usd/jpy

USD/JPY Tajzia: Japan Bank ke Jawab ka Intezar

Jumeraat ko, yen ne dollar ke muqable 155 yen ki bulandi ko tor diya aur 34 saalon ki kam tareen satah par pohanch gaya jab Japan Bank apni do din ki monetary policy meeting kar raha tha. Aam taur par tawaqo ki ja rahi hai ke Japan Bank March mein negative rates se nikalne ke baad sood ki shrahain barqarar rakhega. Magar, traders yen ke ahem nafsiyati levels se neeche girne par Japan ki taraf se action lene ki ummeed ke signal dekh rahe hain.

Natijat ma'eeshati calendar ke data par mabni hain. Is hafte ke rasmi U.S. ma'eeshati taraqqi ke data economists ki tawaqoat se kahin kamzor they, jis mein pehli saal ki gross domestic product data ne international trade dynamics ko zimmedar thehraya. 2023 ke chauthe quarter mein 3.4% ki taraqqi ke baad, U.S. ma'eeshat 2024 ke pehle quarter mein saalana rate par 1.6% barhegi; analysts ne is figure ko 2.5% hone ka tawaqo kiya tha.



Broadband dollars 2024 ke aghaz se 4.25% barh gaye hain, jo U.S. ki businesses aur consumers ke liye foreign goods aur services ko zyada affordable banata hai aur unhen domestic service providers ko chhodne par majboor karta hai. Dollar 2021 se 18% mazboot hua hai aur 2024 mein behtareen performance karne wala currency hai, Federal Reserve se rate cut ki ummeedain kam hone ke sabab. Lambay arsay tak zyada sood ki shrahain U.S. ke sood-bearing debt ko foreign investors ke liye purkashish banati hain, jin ki capital injections dollar ki qiymat ko barhati hain. Rate cut ki ummeedain kam hone se stocks mein farokht aur U.S. dollar ki demand barh gayi hai, jo ke is ke safe-haven properties ke liye pasandida hai.

Aaj ka USD/JPY peshgoi:

Long term mein, USD/JPY jori ek ascending channel mein trading kar rahi hai, jo rozana ke chart ke performance par mabni hai. 14-day RSI bhi aik mazboot bullish trend ko support karta nazar aata hai jab yeh overbought levels ko pohanchta hai. Is liye, bulls maujooda jeet ki streak ko faida uthane ke liye 156.77 ya us se ooper 158.00 ki resistance ki taraf dekh rahe honge. Dosri taraf, bearish qayasi khilari 154.24 ya us se neeche 152.00 ki support ke qareeb faide ko capture karne ki koshish karenge.

Mukhtasir Muddat Ke Bullish Rujhan Ka Tajzia

USD/JPY jori ke H4 timeframe tajzia mein, moving averages ek mukhtasir muddat ke bullish trend ko zahir karte hain. Yeh ek scenario ko zahir karta hai jahan US Dollar ke khareedaron ka pressure, qiymat ko ooper ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Aisa rujhan aksar US Dollar ke muqable mein Japanese Yen ki barhti hui demand ko akasi karta hai jo dekhe gaye timeframe mein hai. Traders aur sarmayakar jo is trend ko monitor kar rahe hain, isay mukhtasir muddat ke faidon ke liye ek mauqa samajh sakte hain, mazeed qiymat barhne ki umeed rakhte hue.

Mumkinah Correction aur Support Levels

26 April, 2024 ke liye USD/JPY ki peshgoi ke mutabiq, qiymat ka correction hone ki koshish ho sakti hai aur 155.25 ke aas paas ke support area ko test kiya ja sakta hai. Corrections financial markets mein aam phenomena hain, jahan qiymatein aarzi tor par mojooda trend ke khilaf adjust hoti hain. Is surat mein, mutawaqqa correction bullish momentum ki taqat ko test karne ka aik maidan ban sakta hai. 155.25 ke aas paas ka support area ahem hai kyun ke yahan pehle bhi khareedaron ne numayan dilchaspi dikhayi hai, jo ek bounce-back scenario ko janam de sakta hai.

Uper Ki Janib Momentum aur Hadaf Qiymat

Mutawaqqa correction aur support test ke baad, peshgoi ke mutabiq USD/JPY jori ka bounce-back ho sakta hai, aur qiymat apni ooper ki janib taraqqi jari rakhti hai. Is forecast ko dekhte hue traders aur sarmayakar 157.75 se ooper ki hadaf qiymat par nazar rakh sakte hain. Is level tak pohanchna bullish momentum ka silsila jari rakhne ka ishara hai, jahan khareedaron ne bazar ki dynamics par control barqarar rakha hai. Aise milestone tak pohanchna mazeed traders ki dilchaspi ko bhi akhaz kar sakta hai jo ooper ki janib momentum se faida uthane ki koshish karenge.

