USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY ke daily chart ke mutabiq, price is waqt 150.145 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai. Yeh level abhi ek mid-range support ke taur par kaam kar raha hai. Recent price action ko dekhte hue, November ke first week mein USD/JPY ne apna high 153.57 par banaya tha, lekin uske baad girawat ka silsila shuru ho gaya. Ab price downward trend mein hai, magar RSI (14) ke mutabiq abhi oversold zone mein nahi pohnchi, jo 41.62 ka reading show kar raha hai. Yeh batata hai ke abhi market mein neutral momentum hai, lekin bearish pressure abhi bhi zyada hai.
Support aur resistance levels ko dekhte hue, current support 146.91 par hai. Agar price iss level ke kareeb sustain kar leti hai aur wahan se bounce karti hai, toh yeh bulls ke liye ek acha signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price iss support ko todti hai, toh USD/JPY aur neeche ja sakta hai, aur agla target 145.00 ya usse bhi neeche ho sakta hai.
Resistance ke hawale se, agar price phir se upward momentum gain kare aur 151.00 ka level tod le, toh agla target 153.57 tak ja sakta hai, jo iska recent high tha. Moving averages ka trend abhi downward hai, jo yeh show karta hai ke sellers ka control abhi bhi barkarar hai.
Tajziya aur Strategy:

• Buyers: Agar price support zone (146.91) par sustain kare aur wahan se bounce kare, toh buying ka socha ja sakta hai. Pehla target 151.00 ho sakta hai, aur agla target 153.57 tak ja sakta hai.
• Sellers: Agar price neeche gir kar 146.91 ka support todti hai, toh selling ka ek mauqa banega, jahan agla target 145.00 ho sakta hai.

Aakhir mein, RSI aur support/resistance zones ko nazar mein rakhte hue trade karna zaroori hai. Market ka overall sentiment abhi bearish lag raha hai, lekin confirmation ke liye price action ka intezar karna hoga. Risk management ka khayal zaroor rakhein.

USD/JPY ke sellers ne is hafte apni stability barqarar rakhi. Market sentiment ko samajhna iss environment mein intehai zaroori hai. USD/JPY pair ke liye possibilities hain ke yeh 148.77 zone cross kar jaye. Agle hafte US dollar par pressure barqarar rehne ki umeed hai, kyunke kamzor employment data, crude oil inventories ka girna aur services sector ki underperformance US economy ke challenges ko barhne ka ishara dete hain.Market participants naye data aur policymakers ke signals ka intezar karenge, jo sentiment mein ehtiyat ka rukh rakhta hai. Agar upcoming data economic conditions mein kisi behtri ka wazeh ishara nahi deta, toh dollar par pressure barqarar rehne ke chances hain. USD/JPY traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke woh ihtiyat ke saath trading karein aur sound risk management strategies apnayein.Is waqt heightened volatility aur mixed signals ke bawajood disciplined approach zaroori hai. Technical indicators aur key levels ko closely observe karna bhi madadgaar hoga. Stop-loss orders ka istemal karna iss environment mein intehai ahmiyat rakhta hai, taake unexpected price swings se apne positions ko bachaya ja sake. Yeh risk management ka ek laazmi hissa hai jo losses ko limit karne aur challenging trading environment mein capital ko preserve karne mein madad deta hai.Agle hafte ke liye trading plan ko technical analysis ke mutabiq design kiya gaya hai. USD/JPY currency pair par sell trading ka option consider karna behtareen hoga. Lekin ideal transaction zone ke liye price ko pehle bearish momentum dikhane ka intezar karna zaroori hai.Entry-level ke liye position 149.60 ke price point par place ki ja sakti hai, jahan bearish target 149.00 level rakha jaega. Agar yeh target level break hota hai, toh market mein mazeed girawat ka silsila jaari rehne ke chances hain.Stop-loss area transaction level se 40 pips upar rakha ja sakta hai. Overall, agle hafte ke liye market trend ka rukh bearish rehne ki umeed hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Mixed NFP ki Waja se Dollar Strong ho Raha Hai

USD/JPY forecast agle kuch hafton mein kaafi change sakta hai, kyunke agle hafte US CPI release hone wali hai, uske baad FOMC aur BoJ decisions bhi expected hain.

