USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY ke sellers apne guzishta nuqsan ko khatam karne mein kaar-aamad ho rahe hain aur pair ko 149.40 ke zone tak dhakel rahe hain. Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai. Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega.
Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain
Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai
USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke European session ke shuruati hisse mein qadeem trend dikhaya, 143.00 ke qareeb trade karte hue. Magar, mazeed taqatwar bullish yaqeen ki kami yeh ishara kar rahi thi ke traders US inflation data ke aham hone ki wajah se khass positions lenay se gurez thay. Japanese Yen (JPY) Japan ke doosre trimester ke GDP ke neeche darust hone ke bazaher asarat ki wajah se press mein the, jabke US Dollar (USD) halki izafa dikha raha tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policies mein ikhtilaaf ke wajah se investors ko aggressive bullish bets lagane se roka gaya, USD/JPY ke liye upside ko mehdud kar diya. Technical nazar se, USD/JPY pair ek short-term downtrend mein dikh raha tha, isse unhone haal hi mein ek descending channel ke ander giravat ka ishara diya. Ye negative outlook taqreeban naye chart ki daily chart par mojood oscillators ke ghair mutwaqqa readings dwara madadgar tha, jo ke shahbere nishchit se hai ke koi bhi potential faida mehdud ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.00 level ke upar uth gaya, to yeh short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke shayad 144.55 ilaqe tak le ja sakti hai. Lekin, significant ooper ki raftar muqarrar hona na-karar tha jab tak ke pair 145.60 resistance level ke upar na uth gaya aur 145.00 psychological mark ko haasil na kar leya.

USD/JPY buyers ke liye behtareen raha jab unhoon ne upar bounce kiya aur 141.75 zone ko successfully break kiya. Aaj bhi traders ke liye ek ahem din hai kyun ke aaj kay din mein bohot se important news events release hongay. Hum Asian aur USA trading zones mein trade kar saktay hain kyun ke ye zones technical analysis kay zariye identify hotay hain aur aik barrier ka kaam kartay hain jo market ko apni upward trajectory mein continue karnay ke liye overcome karna parta hai.
Aaj ka din fundamental news ke lihaaz se bohot important hai – khaaskar FOMC aur Building Permits reports, jo buyers ke liye resistance levels ko break karnay ka catalyst sabit ho sakti hain. Khaaskar, FOMC ka interest rates par faisla traders ke liye bohot closely dekha jayega. Agar Federal Reserve yeh ishara karta hai ke wo apni monetary policy ko zyada accommodative rakhna chahta hai, toh yeh buyers ke liye ek aur motivation ho sakta hai aur market ko resistance break karna aasaan ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar Fed hawkish tone apnaye aur yeh signal de ke interest rates expectations se zyada barhne wale hain, toh yeh buyers ke liye challenges peda kar sakta hai aur resistance zone cross karna mushkil ho jayega.

Umeed hai ke USD/JPY ka market aaj humein mazeed trading opportunities dega. Saath hi, Federal Funds Rate ka faisla bhi aaj ke trading scenario ka ek key element hoga. Federal Funds Rate ka direct impact hota hai borrowing costs par, jo ke businesses aur consumers ko directly effect karti hain. Agar yeh rate kam ho jata hai, toh borrowing sasti ho jati hai, jo zyada kharch aur investment ko promote karta hai. Buyers ko umeed hai ke aaj ka FOMC meeting ka faisla Federal Funds Rate ko low rakhay ya phir aane wale rate hikes ko gradual aur measured rakhnay ka ishara day

