USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY

Maujooda funda background ab bhi US dollar ko mazboot karne ko support karta hai. Haal hi mein US se aye economic data, jismein behtar-than-expected March mahine ke CPI figures aur retail sales shamil hain, sath hi Fed ke afraad ki hawkish comments ne dollar ko ek positive boost diya hai. Saath hi, ECB, BoC aur RBA jaise doosre central banks ke dovish attitudes ne bhi dollar ki mazbooti ko barhaya hai. Iske alawa, Fed ke kai afraad ki statements ke mutabiq potential interest rate hike ka bhi khayal hai, jo dollar ki demand ko aur bhi barha raha hai. USD/JPY traders bhi possible foreign exchange intervention par nazar rakhte hain, Middle East mein barhti hui tensions aur Japan aur Korea ke possible actions ke liye, haalaanki US ka position abhi clear nahi hai.

Pichle Monday ke movements se lagta hai ke USD/JPY currency pair ne bullish trend ko jari rakha hai, kaafi strong volume ke saath, aur is hafte bhi market abhi bhi ek upward direction mein nazar aa raha hai. H1 timeframe chart par, price ko neeche le jane ki koshish hai, lekin hafte ke end tak price ko upar push karne ki koshish bhi hai, ek bullish trend ko maintain karte hue ek kaafi bada range mein. Overall, pichle mahine ke trading period mein, lagta hai ke buyers market par control mein hain.

Haalaanki Friday ko decline ki koshish thi, lekin short-term trading ke liye, bullish conditions dominant nazar aati hain. Agar aap bade timeframe chart par dekhte hain, toh market ka upward trend jaari rahega ka prediction nazar aata hai. Main ek mauqa dekhta hoon ke upward movement jaari rahega. Agar price 153.90 tak pahunchta hai, toh buy option ka vichar kiya ja sakta hai, pehla target 154.50 area mein aur agar wo cross ho jaata hai, toh agla target 155.20 par hai.

USD/JPY

Assalamu Alaikum sab ko, ye hafta ka choutha din hai aur trading ka jaiza lenay ka waqt hai. Main aap sab ke saath USD/JPY market ki tajziyaat share karne ja raha hoon. Price movement ko dekhtay hue, USD/JPY waqt ke mutabiq 154.29 par trade ho raha hai. Market price 20-day exponential moving average ke upar chali gayi hai, jo chart par ek mazboot uptrend indicator hai aur yeh dikhata hai ke hum resistance ki taraf ja rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator barh raha hai aur 60 level ko chhootne ke baad thora sa kam ho gaya hai. Jab RSI 50 ke neeche chalta hai, yeh yeh dikhata hai ke behtar hai ke bechnay ka waqt hai kyunki market negative nazar aa rahi hai. Usi waqt, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator bhi barh raha hai 0 levels ko chhootne ke baad. Isliye MACD buyers ke liye ek positive outlook dikhata hai. USD/JPY market price simple 50 EMA aur 20 EMA ke upar chali gayi hai, aur agar resistance ko toot diya gaya, toh price aur bhi upar ja sakti hai.

Din ki chart ko dekhtay hue, USD/JPY pair upar jaari hai aur Bollinger Bands Channel ke upper line ke paas hai. Lekin jab yeh 155 level ke kareeb hoti hai, toh yeh tham jaati hai. Haalaanki technical indicators ka direction badal gaya hai, lekin ab yeh short term mein zyada upar hai. Humain careful rehna chahiye kyunki short term mein yeh girne ka khatra hai. Humain dekhnay chahiye ke Japanese government kuch karti hai agar exchange rate 155 ke kareeb aata hai. Agar woh nahi intervene karti, toh USD/JPY ko dekhna chahiye ke Japanese government kitna bardaasht kar sakti hai.

USD/JPY

U.S. Dollar ka Japanese Yen ke khilaf guzishta haftay mein istiqamat pasand hawaao ne traders ki tawajjo ko apni taraf mabzool kiya, khaaskar jab yeh aham ¥155 level ke kareeb pohnch gaya. Bazaar ke sargarmi mein wazeh tadad mein taqat, buyers jaldi mein aagaye aur haftay ke doran jo masail nazar aaye, unka muqabla kiya, jo currency ke liye support dikhata hai.

