USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY h4 Timeframe.

USD/JPY ke daam ulte aur purzor tor par janoobi taraf raghib hogaye, jis ki wajah se ek saaf bearish reversal candlestick ban gayi. Agla hafta bechnay walon ka daawa hai ke daam ko qareebi support level ki taraf dhakelne ki koshish karenge, jo ke meri tajziya ke mutabiq 149.205 par waqai hai. Is support level ke qareeb, do manazir ho sakte hain. Pehla tarjeeh wala manzar reversal candlestick ka banne aur uptrend ka dobara shuru honay ka hai. Agar yeh mansuba asar andaz hota hai, to mein umeed karunga ke daam dobara 150.844 ya 151.908 ke resistance level tak pohanch jaye ga. In resistance levels ke qareeb, mein trading setup ka banne ka muntazir rahunga taake trade ka mazeed rukh tay kiya ja sake. Meri tajziya ke mutabiq, aik ziada shumali hadaf ko bhi pohanchna mumkin hai, jo ke 156.000 par hai, lekin yeh halat par mabni hai. Agar darust hawala pur amal ho gaya hai, to mein ummeed karta hoon ke ziada shumali hadaf tak raste mein wapas aaye, jo ke mein uptrend ke dobara shuru hone ka intezar karunga. 149.205 ke qareeb pohanchne par ek doosra mansuba yeh ho sakta hai ke daam is level ke neeche jama ho aur jari rahay. Agar yeh mansuba asar andaz hota hai, to mein umeed karunga ke daam 147.614 ke support level ki taraf move kare. Is support level ke qareeb, mein reversal candlestick ka banne aur daam ke uparward movement ka jari rehne ka intezar karunga. Mukhtasir tor par, agle haftay mein yeh mumkin hai ke tajzia jari reh sakta hai aur daam qareebi support levels tak pohanch jaye.

H4 chart par aur ummeed hai ke jor se yeh joda wolff pattern ke panchwe wave mein girayga. Lekin ab tak yeh kamiyat nahi mili hai. Ab hum yeh samajh sakte hain ke is hafte 4 ghante ke chart par ek triangle ban gaya hai, aur jab se daam ulta hua aur girne laga hai, to ek girawat neeche ke simt ke janib, jo ke 149.26 ke level hai, mumkin hai. Is level tak pohanchne ke baad, joda moorkh ulat ja sakta hai, daam uparward chalega, aur triangle ka ooperi hadood buland ho sakti hai, yaani ke 150.57 ke level tak. Is triangle se daam ke neeche jaane ki mumkinat hai, aur joda phir girnay jari reh sakta hai, jismein woof ka panchwa wave maqsood hai jo 146.43 par hai.

usdjpy texnical

h1 time frame


Dollar-yen currency pair Asian session mein thora sa taqreeban bekarar hai. Aik halka sa urooj nazar a rahe hai. Pair peechle haftay ke highs ko wapas lotne ki koshish karta hai. The Japanese currency is called dabaav, and the US dollar is known as kamzori. Aaj pair American market ke khulna ka intezaar karega. The data is from the United States. Warna, yen pehle se hi US Federal Reserve ki meeting ka intezaar karta hai. Is instrument ke liye kuch nichlay sudhar pehle din mein mumkin, or asal manzarnama ek uroojati trend ka jari rehna hai. Tasleemi murad 150.15 par hai, main is darje ke ooper khareedunga jahan 151.15 or 151.45 ke darje hain. Alternatively, pair neeche chalne lagay ga, 150.15 ke darja ko tor kar aur mazboot ho kar, phir pair sudhar ko jari rakhsakta hai 149.95 aur 146.65 ke darje tak. Aur in marks, phir se is currency pair ki koshish karunga.

Is waqt pair mein barhta hua movement hai, ki chart par bullon ka dominance darust karta hai. If hum qareebi mustaqbil mein bullish potential ko dekhte hain, then qabal-e-ahir short positions ko hoshiyarana band kar dena chahiye taake halat ko bhartiya na karen. Zahir hai, harkat ki tadbeer abhi tak market par baqaidgi se asar dalne ke liye tayyar nahi hai, jo ke uroojati trend ko barqarar rakhne ki sambhavna ko support karta hai. 151.95 ke darja ko mukhya point samjha jaye ga jahan se main zyada tar lambay positions ko chhota karne ka aghaz karunga kyunke yahan se rukh ka tabadla pehle darja banjata hai. Is lamha ko samajhna aur faisla rokne ka waqt darja-e-resistance mein na shamil karna aham, taake aik musbat short position mein shamil ho.

Market signals ka nigrani karna aik intehai tawazun ki darkhwast hai, jo Hama aur Trend jese ahem indicators ko tez nigah se dekhna shamil. Ek tabdeeli ka paish-e-nazar hona khas tor par ahem hai, khaaskar jab yeh indicators laal zone mein dakhil ho jati hain. Yeh ahem tabdeeli kharidaron par farokht karne wale se behtar farokht karne wale ki mukhtalif se taqat ka izhar karta hai, jo ke aik pivotal lamha hota hai taake aik farokht order shuru karne ka ghoor se ghoor andaza laga saken.

Mali markets' dynamic manzar mein, rahnuma exits traders ke liye lazmi hain, jo intehai behtareen nataij talash kar rahe hote. Ittefaq is a strategy that uses magnetic levels as an indicator. Is indicator ki diye gaye signals ke sath mel karke, traders apni trading ki tezigi ko barha sakte hain aur yaqeeni ban sakte hain ke unke amal hamesha market ke tabdeeliyon ke sath mutabiq hain. Hama aur Trend indicators market sentiment mein darust mukhtasara faraham karte hain, potential shifts ke liye pehli tarafdari signals ke tor par kaam karte hain. Indicators ko nazdeek se dekhna traders ko market ke trends se qadam barhane mein madad deta hai, jo ke maloomati faislon ka aham hissa hi. If your indicators are in the right zone, you'll be fine, and if you're in the wrong zone, you'll have a lot of trouble. Is moqay par aik farokht order shuru karna samajhna hai? Farokht karne wale taqat mein izafa ho raha hai, jo ke market ka dhilawar ho sakti hai. Traders who take a proactive approach must be aware of trends and potential market fluctuations. Laal zone is a reference point for traders; unhe waqt par, achi tarah se faisle karne mein rehnumai karta hai.