averages suggest karte hain ke selling ka waqt hai, technical indicators bhi selling ke haq mein hain, aur overall consensus yeh hai ke actively sell karna chahiye. Iske madde nazar, pair ka trend bearish rahega. Monday ke significant news releases mein, US se koi bara event expected nahi hai, kyun ke yeh holiday hai. However, Swiss business activity index ka neutral forecast hai. In factors ke dekhte hue, main anticipate karta hoon ke pair downward move karega, aur sales ka support level 0.8469 tak poch sakta hai, jabke resistance level 0.8519 tak buying ka chance ho sakta hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko zahir karta hai. Thodi dair pehle Swiss inflation data report (CPI m/m) release hui thi, jisme result 0.0% aaya hai, jo ke pehle -0.2% tha. Is neutral inflation result ke sath, mumkin hai ke USD/CHF pair ke price mein izafa ka rally continue rahe. Mazeed, trend direction ab bullish condition mein hai, kyun ke EMA 50 ka SMA 200 ke sath cross hona ek golden cross signal deta hai. Agar rally do Moving Average lines ke upar consistent rahti hai, toh structure break hone ka chance hai. Invalidation level high prices 0.8540 par hai jo ke current price range se zyada door nahi, aur price psychological level 0.8500 ke upar hai. Magar, uptrend momentum jo Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator se zahir hota hai, usmein bearish divergence ka signal ban raha hai. Yeh is liye hai kyun ke histogram volume level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai, jo USD/CHF pair ke price increase ke rally ke sath mutabiqat nahi rakhta. Saath hi, Stochastic indicator parameters jo overbought zone ke ird gird baar baar cross kar rahe hain, yeh bhi yeh indicate karte hain ke price increase buying ke saturation point tak pohanch gaya hai. Trading plan ke hawale se, aapko ab bhi BUY moment ka intezar karna chahiye, kyun ke golden cross signal abhi fresh samjha jata hai. Entry position tab leni chahiye jab price EMA 50 ya qareebi RBS area 0.8507 par down ho. Tasdeeq tab hoti hai jab Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 se level 20 tak cross karte hain, jabke AO indicator ka histogram consistently level 0 ya positive area ke upar rahta hai. High prices 0.8540 ko take profit ka target banaya jata ha

pair ko 149.40 ke zone tak dhakel rahe hain. Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai. Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega. Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain
Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai
USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke European session ke shuruati hisse mein qadeem trend dikhaya, 143.00 ke qareeb trade karte hue. Magar, mazeed taqatwar bullish yaqeen ki kami yeh ishara kar rahi thi ke traders US inflation data ke aham hone ki wajah se khass positions lenay se gurez thay. Japanese Yen (JPY) Japan ke doosre trimester ke GDP ke neeche darust hone ke bazaher asarat ki wajah se press mein the, jabke US Dollar (USD) halki izafa dikha raha tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policies mein ikhtilaaf ke wajah se investors ko aggressive bullish bets lagane se roka gaya, USD/JPY ke liye upside ko mehdud kar diya. Technical nazar se, USD/JPY pair ek short-term downtrend mein dikh raha tha, isse unhone haal hi mein ek descending channel ke ander giravat ka ishara diya. Ye negative outlook taqreeban naye chart ki daily chart par mojood oscillators ke ghair mutwaqqa readings dwara madadgar tha, jo ke shahbere nishchit se hai ke koi bhi potential faida mehdud ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.00 level ke upar uth gaya, to yeh short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke shayad 144.55 ilaqe tak le ja sakti hai. Lekin, significant ooper ki raftar muqarrar hona na-karar tha jab tak ke pair 145.60 resistance level ke upar na uth gaya aur 145.00 psychological mark ko haasil na kar leya.

ko successfully break kiya. Aaj bhi traders ke liye ek ahem din hai kyun ke aaj kay din mein bohot se important news events release hongay. Hum Asian aur USA trading zones mein trade kar saktay hain kyun ke ye zones technical analysis kay zariye identify hotay hain aur aik barrier ka kaam kartay hain jo market ko apni upward trajectory mein continue karnay ke liye overcome karna parta hai. Aaj ka din fundamental news ke lihaaz se bohot important hai – khaaskar FOMC aur Building Permits reports, jo buyers ke liye resistance levels ko break karnay ka catalyst sabit ho sakti hain. Khaaskar, FOMC ka interest rates par faisla traders ke liye bohot closely dekha jayega. Agar Federal Reserve yeh ishara karta hai ke wo apni monetary policy ko zyada accommodative rakhna chahta hai, toh yeh buyers ke liye ek aur motivation ho sakta hai aur market ko resistance break karna aasaan ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar Fed hawkish tone apnaye aur yeh signal de ke interest rates expectations se zyada barhne wale hain, toh yeh buyers ke liye challenges peda kar sakta hai aur resistance zone cross karna mushkil ho jayega.