¥155 demand ka ahmiyat sirf adad se zyada hai, kyunki yeh market mein considerable psychological weight rakhta hai. Lekin inn do currencies ke long-term rukh ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, analysts ko mazeed upside ke mumkin mukaam nazar aate hain, jahan tak ke kuch afraad ne speculations ko ¥170 tak pohanchte hue dekha hai. Iss nazar se, short-term price returns strategy ka istemaal incremental improvements ka faida uthane ke liye ek chalak tareeqa sabit hota hai.

Iske ilawa, favorable swap rates ke zariye overnight positions se milnay wali interest rates ka faida lena, USD/JPY pair mein long position banaye rakhne ka kashish barhata hai. Haalaanki Bank of Japan market dynamics ko influence karne aur interest rate differentials ko manage karne ke liye intervene karne ki sambhavna hai, lekin kisi bhi aise kadam ko chhalang lagane ka mauqa hoga chalak traders ke liye, jo ¥155 threshold ko paar karne ke baad long positions ka sahi waqt ka intezar karenge. Agla target ¥157 par hai, traders ab bhi potential upside ka faida uthane ke liye tayar hain.

Mukhalif taur par, market ko short karna kam attractive hai, khaaskar jab tak Fed apni monetary policy mein koi major tabdiliyan nahi karti. Halan ke market mein future mein Fed ke rate cuts ke bare mein afsos hota raha hai, lekin aise amal ka samay nisbatan mushkil hai - yen abhi tak apni position ko consolidate karne ke liye asaani se ooncha karne ke liye impossible challenges ka samna kar raha hai. Jab traders inn tarraqiyan ko navigate karte hain, toh market conditions aur fundamentals ka tawajjo se rakhna buhat zaroori hai USD/JPY currency pair ki position lenay mein ongoing process mein.

USD/JPY

Market ke is pahaar ki taraf ka magnetic khech usse ek magnet ki tarah banata hai, jo traders ki tawajjo ko kheenchta hai aur unhein intraday rallies ka faida uthane ke liye motivate karta hai. Maine is tarah ke dips se bar bar faida uthaya hai, har decline ke baad jab price is pahaar se wapas aati hai. Meri yakeen mazboot hai: price is level se bahar nahi nikal sakti bina apni pehli high ko dobara dekhe, aur yeh 300 pips tak ki spike ke liye bhi potential rakhti hai. Iss convergence zone ki ahmiyat ko zyada tawajjo nahi milti - yeh market participants ka ek bara group hai. Lekin yeh mumkin hai ke in retracements se kuch traders mein shak peda ho jaye, jo yeh samajhne lagte hain ke yeh sach mein market ka top hai aur ek reversal nazdeek hai. Unka tajurba dekhte hue ke price ooncha nahi jata, bechnay ki pressure bhad jaati hai, jo is level par resistance ka ahsas peda karti hai.

Tou bhi, main market ke upward potential par optimistic hoon. Pahaar ki taraf ka mazboot khech ismein bullish sentiment ko darust karta hai, aur kisi temporary setback kaafi chhota waqt ke liye hi rehta hai. Jab market is mukhya level ke aas paas oscillate karta rahega, mujhe aur bhi opportunities ka intezar hai ki intraday rallies ka faida uthaun aur upward momentum ka saath chalun.

Price movements ko dekhne ke ilawa, bazaar ke bade dynamics aur potential catalysts par bhi tawajjo rakhna zaroori hai, jo sentiment ko influence kar sakte hain. Economic data releases, central bank announcements, aur geopolitical developments sab market sentiment ko asar dal sakte hain aur price action ko drive kar sakte hain. Alert aur adaptable rehne se traders ko emerging opportunities ka faida uthane aur market fluctuations ko effectively navigate karne mein madad milti hai.

Risk management bhi is mahol mein zaroori hai. Stop-loss orders set karna, position sizes manage karna, aur portfolios ko diversify karna risk ko kam karne aur capital ko protect karne ke essential strategies hote hain. Potential profits ka attraction ho sakta hai, lekin discipline maintain karna aur sound risk management principles ko follow karna zaroori hai. Conclusion mein, market ke is pahaar ki taraf ka gravitational pull traders ke liye lucrative opportunities present karta hai intraday rallies ka faida uthane ke liye aur upward momentum ka saath chalne ke liye. Potential setbacks aur fluctuations ke bawajood, underlying bullish sentiment suggest karta hai ke market eventually is level ko break karega aur naye highs tak pohunchega. Updated rehkar, adaptable rahkar, aur risk management ko priority dekar, traders apne liye success ke raste par khareed sakte hain is dynamic trading environment mein.