Efficient trading requires a magnetic levels indicator. Yeh tool market dynamics mein mazeed wazeh faraham karta hai; traders ko qeemati levels ko pehchanne mein madad karta hai, jo ke qeemat action ko attract karne ke liye zyada mutasir hote hain. Magnetic levels indicator ke diye gaye signals ke sath mel karke, traders waziha entry and exit points sthapit kar sakte hain, apni mukhtalif trading strategy ko barhawa deta hue. Rahnuma exits khatre ko kam karne, and munafa ko optimize karne mein ahem. Magnetic levels indicators are used in the process to determine the optimal exit points. Is se yeh yeh ensure hota hai ki traders moqami waqt par positions chhodte hain, mumkinat nuqsaanat ko kam karte hue aur munafa ko ziada karte hue. Aakhir mein, market signals ki nigrani karna aik mufassil process hai jo sirf dekhne se zyada. Hama and Trend jese indicators ka dhaanp, aur magnetic levels indicator par rahnumai ke tajziya, trading ko aik zyada precise aur mutallaqa darje tak buland karta hai. Market dynamics mein tabdeeliyon ka paish-e-nazar hona aur amal ko mutabiq karna, traders ko mali markets ke complexity mein tajziya karne ke liye strategic taur par mukhtasar hona.



h4 time frame



Maujooda chart par H1 timeframe mein currency pair ya instrument ka qareebi jaa'iza lenay se, aap bearish trading ke liye moassar market situation ko note kar sakte hai. Faida mand munafa hasil karne ke liye trade kholnay ke liye sab se munasib position ka intikhaab karne ke liye, aapko kai ahem shurui sharait ko pura karoori hai. Sab se pehlay, higher H4 timeframe par mojooda trend ko durust taur par tabaah karna ahem hai, takay market sentiment ka ghalt tajziya karne se bacha ja sake, jo ke mali nuqsaan ka bais bansakta hai. To begin, dekhte apne instrument ka chart jis ka time frame 4 ghantay ka hai, asal shiraa'it - H1 and H4 ke time periods par trend movements zaroor milnay chahiye. Is tarah, pehlay qaid ka pura honay ka jaa'iza lenay ke baad, hum dekhte hain ke aaj market humain chhota karne ka behtareen mauqa deta. Mazeed tafseeli tajziya mein, hum teen kaam karte hue indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, and Magnetic_Levels_Color ke signals par tawajju denge. Hum woh waqt ka intizaar kar rahe hain ki Hama aur RSI indicators laal rang mein tabdeel ho jayein, jo ke market ko mojooda waqt mein farokht karne wale hukmaran ka sab se barra saboot hoga. Jese hi yeh hota hai, hum market mein dakhil hotay hain aur ek farokht transaction kholta hain. Hum position se bahar nikalnay ka point in indicators ke mutabiq chunte hai. Aaj, signal processing ke liye zyada mutawaqqa levels woh yeh hain -148.386.

December se lekar ab tak, market dynamics mein ek wazeh maqam ki taraf ko barqarar rakhne ka rasta darust channel ke andar uthata raha hi. Nichlay hadood ka waqtan-farosh tor par kharab karna bawajood; bad mein channel ke hadood mein wapas aana is ki mustaqil bandish ko zahir karta hai aur aham bullish trend ka jari rehne ka zahir karta hai. Aage, mazeed urooj ke liye kafi jaga nazar aati hai; haal hi ki market ki sargarmi ek mawafiq wakka-e-farokht ki taraf ishara karta hai. Mazeed, nichlay hadood ka haal hilafat karne ka tajziya traders ko aik dilchasp dakhli maqam faraham karta hai, jo mazeed urooj ke sath aik tiple munafa ke mozu bhi hosakta hai. [M30]USD/JPY Is context mein dynamics ke tajziya se zaahir hota hai, mojooda market sentiment mazeed urooj ki taraf ko support karta hai. Aik mojooda bana howa urooj karne wala channel pattern, sath hi nichlay hadood ka aik natiqa ghalat imtehan, and bullish fa'alat ke liye aik mojooda mahaul ki tasdeeq faraham karta hai. Magar, sambhal se qareeb hai, kyun ke market ki dynamics mein mojoodah naqazon ki taraf se anjaan tajziyat mojood. Halankeh mojooda tajziya ooper ki taraf ko support karta hai, but naqabil-e-paish ghaflat se yeh rasta badal sakta hai. Harajayi factors jese ke siyasi waqiyat, ma'ashiyati dataon ki izdhaar, and invest karne ke jazbat mein tabdiliyan market ki taraf ka ta'assur kar sakte hain, jis se trading decisions ke liye ek nuaansdari nazariya ki zarurat hoti hai.

Chaliye aaj ke market movement par hamare chune hue instrument ki practical naseehat ko dekhein, jo hume aaj position mein dakhil hone aur shandar munafa hasil karne mein madad karegi. If the signal poori tarah se samjha jaye ga, then hum basar position se nikalne ka bhi munafa bhara point chunenge, jisme hamare pas muntakhib waqt periode ke intehai darajat se taanay rehne wale Fibonacci grid correction levels ki madad karegi.

