USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY forex pair ka movement kaafi intricate aur complex hota hai, aur iski price action ko predict karna challenging ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar hum technical analysis ka istemal karein aur current market conditions ko dekhein, toh yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ke USD/JPY ka maqsad 150.83 ke qareebi support ki taraf girne ka ta'aluk ho sakta hai. Sabse pehle, humein dekhna hoga ke 150.83 level kyun important hai. Yeh ek significant support level hai jo pehle se bhi multiple baar test kiya gaya hai aur isne price action ko influence kiya hai. Agar yeh level breach ho jaye, toh yeh indicate karega ke bearish momentum mazeed barh sakta hai.

Iske alawa, humein current market sentiment bhi dekhna hoga. Agar global economic conditions stable nahi hain ya phir koi geopolitical tension hai, toh USD/JPY pair ka downside movement expected hai. Is situation mein traders USD se safe haven currency JPY ki taraf shift kar sakte hain, jiski wajah se USD/JPY pair ka price gir sakta hai. Technical indicators bhi is prediction ko support karte hain. Agar hum price action, moving averages, aur oscillators jaise tools ka istemal karein, toh hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/JPY pair ka trend bearish hai aur downside momentum barh raha hai.



Lekin, yeh prediction bhi market conditions aur unexpected events ke asar par depend karta hai. Kabhi-kabhi sudden news ya economic data release ke baad market mein volatility increase ho sakti hai, jiski wajah se price direction change ho sakta hai. Is prediction ko trade karte waqt, risk management ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai. Stop-loss orders ka istemal karna aur position size ko manage karna important hai taake agar market opposite direction mein move kare, toh loss minimize kiya ja sake.

USD/JPY, yaani ka exchange rate, global forex market mein ek ahem maqam rakhta hai. Jab bhi iska rate tezi se girta hai ya phir barhta hai, yeh markets aur investors ke liye ahem indicators hote hain. Ab aap ka maqsad yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair 150.88 ke qareebi support ki taraf giray ga. Pehle to, humein samajhna hoga ke "support" kya hota hai forex market mein. Support ek level hota hai jahan se market ki movement neeche girne se rok sakti hai. Agar USD/JPY pair 150.88 ke qareeb support ki taraf gir raha hai, toh yeh ek important point hai jahan se traders expect karte hain ke price ka trend change ho sakta hai.

Is scenario ko samajhne ke liye, humein market ke factors aur indicators ko dekhna hoga. Economic indicators, central bank policies, geopolitical tensions, aur global market sentiment sab factors hote hain jo forex market ko influence karte hain. Agar koi bhi factor USD/JPY pair ki direction mein changes laata hai, toh iska asar exchange rate par padta hai. Agar aapka expectation hai ke USD/JPY pair 150.88 ke qareeb support ki taraf giray ga, toh aapko market ke current conditions aur future expectations ko analyze karna hoga. Ismein technical analysis ka istemal hota hai jismein historical price data aur indicators jaise ki moving averages, RSI, aur Fibonacci retracements ka istemal hota hai. Yeh sab kuch milake ek trend ke possibility ko determine karta hai.



Sath hi, fundamental analysis bhi important hoti hai. Ismein economic data, monetary policy decisions, aur geopolitical events ka impact consider kiya jata hai. For example, agar US Federal Reserve interest rates ko adjust karta hai ya Japan ke economic indicators mein koi significant change hota hai, toh USD/JPY pair ke direction par asar padta hai. Iske alawa, market sentiment bhi crucial hota hai. Agar traders ka overall sentiment USD/JPY pair ke liye bearish hai, toh support level ki taraf girne ke chances zyada hote hain.