Pure hafta, traders November jobs report ka intezar kar rahe the, ye dekhne ke liye ke kya yeh December mein 25 basis point rate cut ko confirm karega. Summary yeh hai ke shayad kare. Wages strong rahi aur headline nonfarm payrolls data expectations se behtar tha, lekin report ke doosre metrics ne dollar ko shaky banaya. Unemployment rate ka barhna, participation rate ka girna, aur household survey ka weak hona – jo ek bara 355K ka drop dikhata hai – traders ke liye USD/JPY bechne ki wajah ban gaya. Lekin jab EUR/USD bhi gir gaya, to yeh clear dollar reaction nahi thi jo expected thi.

NFP Fails to Impress
Nonfarm payrolls data strong tha, aur pichle do mahino ke data mein 56K ka izafa dekhne ko mila. Lekin household survey ne ek bara 355K ka drop dikhaya, aur participation rate 6-mahine ke low, 62.5%, tak gir gaya. Saath hi, unemployment rate barh kar 4.2% ho gaya.

Average earnings 0.4% month-over-month barhein (0.3% expected tha), jo year-over-year rate ko 4.0% par rakhta hai. Lekin jobs front se mostly negative news isko overshadow kar gayi.

US CPI Agle Hafte ke Highlights Mein Shamil
US inflation data (CPI aur PPI) agle hafte release hone wali hai, jo Fed ke agle hafte ke meeting se pehle ka aakhri key data set hoga. CPI Wednesday, December 11, 13:30 GMT par publish hogi.

December ka rate decision is report par zyda impact nahi karega, jab tak ek "super-hot" print nahi aata. Lekin initial 2025 meetings ke decisions par yeh CPI report kuch asar kar sakti hai, khas kar jab Fed employment data par zyada focus kar raha hai.

Aaj ke NFP report ke baad, 25-bps rate cut ke chances barh kar 87% ho gaye hain, jo pehle 70% the. USD/JPY phir se 150.00 handle tak gir gaya – kya ab yeh neeche break karega?

BoJ Decision se Pehle Yen Dobara Mazboot Ho Raha Hai

EUR/JPY USD/JPY ke sath gira, jo US nonfarm payrolls report ke baad ek broad-based yen rally ka ishara karta hai. Pichle kuch hafton mein, yen ne kaafi major currencies ke against strength dikhayi hai, khas kar commodity dollars, euro, aur kuch had tak US dollar ke against.

Yen ke iss surge ka sabab investor speculation hai, jo soch rahe hain ke Bank of Japan apne final 2024 meeting mein interest rates barha sakti hai.

Lekin kuch din pehle, BoJ board member Toyoaki Nakamura ke comments ne is momentum ko slow kar diya. Nakamura ne dovish tone strike ki aur policy tightening par ek cautious approach ka mashwara diya, wage growth ki sustainability par concerns uthaye.

Technical USD/JPY Forecast: Key Levels to Watch

USD/JPY ne phir se 149.40-150.00 ke support zone ko test kiya hai, aur abhi yeh wahin par hai. Agar yeh zone ke neeche close karta hai, to 148.65 aur phir 146.50 tak girne ka rasta khul sakta hai – jo next potential support level hain.

Agar daily close is zone ke upar ya within hoti hai, to bulls ke liye interest barh sakta hai aur 151.20-152.00 resistance range tak recovery ka chance ho sakta hai. Lekin bond yields ke girne aur BoJ rate hike expectations ke chalte, breakdown ke chances zyada lagte hain.

USD/JPY ka 4-hour chart dekha jaye toh pair is waqt 150.043 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo market ke consolidation phase ko represent karta hai. Peechle chand sessions mein price ne mixed movement dikhayi hai, lekin abhi bhi pair apne 50-period moving average ke neeche hai. Yeh short-term bearish sentiment ko highlight karta hai. Price recent high levels se girne ke baad ab ek tight range mein move kar rahi hai, jo ek breakout ke liye tayyari ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. RSI (14) ka reading abhi 47.32 par hai, jo neutral momentum ko show karta hai. Yeh neither overbought hai aur na hi oversold, lekin RSI ka neutral level suggest karta hai ke dono buyers aur sellers is waqt ek decisive move ke intezar mein hain. Agar price 150.300 ke immediate resistance level ko todti hai, toh bullish momentum wapas aayega aur agla target 151.00 ya uske aage ho sakta hai. Is level par, sellers phir se enter karne ki koshish karenge.