Toh, chart par hum parh rahe hain, wahan dekha jata hai ke pehla darja regression line (sonay ke dots wali line), jo chune gaye waqt period (time-frame H4) par mojooda trend ki disha aur halat ko dikhata hai, lagbhag 35-40 degree ke kisi kunbe mein upar ki taraf muntaqil hai, jo ke upar ki taraf rukh dikhata hai. Nonlinear regression channel, jaise chart par dekha ja sakta hai, ek muraavat pura kar chuka hai, upar ki taraf rukh hai, and ab ek upar ki taraf hai.


Keemat ne linear regression channel ke laal resistance line 2-nd LevelResLine ko par kiya, lekin 150.917 ke zyada quote value (HIGH) tak pohanchi, iske baad isne apni izafa ko rok diya aur nihayat ba'idgi se girne laga. Mushtari ab ek keemat se 150.409 trade kar raha. Sab kuch ke madarik, main tawaqo karta hoon ke market price quotes wapas aayein gi aur channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (147.636) FIBO level 50% ke neeche qaim ho jaayein gi aur phir neeche ja kar golden average line LR of the linear channel 145.904 par mazid chalen gi, jo ke FIBO level 23.6% ke sath milta hai. Dhaan dijiye ke madadgar indicators RSI (14) and MACD overbought area mein hain, aur bhi saath instrument ke keemat mein girawat ke high imkanat dikhate hain

Market analysis mein, traders aksar mukhtalif technical indicators aur patterns ke sath gehra taluq rakhte hain. Har ek aham insights faraham karta hai mojooda market ki halat ke bare mein. Bohat se indicators mein, oscillators jese stochastic oscillator aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) par paye jane wale divergence patterns khaas tor par ahem signals hain jo ke ehtiyaat se tawajju ki zaroorat hoti hai. Ye patterns market trends mein mumkinah tabdeeliyon ke bare mein ahem maloomat faraham karne ki salahiyat rakhte hain aur is tarah traders ke faislon mein madadgar hote hain. Divergence patterns asset prices aur technical oscillators ke mutaliq readings ke darmiyan ikhtilaf par mabni hote hain. Ye ikhtilaf aam tor par do asoolon mein zahir hota hai: bullish divergence aur bearish divergence. Jab bullish divergence hoti hai, to prices lower lows dikhate hain jabke oscillator readings higher lows dikhate hain. Dosri taraf, bearish divergence tab hoti hai jab prices higher highs tak pohanch jate hain jabke oscillator readings lower highs dikhate hain.
Ye mukhtalif signals asal trend ki asal quwwat ya kamzori ke bare mein gehri maloomat faraham kar sakte hain, jald az jald market ke rukh mein mumkinah tabdeeliyon ke pehle isharay faraham karte hain. Oscillators jese stochastic oscillator aur RSI par divergence patterns ki tajziyaat ke doran, traders ikhtiyat se divergence signals ki quwwat aur muddat ka tawazun karte hain. Mazboot divergences, jo ke price movements aur oscillator readings ke darmiyan numaya farqat ko nisbatan zyada ahmiyat dete hain, aam tor par tasdiq karne ki tawanai rakhte hain. Mazeed ishtimal ke doran, divergence ki lambai — kya ye lambi muddat tak barqarar rehti hai ya phir mukhtasir arsey ke andar hoti hai — ek barqarar trend ke ulte hone ki imkanat ke bare mein maloomat faraham kar sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, traders aksar mazeed technical tools aur tajziyaati methods ka istemal karte hain takay divergence signals ko tasdiq kiya ja sake aur unki efektivness ko behtar banaya ja sake. Support aur resistance levels, aur dosre chart patterns divergence signals ko tasdiq karna mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain, jo ke traders ke trading choices mein unki yaqeen ko mazboot karte hain. Is ke ilawa, fundamental analysis aur macroeconomic perspectives ko divergence patterns ke tajziya mein shamil karna mazeed market ke manzar mein gehri samajh faraham kar sakta hai, is tarah in signals ki pehchano ki mumkinah quwat ko barhawa diya ja sakta hai

USD/JPY Keemat Ka Tahlil

Main ne USD/JPY currency pair ke mojooda keemat ka tajziya kiya hai, aur kharidar naye trading haftay ke sath umeed se daakhil hue hain. Jumeraat ki bearish candle aur Jumma ki bullish candle jo ke neechay ki taraf ishaara karti hai, US dollar mein izafa hone ki mumkin nazar aata hai. Magar yeh mashwara nahi ke dair se bachne wale aasani se harte jayen ge jab ke pair 151.10 ke darje par pohnchta hai. USD/JPY pair ke 30-minute chart ke mutabiq, mojooda keemat 150.362 hai, jo ke upper Bollinger Band ke darjo mein hai. Mojudah market ke halaat ke mutabiq, ek khareedari order dena munasib faisla hoga - maqsad ke tor par nafa ikhtiyar karne ke liye 150.485 ke upper Bollinger Band had tak rukhna. Agar khareedari ke josh mein izafa hota hai, to mumkin hai ke keemat 150.485 ke had ko paar kar jaye. Is liye, bazaar ke trends par nazar rakhna aur apni trading strategy ko taqreeban karna munasib hai.

Main 150.298 ke darje ko tay zyada qareebi tor par nazar andaaz kar raha hoon, khas tor par agar dair se bachne wale is nishan ko daba den. Agar 150.258 ke neeche dair se utarne ki jagah milti hai, to bechnay ki mojoodgi ka tajziya karna zaroori ho jaye ga. 150.288 ke neeche qadmon jama karne ki tasdeeq bechnay ko ehtiyaat ke tor par zyada ahmiyat deta hai, jo ke 150.081 ke lower Bollinger Band ke had ki taraf tawajjo ko daal deta hai. Dollar/yen pair masroof rehta hai, rozana bazaar ke khulne ke waqt se 56 point ki darja bana****l mein nazar aata hai. Halan ke raat ke doran 150.07 ke neeche chheda jaane ka koshish ki gayi thi, lekin keemat jald se jald upar ka rukh ikhtiyar kar liya gaya.