USD/JPY ke qeemat kharidaron ke control mein hai jo 151.48 zone ke upar karobar kar rahe hain. Is liye, is haftay bechne walay kamzor ho gaye hain. Mazeed, Fed Chair Powell ka taqreer aaj bechne walon ko mazeed kamzor ya mustaqil kar degi. Aakhir mein, market ka dhadkan global iqtisadi indicators aur monetary policy decisions ki lay mein dharak rahi hai. Filhal, tawajjo Tokyo aur Bank of Japan ki khabron par hai, khas tor par monetary policies ke hawale se, jo USD/JPY ke bechne walon par dabao dal rahe hain. Yeh dynamics aisi surat hal ko barhawa de rahe hain jahan kharidaron ko mauqe par yen ke mustaqil aur pur sukoon izafay ka faida uthane ka mauqa mil raha hai. Is manzar-e-aam ke mutabiq, market ki jazbat bechne walon ke haq mein nazar aati hai aaj. Magar, yeh taqreebati tajziya ke sath aata hai, kyun ke mutasir kun iqtisadi data ke jald hi intikhabat se amrica ke USD/JPY market mein ragbat pazeer hai. US Existing Home Sales, Be-rozgar ki Sharah, Flash Manufacturing, aur Service Index jaise ahem metrics ke sath, USD/JPY market mein larzaan ka imkaan hai. Is lahaz se, karguzari par amal karna samajhdari hai. Aaj mojooda market jazbat ke sath nahin larna balkay is ke sath chalna behtar hai, taake karobar ke faislay par us ka saath dena ho. Is ke ilawa, stop-loss intezam ko hifazati dhamaka ke tor par istemal karna aik mohafiz daira hai, sudden market shifts ke sorat mein nuqsanat ko kam karne ke liye. Aik ehtiyaat bhari aur dhairee tareeqay se, traders apne aap ko USD/JPY market ke manzar mein rakhte hue position le sakte hain, us ke harkat ko apne faiday ke liye istemal karte hue, jab ke hamesha tabdeel hone wale iqtisadi mahol ke jokhim ko kam karte hain. Aam tor par, mein daily high zone par market mein farokht ki taraf hota hoon. Jald hi yeh 151.26 ke darja ko test karke aik correction process ko mukammal karne ke liye wapas aa sakta hai

Pichle hafte ke trading ke ant mein ek sakht closing ke saath, jabki poora hafta jodi ke movement ka amm trend ek oopri disha ka trend tha. Upar ki ore ki lehar se pehle, jodi ka daam is maheene kharidari pattern ke andar trading shuru hua tha, jo peechle do mahino ke dauraan daam ke trend ko darshaata hai, sath hi daam ko mahine ke pivot level 148.91 se support mila tha, lekin Phir daam ne ek mazboot niche ki leher shuru ki. Mahine ka pivot level toota, phir daam ke channels aur giraawat jaari rahi. Mahine ka support level 146.94, jo daam ko utaar chadhav mein sahaara diya, kyunke pichle hafte mahine ka pivot level ke upar band hua tha, aur daam is mahine ke opening level ke qareeb pahunch raha hai, aur is tarah aane waale dino mein aur oonchaai ke liye ek signal ke roop mein samjha jaata hai.

Arthik taur par, jodi ko US dollar ke daam ko dusre mukhya currencies ke khilaaf majbooti ke liye hafte bhar mein kiye gaye ilaanon ka sahaara mil raha hai. Mool bank niti ke bhavishya ke saamne, aur haal hi mein darj kiye gaye Japani mool bank ke signals ke bawajood, ant mein US dollar ke liye zyada momentum.
Moolya tahlil ke mutabiq, USD/JPY currency pair arthik calendar data ke parinaamon se prabhavit trading kar raha hai. Pichle jumme ko, 8 March ko khatam hone wale haftay ke liye US ki pehli bekaar se pehle dawain 218,000 ki ummeedon ko paar kar gayi aur kul milaakar 209,000 dawain hui. Pichle haftay ke jari rakhne wale dawain bhi 1.9 million ki ummeedon ko paar kar gaye, kul milaakar 1,811 million dawain hui.
Japan mein, February ke liye Producer Price Index ne maheene ke tabadlaat ki 0.1% ki ummeed ko paar kiya, jabki (saalana) barabar bhi 0.5% ki tajwez ko paar kiya, 0.6% ki tabadlaat hui.