Agar price neeche girti hai aur 149.600 ke support level ko todti hai, toh bearish momentum mazboot ho sakta hai, aur pair ko agle support zone 148.800 tak le jaa sakta hai. Is waqt price tight range mein hai, aur kisi bhi taraf ka breakout market direction ko define karega. Is week ke liye, traders ko US aur Japan ki economic data releases, jaise inflation reports aur interest rate-related comments, par focus rakhna chahiye, kyun ke yeh fundamental events significant volatility laa sakte hain. Yen traditionally ek safe-haven currency hai, aur global market sentiment ka bhi iska price movement par asar ho sakta hai. Risk management critical hai, kyun ke price abhi clear trend define nahi kar raha. Yeh breakout trading ke liye ek acha mauqa ho sakta hai, magar entry aur exit levels ko ache tareeke se plan karna zaroori hai. Dono taraf ke risks aur opportunities ka dhyan rakhein, aur support aur resistance zones par focus karein.

USD/JPY H1 Analysis:
Is chart ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ka price pichle chand dino se downward trend mein tha, jo 151.74 tak stabilize hua hai. Chart par dekhne se maloom hota hai ke price ne apne recent low 150.65 par support liya aur ab thoda recover kar raha hai. Price ab 151.74 ke kareeb trade kar raha hai, jo is waqt ek critical level hai.
Indicators ka Analysis:
MACD indicator bearish momentum dikhata raha hai, lekin ab divergence ka signal nazar aaya hai, jo rebound ki nishani ho sakti hai. Ye is baat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai ke market mein selling momentum kam ho raha hai aur bullish momentum shuru ho sakta hai. RSI indicator bhi oversold zone se bounce karta hua dikh raha hai aur ab 51.68 ke kareeb hai. Ye bullish correction ka signal de raha hai, lekin filhal koi confirm trend reversal ka ishara nahi hai.
Key Levels:
Agar price 151.80-152.00 ka resistance tod leta hai, to agla target 152.50 ya uske upar ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price phir se 151.00 ke niche aata hai, to market dobara 150.65 ke support zone ka test kar sakta hai. Is level ke break hone par price 150.00 tak gir sakta hai, jo agla strong support zone hoga.
Trading Strategy:
Aap is waqt carefully trade karein kyun ke price ek critical area mein hai. Agar bullish momentum barh raha ho, to buy entries 152.00 ke upar consider ki ja sakti hain, jahan RSI aur MACD ke signals strong ho rahe hon. Lekin agar price 151.00 ke niche girta hai, to bearish pressure mazid barh sakta hai. Is situation mein aap short trade plan kar sakte hain. Is waqt zaroori hai ke aap apne risk management ka khayal rakhein aur support/resistance levels ko follow karein. Indicators jaise ke RSI aur MACD ka analysis regularly karein taake accurate entry aur exit points ka pata chale.
Yeh analysis aapko market ki current situation ko samajhne mein madad karega aur aap apni trading decisions ko iske mutabiq adjust kar sakte hain.

imkaan ho sakta hai, lekin overall trend bearish hi rahega. Stochastic Oscillator abhi oversold zone (20 se neeche) mein hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke price mein temporary reversal ho sakta hai. Lekin is signal ko confirm karne ke liye humein price action aur resistance levels pe dhyan dena hoga. Agar price 150.00 resistance todta hai, to ek bullish correction ho sakta hai, lekin yeh sirf short-term hoga jab tak trend reversal ke strong indicators nahi milte. Chart par Parabolic SAR dots bhi price ke upar hain, jo yeh signal karta hai ke selling pressure abhi tak khatam nahi hua. Yeh confirmation deta hai ke downtrend kaafi mazboot hai.