Mazeed thehrav ke bawajood, U.S. dollar ki maqbooliati ko gheirne wala trend aakhri haftay mein Japani yen ke muqablay mein, khaas tor par jab woh ahem ¥155 ke darje ke qareeb pohanchta hai, traders ki tawajju ko pakar liya hai. Market ki fa'alat mein numaya shorish ka samna karte hue bhi, kharidari karne walay jaldi se kadam uthate hain aur haftay ke doran kisi bhi maslay ka samna karte hain, jiski wajah se currency ko support milta hai.
¥155 ki darkhwast ka maqsad sirf adad ke makhsoos qeemat se zyada hai, kyunke yeh market mein aham nafsiyati wazan rakhta hai. Magar in do currencies ki lambi lehar ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, analysts mazeed izafe ke mumkinat ko dekhte hain, jahan tak ke spekulation ¥170 tak pohanch jati hai.Is manzar ke sath, short-term price returns ka istemal kar ke mazeed behtar hone ke fawaid uthane ka aqalmandana tareeqa sabit hota hai.

Is ke ilawa, raat bhar ke positions ke zariye faida hasil karne ke liye faide mand swap rates ke zariye interest rates hasil karne ka attraction, USD/JPY pair mein long position barqarar rakhne ki khushi ko barhata hai. Halankeh Bank of Japan ke market dynamics ko mutasir karne aur interest rate differentials ko manage karne ke liye intervent karne ki mumkinat hai, lekin aise koi kadam aam tor par aqalmand traders ke liye long positions ko time karne ka moqa ban sakta hai jab ¥155 ki had ko torne ke baad. Agla maqsood ¥157 par mark kiya gaya hai, traders ab bhi potential izafe ka faida uthane ke liye tayar hain.

Mukhalif taur par, market ko short karne ka manzar kam attractive hai, khaas tor par jab Federal Reserve ka monetary policy mein koi bari tabdiliyon ki kami hai. Halankeh market ke kisi bhi qisam ke future rate cuts ke bare mein spekulation jari hai, lekin aise amal ke liye wakt ka taayun ghair yaqeeni hai - Yen ke liye aage barhne ki impossible challenges ke samne aise halat ko samajhna asan nahi hai. Jab traders in taraqqiyan ko samajhte hain, to market ke haalaat aur asasiyat ko barqarar rakhna, USD/JPY currency pair ke position ko lene ke liye ehmiyat rakhta hai ongoing process mein.

Din ke chart par is currency pair mein koi nihayat ahem tabdiliyan nahi hui hain, trading kafi arsay se side mein ja rahi hai, support level 153.95 se lekar resistance level 154.80 tak ke hadood hain. Aaj joda ne side ki southern hadood ko test kiya, lekin abhi bhi peechay hat gaya. Chalte dekhte hain ke aaj is jode ke liye kya ummeed hai, kya ye side mein jaari rahega ya breakout ka intezar karna chahiye. Is maqsad ke liye, chalte dekhte hain jode ke takneeki tajziya ko nazdeeki waqt ke liye. Moving averages - tawajju se kharidain, takneeki isharaat - kharidain, nateeja - tawajju se kharidain. Lagta hai ke khareedai ke liye intezar karna zaroori hai, magar filhal kharidain aur faroshain ke darmiyan ek maqami jung hai. Chalte dekhte hain aaj is jode ke liye jari hone wali ahem khabron ka jahaan. Ameeri States se ahem khabren ane wali hain, maujooda tanzeem neytral hai. Japan se bhi ahem khabren ane wali hain, jo ke neytral hone ka rujhan rakhti hain. Japan se, abhi bhi ahem khabren ane wali hain, yani JPY ke net speculative positions ka number, neytral tajwez. Mujhe lagta hai, aaj is jode ke liye uttar ki taraf ki harkat ka intezar zaroori hai. Kharidain ki karwaai 154.80 ke resistance level tak ki ja sakti hai, yani side ki uttari hadood tak. Farokht 154.45 ke support level tak mumkin hai. Toh, main is jode ki harkat ka uttar ki taraf intezar kar raha hoon, magar mukarrar side ke hadoodon ke andar rehta hoon. Ye baaqi trading waqt ke liye ek sakht trading plan hai.