Umeed hai ke USD/JPY ka market aaj humein mazeed trading opportunities dega. Saath hi, Federal Funds Rate ka faisla bhi aaj ke trading scenario ka ek key element hoga. Federal Funds Rate ka direct impact hota hai borrowing costs par, jo ke businesses aur consumers ko directly effect karti hain. Agar yeh rate kam ho jata hai, toh borrowing sasti ho jati hai, jo zyada kharch aur investment ko promote karta hai. Buyers ko umeed hai ke aaj ka FOMC meeting ka faisla Federal Funds Rate ko low rakhay ya phir aane wale rate hikes ko gradual aur measured rakhnay ka ishara day

USD/JPY ke sellers apne guzishta nuqsan ko khatam karne mein kaar-aamad ho rahe hain aur pair ko 149.40 ke zone tak dhakel rahe hain. Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai. Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega. Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain
Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai
USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke European session ke shuruati hisse mein qadeem trend dikhaya, 143.00 ke qareeb trade karte hue. Magar, mazeed taqatwar bullish yaqeen ki kami yeh ishara kar rahi thi ke traders US inflation data ke aham hone ki wajah se khass positions lenay se gurez thay. Japanese Yen (JPY) Japan ke doosre trimester ke GDP ke neeche darust hone ke bazaher asarat ki wajah se press mein the, jabke US Dollar (USD) halki izafa dikha raha tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policies mein ikhtilaaf ke wajah se investors ko aggressive bullish bets lagane se roka gaya, USD/JPY ke liye upside ko mehdud kar diya. Technical nazar se, USD/JPY pair ek short-term downtrend mein dikh raha tha, isse unhone haal hi mein ek descending channel ke ander giravat ka ishara diya. Ye negative outlook taqreeban naye chart ki daily chart par mojood oscillators ke ghair mutwaqqa readings dwara madadgar tha, jo ke shahbere nishchit se hai ke koi bhi potential faida mehdud ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.00 level ke upar uth gaya, to yeh short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke shayad 144.55 ilaqe tak le ja sakti hai. Lekin, significant ooper ki raftar muqarrar hona na-karar tha jab tak ke pair 145.60 resistance level ke upar na uth gaya

USD/JPY ke sellers apne guzishta nuqsan ko khatam karne mein kaar-aamad ho rahe hain aur pair ko 149.40 ke zone tak dhakel rahe hain. Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai. Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega. Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain
Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai
USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke European session ke shuruati hisse mein qadeem trend dikhaya, 143.00 ke qareeb trade karte hue. Magar, mazeed taqatwar bullish yaqeen ki kami yeh ishara kar rahi thi ke traders US inflation data ke aham hone ki wajah se khass positions lenay se gurez thay. Japanese Yen (JPY) Japan ke doosre trimester ke GDP ke neeche darus

ko successfully break kiya. Aaj bhi traders ke liye ek ahem din hai kyun ke aaj kay din mein bohot se important news events release hongay. Hum Asian aur USA trading zones mein trade kar saktay hain kyun ke ye zones technical analysis kay zariye identify hotay hain aur aik barrier ka kaam kartay hain jo market ko apni upward trajectory mein continue karnay ke liye overcome karna parta hai. Aaj ka din fundamental news ke lihaaz se bohot important hai – khaaskar FOMC aur Building Permits reports, jo buyers ke liye resistance levels ko break karnay ka catalyst sabit ho sakti hain. Khaaskar, FOMC ka interest rates par faisla traders ke liye bohot closely dekha jayega. Agar Federal Reserve yeh ishara karta hai ke wo apni monetary policy ko zyada accommodative rakhna chahta hai, toh yeh buyers ke liye ek aur motivation ho sakta hai aur market ko resistance break karna aasaan ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar Fed hawkish tone apnaye aur yeh signal de ke interest rates expectations se zyada barhne wale hain, toh yeh buyers ke liye challenges peda kar sakta hai aur resistance zone cross karna mushkil ho jayega.