Agar price 149.50 todta hai, to sell entries ka option consider kar sakte hain, jahan agla target 148.70 ho sakta hai. Agar price 150.00 tak rebound karta hai aur yeh level tod nahi pata, to pullback ke baad sell karna better strategy ho sakti hai. Oversold zone ke bawajood, buying

USD/JPY ke daily timeframe ka jaiza lete hue yeh nazar aata hai ke price is waqt 150.040 ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hai. Pehle kaafi arse tak ek bullish trend dekhne ko mila tha, lekin recent movement se lagta hai ke market correction ya decline ka samna kar rahi hai. Moving averages ke hisaab se price par abhi tak downward pressure hai, jo short-term bearish sentiment ki nishani hai.
Chart par nazar dalte hi yeh samajh aata hai ke support level 149.35 par hai, jo filhal ek mazboot point lagta hai. Agar yeh level toot jata hai, toh price asani se 145.00 tak gir sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price upar ki taraf momentum pakarti hai aur 151.00 ka resistance todti hai, toh yeh ek naye bullish trend ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Is liye yeh dono levels trading ke liye intehai ahmiyat rakhte hain.
RSI (14) indicator bhi yahan kaafi ahmiyat rakhta hai, jo abhi 39.69 par hai. Yeh zone oversold ke kareeb hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke price rebound kar sakti hai ya sideways movement kar sakti hai. Lekin abhi tak RSI ne koi clear bullish signal nahi diya, is liye traders ko mazeed sabr aur price action ka intezar karna hoga.
Yeh bhi dekhne wali baat hai ke price multiple moving averages ke neeche hai, jo ek mazid bearish trend ka indication deta hai. Is waqt, aggressive trades lene ke bajaye, behtreen strategy yeh hai ke price ke breakouts ka intezar kiya jaye aur uske mutabiq planning ki jaye.
Agar price neeche girti hai, toh support levels jaise 149.35 aur phir 145.00 critical honge. Lekin agar upar ki taraf breakout hota hai, toh resistance 151.00 aur phir 153.50 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai.
Traders ke liye zaroori hai ke apne risk management plan par amal karein aur impulsive trades lene se gurez karein. Har trade se pehle price action aur market ke indicators ka ghoor se jaiza lein aur phir faisla karein.

Yahan D1 period ka USD/JPY currency pair ka chart dekhte hain.Abhi yeh kaam karne ke liye utni behtareen pair nahi hai kyun ke yeh ek unclear situation mein hai aur squeeze ho rahi hai.September mein neeche se price upar gaya tha jo market ka edge aur bullish divergence dikhata tha.Upar bhi wahi picture hai market ka edge aur bearish divergence.Abhi situation unclear hai, divergence ka kaam ho chuka hai aur price middle mein atki hui hai.Iss jagah dono taraf jaane ke chances barabar hain.Agar price upar jaata hai to yeh horizontal resistance level 154.23 tak pohanch sakta hai.Yeh woh mirror level hai jahan se pehle decline shuru hua tha lekin neeche se breakout ke baad koi normal return nahi hua.Shayad ab yeh ho sakta hai. Agar price neeche jata hai, to agla level jahan price slow ho sakta hai woh 1.4692 hoga.Din ke andar ka range kaafi wide hai lagbhag 200 points, jo kaam ke liye kafi space deta hai. Lekin agar intraday ka kaam karna hai, to doosri badi pairs aur unke allies aur opponents ko dekhna zaroori hai. Agar entry confirm ho jaye, to chhoti targets ke liye kaam ho sakta hai.Lekin abhi sirf buy ya sell karke hold karna samajhdari nahi hoga kyun ke abhi growth ya decline ka koi priority nahi hai yeh sirf guesswork hoga.Agar intraday pair dekhen, to M15 levels ke mutabiq price kaafi theek movement kar raha hai levels break kiye, return kiya aur bounce back hua. Behavior theek hai doosri pairs ke muqable mein.Jaise Canadian dollar ne phir apni tricky nature dikhayi ekdum aisi direction mein gaya jo unexpected thi allies aur opponents kaafi aur direction mein move kar rahe the.Jab euro aur pound grow kar rahe the tab Canadian neeche ja raha tha lekin phir bhi upar chalak gaya even euro aur pound se bhi zyada.Cross chickens (pairs) ka samajhna aur unka asar dekhna yahan zaroori hai.mujhe ummed hai ap mere analysis samjh gaye hongy jiss say ap ko kafi faida milyga aur acha profit bna sakyin gay