Bullish Moving Average aur Zigzag Signals ka Isteqbal USDJPY ke Barhne mein Madadgar Ho Sakta Hai

Takneeki Reference: kharidain jab tak 154.100 ke ooper hai
Resistance 1: 155.045
Resistance 2: 155.235
Support 1: 154.100
Support 2: 153.890

USDJPY ki raftar barhne ka maqbool imkaan hai US trading session mein raat ko (24/4/19) kyunkay ye Moving Average indicator ke barhne wale signals se madad hasil kar raha hai jo ke barhne ka rujhan rakhte hain aur Zigzag jo ke bhi ek uthne wala dhancha banata hai.

Ek ghante ke chart ke tajziya ke mutabiq, ooper diye gaye 15 M chart mein, USDJPY bhi ek kharidain ka ishara dikhata hai kyunkay MACD indicator histogram ko mustaqil tor par musbat ilaqe mein hone ke baad barhne ke mauqay faraham karta hai. Agar tajziya ke mutabiq, USDJPY ka imkaan hai ke wo 155.045 ke resistance level ko test karne ke liye barh sake.

Asian session ke trading dauran raat ko, market haqeeqat mein ab bhi sellers ki taraf se kafi taqat ka dabao mehsoos kar raha tha, jo ke prices ko 153.00 tak girne ka sabab bana, magar dopehar se sham tak nazar aya ke khatarnak bullishness hai. Agar aap UsdJpy market ke price movement ko dekhte hain, to ye dikhata hai ke trend is hafte ke ikhtetam par bullish taraf pe chala gaya hai, agle price movement pehle ki buland zone ko test karne ke liye 156.00 ilaqe mein jana chahega, raat ke trading dauran bullish harkat kaafi khatarnak thi, jis ne prices ko buland kiya, market ke subah band hone par ek halki neeche ki sahihgi hui jo ke prices ko 154.63 ke maqam par gira diya. Toh, meri raay mein, agle market ke halat ka tajziya karte hue, UsdCad jode mein, lagta hai ke prices mein buland hone ka imkaan hai, kharidain mustaqim rehne ki koshish kar sakte hain takay candlestick ko Uptrend taraf se safar jari rakhe. Jis cheez ko main bullish taraf ke safar ka target dekhta hoon shayad wo buland zone se guzarna chahta hai jabke doosre kharidain ko prices ke izafay ko support karne ke liye mauqay kholta hai. Aik aaramdayak trading position dhoondne ke liye, meri raay mein sirf price ke izafay ka intezar karna zaroori hai taake maqam 154.83 tak buland ho. Aaj ke jaise halaat mein, kharidain ke liye kaafi mauqa nazar aata hai ke wo apni harkat ko bullish taraf pe jari rakhein taake aur buland ilaqe tak pohanch saken taake bullish trend jari reh sake. Haalaanki raat ke akhri mein price uptrend taraf jane ki taraf tend karta tha, main aap ko dobara yaad dilana chahunga ke agle haftay ki shuruaat par market ke riwayaat ye ho sakti hain ke market neeche jaega, aaj subah ki sahihgi ko jari rakhte hue jab tak ke price bullish trend taraf na buland ho.

USD/JPY currency pair ki analysis:

USD/JPY currency pair mein long position rakhne ka attraction raat bhar ke positions ke zariye faida hasil karne ka hai, jo ke faide mand swap rates ke zariye interest rates hasil karne ka ek tareeqa hai. Jab traders long position barqarar rakhte hain, unhein swap rates se interest hasil hoti hai, jo unke liye ek mufeed faida hai.
Bank of Japan ke market dynamics aur interest rate differentials ko manage karne ke liye intervent karne ki mumkinat hai. Yeh kis tarah ki koshish ki jati hai, lekin aksar aqalmand traders ke liye long positions ko time karne ka moqa ban sakta hai, khaaskar jab ¥155 ki had ko torne ke baad. Is tarah ki intervent se traders ko mawafiq potential izafe ka faida uthane ka mauka mil sakta hai.



Traders ne agle maqsood ko ¥157 par mark kiya hai, jo ke ek aham had hai. Is had ko paar karne ka maqsad unhein mazeed faida hasil karne ki ummeed hai. Agar market ¥157 tak pohanchti hai, to yeh traders ke liye ek mufeed mawafiqat ka dastavez hoga aur unhein mazeed izafe ka faida uthane ki izazat dega.

Yeh raat bhar ke positions ke zariye faida hasil karne ka ek mufeed tareeqa hai, lekin is mein bhi rukawat ho sakti hai. Market dynamics aur central bank interventions ke asar se rates mein tabdeeliyan aati rehti hain, jo ke traders ke liye muzir ho sakti hain. Is liye, har trade ko soch samajh kar aur mufeed taawon se tay kiya jana chahiye.