USDJPY ke liye, pata chalta hai ke hum ne itni dair tak girawat ka intezar kiya tha, aur jab woh shuru hoti hai, toh aap sochne lagte hain ke sab kuch kaise chhut gaya. Main sirf apni baat kar raha hoon.
Yehi kal hua. Darust hai ke 150.30 ko resistance ke tor par note karna chahiye tha aur kisi waqt yahan deposit daalna chahiye tha, itna wazeh tha, yahan qeemat ka koi bhi nishan nahi tha. Lekin woh acha giray 149.23 tak aur yeh bhi toot gaya. Yeh sach mein khoobsurat hai...

Aaj, currency pair ka rawaiya kaafi tezi se jaari hai aur, fibo extension ke mutabiq, FE 161.8 ke level ka toot gaya hai. Mujhe aise lamhaat zyada pasand nahi aate, khaaskar jab benchmarks bina kisi rukawat ke toot jaate hain, isliye abhi ke liye maine sirf FE 200 area (148.27) ko highlight karne ka faisla kiya hai, jahan se main ek phir uchal ka tajziya karna mashroota samajhta hoon. Haqeeqat mein, main 149.20 se oopar ke hawale se kisi bhi qeemat ka intezar nahi kar raha hoon. Daily timeframe par, maine apne technical analysis ke liye ek khaas darar likhi, mukhtasaran level 149.54. Candlestick is level ke neeche mazbooti se fix hui thi, isliye 147.35 ke mutabiq indicator ke support ko ghair-mumkin harkat nahi samjha jata hai. Sirf ek cheez, jaise maine likha, mujhe ek recoilless harkat ka intezar nahi hai. Meri technical analysis pair ke liye 15 minute ke chart par. American session ke doran, Japani currency kaafi mazbooti se takatwar hui. Is timeframe par qeemat minimum ke sath kaam kar rahi hai aur upar ki taraf tarteeb denay ke liye tayyar hai. Chart par ek bohot bara green zone bana hai, jise qeemat ko kaam karna padega aur uske peechay ke parameters par laut kar uske peechay flat pattern ko wapas layega (support - 149.90, resistance - 150.50).

Market ka mustaqil izafa mukhtalif wajohaat ki waja se ho raha hai jo iski pasandida raftar ko barqarar rakhti hain. Khas tor par, hukoomaton ki madda-gar monetary policies aur fiscal stimulus measures ke proactive istemal ne market ke izafa ko barhawa diya hai. Central banks ne mustaqil tor par accomodative policies ka amal kiya hai, tawazunatii tor par ishtiharati raqam ka behtareen nafaam ko qayam rakhne ke liye, na ke sirf amliyaat ko barqarar rakne ke liye balkay in ko behtar bhi banane ke liye. Ye intizaami koshish ne market ke mustaqil raftar ko bohot barha diya hai.
Is ke ilawa, central banks ka mustaqil hosla afzai karne ka hawala bardashtgar monetary policies ke zariye economic resilience ko barqarar rakhne mein market ke mustaqil trend ko barqarar rakhne ka aham rukh ada kiya hai. Ye karwaiyan mazboot bunyad faraham kar chuki hain economic activities ke liye, ek mahol ko barqarar karte hue jo market ke phelav ko barhaane ke liye moassar hai. Iqtisadi nizam mein raqam ka tanqidi dakhil hona catalyst ka kaam ada kar raha hai, market ke mazbooti ko mazid barha ke us ke izafa ke imkanat ko zyada kar raha hai.

Hukoomaton ka market ko agay barhane mein kirdar ko aham tor par izhar karna zaroori hai. Unki hikmati taur par fiscal stimulus measures ka deployment market ke manzar ko qarar aur jadaliyat se bhar deti hai. Ye intizaami taur par qadam, monetary aur fiscal tools ko jama karne ka ek wajib karne wala hai, jo ek sath economic growth ko dhaancha aur market ko naye bulandiyon tak pohanchati hai.

Market ke mustaqil raftar ko tajziye mein laate waqt, central banks aur hukoomaton ke darmiyan tasirati taluqat wazeh ho jate hain. Accomodative monetary policies aur maqsad shudah fiscal interventions ka fardani ittehad na sirf iqtisadi uncertanities ko bardasht kiya hai balkay market ke mustaqil phelav ke liye rasta banaya hai. Ye taawunpasandi karwai ek mazboot mahol ka shahkar ban chuki hai, jo mushkilaat ke samne bardasht ki mazbooti aur market ke overall izafa ke raftar ko mazid barha raha hai.

Is ke ilawa, accomodative policies ke mustaqil hosla afzai ne market ke hissadariyon mein irtiqaiyat paida ki hai, tijarat ko sargarm karne aur economic activities ko taraqqi dena. Central banks ka proactive taur par raqam ka barqarar bahaaw ne stabilizing force ke tor par kaam kiya hai, mumkinah khatron ko kam karne aur market ke izafa ke momentum ko mazid mazboot karne mein.

Akhri tor par, market ka mustaqil surge mukhtalif factors ke aapas mein mushtarik adalat se silsila hai, jin mein governments ke proactive monetary policies aur fiscal stimulus ka amal aham shiraaq rakhta hai. Central banks aur governments ke darmiyan taawunpasandi taluqat ne na sirf iqtisadi uncertanities ko bardasht kiya hai balkay market ke mustaqil phelav ke raste ko bhi asan bana diya hai. Ye taawunpasandi karwai ek mazboot ecosystem ban chuki hai, market ke mustaqil raftar ko mazid barha ke use mustaqil izafa ke liye muqarrar kiya hai.