USD/JPY Daily Chart Analysis
USD/JPY ka daily chart is waqt ek interesting setup dikhata hai, jahan price action ne downward momentum maintain kiya hai. Price abhi 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke neeche hai, jo ke ek bearish bias ka signal deta hai. Aham resistance level 155.37 par hai, jab ke support 149.30 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh levels market ke liye critical hain, kyun ke price inhi boundaries mein consolidate kar rahi hai.
Recent candles dikhati hain ke price ne support level ke paas thoda bounce kiya hai, lekin koi major recovery nahi hui. Agar price 149.30 ka support todti hai, to agla bearish target 148.00 ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, agar price recovery karke resistance level todti hai, to pehla bullish target 152.00 aur uske baad 155.37 ho sakta hai.
RSI (14) ka value 39 ke qareeb hai, jo batata hai ke market abhi oversold ke kareeb hai, lekin abhi tak kisi strong reversal ka signal nahi mil raha. RSI ke iss zone mein rehne ka matlab hai ke downward momentum abhi tak dominant hai, magar buyers kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakte hain.

Key Levels for USD/JPY:
Resistance: 155.37
Support: 149.30
Breakdown par agla target: 148.00
Breakout par agla target: 152.00

Trading Strategy:
Yeh waqt cautiously trade karne ka hai. Agar aap short-term trader hain, to scalping ke liye in boundaries ka use kar sakte hain, lekin confirmation ke bina kisi trend ka follow na karein. Agar price support todti hai, to selling positions prefer ki ja sakti hain, magar proper risk management ke saath. Dusri taraf, agar price resistance level todti hai, to bullish momentum ka intezar karna zaroori hoga. Long-term traders ke liye patience aur discipline key role play karega. Stop loss aur target levels ka strict follow-up karna trading ko safe banayega.

USD/JPY ka current price chart yeh suggest karta hai ke market abhi ek consolidation phase mein hai, jo 149.50 se 150.50 ke range ke beech move kar rahi hai. Recent downward trend ke baad price ne 150.00 ke level par support dikhayi hai, magar resistance bhi is level par mazboot lagta hai. Ab yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke price is zone se breakout karegi ya nahi.
Moving Average ka data dikhata hai ke price abhi resistance ke bilkul kareeb hai. Agar price 150.50 ka level tod kar upar jaye, toh agla bullish target 151.50 ya 152.00 tak ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price neeche jati hai aur 149.50 ka support todti hai, toh agla target 148.80 ke aas paas dikhai deta hai.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) ka value abhi 49.70 par hai, jo neutral zone ke beech hai. Iska matlab hai ke abhi market overbought ya oversold nahi hai, lekin koi bhi strong move kar sakti hai. Dusri taraf, MFI (Money Flow Index) ka value 70 ke kareeb hai, jo overbought condition ki taraf ishara karta hai. Yeh indication hai ke short-term mein selling pressure barh sakta hai, aur price neeche gir sakti hai.
Agar aap trading plan bana rahe hain, toh short-term trades ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke aap 150.50 ke upar ka breakout ka intezar karein bullish positions ke liye. Wahan tak price stabilize ho kar agar sustain karti hai, toh aap higher targets ka aim kar sakte hain. Lekin agar price neeche 149.50 ke support ko todti hai, toh yeh bearish signal hoga aur selling opportunities create karega.
Support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan ka price action abhi ek critical phase mein hai, jo next trend direction ka pata dega. Market ka wait-and-watch approach abhi behtareen hai, kyun ke dono taraf ka momentum evenly balanced lagta hai. Trading karte waqt stop loss lagana na bhoolein, aur overleveraging se bachein. Aapke risk management aur patience par market ke agle move ka faida lena mumkin hoga.

