usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Breakout ke baad 99 points ki girawat hui, jis ke baad pair ne upward correction ki koshish ki, aur kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamyab hue. Iss muqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 range tak ho sakta hai. Dosri surat mein, agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance 146.38 tak ponchne ka aim ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai USD/JPY pair ne abhi hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai. Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke price kuch dinon tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta. Currency pair ne neeche se 143.99 level ko test kiya hai aur ab 144.49 tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ek positive sign hai, aur bulls Asian trading session ke dauran price ko mazeed 49 points tak le jaa sakte hain. Maujooda price 143.43 hai, jo 141.70 ke aham support level se thoda upar hai. Yeh level unn traders ka key target ho sakta hai jo girawat par bet kar rahe hain. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed girne ka rujhaan rakh sakta hai. Lekin Bank of Japan ke hone ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki exchange rate mein zyada girawat ki umeed nahi ki ja sakti. Woh pehle hi ishara de chuke hain ke woh yen ki qeemat mein tezi se utar chadhav par mudakhlat kar sakte hain, jo ke yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar yeh ziyada mazboot ho jaye. Is liye, 129 ka target haqeeqat par mabni nahi lagta, kyun ke Bank of Japan 139 ke aas-paas mudakhlat kar sakta hai aur apni currency ko kamzor karne ke liye bazaar mein yen ki badi sikta inject kar sakta hai USD/JPY pair par asar fall Natija ye hai ke buying strength kam ho gayi hai

### USD/JPY Ka Pechwa: Japanese Yen 13-Mahine Ki Bulandi Par

Do din se, USD/JPY ne apni tez girawat se bahar aane ki koshish ki hai, jo 139.60 ki 13-mahine ki support level tak pahuncha. Yeh rebound 142.46 ke resistance level par ruk gaya hai aur ab 141.80 ke ird gird hai, jabke foreign exchange bazaar ke liye sab se ahm waqia, US Federal Reserve ki policy ka elan aaj hone wala hai.

Is darmiyan, Japanese Yen ki mazbooti is wajah se hai ke investors is hafte Japan aur America ke monetary policy faislon ka intezar kar rahe hain. Bank of Japan ka is Jumme interest rates ko behtar rakhne ka imkaan hai, lekin yeh aisa bhi lagta hai ke woh aage ke rate hikes ka ishara de sakta hai. Financial markets ka kehna hai ke Bank of Japan December mein interest rates mein izafa kar sakta hai, jabke October ka faisla abhi tak nishchit nahi hai. Doosri taraf, US Federal Reserve se pehli martaba chaar saalon mein interest rate ka katna umeed hai, jahan financial markets ek bara 50 basis point cut ka 67% imkaan laga rahe hain.

Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne kaha hai ke forex ki volatility ke faide aur nuqsan dono hain, lekin tezi se hone wali tabdeeliyaan nafrat ka sabab ban sakti hain. Iske ilawa, Japan ka 10 saal ka bond yield ek mahine ki bulandi par aa gaya hai. Yeh yield 0.83% tak gir gaya hai, jo US bond yields ki kami ke saath saath hai, jabke Federal Reserve ke taraf se zyada aggressive rate cuts ki umeed hai.

Doosri taraf, Bank of Japan ka is hafte apni policy ko behtar rakhne ka imkaan hai lekin yeh aage ke rate hikes ka ishara de sakta hai. Fitch ne Japan ke liye apni interest rate predictions ko revise kiya hai, ab yeh 2024 ke end tak 0.5%, 2025 mein 0.75%, aur 2026 ke end tak 1% ka andaza laga raha hai.

### USD/JPY Technical Analysis Aur Umeedain

Halankeh haali mein kuch rebound koshishain hui hain, lekin USD/JPY ka overall trend bearish hai. Psychological support level 140.00 is baat ka saboot hai ke bears ka control mazboot hai. Technical indicators oversold levels ki taraf ja rahe hain. Yeh central banks ke announcements ke baad ka jawab hi yeh tay karega ke dollar/yen ka kya hoga. Agar yeh girawat aur bhi badhti hai, to pehli support level 138.00 tak aa sakti hai, jo bears ke control ko aur mazboot karega. Iske ilawa, daily chart ke mutabiq, 150.00 ka psychological resistance asal trend ke bullish hone ke liye sab se ahm hai.