Hamari guftagu mein hum USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda qeemat ka rawayya tajziya kar rahe hain. Jodi mein farokht karne ki gatividhi nazar aa rahi hai, jo ab unke sath shamil hone ka mauqa deti hai. Sudharon se farokht karna aik mufeed intikhab hai agar keemat 150.089 se oopar na nikle. Meri manzil support levels 149.249 aur 148.589 par hain. Farokht karne ki gatividhi shadeed hai, lekin agar ye 148.599 se neeche aa jaye, to farokht ke dabao mein kami ho sakti hai. 148.529 se neeche, lambi positions ka tawazo karna aqalmandi hai. 150.759 ek mumkin buyer rukawat ki satha hai. Jab ke farokht mumkin hain, aik chhota aur mazboot stop loss ahem hai. Aqwam mein, USD/JPY jodi kal ke range ke andar trade kar rahi hai. Farokht karne wale ne neeche ke naye andaze taza kie aur 149.46 kharidar zone ko imtehan kiya, lekin kharidar apne moqablay mein qaim rahe, jo tawajjo jari rakhti hai. Ab qeemat 149.20 par farokht zone ko imtehan kar rahi hai. Kharidar ka dominion qaim rakhne ke liye, 149.79 bear zone ko tor dena ahem hai. Aik breakout bullish momentum ko barhawa de sakta hai medium-term uchaiyon ki taraf, jo ke taarikhi urooj 150.55 se shuru hoga. Mazeed kami mumkin hai, pehle ke 149.27 ke qareeb. Agar kharidar ka dominion qaim rahe, to izafa ka nishana 150.29 ke qareeb wali beech Bollinger band par ho sakta hai, jo flat dynamics ko zahir karta hai. Kamiyabi ke sath, qeemat ko 150.75 ke qareeb upper Bollinger band tak le ja sakta hai. Ye koshish range ko barqarar rakh sakti hai ya upar ka rawayya shuru kar sakti hai. Market ki halat ko urooj ki taraf taraqqi ka mustaqbil darust karti hai, jo ke jari rehne wali barhao ki taraf ishara karti hai. Halankeh pehle se thora hesitatation ho, lekin market mein pehle shamil hona ahem faida utha sakta tha. Harkat angaiz aataat se taraqqi ki sambhavnaon ka sahara milta hai, lekin sudharon se hoshiyarana tabadlaat ki zaroorat ho sakti hai. Entry ke moqay ka chook jaana khoi hui munafa ko hasil karna mushkil bana deta hai, jisse risk uthana zaroori hai aur maaloomati data aur trend ki shadeed harkat ko nigrani mein rakhna ahem hota hai, tajziya karte waqt aqalmand faislon ki rehnumai ke liye.

USD/JPY currency pair ab central bank policies aur market expectations ke darmiyan ek pur-faraib mubadarat mein phans gaya hai. Yen do fronton se support mil raha hai. Sab se pehle, Tuesday ko jari shuda data ne Tokyo mein barhti hui mahangai ki ishaarat di hain, jo ke intehai tajziya ki roshni mein Japan Bank (BOJ) ko akhir kar negative interest rate policy ko chhodne ki khuwahish ko phir se jagah di hai. Ye mumkinah tabdeeli yen ko un currencies ke muqablay mein mazid mazbooti dene wala hai jo stagnant ya girte hue interest rates ke sath hain. Dusra, Japani authorities ki taraf se yen ke qeemat ko seedha support dene ki khufiya batein hain. Ye yen ka traditional kirdar hai jo market uncertainty ke doran safe-haven currency ke tor par kam karta hai, jo ke ab mojooda hai. Dosri taraf, Amreeki dollar mushkil mein hai. Market mein barh chuki hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) June mein interest rates ko kam karegi, jo dollar ki attraction ko kam kar degi. Magar traders ihtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain, Congress aur aanay wale US economic data se pehle Fed Chairman Powell ke gawahi ka muzahira karne ke liye.
Technically, USD/JPY kuch hafton se trading range mein phans gaya hai. Jab ke kuch analysts isay December 2023 ke lows ke baad bullish consolidation ke tor par dekh rahe hain, ek faisla mandi 150.75-150.85 ke qareeb resistance zone ko paar karne ke liye ahem hai agar qaaim upward move ke liye. Agar ye hota hai, to pair 152.00 ke darje tak tezi se barh sakta hai, jo ke ek multi-decade high hai. Dosri taraf, ek giravat ise 148.40 par support test kar sakti hai, jo ke mazeed kamzori ko trigger kar sakta hai. Agay dekhte hue, USD/JPY ka mustaqbil kai ahem events par mabni hai. BOJ aur Fed ke bayanat, khas tor par un ke interest rate policies ke mutalliq, qareebi nazar dali jayegi. Is ke ilawa, aanay wale US economic data releases dollar ke hawalay se market sentiment ko asar andaz karenge. Agar data ye ishara de, ke Amreeki economy kamzor ho rahi hai aur Fed rate cuts ke liye case ko mazid mazboot kar raha hai, to yen dollar ke muqablay mein qadr afza ho sakti hai. Muttahida tor par, Fed se hawkish signals ya mazeed US economic data dollar ko wapas favor mein le aayeinge, jo yen par niche dabao dal sakta hai

Chalo aaj hum chunay gaye asbaab par aaj ke market ke aghaaz par amli salahiyat ka jaiza lenay ke leye, jo ke Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI aur MACD ke mashhoor technical analysis ke indicators hain, jin se hum aaj sahi position mein dakhil ho sakte hain aur aik shandar munafa haasil kar sakte hain. Jab milay hue signal ko mukammal tor par samjha jaye ga, to hum bazaar mein maujoodah position se nikalne ka barabar munafa ka nishana chunain gay, jis mein humain chunay gaye waqt ka mushahida kiya gaya Fibonacci grid correction levels ka madad mile ga, jo muntakhib waqt muddat ke intehai asaar par phelaya gaya hai.
To, chart par jis ko hum mutaala kar rahe hain, hum dekhte hain ke pehla darja regression line (sonay ki nukili line), jo muntakhib waqt muddat (waqt-frame H4) par mojooda trend ki simt aur halat ko dikhata hai, lagbhag 35-40 degree ke ek upar ko rukh rukhaya gaya hai, jo ke ek oopri rukh ka trend dhaari ke trend ko darust karata hai. Ghair-linear regression channel, jaise ke chart par dekha ja sakta hai, aik jhukav mukammal kiya hai, neechay se upar ke rukh ko paar kiya hai, aur ab aik upar rukh mein hai.