دسمبر 9 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین150.83 کی سطح سے نیچے مستحکم ہونا جاری رکھے ہوئے ہے، ایک رجحان جو 5 دسمبر کو شروع ہوا تھا۔ اس سطح سے اوپر بریک آؤٹ، جس کے بعد استحکام، 153.60 پر ہدف کی طرف راستہ کھولے گا۔ ایک درمیانی مزاحمت کی سطح 152.16 پر شناخت کی گئی ہے، جو 8 نومبر سے کم ہے۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر مسلسل بیئرش زون کے اندر بڑھ رہا ہے، جو تیزی کے علاقے کی حد تک پہنچنے کے لیے مضبوط جھکاؤ دکھا رہا ہے۔ اگر آسیلیٹر اس حد کو حاصل کرتا ہے، تو یہ 153.60 کی قیمت میں اضافے کے مساوی ہوگا۔ تاہم، بینک آف جاپان کی میٹنگ میں صرف 10 دن باقی ہیں، اس بارے میں کچھ غیر یقینی صورتحال ہے کہ آیا یہ جوڑا اس ٹائم فریم کے اندر 3.5 اعداد و شمار کا احاطہ کر سکتا ہے۔

جمعہ کو، قیمت نے 4 گھنٹے کے ٹائم فریم میں ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کی مزاحمت پر قابو پانے کے لیے جدوجہد کی۔ تاہم، اسے تیزی سے مارلن آسیلیٹر سے تعاون ملا، جو صفر کی لکیر سے اوپر کی طرف لوٹ گیا۔ قیمت 150.83 سے نیچے مستحکم رہتی ہے۔ اس سطح سے اوپر ایک فیصلہ کن اقدام جوڑے کے لیے اپنی اوپر کی رفتار کو برقرار رکھنے کے لیے ضروری ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Traders Ka Yen Futures Mein Net-Long Flip

Bade speculators ne pichle chhay hafton mein pehli martaba yen futures mein net-long exposure adopt kiya. Ye move meri aur market positioning ki warnings ke bagair nahi aaya jo do hafton pehle samne aayi thi. Halanki bullish exposure sirf 2.4k contracts par hai, lekin Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki interest rate hike ki umeed aur asset managers ke sirf 5.8k contracts par net-short hone ke madde nazar, naye saal mein ek mazboot yen dekhne ko mil sakta hai, khaaskar Trump ke doosre tenure ki turbulence ke waqt.

Market Positioning:

• USD Index: Asset managers ne no hafton mein pehli martaba net-long exposure reduce kiya.
• Yen Futures: Large speculators ne yen futures mein pichle sat hafton mein pehli martaba net-long position li. Asset managers bhi iske kareeb hain.
• EUR/USD Futures: Net-short exposure 4.5 saal ke buland mukam par, lekin sirf 1.5k contracts.
• AUD/USD Futures: Large speculators ne net-long exposure -10.4k contracts se kam ki, aur asset managers ne net-short exposure 8.4k contracts barhaya.
• GBP/USD Futures: Traders ne 28 hafton mein sabse kam bearish position li.
• VIX Futures: Asset managers ne doosre hafta bhi net-short position rakhi.
• Gold Futures: Net-long exposure barh gayi; large speculators aur asset managers ne 9.4k aur 1.5k contracts ke izafe kiye.
• Silver Aur Copper Futures: Dono commodities mein marginal izafa dekha gaya; silver mein 514 aur copper mein 477 contracts.

US Dollar (USD) Positioning
Pichle hafte USD positioning mein chhoti magar aham tabdeeliyan hui:

Asset managers ne no hafton mein pehli martaba net-long exposure kam kiya.
Traders aggregate taur par kam bullish hue.
Ye USD ke liye overly bearish hone ka signal nahi, lekin ye batata hai ke 100 se shuru hone wali strong run ab apna character badal rahi hai. Pehle half of 2025 mein USD ke barhne ke chances hain, lekin usse pehle trend pause ya pullback zaroori hoga.

JPY/USD (Yen Futures) Positioning

Large speculators ne chhay hafton mein pehli martaba yen futures mein net-long exposure flip kiya.

• Pichle chaar hafton mein long bets barhi hain aur pichle teen hafton mein short bets kam hui hain.
• Bullish exposure filhal extreme nahi hai (2.4k contracts), lekin BOJ ki rate hike ki umeed aur asset managers ke sirf 5.8k contracts ke net-short hone ke bawajood, naye saal mein mazboot yen ki umeed hai.