USD/JPY ka jo jari aalam hai, us ne do din se apne gehre nuqsanat se kuch sudhar kiya hai, jo 139.60 ke 13-mahine ke support level tak pahuncha tha. Is ki rebound ka amal 142.46 ke resistance level par ruk gaya, aur filhal likhne ke waqt yeh 141.80 ke aas-paas stability dikhata hai. Yeh sab kuch foreign exchange markets ke liye aik bohot ahm waqiya se pehle ho raha hai: aaj US Federal Reserve ke policy faislon ki elan ka waqt.

Iss dauran, Japanese Yen ki taizi iss liye hui hai ke investors Japan aur America se naye monetary policy faislon ka intezar kar rahe hain. Bank of Japan ka ijaza dena aane wale Jumme ko unhein apne interest rates ko waise hi barqarar rakhne ki umeed hai, lekin wo agle mawaqif ke liye zyada rate hikes ka ishara dene ki tawaqqo rakhte hain. Financial markets yeh samajhte hain ke Bank of Japan agle maheenay December mein interest rates mein izafa kar sakti hai, jabke October mein koi bhi action lena abhi tak unclear hai.

Dusse taraf, US Federal Reserve ka aaj pehli dafa chaar saalon mein interest rate cut dena expected hai, aur financial markets mein 50 basis point cut ka aik do-taiyid ka moka hai. Is waqt, Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne Tuesday ko kaha ke forex ki volatility ke apne faide aur nuqsanat hain, aur tezi se hone wale tabdeeliyan nafrat hai.

Is ke ilawa, Japan ka 10 saal ka bond yield aik mahine ki bulandi par pahuncha hai. Is waqt benchmark 10 saal ke Japanese government bond ka yield 0.83% tak gir gaya hai, jo US bond yields mein girawat ke saath saath chala hai jab se Federal Reserve se kaafi rate cuts ka intezar kiya ja raha hai. Financial markets mein 50 basis point cut ki 67% ka ummeed hai, jo pichle mahine ke 25% se kaafi zyada hai, CME’s FedWatch tool ke mutabiq.

Bank of Japan ka is hafte policy ko waise hi barqarar rakhne ki umeed hai, lekin wo aage ke liye mazeed rate hikes ka ishara zaroor denge. Markets ka kehna hai ke BoJ December mein interest rates mein izafa kar sakta hai, jabke October mein kuch khas karna mushkil hai. Fitch ne haal hi mein Japan ke liye interest rate ke forecasts ko bhi tabdeel kiya, ab yeh 2024 ke aakhir tak 0.5%, 2025 mein 0.75% aur 2026 ke aakhir tak 1% hone ki umeed hai.

### USD/JPY Technical Analysis aur Aam Expectations

Halankeh haal ke rebound koshishen ho rahi hain, lekin USD/JPY ke exchange rate ka overall trend bearish hi hai, aur 140.00 ka psychological support level bears ki mazboot control ka saboot banega. Is waqt technical indicators bhi oversold levels ki taraf ja rahe hain. Technically, is hafte ke central banks ke elaan ka jawab USD/JPY ki qismat tay karega.

Agar yeh decline ko aur aage badhata hai aur important support levels ko tootta hai, toh sabse nazdeek ka support level 138.00 hai, jo bears ki control ko mazeed mazboot karega. Iske muqablay mein, daily chart ke mutabiq, 150.00 ka psychological resistance sab se ahm hoga agar overall trend ko bullish taraf mooraana hai.

Yeh maloomat is waqt USD/JPY ke exchange rate par kai aspects ko samajhne mein madad de sakti hai, jahan investors yeh dekh rahe hain ke kaise central banks ke faisle unke economic indicators par asar daal sakte hain. Is liye, forex markets mein volatility ka intezar hai, jahan USD/JPY ka aik saaf trend dekhne ko mil sakta hai ya phir koi unexpected turn ho sakta hai.

Aakhir mein, agar Federal Reserve agar apne policy mein kaafi badlaw karta hai, toh yeh USD/JPY ke exchange rate ko kaafi had tak prabhavit kar sakta hai. Isliye, har nayi khabar par nazar rakhna aur market trends ko samajhna bohot zaroori hai, taake aage ke liye behtar faisle kiye ja sakein.

Agar yeh trends aur monetary policy ki decisions isi tarah aage barhti rahi, toh yeh market mein naye opportunities ya challenges ka sabab ban sakta hai, aur investors ko apne strategy ko bhi accordingly adjust karna par sakta hai.