Keemat ne laal resistance line of the linear regression channel 2-nd LevelResLine ko paar kiya, lekin 150.917 ki zyada quote ke darjay (HIGH) tak pohanch gaya, is ke baad is ne apna izafa rok diya aur mustaqil tor par girne laga. Saamaan ab aik keemat darj par hai 150.409. Upar diye gaye tamam se sab kuch ke buniyad par, mujhe umeed hai ke market ke keemat ke daraein ko wapas aur channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (147.636) FIBO level 50% ke neeche jamatne aur mustaqil tor par neeche golden average line LR of the linear channel 145.904 tak chalne ke leye aur phir aage barhne ke liye. Jo ke FIBO level 23.6% ke saath milta hai. Tawajjo dene wali baat hai ke madad-gar indicators RSI (14) aur MACD overbought area mein hain aur sath hi saath, aik instrument ke keemat mein giravat ka buland ihtimaal dikhate hain

Market ki mustaqil bulandi ko bohot se factors ka hissa samjha ja sakta hai jo iski pasandida raasta par chaal chal rahe hain. Khaaskar, hukoomaton ki taraf se monetary policies aur fiscal stimulus measures ka proactive istemal market ki taraqqi mein ahem kirdar ada kar raha hai. Central banks ne istiqamat se accommodative policies maintain ki hain, jis se economic activities ko barqarar rakhne ke liye sirf nahi balki unhe barhane ke liye liquidity ka musalsal aata jaari rakha gaya hai. Ye mil kar kaam karna ne market ki musbat raasta ko bohot zyada mazboot kiya hai. Is ke ilawa, central banks ka economic resilience ko accommodate policies ke zariye barqarar rakhne ka behtareen commitment market ki buland raaste ko barqarar rakhne ka bunyadi tawana raha hai. Ye intizami tadabeer economic activities ke liye mazboot bunyad faraham kar chuki hain, jis se market ke phelao ke liye mahaul paida hua hai. Economic system mein liquidity ka mutarafiq dakhil karna market ki mazbooti ko barhaane aur is ke growth ke imkanat ko barhaane wala amal hai. Hukoomaton ka market ko agay barhane mein kirdar ko barhana zaroori hai. Unka strategic deployment of fiscal stimulus measures market ke manzar ko istiqamat aur tahreek bakhshta hai.

Ye mil kar kaam karna, monetary aur fiscal tools ko jorna, mohtasib tareeqe se economic growth ko barha raha hai aur market ko naye bulandiyo tak le ja raha hai. Market ki musbat raasta ka tajziya karne mein, central banks aur hukoomaton ke darmiyan muttahida taluqat ka tasavvur saaf hota hai. Accommodative monetary policies aur maqsood shanakht fiscal interventions ka mohtasib milaap sirf economic uncertainties ka saamna karne ke liye nahi balki market ke barqarar phelao ke liye rasta banane mein bhi madadgar sabit hua hai. Ye mil kar kaam karna ek mazboot mahaul bana chuka hai, challenges ke samne qawi mazbooti paida karte hue aur market ki mukammal bulandi raaste ko barqarar rakhne mein. Is ke ilawa, accommodative policies ke istiqamat ki mazboot commitment market ke shirkat daron mein itminan peda karta hai, invest karnay ko encourage karta hai aur economic activities ko chalata hai. Central banks ka proactive qadam le kar liquidity ka barqarar dabao istiqamat ka ek stabilizing force ban gaya hai, potential risks ko kam karne aur market ke growth momentum ko mazboot karne mein.

Ikhtitami tor par, market ki musalsal barhne ka mazmoon ahem kirdar daalne wale factors ke mutmaeen milap se jurra hua hai, jahan hukoomaton ki taraf se supportive monetary policies aur fiscal stimulus ka proactive istemal khaas tor par ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Central banks aur hukoomaton ke darmiyan muttahida taluqat ne sirf economic uncertainties ka saamna kiya hai balki market ke barqarar phelao ke raste ko bhi banaya hai. Ye mil kar kaam karna ek mazboot mahaul bana chuka hai, market ki musbat raasta ko mazboot karne aur isay mukammal bulandiyon ke liye tayyar karne mein.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis.

