USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ
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    Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

    USDJPY Return Back


    USD/JPY ne hal hi mein apna do din ka girawat ka silsila tor diya hai, aur kuch der ke liye izafa dekha, magar phir se wapas gir gaya jab kamzor se mutawaqqa US economic data ka izhar hua. Market ka response is speculations ko barhawa diya ke Federal Reserve anqareeb interest rates mein kami kar sakta hai. Akhri update ke mutabiq, ye pair 152.30 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke uski din ki buland tareen level 152.50 tak pohanchne ke baad hua. Yeh utar chadhav wusi pehlu ko darsha rahe hain jo Fed ke policy ke future decisions ke bare mein ghair yakeeni ko reflect kar rahe hain, aur jo aane wale hafton mein USD/JPY ke trajectory ko shadeed tor par mutasir kar sakte hain.
    Fed Rate Cut ke Intizaaraat Mazid Mazboot Hote Hain:

    Federal Reserve ke aed rakhnay walay ikhtimalay rate cut ke baare mein spekulation barh rahi hai jab Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker ne central bank ke halia monetary policy ke mushkil safar par baat ki. Harker ne Fed ke policy ko ek bus chalanay ke maslay ke tor par tasveer di, aur rawaya aur ehtiyat ke darmiyan balance barqarar rakhne ka zikar kiya. Yeh izharat Fed ke unexpected 50-basis point rate cut ke foran baad aaye, jo ke pehle se ummeed thi, lekin iske scale ne aksar logon ko surprise kar diya. Harker ke statements yeh ishara dete hain ke central bank economic landscape ko ghaur se dekh raha hai aur 2024 ke liye mazeed rate cuts bhi mumkin hain.

    Neel Kashkari ka Ainday ke Rate Cuts ke Bare Mein Nazariya:

    Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari ne bhi is topic par apne khayalat ka izhar kiya, aur kaha ke mazid rate cuts anqareeb ke imkanaat mein hain. Kashkari ne kaha ke September ka 50-basis point ka reduction ahm tha, lekin future cuts ho sakte hain chote hoon. Unke nazariye ke mutabiq US economy par Fed ka focus inflation ko manage karne par hai, lekin wo economic growth aur employment levels par bhi tawajju de rahe hain. In milay-julay jazbaton ke sath, USD/JPY pair kisi bhi further shifts in Federal Reserve policy ya aise data jo ke US economic recovery mein tabdilion ko show karein, us par sensitive raha hai.

    USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis:

    Technical front par, price aik waazeh descending channel mein trade kar raha hai, aur current price action ye ishara de raha hai ke woh 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 152.23 ke level par test kar sakta hai, jo ke foran support faraham karta hai. Agar yeh level se neeche gir gaya, tou mazeed girawat ka rasta khul sakta hai, jo ke pair ko agle support par le ja sakta hai jo ke 152.27 ke around 9-day EMA par hai. Agar bearish momentum barqarar raha, tou hum dekh sakte hain ke pair 153.00 level ko retest kar sakta hai.

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    Ek ahm technical indicator jo nazar mein rakhna chahiye wo hai 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ke abhi neutral 50 mark ke neeche hai. Agar RSI is level ko break karke upar chala gaya, tou ye market mein bullish sentiment ke emergence ka ishara ho sakta hai. Yeh ek potential upside move ke saath align ho sakta hai USD/JPY ke liye, khaaskar agar yeh pair key resistance levels ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jaye.

     

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