Traders aur Sarmayakaron Ke Liye Ghour Talab Baatein

USD/JPY ki peshgoi ka tajzia karte waqt, chand ghour talab baatein hain. Sab se pehle, asal qiymati harkaton ko qareeb se monitor karna zaroori hai, kyun ke peshgoiyan mazi ke data aur technical tajzia par mabni hoti hain jo hamesha mustaqbil ke natayej ko durust tor par paish nahi kar sakti. Doosra, kisi bhi nuqsan ko kam karne ke liye risk management ki hikmat-e-amliyan honi chahiye agar bazar mutawaqqa scenario se mukhtalif harkat kare. Is ke ilawa, wasee ma'eeshati asraat aur geo-political waqiat jo currency ki harkaton ko mutasir kar sakte hain, un ke bare mein maloomat rakhte hue fahmi faislay karna crucial hai.




Ikhtitam mein, H4 timeframe tajzia USD/JPY jori ke liye mukhtasir muddat ke bullish trend ko zahir karta hai, jisme traders aur sarmayakaron ke liye moqay maujood hain. 26 April, 2024 ki peshgoi ke mutabiq, aik scenario hai jahan qiymat 155.25 ke aas paas ke support area ko test karne ke liye correct ho sakti hai is se pehle ke bounce-back ho aur 157.75 se ooper ki hadaf qiymat ko nishana banaya ja sakta hai. Magar, bazar ke shirakat daron ko chokas rehna chahiye, qiymati harkaton ko qareeb se monitor karna aur mo'assir risk management strategies ko implement karna zaroori hai taake financial markets ki dynamic nature ko navigate kiya ja sake.

USD/JPY H1 Tajzia

Filhal main USD/JPY currency jori ki karkardagi aur uski qiymat ke rujhanat ka jaiza le raha hoon. Ye currency jori khareedari ki taraf rujhan dekha rahi hai kyun ke iske taraqqi ke imkaanat mojood hain. Magar, mojooda qiymat 154.87 par, khareedari itni faida mand nahi ho sakti, is liye 154.54 jaise munasib support talaash karna zaroori hai, jahan stop loss 154.52 par ho. Targeted levels tak tawaqo shuda girawat faida mand moqay faraham kar sakti hai, jiska target 155.73 hai. 154.80 ki satah chhoti miqdaar mein accumulation area ka kaam kar sakti hai. Aaj, 154.96 par aik nayi bulandi tak pohanchne ki koshish ke baad neeche ki taraf rebound hua, jo girawat ka aghaz zahir karta hai. Daily chart ke mutabiq, 149.54 ke aas paas sales ke liye mumkinah neeche ki target ka imkaan tha. Transactions is level tak pohanchne ke liye farokht par markooz hain.



Filhal, USD/JPY ka chart H1 period par ek uptrend ko zahir karta hai jo 133-day moving average ke ooper price ki madad se khareedari ki potential ko mazboot karta hai. Mukhtasir waqti doran mein bhi prices is moving average ke ooper band hoti hain, jo khareedari ke liye case ko mazboot karta hai. 154.85 par wapas aana khareedari ke trades ka ishara de sakta hai. Farokht ka imkaan sirf tab hai jab qiymat 153.87 se neeche gir jaye. Filhal, H1 uptrend mein khareedari ko tarjeeh di ja rahi hai. Sales 81% par dominate karte hue, ehtiyat ka ishara to dete hain magar zaroori nahi ke girawat ka ishara ho, jo haal ke trading sessions mein zahir hua hai. Is liye, khareed o farokht dono filhal rok di gai hain jab tak ke prices 154.77-85 resistance aur 154.12-27 support ke darmiyan hover karti hain. Main 156 ke nishan par ooper ki breakouts aur 152.63-153.47 support zone mein neeche ki pushes par price reactions dekhne mein dilchaspi rakhta hoon.

USD/JPY currency pair ki tajziya behtareen aur mandi ki taqatoo ke darmiyan aik pur-farokht muamla ka pardarshan karti hai, is liye qeemat ke harkaat ko nazdeek se nigrani mein rakhna zaroori hai. Jabke bears ne ek kami shuru ki hai, lekin bullish trend ka barqarar rehna wazeh hai, special daily chart par jahan qareebi barhne ke nishaan dikhayi dete hain. Mehfooz hone par haalat mein kharidne wale aur zyada sakht hote hue dekhe jana ahem hai, umeed hai ke USD/JPY barhne lage ga. Takhmina deta hai ke short term mein 150.04 par extreme support point ki taraf potential movement ho, jo ke aik bearish momentum ki taraf ishara hai. Magar 151.95 par upper level resistance ko torne se aik ulta karwaai ka ishaara mil sakta hai, jis se aage ki taraf 152.90 ke darje par shumaar hoga. Ye manzar short sellers ke apne positions ko nuqsaan par kholne se chal sakta hai, jis se kharidne wale ke liye aik mozuun mahol paida hota hai. Magar, is uthalte hue trend ka kaam bullish traders ki azam par mabni hai. Mehfooz aurat ke mutabiq, mukhtalif support levels se kharidne ke aham manzarat hain jab tak 150.08 ko paar nahi kiya jaata, jo ke USD ki taqat ke baray mein itminan ko darust karta hai JPY ke muqablay mein. Magar, currency pair ek qeemat corridor ke andar mehdood nazar aata hai, jo ke 151.00 aur 151.90 ke darmiyan oscillate ho sakta hai, mozuun khabron ke beghair ye range jari reh sakta hai. 151.05 ki taraf kami ka hosakta hai, magar umeed ye bani rehti hai ke is level se USD ka JPY ke muqablay mein izafa hoga. Live USD/JPY pair ki qeemat ke harkaat mazeed maloomat faraham karti hain, 151.89 ke overall resistance ka shikar hone ke baad ek halka muratab retraction hota hai. Magar is inhisar ke bawajood, khas signals umeed dikhate hain ke aage ke barhne ki mumkinahariyat mojood hai, ehtiyaat ke sath umeedafroz hai. Agar bears ka control phir se qabzay mein aa gaya, to 151.36 ke support ki taraf kami ka hosakta hai, magar mojooda efforts se bulls ka sabar aur jeetne ki khuwahish wazeh hai