USD/JPY mein chal raha tha ke yeh upar ki taraf ja sakta tha, lekin kisi wajah se shak paida huwe aur maine faisla kiya ke trade mein dakhil nahin hoon. Magar, is waqt mujhe achhi munafa hogi kyun ke yeh surat maine aik nihayat downward movement shamil thi. Is doran moving average ke lehaz se, hum ek aise halat mein hain jahan par nehayat behtar izafa ke liye achhi numaindagi hai. Shayad, aik islaah karne wale neechayi harkat ke sath, main tawajo kam az kam thori si bull trend se door ho jaon ga. Agar kisi wajah se main bazaar mein dakhil nahin ho saka, to phir kuch waqt baad khoya hua munafa durust karna mushkil ho jata hai, is liye mujhe zyada risk lena parta hai. Humain statisticsi data ka tajziya karna aur trend mein shiddat mein izafa ka nigrani karna hoga. Pair Europe ke khulne par flat range chhodkar chala gaya, jo dilchasp hai, kyun ke Asia ne pair ko bechnay ka zyada inkaar kiya aur yahan aik bullish figure banane ka ikhtiyar tha, lekin ab woh tor diya gaya hai. 149.65 ke neechay theek karne se ek rasta dekhne ko milta hai, lekin yahan par hum EMA200 ke roop mein support dekhte hain 149.10 mein. Is level se wapas ho sakta hai aur 149.65 tak barh sakta hai. Ab agar mojooda levels par wapas 149.65 ke upar lautte hain, to hum dekhenge ke 150.30 tak izafa hoga aur phir, aur is halat mein aik izafa cycle milne ka ikhtiyar hai jo 151 ke darje tak izafa kar sakta hai. Magar phir bhi, main yeh likhta rahoon ke is pair ke liye ab bikriyon par nazdeeki nazar rakhna waqt hai, lekin kya hum mojooda se mukamal palti lenge, ya phir koi aur izafa cycle hogi, jo 151. 152 se zyada mumkin nahin hai.



USD/JPY pair ka D1 chart par tha. Pair 150.375 ke resistance ke upar aik range ke andar tha. Phir yeh range neeche tor di gayi, aur pair ne 149.858 ke support tak pohanch gaya. Maine tawajjuh di ke pair apni izafa jari rakhega. Is support se, ek naya range phir se bana, jismein ek wazeh stop-loss hunting nazar aati hai jab ke buyers ke stops is range se triggered hue, aur buyer limits 149.467 ke darjo se hit hue. Mujhe gumaan hai ke pair mojooda levels se apni upar ki harkat jari rakhega aur 150.375 ke resistance ki taraf jaega.

Hum notice kar sakte hain ke USD/JPY ke farokhtkar ne is haftay ke shuru se apni qeemat ko mustaqil barha diya hai. Aur JPY ki khabron ka bhi farokhtkaroon ke liye madadgar sabit hua. Magar, ab Amreeki dollar ka bhi amal ho sakta hai. Yeh aik baray paimanay par rukawat se guzre baghair resistance level ko guzarsakta hai, buland hilo se saath. Is liye, humein in dino mehtaat se trading karni chahiye. Aur khaaskar jhootay aur asli signals ko pehchanna chahiye, khaas tor par asli trends ko, jo humein humari munafa shanasi mein madad de sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, aapko apni ghaltiyan bhi control karni chahiye jo farokhtkaron ke liye mushkilat ko barha sakti hain. Mere liye, USD/JPY ke market farokhtkaron ke liye acha rahega. Kyunki Amreeki dollar se late khabron ka data manfi tha. Is liye, qeemat aur bhi gir sakti hai aur 148.42 ke level ko baad mein paar kar sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, D1 chat ne aaj humein aik farokht ki ishaara di. Aur, humein is farokht scenario mein khareedne ki taraf nahi jaana chahiye. Mere liye, farokhtkar market mein dincharya ki buland ilaqay se dincharya ke kam point ki taraf dakhil ho sakte hain. Magar, agar USD/JPY ke market resistance ya dincharya ki buland ilaqay ke oopar rahata hai, to farokhtkaroon ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur inkar ka muntazir rehna chahiye. Is ke ilawa, kisi bhi aane wale khabron ka mutala karna zaroori hai jo aam tor par market ko apni rah badalne par majboor karti hain. Aakhir mein, USD/JPY ke market farokhtkaroon ke liye baad mein farokht scenario tayyar kar sakta hai. Umeed hai ke, USD/JPY ke market farokhtkaron ke liye aaj aur kal acha rahega. Magar, aane wale Amreeki dollar se mutalliq khabron ka bhi baad mein aik aakhri kirdar ada karega. Is liye, aane wale khabron par chashmeedgi se nazar rakhein aur market trends ke khilaf na jaayein

usd/jpy technical outlook:

US dollar ki qeemat kam hone ki wajah se, USD/JPY pair pichle 24 ghanton mein 100 points se zyada gir gaya, aur support level 149.20 tha. Shuruati ishaare ye dikhate hain ke is level se bounce ho sakta hai, jo mazeed chadhai ka bais ban sakta hai. Agar keemat pehle se qaim support-turned-resistance at 149.76 ke qareeb jaati hai aur girne lagti hai, aur ek naye downtrend ko tasdeeq karti hai, to ek sell position kholne ka tawazun karen, jisme pehla target 149.85 aur doosra target 147.99 hoga. February ke end tak keemat ka najdiki support level 148.88 tak rollback ko, main samajhta hoon ke yeh ek koshish hai ke sellers ko upar ki taraf move hone se pehle ****ya jaye. Najdiki significant low aur CCI indicator par ikhtilaaf ke saath, main agle dinon mein mazeed izafa ka tawaqo karta hoon.



Dollar/yen currency pair Asian session mein dobara nihayat farokht hui. Japanese currency ne US dollar ke khilaf taqat barqarar rakhi. Pair ki girawat ka main jazib ehtemam amreeki currency ki kamzori hai. Pair ECB meeting ke pehle bhi neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. Yen ab US Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke faislay ka intezar kar rahi hai. Yeh kehna mumkin hai ke Bank of Japan apni maali siyasat ko sakht karne ka faisla kare. Is instrument ke liye pehle half mein mohtamat uparward correction mumkin hai, lekin mujhe aam tor par neeche ki taraf rehne ki tawajjo deni chahiye. Pair bears ke control mein aagaya hai. Mumkinah morcha 149.15 ke level par hai, main is level ke neeche bechna pasand karunga jahan tak 147.85 aur 147.35 ke levels hain. Doosri taraf, pair izafa jari karega, 149.15 ke level ko tor kar aur mustaqil ho jaye, phir pair 149.35 aur 149.65 ke levels tak utar sakta hai.