Yen futures mein net-long flip aur USD ke net-long positions ka kam hona financial markets ke liye ek nayi direction ki taraf ishara karta hai. BOJ ki policy aur Trump ke tenure ke asraat short aur long term mein dekhne ko milenge. Asset managers aur speculators ki positioning ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga.

USD/JPY ke H4 timeframe ke chart ke mutabiq, price 150.46 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai aur moving averages ke kareeb consolidation dikhai de rahi hai. Parabolic SAR indicator ne price ke upar dots lagaye hain, jo filhal bearish pressure ki nishani hai. Iska matlab hai ke price neeche jaane ki tayyari mein ho sakta hai, magar is waqt market neutral lag rahi hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi overbought zone mein hai, jo price ke downward correction ka signal deta hai. 70 ke upar stochastic ka hona is baat ki nishani hai ke buying momentum ab slow ho raha hai aur sellers market mein apna asar dikhane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar price neeche ki taraf girta hai, to pehla target 149.70 ke kareeb ho sakta hai. Wahiin, agar price resistance todta hai aur 151.00 ke upar nikal jata hai, to bullish momentum barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. Lekin is zone mein price ka behavior abhi unclear hai, jo dono taraf ke traders ke liye challenging ho sakta hai. Moving averages ka downward slope is baat ka signal deta hai ke longer-term trend abhi bhi bearish hai, lekin short-term mein price recovery kar sakta hai. Is scenario mein trading karte waqt risk management ka khayal rakhein. Agar aap sell trade lena chahein, to 150.90-151.00 ka resistance area ek achha entry point ho sakta hai, jahan se price neeche ki taraf girne ka imkaan barh jata hai. Stop loss tight rakhein, taake kisi bhi reversal se nuksan ka imkaan kam ho.

Agar buy karna chahein, to 150.10-150.20 ka support level dekhna zaroori hoga, jahan price bounce kar sakta hai. Iss level par stochastic ka oversold zone mein enter karna ek achha buying signal de sakta hai. Trading ke liye is waqt sabse behtar approach wait-and-see hai, jahan aap support aur resistance ke break hone ka intezar karte huye clear direction ka signal lein. Hamesha disciplined rahen aur market ke signals ko samajhne par focus karein!

USD/JPY Market Analysis
Aaj ke market halat mein US Dollar ki mazid taqat aur us kay rising yields ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki upward momentum ko kuch mukhtasir kar diya gaya hai. Yeh zyada tar declining US bond yields aur siyasi mahol se mutasir hai.
H1 Chart Analysis:
USD/JPY ne apni gains North American session mein barqarar rakhi aur waqt-e-tehreer 151.20 par trade kar raha tha, jabkay intraday high 151.35 ko choo gaya tha. Buyers ne price ko upar dhakela, lekin 152.00 ka critical level abhi tak breach nahi kiya, jo ke strong resistance ki nishani hai.
Agar rally jaari rahi, to agla bara hurdle 150.70 par 50% Fibonacci retracement level ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Agar price ne is level ko decisively tod diya, to bullish trend mazid taqat pakar sakta hai.
Lekin pullbacks ya consolidation ka imkan bhi barqarar hai. Traders ko entry points ka ehtiyaat se jaiza lena chahiye aur technical indicators jaise moving averages aur Fibonacci retracements ka istemal karna chahiye.
Market ki mojudah volatility ko dekhte huye, disciplined risk management aur caution ke sath trading karna zaruri hai. Samjhdari aur waqt ki munasib planning se profitable opportunities hasil ki ja sakti hain.