Aqalmand traders hamesha market ko tezi se ghurte rehte hain aur mawafiq mouke ka faida uthate hain. Long positions ko samay par barqarar rakhna aur faida uthane ka maqsad unke liye aham hai, lekin hamesha risk ka bhi ehtimam karna zaroori hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ki analysis:
Raat ke positions se faida hasil karne ka ek mukhtalif tareeqa hai jo traders ko USD/JPY pair mein long position barqarar rakhne ka jazba deti hai. Is tareeqay mein, traders long position barqarar rakhte hain taake wo faide mand swap rates se interest rates hasil kar sakein. Yeh ek aham tareeqa hai jo raat bhar ke positions se faida uthane ka mauqa deta hai.


Bank of Japan ki market dynamics aur interest rate differentials ko control karne ke liye interventions ki sambhavna hoti hai. Lekin aqalmand traders ke liye long positions ko samay par lena ek behtareen mauka ho sakta hai. Unhein ¥155 ki had ko paar karne ke baad mawafiq izafe ka faida uthane ka maqsad hota hai. Is tarah ke interventions se traders ko mazeed potential izafe ka faida uthane ki izazat milti hai.


Traders ne agli maqsood ko ¥157 par mark kiya hai, jo ke ek aham had hai. Agar market ¥157 tak pohanchti hai, to yeh traders ke liye ek mufeed mawafiqat ka dastavez hoga aur unhein mazeed izafe ka faida uthane ki izazat dega. Yeh raat bhar ke positions ke zariye faida hasil karne ka ek mufeed tareeqa hai, lekin is mein bhi rukawat ho sakti hai.




Market ke dynamics aur central bank interventions ke asar se rates mein tabdeeliyan aati rehti hain, jo ke traders ke liye muzir ho sakti hain. Is liye, har trade ko soch samajh kar aur mufeed taawon se tay kiya jana chahiye. Aqalmand traders hamesha market ko tezi se ghurte rehte hain aur mawafiq mouke ka faida uthate hain. Long positions ko samay par barqarar rakhna aur faida uthane ka maqsad unke liye aham hai, lekin hamesha risk ka bhi ehtimam karna zaroori hai.


Raat ke positions se faida uthane ka tareeqa zaroori maaloom hota hai, lekin is mein bhi hoshiyari aur tajawuz ka hisaab rakhna zaroori hai. Jab tak traders market ke asrat aur interventions ko samajh kar aur unke mutabiq amal karte hain, unhein faida hasil karne ka behtareen mauqa milta hai.

USD/JPY ke market mein buyers ke favor mein dekha jaa raha hai. Unho ne 154.66 zone tak pohanch gaye hain. Yeh ek resistance area hai jahan se buyers apna safar jaari rakh sakte hain. Mazeed, aaj ke market landscape mein, ek numaya trend hai jahan buyers ka dominion hai, yeh ek phenomenon hai jo market ke hissedaron ke liye strategic opportunities pesh karta hai. In buyers ke liye jo in paniyon mein safar kar rahe hain, unki survival incoming news data ka astute monitoring par mabni hai, yeh amal un logon ke liye khaas taur par zaroori hai jo news-driven trading strategies mein shaamil hain. Relevant news ka real-time assimilation ek compass ka kaam kar sakta hai, jo traders ko market ke complexities mein rehnumai kar sakta hai. Breaking developments ka faida uthakar, hum apne aap ko faida utha sakte hain, market sentiment ka leverage karke apne faislon ko inform karte hue.
Overall, USD/JPY ke market buyers ke favor mein rahega. Unhe baad mein 154.87 ke level ko cross kar sakte hain. Magar, market mein inherent volatility ke sabab, ehtiyaat aur risk management zaroori hai. Paniyan jaldi aur bina sochay samjhay palat sakti hain, hatta ke seemit tour par favorable buyer's market ke doran bhi. Is liye, stop-loss mechanisms ka prudent adoption mazid salahiyat di jati hai. Stop-loss orders ko trading strategies mein shamil karna ek hifazati dhaal ka kaam karta hai, jo accounts ko abrupt market reversals aur anjaane wapisiyon ke khatron se bachata hai. USD/JPY ke case mein, yeh proactive approach sirf capital ko nahi bachata, balkay trading practices mein discipline aur door-andeshi daalta hai. Mazeed, technical indicators ka istemaal aaj ke trader ke arsenal mein ek ahem tool hai. Ye analytical instruments traders ko market dynamics ka nuqta nigah samajhne mein madadgar hote hain, raw data ko paar karke mool trends aur sentiment ko wazeh karte hain. Indicators se diye gaye insights ka faida uthakar, traders ko market ke maidan mein buland precision aur confidence ke saath safar karna hota hai. Yaad rakhiye ke trend hamara dost hai. Is liye, jab USD/JPY par trading kar rahe hain, stop loss ka istemaal zaroori hai.

