In the event ke 156.80 price ke do consecutive tests ho jab MACD indicator overbought area me ho, mera irada hai ke aaj USD/JPY ko sell karoon. Yeh pair ke vertical potential ko restrict karega aur ek market inversion descending lead karega. Ek downfall anticipate kiya ja sakta hai opposite degrees of 156.56 aur 156.30 pe.



, mera irada hai ke USD/JPY ko sirf tab sell karoon jab 156.56 level ke neeche break ho (red line on the outline), jo ke pair me quick decrease lead karega. Vendors ke leay vital objective 156.30 hoga, jahan mera irada hai ke deals ko leave karoon aur purchases ko quickly doosri taraf open karoon (anticipating a move of 20-25 places doosri taraf level se). Pair pe selling pressure wapas aa sakta hai agar yeh daily high ke aas paas consolidate nahi kar pata.

Important! Sell karne se pehle, guarantee karen ke MACD pointer zero imprint ke neeche ho