• USD

154.60 ka price test dopahar mein hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se tezi se ooper chala gaya tha, jo ke sath sath pair ki bullish potential ko madd karta hai. Is wajah se main ne dollar nahi khareeda, halankeh US ka kaam ki bazaar ki data is ke liye zyada munasib tha - dollar us waqt saalana uchayi ke qareeb tha. Aaj, Japan ki mehngai ke data jaari hone ke baad dollar tezi se gir gaya. Is ke bawajood, bulls jaldi se dips par khareedne ke liye tayar the, jo market mein unki bulandi ke liye buland dilchaspi aur pair ke mazeed mazbooti ke liye bohot bari imkaanat dikhata hai. Intraday strategy ke tor par, main scenario No. 1 aur No. 2 ke tajurbaat par zyada bharosa karunga.

Kharidne ke signals

Scenario No. 1: Main aaj USD/JPY ko kharidna chahta hoon jab price entry point 154.60 par pohanch jaye jo chart par hari line se plot kiya gaya hai, mazeed 155.19 par umeed ki jati hai jo mazeed moti hari line par chart par plot ki gayi hai. 155.19 ke ilaqe mein, main lambi positions se bahar nikalunga aur ulte rukh mein chhote positions kholunga, ummeed hai ke us level se 30-35 pips ki taraf se rukh ki chalaye. Aaj aap USD/JPY ke uzr ke trend par adharit umeed kar sakte hain baad mein din ke uchiyon ko toornay ke baad. Kharidne se pehle, yeh zaroori hai ke MACD indicator zero mark ke ooper ho aur sirf us se upar se chalne lage.

Scenario No. 2: Main aaj USD/JPY ko kharidna chahta hoon agar do murtad tests 154.24 par hoon jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Ye pair ki nichayi potential ko madd karega aur bazaar mein ek upar ki palat ka silsila shuru hoga. Hum umeed kar sakte hain ke yeh upar ki taraf 154.60 aur 155.19 ke opposite levels tak badhegi.

Farokht ke signals:
Scenario No. 1: Main aaj USD/JPY ko sirf tab bechna chahta hoon jab 154.24 ka level test ho jata hai jo chart par surkhi line se plot ki gayi hai, jo ke qeemat mein tezi se girne ka silsila laaega. Farokht karne wale ke liye asal maqsad 153.64 hoga, jahan main lambi positions se bahar nikalunga aur foran ulte rukh mein chhote positions kholunga, ummeed hai ke us level se 20-25 pips ki taraf se rukh ki chalaye. USD/JPY par dabav us waqt lot sakta hai jab daily uchiyon ka nakami se farokht ka silsila aur central bank ki faa'li amal ho. Farokht karne se pehle, yeh zaroori hai ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur sirf us se neeche se girne lage.

Scenario No. 2: Main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko farokht karna chahta hoon agar do murtad tests 154.60 ke price par hoon jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Ye pair ki upar ki potential ko madd karega aur ek neeche ki taraf market ka palat ho ga. Hum umeed kar sakte hain ke yeh neeche ki taraf 154.24 aur 153.64 ke opposite levels tak giraygi.

USD/JPY (Ameriki Dollar / Japanese Yen). H1 timeframe par aik technical analysis mein is instrument par munafa hasil karne ka acha mauqa nazar araha hai, jiska kamiyabi se pur amal hone ki buland sambhavna hai. Behtar entry point ko chunne ka algorithm mukhtalif marahil par mushtamil hai. Sab se pehle, hum current trend ki taraf dekhte hain ziada timeframe H4 par taake hum market ke movement ke khilaf na jayen. Hum apne instrument ka chart 4 ghante ki timeframe ke sath kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke H1 aur H4 timeframe par trend movements ek doosre ke saath mutabiq hain. Humain tasdeeq hoti hai ke aaj market humein khareedne ke trades ke liye aik behtareen mauqa faraham kar raha hai. Agla, hum teen indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color ke indicators par aitbaar karte hain.
Hum wo waqt ka intezar karte hain jab Hama aur RSI Trend ke signals rang badalne lagte hain blue aur green rang, jise saboot hai ke khareedne wale farokht karne walon par faiq hain. Jab ye shiraa'it puri hojati hai, hum khareedari trade mein dakhil hojate hain. Market se nikalne ka amal magnetic levels indicator ke mutabiq kiya jata hai. Aaj, forecast ko anjam dene ke liye sab se mutasir levels 159.259 hain. Phir hum chart par situation ko dheyan se dekhte hain, dekhte hain ke har magnetic level ke qareeb qeemat kis tarah ka rawayya dikhata hai, aur faisla karte hain ke kya hum market mein maujood position ko agle magnetic level tak rakhein ya pehle se kamai hue munafa ko band karein.