H4 ke nazarie se, abhi ke daur mein keemat abhi bhi mustaqil hai, bohot zyada mumkin hai ke farokht karne wale ka tajurba khatam ho gaya hai kyun ke is waqt keemat ke maqam par farokht jaari rakhna be waqoofana hai kyunki yeh kehna bohot zyada saturate hai. Yeh kehna bohot zyada saturate hai kyun ke ek haalat hai jahan keematien bechne wale ke trend ke tor par ab rational nahi hai. Yeh gumaan durust hai agar bazaar ne isay tasdeeq kiya, agar keemat (2175) ke oopar hai toh ek supply ko test karne ka ihtimal hai aur yeh supply mahine ke trend ko agle kharidar ya farokht karne wale ke jawab ka muqarrar darja ban jata hai.
Mahine ke nazarie se shuruaat mein mubahisa mein zikar kiya gaya. Abhi keematien kam se kam darja ko test kar rahi hain jo farokht karne walon ke liye aur zyada kamzor hone ke liye kaha ja sakta hai. Farokht karne walon ke dili shaoor baghair shubha hai agar woh ek farokht ki maqam jaari rakhte hain kyun ke mahine ke sirf tareekh hi nazar aati hai kharidaron aur farokht karne walon ke darmiyan (saaya mombatti). Shayad agar keemat H4 ke zariye tasdeeq mil gayi bina tor phor ke 2170 par toh mujhe lagta hai ke ek sudhar ki mumkinat hai supply ki taraf H4 par. Toh, sone ke market ki manzil ke liye khatma waqti tor par 1890 ki tasdeeq par mabni hai, jo agar tor diya jata hai toh yeh ek zone mein bullish sudhar ki khatra ban jata hai (2160.24 se 2185.88 tak). Swing buy sirf wajah se durust hoga agar supply farokht kar diya jata hai ek keemat barhne se kharidaron ke zor se agar manzar jaise tayyar hai.

GBP/USD analysis: Bears are eyeing psychological levels.



GBP thori dair ke liye dollar aur euro ke khilaf barh gaya jab PMIs ne barhte hue mahangi dabiyaat ka ishaara diya aur Bank of England ke policy qareeb hai. Bank ki takhmeen ke agay, GBP/USD ke keemat dollar ke khilaf barh gayi, jahan hasil hui faida 1.2803 ke darjat tak pahunch gaya tha jab Fed ne 2024 mein darojat khatam karne ki ishaarat di, lekin GBP ke faiday ko jald hi USD ne ghata diya. Usi din, Bank of England ne ghata ko 1.2655 ke support darjat tak barhne ka elaan kiya, jo ke is waqt press time ke duran is darje ke qareeb tha.
UK ki mazid mazboot behtari aur March mein barhte hue mahangi dabiyaat ki khabrein pund ko support faraham karegi. Sterling euro ke khilaf pichle din ke faidayon par qaim raha, jab S&P report ne dikhaya ke private sector March mein barh raha hai, jisme mukhya taur par services sector ke faiday shaamil hain, haalaanki imalat mein behtari khaas tor par numaya thi.

Maeeshat ki calendar data ke natayej ke mutabiq, February mein services PMI 53.4 tha, jo ke be shak 53.8 se kam tha aur umeed se kam tha, jo ke pund ke faidayon ko mehdood karega. S&P Global Report ne kaha ke report ka markazi hissa UK industrial manufacturing mein taqat ka behtareen izafa tha, "jo March mein behtari mili, 12 mahinay ki girawat ko khatam karte hue, jabke naye orders May 2022 se sab se tezi se barh gaye." ". Imalati PMI March mein 49.9 tak barh gaya, jo ke 20 mahinay ki unchi thi, February ke 47.5 se bohot aala aur mutafiq 47.8 se. Is dauran, imalati production index 50.2 tak barh gaya, 13 mahinay ki unchi aur expansion territory mein.




Aaj ka GBP/USD ka tajziya:

Kal ke GBP/USD ke farokht ne umeedon ko naye haftay mein neeche ki taraf band kar diya. Ye trading week ke shuru mein tajziya se palat gaya hai. Jaisa ke maine pehle kaha tha, 1.2600 ka psychological support level trend mein mazboot aur musalsal bhaluon ka control ke liye sab se ahem support level banega. Neeche di gayi rozana chart ki performance ke mutabiq, agar farokht gehri bearish darjaat mein jaari rahe, khaas taur par 1.2560 aur 1.2470 ke darjat mein, to technical indicators gehre oversold darjaaton ki taraf ja rahe honge. Doosri taraf, 1.2775 ka resistance level es doran bulls ke control mein sab se ahem resistance level banega. Agar yeh 1.3000 ka psychological resistance level ki taraf jaata hai, to overall tajziya taez taur par bullish hoga.