154.60 ka price test dopahar mein hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se tezi se ooper chala gaya tha, jo ke sath sath pair ki bullish potential ko madd karta hai. Is wajah se main ne dollar nahi khareeda, halankeh US ka kaam ki bazaar ki data is ke liye zyada munasib tha - dollar us waqt saalana uchayi ke qareeb tha. Aaj, Japan ki mehngai ke data jaari hone ke baad dollar tezi se gir gaya. Is ke bawajood, bulls jaldi se dips par khareedne ke liye tayar the, jo market mein unki bulandi ke liye buland dilchaspi aur pair ke mazeed mazbooti ke liye bohot bari imkaanat dikhata hai. Intraday strategy ke tor par, main scenario No. 1 aur No. 2 ke tajurbaat par zyada bharosa karunga.

Kharidne ke signals:
Scenario No. 1: Main aaj USD/JPY ko kharidna chahta hoon jab price entry point 154.60 par pohanch jaye jo chart par hari line se plot kiya gaya hai, mazeed 155.19 par umeed ki jati hai jo mazeed moti hari line par chart par plot ki gayi hai. 155.19 ke ilaqe mein, main lambi positions se bahar nikalunga aur ulte rukh mein chhote positions kholunga, ummeed hai ke us level se 30-35 pips ki taraf se rukh ki chalaye. Aaj aap USD/JPY ke uzr ke trend par adharit umeed kar sakte hain baad mein din ke uchiyon ko toornay ke baad. Kharidne se pehle, yeh zaroori hai ke MACD indicator zero mark ke ooper ho aur sirf us se upar se chalne lage.

Scenario No. 2: Main aaj USD/JPY ko kharidna chahta hoon agar do murtad tests 154.24 par hoon jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Ye pair ki nichayi potential ko madd karega aur bazaar mein ek upar ki palat ka silsila shuru hoga. Hum umeed kar sakte hain ke yeh upar ki taraf 154.60 aur 155.19 ke opposite levels tak badhegi.

Farokht ke signals:
Scenario No. 1: Main aaj USD/JPY ko sirf tab bechna chahta hoon jab 154.24 ka level test ho jata hai jo chart par surkhi line se plot ki gayi hai, jo ke qeemat mein tezi se girne ka silsila laaega. Farokht karne wale ke liye asal maqsad 153.64 hoga, jahan main lambi positions se bahar nikalunga aur foran ulte rukh mein chhote positions kholunga, ummeed hai ke us level se 20-25 pips ki taraf se rukh ki chalaye. USD/JPY par dabav us waqt lot sakta hai jab daily uchiyon ka nakami se farokht ka silsila aur central bank ki faa'li amal ho. Farokht karne se pehle, yeh zaroori hai ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur sirf us se neeche se girne lage.

Scenario No. 2: Main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko farokht karna chahta hoon agar do murtad tests 154.60 ke price par hoon jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Ye pair ki upar ki potential ko madd karega aur ek neeche ki taraf market ka palat ho ga. Hum umeed kar sakte hain ke yeh neeche ki taraf 154.24 aur 153.64 ke opposite levels tak giraygi.

USD/JPY money match mein halka sa giravat dekha gaya hai, aur
pichle Thursday ko 1990 ke July se sab se buland darje par pohanchne ke baad 153.00 tak pohancha. Ye tabdeeli market par kuch mukhtalif factors ke asar ka natija hai. Market par aik bara asar hai haal hi mein US Consumer Price Index (CPI) mahangai mein izafa ka. March mein CPI tawaqqaat se zyada barh gaya, jis se Federal Reserve (Fed) ko sochna para ke woh saal ke baqi dino mein kisi bhi mumkin rate cut ko taal den. Ye ansoo'aan mahangai ka izafa Fed ki future monetary policies par mubahisa ko jala dala, jis se US dollar ki qeemat dusri currencies ke nisbat, jaise ke Japanese yen, par asar para. Mazeed, Bank of Japan (BoJ) se potential foreign exchange (FX) intervention ke baare mein baat ho rahi hai. Aise intervention se Japanese yen ko samjha jata hai, jo USD/JPY duo par dabao daal sakta hai. BoJ ke currency market mein qadam investor confidence ko modh sakta hai aur exchange rates mein tabdiliyan le kar aata hai.