Maujooda manzar Heikin Ashi candles ke technical signals ka aik ikhtilaf dikhata hai jo mua'aina shuda aalaat par hota hai, Heikin Ashi candles aik bullish momentum ka ishara dete hain jab woh neela rang ka hote hain, jo ke ek ooper ki qeemat ki harkat ko darust karta hai. Sath hi, market quotes linear channel ke niche ke hadood ko guzar gaye hain, jo ke surkh dotted line se waziha hai, ek potenshal bearish trend ki ishaarat dete hain. Magar, yeh bearish movement seems to have reached a nadir, as indicated by the phrase "after reaching the minimum point."
Takneeki tajziya mein, Heikin Ashi candles traditional Japanese candlestick charts ka modify shuda aik roop hain. Unka maqsad market ki shor-sharaba ko saaf karna aur qeemat ke amal ko ek behtar dhang se pesh karna hai. Candles ka neela rang aam tor par bullish jazbat ko darust karta hai, jis se maloom hota hai ke kharidaron ne abhi market par dominion ikhtiyar kiya hua hai.

Dusra, linear channel, jo surkh dotted line se dikhaya gaya hai, traders ke liye aik visual sahara hai takneeki tajziya ke liye, taake wo potenshal trend reversals ya jari rehnay ka pata laga sakein. Jab market quotes channel ke niche ke hadood ko torh dete hain, to yeh aksar ek bearish trend ka shuruaat kehlaya jata hai. Magar, yeh zaroori hai ke yeh jaan lia jaye ke takneeki tajziya mukhtasir nateeje nahi hai, aur trading decisions ke pehle doosre factors ko bhi ghor se daikha jana chahiye.

Phrase "after reaching the minimum point" ka matlab hai ke bearish movement shayad apna downward momentum khatam kar chuka hai aur mojooda hai ke is par reversal ka waqt aa chuka hai. Ye traders ke liye ek mauqa ho sakta hai ke woh market mein dakhil ho saken, khaaskar agar doosre indicators is bullish bias ke saath milte hain.

Is manzar ko mazeed tajziya ke liye, traders ko apne tajziya ko tasdeeq karne ke liye aur bhi confirmations ka intezar karna chahiye. Is mein volume levels ka monitor karna, doosre technical indicators jaise ke moving averages ya oscillators ka tajziya karna, aur fundamental factors ko tajziya karna shamil hai jo instrument ke qeemat ke amal par asar dal sakte hain.

Is ke ilawa, trading mein risk management hamesha aham hota hai. Is mein stop-loss orders set karna shamil hai taake aap apni position ke khilaaf hone wale nuqsanat ko had se zyada nahi hone den aur overall portfolio risk ko manage karna.

Mukhtasir taur par, mua'aina shuda instrument par maujooda manzar ek mufassil tasweer paish karta hai, jahan Heikin Ashi candles bullish momentum ki isharaat dete hain jabke market quotes linear channel ke niche ke hadood ko torh gaye hain, ek potenshal bearish trend ki ishaarat dete hue. Magar, phrase "after reaching the minimum point" yeh bhi darust karta hai ke bearish movement shayad ab khatam ho chuka hai, jo ke reversal ke raste ko banane ka moqa de sakta hai. Traders ko ihtiyaat baratna chahiye, mukhtasir tajziya karna chahiye, aur trading decisions ke pehle risk management strategies ka istemal karna chahiye.

Maujooda manzar Heikin Ashi mumalik par mojooda aghaz ko darsata hai, jaise ke woh neela rang dikhate hain, jo ek upri keemat ka harkat darust karta hai. Saath hi, market quotes ne lal dotted line se neeche guzarna shuru kar diya hai, jo ke linear channel ki lower boundary ko darsata hai, jise guzarnay ki dhaar ka nazara hota hai. Magar, yeh bearish harkat ek intehai darja tak pohanch chuki hai, jaise ke "minimum point tak pohanchne ke baad" ka zikar kar raha hai.
Technical analysis mein, Heikin Ashi candles traditional Japanese candlestick charts ka modify shuda version hote hain. Inka maqsad market ke shor o shorat ko filter karna hai aur keemat ka karobar honay ka ek zyada saaf numainda pesh karna hai. Candles ka neela rang aam tor par ek bullish jazba ko darsata hai, jo ke kharidar mojooda dor ko dominate kar rahay hain.

Ek dosri janib, lal dotted line se daryaft ki gayi linear channel, traders ke liye potential trend reversals ya jari rakhne ka ek visual aid hai. Jab market quotes channel ki lower boundary ko tor dete hain, to yeh aksar ek bearish trend ka aghaz hota hai. Magar, ahem hai ke technical analysis ek mustaqbil nahi hai, aur trade ke faislon se pehle doosre factors ko madde nazar rakha jaye.

"Minimum point tak pohanchne ke baad" ki baat yeh ishara karti hai ke bearish harkat ka apna manzil tak pohanch gaya hai, aur ab mawqay ka badalna mumkin hai. Yeh traders ke liye ek moqa ho sakta hai ke woh market mein khareedari ka imtezaar karein, khas tor par agar doosre indicators is bullish bias ke saath milte hain.