Umeed hai ke USD/JPY ka market aaj humein mazeed trading opportunities dega. Saath hi, Federal Funds Rate ka faisla bhi aaj ke trading scenario ka ek key element hoga. Federal Funds Rate ka direct impact hota hai borrowing costs par, jo ke businesses aur consumers ko directly effect karti hain. Agar yeh rate kam ho jata hai, toh borrowing sasti ho jati hai, jo zyada kharch aur investment ko promote karta hai. Buyers ko umeed hai ke aaj ka FOMC meeting ka faisla Federal Funds Rate ko low rakhay ya phir aane wale rate hikes ko gradual aur measured rakhnay ka ishara

Humare analysis ka mawzoo USD/JPY currency pair ka mojooda pricing behavior hai. Hal hi mein USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur BoJ rate hike ke chances kam kar diye hain. Short-term interest rate swaps market mein December policy meeting par 25 basis point hike ke sirf 30% chances hain. Isi doran, pichlay jumay ko, yani 20th September ko, USD/JPY ne Asian intraday low of 141.74 se 1.95% ka izafa dekhaya aur US session ke dauran 144.50 ka high print kiya.

Pichlay hafte USD-JPY bullish state mein tha aur bullish tareeqay se move kiya. Agar hum weekly timeframe ko dekhein, to yeh clear hota hai ke bullish movement mein significant taqat thi kyun ke aik weekly bullish candle bani, jo ke bohot strong thi aur usne bullish engulfing pattern bhi banaya. Weekly timeframe candle pattern ke basis par, is haftay bhi USD-JPY ka bullish movement jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. H4 timeframe ke daur se mein ne aik tafseeli image banayi hai, jo dikhati hai ke kaise H4 timeframe mein bullish movement ne aik bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jis mein higher highs aur lower lows dekhnay ko milay. Yeh condition is baat ki potential rakhti hai ke ek aur zyada taqatwar bullish movement trigger ho sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai.
Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale par jo candle pattern bana hai, us ke madde nazar, yeh kafi zyada imkaan hai ke USD-JPY apni bullish trend is haftay bhi jaari rakhe. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to hum trading ke mouqe se faida utha sakte hain, is liye humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi additional price fluctuation ka intezar karna chahiye.
Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke humain hamesha doosray indicators aur important levels se tasdeeq leni chahiye jo humari decisions mein madad kar sakein. Is liye, chaliye hum USD-JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur moqay ke mutabiq action lenay ke liye tayar rahain

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing movements ka tajziya karte hain jo abhi downward trend mein hai. Bohot se traders ek significant bullish correction ki umeed rakhte hain jo ke market ke historical support zone 140.36 par pohanchte hi hosakti hai. Magar, Japanese yen ke fundamentals abhi bhi kaafi mazboot hain, khas tor par Bank of Japan ki recent interest rate hike ke baad. Iss scenario mein, main expect karta hoon ke maximum bullish correction 143.21 ke moving average resistance zone tak hosakti hai. Main is level se selling opportunities dhoondunga kyun ke aage mazeed decline ka imkaan zyada hai. Agar higher time frames par volatility mein koi slowdown nazar nahi aata ya market sideways movement ki taraf shift nahi hoti, to iska matlab hai ke koi immediate reversal nahi hone wala, chahay wo local ho ya global trend ho. Market dynamics Japan ke central bank ke fundamentals aur yen ki ongoing strength ko reflect karte hain, jo ke expected hai ke continue karegi.

USD/JPY ke daily chart ka tajziya karke nazar aata hai ke wave structure downward hai, aur MACD indicator apni signal line ke niche hai, sales zone mein. Tuesday ko USD/JPY ka rate 143.70 ke aas paas tha aur descending channel mein move kar raha tha jo ke bearish trend ko reinforce karta hai. 14-day RSI bhi 50 level ke niche hai, jo ke bearish sentiment ko aur mazid mazboot karta hai. Downside mein USD/JPY ka nine-day moving average 143.01 par test hosakta hai, aur agar price is level se niche girti hai to pair 139.58 area ko test karega jo ke June 2023 ka lowest level tha. Agar price is level ke ooper move karti hai to 145.00 ka psychological barrier challenge hosakta hai. Tuesday ko USD/JPY ne green turn kiya tha, aur apni best daily performance record ki thi jab wo 140 ke strong level par settle hua. Aaj 18:00 GMT par Federal Reserve ka faisla expected hai jo ke 25bp ya 50bp rate cut ke darmiyan ho sakta hai. Agar 25bp ka regular cut hota hai to pair mein partial recovery hosakti hai, khas tor par jab usne 143.55 ke 20-day EMA ko break karna mushkil paaya hai. Aur bhi hurdles 145.00 ke trendline area aur 50-day EMA 147.25 se pehle aa sakte hain.