Jaise ke maine pehle kai martaba kaha hai, Amreeki markazi bank ki siyasi ahdafein aur Japani markazi bank ke darmiyan hone wala farq, jo ke lambay intezar ke baad savdhani se manfi sood daro ko chhod diya, USD/JPY ke keemat ki rah par bailon ke musalsal control ke liye chhota nahi hai aur is hafte ke faiday isay hasil huye hain. Is ne 151.86 ke darjat tak pahunch gaya tha, jo ke tajziya tayyar karte waqt is ke aas paas stable tha, gaur kiya jata hai ke ye pichhle dino mein aksar yeh choti choti chatanon ke baare mein baat hoti thi jis ka maqsad Japani sarkari dakhalo ko rokna hota tha, khaaskar Amreeki dollar ke khilaf. Is ke ilawa, tamam technical indicators kharidne ke liye mazboot saturation darjaton ki taraf chalay gaye the.
Forex currency market trading ke mutabiq, jab FOMC ka bayan halki si zyada hawkish stance ki taraf kisi bhi tabdili ko nahi dikhata, to Amreeki dollar ki keemat ne thori si abhi ke faiday ko chhodi jab ke Amreeki ghair kisan hukumaton ke reports aur consumer price index mein bhalaiyon ke bawajood. Dot chart ab bhi is saal ke baad mein teen interest rate cuts ka tajwez deta hai.




Isi doran, Japani yen ke dar ka dabao barqarar hai, haalaanki Bank of Japan ne pehle hi manfi jama'at daro ke ikhtitaam ka elaan kar diya hai. Afraad ne ishara diya hai ke qareebi muddat mein woh izafi sakhti jari rakhne ke imkanat kam hai, is liye traders shayad mazeed saal ke akhri hisse tak kam sood daron ka imkan daal rahe hain.

Maeeshati lehaz se, maeeshati calendar ke data ke natayej ke mutabiq, Japan mein core consumer price index, jo taza ghiza ashiya ko chhod kar shamil hai lekin fuel ke kharche ko shamil karta hai, February 2024 mein saalana buniyad par 2.8% barh gaya, jo ke January mein 2% ki izafat ke baad hai aur October se sab se zyada parhne ka darsata hai. Sab se haal ki raqam bhi analiysts ke umeedon ke mutabiq hai. Ye izafa baniyadi asrat ke bais hai, jabke sarkari tawun jo February 2023 mein shuru kiya gaya tha, is ka asar kamzor ho raha hai.




Aam tor par, Japan ke buniyadi mehngai dar ab 23 maheenon se ya is se ooper Bank of Japan ke 2% ka maqsood par rah chuki hai. Markazi bank ne March mein maeeshati siyasat mein tabdeeli ki, 2007 se pehli dafa sood daro ko barhakar aur 8 saal ke manfi sood daron ko khatam kar ke, jaise ke maeeshat mein izafa aur mehngai mein izafa hua. Bank of Japan ne bhi apne yield curve control ke ihtemaam ko band kar diya, ETFs aur J-REITs ki kharidari ko khatam kiya aur bond kharidari ki fa'aliyat ko dhire dhire kam karne ka elaan kiya. Haalaanki, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda ne kaha ke markazi bank muddat ke liye apni taawun pasandi stance ko barqarar rakhega, sood daro ko 0% par qaim rakhta hua.

Jab USD/JPY currency pair ki technical analysis H1 timeframe par dekhi jati hai, to supply area ke through nahi gaya ja sakta hai, jo ki 151.72 ke price par observed hai. Supply area ek aisi zone hoti hai jahan traders mein selling pressure hota hai aur price downward movement mein ja sakta hai. Jab price supply area tak pahunchta hai, wahan se reversals ya price ko neeche ki taraf le jaane ki possibilities badh jaati hain.
Agar USD/JPY 151.72 ke price level tak nahi pahunchta, to yeh ek potential double top pattern ka mauqa ban sakta hai. Double top pattern ek bearish reversal pattern hai, jo market mein uptrend ke dauraan dekha ja sakta hai. Is pattern mein, price ek level tak pahunch kar phir se wapas aata hai, phir se us level tak pahunch kar aur ek baar gir jata hai. Yeh giravat double top pattern ki pehli peak se neeche hoti hai, jo ek bearish signal hai aur future mein price ka giravat ka indication kar sakta hai.