Due to the depreciation of the US dollar, the USD/JPY pair dropped by over 100 points in the past 24 hours, and the support level was 149.20. Initial signs suggest a bounce from this level, potentially leading to further ascent. If the price nears the previously established support-turned-resistance at 149.76 and starts declining, confirming a new downtrend, consider opening a sell position with an initial target at 149.85 and a secondary target at 147.99. Considering the price's rollback to the nearest support level of 148.88 at the end of February, I interpret it as an attempt to lure sellers before an upward movement toward the target. With the update of the nearest significant low and convergence on the CCI indicator, I anticipate continued growth in the coming days.

DAILY TIMEFRAME OUTLOOK

Jo maine kal likha tha, keh woh neyee bewegiri MA par kar di gai. Ab aap kharid sakte hain. Jodi ko pehchaanne mein asani hui; bilkhusoos, mojooda dynamics saaf nazar aate hain, lekin hum ab bhi is trend ko pehli taraqqi ka mansubah samajhte hain. Ahem resistance level behtareen 150.04 par hai, lekin is nuktay tak pohnchnay ke liye humein pehle 148.14 aur phir 149.09 ko paar karna hoga, aur sirf in bewegiriyon ka kamyabi se mukammal oopri potenti ho ga. Humein is market ke saath kaam ka pehla marhala abhi shuru karna chahiye, kyun ke haftay ke dauran kuch zyada waqt nahi bacha hai, aur harkat ka raasta tay karna zaroori hai. Kharidnay ke liye dakhilay ka darja 147.19 ke support level par hoga, aur is dakhilay ke sath kharidna mein koi masla nahi hona chahiye.




FOUR HOURS OUTLOOK


US dollar ki kami ke bais, USD/JPY jodi pichle 24 ghanton mein 100 points se zyada neeche gir gayi, aur support level 149.20 tha. Ibtedai ishaare is darjay par se bounce ki taraf ishara dete hain, jise mazeed bulandiyon ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Agar keemat pehle se tay shuda support jo ke ab resistance ban gaya hai, 149.76 ke qareeb pohnche aur girna shuru ho jaye, ek naye downtrend ko tasdeeq karte hue, sochna chahiye ke kharidari ka dakhilay kholen, ibtedai nishana 149.85 par aur doosra nishana 147.99 par. February ke ikhtitam tak keemat ka wapas jana, nazdeek ke support level 148.88 tak, main ise ek koshish samajhta hoon ke sellers ko bulandiyon ki taraf khenchna, target ki taraf barhne se pehle. Nazdeek ke ahem kamzor aur CCI indicator par milne par, main aane wale dino mein musalsal barhne ka intezar karta hoon.

Yen ka 30-minute ka chart achha trading dikhata hai, aur main tasleem kar sakta hoon ke is per trade karna asal mein mumkin hoga jab tak agle trend reversal tak. Hamare liye sab se zaroori cheez faida uthana hai. 30-minute frame per, keemat ek urooj trend mein hai, jo darust baat hai ke market abhi murnay ka soch raha nahi hai aur is liye hum araam se Long mein dakhil ho sakte hain aur khud ko kuch bhi manne se inkar nahi kar sakte. Aam technical tajziya ek mazboot khareed ki taraf ishara deta hai, jo thodi si shak ka bais banta hai, is liye main samajhta hoon ke rational tajziya karna zaroori hai ke ham pehle se yaqeeni ho jayein ke market sahi rukh mein hai. USD/JPY H5 Chart ka 5 ghantay ka time frame abhi bhi ikhtitam mein hai aur abhi tak support ya resistance level ke toor per guftagu karne ka koi faida nahi hai. Asal mein, maine socha tha ke hum maqami urooj ko update karne jayenge aur phir pooray karidenge, lekin jaise ke dekha jata hai, hamari surat ka mukhtalif nateeja hai. Afwaah ke mutabiq, qareebi mustaqbil mein market zyada tar ghatawaar ki taraf raghib hogi balkay apni impulsive growth ko jari rakhna chahay ga. Abhi ke liye, main 150.25 ki range ki umeedein rakhta hoon, agar trend toorna aur mazboot hona sakta hai, to main short jaunga. Mere tajziye ke mutabiq, 151.00 ki range ke oopar jaana namumkin hai, lekin agar wo karte hain, to phir main sirf scalping par based shorting mein koi maqsad nahi dekhta. USD/JPY 1D Daily timeframe ke baare mein jo kuch keh sakta hoon woh yeh hai ke junior aur senior dono ke liye tajziya ka ik hi nateeja hai. Beshak, jab tak hum asal resistance level ko toorna nahi, Long position kholne ke baare mein baat karna bohot jaldi hai. Is liye abhi main market mein dakhil hone ka intezar karunga, aur yen per rough tor per stops aur positions lagaoon ga. Yeh sab abhi ke liye, chalte hain aur nateeje nikalne ka silsila jari rakhte hain. Main sach mein is currency pair ke izafa ko bohot bari nahi samajhta, lekin bull abhi mojooda keemat se 140 points ka dikha sakta hai. Mujhe yeh consolidation yahan pasand nahi aai, is liye maine khareedne ka faisla nahi kiya, lekin agar bear support zone 149.92-149.70 ke neeche qaabu kar leta hai, to main khushi se south ko madde nazar rakhunga. Abhi toh, be-shak, sab se zyada tarfa bull ke liye hai aur rahega, lekin agar shumaraat ke saath kuch nahi nikalta, to main bas ek signal ka intezar karunga ke 149.70 ke neeche price fix ho jane ke baad bechne mein dakhil ho