USD/JPY Market Analysis
Aaj ke market halat mein US Dollar ki mazid taqat aur us kay rising yields ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki upward momentum ko kuch mukhtasir kar diya gaya hai. Yeh zyada tar declining US bond yields aur siyasi mahol se mutasir hai.
H1 Chart Analysis:
USD/JPY ne apni gains North American session mein barqarar rakhi aur waqt-e-tehreer 151.20 par trade kar raha tha, jabkay intraday high 151.35 ko choo gaya tha. Buyers ne price ko upar dhakela, lekin 152.00 ka critical level abhi tak breach nahi kiya, jo ke strong resistance ki nishani hai.
Agar rally jaari rahi, to agla bara hurdle 150.70 par 50% Fibonacci retracement level ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Agar price ne is level ko decisively tod diya, to bullish trend mazid taqat pakar sakta hai.
Lekin pullbacks ya consolidation ka imkan bhi barqarar hai. Traders ko entry points ka ehtiyaat se jaiza lena chahiye aur technical indicators jaise moving averages aur Fibonacci retracements ka istemal karna chahiye.
Market ki mojudah volatility ko dekhte huye, disciplined risk management aur caution ke sath trading karna zaruri hai. Samjhdari aur waqt ki munasib planning se profitable opportunities hasil ki ja sakti hain.
US Dollar ki taqat barqarar hai, jo ke mazboot economic data ka nateeja hai. Hal hi mein job figures aur ISM services report ne economy ke strong hone ka saboot diya hai. Is se market mein yeh aitmaad barhta hai ke Federal Reserve lumbe arsay tak higher interest rates ko qaim rakh sakta hai. Ab sab ki nigahain aanay wale CPI report par hain, jo Fed ki policy expectations par gehra asar daal sakti hai.
Dusri taraf, Japanese Yen ko Bank of Japan ki ultra-loose monetary policy ki wajah se challenges ka samna hai. Governor Ueda ne yield curve control mein tabdeeliyon ka ishara diya hai, lekin ab tak koi theek action nahi liya gaya. Is indecision ki wajah se Yen ek strong Dollar ke muqable mein kamzor nazar aata hai. Traders ko is dynamic environment mein dono taraf ke fundamentals aur technical indicators ka close jaiza lena chahiye aur samjhdari se apne trading decisions lene chahiye.

USD/JPY currency pair abhi 1-hour timeframe par upper Donchian level par hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bullish pressure ab dominate kar raha hai. Kal ke price movement ne stop-loss level ko touch karne ke baad decline ke umeedon ko temporarily hold kar diya hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke filhal buyers control mein hain aur buy opportunities ko explore karna chahiye. Donchian range ke mutabiq upper level 151.24 aur lower level 149.37 par hai, aur ab price upper level ke kareeb hai, jo buy opportunity ko aur prominent banata hai. Agar yeh bullish movement jari rehti hai, to momentum ka faida utha kar long position mein enter karna ek acha mauqa ho sakta hai, khas kar agar breakout strategy ko adopt kiya jaye, jo ke trend ke shuru hone ke baad 60% success rate rakhti hai.Indicators se yeh pata chalta hai ke 200-period moving average ke kareeb price neeche se upar ki taraf move kar raha hai, aur SAR (Stop and Reverse) point bhi yeh indicate karta hai ke price buyers ki support mein hai. Trend line ka direction upward trend dikhata hai, aur USD/JPY pair ke liye buy option par focus karna zaroori hai. Agar price MA200 ko todh kar uske upar stay karta hai, to bullish signal aur mazboot hoga, lekin false signals se bachne ke liye intezar karna zaroori hai ke candle complete hoke Moving Average ke upar close ho. H4 timeframe par SAR point price ke neeche hai, jo ongoing bullish trend ka strong indicator hai. Jab tak SAR point price ke neeche hai, buyers ka control zyada rahega aur further increase ke chances barqarar hain. SAR point ko mandatory risk record ke taur par use karna crucial hai, aur upward-pointing trend line dynamic stop-loss level determine karne mein madad karti hai.Abhi price ek major support level par hai, aur agar yeh support level todh diya jata hai, to price breakout level ko test karne ke baad wapas aasakta hai. Indicators dikhate hain ke market is waqt average se neeche hai lekin 50-day aur 200-day simple moving averages resistance ke taur par kaam kar rahe hain. RSI indicator 76 par hai, jo overbought zone mein hai, aur yeh show karta hai ke price kuch der ke liye gir sakta hai. Lekin jab tak support level intact hai, market price mein entry le kar breakout level ko test karna ek acha strategy ho sakta hai.