Agar double top pattern confirm hota hai, to traders ko ek bearish bias banane ki sujhav di jaati hai, jiske tahat ve price ke neeche ki taraf jaane ki expectations rakh sakte hain. Yeh ek trading opportunity bhi ho sakti hai, jahan traders short positions le sakte hain, ya existing long positions ko close kar sakte hain. Mehnat aur tajurbeki tehqiqat se maloom hota hai ke technical analysis ek forecast ka zariya hai, aur har pattern ya setup ke saath 100% accuracy ki guarantee nahi hoti hai. Isliye, jab bhi trading decisions liye jaate hain, risk management ka khayal rakhna zaroori hota hai.



Is scenario mein, traders ko 151.72 ke price level ke around vigilant rehna chahiye aur agar double top pattern confirm hota hai, to unhe apne trading strategy ko adjust karne ki zaroorat hogi. Yeh ek example hai kis tarah se supply area aur potential double top pattern ke observation trading decisions ko influence kar sakte hain.

Jaise maine pehle bhi kai dafa zikar kiya hai, US central bank ki policy ka mustaqbil tight karna aur Japan ki central bank ka, jo zara ehtiyaat se negative interest rates ko chhod diya hai, lambi intezar ke baad, yeh wo mamooli juz hai jo bullon ko ab tak control mei rakhta hai, US dollar ke qeemat ke rukh ke khilaf (USD/JPY) aur is haftay ke faiday. Yeh 151.86 ke resistance level tak pohanch gaya, jo ke analysis likhne ke waqt stable tha, yeh dhyan mei rakhna ke yeh chote peak baar baar isliye baat kiye jaate hain ke Japan ki markets mei mazeed girawat ko rokne ke liye qareebi waqt mei inghaar karne ka imkaan hai, khaaskar US dollar ke khilaf. Is ke ilawa, tamam technical indicators ne mazboot khareedari ke liye shadeed saturation levels ki taraf rukh kiya.
Forex currency market trading ke mutabiq, jab FOMC statement mei kisi ziada hawkish stance ki taraf koi tabdeeli zahir nahi hui, tab US dollar ki qeemat ne apni haali haal mei kuch faiday ko chhod diya. Yehi haal hai ke US non-farm payrolls reports aur consumer price index mei bullish hairat angez numbers ke bawajood. Dot chart ab bhi is saal ke baad mei teen interest rate cuts ka andaza deti hai

Sath hi, Japani yen ke rate mei dabaav barkarar hai, halan ke Bank of Japan ne pehle hi negative deposit rates khatm karne ka elan kar diya hai. Afraad ne ishaara diya hai ke qareebi muddat mei unka tight karne ka koi imkaan nahi hai, isliye traders shayad saal ke baad tak kam karne ke munasib asoolon ko keemat mei shamil kar rahe hain

Maeeshat ke pehlu se, maeeshati calendar data ke natayej ke mutabiq, Japan mei core consumer price index, jo taaza ghizaayat se maahir cheezein ko chhod kar fuel ke costs ko shamil karta hai, February 2024 mei saalana buniyadi ke sath 2.8% izafah hua, jo ke January mei 2% izafah se tezi se barh gaya aur October se aala reading darj kiya gaya. Taaza figure bhi analaysts ki tawaqo ke mutabiq tha. Ye izafah buniyadi asraat ki wajah se hai, kyunke hukoomat ne February 2023 mei shuru kiye gaye energy subsidies ka asar gawaara karna shuru kar diya hai