JPY pair Asian session ke dauran ek tight trading range mein chal raha hai, aur guzishta din ke closing levels ke qareeb hai. Hal hi mein, Japanese Yen ne US Dollar ke muqable mein kamzori dikhayi, jo Monday ko zyada wazeh thi. Is shift ka bohot zyada taaluq market expectations se hai jo aane wali Federal Reserve ki Wednesday meeting se related hain. Traders in developments ko closely monitor kar rahe hain kyun ke yeh pair ki direction ko mutasir kar sakti hain.Fundamentally, Yen ka outlook strong hai. Haal hi ke data ne currency ke liye barhawa dekhaya hai, khaaskar Japan ki Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke 3.0% YoY tak barhne par jo August mein record hui, aur yeh October 2023 ke baad ka sab se zyada level hai. Yeh inflationary pressure Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko apni monetary policy stance par ghoor karne par majboor kar sakta hai, halan ke market anticipate karti hai ke filhal interest rates mein koi tabdeeli nahi hogi. Yeh ek aisa environment paida karta hai jahan Yen ka mazaid taqat pakar sakta hai agar economic conditions behtar hoti hain.Dusri taraf, US Dollar mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Federal Reserve ke additional rate cuts ke imkaanaat jo 2024 ke liye hain, Dollar ke hawalay se bearish sentiment ka sabab ban rahe hain. Market participants apni expectations ko adjust kar rahe hain, aur aaj ke baad mein release hone wale US economic data ka asar situation ko aur complex bana sakta hai. Currency markets mein significant volatility ka intezar hai, khaaskar Federal Reserve ka faisla qareeb aane ke saath.Technical perspective se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair correction phase mein daakhil hone ki koshish kar raha hai, guzishta haftay ke akhri dino mein decline ke baad. Filhal kuch short-term upward movement ka imkaan hai, lekin overall trend downward trajectory ki taraf wapas aane ka ishara karta hai. Key levels jo dekhne wale hain, wo reversal point 141.35 hai. Agar price is level se neeche break karta hai, to selling opportunities samne aa sakti hain, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 set kiye ja sakte hain.Dosri taraf, agar pair 141.35 ke upar break aur hold kar jata hai, to ek bullish scenario shayad unfold ho sake, aur price higher resistance levels ko test karne ka imkaan hai, jo 141.65 aur 141.85 par hain. Is surat mein, traders upward move ke baad sell positions mein wapas aa sakte hain, anticipate

### Trading Strategy with USD/JPY Prices

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya karenge. Yeh quote ab tak local maximum zone ko paar karne mein kamyab nahi hui hai, lekin yeh is zone ko chhod bhi nahi rahi. Mera khayal hai ke agle hafte ke shuru mein yeh assault jaari rahega. Maine pehle is zone ko cross karne ke nateeje outline kiye hain. Lekin agar koi rollback hota hai, to yeh general scenario ko nahi badlega. Isliye, agar price purane minimum ki taraf wapas aati hai, to naye purchases par ghor karna mumkin hoga.

Is waqt, USD/JPY pair par kafi fundamental pressure hai. Ek taraf, investors ne dollar ke liye apna rukh abhi tak develop nahi kiya hai, kyunki yeh pehli baar hai ke Fed ne itne arse baad rate cut kiya hai, aur is par settle hone mein thoda waqt lagega. Doosri taraf, Bank of Japan ke saath tajziya badh raha hai, jiska rukh abhi bhi unclear hai.

Pichle August ke minimum ko update karne ke baad, MACD indicator par bullish divergence bana hai. Agle hafte, main upar ki taraf bet karunga kyunki aisi trend ki sambhavna zyada hai, aur hum pehle se hi upar ja chuke hain, isliye sirf prospects hain. Bulls ka sabse mumkin level is surat mein 144.76 tak pahunch sakta hai, lekin yeh ek door ki sambhavna hai. Agar 143.84 ka level kaam karta hai, to hum 144.27 ki taraf badhenge.

Mujhe lagta hai ke growth ka scenario to saaf hai, lekin girawat ke liye kaafi kuch unclear hai. Isliye, hum decline ki taraf correction move ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo zyadatar 142.95 tak pahunchne ki sambhavna rakhta hai. Yeh USD/JPY kharidne ka convenient moment hoga, shayad hum 143.44 se bhi ek northern deal shuru kar sakte hain, yeh samajhte hue ke hum aur neeche bhi ja sakte hain.