Is manzar ko mazeed tajziya karne mein, traders ko apni gumaan ko tasdeeq karne ke liye mazeed tasdeeqi signals ki talaash karni chahiye. Is mein volume levels ka nigrani karna, doosre technical indicators jaise ke moving averages ya oscillators ka mushahida karna, aur maqsad ko tasleem karne wale factors ko tajziya karna shamil hai jo madadgar honge.

Is ke ilawa, trading mein khatra management hamesha ahem hai. Is mein stop-loss orders ko set karna shamil hai taake agar market aapke position ke khilaaf chalti hai to nuqsanain mehdood ho sakain aur mukammal portfolio risk ko managment ke liye munasib position sizing ka amal karna shamil hai.

Khulasa karte hue, tajziya kiye gaye instrument par maujooda manzar ek mazeed wazahat ka tasawar deta hai, jahan Heikin Ashi candles bullish momentum ki isharaat dete hain jabke market quotes ne linear channel ki lower boundary ko tor diya hai, jo ke ek potential bearish trend ko darsata hai. Magar, "minimum point tak pohanchne ke baad" ki baat yeh darust kar rahi hai ke bearish harkat ka safar mukammal ho chuka hai, shayad ek ulta chaal ke liye raasta khul gaya hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat bartna chahiye, tafseelat se tajziya karna chahiye, aur kisi bhi trading faislay se pehle khatra management strategies ko amal mein laana chahiye.

Is haftay mein Japanese yen ne US dollar ke khilaf aik rollercoaster sa safar kiya. Peer ko tezi se barhne ke baad, mangal ko Japanese authorities ki taraf se mumkinah intervention ke shakiyat ki wajah se ye zyada tar faida kharaab kar diya. Ye intervention shak tajwez tab aaya jab USD/JPY jora aik 34 saal ke urooj tak pahunch gaya. Yen ki kamzori ke peechay ka asal sabab Japan aur America ke darmiyan barhtay huye interest rate ke fark hai. Amrika ke Federal Reserve se muaqat Japan ke central bank ke muqable mein zyada arsay tak uncha interest rate barqarar rehne ki tawaqqo hai. Ye interest rate ka farq US dollar ko zyada kashish afreen nivesh banata hai, jo yen ke khilaf barhata hua dollar ki taveel aurat ko lead karta hai. Budh ke din, dollar Asian session mein apni uparward raftar ko jari rakha. Ye uthan bharat ka sabab tha ke Federal Reserve apne sakht monetary policy stance ko mehfooz karne ke liye inflation ke khilaf larne ka imkaan hai, jo aane wale US data ke mutabiq qayam rehta hai. Magar, dollar ke liye ye musbat jazbaat aik risk-off mahol ke dabaav se mukhalfat ki gayi. Raat bhar America ke stocks mein kami aur Asian markets mein wide sell-off ne yen ke safe-haven appeal ko phir se zinda kiya, jo aik ahem Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ke agle din USD/JPY jore ke liye kuch rukawaton ka sabab ban gaya.

Pura saal 2024 mein, USD/JPY jora mustqil tor par barh raha raha, teen daqiqon se zyada arse mein uski bulandi tak pohonch gaya. Ye uptrend agle kal ko shuru hone wale intervention shak ki wajah se peer ko aik waqti rukawat ka samna karna pada, jis ki wajah se ek mutghir trading session ka samna karna para. Agar dollar apni uparward dabao ko barqarar rakhta hai, to jora 159.10 ke level ko challenge karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, jo aik ahem Fibonacci extension level hai. Mazeed faidaat ke tor par, ye 34 saal ke urooj 160.20 ke qareeb pohnch sakta hai, aur mumkin hai ke isay 163.55 ke 200% Fibonacci level tak bhi paar kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY bechare ke dabaav ka samna karta hai, to shuruati support 156.35 Fibonacci level par mil sakta hai. Is level ka tor phir 154.64 ke level ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ek aur ahem Fibonacci retracement point hai jo is haftay ke pehle mein kam hone wale girawat ko rokta hai. Agar kamzori jaari rehti hai, to November 2023 ki unchai 151.90 bear ke liye agla bara hurdle ban sakti hai jo unko paar karne ke liye hai. Aaj ke FOMC meeting ke baad, USD/JPY jore ke mustaqbil ki raah ka ek ahem factor banne ka imkaan hai.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis.

Is hafte Japanese yen ne US dollar ke khilaf aik rollercoaster safar ka samna kiya. Jumma ko barhne ke baad, Mangal ko isne apni zyada tar faida diye hue gairan qaim kar diye is wajah se ke Japanese authorities ke qadamon ke bary main fikar thi. Ye intervention ke shak speculation is wajah se aayi ke USD/JPY joda 34 saal ke ucheyi par pohanch gaya tha. Yen ki kamzori ke peechay ka sab se bara karkun Japan aur United States ke darmiyan farq farq interest rate ka phelana hai. US Federal Reserve se mutaliq Japan ke markazi bank ke muqablay mein zyada arse tak uncha interest rate ka barqarar rehna mutawaqqa hai. Ye interest rate ka farq US dollar ko zyada kashish karne wala invest banata hai, jo yen ke muqable mein izafa shudah talab aur ek mazboot dollar ke sath le aata hai. Budh ke din, dollar ne Asian session mein apni upar ki rukh ko jari rakha. Ye izafa US data ke mutabiq madde nazar inflation ke khilaf lade jane wale Federal Reserve ke hawkish monetary policy stance ke barhne wale market expectations se aya tha.