Sab invest social ke ahbaab ko assalam-o-alaikum, umeed hai aap sab theek honge aur is tajziya ka lutf utha rahe honge. Aaj main USDJPY ke bare mein guftagu kar raha hoon. USDJPY currency pair, H1 time frame ke zariye dekha gaya hai, haal hi mein chand dinon ke liye ek chhote arse ki taqseem se guzra hai, jo traders aur analysts ke darmiyan iske mumkin asraat par guftagu ko janam diya hai. Ye maqalah is taqseem ke dynamics aur iske pair ke mustaqbil ke harkat par asar ka mutala karta hai, khaas tor par 151.60 ke ahem darje par tawajjo deta hai. Is tajziya ke markazi hawale mein USDJPY exchange rate ke chhote arse ki taqseem hai. Traders ne josh o kharosh ke sath pair ke rawayyaat ko nazar andaz kiya, mojooda trends ya patterns se kisi bhi anokhiyat ko note kiya. Is manzar ke hawale se, exchange rate ke 151.60 ke darje ke oopar rehne ki salahiyat market ki jazbat aur umeedon ko shakhsiyat denay wala aham factor saamne aaya. Jab traders 151.60 ke darje ka ahmiyat andaza karte hain, to unke samne ye sawal khara hota hai ke kya USDJPY pair apni upri raftar ko barqarar rakh payega ya palat jayega. Ye guman is baat ka izhar karta hai ke qareebi sessions mein qeemat ki karwai aur market ke dynamics ko qareeb se nigrani karna kitna zaroori hai. Mumkinah nateejay ka andaza lagate hue, bullish aur bearish scenarios ko ghor se ghor kiya jana zaroori hai. Agar exchange rate 151.60 ke darje ke oopar rehta hai, to kuch market ke shirakat daron ke darmiyan umeed hai ke USDJPY apna izafa jaari rakh sakta hai, mohtayat ke silsile mein naye urooj tak pohanch sakta hai. Ye bullish rawaiya is par umeed afroz asraat, maaliati data ki musbat tajziyat, amri policy ka farq Amreeki Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan, aur risk ki hasrat ko mutasir karne wale saqafati karwaiyat ki wajah se barhakar milta hai

Forex Market Mein Mahir Hone Ka Raaz
Forex market ek aisa jaga hai jahan rozana naye challenges aur opportunities traders ke samne aate hain. Yahan har qadam par ek naye experience aur seekhne ka mauqa milta hai. Agar aap ek safar shuru kar rahe hain ya phir ek purane se tajruba kar rahe hain, to yeh kuch ahem nuktae tawajo zaroori hain jo aapko mahir bana sakti hain.

1. Ilm aur Tajarba: Forex market mein maharat hasil karne ka pehla qadam ilm aur tajarba hai. Yeh dono hi cheezein aapko market ki samajh aur uski nafahat ko samajhne mein madad karti hain. Isliye, hamesha naye tajrubaat hasil karein aur apne ilm ko barhayein.

2. Strategy Banana: Ek achhi trading strategy banane ka tareeqa, market ke trends ko samajhna aur un par tawaju dena hai. Apne trading plan ko mazboot banayein aur us par amal karein.

3. Risk Management: Forex trading mein risk management ka hona bahut zaroori hai. Har trade ke liye mukammal risk analysis karein aur apne nuksaan ko kam karne ke liye sahi tareeqe istemal karein.

4. Discipline: Forex trading mein discipline ek ahem sifa hai. Apne trading rules ko hamesha follow karein aur ghaflati karne se bachein. Jitna aap apne aap par control rakhte hain, utni hi zyada kamiyabi haasil hogi.

5. Market Monitoring: Forex market mein tarraqi hasil karne ke liye, market ki nami aur trends ko barabar monitor karna zaroori hai. Taazi aur sahi maalumat se apni trading decisions ko sahi tareeqe se len.

6. Sabr aur Bardasht: Forex trading mein sabr aur bardasht ka hona bahut zaroori hai. Kabhi bhi ghaflati ya jaldi mein trading na karein. Thande dimag se trading karein aur barabar ke maamle par focus rakhein.

Aakhri alfaaz, Forex trading ek maharat hai jo ilm, tajarba, aur mehnat ki zaroorat rakhti hai. Agar aap in nuktae tawajo par ghor karein aur un par amal karein, to aap bhi forex market ke mahir ban sakte hain.

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY

• USD/JPY mein naye uchayiyan mili hain.
• Pair ab mojooda mein overbought zone ki taraf ja raha hai.
• Buyers ko 151.000 ke ooper ek mustaqil harkat ki zaroorat hai.