Aam tor par, USD/JPY pair ke halki trading ne US mahangai figures, Fed policies ke muta'allaq tawaqqaat, aur BoJ intervention ke mojoodgi jaise muddo'n ka uljha hua mishran kiya hai. Jab market players in taraqqiyan par mohtat rahenge, to currency pair ko chhote arse mein mazeed ups and downs dekhne ko mil sakti hain.
USD/JPY ne apne stagnant range se nikal kar ab confident taur par aik upri trend par sawar hai. H4 chart par sab indicators currency pair ke liye mazboot bullish momentum ki ishaarat dete hain. H1 chart dekhte hue, aik candle hai jiske neeche lambi momb ka nishaan hai, jo jald hi ek potential bullish rebound ko dikhata hai. Resistance ab 153.25 par dekha ja raha hai, aur jab ye level paar hoga, to upri trend ka tawaqo kiya jata hai ke jari rahega.

USD/JPY

Ham USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda raftar ka tajziyah karenge. Halat mein, USD/JPY pair ke liye intraday bias behtar hai. Agar 154.74 ke upar breakout hoga, to ye aik mazboot uptrend ki jari rahnumai ka ishaara hoga, lekin 155.28 Fibonacci projection level ke growth potential ko had se zyada na karega. Ye is liye hai ke 4-hour chart par divergence conditions hain. Mutasir tor par, 153.54 ke neeche girawat aik gehri pullback ko trigger kar sakti hai, jo aik downside reversal ki taraf ishaara karega. Baray manzar se, 140.28 se chal rahi barhti hui satah 127.20 ke 2023 ke low se shuru hone wale uptrend ka teesra marhala hai. Agla maqsood 61.8% projection level hai, jo 127.24 aur 151.85 ke darmiyan hai aur 140.29 se 155.25 tak barhta hai. Agar 146.43 support barkarar rahega, to bullish outlook mukhtalif significant pullbacks ke darmiyan bhi jari rahega.

Shayad hi bears ke darmiyan koi ummeed ho, jo keemat ka samna karte hain. Girawat ki koshishon ke bawajood, upward momentum jari hai. Ye is wajah se sabit hai ke wave structure ascend karti hai aur MACD indicator apni signal line ke oopar upper buy zone mein trend kar raha hai. Magar, MACD ka upper overheating zone se girawat, girawat ke imkaanat ko barha deta hai, shayad kisi minor update ke saath. Haal hi mein hui ek girawat ne qeemati support level 153.40 ke qareeb laaya, phir se oopar uth gaya. Aik corrective decline ka imkaan 151.95 ke pivotal level tak hai—jo 2022 aur 2023 ke highs ko mark karta hai—aik reversal test, breakdown ke baad naye highs ko ghor se dekhne se pehle zaroori hai. H4 ya kam az kam H1 time frame par aik potential mirror level formation ke mushahida hone par, jahan support se resistance tak ka transition ho raha hai, aik corrective pullback ke liye aik mauqaat ki taraf ishaara karta hai 151.96 ke taraf. H4 chart par, MACD indicator par bearish divergence jo mojooda peak ka update hone ke baad aata hai, suitable selling opportunities ko explore karne ke liye aik munasib lamha ki taraf ishaara karta hai.

USD/JPY

H-1 waqt frame ka chart dekhte hue aaj, wazeh ho jata hai ke USD/JPY ne mazboot 150.80 ke qareebi support level ki taraf khenchna shuru kiya hai. Ye tajziya asal harkaat ko samajhne ke liye ek tafteesh ko daryaft karta hai jo currency pair ke raastay ko musallat kar rahi hain. H-1 waqt frame chart ka tajziya humein USD/JPY exchange rate ke andar hone wale tabdeeliyon ki bareek nazar farahmi deta hai. Ye chart, har ghante ke tabadlaat ko capture karta hai, jo market ki jazbat aur qeemat ki harkaat ko chalane wale foron ka khel dikhata hai. Is mushkil taar ki data ke darmiyan, aik numaya namona saamne aata hai: 150.80 mark ke ird gird qeemat ki sakht bandish.