Magar dollar ke liye ye musbat jazba risk-off mahol ke dabe paon hawale se rok diya gaya tha. Raat bhar US stocks mein kami aur Asian markets mein kaafi farokht ka barhao yen ki safe-haven appeal ko dobara zinda kar diya, jo ke FOMC ki aham meeting se pehle USD/JPY jode ke liye kuch rukawaton ka sabab bana.

/JPY joda ek mustaqil barhawah par hai, teen daswaiyon ke daira mein unchaai tak pohanch gaya hai. Ye uthalta howa trend Jumma ko oper ati shak ki wajah se ek waqtan-fa-waqtan trading session ka samna kiya. Agar dollar apne upar ke dabaav ko barqarar rakhta hai, to joda 159.10 level ko challenge karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, aik ahem Fibonacci extension level. Mazeed izafay se ye 34 saal ke unchaai par 160.20 tak pohanch sakta hai, aur ho sakta hai ke ye 200% Fibonacci level tak 163.55 tak pohanch jaye. Dosri taraf, agar USD/JPY bechnay ke dabaav ka samna karta hai, to usay pehle support mil sakta hai joda 156.35 Fibonacci level par. Is level ka torhna ek decline ko start kar sakta hai joda 154.64 level ki taraf, jo ke saptah ke pehle se ghatne wale talab ko rokne wala ahem Fibonacci retracement point tha. Agar ye kamzori jari rahe, to November 2023 ki unchai 151.90 bears ke liye agle bara hurdle ban sakta hai. Aaj ke FOMC meeting ke baad USD/JPY jode ke mustaqbil ki muntazir rasta ko mutasir karne wala aik aham factor hone wala hai.

hai jo mua'aina shuda aalaat par hota hai, Heikin Ashi candles aik bullish momentum ka ishara dete hain jab woh neela rang ka hote hain, jo ke ek ooper ki qeemat ki harkat ko darust karta hai. Sath hi, market quotes linear channel ke niche ke hadood ko guzar gaye hain, jo ke surkh dotted line se waziha hai, ek potenshal bearish trend ki ishaarat dete hain. Magar, yeh bearish movement seems to have reached a nadir, as indicated by the phrase "after reaching the minimum point."
Takneeki tajziya mein, Heikin Ashi candles traditional Japanese candlestick charts ka modify shuda aik roop hain. Unka maqsad market ki shor-sharaba ko saaf karna aur qeemat ke amal ko ek behtar dhang se pesh karna hai. Candles ka neela rang aam tor par bullish jazbat ko darust karta hai, jis se maloom hota hai ke kharidaron ne abhi market par dominion ikhtiyar kiya hua hai.

Dusra, linear channel, jo surkh dotted line se dikhaya gaya hai, traders ke liye aik visual sahara hai takneeki tajziya ke liye, taake wo potenshal trend reversals ya jari rehnay ka pata laga sakein. Jab market quotes channel ke niche ke hadood ko torh dete hain, to yeh aksar ek bearish trend ka shuruaat kehlaya jata hai. Magar, yeh zaroori hai ke yeh jaan lia jaye ke takneeki tajziya mukhtasir nateeje nahi hai, aur trading decisions ke pehle doosre factors ko bhi ghor se daikha jana chahiye.

Phrase "after reaching the minimum point" ka matlab hai ke bearish movement shayad apna downward momentum khatam kar chuka hai aur mojooda hai ke is par reversal ka waqt aa chuka hai. Ye traders ke liye ek mauqa ho sakta hai ke woh market mein dakhil ho saken, khaaskar agar doosre indicators is bullish bias ke saath milte hain.

Is manzar ko mazeed tajziya ke liye, traders ko apne tajziya ko tasdeeq karne ke liye aur bhi confirmations ka intezar karna chahiye. Is mein volume levels ka monitor karna, doosre technical indicators jaise ke moving averages ya oscillators ka tajziya karna, aur fundamental factors ko tajziya karna shamil hai jo instrument ke qeemat ke amal par asar dal sakte hain

Is ke ilawa, trading mein risk management hamesha aham hota hai. Is mein stop-loss orders set karna shamil hai taake aap apni position ke khilaaf hone wale nuqsanat ko had se zyada nahi hone den aur overall portfolio risk ko manage karna

Mukhtasir taur par, mua'aina shuda instrument par maujooda manzar ek mufassil tasweer paish karta hai, jahan Heikin Ashi candles bullish momentum ki isharaat dete hain jabke market quotes linear channel ke niche ke hadood ko torh gaye hain, ek potenshal bearish trend ki ishaarat dete hue. Magar, phrase "after reaching the minimum point" yeh bhi darust karta hai ke bearish movement shayad ab khatam ho chuka hai, jo ke reversal ke raste ko banane ka moqa de sakta hai. Traders ko ihtiyaat baratna chahiye, mukhtasir tajziya karna chahiye, aur trading decisions ke pehle risk management strategies ka istemal karna chahiye.