USD/JPY ke taraqqi se bharpoor exchange rate ne haal hi mein chhote arse mein barhte hue price channel ke andar sefaar kiya aur intehai saal ki unchi par pahunch gaya tha, jis ka record 151.82 par darj kiya gaya tha kal. Magar, price momentum kamzor hai, RSI aur Stochastic overbought levels ki taraf ja rahe hain, jis se maloom hota hai ke buyers jald hi ihtiyaat bhool sakte hain. Agar price 150.55 ke support line ke ooper barhti rahe, toh yeh temporary resistance line ke 151.82 ki taraf tezi se ja sakti hai. Is area se nikalte hue, buyers 151.93 ki taraf ja sakte hain, jo pair ko seedha barhte hue price channel ke upper boundary 153.80 par le jaayega.

Agar sellers bhi is level ke ooper barh jaayein, toh unka nishana 50-day moving average aur 147.55 construction zone ke darmiyan ka area ho sakta hai. Girawat 147.30 par ruk sakti hai pehle March ke support line ko test karne se pehle 145.30 par. Choti si baat hai, USD/JPY pair doosri baar ek upar ki taraf tajaweez par hai, lekin traders intezaar kar sakte hain.



USD/JPY ke daam haal hi mein nafseetniat ki ahmiyat rakhte hue 151.00 ke zehniyat farokht mein izafah kiya aur 152.00 ki taraf chadh gaya, pehle se peechay aaya. Price ne neeche dikhaye gaye Fibonacci retracement levels ko adjust kar sakta hai. 38.2% level 149.83 par hai, aur phir 50% level 149.20 par hai, jo dynamic moving average support ke qareeb hai. Magar, 100 SMA abhi 200 SMA ke neeche se guzra hai, jis se yeh maloom hota hai ke ek rebound shuru ho chuka hai ya phir support area abhi bhi toot sakta hai. Retracement line 61.8% Fibonacci level ho sakta hai, jo minor zehniyat ke 148.50 ke qareeb hai, kyun ke is level ke neeche girna ek neeche ki taraf le jane ka ishara ho sakta hai. Is dauraan, stochastic overbought levels se neeche aa raha hai, jis se bechnay wala dabav ka wapas aa jana maloom hota hai. Is oscillator ke paas oversold territory tak pahunchne ke liye kafi jagah hai, jis se maloom hota hai ke sellers thake hue hain, aur prices is trend ko jaari rakh sakti hain.

USD/JPY jodi aakhirkaar 151.00 round figure ki taraf gir sakti hai. Bullish jazba abhi bhi mojood hai kyunke USD/JPY November 2022 mein mukhtalif dauraan ki unchaayi tak pohanch gayi hai. Aham intraday bullish raftar sirf Wednesday ke saal ki unchaayi, 151.75 ke saamne ruki thi. Ye maazi ke daur mein November 2022 mein mukhtalif dauraan ki unchaayi 152.00 tak pohanchne par note ki gayi thi. Agar ye level convinvingly paar kiya jaye, to bullish traders isay wazeh jagah samajhenge shuru karne ke liye. January 2023 mein shuru hone wala taweel arsa ka upswing shayad USD/JPY jodi par banaya jaye. Mutasir hone par kisi bhi mukhtalif correction girawat pehla rate 151.00 ke qareeb le kar aayegi, jahan spot expenditure ki umeed hai girne ki. Ek aur slip 150.25 ki taraf. Agar kisi aur farokht mein mazeed girawat hoti hai to future se mutasir sahara ko 149.35–149.30 ilaqa mein paish karegi, khaas tor par agar psychological 150.25 sahara ko todi jaye. Mazeed se, stop-loss tadbiron ko lagoo karna ek hifazati dhaancha ke taur par kaam aata hai, jis se achanak market ke mojooda shifts ke doran potential nuqsaan kam hota hai. Hoshiyar aur tehqeeqi taur par qareebi se qareebi approach ikhtiyaar karke, traders apne aap ko USD/JPY market ke pechida manzar ko samajh sakte hain, is ke harkaton ko apne faide ke liye istemal karte hue, jabke hamesha tabdeel hone wale ma'ashiyati mahol mein posheeda khatron ko kam karte hain. Kul mila kar, mujhe sell-side position pasand hai kyunke market apni rozana ki unchaayi zone par hai. Yeh jald 151.20 ke darajay ko test karke ek correction process mukammal karne ke liye waapas aa sakta hai.