**USD/JPY Analysis: Fundamental & Price Action Overview**

USD aur JPY ka currency pair ek mushkil halat se guzar raha hai, jo ke U.S. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki mukhtalif monetary policies se bana hai. Haal hi mein, market sentiment ne Federal Reserve se November mein aik substantial rate cut ki umeed ki taraf rukh kar liya hai. Yeh umeed economic indicators ki wajah se hai, jo growth ko barhane ke liye zyada accommodative measures ki zaroorat ko darshate hain, jab ke inflation ke concerns bhi hain. Jab traders in umeedon ke base par apne nazariyat ko adjust karte hain, toh U.S. dollar ki taqat kam hoti ja rahi hai.

Is ke bilkul muqabil, BoJ apni ultra-loose monetary policy par mazbooti se qaim hai. Governor Kazuo Ueda ne dohraaya hai ke interest rates barhane ka koi foran irada nahi hai, jo ke bank ke economic recovery ko barqarar rakhne par focus ko darshata hai. Central bank ki policies ke darmiyan ye tajaweez USD/JPY ke liye ek unique dynamic banati hai, jahan yen ki qeemat ki barhne ki sambhavana tab tak mehdood ho sakti hai jab tak BoJ apna stance nahi badalta. Magar agar BoJ ki policy framework mein koi ghaflati tabdeeli aati hai ya Japan se kisi aham economic data ki release hoti hai, toh yeh market dynamics ko tezi se badal sakta hai, traders ko mauke de sakta hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY pair 143.20 ke mark par indecision ke nishan dikhata hai, jab ke isne 175 pips ka notable decline dekha hai. Is price action ne asset ko ek key support level 142.29 ke neeche la diya hai, jo ke market mein bearish sentiment ki taraf ishaara karta hai. Lekin, hourly chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30.00 ke threshold ki taraf upward retracement dikhata hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke pair oversold territory mein enter ho sakta hai. Yeh halat aksar reversal ya corrective bounce ka signal hoti hai pehle se kisi bhi aage ke declines se pehle.

Traders ko bullish candlestick patterns ke liye hamesha alert rehna chahiye jo upward move ko confirm kar sakti hain, khaaskar itne considerable drop ke baad. Monitoring ke liye significant resistance levels mein 143.00 ka psychological barrier shamil hai, aur kuch aur levels bhi hain jo sustained upward momentum ke liye rukawat ban sakte hain. Niche ki taraf, agar 142.00 level se decisive break hota hai, toh yeh aur zyada selling pressure unleash kar sakta hai, jo ke lower support levels ka test karne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

In technical indicators ka taluq yeh darshata hai ke jabke short-term retracement opportunities aa sakti hain, lekin agar economic fundamentals dollar ke liye dovish outlook ko support karte hain, toh overarching bearish sentiment dominate kar sakta hai, jo ke BoJ ke accommodative position ke muqable mein hai. Is liye, traders ko bohot ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur market ke har pehlu par nazar rakhni chahiye, taake behtar trading decisions liye ja sakein.

### USD/JPY Currency Pair Ka Haal

Haal hi mein, USD/JPY currency pair ne 144.53 ka key support level tod diya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points tak gir gaya, lekin phir isne ek corrective move ki koshish ki, jahan buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak upar ki taraf push kiya. Is marhale par, sell positions kholna ek strategic move ho sakta hai, jo ke aage ke liye 140-141 ke range tak girne ka target rakhta hai.

Upar ki taraf, agar pair 144.53 ke resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh ek recovery ho sakti hai, jiska agla target 146.38 rakha gaya hai. Ek hourly chart par, ek ascending channel dikhayi de raha hai jo ek flag pattern ki tarah hai, jo yeh sujhaata hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Iske baraks, H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur haal hi mein isne apne lower boundary se bounce kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke upar break karta hai, toh buying strategy viable ho sakti hai, jiska target 145.69 hai.