USD/JPY ke qeemat mein jeetne wale leharat

Hum USD/JPY currency pair par guftagu kar rahe hain, aur meri tajziya mukhtasar garmiyon ke doran market ka rawayya pe shoroo hota hai. Main rozana ka moving average aur MACD indicators par ghor kar raha hoon. Main tajziya nahi kar sakta, aur umeed shuda izafa ke bare mein shak hai. MA aur USD/JPY ne 151.23 ke qareeb ek bearish trend ko dikhaya hai, jo bearish dabao ko zahir karta hai. Agar haliyaat ka rawayya jaari rahe, to farokht ke dabao mein izafa ho sakta hai, jisse market ke qeematon mein kami ho sakti hai. Is ko roknay ke liye, market ke hisson ka qeemat ka nishana pohnchnay par strategy ke tor par farokht ya kharid farokht amal ko amal mein la sakte hain. Yeh strategy aksar mustaqiliat ko barqarar rakhne aur intehai market ki teziyon ko rokne ke liye maqbool hoti hai. Magar is ahem darje ko toorna bearish trend ko lamba kar sakta hai, aur 159.09 par wapas aana mumkin hai.

Anay wale dinon mein buland tanasub ki sannad ka ummedwar hai, jo market ke nishane ko madadgar sabit kar sakta hai. Aaj ka harkat mukhtalif farokht farokht ke haami hone ka imkan hai. Market ke dynamics USD/JPY se mutaliq khabron par mabni honge, jo trend ka rukh tay karsakte hain. Agar farokht farokht ke dabao mein ghaalib ho jata hai, to khareedaron ka 159.09 tak tajwez dena mumkin hai. Musawat se, harkat 155.28 ke qareeb khatam ho sakti hai agar farokht farokht ka trend jari rahe. Technical indicators ke hawale se, stochastic ye darust kar raha hai ke pair overbought hai, jo ek mumkinah halki girawat ka ishara deta hai kal tak, shayad 156.50 ke qareeb giraftari ilaqa tak gir sakta hai. Magar kal ka mahaul bhtat ke mutabiq darasal badi tezi se tabdeel ho sakta hai. Agar US Federal Reserve 5.50% ke qarz ki dar ko barqarar rakhti hai, jo mazid shakhsiyat deta hai, to 99% ke imkan hai ke US dollar sakhti se izafa kare, jo mojooda US inflation data ke mutabiq 2% se bohot door hai.

Technical Analysis: USD/JPY

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki keemat ki karwai aur price action ka tafseeli muzakarah karenge. Kal ke is pair mein shorish ne mujhe hairan kar diya, aur main ise samajh nahi saka. Bank of Japan shayad is shorish ka zimmedar tha, halankeh yeh chutti ka din tha. Ghulamil, yeh pair ek urooj ki raah dikha raha hai, jismein kal ka izafa 155 ke qareeb tha aur aik mustaqil izafa jaari hai. Aaj ka kam volatility dollar ke trading trend ki ahmiyat ko zor deta hai, jab ke chhoti imdadi abhi bhi asar andaz hai. 159-159.30 area tak wapas chadhne ka imkan hai, lekin main wahan bechnay ka tawajjo karon ga. Aaj ki keemat ka andaz moderat hai, rozana ke chart par darmiyani moti bullish mombati hai, jo urooj ki asal wazeha mein fit hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke khareedne walay is trend ko barqarar rakhen ge. Kal ke 160.205 USD/JPY ke qareeb highs ke atraaf 160 yen per dollar ke qareeb aham rukawat ki pehchane jaati hai, jo ke aane wale dino mein shadeed khareedar aur farokht karne walo ke darmiyan muqablay ka samna kar sakta hai.






Bullish trend mein trading karna ek wazeh kamiyabi ka mauka deta hai. Kal, USD/JPY tezi se gir gaya, 23.6% Fib retracement level ko azma kar neeche gira, phir upar utha, bullish manzar ko tasdeeq karte hue. Khareedne ke moqay mehfooz nazar aate hain, maqasid 158.20 aur 160.00 par hain. Rukawat 157.00 ke atraaf hai, jo girawat jaari rakh sakti hai. 157.00 ke shet mein ek jhoota breakout agle girne ka pehle ishara ho sakta hai. 156.70 ke qareeb madad mil sakti hai girawat ko barqarar rakhne ke liye. Main 157.00 ki taraf izafa ki umeed rakhta hoon, jise ek mumkin giravat tak follow kiya ja sakta hai. 157.00 ke shet mein ek jhoota breakout ho sakta hai, jo ek dhire-dhire giravat aur 157.60 support ke neeche giraavat ka pehla ishara ho sakta hai. 156.65 shet ka tor dena farokht ka ishara hai. 158.40 par rukawat 156.65 ko torne ke baad giravat ko lamba kar sakti hai. Mojooda market ki growth sudhaar ki tasalli de rahi hai, jise shayad USD/JPY mein farokht ke baad giravat ki sathat ho.