Yeh sab kuch dekhte hue, traders ko chahiye ke woh apne decisions ko careful analysis ke sath banayen, aur market ki halat par nazar rakhein. Technical indicators ka istemal karke, hum behtar samajh aur strategy bana sakte hain, jo humein is pair ke fluctuations ka faida uthane mein madad karega. Har tarah ke market movements ko samajhna hamesha zaroori hota hai, taake hum profitable trades kar sakein.

Trading Strategy with USD/JPY Prices

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki price movements ka tajziya karain gay. Filhal, price ne ab tak local maximum zone ko overcome nahi kiya lekin isay chhoda bhi nahi hai. Mera khayal hai ke aglay haftay ke aghaz mein yeh assault jaari rahega. Main pehle hi is zone ke cross hone ke nataij outline kar chuka hoon. Lekin agar rollback hota hai, tou bhi yeh overall scenario ko change nahi karega. Pehle ke minimum ki taraf rollback ki surat mein naye purchases ko consider kiya ja sakta hai. Iss waqt, USD/JPY pair kafi serious fundamental pressure ka shikar hai. Ek taraf se, investors ne ab tak dollar ke hawalay se apna attitude develop nahi kiya, jab ke Fed ne bohat arsay baad pehli dafa rate cut kiya hai, aur isay settle hone mein kuch waqt lagega. Dusri taraf, Bank of Japan ki position ab tak vagueness ka shikar hai, jo ke mazeed intrigue paida kar rahi hai

Pichlay August ke minimum ko update kiya gaya, aur MACD indicator par bullish divergence dekhne ko mili. Agle haftay mein upwards bet karoon ga kyun ke is tarah ka trend ziada possible lag raha hai, aur hum pehle hi upwards move kar chuke hain, tou faqat upar jaane ke hi prospects hain. Agar hum bulls ke possible level ka tayyun karain, tou yeh 144.76 ho sakta hai, lekin yeh ek door ki probability hai. Agar 143.84 tak bhi pohonch jayein tou hum aglay mark 144.27 ki taraf move karain gay. Agar growth ka direction mere liye clear hai, tou fall ka bilkul clear nahi hai. Hum decline ke direction mein ek correction move ka intezar kar rahay hain, jo shayad 142.95 tak ja sakta hai. Wahan par USD/JPY ko khareednay ka ek behtareen mauqa hoga, shayad 143.44 se northern deal bhi shuru ki ja sake, agar hum aur neeche jaane ka imkaan samjhein

USD/JPY Trading Strategy
USD/JPY ka trading strategy samajhne ke liye pehle market dynamics ko samajhna zaroori hai. USD/JPY ek forex pair hai jisme US Dollar aur Japanese Yen involved hain. Iss pair ki price movements global economic conditions, interest rates, aur geopolitical factors ke asar se hoti hain.

Market Trends

USD/JPY mein trading karne ke liye sabse pehle trend ko identify karna hota hai. Trend ek direction hoti hai jisme price barh rahi hoti hai ya gir rahi hoti hai. Agar USD/JPY ki price consistently ooper ja rahi hai, toh ye ek bullish trend hota hai. Aur agar price gir rahi hai, toh ye bearish trend hota hai. Moving averages jaise technical indicators is trend ko pehchan ne mein madad karte hain.

Support aur Resistance Levels

Support aur resistance levels ko identify karna bhi trading ke liye bohot important hota hai. Support woh level hota hai jahan price niche jaane ke baad wapis uper aati hai, aur resistance woh level hota hai jahan price ooper jaake wapis niche girti hai. Agar price ek strong support ya resistance level ko break kar leti hai, toh price ki direction mein badi change aa sakti hai.

Fundamental Analysis

USD/JPY ki trading mein fundamental factors ka bhi bohot bara role hota hai. Interest rates dono mulkon ke central banks ke policies ke through change hoti hain. Agar Federal Reserve (US) interest rates badhata hai, toh USD ki demand barhti hai aur USD/JPY ki price ooper ja sakti hai. Wahi agar Bank of Japan apne interest rates mein change karta hai, toh is se Yen ki value badalne ka imkaan hota hai.

Risk Management

Risk management har strategy ka integral hissa hota hai. Leverage ko samajhna bohot zaroori hai kyun ke forex mein leverage bohot high hota hai. Stop-loss orders ko set karna ek acha tareeqa hota hai taake potential losses ko control mein rakha ja sake. Kabhi bhi apni total capital ka bara hissa ek trade mein invest nahi karna chahiye.