Pichle Friday ko, Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein 14 maheene ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tak gaya. Yeh girawat ahem tor par broader market trend ka hissa hai, jahan Yen ki kamzori Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policy mein tabdilon ki wajah se hui hai. BoJ ne haal hi mein hawkish stance apnaya hai aur interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya hai, jis se Yen carry trades ka unwinding shuru hua. Iske ilawa, Yen ko "Yen interventions" ke zariye support mila hai, jinhone isay multi-decade lows se 12.5% tak recover karne mein madad ki hai.

Yen ke hawale se current market sentiment ek complex mix darshata hai, jo monetary policy mein tabdilon, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka milan hai. Yen ka mustaqbil abhi tak uncertain hai, khaaskar iski historic lows se recovery aur USD ke khilaf haal ki fluctuations ko dekhte hue. BoJ ki monetary policy ek khula sawal hai, kyunke officials ne aage aur rate hikes ke ishaare diye hain. Lekin, is approach mein ehtiyaat hai, jo ke market volatility ko dekhte hue zaroori hai.

Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zordaar taur par kaha ke BoJ market conditions par nazar rakhega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se kisi bhi faislay ka ikhtiyar sirf BoJ ke paas hoga. Yeh ehtiyaat bhara approach yeh darshata hai ke economic growth ko stimulate karne ke saath currency stability ko banaye rakhna kitna zaroori hai.

USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke key support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein hi rahenge. Ye careful approach yeh darshata hai ke economic growth ko stimulate karna aur currency stability ko maintain karna donon mein balance banana zaroor

JP Morgan Asset Management Ka Tajaweez


Halankeh Oscar ki GDP mein haali mein izafa dekhne ko mila hai, JP Morgan Asset Management (JPAM) ka kehna hai keh Bank of Japan jaldi interest rates mein izafa karne wala nahin hai. Unka maqsad yeh hai keh kisi bhi mazeed rate hikes ke liye, Federal Reserve ki harakat par khud ko puri tarah se tayar karna hoga, khaaskar agar Fed ne rates ko katne ka faisla kiya to aur agar US ki maashiyat mai behtar thori stabil hona shuru hoti hai. JPAM ka andaza hai keh Bank of Japan ka kisi bhi tarah ka tightening mauka zyada tar 2025 mein dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jab tak ke global economic environment stable rahe.
Bazaar ka Jazba aur Fed Rate Ka Taqreeban


Haali mein kuch tajaweezaat ne traders ki ummeedon ko kuch kam kar diya hai keh wo September mein do martaba rate cut dekhenge. CME ka FedWatch Tool dikhata hai keh ab baazaar ke shiraakat daaron ka andaza hai keh 50 basis point ka cut is mahine kam se kam 50% tak nahin hoga, jab keh pichle hafte yeh andaza 70% tha. Lekin, ab bhi yeh ummeed hai keh agle Fed meeting mein kam se kam 25 basis point ka cut zaroor hoga, jo ke bazaar ka jazba aur bhi tabdeel kar raha hai.
Japan Ki Trade Deficit: Badhte Huye Masail


Yen ki kami ko aur bhi barhawa mila hai Japan ki merchandise trade deficit ke karan, jo ke July mein ¥621.84 billion tak pahuncha, jab keh June mein yeh ¥224 billion ka surplus tha. Yeh deficit, jo ke ek expected figure ¥330.7 billion se zyada hai, is saal ka paanchwa deficit hai. Imports ki bhari dakhli ne exports ko jo peechhe chhod diya hai, yeh Japan ki maashiyat ke liye barhti hui pareshaniyon ki taraf ishaara hai.
H1 Chart: Future Outlook Aur Support Levels


Technical analysis ke hawale se, currency pair is waqt 142.60 level par ek downtrend line ko test kar raha hai. Agar yeh threshold neeche girti hai, tou iska matlab bearish outlook barh sakta hai aur pair ko September 16 ko dekhe gaye saat mahine ke low 139.57 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Agar yeh downward trend continue hota hai, tou agla aham support level karib 139.00 par hoga.