USDJPY
Is haftay Japanese yen ko US dollar ke khilaf aik rollercoaster ride ka samna tha. Peer ko chadh kar, is ne Tuesday ko Japani authorities ki taraf se mumkinah intervention ke shikayat ki wajah se zyadatar in faayde ko haath mein de diya. Ye intervention ke shak ke baad aya tha jab USD/JPY jori ne 34 saal tak ki unchiyaat ko chhoo liya tha. Yen ki kamzori ke peechay buniyadi wajah Japan aur America ke darmiyan phailay hue interest rate ka farq hai. US Federal Reserve ka Japan ke central bank ke mukabley zyada arsey tak buland interest rate banaye rakhne ka imkan hai. Ye interest rate ka farq US dollar ko zyada kashish mand invest banata hai, jis se maang mein izafa hota hai aur yen ke khilaf mazboot dollar bana hai. Budh ke din, dollar ne Asian session mein apni ooper ki taraf ke rukh ko barqarar rakha. Ye izafa US Federal Reserve ke rukh ko le kar aya tha, jis ka maqsad inflation ke khilaf muqablay ke liye sakht monetary policy banaye rakhna hai, jo ke agle US data ke mutabiq qayam hai. Magar, dollar ke liye ye musbat jazba ko khatra hai. Rat bhar US stocks mein kami aur Asian markets mein mukhtalif farokht yen ka safe-haven appeal barhane laga, jo FOMC ki aham mulaqat se pehle USD/JPY jori ke liye kuch rukawatein paida karta hai.

Pooray 2024 ke doran, USD/JPY jori ne mustaqil bunyadi uthao tak pahunch gaya, aur teen dasatwaron se bhi ooper pahunch gaya. Is upar wale trend ko Monday ko shak ke mutalbaat ki wajah se aik waqtanawi kami ka samna karna para, jo ke ek hila shula session ko le kar aaya. Agar dollar apni ooper ki dabao ko barqarar rakhta hai, to jori 159.10 level ko challenge karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, aik ahem Fibonacci extension level. Mazeed izafay se, ye 34 saal ki unchiyaat 160.20 ke qareeb pohanch sakta hai, aur shayad ye 200% Fibonacci level ko bhi paar karke 163.55 tak pohanch jaye. Dosri taraf, agar USD/JPY farokht ke dabao ka samna karta hai, to shuruati support 156.35 Fibonacci level par mil sakta hai. Is level ko torne par, yeh decline 154.64 level tak ja sakta hai, jo ke is hafte ke shurwat mein girawat ko roka tha. Agar ye kamzori barqarar rahe, to November 2023 ki unchi 151.90 agla bara hurdle ho sakta hai jis se bear ko guzarna hoga. Aaj ke FOMC meeting ko USD/JPY jori ke mustaqbil ke rukh ko mutasir karne wala aham factor hone ki ummeed hai.

Baatcheet mein behas ke pair ke liye is taraf ka trend jaari hai. Takneeki tajziya dikhata hai ke daam, chaar ghanton ke chart par, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke upar trade ho raha hai, baadal ke upar, Chikou span line daam chart ke upar hai, aur "golden cross" faalat hai. Bollinger bands oopar ki taraf mudaam, relative strength index 50 ke upar ja raha hai, MACD oscillator ke volumes badh rahe hain, aur trend filter oscillator sabz rang mein hai, jo ek bullish market mood ki nishaani hai. Abhi tawajjo kharid par hai. Main 154.67 ko takneeki imdaad ke liye ek mumkin maqsood nishana samajhta hoon. Kharidna ehdiaat hone ki tarjih hai jab tak daam critical Kijun-sen line ke upar trade kar raha hai. Is se peechay jana kharid ki ehmiyat ko kam karega. Ek doosre raste ki tayyari ki ja sakti hai jab daam baadal ke niche trade karta hai, signal lines ke zariye "dead cross" ke banne ke saath.

USDJPY currency pair ke liye shumali raasta barqarar hai. H1 time frame par, significant extremes izafi unchaaiyaan hai, jaise zig zag indicator dikhata hai, jaisey significant low aur highs izafi unchaaiyaan hai. Trend indicator ek moving average hai jo 120 ka daura rakhta hai daam ke neeche, yeh buyers ki taqat ko dikhata hai

Aaj behtar hai ke 153.90 ke darje se kharid ka tajziya kiya jaye pehla take profit 154.30 ke darje par, doosra take profit behtar darje 154.70 par rakha jaye, aur do orders ke liye stop loss 153.60 ke darje par set kiya jaye. Agar pair 153.30 ke darje par mazid banaye, toh market ki surat-e-haal badal sakti hai, phir bechne ka tajziya kiya jana zaroori hoga. Bechne ke liye seedha market par koshish ki ja sakti hai baad mein mazidat ke baad. Hum bechnay ke liye take profit 152.90 ke darje par set karte hain, aur stop loss 153.60 ke darje par set karte hain. Signal ko tasdiq karne ke liye hum neechay wale time frame par chalte hain; M15 kaafi munasib hai. USDJPY ke pandrah minute ke chart par, instrument ke kharid confirmed hain Moving Average aur Zig Zag indicators se