Conclusion

USD/JPY trading ek profitable opportunity ho sakti hai agar aap market dynamics ko sahi tareeke se samajhte hain aur disciplined approach apnate hain. Technical aur fundamental analysis ko mila ke ek solid strategy banai ja sakti hai, lekin hamesha risk ko manage karna sab se zyada zaroori hota hai.

notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai. Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai. Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai, USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish

Aakhri trading session main Japanese yen par fundamental news ne JPY par dabao dala aur is wajah se USD/JPY ki value mein kafi tezi se izafa dekhne ko mila. Jab BOJ (Bank of Japan) ne apne interest rates ko barqarar rakha aur BOJ Governor ne dovish remarks diye, to Japanese yen ki value gir kar apni do hafton ki neechey level par chali gayi. USD/JPY ki value mein +1.14% ka izafa hua.
Governor Ueda ke dovish remarks ne yen par mazeed bura asar dala, jisme unhone ishaara diya ke BOJ dheere dheere interest rates ko barhane ka irada rakh sakta hai. Us waqt Treasury yields mein izafa hua, jis se yen ke losses aur barh gaye. Is ke sath sath, US stock market aur yen ki girawat ne Friday ke doran dollar index ko bhi barhawa diya. Stock prices ke girne se dollar liquidity ki demand barh rahi hai, aur yeh aagey chal kar USD/JPY ki movement ko bhi mutasir kar sakti hai. Technically dekha jaye to price ne ek strong bullish daily candle ke sath close kiya aur daily Bolinger Bands ka middle aur EMA 21 daily ko breach kar diya, jo ke ek strong resistance tha. Is ka matlab hai ke jab price 140.00 ke low se barh kar upar gaya, to is ke continuous upward trend banne ka imkaan hai. Buy option kaafi dilchasp lag raha hai future trading ke liye, kyun ke price potential kafi mazboot hai aur ab high Bolinger area aur EMA 55 jaise zones test ho sakte hain, jab price middle Bolinger ke upar chala gaya. Indicators jaise ke RSI aur stochastic bullish signals dikha rahe hain. Stochastic tezi se 80 area ki taraf barh raha hai aur RSI 30 area se rejection dikha raha hai, jo future mein price ke izafay ka signal de raha hai. Mukhtalif patterns ko dekh kar, buy setup ko lena zyada dilchasp alternative lagta hai future trading ke liye.

Jis tarah se hum USD aur JPY ke pair ka tajziya kar rahe hain, yeh waqt ek kaabil-e-zikr neeche ki taraf trend mein hai, jo asal mein Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki mukhtalif monetary policies se mutasir hai. USD/JPY ke haal hi ke girawat ki wajah zyada tar bazar mein 25 basis point (bps) rate cut ki umeedain hain, jo ke Fed ke aane wale September 17-18 ke meeting mein discuss ki jayein gi. Halankeh recent tezi dekhi gayi hai, lekin yeh umeedain US Dollar (USD) ko apne faiday ko mazeed barhane se rok rahi hain. Dosri taraf, bazar mein ehtiyaat ka rujhan Japanese Yen ki safe-haven asset ke tor par demand ko barhawa de raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair par mazeed dabao daal raha hai. Saath hi, BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne tasdeeq ki hai ke bank FY2025 tak interest rates ko barhane ka plan bana raha hai, jo Fed ke umeed ke mutabiq rate cut ke bilkul baraks hai, aur yeh pair ke neeche ki taraf trend ko mazeed barhawa de raha hai. Traders filhal ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain aur koi faisla karnay se pehle US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke Fed ke agle policy qadam ke hawale se ahem maloomat faraham karega aur USD/JPY pair ke short-term outlook ko mutasir karega. Technical Tajziya:
Technical lehaz se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair mein waazeh bearish signals dekhnay ko mil rahe hain. Is waqt, yeh pair apne roz ke opening level 143.20 se neeche trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 142.95 ke qareeb hai. Qeemat moving average trend line ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ek ahem level hota hai jahan volume distribution aam tor par hoti hai, aur yeh strong selling pressure ko zahir karta hai. Agar qeemat 143.20 level ke upar chali jati hai, to mazeed izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo resistance levels 143.69 aur 143.75 tak jasakta hai. Agar qeemat 142.95 level ke neeche girti hai, to umeed hai ke yeh aur neeche jaegi aur support levels 142.74 aur shayad 142.20 tak gir sakti hai. Yeh pair apne monthly Pivot level 146.24 aur weekly Pivot level 143.75 ke neeche bhi trade kar raha hai, jo ek corrective mood ko zahir karta hai. Hourly chart mein, yeh pair apni pehle ki range 143.69 se 142.14 ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers filhal bazar mein haawi hain. Lekin traders ko ek mumkin false breakout se ehtiyaat karni chahiye. Kul mila kar, technical indicators ek bearish outlook ko support karte hain, aur agar pair key support levels ke neeche trade karta raha, to mazeed girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Jaise ke maine pehle bhi bataya tha, mera main reference point senior time frame tha, jahan price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak bre