Japani Yen (JPY) ne Thursday ko numaya tabdili ka samna kiya, peechle din tak pohanchi gayi saalana kam se kam sehalat ke qareeb se wapas aayi, lekin Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke mustaqbil ke policy faislon ke baray mein shakhsiyat ke darmaiyan mubhamiyat ke doraan jari rehne ki wajah se kisi khaas chalne ki kamee thi. Haalaanki, BoJ ne is haftay ke pehle hi mazeed sahulat afzaai shirai sharait ko ishaara diya tha, lekin policy normalization ke raftar par khaas hidaayat faraham karne se inkar kiya. Magar, Nikkei akhbaar ki riwayat ke mutabiq, markazi bank ke andar ek source ne bataya ke salana ke ikhtitami dar ke pehle rate hike kar dena, saal ke ikhtitami dour mein ek aur izafa ki tehqiqat ke liye jaga chhod sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, haal ki data release ne zahir kiya ke Japan mein consumer inflation Bank of Japan ke 2% saalana hadaf se kai guna zyada hai. Mazeed, Japan ke bahar nikalne waale wage negotiations se muttafiqeen ke darmiyan wide-spread ittefaq ki bhi muzammat hai ke unki maangon ko pura kiya jaye. Is taraqqi ko agle maheenon mein inflation ko barhawa milna tawajju ko madde nazar rakhte hue samjha jata hai, jis se BoJ ke mazeed policy tighten karne ke imkaanat ko madad milti hai. Is natije mein, JPY ne Asian session ke doran kuch support paya jab ke Japanese authorities ke zariye mulki currency ko barqarar karne ke maamle par shakhein uthi.

Mukablay mein, Amreeki Dollar (USD) ne Asian trading hours mein halka sa kami dekha, peechle session mein hasool ki gayi izafaat ko juzvi tor par khatam kiya. March ki meeting mein interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla karne ke bawajood, Fed ka ye faisla ke is saal teen rate cuts hone ka tajwez dena bazaar ki fehmi par asar andaz hua. Magar is ke bawajood, buland US Treasury bond yields ne USD ko support jari rakha, currency ki istaqlal ko zahir

USD/JPY pair mein aik numaya uptrend dekha gaya hai, jis par analysts aur traders ne 146.04 level ko nishana banaya hai. Ye upar ki taraf ki harkat ek mazbooti ka nishaan hai jismein Amriki dollar ko Japanese yen ke khilaf taqat hasil hoti hai, jo ke mukhtalif economic asraar, siyasi waqiaat aur market ki janib se daakhal honay wale tasuraat par mabni ho sakta hai. Haal hi mein USD/JPY pair mein jo taraqqi dekhi gayi hai, us ke peechay aham tajwezat aur asbaab ho sakte hain jaise ke Amriki Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke darmiyan monetary policies ka farq. Federal Reserve shayad zyada hawkish stand apnaye ho, buniyadi dar ko barha kar ya mustaqbil mein tight karnay ke economic tajweezat ka ishara kar ke. Mutasir Japan ki buniyadi policies jaise ke accommodative monetary policy, shaayad quantitative easing measures ko shaamil karna, Japan ki economic behtar hone ya dafa ho rahi deflationary pressures ko support karne ke liye. Is ke ilawa, America aur Japan ki economic data releases bhi USD/JPY pair ke rukh par asar daal sakti hain. Mazboot Amriki economic indicators jaise ke GDP ka izafa, rozgar ke figures ya consumer spending data Amriki dollar mein bharosay ko barha sakti hain, currency ki demand ko barha kar aur yen ke khilaf pair ko upar ki taraf daba sakti hain. Mukhalif, Japan se koi dilchaspi ka economic data, jaise ke dhaee karobari utpaad ya slow export numbers, yen ko bhari tarah tor par bhoj dal sakta hai aur pair ke upar ki raftar mein shamil ho sakta hai. Siyasi aur marketi jazbat bhi currency ke harkat ko shakl dete hain. Amriki aur Japani darmiyan taajurbat ke koi bhi tabdeeliyan, siyasi tanazur, ya baray policy announcements investor ki nazar mein asraat daal sakti hain aur currency ke cash flow ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Is ke ilawa, investors ke darmiyan risk ki khwahishon mein tabdiliyan ho sakti hain jo yen jaise safe-haven currencies ki demand ko mutasir kar sakti hain, shayad iski taqat ko kami kar ke USD ke nisbat mein panchadegi.