Is support level ki ahmiyat ko zyada na samjha jaa sakta hai. Ye ek aham point ko darust karta hai jahan market ke ikhlaqi foron ek jamaa hote hain, currency pair par khenchta hua dikhata hai. Karobar log aur tajziya karne walay aksar aise levels ko keenly observe karte hain, kyun ke woh aksar pivot points ke tor par kaam karte hain, agle qeemat ki harkaat ka raasta taay karte hain. USD/JPY ke case mein, 150.80 ke ird gird dikhai gayi bardasht is ka ehmiyat samjhaati hai ke yeh market ki jazbat ko shakal dene mein kaisi eham kirdar ada karta hai. Chart par aik series ki qeemat ke bounces aur consolidations is ahem mor par dikhayi gayi. Har support level ka imtehan asal harkaat par munfarid nazar farahmi deti hai. In imtehanon ki takrar aur shadeedgi market ki jazbat ka aik peemana hai, jo bullish aur bearish dabaavat ka ajra o khaar ko darust karta hai.

Is ke ilawa, technical indicators ka ek milavat bhi 150.80 ke support level ki ehmiyat ko aur zyada mazboot banata hai. Oscillators, moving averages, aur doosre tajziyaati aalaat ek mazboot support zone ka tasdeeq karte hain, jis se karobar log iski bharosagi mein izafa karte hain. Aise ittefaqat ko support level ki nafsiyati asar mein izafa karta hai, jab market ke shirakat daron apni trading strategies ko mutabiq karne lagte hain. Technical duniya ke bahar, broad market dynamics bhi kirdaar ada karte hain. Macro-economic factors, geopolitical events, aur central bank interventions apni asar ko dikhate hain, jo qeemat ki harkaat mein complexity ke layers ko jodte hain. Karobar logon ko is mushkil manzar mein tajziyaati signals ko mufeed faislon par tabdeel karne ke liye technical signals ko bunyadi naza'riyat ke saath milakar guzarish karna padta hai.

US stocks ke umeed thi ke jumma ko thori si ziyata ucha hojayen, lekin din guzarta gaya, toh unka girna jaari raha. Peer ko, hum ne 151.70 ka maqami ucha dekha. Dilchaspi ki baat hogi dekhna ke agar hum us lehaz se ucha karnay mein nakam rehtay hain, toh woh un shares ko us waqt bechnay ka sabab bana ga. Agar share ke daam 150.30 se ooper chale gaye, toh yeh ek kharid ki signal hogi. Agar daam phir 150.30 ke as paas giray aur us se bahir nikal gaye, toh phir bechnay ka ek acha sabab hoga. 151.70 ki taraf halki si upri theekid ke baad, girawat jaari rakhne ke bohot zyada chances hain, jabke tajziya abhi bhi girawat ka hai. Majmooay ke halat mein, umeed hai ke upri moment jald hi wapas aayega, lekin mustaqbil ki nigaah mein girawat ki hai. Hamari maeeshat ko jald hi sudharne ka dor hoga, jis ke baad agle saalon mein ek girawat ka dor hoga. Agar maheena sudharne ki dar ko kam kiya jata hai, to girawat ke dor ko mazeed zyada kar diya jayega. Jab tak 151.75 ke aas paas ek muzahira kona hai, daam girna jaari rahega, aur agar woh kona guzar jata hai, to us ke baad bhi girna jaari rahega. Jald hi, tabadla dar muzahira taraf girna jaari rahega. Agar 150.40 ke ooper bahar nikal aaye aur phir us ke neeche mazid muzahira hoti hai, toh yeh dobara girne ka ek sabab ho ga agar woh us ke ooper nikalta hai aur us ke neeche muzahira hota hai. Hum mojooda daamo se sudharne ka moqa dekhenge, us ke baad daam saal ke end tak girte rahega. Agar hum US trading session mein momentum haasil karte hain, to girawat agle dino mein jaari rahegi. Behtareen hai agar hum 151.75 ke muzahire se bahir nikal kar us ke ooper mazid muzahira karte hain, lekin yeh abhi ikhtiyari hai. Chalo 152.05 ke muzahire se bahir nikalte hain aur us ke ooper mazid muzahira karte hain. Is ke bawajood, thori si upri harkat ko jaari rakhna zaroori hai, kyun ke girna hamesha is puray amal ka sab se ahem pehlu raha hai. Majmooay ke tabadla dar halaat mein, daam 150.30 ke neeche hai, aur agar woh daam 149.00 ke neeche gir jata hai, toh yeh zyada tar kam hoga