Aakhri trading session main Japanese yen par fundamental news ne JPY par dabao dala aur is wajah se USD/JPY ki value mein kafi tezi se izafa dekhne ko mila. Jab BOJ (Bank of Japan) ne apne interest rates ko barqarar rakha aur BOJ Governor ne dovish remarks diye, to Japanese yen ki value gir kar apni do hafton ki neechey level par chali gayi. USD/JPY ki value mein +1.14% ka izafa hua. Governor Ueda ke dovish remarks ne yen par mazeed bura asar dala, jisme unhone ishaara diya ke BOJ dheere dheere interest rates ko barhane ka irada rakh sakta hai. Us waqt Treasury yields mein izafa hua, jis se yen ke losses aur barh gaye. Is ke sath sath, US stock market aur yen ki girawat ne Friday ke doran dollar index ko bhi barhawa diya. Stock prices ke girne se dollar liquidity ki demand barh rahi hai, aur yeh aagey chal kar USD/JPY ki movement ko bhi mutasir kar sakti hai. Technically dekha jaye to price ne ek strong bullish daily candle ke sath close kiya aur daily Bolinger Bands ka middle aur EMA 21 daily ko breach kar diya, jo ke ek strong resistance tha. Is ka matlab hai ke jab price 140.00 ke low se barh kar upar gaya, to is ke continuous upward trend banne ka imkaan hai. Buy option kaafi dilchasp lag raha hai future trading ke liye, kyun ke price potential kafi mazboot hai aur ab high Bolinger area aur EMA 55 jaise zones test ho sakte hain, jab price middle Bolinger ke upar chala gaya. Indicators jaise ke RSI aur stochastic bullish signals dikha rahe hain. Stochastic tezi se 80 area ki taraf barh raha hai aur RSI 30 area se rejection dikha raha hai, jo future mein price ke izafay ka signal de raha hai. Mukhtalif patterns ko dekh kar, buy setup ko lena zyada dilchasp alternative lagta hai future trading ke liye.

se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai. Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai. Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai, USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-

USD/JPY Pair Ki Trading Strategy


USD/JPY pair ko bechne ke liye traders ab ziada raaghib hain, jo badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, aur technical signals ki wajah se hai. Yeh sab cheezein pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahi hain. 146.86 ka zone khas ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jaate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY par bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor hota hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments, to yeh pair ke decline ka sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein taqat ki wajah shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ho sakti hai, jo is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai.

Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli dono challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai.

Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USD/JPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai. Kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega? Recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti balki yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai.

Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge.

USD/JPY ke trading options mein, buy option ab bhi movement ko dominate karega. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke is currency pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders set karein taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunki situation rapidly adverse ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, humne hourly chart par decline dekha, jiske baad ek rise bhi hwa hai, lekin trading mein cautious rehna zaroori hai.
USD/JPY Pair Ki Trading Strategy USD/JPY pair ko bechne ke liye traders ab ziada raaghib hain, jo badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, aur technical signals ki wajah se hai. Yeh sab cheezein pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahi hain. 146.86 ka zone khas ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jaate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY par bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor hota hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments, to yeh pair ke decline ka sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein taqat ki wajah shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ho sakti hai, jo is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai.

Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli dono challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai.

Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USD/JPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai. Kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega? Recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti balki yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai.

Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge.

USD/JPY ke trading options mein, buy option ab bhi movement ko dominate karega. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke is currency pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders set karein taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunki situation rapidly adverse ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, humne hourly chart par decline dekha, jiske baad ek rise bhi hwa hai, lekin trading mein cautious rehna zaroori hai.

Jaise ke maine pehle bhi bataya tha, mera main reference point senior time frame tha, jahan price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88